ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Market Outlook:

AUD/USD ka market kuch dino se 0.6500 - 0.6455 ke range mein phansa hua hai. Lekin, New York trading zone ke doran aaj US news data is range ko tod sakta hai. Yeh isliye ke US GDP data economy ki growth ka ek wazeh tasavvur dega, aur is report ke surprises US dollar par aham asraat dalenge. Agar GDP growth rate umeed se zyada ho to yeh mazboot economy ka signal ho sakta hai, jo USD ki taqat ko mazid barhawa de sakta hai. Wahi, agar GDP figure umeed se kam aaye to economy ki kamzori ke khadshat barh sakte hain aur dollar par downward pressure aa sakta hai.

Mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD market aane wale ghanton mein resistance zone 0.6565 ko cross karega. Aaj Core Durable Goods aur Durable Goods data ka release bhi hoga, jo business investment aur consumer demand par insights dega. Core Durable Goods report, jo ke zyada volatile transportation items ko exclude karti hai, economy ki buniyadi mazbooti ko napne ka ek zariya hai. Agar yeh data strong aaye, to yeh signal hoga ke businesses economy ke outlook par bharosa karte hain aur investments kar rahe hain, jo USD ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Lekin agar report disappoint kare, to yeh business investments mein caution ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko kamzor karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Isi tarah, Durable Goods report jo transportation items ko bhi shamil karti hai, economy ke demand ka gauge hai. Strong data USD ko support karega, jab ke weak data economic headwinds ko zahir kar sakta hai. Australian RBA Governor ki speech bhi in dino AUD/USD buyers ki madad nahi kar saki.

Aaj US Unemployment Rate bhi ek aham data release hoga. Kam unemployment rate aam tor par healthy economy ka signal hota hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke zyada log employed hain aur economic activity mein hissa le rahe hain. Yeh US dollar par positive asraat dal sakta hai, kyun ke yeh strong labor market aur zyada consumer spending ka izhar karta hai. Doosri taraf, agar unemployment rate umeed se zyada aaye, to labor market mein kamzori ka izhar ho sakta hai, jo economy aur dollar ke outlook ko kamzor karega.

Stay Blessed and Keep Calm!

NZD/USD ka H4 timeframe chart yeh dikhata hai ke price abhi ek significant resistance level 0.5898 par hai. Yeh level red 200-EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ke sath align karta hai, jo abhi tak strong resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Price is resistance ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin abhi tak uspe sustain nahi kar paya.

Chart ke mutabiq, agar price 0.5898 ka resistance tod kar upar ki taraf move karta hai, toh agli bullish target level 0.5942 hogi. Yeh level bulls ke liye important hoga, kyun ke yahan se price further upward momentum le sakta hai. Lekin agar price is resistance ko tod nahi pata aur wapas niche girta hai, toh 0.5840 ka support level kaafi critical hoga. Agar yeh support tod jata hai, toh price aglay support zone 0.5809 tak gir sakta hai.

Abhi ke liye, market ek range-bound scenario mein lagta hai, jahan price apne resistance aur support ke darmiyan move kar raha hai. Moving averages ka pattern bhi yeh signal deta hai ke market abhi tak bearish trend mein hai, lekin recent candles ek potential bullish reversal ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain.

Trading ke liye strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke 0.5898 ke upar confirmation ke sath buy position li jaye, aur target 0.5942 rakha jaye. Stop loss 0.5870 ke niche hona chahiye, jo short-term moving averages ke neeche ka area hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.5840 ke niche close karta hai, toh sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai, jisme target 0.5809 aur stop loss 0.5860 ho sakta hai.

Momentum indicators aur candlestick patterns ka closely review karna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ke aglay movement ka signal de sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, price ka behavior 0.5898 ke aas paas dekhna zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh ek decisive point hoga jo aglay trend ka pata dega. Aapki trading plan mein risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, taki unexpected moves se bacha ja sake.

