ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD: Kaise Trade Karein

Hamari analysis filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke current price performance ko dekh rahi hai. AUD/USD chart ne recently 0.6730 ke resistance se ek significant rebound dikhaya, jo price ko barhne se rok raha hai. Agar market khulte hi pair upar nahi chalta aur 0.6730 ke upar apni position ko mazboot nahi kar pata, to ek downward scenario ban sakta hai. Yeh scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke trading session ke shuru hone se price 0.6656 ke accumulation zone ki taraf gir sakti hai. Wahan se, price 0.6714 ke taraf wapas move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Magar, agar price 0.6714 ke upar break karne mein mushkil ka samna karti hai, to yeh sharp collapse dekh sakti hai, jo established minimum se niche gir sakti hai.

Lekin, yeh H4 scenario daily time frame ke technical picture se mukhalif hai, jahan price MA100 mid-line ke upar hai, aur ek confirmed lower fractal ek possible reversal ko support karta hai. Iske bawajood, H4 scenario jaldi play out ho sakta hai.

Yeh zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke AUD/USD pair ke liye koi substantial tabdeel nahi hui hai ek muddat se, kyunki yeh ek consistent range mein trade kar raha hai. Dominant trend abhi bhi upward hai, aur recent decline ko ek temporary pullback ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Main ek deeper correction ki ummed kar raha hoon, magar zyada kuch depend karta hai ke agle haftay U.S. dollar kaise perform karta hai, khas taur par Federal Reserve ke aane wale faislay ke sath. Agar Fed rates ko 0.4 se cut karti hai, to dollar ko significant weakness ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

Filhal, main situation ko qareeb se dekh raha hoon. Abhi tak mujhe 0.6599 ya 0.6564 ke niche further drop ka sochna nahi hai, aur agar price wahan tak girti hai to main shayad buying ka sochunga. Australian dollar H4 chart par descending channel ko break nahi kar paaya aur MA100 indicator ke midline ke upar hold nahi kar paaya. Is wajah se mujhe lagta hai ke pair channel ke andar hi continue karega. Asset ki local overbought condition ne is ongoing trend mein ek aham role play kiya hai.

AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai.
AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai.
AUDUSD 50 EMA aur 100 EMA se upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke dono upar ki taraf jhukao dikhate hain aur medium-term bullish trend ki nishani hain. Ye izafa dikhata hai ke buying pressure ab bhi itna mazboot hai ke aage chal kar price ko support kar sakta hai, agar market conditions bhi supportive rahe.
Lekin, buyers ki koshish resistance level 0.679698 par rok rahi hai. Ye resistance level ek ahem point hai kyunke is level par price ne kai baar rejection dikhayi hai. Ye rejection dikhata hai ke sellers ab bhi itne strong hain ke price ko upar break karne se roknay mein kamiyab hain. Resistance area mein rejection ke baad, AUDUSD price ne niche correction dekhi aur support level 0.66959 ki taraf gaya. Ye level ab ek important point hai kyunki yahan pehle buyers ne price ko girne se bachane ke liye interest dikhaya tha.
Filhal, pullback ka potential hai jo ke support level 0.66959 ki taraf ho sakta hai, aur phir se upward movement shuru ho sakti hai. Ye pullback buyers ke liye market mein dobara entry ka mauka ho sakta hai, lekin iske liye further confirmation zaroori hai. Ideal confirmation is situation mein ek strong bullish candle ki formation hai, jo dikhati hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain aur price ko support level se upar push karne ke liye tayar hain. Agar support level se reversal hota hai aur strong bullish candle ke saath confirmation milti hai, to ye signal ho sakta hai ke AUDUSD phir se resistance level 0.679698 ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price support level 0.66959 ko maintain nahi karti aur girti rehti hai, to current bullish trend bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

