ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

### AUD/USD Currency Pair Ki Pricing Behavior Ka Tajziya

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing behavior ke tajziye par hai. Filhal, ye currency pair niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, char ghante ke chart par price cloud, Kijun-sen, aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai, aur "dead cross" ka process chal raha hai.

Bollinger Bands niche ki taraf jhuke hue hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes ghat rahe hain, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai. Trend filter oscillator bhi crimson rang mein hai, jo bears ki barhti hui dominance ko darust karta hai. Bechne ki strategy abhi bhi pehle number par hai.

Agar price aur niche jaati hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko paar karte hain, to quotes aur bhi niche ja sakte hain, jo 0.6560 tak pahunchegi. Mujhe umeed hai ke ye level toot jayega, aur downward trend continue karega, jo 0.6605 tak le ja sakta hai aur shayad 0.6557 tak bhi, jo channel ki lower boundary ke nazdeek hai.

Medium term ke liye, meri nazar 0.6458 aur 0.6349 levels par hai### Is Hafte Ki Teesre Din Trading Session Ka Tajziya
Is hafte ke teesre din trading session mein, market ki halat phir se halka sa neeche ki taraf gayi, lekin ye itni gehri nahi thi. Agar hum hafte ke shuruati trading ka jaiza lein, toh kuch aise pehlu hain jo dekhne layak hain, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish koshish jo bohot gehra tha aur sab se uncha price zone chhod gaya.

Price ki kami ka agle trading faisle par asar hoga, kyunki price bearish hone se pehle, pichle hafte mein market mein consolidation hui thi. Pichle August mein, market ka rujhan bullish tha aur kaafi actively chal raha tha. Mere andaze ke mutabiq, agla rujhan phir se bullish ho sakta hai.

Aaj ke trading mein jo harkat hui hai, woh pehle mahine ke bullish trend ke kamzor hone ke baad se stable nahi hai. Market par bechne walon ne daira daalna shuru kiya hai. Yeh achha hoga agar hum pichle kuch dinon ki market halat ko dekhain, jahan girawat ka mauqa hai, kyunki bullish trend ko jaari rakhne mein wo nakam rahe.

Candlestick ki harkat ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi support level 0.6700 ke nazdeek kaafi acha chal raha hai, yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke bearish trend agge barh sakta hai agar bechne wala support level ko tod de.

Is hafte ke liye AUD/USD pair ke liye, main abhi bhi bearish market ke mauqe par optimistic hoon, kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein neeche ki taraf chal rahi hai bina kisi khaas rukawat ke buyers ki taraf se..

AUD/USD H-1 ka technical analysis
Mai ne 1-hour chart par is pair ka mutaala kiya hai aur ye andaza lagaya hai ke yeh ek acha waqt ho sakta hai buying ka. Mere kuch daleel is ke haqq me hain ke long position open ki ja sakti hai:

1. Price MA200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ke upward momentum ka ishara hai.
2. Guzishta din ke dosray hisse me, instrument ki trading aagaz se zyada upar thi aur din ke aakhir tak bhi upar hi raha.
3. Market prices Bollinger Bands ke upper limit ke qareeb hain, jo ek upward trend aur asset ke barhne ka imkaan zahir karti hain.
4. Mai trading ke liye Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka bhi istimaal karta hoon jise 14 per set karta hoon. Agar RSI overbought (70 se zyada) ya oversold (30 se kam) condition zahir kare, to mai trade nahi karta. Is dauraniye me, RSI kaafi behtareen value dikhata hai jo ke buying ke liye theek hai.
5. Targets ke liye, mai apna take profit Fibo level 211% par set karunga, jo ke 0.69400 price level ke mutabiq hai. Agar zyada profit chahiye hoga, to mai agle Fibo targets tak jaaunga.

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AUD/USD H-4 ka technical analysis

AUD/USD pair ke liye, prices ke barhne ka imkaan hai. 4-hour chart par pair ek upward trend dikhata hai, jo ke Nichimoku indicator lines ko bhi test kar chuka hai. Kruzenshtern line ka angle bhi ab kamzor nahi lagta. Marlin bhi ek uptrend area me dakhil ho chuka hai. Sab kuch yeh dikhata hai ke progress jari hai.

