ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD currency pair ki market analysis:

Peer (8 July) ko Australian dollar US dollar ke khilaf 0.18% gir kar $0.6737 par band hua. Pichle Jumma ke Asian session mein 0.6761 tak chal kar chhe mahinay ke uchayi par pohanchne ke baad, isne Monday ko profit-taking ki wajah se thoda adjust kiya. Iske ilawa, commodity market Peer ko gir gaya, jis ki wajah se AUD/USD bhi nichayi ki taraf daba hua.

Magar Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate expectations mein izafa hone ki wajah se AUD ki downside space mehdood hai. Market ko ummeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia August mein interest rates ko barhane ki 27% probability hai; mukhalif taur par, Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko cut karne ki 80% probability hai.

Agla, Powell ki Congress ke liye gawahi (Tuesday/Wednesday) aur US CPI data (Thursday) is haftay ke liye klidi honge. Agar yeh events yeh dikhate hain ke Federal Reserve ko ummeed hai ke woh September mein interest rates ko cut karegi, to is se Australian dollar ko barhne ka mauka mil sakta hai.

Technical nazar se, daily chart par, agar AUD/USD 0.6751 ke 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar band hota hai jo December se April tak giravat 0.6871 se 0.63625 tak hai, to yeh bullish hoga aur 0.6871 ki taraf dekha jayega. Upper resistance levels 0.6770, 0.6800 aur 0.6840 hain, jabki support levels 0.6700-10 aur 0.6675-80 hain. Abhi ke liye, is currency pair mein entry ke liye saaf breakout signal ka intezaar karen, kyun ke sideways movement aaj bhi jari reh sakta hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ne European session mein ek range mein trade kiya. US dollar ke kuch major currencies ke muqable mein mazboot hone ke bawajood ek halka sa decline dekha gaya. Pair pichle haftay ke end mein achi rally ke baad ab ek correction ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is waqt, sab investors US Federal Reserve ke head, Jerome Powell, ke speech par focus kar rahe hain, jo Moscow time ke mutabiq takreeban 17:00 baje expected hai. Is instrument ke liye, decline likely hai, magar main scenario upward trend ka resume hona hai. Expected reversal point 0.6685 par hai, mein is mark ke upar buy karunga aur targets 0.6765 aur 0.6785 honge. Bilkul, ek aur scenario bhi likely hai: pair girna shuru karega, 0.6685 ke neeche jaye ga aur merge hoga, phir raasta 0.6645 aur 0.6635 tak khul jaye ga.

**AUD/USD H1 TIME FRAME CHART**

Mein koshish karunga ke aapko bataoon ke aaj AUD/USD currency pair ko kaise trade kar sakte hain. Pehle, directing movement ko determine karna hoga. Bears ismein hissa le sakte hain, isliye selling relevant hai. Current price 0.67330 par sell karna zyada profitable nahi hai. Hum un highest levels ko dekhte hain jahan se profit zyada hoga. Bilkul, aap kal ke high 0.67616 se bhi kar sakte hain, magar resistance level 0.67626 behtar lagta hai. Stop loss ko losses ko limit karne ke liye 0.67651 par rakhunga. Bilkul, agar moose ko pakad lete hain, to aaj naye deals kholne ka koi faida nahi hai. Magar agar sab kuch achi tarah chalta hai, to lower support level 0.66959 par takeoff bohot acha profit dega. Meri best wishes hain un sab ke liye jo aaj AUD/USD sell kar rahe hain.

Australian dollar ne pichle trading hafta mein limited volatility dekhi, lekin 0.6635 low ko retest karne ke baad ek uptrend shuru kiya, jo 0.6701 channel upper ke upar push ho gaya. Is dauran, price target area tak nahi pohunch saka aur aaj bhi yehi halat hai. Price chart super-trending green zone mein hai, jo active buyers ko indicate karta hai. Aaj ke technical perspective se dekhain to 240-minute chart par, hum dekhte hain ke pair ka 0.6610 level ek strong reversal resistance bana hai jo temporarily uptrend ko limit karega. Aur humein pata hai ke Stochastic indicator bhi mark ke qareeb hai. Agar day trading 0.6690 ke neeche rehti hai, to hum ek corrective decline dekh sakte hain jiska pehla target 0.6714 ka retest hoga, aur baad mein 0.6820 ka potential upside target consistent hoga uptrend ke sath.

Agar aap initial breakout dekhain to usne 0.6705 aur 0.6790 ka raasta khola. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pair pichle ek mahine se sideways consolidate kar rahi hai magar recent buying pressure ne upper boundaries ki taraf push kiya. Agar 0.6713 ke upar clear breakout hota hai to significant upward movement trigger ho sakti hai, jo resistance levels 0.6732 tak pohunch sakti hai aur December 2023 ke high 0.6870 ko bhi target kar sakti hai. Agar 0.6732 ke upar sustain na ho payi to support levels 0.6643 aur 0.6618 ki taraf retreat ho sakta hai, aur further downside potentially 0.6590 aur 200-day SMA 0.6558 ko test kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair ne kal north ki taraf confidently push kiya, jisse ek complete bullish candle form hui jo previous day's range ke andar thi aur resistance level 0.67141 ke upar close hui. Given the current scenario, mujhe poora yakin hai ke aaj northern movement continue ho sakti hai, aur is case mein, mein 0.68711 resistance level par nazar rakhunga. Jaisa ke maine pehle mention kiya, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario involve karta hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur further northern movement ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein expect karunga ke price 0.70301 ya 0.71368 resistance level tak pohunchay. In resistance levels ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ke liye wait karunga jo next trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega.