Hamara tajziya abhi AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda price performance ko jaiza le raha hai. AUD/USD chart ne haal hi mein 0.6730 ke resistance se ek significant rebound dikhaya, jo ke price ko barhne se rok raha hai. Agar market khulne ke baad, yeh pair barh nahi paata aur 0.6730 ke upar apni position mazboot nahi kar pata, to ek downward scenario ka samna ho sakta hai. Is scenario ka matlab hai ke trading session ke shuruat se, price 0.6656 ke accumulation zone ki taraf gir sakti hai. Wahan se price phir se 0.6714 ki taraf uthane ki koshish kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price 0.6714 ke upar break karne mein struggle karti hai, to iska sharp collapse ho sakta hai, jo ke established minimum se bhi neeche gir sakta hai. Lekin, yeh H4 scenario daily time frame ke technical picture se mukhtalif hai, jahan price MA100 mid-line ke upar hai, aur ek confirmed lower fractal bhi ek possible reversal ko support karta hai. Phir bhi, yeh H4 scenario jaldi bhi play out ho sakta hai.

Yeh baat zaroori hai ke AUDUSD pair ke liye koi bara tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, kyunke yeh ek musalsal range mein trade kar raha hai. Dominant trend abhi bhi upward hai, aur haal ki girawat sirf ek temporary pullback hai. Mein aik gehri correction ki ummeed rakhta hoon, lekin yeh zyada tar U.S. dollar ke agle hafte ke performance par depend karega, khaaskar Federal Reserve ke aane wale faisle ke sath. Agar Fed 0.4 ke rate cut ka faisla karta hai, to dollar ko significant kamzori ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Filhal, mein is situation ko nazar mein rakha hua hoon. Mujhe 0.6599 ya 0.6564 ke niche girawat ke baare mein abhi tak nahi socha hai, lekin agar yeh levels tak girta hai to mein shayad buying consider karunga. Australian dollar H4 chart par descending channel se breakout nahi kar paaya aur MA100 indicator ke midline ke upar bhi nahi reh paaya. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair channel ke andar hi continue karega. Asset ka local overbought condition is ongoing trend mein ek aham kirdar ada kar raha hai.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke power pricing behaviour ko analyse aur parse kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair mein significant downward movement dekhi gayi hai, jahan critical support 0.6607 par aur resistance 0.6668 par hai. Yeh resistance level current bearish trend ko maintain karne ke liye zaroori hai. Agar 0.6668 se zyada movement hoti hai, to 0.6732 level ko monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki agar yeh break hota hai to downward direction invalidate ho jayegi. Current AUD/USD market mein significant levels ke beech distance, jo 0.6475 se 0.6800 tak hai, ek strong framework provide karta hai entry points ke liye. Agar price 0.6475 se neeche girti hai, to ek prolonged bearish trend ke chances hain, jo aur bhi declines ko signal karega. Iske baraks, agar AUD/USD 0.6800 ke upar move karta hai, to ek significant upward trend form ho sakti hai, jo primary scenario ke sath nahi jaata.

USD ab dusre mulkon ki currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hone lag raha hai. Lekin AUD/USD pair ab tak bearish movement ko follow kar raha hai aur koi reversal ke signs nahi hain. Lekin, aaj raat naye developments ho sakte hain, kyunki United States apni latest CPI data release karne wale hain, jo forex market ko volatile bana sakta hai agar data expected se different hota hai.

Agar aap pehle ke price history ko dekhen, to yeh clear hai ke ek bearish power candle ab tak bearish movement ka driving force rahi hai, aur jo reaction uske baad nazar aayi hai, woh asl mein ek bearish trend continuation pattern hai. Is wajah se, agar traders turant sell option kholte hain, to 0.6692 ke upar loss limit rakhna ek profitable sell setup ban sakta hai, kyunki profit-taking position abhi bhi kaafi niche, around 0.6600 - 0.6570, hai.

Agar aap dhyan se dekhen, to pichle daily trading mein AUD/USD ne kaafi strong bearish movement experience kiya. Pichle trading ki closing price opening price se kaafi neeche thi, jo market pressure ko indicate karta hai. Isse dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke sellers ke liye prices ko deeper level tak push karne ka potential hai. Isliye, sell transaction option ko market trading mein consider karna chahiye.

