ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

ستمبر 17 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر کامیابی کے ساتھ یومیہ چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہوا، 0.6727 کی سطح سے اوپر چڑھ گیا، اور 0.6801 پر ہدف مزاحمت پر حملہ کرنے کی تیاری کر رہا ہے۔ اگر کامیاب ہو جاتا ہے اور قیمت اس سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہوتی ہے، تو یہ اپنے اضافے کو 0.6874 کے اگلے ہدف تک بڑھا سکتی ہے۔



تاہم، مارلن آسیلیٹر اتنا پرامید نہیں ہے جتنا یہ نیچے کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے۔ اگر قیمت اگست کی اونچائی 0.6827 سے اوپر ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ مارلن کے ساتھ اختلاف پیدا کرے گا، جو ایک مضبوط الٹ پیٹرن ہوگا۔

فیڈرل ریزرو ممکنہ طور پر کل شرح 0.25 فیصد کم کرے گا۔ قیمت کے لیے اس ایونٹ کا سامنا کرنا زیادہ آسان ہوگا جبکہ 0.6727 سے اوپر ہے، کیونکہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن بھی اسے نیچے سے سپورٹ کرتی ہے۔

قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں فرق پیدا کر دیا ہے۔ ترقی کا امکان بہت زیادہ ہے، جس سے 0.6727 کی سپورٹ لیول پر استحکام آسٹریلوی کے لیے سب سے بہترین منظر نامہ ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay

AUD/USD Analysis

Hamari current focus AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ko evaluate karna hai. Ek aur important factor jo decline ko drive kar raha hai wo CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se gir raha hai. Is dauran, CCI par ek bearish convergence nazar aayi, jo 0.6753 level ke aas-paas decline ka signal deti hai, jisse price movement neeche ki taraf gayi hai. Dusre major currency pairs bhi U.S. dollar ke soon strengthening ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain.

Fibonacci Analysis: Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par apply karte hue, decline ke liye target clear hai: 161.8 level on the Fibonacci grid, with an intermediate target at 0.6639. Filhaal price yahin hai, lekin 0.6689 ke nearest resistance par ek brief pullback ho sakta hai pehle is target tak pohanchne se. Buying positions tabhi advisable hain jab 161.8 Fibonacci level tak pohanch jaye, us waqt ek corrective growth wave ban sakti hai.

Dollar ki Strength: Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ki surge negative news ke bawajood hui, jo currency ki strength ka asli sabab kuch unclear chhodti hai. Phir bhi, jab market 0.6669 ke neeche close hui, main aur declines ki ummeed karta hoon. Agar price 0.659 ke neeche girti hai, toh main buying opportunities dhoondunga.

Current Movement: AUD/USD ki ongoing downward zigzag movement ek correction hai ek larger wave (b) ke andar jo upward trend ke pehli wave (a) ke complete hone ke baad hai. Current drop wave (b) ka rollback mark karta hai, aur do critical levels hain jo dekhne chahiye. Pehla control point 0.6614 par hai, aur agar yeh hold karta hai, toh hum 0.7199 ki taraf reversal dekh sakte hain. Lekin, agar pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, toh wave (b) extend ho kar 0.6544 tak jayegi; wahan ek reversal ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6544 ke neeche jati hai, toh zigzag pattern ko upside mein break ho jayega, jo 0.659 ke neeche strong downward reversal signal karega