Bilkul, mujhe pata hai ke price aur north push ho sakti hai, lekin yeh situation par depend karega aur kis tarah price specified higher northern targets par react karti hai. Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke 0.68711 resistance level ko retest karte hue reversal candle formation ho aur ek corrective southern movement shuru ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein price ka 0.67141 ya 0.66342 support level tak wapas aane ka wait karunga. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ke liye search karta rahunga, expecting ke price apni upward movement ko resume kare. Bilkul, southern targets tak pohunchne ke possibilities hain, lekin filhal mein un options ko consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe unki quick realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. In short, filhal yeh kaafi possible hai ke price nearest resistance level tak north push kare, aur wahan se mein market situation ko assess karunga aur accordingly act karunga.

AUD/USD H4 WAQT FRAME CHART.

Sab ko acha din!

AUD/USD currency pair ne European session mein range mein trade kiya. Aik bohot hi zara sa giravat dekhi gayi US dollar ke muqablay mein kuch mukhtalif currencies ke sath mazbooti ke bavajood. Pair ek acha rally ke baad is waqt correction ki taraf ja raha hai. Halat mein, sab investors US Federal Reserve ke head, Jerome Powell ke taqreer par tawajjo de rahe hain, jo aam taur par 17:00 Moscow waqt tak expected hai. Is instrument ke liye giravat mumkin hai, lekin mukhya scenario upper trend ko dobara shuru karne ki taraf hai. Intezar kiya ja raha hai ke 0.6685 pe mukhalif hoga, main us mark ke upar kharidunga, 0.6765 aur 0.6785 ke targets ke sath. Zaroor, doosra scenario bhi mumkin hai: pair giravat shuru karega, 0.6685 ke neeche jayega aur gir jayega, phir 0.6645 aur 0.6635 ki taraf rasta khul jayega.


FRAME CHART.

Main aaj AUDUSD currency pair kaise trade kiya ja sakta hai us par analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Sabse pehle, direction movement ka tay kiya jata hai. Bears usme hissa le sakte hain, is liye bechna relevant hai. Mojooda keemat 0.67330 par bechna zyada munafa mand nahi hai. Chaliye dekhte hain un oonchaiyon ko jahan se munafa zyada hoga. Beshak, aap kal ki unchi tak direh sakte hain, 0.67626 ka resistance level behtar lagta hai. Nuksan rokne ke liye stop loss zyada 0.67651 par qaim hoga. Zaroor agar moose pakri gayi, to aaj naye deals kholne ka koi faida nahi hai. Lekin agar sab theek chalta hai, to 0.66959 ke neeche support level par takeoff bohot acha munafa dega. Mere sabse behtar shubhkamnaye jo aaj AUDUSD bechne wale hain.

AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karna multiple technical aur fundamental factors ka analysis talab karta hai. H4 chart par, 0.6364 ke low se shuru hoti hui Australian dollar ki primary momentum upward rahi hai. Bears ke repeated attempts ke bawajood AUD/USD ko support line 0.6589 ke neeche push karna nakaam rahe ha1. **: Friday ke trading close ke baad, yeh nearest significant support level hai. Agar bulls Monday ko is level ke upar hold karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to yeh continued bullish momentum ka signal ho sakt**Resistance at 0.6681**Agar price is resistance level ko break karti hai, to bulls price ko pehle impulse zone 0.6728 tak push kar sakte hain. Yeh zone critical hai kyunki yeh bullish traders ke liye ek potential target ko represent karta hai. Lekin is zone se naye decline attempts bhi ho sakte hain.

3. **Lower Supports at 0.6610 aur 0.6589**: Agar support at 0.6653 fail hota hai aur bears consolidate karte hain, to price in lower support levels tak gir sakti hai. Hal filhal yeh scenario kam lagta hai, given ke strong bullish momentum 0.6364 ke low se observe hui hai.



- **Primary Upward Momentum**: 0.6364 ke low se trend ek clear upward trajectory dikha rahi hai, jo suggest karta hai ke bulls dominant rahe hain.
- **Support aur Resistance Dynamics**: Bears ka 0.6589 ke neeche break karne mein repeated failure strong buying interest ko indicate karta hai lower levels par. Critical support at 0.6653 key area ho ga dekhne ke liye.
- **Impulse Zones**: Resistance at 0.6681 aur subsequent impulse zone at 0.6728 crucial hain bulls ke next potential targets ko determine karne ke liye.

- **Weekend News Impact**: Weekend ka news background Monday ke trading par significant impact dalega. Economic reports, geopolitical developments, ya major policy announcements market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain.
- **French Elections**: Jabke euro French elections ke pehle round par react kar sakta hai, yeh Australian dollar ke liye ek significant driver nahi hoga. AUD/USD pair specific news par respond karega jo Australian ya US economies ko directly affect karta hai.