AUD/USD ke 30-minute chart par ek aham bullish reversal nazar aa raha hai, jo ke bearish price action ke baad hua hai. Is waqt, pair 0.67466 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke kai downside liquidity zones (D-Liq) se bounce hui hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market participants ne price inefficiencies ka faida uthaaya hai aur strong buying pressure dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh upward move ne 0.66500 ke aas paas ek key Fair Value Gap (FVG) ko fill kiya hai, jo ek important demand zone tha. Gap-filling process aksar market momentum ke shift ko dikhati hai, jab buyers sell-side pressure ko absorb kar ke price ko upar ki taraf le jaate hain.

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 ke level ke paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo ke ek liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, aur price ke is level ke qareeb aate hi profit-taking aur sell-side interest emerge ho sakti hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein jo upward momentum dekha gaya hai, usse lagta hai ke buyers ke paas itni strength hai ke yeh resistance ko challenge kar sakte hain. Agar price is level ko break kar deti hai, toh yeh door khol sakti hai further gains ke liye, shayad 0.68500 ke upar ke liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Downside par, 0.67000 ke aas paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps dekhe gaye hain. Yeh liquidity sweeps indicate karte hain ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo ke potential pullbacks ke khilaf ek cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, toh yeh nayi buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo is level ko ek significant support level banaati hai.

Summary yeh hai ke AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhate hue hai, jab ke key liquidity gaps fill ho chuki hain aur support zones se reversal dekhne ko mila hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, toh further upside ke chances hain. Wahi, agar koi pullbacks 0.67000 ya usse neeche aati hain, toh buying interest milne ki umeed hai, jab tak market conditions favorable rahengi. Pair ka overall structure yeh suggest karta hai ke jab tak key support levels barkarar hain, bullish trend short-term mein continue ho sakta hai.

RBA ka Aakhri Faisla aur AUD Par Asar:

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne abhi ke monetary policy announcement ke baad, spot price mein resilience aur strength dikhai hai. RBA ne Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke chhati baar hai jab is rate ko bina kisi tabdeeli ke rakha gaya hai. Ye faisla central bank ki inflation ko control karne ki commitment ko darshata hai, halanke economic pressures ab bhi barqarar hain.

RBA ka Policy Faisla aur AUD Par Asar:

RBA ka decision interest rates ko steady rakhne ka ek modest boost Australian Dollar ko mila hai. OCR ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne se RBA ne yeh signal diya hai ke monetary policy ko restrictive rakha jayega taake inflation ko roka ja sake. RBA ki Governor Michele Bullock ne apne press conference mein kaha ke inflation ko target range tak aane mein zyada waqt lag sakta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke high interest rates ka silsila lamba chal sakta hai.

Inflation ki Chinta aur Ma'ashi Dastawaizat:

RBA ki koshishon ke bawajood, underlying inflation ab bhi ziddi hai. Latest economic projections kehti hain ke sustainable inflation rate tak pahunchne mein waqt lagega. Yeh data inflationary pressures ke baare mein ehtiyaat barhane ki zaroorat ko barhawa deti hai. RBA Board sabhi policy options ke liye khula hai, jo ke future economic conditions ke unpredictable nature ko darshata hai.

H4 Chart AUD/USD Pair Ki Movement aur Market Reactions:

Spot price ne haal hi mein momentum gain kiya hai, jo Dollar ke girne ke bawajood bullish trend mein chala gaya hai. Pichle Friday ko, pair ne 5 din ka high 0.6737 tak pahunch gaya, aur analysts optimistic hain ke agar key barrier level 0.6771 ko surpass karte hain to exchange rate 0.6800 mark tak pahunch sakta hai, jo forex market mein positive sentiment ke surge ko darshata hai.

Haal ki trading sessions mein, spot price ek defined range ke andar fluctuate kar raha hai. Pair ne 0.6622 par support aur 0.6570 par resistance paayi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo recently 40 ke aas paas chala gaya hai, buying aur selling pressures ke darmiyan ek balance ko suggest karta hai. Yeh movement bullish sentiment ke potential recovery ko darshata hai, halanke market conditions ab bhi prevailing hain.