AUD/USD pair ek upward trend dikhata hai, jisme mazeed growth ke liye kaafi gunjaish hai, khaaskar jab 0.689 ka level ek aham target hai. Magar is potential ke bawajood, pair ab tak 0.679 ke ooper apni position mazboot nahi kar saka hai, aur aaj ke movement se yeh lagta hai ke momentum mein itni taqat nahi hai, lekin koi bara reversal bhi nahi aya. Ek gehri correction ab bhi ho sakti hai, lekin market ki direction kaafi had tak upcoming U.S. economic indicators par depend karegi. Filhal, mein ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur bullish direction ko pasand kar raha hoon, magar 0.6619 ke neeche drop ka imkaan bhi nazar mein hai. Agar bulls price ko 0.6746 ke ooper rokne mein kaamiyab ho jate hain, toh ek northern scenario dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
Mujhe hal hi mein Forex neural network model ki buniyad par ek signal mila hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair strong resistance level 0.6758 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Magar price pehle bearish dip kar sakti hai, phir signal ke mutabiq bullish push kar sakti hai. Primary outlook abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin humein dekhna hoga ke yeh forecast kitna theek sabit hota hai. Agar bears ne neechay pakar mazboot kar li toh ek alternative scenario unfold ho sakta hai, jo pair ko bearish side par le ja sakta hai, lekin mera rawaiya mazeed upward movement ka hai. Halanke doosray scenarios bhi mumkin hain, aaj AUD/USD downward trend mein hai. Pair pehle hi 0.6746 support level ke neeche settle ho chuka hai aur apni aam trading range se bahar nikal gaya hai, jo ek naye level ka ishara de raha hai. Daily chart ek solid bearish candle dikhata hai, jo upward movement ke liye challenge ban raha hai.

main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.
Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche sup
port 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements

General Points of AUDUSD:

Kal humne dekha ke AUD/USD market 0.6740 level ke neeche gir gaya. Ye is wajah se hua kyunki USA ka Empire State Manufacturing news kaafi positive thi aur 11.5% tak pahunchi. Aaj, USA ka Core Retail Sales data bhi release hoga. Ye data AUD/USD market par significant impact daal sakta hai, aur ye market 0.6775 level se upar ja sakti hai ya phir 0.6685 ke neeche gir sakti hai.

Ek broader nazar se dekha jaye to ye aksar U.S. dollar ko majbooti ki taraf le jata hai, kyunki ye badhati hui demand aur economic expansion ko reflect karta hai. Is case mein, 11.5% ka increase index mein ye clear sign tha ke U.S. economy achi performance de rahi hai, jo Australian dollar par downward pressure daal raha hai aur AUD/USD pair ko 0.6740 level ke neeche push kar raha hai.

Aaj, market participants U.S. Core Retail Sales data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ek aur significant economic indicator hai. Core Retail Sales data consumer spending ko reflect karta hai, lekin food aur energy jaise volatile components ko exclude karta hai. U.S. economy ki current strength, jo Empire State Manufacturing data se pata chali hai, ke madde nazar, Core Retail Sales figures bhi positive ho sakti hain. Agar data expectations se behtar aata hai, to ye U.S. dollar ko aur majbooti de sakta hai, aur AUD/USD pair ko 0.6685 level ke neeche push kar sakta hai.

Is liye, agar Core Retail Sales data disappoint karta hai, to ye U.S. dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, aur AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 level ke upar recover aur rise karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Market economic indicators ke liye bohot sensitive hai, aur traders Core Retail Sales data release ko closely monitor karenge taake short-term mein AUD/USD pair ki direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Dono outcomes mumkin hain, aur data agla move determine karega is currency market ke liye.

