ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Pair Ka Jaaiza

AUD/USD D1 waqt frame par. Kal kuch resistance ke baad thoda paani chhoda gaya aur bhari paani mashriq ki taraf dabaav ke saath chala gaya, jis se aik chhota sa candle aasani se toota aur paani ud gaya, jis se harkat mazboot hoti gayi jo mere marking ke mutabiq 0.65591 par thi. Mozzie ke case mein, main ye keh raha hoon ke aaj oopri harkat jari rahegi aur kharidne wale rukh ke resistance level ko paar kar jayega. Subah, main resistance level par nigaah rakhne ka iraada karta hoon, jo ke filhaal 0.66347 par hai, aur resistance level 0.66677 par. Aik maqam jahan resistance level qareeb hai, iraada mumkin hai. Pehla maqsad in levels ki mustaqil aur mustaqeemiyat ke sath niptane ka hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke keemat ka resistance level, jo ke 0.67289 par hai, qaim rahega. Resistance level ke qareeb, main aik trade setup banane ka intezaar karunga, jo agle trade move ka raasta tay karne mein madad karega. Magar, main ye dekh raha hoon ke main zyada shumali maqasid ki taraf ja raha hoon, isliye main apni raah ke doran poori shumali raah ka istemal karne ka iraada kar raha hoon, jab tak Mazda Moji par na dikhayi de. Keemat ke liye ek aur option yeh ho sakta hai ke woh aik reversal candle bana de aur jab resistance level 0.66347 ko ya resistance level 0.66677 ke qareeb pohanchega, keemat phir se girne lagti hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to main keemat ko support level 0.65591 par wapas jane ka intezaar karunga. Quotes Bollinger Bands ke oopri line ki taraf ja rahe hain, 0.6625. Magar, keemat ke darjat ko pesh karna pesh kiya jayega, to bullion ko 0.6600 ke resistance level ka samna karna padega. Agar yeh level fateh ho gaya, to keemat 0.6625/0.6630 ilaqa ki taraf jaayegi. Is level ke upar, agla level bubble ke liye 0.6650 hai, phir 0.6690. Magar agar keemat oopri level mein kamiyab nahi hoti aur instead neeche ke rukh mein chalti hai, to woh 0.6530 level ko nishana banayega, phir 0.6500 par super support level par. Agar bears yeh level todenge, to agla level 0.6470/0.6450 zone hoga. Chalo dekhte hain trading doraan kya hota hai.

AUD/USD ab 0.6598 par trade ho raha hai likhne ka waqt. AUD/USD ka market baqi major currency pairs se mukhtalif nahi hai. AUD/USD aik shandar pair hai; iski wajah se ke kai public figures is mein behtareen munafa kamate hain. Hum ab yahan se ek sell rally ka intezar kar sakte hain. Ab agar hum AUD/USD ki taraf dekhein to ye bearish side par hai. Sellers ka momentum dheema hai, isliye keemat kam pressure ke saath giri hai. Dheere dheere mujhe mehsoos hota hai ke mere pass AUD/USD ka acha analysis hai kyunki main bohot kaam AUD/USD mein karta hoon, isliye main ismein trading karta hoon aur behtareen munafa bhi hasil karta hoon. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki value is waqt 46.6779 hai is time frame chart par, isliye overall sellers AUD/USD par dominant hain, aur is wajah se mujhe yeh umeed hai ke AUD/USD support ko tod kar apna agla support chho dega. Ussi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bearish wave mein trade kar raha hai. MACD bohot kam level par move kar raha hai.

20 EMA aur 50 EMA bhi 0.7918 ke level ke neeche trade kar rahe hain, jo ke girawat ki alamat hai. AUD/USD ke liye chhoti-muddat ki rukawat 0.7918 ke aas paas hai. Agar AUD/USD $0.7918 ke upar break kar jaye aur phir se theek nahi ho, to kharidari karne walay dilchaspi dikha sakte hain aur AUD/USD ko $0.9384 par laa sakte hain aur AUD/USD par dabaav daal sakte hain agle nishana $1.1043 par jo ke 3rd level ki resistance hai. Dusri taraf, AUD/USD ke liye chhoti-muddat ki support 0.6163 ke aas paas hai. Agar AUD/USD $0.6163 ke neeche break kar jaye aur phir se theek nahi ho, to farokht karne walay dilchaspi dikha sakte hain aur AUD/USD ko $0.5064 par laa sakte hain aur AUD/USD par dabaav daal sakte hain agle nishana $0.4611 par jo ke 3rd level ki support hai. Main yeh sujhav deta hoon ke AUD/USD ko 0.4611 tak bech diya jaye; yeh lambi muddat ka trade hai, isliye acha inaam hasil karne ke liye sabr karna chahiye.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator muddat 14:
50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