AUD/USD 30-minute chart par ek significant bullish reversal dekha gaya hai jo ke bearish price action ke baad hua. Pair is waqt 0.67466 par trade kar raha hai, jahan is ne kai downside liquidity zones (D-Liq) se bounce kiya, jo strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai jab market participants ne price ki inefficiencies ka faida uthaya. Upar ka move ne ek key Fair Value Gap (FVG) ko fill kiya jo ke 0.66500 ke aas-paas tha, aur yeh ek ahem demand zone ban gaya. Gap-filling ka yeh process aam tor par market momentum mein tabadli ko darshaata hai, jab buyers sell-side pressure ko absorb kar ke pair ko upar le jate hain.

Aagay dekha jaye, toh ek prominent resistance ka area 0.68000 ke qareeb nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek liquidity zone aur kai FVG areas hain jo pehle test nahi huay. Yeh area bulls ke liye ek ahem rukawat ban sakta hai, jahan price ke qareeb aanay par profit-taking aur sell-side interest samnay aa sakta hai. Magar recent sessions mein dekhay gaye upward momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers ke paas itni taqat ho sakti hai ke woh is resistance ko challenge kar sakein. Agar price is level se break karta hai, toh aagay aur gains ka rasta khul sakta hai, jo higher liquidity levels 0.68500 ke upar target kar sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone bana hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps ho chuki hain. In liquidity sweeps ka hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke liye ek cushion faraham karta hai. Agar price is zone tak retrace karta hai, toh yeh anewali buying interest se do-chaar ho sakta hai, jo is level ko ek significant support ke tor par mazid barqarar rakhega. Summary yeh hai ke AUD/USD bullish momentum dikhata hai jab ke key liquidity gaps fill ho chuki hain aur support zones se reversal hua hai. 0.68000 ka level agla critical resistance hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai toh aagay aur upside ka imkaan hai. Dosri taraf, koi bhi pullback jo 0.67000 ya is se neeche aata hai, buying interest se mil sakta hai agar market conditions favorable rahi. Pair ki overall structure yeh suggest karti hai ke jab tak key support levels barqarar hain, bullish trend near-term mein qaim reh sakta hai.

**AUD/USD Current Analysis aur Outlook**

Filhal, AUD/USD currency pair lagbhag 0.67519 par trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Recent trading sessions mein, pair ne consistent decline dikhayi hai, jo market sentiment aur technical indicators ke downward movement ke potential ko darshata hai.

### Current Technical Scenario

AUD/USD ka ongoing bearish trend kai technical factors se support ho raha hai. Recent price action yeh indicate karti hai ke pair key support levels ko hold karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Sab se significant level 0.67519 hai, jo current positioning ke bawajood, substantial support nahi de sakta agar bearish trend continue hota hai. Descending channel pattern ka hona bhi market mein negative sentiment ko underline karta hai.

### Moving Averages aur Indicators

Moving averages ki analysis bearish bias ko reveal karti hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, jo commonly overall trend ko gauge karne ke liye use kiye jate hain, dikhate hain ke short-term trend long-term trend ke neeche hai. Yeh alignment sustained bearish pressure ko suggest karti hai. 50-day moving average, khaaskar, resistance level ke taur par kaam aayi hai, jo downward movement ko reinforce karti hai.

### Potential for Reversal ya Continuation

Jab ke current trend bearish hai, agle dino mein significant movement ka potential hai. Price current level se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar yeh 0.6700 ke aas paas strong support zones ko approach karti hai. Historically, aise levels AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial pivot points rahe hain. Agar price is support ko hold nahi karti, to downward trend ke continuation ka expectation ho sakta hai.

Conversely, agar pair current resistance levels ko break kar leta hai aur 0.6800 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ka potential reversal signal de sakta hai. Yeh recent highs ke upar break hone se support hoga aur yeh suggest karega ke buyers control regain kar rahe hain. Reversal ko confirm karne ke liye, substantial break aur hold above resistance levels zaroori hoga.