Tajweez: Jab tak trend reverse na ho, long position rakhi ja sakti hai. Stop loss 0.6827 support ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, lekin ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhein.

### Canadian Dollar Ka Jaiza

**Chhoti Harkaat Budhwar Ko**

Budhwar ko Canadian dollar ne foreign exchange bazaar mein chhoti harkaat dikhai. European session ke doran, USD/CAD jo 1.3555 par trade ho raha tha, ismein 0.08% ki halka kami dekhi gayi. Yeh thodi si stability is baat ka ishara hai ke bazar ke hissedaron ka intezar hai ahem maashi khabron ka.

**Bank of Canada Ka Interest Rate Faisla**

Bank of Canada (BoC) apni monetary policy rate ka faisla jaldi sunane wala hai. Analysts ko umeed hai ke 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut kiya ja sakta hai, jo BoC ka teesra musalsal cut hoga. Yeh kisi bhi bade central bank ki taraf se aakhri waqt mein sabse bara rate cut hoga, jo Canada ki maashi masail ko darshata hai.

**Maashi Context**

BoC ka maqsad saal ke baqi hisson mein aur 2025 tak rates ko ghataana hai taake Canada ki sust maashi ko support kiya ja sake. Bank growth ko stimulate karne par zyada tawajjo de raha hai, jabke inflation ko 1% se 3% ke target range mein rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh baat ahmiyat ki haamil hai ke inflation pichhle saat mahinon se is range mein raha hai, jo ke qeematon mein kuch stability dikhata hai.

**Federal Reserve Ke Saath Taqablay**

U.S. Federal Reserve ne bhi aane wale mahino mein rate cuts ka ishaara diya hai. Fed ke aamal ka asar BoC ke faislay par hoga, isliye BoC ka cut aise waqt mein ho sakta hai jab dono central banks ke darmiyan zyada farq nahi hoga. Canadian dollar ki mazbooti ka izhar isse hota hai ke yeh August mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein 2.2% barh gaya, jo yeh darshata hai ke BoC ko in rate cuts se Canadian dollar par koi khaas khatra mehsoos nahi ho raha.

**Investors Ki Umeedain**

Investors BoC ke rate faislay ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain aur rate cuts ki future trajectory ke bare mein bhi jaanne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Maashi halat abhi nazuk hai, kyun ke labor market bhi kamzori dikhata hai, jo Federal Reserve ke trends ke saath milta julta hai. Is wajah se BoC ko ek naazuk balance banaana hoga—inflation ko ghataate hue labor market ya maashi nasha kash mein koi nuqsan nahi pahunchana.

**Employment Data Ka Asar**

Is hafte, U.S. employment data release hoga jo Fed ke rate cut strategy ko shape de sakta hai. CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ki probability 70% se kam hoke 59% tak aa gayi hai, jabke half-point cut ki umeed 30% se barh kar 41% ho gayi hai. Aaj, U.S. ka JOLTS job vacancies report bhi aane wala hai, jo umeed hai ke 8.18 million se ghat kar lagbhag 8.10 million tak pohonchega. Yeh employment data Fed aur BoC ke aane wale aamal ko samajhne ke liye ahem hai.

**Khatima**

Aakhri taur par, Canadian dollar ki stability, jo ke potential rate cuts ke darmiyan hai, broader maashi challenges ko darshati hai. Bank of Canada ka maqsad maashi ko support karna hai jabke inflation aur labor market ki sehat ko bhi manage karna hai. Aane wale rate faislay aur U.S. employment data releases bazar ke jazbat aur currency movements par ahm asar daalenge.