AUD/USD: Strategies aur Tips

Hamara focus is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price ke behaviour par hai. Hourly chart par AUD/USD pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai. Saturday ko pair mein decline dekha gaya, lekin yeh channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pohoncha. Is liye, Monday se, mujhe downward movement ki umeed hai, aur price takreeban 0.6681 ke qareeb lower boundary ko touch karega. Friday ko pair downward pullback mein trade hua, 0.6729 se gir ke kareeb 0.6699 par close hua. Hourly chart ke technical indicators ahista ahista bearish momentum ka signal de rahe hain. MACD indicator abhi tak positive territory mein hai, lekin zero line ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ek possible shift ki taraf ishara karta hai. Monday se downward trajectory jari rahegi, aur sellers ka target 0.6599 level hoga. Is ke base par, pair sideways move karega, jahan 0.6729 resistance level tak buying aur 0.6684 support level tak selling ke chances ho sakte hain Aage dekhte hue, maine daily chart par bhi pair ka analysis kiya hai. 0.6478 level ke ilawa, buy karna risky hoga. Mumsakin scenarios ye hain ke pair 0.6564 tak move kare ya 0.6478 se neeche drop kare. Yaqeen se nahi kaha ja sakta, lekin mere hisaab se in outcomes ki probability kaafi hai. Main sirf us waqt market mein enter karunga jab price 0.6478 support level tak pohonchega. Friday ko pair selling pressure mein tha, halanke is se pehle do din tak yeh upward move kar raha tha. Yeh dekhna baqi hai ke downward movement jari rahega ya koi aur option samne aayegi, aur main isko further analyze karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Din ke technical analysis mein moving averages strong buy ko suggest kar rahe hain, jabke technical indicators selling ki taraf hain. Kul mila ke, outlook neutral hai. US manufacturing activity index release hoga, aur forecast optimistic hai

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Tuesday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzor ho gaya hai, kyunki China ke maqroozat-e-maishiyat ko lekar chinta barh gayi hai. Experts kehte hain ke aakhri dafa ka kamzor ma'ashi data China ke liye bade mushkilat ka izhar hai. China, Australia ka ek aham trading partner hai, aur isliye China ki ma'ashi halat mein tabdeeli ka Australian market par khaas asar padta hai.

Goldman Sachs aur Citi ke economists ne China ke liye 2024 GDP growth ki pehli ijaazat ko 4.7% tak kam kar diya hai, jo Beijing ke 5.0% ke maqasad se kam hai. SocGen is surat-e-haal ko "descending spiral" kehte hain, jabke Barclays ise "bad se aur bhi bura" aur ek "endless loop" ke tor par bayan karti hai. Morgan Stanley bhi warn karti hai ke "cheezain behtar hone se pehle aur bhi kharab ho sakti hain," ek Reuters report ke mutabiq.

AUD/USD pair Tuesday ko 0.6750 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ke technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke pair ne ek declining channel ke upar se break kiya hai, jo ke negative trend ke kamzor hone ka izhar hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI 50 ke level se thoda upar hai, jo ke negative se bullish trend ki taraf badalni ki ishara hai.

Bullish trend ke mutabiq, declining channel se break hone ke baad AUD/USD pair ke liye bullish mood ban gaya hai. Yeh pair 0.6798 ke apne saat mahine ke high tak ja sakta hai aur 0.6800 ke psychological level ko test kar sakta hai.

Downside par, AUD/USD pair ko foran support 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 0.6719 level ke aas-paas mil sakta hai, jiske baad declining channel ke upper limit par 0.6690 level aa sakta hai. Agar pair declining channel ki taraf wapas aata hai to negative trend barh sakta hai aur pair 0.6575 ke legacy support zone aur declining channel ke lower limit 0.6550 level tak ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Breakdown

Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke power pricing behavior ko analyze aur parse kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ne significant downward movement dekhi hai, jahan critical support 0.6607 par hai aur resistance 0.6668 par. Ye resistance level current bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne mein ahm hai. Agar price 0.6668 se upar jati hai, to 0.6732 level ko monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunke wahan se break hone se downward direction invalidate ho jayegi.

Current AUD/USD market mein significant levels ke beech ka faasla, jo 0.6475 se 0.6800 tak hai, entry points ke liye ek mazboot framework provide karta hai. Agar price 0.6475 se neeche chali jati hai, to lambi bearish trend ki ummeed hai, jo aur declines ka signal hai. Iske muqabil, agar AUD/USD 0.6800 se upar chali jati hai, to ek significant upward trend form ho sakta hai, jo primary scenario se mutabiq nahi hai.

**AUD/USD Analysis**

USD ab doosre mulkon ki currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai. Lekin AUD/USD pair aaj tak bearish rukh rakhta hai aur reversal ke koi asaar nazar nahi aa rahe. Lekin ho sakta hai raat ko kuch naye developments ho, kyunki United States apne latest CPI data release karega jo forex market ko kaafi volatile bana sakta hai agar data expected ke mutabiq nahi hota.

