ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

### Profit Potential in AUD/USD

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka jaiza lenge. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart par price 0.6912 ke upar stagnate hui hai, jo ke ek upward trend se downward trend ki taraf shift ka izhar karta hai. Is liye, short positions lena faida mand lag raha hai, aur maine kuch relevant sell signals identify kiye hain. Do potential scenarios nazar aate hain. Pehla, MCD histogram positive se negative zone mein chala gaya hai, aur RSI oscillator ne bhi downward turn dikhaya hai. Yeh analysis is baat par mabni hai ke price 0.6743 level ko test karne ke baad giregi. Agar price expected distance ka aadha hissa tay kar leti hai aur short position munafa deti hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par adjust karna behtar hoga. Yeh Australian dollar ke liye ek temporary bearish outlook ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin jab tak pair is lower low ke upar rahega, rebound aur nayi bullish trend ka imkaan barqarar rahega. Recent uptrend ke baad pair ka exposure kam karna behtar ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh naye highs ki taraf wapas aane ki tayyari karega.

Four-hour time frame ke hawale se, main AUD/USD pair par prevailing sentiment se ittefaq rakhta hun. Ek lambi upward movement ke baad, yeh correction phase mein dakhil hota nazar aa raha hai. Peak ab 0.6911 area tak shift ho gaya hai, jab Reserve Bank of Australia se optimistic news ne traders ki confidence ko temporarily boost kiya. Iske bawajood, buyers 70th level ke upar control barqarar nahi rakh sake, jo ke shayad ek false breakout ki taraf ishara karta hai. Sellers ne peak ka faida uthaya, aur upward trend ko ulat diya.

Ab yeh dekhna interesting hoga ke yeh correction kitni dair tak chalegi. Pair ke liye upward channel 0.6651 se shuru hua, jahan buyers ne support establish kiya, jo potential gains ke liye ek base banata hai. Ab, sellers channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas consolidation hasil karne par focus kar rahe hain, khaaskar 0.6811-0.681 ke mark par.

Is halat mein, traders ko zaroori hai ke woh har tarah ke indicators aur levels ko dhyan mein rakhein, taake behtar trading decisions le sakein. AUD/USD ka halat dekhte hue, samajhdaari se trade karna chahiye, taki market ke fluctuations ka faida utha sakein.

AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai. In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai. AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai.
Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai

AUD/USD ka jorha apne lambay waqt ke sath 0.68 ke ird gird muqam par muqam ho raha hai. Is mustahkmi se nikalna agle rastay ka pata dega—ya to pichle saal ki bulandiyaon tak pohanchna ya phir kuch mawaqay ke liye neeche ki taraf waapas jana. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye do options aane wale asraat par mabni hain. Federal Reserve ka achanak 50 points ka kamm hona asal mein pehle hi inhe shaamil kar chuka hai. Ab bazar doosri markazi bankon ke amal par nazar rakhega. Bank of Australia ka faisla mangal ko aana hai. Halankeh unse koi tabdeeli ki tawaqqo nahi hai, lekin chunaav ki surat mein hamesha koi na koi heran kun faisla ho sakta hai (jaise Fed se dekha gaya). Is liye, wo mangal tak waise hi ruk sakte hain, aur phir harqat shuru kar sakte hain. Is dauran, Aussie futures par positions ziyata ho rahi hain, jo yeh darust karti hai ke long positions li ja rahi hain. Is liye, humein Aussie ki taqat mein izafa ki tawaqqo hai. Lekin sab kuch ye dekhega ke players kitne azm mein hain. Agar yahan fixation hoti hai to jorha neeche ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai. Jaise ke hamesha, humein apne haath dekhne hain. Is buniyad par, ye currency pair is waqt nasab hai, aur is se nikalne ka raasta agle kuch waqt ka pata dega. Agar hum dekhein, to AUD/USD pair ke liye sab kuch nasab hai, is ma'ni mein ke upar ki taraf harkat jaari hai. Humne 0.6825 ke ilaaqay mein nazdeek ke maqasid ko haasil kar liya hai, halankeh ab tak hum is se upar nahi gaye. Lekin neeche ki taraf waapas jaane ki koshishain koi hasil nahi de rahi, kam az kam is liye ke hum 68th figure ke upar band hue hain. Aur yahan yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum yeh dekhein ke is se bhi upar ke maqasid hain, jo 0.69 ke ilaaqay mein hain. Lekin is ke liye ek acha rollback ab bhi zaroori hai. Aur asal mein, agla hafta bhi kaafi gati kadi ka hoga, kyunke wahan bohot si ahem statistics aani hain, jin mein States ka GDP bhi shamil hai. Aur Bank of Australia ki meeting ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Halankeh main khud ab bhi upar ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin ek correction ki zaroorat hai

AUD/USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai

pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai.
Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term mein jaari reh sakta hai

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour assessment par markaz hai. Yeh pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai.

Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term mein jaari reh sakta hai

AUD/USD Price Forecast

Aaj, US data calendar kaafi busy hai. Teesra GDP/PCE second-quarter print koi surprise nahi dega, jabke jobless claims shayad zyada market-moving release ban sakte hain, saath hi August ke durable goods orders aur leading index bhi maayne rakhte hain. Fedspeak ke pehlu se, Chair Powell pre-recorded opening remarks dene wale hain, aur iske ilawa Collins, Bowman, Williams, Barr, Cook, aur Kashkari jaise speakers ki ek lambi list hai. Har member ke Dot Plot submission par kuch extra insights milne chahiye.

AUD/USD jor 0.6860 ke level ke aas paas ascending channel ke lower boundary ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai. 14-day RSI 50 ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai ke abhi bhi mazboot hai. Agar jor channel mein waapas aata hai, to ye bullish bias ko aur mazboot karega.

AUD/USD apni pichli session ki losses se waapas aata hua, Thursday ko European hours mein 0.6860 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ka technical analysis dikhata hai ke jor ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar channel mein waapas aana kaamyaab hota hai, to isse bullish outlook ko mazbooti milegi.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ki tasdiq karta hai. Agar RSI 70 ki taraf aur aage badhta hai, to isse pair ke upside trend ko aur bhi mazbooti milegi.

Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD jor ascending channel ke lower boundary ko 0.6860 level par test kar raha hai. Agar channel mein successful rebound hota hai, to ye jor ko upper boundary ki taraf jaane mein madad dega, jo 0.6960 level ke aas paas hai.

Support ki baat karein, to AUD/USD jor ko turant support nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 0.6815 ke level ke aas paas mil sakta hai. Agla key support level psychological barrier par 0.6700 hai. Agar is level se neeche girta hai, to ye jor ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, jo iski six-week low 0.6622 ke taraf hoga.

Akhir mein, agar AUD/USD jor channel mein waapas aata hai, to isse bullish momentum ko support milega, lekin agar key support levels se neeche girta hai, to bearish outlook ban sakta hai. Traders ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake wo sahi trading decisions le sakein.

AUD/USD (Australian Dollar to US Dollar) ek popular currency pair hai jo forex market mein widely trade hoti hai. Is currency pair ka symbol AUD, Australian Dollar ke liye, aur USD, US Dollar ke liye use hota hai. Forex trading mein, AUD/USD ka matlab hota hai ke kitni US Dollars ka exchange ek Australian Dollar se hota hai.
Is pair ko "Aussie" bhi kaha jata hai, aur yeh duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se ek hai. AUD/USD ka value bohot factors per depend karta hai, jin mein economic indicators, interest rates, geopolitical developments, aur natural resources ka role shamil hota hai. Australia, ek resource-rich country hai jo iron ore, coal, aur gold jese raw materials ke production mein world leader hai. Yeh resources ka price directly Australian Dollar ki value ko influence karta hai.

Jab commodities prices barhte hain, to Australian Dollar strong hota hai, aur jab commodities prices girti hain, to AUD weak hota hai. Isi tarah, USA ka economic situation aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions bhi AUD/USD ko directly affect karte hain. Jab US economy strong hoti hai aur interest rates barhaye jate hain, to USD strong hota hai, aur AUD/USD pair ka value neeche aata hai.

AUD/USD ka trade karte waqt, traders ko yeh samajhna hota hai ke Australia aur US ke beech economic aur political relations ka bhi kafi asar hota hai. Agar trade agreements ya sanctions lagte hain, to yeh pair ki volatility ko barha sakte hain.

Is pair ki trading ke liye technical analysis aur fundamental analysis dono zaroori hain. Technical analysis mein traders charts ka use karke price trends aur patterns ko samajhte hain, jab ke fundamental analysis mein economic reports, like GDP growth, unemployment rate, aur inflation ke figures ko dekhte hain.

AUD/USD trading mein leverage ka bhi istimaal hota hai, lekin high leverage risk ko bhi barhata hai. Is liye, risk management strategies ka istimaal zaroori hai taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Forex market mein AUD/USD pair ko samajhna aur analyze karna traders ke liye faida mand hota hai, agar wo market dynamics ko theek tareeke se samajhte hain.