AUD/USD ke current price behaviour par analysis karte hain. Pichle hafte Australian dollar ne hourly chart par kafi ahem harkat dikhai. Monday ko growth ke sath shuruaat hui. Resistance level 0.67259 par consolidation hua, jisse ek buy signal trigger hua 0.67889 resistance ki taraf. Price ne Tuesday aur Wednesday ko lagatar izafa kiya, aur jaise ke umeed thi, 0.67889 resistance ko touch kiya. Wednesday ko price ne is level se bounce kiya aur wapas 0.67259 support par aa gaya. Thursday ko, price ne dobara 0.67889 resistance ko break kiya aur ek aur buy signal generate kiya 0.68521 resistance ki taraf. Thursday ko bhi yeh signal play out hua, aur price 0.68521 resistance aur 0.67889 support ke beech trade karta raha. Agar 0.68521 resistance break hota hai, toh bullish target 0.69148 ho sakta hai. Waisa agar 0.67889 support break hota hai, toh bearish target 0.67529 hoga. Pichle hafte pairs mein buying hoti rahi. Weekly chart par recent sideways movement nazar aata hai. Agle hafte ke liye hum technical analysis karenge aur dekhenge ke bullish trend jari rahega ya koi alternative scenario tayar karna hoga. Moving averages strong buy signals dikha rahe hain, aur technical indicators isko reinforce karte hain. Is liye, lagta hai ke pair agle hafte bhi upward movement karega. Agle hafte ke liye kuch ahem news events bhi hain. Australia se news kaafi neutral hai, aur Reserve Bank of Australia ka faisla Tuesday ko 07:29 par expected hai. Iski buniyad par lagta hai ke hum agle hafte sideways movement dekhenge, jisme buying 0.6879 resistance level tak ja sakti hai aur sales ka target 0.6759 support level hoga. Movement ka pattern zyadatar sideways hi rahega.
AUD/USD exchange rate 0.6724 ke aas paas fluctuate kar raha hai. Thursday raat ya usse pehle market ne 0.6730 level tak surge kiya tha. Monday ka opening price, Thursday raat ke closing price se zyada tha. Is hafte ke price movement mein koshish ho rahi hai ke price 0.6750 level ke upar break kare. Yeh mumkin hai ke AUD/USD pair wapas positive trend ki taraf laut aaye. 4-hour chart pe dekha jaye to guzishta raat price action kuch ghanton tak positive raha, jaise ke pichle chand hafton mein dekhne ko mila tha. Lekin thodi der baad price ne decline kiya, jo ke market correction ka ishara deta hai. Overall, market trend zyadatar upward hai, lekin range kaafi narrow hai.

AUD/USD Analysis

Wednesday ko ek tez girawat ke baad, AUD/USD aur doosray risk assets ne Thursday ko apni stability wapas hasil kar li, jisme AUD/USD 0.6900 ke upar trade kar raha tha aur ek saal ke unchay level ke qareeb tha. Yeh khabar aayi ke China ki Politburo ne garib tareen shehrion ke liye imdadi rakam barhane ka wada kiya hai aur local hakoomaton ko wo paisa faraham karne ka irada rakha hai jo unhein gharon ke qeemat mein mazeed girawat se bachne ke liye chahiye. Is khabar ne AUD/USD ko taizi se upar uthne mein madad di. Isse pehle, China ke Markazi Bank ne property market ko stabilise karne aur masroofiyat ke rawaiye ko behtar banane ke liye kai stimulus programs ka aaghaz kiya tha. In kaamo ka maksad property sector ko dubara khada karna aur stock market ko mazboot karna tha.

Jab Australian dollar taqatwar hota gaya, copper ke daam taqriban $4.70 par close huye, jab ke iron ore ke daam $94 per tonne se neeche qaim rahe. Wednesday ko US dollar mein ek significant rally ke baad, dollar ki asar-andazi mein farq aaya, jis ne AUD/USD pair ko mazeed support diya. Reserve Bank of Australia ke August CPI data ne 2.7% ka izafa dikhaya, jo ke pehle 3.5% ke izafay se kam tha. RBA ke Governor Bullock ne kaha ke is dafa ka data "kaafi volatile" tha aur isme tamam cheezen shamil nahi thein, unlike quarterly inflation data. RBA ne apne paishgoi ko dobara se dauraya ke inflation "payedar" taur par 2-3% ke target range tak 2026 tak nahi pohonchega.

Agar AUD/USD barhawa jari rakhta hai, to yeh 25 September 2024 ke high 0.6908 ko test kar sakta hai, aur uske baad 0.7000 ke critical mark tak ja sakta hai. Lekin 2024 ka sab se neeche ka level 0.6347 (5 August) tak pohonchne se pehle, AUD/USD pehle 11 September ke low 0.6622 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke ek significant 200-day moving average ke saath supported hai.



4-hour chart mein upward momentum mazid mazboot hota dikh raha hai. Is liye, 0.6908 pehla resistance level hai, uske baad 0.6920 aur 0.7024 aate hain. Pehla support downside par 0.6817 ke qareeb hai, jab ke 100-day SMA 0.6753 par hai aur 55-day SMA 0.6804 par. Relative Strength Index 61 se upar chala gaya hai.