- **Holding Above 0.6653**: Agar bulls price ko is level ke upar maintain karte hain, next target resistance at 0.6681 ko break karna hoga.
- **Moving Towards 0.6728**: 0.6681 ko break karne par, bulls price ko pehle impulse zone 0.6728 tak push kar sakte hain. Yeh movement strong bullish control ko indicate karega aur further gains ke liye stage set kar sakta hai.


- **Falling Below 0.6653**: Agar bears price ko is support level ke neeche push karte hain, consolidation below this point lower supports 0.6610 aur 0.6589 ki taraf drop lead kar sakta hai.
- **Potential Decline**: In lower supports ko break karna momentum shift ko indicate karega, jahan bears control gain karenge.

- **Moving Averages**: Daily moving averages ko observe karna trend direction ke insights de sakta hai. Filhal, agar price in averages ke upar hai, to yeh bullish case ko support karta hai.
- **Volume aur Oscillators**: Indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) current momentum ki strength gauge karne mein madad kar sakte hain. High buying volume aur bullish crossovers in indicators par further upward movement ko support karenge.



AUD/USD currency pair ek critical juncture par hai. Key support level at 0.6653 aur resistance level at 0.6681 next phase of movement ko determine karenge. 0.6364 ke low se bullish momentum suggest karta hai ke bulls dominant rahe hain, lekin price ko 0.6653 ke upar hold aur 0.6681 ko break karna hoga trend ko continue karne ke liye towards 0.6728. Conversely, 0.6653 ke upar maintain karne mein failure 0.6610 aur 0.6589 ki taraf decline lead kar sakta hai, hal filhal yeh scenario kam lagta hai. Weekend ke news Monday ke market direction ko shape karne mein significant role play karega. Traders ko key technical levels aur market indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye informed decisions lene ke liye.

Aaj, AUD/USD pair ne ek significant gap ke sath open kiya, jo Asian session ke dauran promptly fill ho gaya. Sellers ne control le liya, confidently price ko higher levels ki taraf push kiya, jo strong downward pressure ko demonstrate karta hai. Is initial bearish momentum ke bawajood, ek possibility hai ke price upper boundary ko retest kare jo prevailing sideways pattern ka hai.

Resistance levels jo watch karne hain woh 0.66986 aur 0.67141 par hain. Technical analysis ke zariye yeh levels critical barriers ke tor par identify kiye gaye hain jahan price struggle kar sakta hai. In do resistance levels ki proximity ek strong zone suggest karti hai jahan sellers considerable pressure exert kar sakte hain, jo further upward movement ko prevent kar sakta hai.

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Filhal, price action ek market in flux ko indicate karti hai. Opening gap ko fill karna yeh suggest karta hai ke ek brief period of indecision ya market correction tha, lekin sellers ka subsequent push prevailing bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Yeh bearish sentiment continue kar sakta hai jab tak price convincingly identified resistance levels ko break nahi karti.

Upper boundary of the sideways pattern ka retest ek distinct possibility hai. Trading mein, aise patterns aksar periods of consolidation signal karte hain pehle ek significant price movement ke. Agar price resistance levels 0.66986 ya 0.67141 ko approach kar ke break karne mein fail hoti hai, to yeh ek continuation of the bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Conversely, in levels ke upar successful break ek shift in momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo ek bullish breakout ki taraf lead kar sakta hai.

Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye price action ko jab yeh key resistance levels ko approach karti hai. In points par rejection bearish outlook ko reinforce karega, jabke breakthrough ek new bullish phase ko suggest kar sakta hai. Additionally, volume aur other technical indicators jaise ke moving averages ya oscillators par nazar rakhna further insight de sakta hai strength aur sustainability of any potential price movement ke liye.

Conclusion yeh hai ke AUD/USD pair ka current behavior ek market at a critical juncture ko reflect karta hai. Opening gap ka fill hona aur subsequent push by sellers highlight karta hai prevailing bearish sentiment ko. Lekin, upper boundary of the sideways pattern aur critical resistance levels at 0.66986 aur 0.67141 ka potential retest agle directional move ko determine karne mein crucial hoga. Traders ko vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye in key technical levels ke liye.

Fundamental factors ke ilawa, technical analysis AUD/USD currency pair ke liye valuable insights provide karta hai. Technical analysis historical price data aur chart patterns par focus karta hai taake future price movements forecast kiya ja sake. Yahan dekhein ke kaise technical analysis, fundamental analysis ko complement karta hai AUD/USD ke liye:

#### 1. **Chart Patterns aur Trends**
- **Trend Identification:** Technical analysts charts ko examine karte hain taake AUD/USD prices mein trends identify kiye ja sakein, jaise uptrends, downtrends, ya consolidation phases. Trends market ke general direction ko indicate karte hain aur traders ko help karte hain decide karne mein ke kab buy (in an uptrend) ya sell (in a downtrend) karna hai.
- **Support aur Resistance Levels:** Ye levels technical analysis mein crucial hote hain. Support levels price points ko represent karte hain jahan demand itni strong hoti hai ke price ko further decline hone se rokti hai, jabke resistance levels woh hain jahan selling pressure upward movements ko halt karne ki tendency rakhta hai. Traders aksar in levels ko use karte hain trades ke liye entry aur exit points set karne mein.