Pichle price history ko dekhen to yeh clear hai ke bearish power candle ne ab tak bearish movement ko drive kiya hai. Uske baad jo reaction dekhne ko mila, wo chhota lag raha hai lekin yeh actually bearish trend continuation pattern hai. Isliye agar traders instant sell option open karte hain, to 0.6692 ke upar loss limit lagana ek profitable sell setup banega, kyunki profit-taking position abhi bhi kaafi neeche hai, lagbhag 0.6600 - 0.6570 ke aaspaas.

Agar aap dhyan se dekhen, to AUD/USD ne last daily trading mein relatively strong bearish movement dekha. Pichli trading ki closing price opening price se kaafi neeche thi, jo market pressure ko indicate karti hai. Is situation ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke sellers ki potential market ko ek deeper level tak push karne ki zaroorat hai. Isliye, sell transaction option ko market trading mein implement karna chahiye.

British Pound ke hawale se Tuesday ko aik back-and-forth session raha, aur hum abhi tak 1.20 level par resistance dekh rahe hain. Is wajah se market ko 0.6720 level ke sath struggle karna par raha hai, kyun ke teen alag koshishon ke bawajood ye level cross nahi ho saka. Iske bawajood, British Pound ne session ke dauran kaafi recovery ki, to thori strength to dikha raha hai. Kam az kam short-term mein British Pound bullish currency ban sakta hai agar hum 0.6780 level cross kar lein. Agar hum is level ke upar chalay jain, to market ka rujhan 50-day moving average tak ho sakta hai, jo ke 0.6750 ke qareeb hai. Main is point par zyada selling pressure expect karta hoon.

Agar Wednesday ko candlestick ka low break hota hai, to ye 0.6810 tak ki pullback le aayega. 0.6670 ke neeche aik support area form hua hai jo aik zaroori had hai, aur agar hum is level ke neeche chale gaye, to market girta reh sakta hai. Agle chand hafton mein main exchange rate ko 0.6710 aur shayad 0.6725 tak dekhta hoon.





Log intezaar karenge ke 28th ko Fed apni rate decision ka kya faisla karti hai. Kyun ke market overall negative rahi gi, har short-term rally aik acha buying opportunity hogi, kyun ke 'cheap US dollars' mil sakte hain. Market mein kaafi noise dekhne ko milay gi, magar bearish trend abhi tak mazboot hai aur jaldi change hota nahi lagta. Ye market abhi bhi bohat zyada noisy hai, aur position sizing ko is hisaab se adjust karna hoga, kyun ke volatility jaldi barh sakti hai.

AUD/USD Price Summary
Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, mai pehle ek chhoti price rise aur uske baad ek decline ki tawaqo kar raha hoon. Neeche diye gaye chart mein, mai umeed karta hoon ke AUD/USD pair pehle upar jaye ga aur 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanchne ke baad wapas neeche girega aur apni downward correction jaari rakhega. Pair pehle hi 38.1% Fibonacci support level se rebound kar chuka hai, jahan price MA200 se door hote hue dikhayi di. Hum is waqt bearish wave ke pullback phase mein hain. Mai agay mazeed growth ki tawaqo karta hoon, magar yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai ke 14.5% level kuch challenges paish kar sakta hai. Mai yeh samajhta hoon ke US dollar doosri currencies ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein mazbooti aane ki umeed hai. Halanki mai abhi bilkul yaqeen se nahi keh sakta, lekin yeh potential rise worth considering hai.