**Current Analysis of AUD/USD Pair**

AUD/USD currency pair filhal 0.6885 ke level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Ye girawat dheere dheere hui hai, jismein pichle kuch hafton mein pair lagataar girta raha hai. Is bearish jazbe ke peechay kuch wajahen hain, jismein global economic conditions, commodity prices mein utar chadhaav, aur geopolitical uncertainties shamil hain jo Australian dollar ki performance ko affect kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, US dollar bhi strong hai, jo positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke expectations se support hasil kar raha hai, jo AUD par zyada pressure daal raha hai.

**Recent Market Dynamics**

Halankeh maujooda bearish trend chal raha hai, lekin kuch ishare hain ke AUD/USD pair agle dinon mein significant movement dekh sakta hai. Filhal market dheere pace par chal raha hai aur volatility kam hai; lekin reversal ya volatility ke barhne ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Key factors jo is movement ko drive kar sakte hain wo hain Australia aur US se aanewale economic data releases. Important indicators jaise employment figures, inflation reports, aur central bank policy statements monetary policy aur economic growth directions par clarity faraham kar sakte hain, jo strong market reactions ko janam de sakte hain.

**Impact of Commodity Dependencies**

Australian economy commodities ke exports par bohat zyada dependent hai, khaaskar iron ore aur doosri raw materials par. Ye dependence ka matlab hai ke agar global demand mein koi significant changes ya supply disruptions hoti hain, to ye AUD/USD pair mein tezi se movements ko janam de sakta hai. China ki economic health se related khabrein khaaskar ahem hain, kyunki China Australia ka major trading partner hai. China ki economy mein koi developments, AUD ki performance ko khud se khaas asar kar sakti hain.

**Conclusion**

Aakhir mein, jabke AUD/USD pair filhal 0.6885 ke level par bearish trend mein hai, market shayad significant movement ke qareeb hai. Traders ko key economic indicators aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye market sentiment mein badlaav ya breakout ka sabab ban sakte hain. Local aur global economic news par nazar rakhna aane wale waqt mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hoga.

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke live evaluation se mutaliq hai. Market mein buyers ki koshishain nazar aa rahi hain, jahan AUD/USD ka uptrend four-hour chart par wazeh hai, jo 0.6625 ke support level se shuru hota hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, kharidne ke liye saaf isharaat hain, jahan do indicators isay confirm karte hain. MACD oscillator histogram ne negative zone se shift hotay hue zero ko cross kiya aur positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Sab nishanain yeh batati hain ke price ka barhna 0.6824 level se aage barhne ka imkaan hai. Agar price is faaslay ka kam az kam aadha hissa cover kare aur extended position munafa dila de, toh stop loss ko breakeven par le jana behtar hoga. Jab AUD/USD pair resistance area 0.6794 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, toh 0.6767 par sirf ek chhoti rukawat hai, jise candle body ne kuch had tak paar kar liya hai. Agle dino mein is candle ka closing behad ahem hoga.

**Canadian Dollar Ka Analysis**

**Chhoti Movement Budhwar Ko**

Budhwar ko, Canadian dollar foreign exchange market mein chhoti movement dikhata raha. European session ke doran, USD/CAD pair 1.3555 par trade ho raha tha, jo 0.08% ki halka kami darshata hai. Yeh relatively stable movement yeh indicate karta hai ke market ke hissedaron ko key economic news ka intezaar hai.

**Bank of Canada Ka Rate Faisla**

Bank of Canada (BoC) apni monetary policy rate ka faisla jald hi announce karne wala hai. Analysts ko umeed hai ke 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut kiya jayega, jo BoC ka teesra lagataar cut hoga. Yeh kisi bhi bade central bank ki taraf se aakhri waqt mein kiya gaya sabse bara rate cut darshata hai, jo Canada ki economy ke samne aane wale challenges ko highlight karta hai.

**Economic Context**

BoC ka maqsad saal ke baaki hisson mein aur 2025 tak rates ko kam karna hai taake Canada ki sust economy ko support kiya ja sake. Bank ka focus growth ko stimulate karne par hai, jabke economic performance ke concerns ko address karte hue inflation ko apne target range 1% se 3% ke andar rakhna hai. Yeh khaas baat hai ke inflation pichle saat mahine is range ke andar raha hai, jo prices mein kuch stabilization darshata hai.