نومبر 28 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر اصلاحی مرحلے میں داخل ہو رہا ہے۔ منگل کو، اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈال کے جوڑے نے ایک نئی مقامی نچلی سطح قائم کی، اور بدھ تک، قیمت واپس 0.6482 کی سطح سے اوپر چڑھ گئی۔ آج کا سیشن ایک مثبت نوٹ پر شروع ہوا، جوڑی کی ترقی کے ساتھ۔



اس تناظر میں، قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے دو ڈائیورجنس بنائے ہیں، جن میں ایک وقفہ شامل ہے۔ اس طرح کا وقفہ کسی بھی اہم اوپر کی طرف اصلاح کے امکانات کو کم کر دیتا ہے۔ یہ بھی قابل ذکر ہے کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. (5, 34, 5) آسکیلیٹر مارلن آسکیلیٹر (آزور لائن) کے ذریعہ شناخت شدہ پہلے انحراف کی تصدیق کرنے میں ناکام رہتا ہے اور دوسرے انحراف کو کمزور مانتا ہے۔ مزید برآں، توقع ہے کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. موونگ ایوریج جلد ہی 0.6640 کی سطح تک پہنچ جائے گی، ممکنہ طور پر اس کو تقویت ملے گی اور اصلاح کو اس سطح سے تجاوز کرنے سے روکا جائے گا۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر نے نیوٹرل صفر لائن کا تجربہ کیا ہے۔ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. موونگ ایوریج سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ اگر کوئی بیئرش ریورسل نہیں ہوتا ہے اور قیمت 0.6482 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے نہیں آتی ہے تو 0.6570 پر ہدف مزاحمت جلد ہی پہنچنے کا امکان ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Imandari se kahun to, AUD/USD jodi ki trading mere liye zyada aaram dah nahin hai. Yah apni movements me bahut sust hai aur mumkena rujhanat ka andazah lagate waqt takniki taur par challenging hai. Yaqinan, shayad hi kabhi, yah wazeh taur par kisi mumkena scenario ki tajwiz karta hai, lekin aaj ka din mere liye mushkil hai.
Agar ham is bat par gaur karte hain to maujudah yaumiyah candlestick pichle yaumiyah candlestick (0.6510) ki bulandi se ooper trade kar rahi hai, to aisa lagta hai keh 0.6549 par qarib tarin swing liquidity (fractal) ki taraf badhne ka qauwi imkan hai. Buniyadi taur par, yah char-ghante ke chart par yaumiyah timeframe FVG ke andar 0.6546 se 0.6562 tak liquid zone (sell-side imbalance) ka dobara test hoga.
Wahan se, ham ya to Jonubi scenario (markazi dhancha) ko jari rakhte hue ek reversal dekh sakte hain ya ooper ki taraf rujhan ko jari rakhne ke liye istehkam ke sath breakout dekh sakte hain.
Aaj ke liye, yah jodi mere liye wazeh taur par ghair dilchasp hai. Americi traders chutti par hain, aur aaj Jumah hai. Yahi wajah hai keh din me action ya drivers ki kami hai.

AUD/USD Analysis – H4 Timeframe
AUD/USD ka chart dekh kar yeh samajh aata hai ke pair filhal 0.6487 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Recent movements mein price ne ek bearish trend dikhaya hai, lekin ab consolidation ka phase shuru hota nazar aa raha hai, jo support level ke qareeb hai. MACD indicator ke mutabiq, momentum abhi tak bearish hai, kyun ke signal line neeche hai. ATR ki value 0.00312 low volatility ka signal deti hai, jo yeh batata hai ke price filhal chhoti range mein move kar raha hai.
Technical Levels:

1. Resistance Zone: Pehla resistance 0.6536 ke aas paas hai. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to bullish recovery shuru ho sakti hai, aur agla target 0.6590 ho sakta hai.
2. Support Zone: Mazboot support level 0.6450 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to bearish momentum barh sakta hai, aur agla target 0.6420 ho sakta hai.

Indicators ka Analysis:

• MACD: Negative territory mein hone ki wajah se bearish trend ki tasdeeq hoti hai. Jab tak MACD line signal line ke upar na aaye, bullish reversal mushkil hai.
• ATR (Volatility): ATR ki low value show karti hai ke market filhal ek narrow range mein hai, aur breakout ka intezar kar raha hai.

Trading Strategy:
Filhal wait-and-see ka approach zyada behtar hai. Agar price 0.6450 ke support level ke neeche close karti hai, to sell positions open karna safe hoga, jahan target 0.6420 aur uske baad 0.6380 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6536 ka resistance todti hai, to buy entry dekhni chahiye, aur target 0.6590 tak ho sakta hai.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD abhi ek range-bound phase mein hai, aur agla movement support ya resistance level ke todne par depend karega. Confirmation ke bina trade na karein, aur risk management ka khayal rakhein. Safe entry ke liye breakout ka intezar karein.