Technical Analysis ke Zariye AUD/USD ka Tajziya

Agar hum AUD/USD pair ke prospects ka tajziya karein, toh hum resistance aur support levels, volume aur trend indicators par focus kar sakte hain. Haal hi mein, pair ne thodi si growth dekhi, apna target hasil kiya aur phir wapas pullback kiya. Chart yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ne resistance level 0.6634 ko test kiya aur ab 0.6705 par trade kar raha hai. RSI mid-range par hai, jo ke halki downward momentum ko dikhata hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) weak sell signal de raha hai. Pair pichle din ke trading range mein hai. Halanki signals bohat kam hain, lekin yeh thodi si decline aur phir future mein ek reversal ka ishara dete hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke price pehle neeche support level 0.6689 tak jaye gi, aur phir rebound karke resistance level 0.6734 tak wapas aaye gi. H4 chart par pair ne 0.67317 ke high se reversal kiya aur ab bearish trend mein hai. Price middle Bollinger Band ke ooper 0.67035 par hai, jab ke bands abhi bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Jab market Monday ko dubara khulegi, mai tawaqo karta hoon ke downward trend jaari rahegi aur 423.5% Fibonacci level 0.66571 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai.

AUD/USD Price Summary
Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, mai pehle ek chhoti price rise aur uske baad ek decline ki tawaqo kar raha hoon. Neeche diye gaye chart mein, mai umeed karta hoon ke AUD/USD pair pehle upar jaye ga aur 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanchne ke baad wapas neeche girega aur apni downward correction jaari rakhega. Pair pehle hi 38.1% Fibonacci support level se rebound kar chuka hai, jahan price MA200 se door hote hue dikhayi di. Hum is waqt bearish wave ke pullback phase mein hain. Mai agay mazeed growth ki tawaqo karta hoon, magar yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai ke 14.5% level kuch challenges paish kar sakta hai. Mai yeh samajhta hoon ke US dollar doosri currencies ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein mazbooti aane ki umeed hai. Halanki mai abhi bilkul yaqeen se nahi keh sakta, lekin yeh potential rise worth considering hai.

Technical Analysis ke Zariye AUD/USD ka Tajziya

Agar hum AUD/USD pair ke prospects ka tajziya karein, toh hum resistance aur support levels, volume aur trend indicators par focus kar sakte hain. Haal hi mein, pair ne thodi si growth dekhi, apna target hasil kiya aur phir wapas pullback kiya. Chart yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ne resistance level 0.6634 ko test kiya aur ab 0.6705 par trade kar raha hai. RSI mid-range par hai, jo ke halki downward momentum ko dikhata hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) weak sell signal de raha hai. Pair pichle din ke trading range mein hai. Halanki signals bohat kam hain, lekin yeh thodi si decline aur phir future mein ek reversal ka ishara dete hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke price pehle neeche support level 0.6689 tak jaye gi, aur phir rebound karke resistance level 0.6734 tak wapas aaye gi. H4 chart par pair ne 0.67317 ke high se reversal kiya aur ab bearish trend mein hai. Price middle Bollinger Band ke ooper 0.67035 par hai, jab ke bands abhi bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Jab market Monday ko dubara khulegi, mai tawaqo karta hoon ke downward trend jaari rahegi aur 423.5% Fibonacci level 0.66571 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai.

Formal Studies in AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka gahrai se tajziya kar rahe hain. Chaliye, University of Michigan ke kal jaari hone wale data par ek nazar daalte hain. Paanch saal ke U.S. consumer inflation expectations index ne 3.0% ka growth rate dikhaya, jo ke expected 2.9% se thoda zyada tha. Consumer expectations index 72.9 tak pahunch gaya, jab ke forecast ke mutabiq yeh 70.9 par girne ka andaza tha (pehle yeh 72.0 tha). Iske ilawa, consumer sentiment index bhi 67.8 se barh kar 68.9 tak pahunch gaya, jo analysts ke expectations se zyada tha. Current inflation expectations index ne 72.9 ko record kiya, aur growth rate 62.8 tak pohancha, jab ke 61.4 ka andaza tha. Is data ke release ke baad, AUD/USD pair aur doosri U.S. dollar-related pairs ne downward trend shuru kar diya. Sellers ne 0.6713 level (Murray 6.7) ko break kiya aur H4 cloud ke lower boundary tak aakar ruk gaye. Agar price is resistance se neeche rehti hai, toh mazeed downward movement ka imkaan hai.