Spot price ne haal hi mein achi support hasil ki hai, jo ke doosre quarter mein mazboot wage growth data se barh gayi hai. Is positive trend ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko hawkish policy outlook apnane par majboor kiya. Pichle haftay ki meeting mein, RBA ne cash rate ko chheesri martaba 4.35% par barqarar rakha, taake inflation ko 2-3% ke target range mein wapas laya ja sake. Natiije mein, AUD/USD pair ab 0.6870 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

China se aane wale haal ki data ne market perceptions ko bhi asar kiya hai. Consumer Price Index (CPI) July mein saal dar saal 0.5% tak barh gaya, jo ke 0.3% ki umeed aur pichli reading 0.2% se zyada hai. Yeh izafa consumer sentiment aur economic stability mein potential shift ko darust karta hai, jo AUD ke liye ek supportive environment banata hai.

AUD/USD ke fundamentals yeh hain:

Price exchange rate, jo ke August ke shuru mein temporary decline ka shikaar hua tha, ab rebound ki nishaniyan de raha hai, jo ke char ghante aur daily charts par prolonged Japanese Hammer candlestick pattern ki shakal mein hai. Yeh technical indicator aksar trend reversal ka ishaara samjha jata hai, jo market sentiment mein potential shift ko darust karta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ka interest rates ko is waqt par barqarar rakhna unki prudent stance ko mazid barhata hai, jo inflationary pressures ko sambhalne aur achanak policy changes se bachne ka ehtiyaat hai.

Is darmiyan, U.S. Federal Reserve se aane wale insights bhi market expectations ko shape karne mein ek aham kirdar ada karte hain. Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne ongoing inflation risks aur robust labor market ka zikr kiya hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke Fed apni upcoming September meeting mein rates cut karne se hichkichah sakta hai. Yeh outlook AUD/USD dynamics ko mazid pechida bana raha hai jab investors global economic signals ko assess karte hain.

Daily Time Frame ka technical outlook yeh hai:

Sirf do din pehle, spot price ne surge kiya, jis par analysts ne 0.6820 level par upward momentum ki izafa dekha, aur target 0.6900 rakha. Iske baad, pair ne briefly 0.6910 ko touch kiya lekin phir ek tez pullback ka shikaar hua. Yeh fluctuations darust karti hain ke jab momentum barh raha tha, wo ab thoda aaraam raha gaya hai, aur ek critical support level 0.6799 par hai. Agar AUD is mark ke neeche break hota hai bina stabilizing ke, toh yeh aage ke declines ka ishaara de sakta hai.

Filhal, AUD/USD pair mein moderate bullish sentiment nazar aata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 range ke aas-paas neutral hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) green bars dikhata hai, jo potential upward movement ko darust karta hai. Key support levels 0.6740 aur 0.6700 par hain, jabke resistance 0.6940 ke aas-paas hai. In levels ko monitor karna pair ki trajectory ke forecast karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

**Bazaar ki Halat ka Jaiza:**
Wednesday ki bazaar ki halat ne ek bullish candle ka janm diya hai, jiska chhota body aur lambi upper shadow hai. Price girti hui nazar aa rahi hai, jo daily resistance area 0.6819 mein strong rejection ka nishan hai, jabke support 0.6749 bechne wale pressure ke liye rukawat hai. High aur low prices 0.6823 aur 0.6745 par bani hain. Is daily time frame mein, price sirf EMA 200 ke upar nahi, balki EMA 633 daily se bhi upar hai, jo bullish trend ko validate karta hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 bhi upar ki taraf hain, jo price flow ki positive direction ko darshata hai. Lekin, kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue, 0.6819 ka strong resistance buyers ke liye ek naya challenge ban sakta hai.

Isi waqt, daily stochastic ne ye dikhaya hai ke market conditions overbought hain, jo short term mein corrective movements ki gunjaish deta hai. Filhal, buyers ke liye sabse bada sawal ye hai ke kya price Wednesday ki close price se upar ja sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to target 0.6819 - 0.6823 ke area ki taraf hoga. Agar ye area tak pohanchne aur penetrate karne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to rally shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin agar price close price se upar nahi ja pati aur daily support 0.6749 ko penetrate karti hai, to price EMA 633 daily line tak 0.6703 ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Bechnay walon ka safar abhi tak daily trend ko badalne ke liye door hai, isliye agar bechnay walon ko koi mauka milta hai to pehle limited target ke sath opportunity lena behtar hoga. Is halat mein, buyers aur sellers dono ko ek hi mauka hai, halanke abhi trend bullish period mein hai.

AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai. In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai. AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price

Aaj ka din price movement mein ek corrective phase dekha gaya hai, jab ke buyers ne Asian session ke aghaz par apna dabo phir se bana liya. Wednesday ka open price 0.6892 par set hua, aur prices ne apni qareebi resistance 0.6912 ko touch karne ki koshish ki, lekin us area mein resistance ke baad price ulta chalna shuru ho gaya. Kamzori ka yeh phase abhi bhi limited hai, jahan prices dheere dheere daily open level tak wapis aayen. Yeh area ab successfully cross ho gaya hai, aur ab price apni qareebi support 0.6872 ko test kar raha hai, jo ke EMA 36 H1 ke aas-paas hai. Agar is area mein breakout hota hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ka downward crossover banta hai, toh yeh prices ke liye ek short-term correction ka mauqa bana sakta hai. Tuesday ke trading mein buyers ne prices ko rally ki taraf wapis le jaane ka yaqeen rakha. Halanke sellers ne thoda resistance diya jab price 0.6872 se neechay 0.6829 par aaya, lekin jab price 0.6817 tak pohch kar wapas bounce hua toh ye rejection ka sign tha EMA 36 H1 line se. Uske baad price phir se bullish path par aaya, jahan EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi positive direction mein stretch kar rahe thay, price ne EMA 200 H1 ko bhi cross kiya aur high 0.6894 tak pohcha. Tuesday ka trading bullish close hua 0.6894 par, jo ke ek perfect bullish candle ka indication tha continuation ke liye. High aur low prices 0.6896 aur 0.6817 par bane. Yeh condition daily time frame mein bullish trend ko dubara validate karti hai. Price EMA 200 aur EMA 633 daily se door ho raha hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily upward direction mein stretch kar rahe hain. Daily stochastic overbought market ka signal de raha hai, lekin Dollar ki kamzori ke sath price ka buland hona jari hai. Agar kal ka high buyers todte hain, toh strengthening 0.6929 se 0.7139 ke daily resistance tak ja sakti hai. Sellers momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain is area ke aas-paas. Wahan agar high penetrate nahi hota, toh corrective movement ke chances hain jahan price 0.6851 tak ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Studies

AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza hamari guftagu ka ahm maqsad hoga. Filhal ke nazar mein, AUD/USD pair ke order book mein buy orders ka bhari bharakum hai. Lekin, main is currency pair ke liye ek potential downward trend ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo ke 0.6854 level par buyers ki concentration se support hota hai.

Trading strategy ke tor par, 0.6854 ke nazdeek ek buy position lena sochiye, pehla profit target 0.6731 par rakhte hue aur stop loss ko 0.6881 ke thoda upar lagaiye. Agar price 0.6881 ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh humein dobara jaiza lena padega aur alternative scenarios ko explore karna hoga.

AUD/USD pair hourly chart par uptrend mein hai, jo ke 134-period moving average ke upar hai. Yeh upward trend ki tasdiq karta hai. Chhote time frame par dekha jaye toh price 134-period moving average ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo prevailing trend mein ek possible correction darshata hai. Price 0.6881 ke upar stabilize hone par, uske baad kharidne ke mauqe milne ki sambhavna hai.

AUD/USD Four-Hour Chart Analysis

Chaar ghante ke chart par, price ka 0.6913 se rebound AUD/USD pair ke trend ko bullish se bearish mein shift kar raha hai. Elliott Wave method ka istemal karte hue, ek corrective wave unfold ho rahi hai. Bearish scenario mein, technical indicators, jisme computer analysis bhi shamil hai, selling signals ko darshate hain, jinka main istemal karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

CPI positive zone se negative zone mein aa gaya hai, jabke momentum oscillator line neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Strategy yeh hai ke price 38.3% aur 50.1% Fibonacci retracement levels ko paar kare, jiska explicit target 0.6803 aur 0.6769 hai. Pehle level par, kisi bhi profitable short positions ka aadha hissa close karna behtar hoga, aur doosre level par, baaki aadha hissa profit ke liye close kiya ja sakta hai.

Agar price 0.6781 ke neeche girta hai, toh sell scenario relevant ho sakta hai. Filhal, kharidne ki taraf rujhan hai taake hourly chart ke uptrend ke sath taluq rakha ja sake.