AUD/USD ka pair abhi ek important resistance zone 0.6494 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo pehle support aur resistance dono ka kaam karta raha hai. Yeh level filhal buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek jang ka markaz bana hua hai. Agar price is zone ko todhne mein kamyab hoti hai, to agla target 0.65–0.66 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar buyers momentum barqarar rakhne mein naakam rehte hain, to bearish pressure ke baais price niche gir sakti hai.D1 chart par dekha jaye to price sideways movement mein hai, jahan har taraf barabar ki taqat nazar aa rahi hai. September 2023 se ek rising trendline support ka kaam kar rahi hai jo price ko neeche girne se bacha rahi hai. Indicators bhi yehi suggest karte hain ke ek upward correction ke asar hain. AO (Awesome Oscillator) lower zone mein hone ke bawajood signal line ke upar hai, jo bullish momentum ka ishara hai. Sath hi bullish divergence bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo upward move ke chances barhata hai.Resistance 0.6546–0.6548 kaafi mazboot hai aur price ko roknay ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh horizontal level ab tak todha nahi gaya, halan ke price is area ko test kar chuka hai. Dusri taraf, ek ascending trendline price ko support provide kar rahi hai, lekin ek descending trendline bhi hai jo price ke upar pressure bana rahi hai. Agar price 0.6548 ke level ko todh kar oopar nikalti hai, to ek strong upward rally shuru ho sakti hai, jo 0.6590 aur 0.66 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai aur ascending trendline todhti hai, to bearish trend wapas aa sakta hai, aur price 0.6400–0.6380 zone tak gir sakti hai.Mazid movement ka asar US dollar ki performance aur broader market sentiment par hoga. Waqt ki zarurat hai ke traders patience rakhain aur kisi breakout ya breakdown ka intezar karein taake agla step safe aur profitable ho.

AUD/USD ka current price 0.6499 par hai, jo ek significant support level ke kareeb hai. Yeh support level market ke liye critical hai, kyun ke iske tootne se mazeed bearish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price pichlay kuch mahino se downward trend mein hai, jo overall bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Neeche diya gaya RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator 40.37 par hai, jo abhi neutral zone mein hai, magar neeche ki taraf inclined lag raha hai, jo girawat ke imkanaat ko barhata hai.
Technical Analysis:

1. Support Levels:
   Ahem support 0.6499 par hai. Agar price is level ke neeche close karti hai, to agla target 0.6230 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh level market ke liye ek demand zone ban sakta hai, lekin uske neeche ka breakout mazeed girawat ka sabab banega.
2. Resistance Levels:
   Agar price recover karna shuru kare, to sabse pehla resistance level 0.6520 par hoga. Iske baad agla strong resistance 0.6810 par hai. Yeh dono levels market ke liye upside recovery ke liye zaroori honge.
3. RSI Indicator:
   RSI currently 40 par hai, jo neither overbought hai aur na hi oversold. Agar yeh indicator 30 ke kareeb aata hai, to oversold conditions create ho sakti hain, jahan se price recovery ke chances barh jate hain. Magar agar yeh neeche girta hai, to bearish momentum barh sakta hai.
4. Trend:
   Chart ke mutabiq, AUD/USD abhi downward channel mein hai, aur price SMA (Simple Moving Average) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish trend ka izhaar karta hai. Koi significant bullish reversal tabhi expect kiya ja sakta hai jab price ek strong support se bounce kare aur SMA ke upar band ho.

Trading Plan:

• Buy Opportunities: Sirf tab consider karein jab price support level 0.6499 se bounce kare aur bullish confirmation mile.
• Sell Opportunities: Agar price 0.6499 ke neeche close kare, to short positions lein, jahan agla target 0.6230 ho sakta hai.

Wise money management ka khayal rakhein aur leverage ka ehtiyaat se use karein.