Halanki, koi strong sell signal nahi mila, lekin agar 0.6689 ka breakdown hota hai, toh decline continue karne ki umeed hai. Ek significant downward correction ho chuki hai, lekin uske baad growth wapas aasakti hai. Agar price mazeed mazboot hoti hai, toh 0.6729 range ko target karna mumkin hai. Lagta hai bearish correction apna kaam poora kar chuki hai, aur ab upward movement ke liye raasta khul gaya hai. Growth jaari reh sakti hai jab 0.6689 area ko test kiya jaye, halan ke ek chhoti correction bhi ho sakti hai pehle. Agar 0.6689 par ek false breakout hota hai, toh yeh buy signal ka kaam kar sakta hai. 0.6694 ka breakout aur uske ooper price ka thahar jaana bhi ek buy signal provide kar sakta hai.

Ab mai daily chart par shift karta hoon. Technical setup kaafi straightforward aur precise hai. Pehle, heavy moving average (M.A.) 38.1% Fibonacci correction level ke sath align kar raha hai, jo ek double buy signal provide karta hai. Doosra, Price Action method ke mutabiq, ek bullish pin bar form hua hai, jo aapke trading terminal par dikhayi dena chahiye. Humne 0.6654 tak ek correction dekhi, jiske baad takreeban 79 points ka poora decline dekhne ko mila.

Formal Studies in AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka gahrai se tajziya kar rahe hain. Chaliye, University of Michigan ke kal jaari hone wale data par ek nazar daalte hain. Paanch saal ke U.S. consumer inflation expectations index ne 3.0% ka growth rate dikhaya, jo ke expected 2.9% se thoda zyada tha. Consumer expectations index 72.9 tak pahunch gaya, jab ke forecast ke mutabiq yeh 70.9 par girne ka andaza tha (pehle yeh 72.0 tha). Iske ilawa, consumer sentiment index bhi 67.8 se barh kar 68.9 tak pahunch gaya, jo analysts ke expectations se zyada tha. Current inflation expectations index ne 72.9 ko record kiya, aur growth rate 62.8 tak pohancha, jab ke 61.4 ka andaza tha. Is data ke release ke baad, AUD/USD pair aur doosri U.S. dollar-related pairs ne downward trend shuru kar diya. Sellers ne 0.6713 level (Murray 6.7) ko break kiya aur H4 cloud ke lower boundary tak aakar ruk gaye. Agar price is resistance se neeche rehti hai, toh mazeed downward movement ka imkaan hai.

Halanki, koi strong sell signal nahi mila, lekin agar 0.6689 ka breakdown hota hai, toh decline continue karne ki umeed hai. Ek significant downward correction ho chuki hai, lekin uske baad growth wapas aasakti hai. Agar price mazeed mazboot hoti hai, toh 0.6729 range ko target karna mumkin hai. Lagta hai bearish correction apna kaam poora kar chuki hai, aur ab upward movement ke liye raasta khul gaya hai. Growth jaari reh sakti hai jab 0.6689 area ko test kiya jaye, halan ke ek chhoti correction bhi ho sakti hai pehle. Agar 0.6689 par ek false breakout hota hai, toh yeh buy signal ka kaam kar sakta hai. 0.6694 ka breakout aur uske ooper price ka thahar jaana bhi ek buy signal provide kar sakta hai.

Ab mai daily chart par shift karta hoon. Technical setup kaafi straightforward aur precise hai. Pehle, heavy moving average (M.A.) 38.1% Fibonacci correction level ke sath align kar raha hai, jo ek double buy signal provide karta hai. Doosra, Price Action method ke mutabiq, ek bullish pin bar form hua hai, jo aapke trading terminal par dikhayi dena chahiye. Humne 0.6654 tak ek correction dekhi, jiske baad takreeban 79 points ka poora decline dekhne ko mila.