**Federal Reserve ke Saath Tcomparison**

U.S. Federal Reserve ne bhi agle kuch mahine ya agle saal mein potential rate cuts ka ishara diya hai. Fed ke actions BoC ke faislon par asar daal sakte hain, isliye agar BoC rate cut kare to is se dono central banks ke beech significant divergence nahi hoga. Canadian dollar ki resilience ko August mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay 2.2% ki badhoti se bhi darshaya gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke BoC shayad in rate cuts se Canadian dollar par hone wale potential pressures ko lekar zyada concerned nahi hai.

**Investor Expectations**

Investors BoC ke rate faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur agle rate cuts ke future trajectory ke baare mein bhi insights chahte hain. Economic situation abhi bhi naazuk hai, labor market mein kamzori ke asar nazar aa rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve ke trends se milte-julte hain. Yeh dikhata hai ke BoC ek naazuk balance banane ki koshish kar raha hai—inflation ko kam karna bina labor market ko zyada nuqsan pahunchaaye ya economy ko recession mein daale.

**Employment Data Ka Asar**

Is hafte, U.S. employment data release hoga jo Fed ke rate cut strategy ko shape karne mein madadgar hoga. CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ka probability 70% se 59% tak kam ho gaya hai, jabke half-point cut ki odds 30% se 41% tak badh gayi hain. Aaj baad mein, U.S. JOLTS job vacancies report bhi release karega, jo umeed hai ke July mein 8.18 million se gir kar lagbhag 8.10 million tak pahunchega. Yeh employment data dono Fed aur BoC ke potential actions ko samajhne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai.

**Summary**

Nateejatan, Canadian dollar ki stability potential rate cuts ke darmiyan broader economic challenges ko darshata hai, jabke Bank of Canada economy ko support karte hue inflation aur labor market health ko manage karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Aane wala rate faisla aur U.S. employment data releases market sentiment aur currency movements par significant asar daalenge.

Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon

AUD/USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day

AUD/USD ka jorha apne lambay waqt ke sath 0.68 ke ird gird muqam par muqam ho raha hai. Is mustahkmi se nikalna agle rastay ka pata dega—ya to pichle saal ki bulandiyaon tak pohanchna ya phir kuch mawaqay ke liye neeche ki taraf waapas jana. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye do options aane wale asraat par mabni hain. Federal Reserve ka achanak 50 points ka kamm hona asal mein pehle hi inhe shaamil kar chuka hai. Ab bazar doosri markazi bankon ke amal par nazar rakhega. Bank of Australia ka faisla mangal ko aana hai. Halankeh unse koi tabdeeli ki tawaqqo nahi hai, lekin chunaav ki surat mein hamesha koi na koi heran kun faisla ho sakta hai (jaise Fed se dekha gaya). Is liye, wo mangal tak waise hi ruk sakte hain, aur phir harqat shuru kar sakte hain. Is dauran, Aussie futures par positions ziyata ho rahi hain, jo yeh darust karti hai ke long positions li ja rahi hain. Is liye, humein Aussie ki taqat mein izafa ki tawaqqo hai. Lekin sab kuch ye dekhega ke players kitne azm mein hain. Agar yahan fixation hoti hai to jorha neeche ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai. Jaise ke hamesha, humein apne haath dekhne hain. Is buniyad par, ye currency pair is waqt nasab hai, aur is se nikalne ka raasta agle kuch waqt ka pata dega. Agar hum dekhein, to AUD/USD pair ke liye sab kuch nasab hai, is ma'ni mein ke upar ki taraf harkat jaari hai. Humne 0.6825 ke ilaaqay mein nazdeek ke maqasid ko haasil kar liya hai, halankeh ab tak hum is se upar nahi gaye. Lekin neeche ki taraf waapas jaane ki koshishain koi hasil nahi de rahi, kam az kam is liye ke hum 68th figure ke upar band hue hain. Aur yahan yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum yeh dekhein ke is se bhi upar ke maqasid hain, jo 0.69 ke ilaaqay mein hain. Lekin is ke liye ek acha rollback ab bhi zaroori hai. Aur asal mein, agla hafta bhi kaafi gati kadi ka hoga, kyunke wahan bohot si ahem statistics aani hain, jin mein States ka GDP bhi shamil hai. Aur Bank of Australia ki meeting ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Halankeh main khud ab bhi upar ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin ek correction ki zaroorat hai