AUD/USD ka current analysis yeh dikhata hai ke market price 0.6514 zone mein chal rahi hai, aur abhi tak chart incomplete hai, magar downward trend kaafi prominent hai. RSI indicator ka value 42.5348 par hai, jo bearish territory mein hai aur yeh price ki girawat aur bearish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. Abhi tak sellers stable nazar aa rahe hain, jabke MACD indicator bhi downward trend ko support kar raha hai. Price ne abhi tak 50-EMA line cross nahi ki, jo is baat ka indication hai ke bearish trend abhi tak strong hai aur short trades par focus karna zaroori hai. AUD/USD ka crucial resistance level 0.6529 par hai, aur agar price is level ko todta hai, toh price upward direction mein 0.6667 tak ja sakta hai, jo ek bullish movement hogi.Dusri taraf, crucial support level 0.6497 par hai. Agar price is level ke neeche jata hai aur 0.6497 support zone todta hai, toh market aur neeche gir sakti hai. Agar price 0.6448 ka zone todta hai, toh bearish movement ka continuation possible hai, jo 0.6123 support zone tak ja sakta hai. Larger timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, market kaafi strong bearish signals de raha hai, aur lagta hai ke is hafte price 0.6448 zone cross karega aur downward continuation pattern bana sakta hai.Is ke ilawa, Australian dollar ko kuch support mila hai USD ki weakness ki wajah se, halaan ke Australian economic data mixed hai aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance bhi hai. USD kaafi strong fundamentals rakhta hai, aur Federal Reserve ki policies aur strong economic data uski losses ko limit karte hain. Doosri taraf, Aussie ke liye RBA ki dovishness ek advantage ho sakti hai, magar Australia ka mixed economic outlook uski upside ko limit kar sakta hai. Markets 2025 Q2 mein pehla RBA rate cut expect kar rahe hain, jabke Federal Reserve ka December mein cut kaafi bullish hai. Is ke saath, US-China trade war ke concerns bhi Australian economy ko affect kar sakte hain, kyun ke China Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai.Is liye AUD/USD ke liye current bearish momentum ko follow karna zaroori hai lekin trade wars aur economic factors ke effects par bhi nazar rakhni hogi.

AUD/USD ka daily timeframe ka chart humein overall bearish trend dikhata hai, jahan price lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banate hue neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Iss waqt price 0.65129 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo short-term support level ke paas hai.
Technical Analysis:

1. Resistance Levels:
   Price ke liye sabse kareebi resistance 0.65850 hai. Agar yeh level tod diya jata hai, toh agla resistance 0.66500 par hai. Yeh levels price ke bullish momentum ko rok sakte hain.
2. Support Zones:
   Neeche ki taraf major support levels 0.64700 aur 0.64000 hain. Agar price in levels ke neeche close kare, toh bearish trend aur mazboot ho sakta hai, aur price 0.63500 ya usse neeche tak gir sakti hai.
3. Indicators ka Role:
   Chart par moving averages (red aur blue lines) clearly dikhate hain ke price unke neeche hai, jo sellers ki dominance ka indication hai. Saath hi, Bollinger Bands ka lower band test ho chuka hai, jo short-term price stabilization ka signal deta hai. Lekin, abhi tak koi strong reversal ka signal nazar nahi aata.
4. Momentum ki Kami:
   Price ka Bollinger Bands ke middle band tak wapas na jaana weak buyer interest ko dikhata hai. Yeh consolidate karne ya neeche girne ki taraf ishara hai.

Trading Strategy:

• Agar price 0.65850 ke upar close kare, toh short-term buy position consider karein, with a target of 0.66500.
• Agar price 0.64700 ke neeche close kare, toh sell positions kholna behtar hai, with a target of 0.64000.

Risk Management:
Trend ke against trade karne se gurez karein aur stop loss ka istemal zaroor karein. For example, buy karte waqt stop loss 0.64700 ke neeche rakhna safe hoga, jabke sell positions ke liye stop loss 0.65850 ke upar ho. Akhir mein, yeh yaad rakhein ke yeh short-term analysis hai, aur macroeconomic factors (jaise ki US dollar ki strength) price direction par asar daal sakte hain.