#### 2. **Technical Indicators**
- **Moving Averages:** Moving averages specified period ke upar price data ko smooth karte hain, underlying trend ko zyada clearly reveal karte hain. Traders aksar different moving averages (e.g., 50-day aur 200-day) ke crossovers ko potential trend reversals ya continuations ke signals ke tor par dekhte hain.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** RSI recent price changes ki magnitude ko measure karta hai taake overbought ya oversold conditions evaluate ki ja sakein. Jab RSI 70 ke upar cross karta hai, yeh overbought conditions aur possible reversal downward ko suggest karta hai. Conversely, ek RSI jo 30 ke neeche hai oversold conditions aur ek potential reversal upward ko indicate karta hai.

#### 3. **Candlestick Patterns**
- **Japanese Candlesticks:** Candlestick patterns market sentiment ke insights provide karte hain. Patterns jaise doji, hammer, aur engulfing patterns potential reversals ya trends ke continuation ko indicate kar sakte hain.

#### 4. **Volume Analysis**
- **Volume Indicators:** Volume trends ko confirm karne mein help karta hai. Increasing volume during an uptrend strong buying interest ko suggest karta hai, jabke decreasing volume weakening momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.

#### 5. **Correlation with Fundamental Factors**
- Technical analysts bhi fundamental factors ko consider karte hain jo AUD/USD pair ko impact karte hain. Misal ke tor par, ek technical breakout jo strong economic data (e.g., positive GDP growth ya interest rate hikes) se support hota hai bullish signals ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

#### 6. **Event Risk Management**
- Technical analysis event risks ko manage karne mein assist karta hai. Traders aksar technical levels ko use karte hain stop-loss orders place karne ke liye taake potential losses ko limit kiya ja sake agar market unki positions ke against move karti hai unexpected fundamental developments ki wajah se.

### Conclusion

Fundamental aur technical analyses dono ko integrate karna traders ko AUD/USD currency pair ko navigate karne ke liye ek comprehensive approach provide karta hai. Jahan fundamental analysis underlying economic factors aur geopolitical events par focus karta hai jo long-term trends ko drive karte hain, technical analysis precise entry aur exit points offer karta hai historical price data aur patterns ke basis par. In analyses ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur dynamic forex market mein potential trading opportunities ko better anticipate kar sakte hain.

Beshak, meri mojooda bearish outlook ke bawajood, agar 0.6766 level ke upar ek decisive breach aur daily candle closure hota hai, toh main ek alternative scenario ko consider karne ke liye tayaar hoon. Yeh potential shift market dynamics mein bullish momentum ka resurgence signal kar sakta hai, jo quotes ko current local peak 0.6901 ki taraf drive karega. Agar price 0.6751 ke upar violate karne aur hold karne mein kamyab hoti hai, toh yeh traders ke liye ek clear buying opportunity present karega. Tafseel mein, 0.6731 level ke neeche ek false breakdown ke baad, upar ki taraf movement likely continue hogi, jo 0.6751 mark ko breach karne ka stage set kar sakti hai. Agar yeh growth trajectory US trading session tak persist karti hai, toh 0.6751 level ke upar break hone ka possibility zyada plausible ban jata hai. Yeh bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega, khaaskar agar buyers 0.6761 level ko surpass karne aur uske upar trading maintain karne mein kamyab hote hain. 0.6711 level ke upar breakout, further buying signals ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo upward trend ko extend karega.Dosri taraf, 0.6711 level ke neeche ek false dip buying opportunity present kar sakta hai, jo ek potential reversal ko indicate karega. Agar market 0.6751 range ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh focus bullish case ko strengthen karne par rahega. In key levels ke upar ek sustained hold ka watch karna crucial hai, kyun ke yeh market ki upward trajectory commitment ko signal karega.

In levels ki significance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta. 0.6766 ke upar breach aur uske upar sustained trading market sentiment ko bearish se bullish mein shift karegi. Yeh level ek critical resistance point serve karta hai, aur isay surpass karna ek significant rally ko 0.6901 peak ki taraf lead kar sakta hai. Traders ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh potential market movements ke bare mein valuable insights provide karte hain. In the event of a sustained upward.
Movement ke dauran, strategic entry points bohot zaroori ban jaate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar 0.6751 ke upar confirmed breakout hota hai toh ek long position enter karna aur stop-loss ko thoda neeche rakhna risk management ko optimize kar sakta hai. Yeh approach potential losses ko minimize karte hue profit opportunities ko maximize karta hai. Iske ilawa, 0.6901 peak ke paas take-profit target set karna ensure karega ke gains secure rahen bina position ko unnecessary risk mein expose kiye.