AUD/USD Price Studies

Hamari guftagu ka mauzu AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hai. Filhal, AUD/USD pair ka outlook buy orders ke zyada hone ki taraf darshata hai. Magar, mujhe is currency pair ke liye ek potential downward trend ki umeed hai, jo 0.6854 level par buyers ke concentration se supported hai.

Trading strategy ke tor par, 0.6854 ke aas paas buy position lene ka soch sakte hain, jiska pehla profit target 0.6731 rakhein aur stop loss 0.6881 ke just upar lagayein. Agar price 0.6881 ke upar consolidate hota hai, toh humein reassess karna padega aur alternative scenarios ko explore karna hoga.

AUD/USD pair hourly chart par uptrend maintain kar raha hai, aur yeh 134-period moving average ke upar hai, jo upward trend ko confirm karta hai. Choti time frame par dekha jaye toh price 134-period moving average se neeche dip hota hai, jo prevailing trend mein possible correction ka sanket deta hai. Price agar 0.6881 ke upar stabilize hota hai, toh uske baad buying opportunities mil sakti hain.

AUD/USD Price Action Analysis

Char ghante ke chart par, price ka 0.6913 se rebound AUD/USD pair ke trend ko bullish se bearish ki taraf shift kar raha hai. Elliott Wave method ka istemal karte hue, ek corrective wave unfold ho rahi hai. Ek bearish scenario mein, technical indicators, jo computer analysis shamil hain, selling signals darshate hain, jinka main istemal karne ka irada rakhta hoon.

CPI positive zone se negative zone mein chala gaya hai, jabke momentum oscillator line neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Strategy yeh hai ke price 38.3% aur 50.1% Fibonacci retracement levels se guzarti rahe, specifically 0.6803 aur 0.6769 ko target kare. Pehle level par, koi bhi profitable short positions ka aadha hissa close karna behtar hoga, aur doosre level par bache hue aadhe hisson ko profit ke liye close karna chahiye.

Agar price 0.6781 ke neeche girta hai, toh sell scenario relevant ho sakta hai. Filhal, hourly chart ke uptrend ke saath align hone ke liye purchases ko tarjeeh di ja rahi hai.

**AUD/USD Ki Halat: Naye YTD High Ke Baad Pullback**
AUD/USD ne naye YTD high ko touch karne ke baad kuch wapas aaya hai, lekin neeche ki taraf kami zyada mehsoos nahi hoti. RBA aur Fed ke darmiyan policy ki mukhtalif umeedain market ke behtar jazbat ko barhawa de rahi hain.

China ne kuch nayi stimulus measures ka elan kiya hai jo Aussie ko support karte hain. AUD/USD ka jorha apne kuch intra-day faida ko capitalize karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6870 ke aas-paas ya phir is Tuesday ko touch kiye gaye naye YTD high ki taraf hai. Pehle half mein European session ke dauran daily low par bhi dekha ja sakta hai.

Halankeh spot prices pichle ghante mein kuch pips se wapas aaye hain aur ab 0.6835 ke aas-paas trade kar rahe hain, jo ke din ke liye lagbhag unchanged hai. Yeh intra-day pullback kisi wazeh wajah ke bagair hai aur isay kuch profit-taking ka natija samjha ja sakta hai, khaaskar jab recent rally mein 250 se zyada pips ka izafa dekha gaya.

Koi bhi khaas corrective decline abhi tak nazar nahi aata, kyunki Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki mukhtalif policy umeedain isay support karti hain.

AUD/USD ne Tuesday ko ek naye multi-month high se door khinch liya jab RBA ne aaj ke policy meeting mein rates ko unchanged rakha. Lekin Governor Bullock ke comments itne hawkish nahi the, jis ne policy tightening ki umeedon ko shift kar diya.

Pullback halka hai kyunki Aussie ko unchi commodity prices aur Fed/RBA ki mukhtalif monetary policy se support mil raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bade bulls sirf ek break le rahe hain. Daily chart par strong positive momentum aur Tenkan/Kijun-sen diary ki formation ek bullish scenario mein madadgar hain, lekin overbought conditions yeh warn karti hain ke price action ek extended consolidation mein reh sakta hai.

Initial supports 0.6814/0.6790 ke zone par hain, jabke mazeed significant supports 0.6774/66 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.6622/0.6869 / rising 10DMA) par honge, jo neeche ki taraf protection de sakte hain aur bullish structure ko barqarar rakh sakte hain. Resistance levels hain: 0.6869; 0.6900; 0.6948; 0.6961. Supports hain: 0.6814; 0.6790; 0.6766; 0.6745.