AUD/USD ka current analysis ye dikha raha hai ke market abhi 0.6500 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, jahan chart weak nazar aa raha hai aur sellers ka ghalba hai. RSI ka value 45.1472 hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke market mein downside ke liye abhi bhi guzarish hai, kyun ke RSI-14 oversold region se kaafi door hai. Saath hi, MACD indicator 0.00 se neeche hai aur bearish signal de raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish sentiment ko support karte hain, aur chart par sellers ki domination hai. Price abhi 20 aur 50 EMA ke darmiyan hai, jo market ki instability ko highlight karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karein to, upward momentum ke waqt 0.7099 aur 0.9282 significant barriers hain. 1.1046 ek mazboot resistance hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye cross karna mushkil hoga. Downward momentum ke waqt, support levels 0.6296 aur 0.5545 par focus karna zaroori hai, jabke 0.4565 ek strong support level hai jo market ke liye todna mushkil hoga.Buyers ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke jab tak price 0.7099 ke area ke upar breakout nahi karta, buying ka koi chance nahi hai. Pehle is level ka touch hua tha, lekin bullish divergence aur CCI ke overheating zone se bahar aane ki wajah se rebound ki possibility thi. Rebound se price 0.6546 tak gaya, lekin uske baad wapas neeche gir gaya aur thoda sa minimum se neeche gaya extra trades ko eliminate karne ke liye, phir price wapas upar aaya.Ab agar price 0.6546 ke level ke upar exit karta hai aur breakout sahi hota hai, to growth 0.6648 tak ja sakti hai. Is scenario mein, broken level ka upar se support ke taur par test buying ke liye behtareen point hoga. Agar breakout false hota hai, to downward movement continue hogi aur price 0.6362 ke area tak gir sakta hai. Buyers aur sellers dono ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke market ke price actions aur key levels par dhyan rakhein aur apne trades ke liye risk management ka khayal karein.

دسمبر 2 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر کے یومیہ چارٹ پر ڈبل کنورژنس اقتباس کو 0.6570 کے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچانے میں ناکام رہا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی مندی والے علاقے میں واپسی کے لیے کمر بستہ ہے۔



٠.٦٤٨٢ سے نیچے قیمت کی واپسی 0.6410 پر ہدف کی حمایت کا راستہ کھولتی ہے۔
چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت انڈیکیٹر بیلنس لائن (ریڈ موونگ ایوریج) سے نیچے چلی گئی ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر کی لکیر پر ہے، جو بیئرش علاقے میں مضبوط ہونے کی طرف بہت کم جھکاؤ دکھا رہا ہے۔ اس اشارے کی بنیاد پر، قیمت 0.6482 کے قریب رہنے کا امکان ہے، خاص طور پر چونکہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن اس سطح کو تقویت دیتی ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD H4 Analysis
AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekh kar maloom hota hai ke price abhi 0.64989 ke level par trade kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, yellow zones demand aur supply areas ko represent karte hain. Yeh areas wo points hain jahan price aksar support ya resistance face karta hai.

Iss waqt price 200-period moving average (red line) ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ka indication de raha hai. Blue aur yellow moving averages bhi downward slope par hain, jo confirm karta hai ke market mein selling pressure abhi tak zyada hai. Lekin stochastic oscillator ka oversold zone ki taraf move karna yeh signal deta hai ke price kisi waqt upward correction shuru kar sakta hai.
Key Levels:

• Support Zone: 0.64440 ka demand area aik aham support hai. Agar price yahan tak pohanchta hai aur bounce karta hai, to yeh buying ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai.
• Resistance Zone: 0.65270 ka level upar ki taraf resistance provide karega. Agar price wahan tak jata hai aur reject hota hai, to selling ka mauqa samjha ja sakta hai.

Possible Scenarios:

1. Agar price neeche demand zone (0.64440) tak jata hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Target upar resistance zone (0.65270) ke aas paas ho sakta hai.
2. Agar price demand zone tod deta hai, to market aur neeche ja sakta hai, aur agla support zone test karega.
3. Upar ki taraf, agar price resistance zone todta hai, to market bullish ho sakta hai aur agla target 0.65700 ke kareeb ho sakta hai.

Conclusion:
Is waqt market bearish zone mein hai, lekin oversold conditions ki wajah se ek temporary upward correction ki umeed hai. Aap ko confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye aur tabhi position lena chahiye. Risk management ka zaroor khayal rakhein aur stop loss use karein taake kisi unexpected move se bacha ja sake.
Trading ka har faisla market ke analysis aur confirmation signals ke basis par karna chahiye. Zaida better hai ke impulsive trades se gurez kiya jaye.