US session ka market dynamics par impact ko monitor karna bhi crucial hai. US trading session aksar zyada volatility aur liquidity le aata hai, jo market ke direction ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar is dauran price apni upward momentum ko maintain karti hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko strengthen karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur real-time market developments ke mutabiq apni strategies adjust karni chahiye.Aur, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke broader economic context aur koi bhi fundamental factors jo currency pair ko affect kar sakte hain, unko consider kiya jaye. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies sab market sentiment ko shape karne mein significant role play kar sakte hain. In factors ke baare mein informed rehna additional context aur technical analysis ko support provide kar sakta hai, jis se trading

AUD/USD Analysis 09 July 2024
Daily chart par AUD/USD mein significant bullish pressure nazar aata hai, jis ne ahem resistance level 0.66917 ko paar kar liya hai. Is breakout se pehle, AUD/USD ne ek neeche ki taraf correction ka samna kiya tha, lekin qeemat 0.657455 ke aas paas atak gayi thi. Yeh level EMA 50 ke saath milta hai, jo dynamic support ka kaam karta hai. Qeemat ka EMA 50 par reject hona yeh dikhata hai ke upward price movement ko ab bhi bullish power support kar rahi hai. Is level par rejection yeh bhi dikhata hai ke market players ab bhi is area ko ek attractive buying zone samajh rahe hain, is liye ke selling pressure qeemat ko aur neeche lane ke liye kaafi mazboot nahi hai. Yeh signal deta hai ke mojooda uptrend ab bhi jaari hai.

Yeh continued bullish pressure AUD/USD ko agle supply area tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.68166 aur 0.68510 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh supply area ek ahem zone hai jo pehle significant selling point raha hai, is liye naye resistance ke potential ke liye ahtiyaat zaroori hai. Agar qeemat is supply area tak pohanchti hai aur isay paar kar leti hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke bullish trend aur bhi mazboot ho jaye aur mazeed izafa ke raaste ko khol de.

AUD/USD currency pair ki H1 chart par bullish trend kaafi saaf nazar aata hai. Lekin qeemat ab ek sideways condition mein hai, jahan resistance level 0.675183 aur support level 0.67333 ke darmiyan ghum rahi hai. Is halat mein, qeemat ek seemit range mein move kar rahi hai, jisme kisi bhi level ko paar karne ke liye kaafi quwwat nazar nahi aa rahi hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 level jo EMA 100 se oopar hai, yeh bhi ek bullish trend ko darshaata hai jo abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai. EMA 50 jo dynamic support ka kaam karta hai, yeh dikhata hai ke buying pressure ab bhi maujood hai, chahe qeemat abhi ek sideways range mein phansi hui hai.

Yeh condition aam taur par market mein uncertainty ko dikhata hai, jahan market players further confirmation ka intezaar kar rahe hote hain faisla karne se pehle. Agar qeemat 0.675183 ke resistance ko paar kar leti hai, to yeh ek mazboot signal hoga ke buyers ne market par qabza kar liya hai, aur issey aage ke price increases ke raaste ko khol deta hai.

Aaj humari discussion ka mawzu AUD/USD currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka analysis hai. Is waqt, growth slow ho gayi hai, lekin 0.6754 ka area mere liye ek significant level nahi lagta. Kal pair ne daily chart par ek pin ke sath close kiya tha, jo ke ek mazeed decline ka indication hai. Hum 0.669 se neeche ja sakte hain, aur main chahta hoon ke pair is se bhi neeche aaye. Aaj Powell ke speeches aur doosre Fed representatives ke bolne se volatility ka imkan hai. Mere paas immediate targets nahi hain, lekin ek pullback ka waqt aa gaya hai. Agar hum 0.6759 ke area mein wapas aate hain, to main wahan sell karoon ga with a slight stop loss. Chaliye, hum apne AUDUSD pair ke analysis ko M15 time-frame par shuru karte hain. Main exponential moving averages ko periods 9 aur 21 ke sath rely karta hoon. Hum signals ko simple rakhein ge aur in averages ke crossover ko 0.67414 par use karen ge. Thodi si patience aur 5-minute time frame par price pullback ke sath, hum ek market sell order enter karen ge. Main har deal se deal tak calm rehta hoon aur sirf reasonable risks leta hoon.

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Mera stop order twenty-one points par hai. Kuch log isey zyada samjhen ge, lekin yeh figure mere trading experience par kaam karta hai. AUDUSD pair bullish pressure ke neeche hai. Buyers apni positions hold kiye huye hain aur price ko upwards push kar rahe hain. 0.67664 tak pohanchna buyers ke liye reasonable lagta hai. Unki activity join karna aur long positions ko 0.67664 tak hold karna ek prudent move hai. Ek highly volatile market mein, rapid growth above 0.67664 ek corrective decline ko prompt kar sakti hai. Current level 0.67389 se sales unlikely hain, lekin 0.67664 ke upar sales zyada realistic aur profitable ho sakti hain. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke AUDUSD pair bullish momentum mein hai, aur uske baad ki sales likely corrective hongi. Main isay apne money management strategy ka hissa samjhoon ga jab funds allocate karoon ga.

8 July, Monday ko Australian dollar (AUD) US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 0.18% gir gaya, aur $0.6737 par close hua. Yeh girawat tab dekhi gayi jab Asian trading session mein last Friday ko AUD ne chhay mahine ka high $0.6761 touch kiya. Monday ke slight pullback ko traders ke profit-taking activities se mansub kiya ja sakta hai jo recent gains ka faida uthane ki koshish mein the. Iske ilawa, commodity market mein decline, jahan US copper 0.7% aur Dalian iron ore 1.85% gira, AUD ke USD ke muqablay mein kamzor hone ka sabab bana.