### Economic Influences

Kayi economic factors AUD/USD pair ko near future mein influence kar sakte hain. For instance, Australia aur United States ke economic data mein koi significant changes currency pair ke movement ko impact kar sakti hain. Key data points jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank decisions market expectations ko shape karne mein crucial honge.

### Strategic Recommendations

Traders jo currently positions hold kar rahe hain ya naye positions consider kar rahe hain, unke liye zaroori hai ke price action ko key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas closely monitor karein. Agar pair 0.67519 ke neeche trade karta rahta hai aur rebound ke signs nahi dikhata, to bearish stance maintain karna ya short positions consider karna prudent ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar price reversal ke signs dikhati hai, aur resistance levels ko break karti hai, to trading strategies ko adjust karna wise hoga taake potential bullish trend ko accommodate kiya ja sake.

Summary mein, AUD/USD filhal bearish phase mein hai aur significant resistance levels iske movement ko impact kar rahe hain. Jab ke trend abhi downward hai, economic indicators aur key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas price actions ko closely monitor karna crucial hoga agle significant movement ko determine karne ke liye.

**AUD/USD Price Breakdown**

Hum apni guftagu mein AUD/USD currency pair ke power pricing behaviour ko analyse kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ne significant downward movement dekha hai, jahan critical support level 0.6607 hai aur resistance level 0.6668 hai. Yeh resistance level current bearish trend ko maintain karne mein essential hai. Agar 0.6668 break hota hai, toh 0.6732 level ko monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki is level ka break downward direction ko invalidate kar dega. AUD/USD market mein significant levels ke beech ka faasla, jo 0.6475 se 0.6800 tak hai, entry points ke liye ek strong framework provide karta hai. Agar price 0.6475 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh prolonged bearish trend ka signal milega aur further declines dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar AUD/USD 0.6800 ke upar move karti hai, toh ek significant upward trend ban sakta hai, jo primary scenario se alag hai.

**USD ke mukable mein zyada currency pairs ke against kamzor ho raha hai. Lekin AUD/USD pair aaj tak bearish hi raha hai aur reversal ke koi asaar nazar nahi aa rahe. Lekin ho sakta hai raat ko kuch naye developments aayein, kyunki United States apna latest CPI data release karne wale hain, jo forex market ko kaafi volatile bana sakta hai agar data expected ke mutabiq na nikle.**

Pichle price history ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hai ke ek bearish power candle ab tak bearish movement ka driving force raha hai, isliye uske baad jo chhoti reaction nazar aa rahi hai wo asal mein ek bearish trend continuation pattern hai. Agar traders instant sell option kholna chahte hain, toh 0.6692 ke upar ek loss limit place karna profitable sell setup banega, kyunki profit-taking position abhi bhi kaafi door hai around 0.6600 - 0.6570. Agar aap dhyan se dekhein, toh AUD/USD ne pichle daily trading mein relatively strong bearish movement dekha hai. Pichle trading ki closing price opening price se kaafi neeche thi, jo market pressure ko indicate karti hai. Is situation ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke sellers ke liye prices ko deeper level tak push karna worth hai. Toh, sell transaction option ko market trading mein consider karna chahiye.

Hamari tajwez filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda price performance ka jaiza le rahi hai. AUD/USD chart ne recent mein 0.6730 ke resistance se ek significant rebound dikhaya, jo price ko barhne se rok raha hai. Agar market open hone ke baad, pair upar nahi chadh paati aur 0.6730 ke upar apni position ko solidify nahi kar pati, to ek downward scenario ban sakta hai. Is scenario ke mutabiq, trading session ke shuru se price 0.6656 ke accumulation zone ki taraf gir sakti hai. Wahan se yeh phir 0.6714 tak upar jane ki koshish kar sakti hai. Lekin, agar price 0.6714 ke upar break karne mein struggle karti hai, to yeh tezi se collapse kar sakti hai aur established minimum ke niche gir sakti hai.