Australian dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko musbat ma'ashi data ke ikhtitam par teesre din mazboot izafa kiya. Godot Bank Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne Australia ke manufacuring sector ka behtar manzar nama dikhaya, jo ke ma'ashi moroo per investors ki itimad ko barha kar unhein economy mein aitmad barha diya. Mazeed, Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) ne behtar year-on-year (YoY) data jaari kiya, jo AUD ke izafe ko mazeed taqat di. Wahi, US dollar (USD) ko ISM Service Industry PMI data ka izafah kam se kam ki umeed se mukhaatab hona para. Yeh data point USD par dabaav barhane ka sabab ban gaya, jo ke pehle se Federal Reserve officials ke naram speech se kamzor tha. Chair Jerome Powell ne Federal Reserve ki raaye mein darjai peemaish par darwaze ke kholne ka ishaarah kiya, ma'ashi policy mein data-driven approach ko wazeh karte hue.
AUD ke izafe ko mazeed tezi di prominent Federal Reserve officials ke tajurbaat ne jaise ke Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed ke president, jo Q4 2024 mein ek rate cut ka ishaarah diya. Is ke ilawa, Aderiana Kuogler, ek Fed member, ne jaari deflationary trend par roshni daali, jo saal ke ikhtitam tak kam az kam teen interest rate cuts ko zaroori bana sakta hai. Is ne usay tor diya aur barh gaya, jisse ke halaat ki taraf se ek upar ki taraf ka rujhaan ka imkaan hai. Saaf hai ke ab kisi bhi khareedari ki koi baat nahi hai, ek correcting pullback hoga, jo ke matlab hai ke agar aap Australia ko trade karte hain, to sirf farokht ke liye hoga. Ab yeh kam mumkin hai, lekin kal, subah, main ek mazboot benchmark par faisla karne ki koshish karunga aur farokht karunga.

اپریل 4 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

کل، آسٹریلوی ڈالر میں تیزی سے اضافہ ہوا جبکہ گرین بیک نے کمزوری ظاہر کی۔ قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کی مزاحمت سے آگے نکل گئی، اور آج صبح، یہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.6600) کی مزاحمت کے قریب پہنچ گئی۔ 0.6627 ہدف کی سطح کی مزاحمت اس نشان سے قدرے اوپر مل سکتی ہے۔



ایسی مزاحمتی سطحوں پر قابو پانے کے لیے، آسٹریلیا کو مضبوط محرک کی ضرورت ہوگی، جیسے کہ امریکی ملازمت کے اعداد و شمار، جو کل جاری کیے جائیں گے۔ اعداد و شمار پر منحصر ہے، یا اس کے بجائے، مارکیٹ کے ردعمل پر، قیمت یا تو 0.6627 سے آگے نکل جائے گی اور 0.6693 کی ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھ جائے گی، یا 0.6480 پر واپس جائیں، اور پھر 0.6410 تک پہنچنے کی کوشش کریں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہو گیا ہے، جس سے تیزی کے منظر نامے کا امکان بڑھ گیا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت مستحکم ہو گئی ہے اور دونوں اشاری خطوط سے اوپر بڑھ رہی ہے۔ مارلن، مزاحمت کی قربت کو محسوس کرتے ہوئے، اس کی ترقی کو سست کر چکی ہے۔ امریکی اعداد و شمار کے کل جاری ہونے سے غیر یقینی صورتحال دور ہو جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD currency pair ki ghantawar chart dikhata hai ke khareedne walay farokht karne walon se mazboot hain. Ye 120 muddat Moving Average trend indicator ke zariye dikhaya jata hai, kyun ke ye indicator line qeemat ke neeche mojood hai. Ek aur zig zag indicator dawata hai ke ek uthne wale banawat hai; chart dikhata hai ke neechay aur bulandiyaan barhti ja rahi hain. Is liye, din ke doran, main 0.6590 ke level se khareedari ka tawajjo rakh raha hoon pehle maqsad munafa ke liye 0.6630 ke qeemat tak, doosra maqsad 0.6670 ke level ko shamil karna hoga, stop loss 0.6560 ke level par hai. Agar pair 0.6530 ke qeemat par toot kar mustehkam ho jaye, to aap farokht kar sakte hain. Farokht ke liye munafa 0.6490 ke level par hai, aur stop loss 0.6560 ke level par hai. M15 chart par, bhi kharidari zyada hai, is liye behtar hai ke pair ko khareedna; aap farokht ka signal miss kar sakte hain. Behtar hai ke aap apne trading ko trend ki taraf mein chalayein.Aaj ke liye, is trading instrument AUD/USD ke liye meri choti si tajwez mein, main currency pair ki mazeed izafa ka intezar karta hoon. 4 ghantay ke waqt mein sab indicators currency pair ke izafa ko dikhate hain. 4 ghantay ka amomi rukh oopar ki taraf hai. 1 ghantay mein hum dekhte hain ke currency pair qeemat ke rukh 0.65994 ke qareeb hai. Aaj main is rukawat ke tootne ka intezar karta hoon aur currency pair ke mazeed izafa ki umeed rakhta hoon, agle rukawat ke level 0.66323 tak. Jab ye rukawat ka level pohanch jaye, to main currency pair ki ek rujoo ki umeed rakhta hoon. Agar currency pair is rukawat ka level 0.66323 toor sakta hai aur is ke oopar qadam jamata hai, to main currency pair ki mazeed izafa ki umeed rakhta hoon agle rukawat ke level tak.