Australian economy kaafi hade tak apni commodity exports, khas tor par metals jaise ke iron ore aur copper par depend karti hai. Isliye, commodity prices mein utar chadhav ka seedha asar AUD par hota hai. Monday ko commodity prices ki girawat ne Australian dollar par burden dala. Iron ore aur copper Australia ke liye bohot ahem exports hain, aur inki prices ka girna export revenues ko kam kar sakta hai, jo ke AUD ke liye negative impact hota hai.



Iron ore Australia ki primary exports mein se hai, aur iski price AUD ki strength ka significant determinant hai. Monday ko Dalian iron ore prices mein 1.85% ki girawat demand ke hawale se concerns ko reflect karti hai, khaaskar China se, jo Australian iron ore ka major importer hai. Lower iron ore prices weaker demand ya oversupply ko suggest karti hain, jo Australian economy aur iski currency par negative impact dal sakti hain.



Isi tarah, Monday ko copper prices mein 0.7% ki girawat bhi AUD ko affect karti hai. Copper bhi Australia ke liye ek aur crucial export hai, aur iski price aksar global economic health ka barometer hoti hai. Copper prices ka girna slow economic activity ya reduced industrial demand ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo Australia ke liye lower export revenues ka sabab ban sakta hai.


Friday ko set hone wala recent high $0.6761 AUD/USD pair ke liye ek significant resistance level mark karta hai. Resistance levels wo price points hain jahan selling pressure aksar further upward movement ko rok deti hai. Monday ko $0.6737 par subsequent pullback suggest karta hai ke AUD ne is level par significant resistance face kiya, jo traders ko profits lene par majboor kar gaya.


Moving averages ka jaiza lena AUD/USD trend ke hawale se mazeed insights faraham kar sakta hai. 20-day moving average (EMA) aur 50-day moving average (SMA) aksar short-term aur medium-term trends identify karne ke liye use hote hain. Monday ko AUD/USD pair ka 20-day EMA slightly current price se neeche tha, jo potential upward trend ko indicate karta hai. Agar AUD/USD 20-day EMA se upar rahe, to yeh continued bullish momentum ka ishara ho sakta hai.


Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek momentum oscillator hai jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai. 70 se upar ka RSI aksar overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai, jabke 30 se neeche ka RSI oversold conditions ko suggest karta hai. Monday ko AUD/USD pair ka RSI 60 ke aas paas tha, jo indicate karta hai ke pair abhi overbought territory mein nahi hai lekin kuch upward momentum rakhta hai. Lekin, traders ko RSI ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke 70 se upar ka move ek potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai.


Australian economy ki performance closely apni export market aur domestic economic indicators se related hai. Australia's economic growth, employment rates, aur inflation ke hawale se recent data AUD ki future trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial hoga. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki monetary policy decisions, including interest rate changes, bhi kaafi important role play karti hain. Higher interest rates foreign investment ko attract karti hain, jo AUD ko boost deti hain, jabke lower rates ka ulta asar hota hai.


US economy ki health bhi AUD/USD pair ko kaafi influence karti hai. GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation rates jaise key indicators USD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, including interest rate hikes ya cuts, ka AUD/USD exchange rate par significant impact hota hai. Haal hi mein, Federal Reserve inflation ko manage karne par focused hai, jahan rate hikes rising prices ko control karne ka tool hain. Fed ki policy stance mein kisi bhi change ka direct impact AUD/USD exchange rate par hoga.

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka jaiza lete hain aur discuss karte hain. Yeh pair abhi 0.67435 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh quote 0.67361 aur 0.67698 ke darmiyan hai, jo growth ka aghaz indicate karta hai. Main buy trades karta hoon aur targets ko 0.68035 par set karta hoon, kyunke yeh aaj ke liye volatility limit hai. Is se upar ka koi bhi price ek prime entry point hai sales ke liye. Agar price 0.67361 par ya is se neeche girti hai, to main stop loss execute karunga aur apni position sell kar dunga. Lekin agar price 0.67361 se upar rehti hai, to main apni position hold karunga, expecting ke buying trend barqarar rahegi aur mujhe apna trading goal achieve karne mein madad milegi. Kal, main ne dekha ke shayad ek potential pullback ho towards H1 support level at 0.6689. Halanki ek attempt hua pullback ka, lekin yeh 0.6689 level tak nahi pohunchi ya break nahi hui.



Isliye, mere plans change nahi hue hain. Agar 0.6689 break hoti hai, to alternative option valid rehti hai, with potential targets at 0.6834 jab tak 0.6649 break nahi hoti. Is case mein, yeh pair 0.6509 tak drop ho sakti hai, supporting D1.

AUD/USD Asian session mein Tuesday ko 0.6749 level recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai, supported by a stable US dollar aur positive market sentiment. Buyers Australia ke declining consumer aur business confidence ko ignore kar rahe hain, aur focus kar rahe hain Fed Chairman Powell ke speech par. Agar bulls successful hote hain aur AUD/USD July high of 0.6760 ko break karta hai, to yeh 0.6870 level ko challenge kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, bearish moves is pair ko June low of 0.6573 aur critical 200-day average of 0.6562 tak push kar sakti hain. Further decline May low of 0.6464 ko revisit kar sakta hai.