Halankeh, yeh H4 scenario daily time frame ke technical picture se mukhtalif hai, jahan price MA100 mid-line ke upar hai aur ek confirmed lower fractal possible reversal ko support karta hai. Iske bawajood, H4 scenario jaldi bhi play out ho sakta hai.

Yeh zaroori hai ke hum yeh note karein ke AUD/USD pair ke liye koi substantial tabdeeli nahi hui hai, kyunki yeh consistently ek range ke andar trade kar raha hai. Dominant trend abhi bhi upward hai, recent decline ko ek temporary pullback ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Main ek gehri correction ki ummeed kar raha hoon, lekin yeh zyada tar depend karta hai ke agle hafte US dollar kaise perform karta hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ke aane wale decision ke sath. Agar Fed rates ko 0.4 se cut karti hai, to dollar ko significant weakness ka saamna ho sakta hai. Filhal, main situation ko nazar mein rakh raha hoon. Main ne abhi tak 0.6599 ya 0.6564 ke niche girne ke bare mein nahi socha, lekin agar yeh levels touch hoti hain, to main shayad buying consider karunga.

Australian dollar H4 chart par descending channel ko break nahi kar paaya ya MA100 indicator ke midline ke upar hold nahi kar paaya. Yeh mujhe yeh believe karne par majboor karta hai ke pair channel ke andar hi rahega. Asset ki local overbought condition is ongoing trend mein ek considerable role play kar rahi hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga

AUD/USD joray ne Thursday ko aik volatile session ka samna kiya, jahan prices apne recent highs se wapas aayi hain, China ki economic outlook aur mixed US inflation data ke hawalay se concerns ki wajah se. Shuru mein pair bullish rahi, lekin aakhir mein 0.6670-0.6665 ke qareeb settle hui, jisme din ke duran zyadah tabdeeli nahi hui. AUD/USD ke decline ka primary sabab China ki economic growth ke hawalay se naye doubts thay. Reports ke mutabiq, Chinese hakoomat ke mortgage interest rates mein aik bara cut karne ka irada tha, jo duniya ki doosri bari economy mein potential slowdown ka dar paida kar raha tha. Ye negative sentiment Australian currencies, jin mein AUD bhi shamil hai, par barh gayi, aur doosri taraf USD ki thodi si mazid mazbooti ne downward pressure ko barha diya.



US side par, Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ne mixed tasveer pesh ki. Jahan overall CPI ne cooling trend dikhaya, wahin core CPI mazid qaim rahi, jo Federal Reserve se ziyada aggressive rate cut ki umeedon ko tor gayi. Is wajah se US Treasury yields mein izafa hua aur US dollar ko support mili. Magar, investors ko yakeen hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy easing cycle ka aghaz 25-basis point rate cut se karega, jo risk-sensitive Australian dollar ke liye kuch support faraham kar raha hai.

Aagay dekhte huay, traders ka focus ab US Producer Price Index (PPI) report par hai, taake naye momentum ke liye koi signal mil sake. AUD/USD pair ka technical outlook abhi bhi neutral to bullish hai. Halankeh RSI weakness dikhata hai, Stochastic ne recently upar ki taraf reversal dikhaya hai, jo further upside ka ishara deta hai. Agar price mein decline jari rehti hai, toh 0.6620 ka level, jo 200-day moving average ke qareeb hai, significant support faraham kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh deeper correction ke chances hain, jahan 0.6560 ka area, jo short-term uptrend line ke paas hai, aik potential target ban sakta hai.

Akhir mein kaha ja sakta hai ke AUD/USD pair iss waqt aik complex landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, jahan economic indicators aur rate expectations dono US aur China se ahm role ada kar rahe hain. Traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur in factors ko ghor se dekhte huay investment decisions leni chahiye.