# AUDUSD Pair Ki Price Movement AUDUSD pair ki price movement 0.6839 ki resistance ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai taake apni upward rally ko jari rakh sake. Lekin, jab bullish trend direction ho, to price ke upar jane ki sambhavna zyada hoti hai. Magar agar price 0.6839 ki resistance par false break ya rejection ka samna kare, to ye 0.6795 ki minor support ki taraf correct ho sakti hai. Dekhne par ye pata chalta hai ke price sirf EMA 50 ke aas paas thodi correction karti hai bina kisi neeche girne ke SMA 200 tak pahunche. Is se yeh kehna mumkin hai ke maujooda bullish trend ka direction kaafi mazboot hai kyunki downward correction itni neeche nahi hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki roshni mein, uptrend momentum kamzor hota dikhai de raha hai. Positive area mein volume histogram level 0 ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo histogram ko negative area mein cross karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Stochastic indicator ki nazar mein, AUDUSD pair ke price movement ko upar jaane mein madad milti hai, kyunki parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross kar chuke hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke price decline selling saturation point tak pahunch chuki hai. Agar hum price pattern structure dekhen, to ye higher high - higher low ki condition mein hai. Jab tak price 0.6784 ke low par structure break nahi hota, jo ke invalidation level hai, tab tak price ka increase rally jaari reh sakta hai.

### Setup Entry Position:

Trading options agar trend direction ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai aur price pattern structure higher high - higher low hai, to sirf BUY moment ka intezaar karna chahiye. Entry position point minor support 0.6795 par rakha jata hai. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross karte hain, jaise pehle ki history mein. AO indicator histogram ko green par wapas aana chahiye saath hi volume ko level 0 ya positive area ke upar widen karna chahiye taake uptrend momentum mazboot rahe. Take profit ka target 0.6839 ki resistance ya 0.6856 ki high price par rakha ja sakta hai, jabke stop loss 0.6748 ki support par rakha jata hai.Click image for larger versions

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour assessment par markaz hai. Yeh pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai.
Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term mein jaari reh sakta hai

European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai. Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect

### AUDUSD Pair Ki Price Movement
AUDUSD pair ki price movement 0.6839 ki resistance ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai taake apni upward rally ko jari rakh sake. Lekin, jab bullish trend direction ho, to price ke upar jane ki sambhavna zyada hoti hai. Magar agar price 0.6839 ki resistance par false break ya rejection ka samna kare, to ye 0.6795 ki minor support ki taraf correct ho sakti hai. Dekhne par ye pata chalta hai ke price sirf EMA 50 ke aas paas thodi correction karti hai bina kisi neeche girne ke SMA 200 tak pahunche. Is se yeh kehna mumkin hai ke maujooda bullish trend ka direction kaafi mazboot hai kyunki downward correction itni neeche nahi hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki roshni mein, uptrend momentum kamzor hota dikhai de raha hai. Positive area mein volume histogram level 0 ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo histogram ko negative area mein cross karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Stochastic indicator ki nazar mein, AUDUSD pair ke price movement ko upar jaane mein madad milti hai, kyunki parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross kar chuke hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke price decline selling saturation point tak pahunch chuki hai. Agar hum price pattern structure dekhen, to ye higher high - higher low ki condition mein hai. Jab tak price 0.6784 ke low par structure break nahi hota, jo ke invalidation level hai, tab tak price ka increase rally jaari reh sakta hai.

### Setup Entry Position:

Trading options agar trend direction ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai aur price pattern structure higher high - higher low hai, to sirf BUY moment ka intezaar karna chahiye. Entry position point minor support 0.6795 par rakha jata hai. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross karte hain, jaise pehle ki history mein. AO indicator histogram ko green par wapas aana chahiye saath hi volume ko level 0 ya positive area ke upar widen karna chahiye taake uptrend momentum mazboot rahe. Take profit ka target 0.6839 ki resistance ya 0.6856 ki high price par rakha ja sakta hai, jabke stop loss 0.6748 ki support par rakha jata hai