Fundamental factors ke ilawa, technical analysis AUD/USD currency pair ke liye qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Technical analysis historical price data aur chart patterns par focus karta hai taake aanewale price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Yeh dekhiye ke kaise technical analysis, fundamental analysis ko complement karta hai AUD/USD ke liye:


- **Trend Identification**: Technical analysts charts ko examine karte hain taake trends identify kiye ja sakein AUD/USD prices mein, jaise ke uptrends, downtrends, ya consolidation phases. Trends market ki general direction ko indicate karte hain aur traders ko madad dete hain ke kab buy (uptrend mein) ya sell (downtrend mein) karna hai.
- **Support Aur Resistance Levels**: Yeh levels technical analysis mein nihayat ahem hote hain. Support levels woh price points hote hain jahan demand itni strong hoti hai ke price ko further decline hone se rokti hai, jabke resistance levels woh areas hote hain jahan selling pressure upward movements ko rokta hai. Traders aksar in levels ko trades ke entry aur exit points set karne ke liye istemal karte hain.

- **Moving Averages**: Moving averages price data ko ek specified period ke liye smooth out karte hain, aur underlying trend ko zyada clear karte hain. Traders aksar different moving averages (jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day) ke crossovers ko potential trend reversals ya continuations ke signals ke tor par dekhte hain.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: RSI recent price changes ki magnitude ko measure karta hai taake overbought ya oversold conditions evaluate ki ja sakein. Jab RSI 70 ke upar cross karta hai, to yeh overbought conditions aur ek possible downward reversal suggest karta hai. Waisa hi, agar RSI 30 se neeche hota hai, to yeh oversold conditions aur ek potential upward reversal indicate karta hai.


- **Japanese Candlesticks**: Candlestick patterns market sentiment ke baare mein insights faraham karte hain. Patterns jaise ke doji, hammer, aur engulfing patterns potential reversals ya trend continuations ko indicate kar sakte hain.


- **Volume Indicators**: Volume analysis trends ko confirm karne mein madad karti hai. Uptrend ke dauran increasing volume strong buying interest ko suggest karti hai, jabke decreasing volume momentum mein kamzori ko signal kar sakti hai.


- Technical analysts un fundamental factors ko bhi consider karte hain jo AUD/USD pair ko impact karte hain. For example, ek technical breakout jo strong economic data (jaise ke positive GDP growth ya interest rate hikes) se supported ho, bullish signals ko reinforce kar sakta hai.


- Technical analysis event risks ko manage karne mein bhi madad karti hai. Traders aksar technical levels ko stop-loss orders place karne ke liye istemal karte hain taake potential losses ko limit kiya ja sake agar market unki positions ke against move kare unexpected fundamental developments ki wajah se.


Fundamental aur technical analyses ko integrate karna traders ko ek comprehensive approach faraham karta hai AUD/USD currency pair ko navigate karne ke liye. Jabke fundamental analysis underlying economic factors aur geopolitical events par focus karta hai jo long-term trends ko drive karte hain, technical analysis precise entry aur exit points faraham karta hai historical price data aur patterns ke basis par. In analyses ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur potential trading opportunities ko better anticipate kar sakte hain dynamic forex market mein.

Bilkul, mere mojooda bearish outlook ke bawajood, main ek alternative scenario consider karne ke liye tayaar hoon agar 0.6766 level ke upar ek decisive breach aur daily candle closure hota hai. Yeh potential shift market dynamics mein bullish momentum ka resurgence signal kar sakta hai, jo quotes ko current local peak 0.6901 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar price 0.6751 ke upar successfully violate aur hold kar leti hai, to yeh traders ke liye ek clear buying opportunity present kar sakti hai. Tafseelat mein, 0.6731 level ke neeche ek false breakdown ke baad, ek continued movement upside ki taraf likely hai, jo 0.6751 mark ka breach set kar sakti hai. Agar yeh growth trajectory US trading session tak persist karti hai, to 0.6751 level ke upar break ki possibility zyada plausible ho jati hai. Yeh bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega, khas tor par agar buyers 0.6761 level ke upar trading ko surpass aur maintain karne mein kamiyab ho jaate hain. 0.6711 level ke upar breakout aur zyada buying signals trigger kar sakta hai, upward trend ko extend kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6711 level ke neeche ek false dip buying opportunity present kar sakti hai potential reversal ke liye. Agar market 0.6751 range ke upar consolidate karti hai, to focus bullish case ko strengthen karne par hoga. Yeh ahem hai ke closely monitor kiya jaye ke key levels ke upar sustained hold kis tarah hota hai, kyunke yeh market ki upward trajectory ke commitment ko signal karta hai.