Profit Potential: AUD/USD Prices
Chaliye AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. AUD/USD pair ne short-term downward momentum dikhaya hai, jo H1 chart par wazeh hai. 120-period Moving Average bhi is bearish direction ko confirm kar raha hai, kyun ke yeh price line ke ooper position mein hai. Zigzag indicator bhi sellers ki dominance ko dikhata hai, jahan se declining peaks ka pata chal raha hai. Aik aur girawat ka imkaan hai jab hourly candle 0.6679 par close hogi. Is context mein selling opportunities buying ke muqable mein zyada favorable nazar aa rahi hain. Filhaal, main 0.6689 ke level se selling ka soch raha hoon, jahan mera initial target 0.6649 hoga aur secondary target 0.6609. Agar nuksaan ka andesha ho, toh yeh 0.6719 ke level par hona chahiye. Dosri taraf, buying tab mumkin hai jab pair 0.6749 ke level ko break kar ke consolidate kare. 0.6789 ka level buying ke liye theek hai, jabke 0.6719 par purchases-losses ka imkaan ho sakta hai.




AUD/USD pair ab tak aik steady downward trajectory par hai, aur agar bearish pattern jari rehta hai, aur price 0.6730 ke accumulation zone ke ooper sustain nahi hoti, toh mazeed declines ke chances hain. Meri bearish movement ki forecast 0.6595 ke support zone ke upper boundary ko target karti hai. Yeh level jaldi se pair ke price ko neeche le aane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar price 0.6684 ke accumulation zone tak upar jaati hai aur phir break nahi karti, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price 0.6684 se downward shift ho kar 0.6595 tak chali jaye, jahan mentioned accumulation hoti hai. Main aam tor par MACD aur Bollinger Band ka istemal H4 chart time frame par daily trades ke liye karta hoon. Trend assessment lower time frame par bhi madadgar hoti hai entry point ko dhundne mein.

AUD/USD ka 4-hour chart yeh dikhata hai ke mid-July se pair bearish structure mein trade kar raha hai, jisme clear downward momentum hai. Hali mein price ne 0.64500 level ke qareeb support dhundi, jo ke aik major liquidity zone ke sath milta hai. Is support level se bounce ne temporary recovery ka sabab bana, lekin price ab bhi key resistance zones ke neeche hai aur 0.67000 ke aas paas selling pressure face kar raha hai. Abhi 0.66750 ke level par price aik Fair Value Gap (FVG) ka reaction de rahi hai, jo late August mein fill hui thi aur retracement ke dauran price ke liye aik magnet ka kaam kiya. 0.67500 ke qareeb jo FVG hai, ab resistance zone ka kaam kar raha hai. 0.68000 ke upar bearish liquidity zone ab bhi aik bara barrier hai, kyun ke market pehle is level ko break karne mein naakaam rahi thi.



Displacement Liquidity Zones (DLiq), jo ke September ke aghaz mein identify ki gayi thi, bhi yeh suggest karti hain ke market ab bhi zyada tar bearish hai. Ye zones bullish attempts ko rokti hain, aur jab bhi market in zones ko test karne ki koshish karta hai, price reject hoti hai, jo strong selling interest ka ishara hai. Potential downside targets ki baat karein, toh agla support level 0.66000 ke psychological level ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek pehle ke liquidity pool ke sath align karta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, toh agla significant liquidity zone 0.64500 region ke qareeb hai, jo ke pehle downtrend ke dauran price ko roknay mein madadgar raha tha.

Dosri taraf, agar buyers 0.67000 resistance ko torne mein kamiyab ho jate hain aur price ko upar le jate hain, toh agla target 0.67500 ka FVG zone hoga. Magar, overall trend suggest karta hai ke market ab bhi bearish control mein hai, aur jab tak sentiment mein significant shift nahi aata, lower price levels ka test karna mumkin hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD ab bhi bearish trend mein hai, jisme critical resistance 0.67000 aur 0.68000 par hai. Agar downside movement barh jati hai, toh price 0.66000 ko test kar sakti hai aur eventually 0.64500 ke support ko dobara test kar sakti hai. Agar 0.67000 ke upar sustained break hota hai, toh bias temporarily change ho sakta hai, lekin strong selling pressure ab bhi clear hai.