Forex Pair: AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu ka markaz is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya hai. Pair hourly chart par thora bearish movement dikhata hai, lekin yeh utna zyada nahi jitna ke dedicated sellers ne expect kiya tha. Hum abhi tak extreme low tak nahi pohanch sake hain, is liye significant decline ka kehna abhi jaldi hoga. Jumma ka din aksar trading ka ek ahem indicator hota hai jo future predictions ka buniyad banta hai. Kyun ke price minimum se neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke bare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo poori correction nahi hai balki ek zigzag pattern ki tarah hai, jo is scenario mein achi tarah fit hota hai. Yeh market jaldi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Mujhe 0.6679 ke ird-gird long positions ka potential nazar aata hai. Halan ke koi significant support levels abhi dekhne ko nahi mil rahe, kuch haftay pehle yahan se ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Yeh rebound kaafi modest ho sakta hai, jo ke shayad 0.6729 par peak kare, uske baad zigzag conclude ho jana chahiye. Is point par buying positions exit karna behtar hoga.

Is waqt, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur mukhtalif indicators se conflicting signals mil rahe hain. Wave structure ab bhi descending trend ka ishara deta hai, lekin MACD indicator apni signal line ke ooper upper buy zone mein hai. Price recent increase ke dauran descending resistance line tak pohanchi jo last do peaks ke darmiyan bani thi. Dusri taraf, CCI indicator overbought zone se neeche aa raha hai, aur ek slight bearish divergence bhi saamne aayi hai. Is line se decline ki umeed hai, jo ke mirror level 0.6687 tak ja sakta hai, yeh level kal successfully break hua tha, jo ab resistance se support ban gaya hai. Is support se ek nayi growth dekhne ki umeed hai, jisme descending line ka breakout ho sakta hai aur resistance 0.6757 ya us se bhi upar tak rise dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lower M5 time frame mein, is high support ke ird-gird, hum growth ka formation dekh sakte hain jahan resistance support mein tabdeel ho raha hoga.

Forex Pair: AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu ka markaz is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya hai. Pair hourly chart par thora bearish movement dikhata hai, lekin yeh utna zyada nahi jitna ke dedicated sellers ne expect kiya tha. Hum abhi tak extreme low tak nahi pohanch sake hain, is liye significant decline ka kehna abhi jaldi hoga. Jumma ka din aksar trading ka ek ahem indicator hota hai jo future predictions ka buniyad banta hai. Kyun ke price minimum se neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke bare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo poori correction nahi hai balki ek zigzag pattern ki tarah hai, jo is scenario mein achi tarah fit hota hai. Yeh market jaldi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Mujhe 0.6679 ke ird-gird long positions ka potential nazar aata hai. Halan ke koi significant support levels abhi dekhne ko nahi mil rahe, kuch haftay pehle yahan se ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Yeh rebound kaafi modest ho sakta hai, jo ke shayad 0.6729 par peak kare, uske baad zigzag conclude ho jana chahiye. Is point par buying positions exit karna behtar hoga.

Is waqt, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur mukhtalif indicators se conflicting signals mil rahe hain. Wave structure ab bhi descending trend ka ishara deta hai, lekin MACD indicator apni signal line ke ooper upper buy zone mein hai. Price recent increase ke dauran descending resistance line tak pohanchi jo last do peaks ke darmiyan bani thi. Dusri taraf, CCI indicator overbought zone se neeche aa raha hai, aur ek slight bearish divergence bhi saamne aayi hai. Is line se decline ki umeed hai, jo ke mirror level 0.6687 tak ja sakta hai, yeh level kal successfully break hua tha, jo ab resistance se support ban gaya hai. Is support se ek nayi growth dekhne ki umeed hai, jisme descending line ka breakout ho sakta hai aur resistance 0.6757 ya us se bhi upar tak rise dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lower M5 time frame mein, is high support ke ird-gird, hum growth ka formation dekh sakte hain jahan resistance support mein tabdeel ho raha hoga.