In levels ki ahmiyat ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. 0.6766 ke upar breach aur sustained trading market sentiment ko bearish se bullish mein shift karega. Yeh level ek critical resistance point hai, aur isko surpass karne se significant rally ho sakti hai towards 0.6901 peak. Traders ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke yeh potential market movements ke valuable insights faraham karte hain. Ek sustained upward movement ke dauran, strategic entry points nihayat ahem ho jati hain. Misaal ke tor par, agar 0.6751 ke upar confirmed breakout hota hai, to ek long position enter karna aur stop-loss ko slightly neeche place karna risk management ko optimize kar sakta hai. Yeh approach potential losses ko minimize aur profit opportunities ko maximize karti hai. Additionally, ek take-profit target 0.6901 peak ke kareeb set karna ensure karta hai ke gains secure hain bina position ko unnecessarily risk expose kiye.

US session ka market dynamics par impact monitor karna bhi crucial hai. US trading session aksar increased volatility aur liquidity laati hai, jo market ki direction ko influence kar sakti hai. Agar price is waqt ke dauran apni upward momentum ko maintain karti hai, to yeh bullish outlook ko strengthen karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko real-time market developments ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Yeh bhi ahem hai ke broader economic context aur kisi bhi fundamental factors ko consider kiya jaye jo currency pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies sab market sentiment ko shape karne mein significant role play karte hain. In factors ke baare mein informed rehna additional context aur support faraham kar sakta hai technical analysis ko, trading decisions ko enhance karte hue.

Decoding the live pricing of the AUD/USD currency pair involves analyzing multiple technical and fundamental factors. H-4 chart par shuruat 0.6364 ke neeche se Australian dollar ki primary momentum upward rahi hai. Bears ki bar bar koshishon ke bawajood jo hai ke AUD/USD ko 0.6589 support line ke neeche daba sakein, yeh koshishen nakam raheen hain.



1. **0.6653 par Support**: Juma ko trading band hone ke baad, yeh sab se qareebi ahem support level hai. Agar bulls es level ko Monday ko maintain kar sakte hain, to yeh continued bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai.

2. **0.6681 par Resistance**: Agar price is resistance level ko break karta hai, to bulls price ko upar le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain pehle impulse zone tak jo 0.6728 hai. Yeh zone ahem hai kyunke yeh bullish traders ke liye potential target represent karta hai. Lekin, is zone se new attempts to decline bhi ho sakti hain.

3. **Lower Supports 0.6610 aur 0.6589 par**: Agar 0.6653 support fail hota hai aur bears consolidate karte hain, to price in lower support levels tak gir sakta hai. Is scenario ki possibility abhi kam lagti hai, kyunke 0.6364 ke neeche se observed strong bullish momentum hai.



- **Primary Upward Momentum**: 0.6364 ke low se trend clear upward trajectory dikhata hai, jo kehta hai ke bulls dominant rahe hain.
- **Support aur Resistance Dynamics**: Bears ke repeated failure 0.6589 ke neeche break karne mein strong buying interest indicate karta hai. Critical support 0.6653 ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.
- **Impulse Zones**: 0.6681 par resistance aur uske baad ka impulse zone 0.6728 next potential targets determine karne mein crucial hain.


- **Weekend News Impact**: Weekend ki news background Monday ke trading par significant impact dal sakti hai. Economic reports, geopolitical developments, ya major policy announcements jaise events market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain.
- **French Elections**: Euro French elections ke first round se react kar sakta hai, lekin ye Australian dollar ke liye significant driver nahi hoga. AUD/USD pair zyada tar specific news se react karega jo directly Australian ya US economies ko affect kare.


1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- **0.6653 ke upar Holding**: Agar bulls price ko is level ke upar maintain kar sakte hain, to next target 0.6681 resistance ko break karna hoga.
- **0.6728 ki taraf move**: Agar 0.6681 ko break kiya jata hai, to bulls price ko pehle impulse zone tak 0.6728 le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh movement strong bullish control indicate karega aur further gains ke liye stage set kar sakta hai.


- **0.6653 ke neeche Girna**: Agar bears price ko is support level ke neeche push kar sakte hain, to consolidation is point ke neeche ek decline towards lower supports 0.6610 aur 0.6589 tak le ja sakta hai.
- **Potential Decline**: In lower supports ko break karna momentum mein shift indicate karega, jahan bears control gain kar sakte hain.


- **Moving Averages**: Daily moving averages ko observe karna trend direction ko samajhne mein help karta hai. Currently, agar price in averages ke upar hai, to yeh bullish case ko support karta hai.
- **Volume aur Oscillators**: Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) jaise indicators current momentum ki strength ko gauge karne mein madad karte hain. High buying volume aur bullish crossovers in indicators ke further upward movement ko support karte hain.


AUD/USD currency pair ek critical juncture par hai. Key support level 0.6653 aur resistance level 0.6681 next movement ke phase ko determine karenge. 0.6364 ke low se observed bullish momentum suggest karta hai ke bulls dominant rahe hain, lekin price ko 0.6653 ke upar hold karna zaroori hai aur 0.6681 ko break karna hai is trend ko towards 0.6728 tak continue karne ke liye. On the other hand, agar 0.6653 ke upar maintain na ho paye, to ek decline towards 0.6610 aur 0.6589 possible hai, lekin yeh scenario abhi kam likely lagta hai. Weekend ki news Monday ke market direction ko shape karne mein significant role play karegi. Traders ko key technical levels aur market indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye informed decisions ke liye.