AUD/USD currency pair ke dhamakedar mahol mein, farokhtkaranon ne khaas taqat ke sath uthar chadhaav kiya hai, jo ke market ki sargarmi ka dilchasp waqiya darust karta hai. Ye uthar chadhaav mazeed janoobi raftar ki compelling sargarmi ki afsaaniyat ko numayish karta hai. Haal mein manzar ab plexity se bhara hai, lekin meri tajziya taslem karne ke bajaye fazool rukh se majboor hai, jis mein ek numayish mukhtasir target ke tor par 0.6529 ka ek aham AUD/USD daily M15 wakti tablo shamil hai. Mojudah jazbaat ek wazeh rasta numayish karte hain neeche ki taraf, jo kisi bhi shimali raftar ke muqablay mein ek buland imkan ko izhar karta hai. Magar, hushyar khatra nigrani ke mutabiq tayyar rahna mukhtalif khatarnak waqiyat ke liye zaroori hai. Mumkin hai ke qeemat ke amal pehle shimal ki taraf chhota sa phiraaq darust kare, sirf fauran barqi rukh ke sath punarwatan kare. Is ke ilawa, meri tajziya tasfeer havi karta hai muaavin khabron ke asar ko. Is tarah, apne currency pair par koi bhi asar daalne wale maamlat par tabaiyati taur par muttahid rehna munasib hai. Agar Australian dollar ko mutasir karne wale kisi bhi aham waqiyat ke aane ki kami mein, hamara tawajjo graphical indicators ki mushahida ko tezi se pakar leta hai. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD currency pair ke liye tajziya aik mukammal tajziya ko darust karta hai, jo market dynamics aur khabri asar ke complexities ke zariye guzar raha hai. Mumkin fluctuations ke nazdeek se nazar rakhte hue, stakeholders currency exchange markets ke tabdeel hone wale manzar ko navigational faisle mein munfarid hain.

Maujooda halat ka tajziya karte hue coordinates par, evolve hone wale khabri pichharaundi ko shamil karna zaroori hai aur market dynamics ko keemat tak pahunchane wale raaste ko kaise asar daalenge, isko tajziya karna zaroori hai. Ek mumkin manzar mein, keemat ke giravat ka ek rukh neeche ki taraf 163.70 ki taab ke qareeb jana hai, jo ke shayad is satah ke neeche jamhooriat se ley aayega aur baad mein janoobi rukh ki taraf jana hai. Agar yeh manzar mojood ho, to tawajjo is taraf barhaayi jayegi ke is support zone ke qareeb bullish signals ke liye hawalati tor par, ummeedwar aik wapas upward price trend ke qareeb. Magar, is market manzar mein mazeed door ki janoobi manzil ko chherna mumkin hone ki mumkinat ko tasleem karna bhi ahem hai. AUD/USD currency pairs ka tajziya karte hue, ye wazeh ho jata hai ke behtareen trading strategies ko mukhtalif key resistance levels par bechne ki positions shuru karne mein shamil karna chahiye, mazeed tarah par. Ye faisla is tasleem par mabni hai ke trend indicator aalaat ke maujooda qeemat ko par kar chuka hai, jo ke ek pasandida neeche ki raftaar ko numayish karta hai. Aik hushyar approach ko ek target ko muntazam karna chahiye, jabke nuqsaan ko kam karne ke liye aik stop-loss order ko amal mein laana chahiye. Is ke ilawa, basement indicator ye karobarati strategy ko support karta hai, aur is trading strategy

Pichle haftay, Australian bayrozgaari dar mein kami 4.0% se 3.7% tak hui aur rozgaar dar mein izafa 39.7K se 115.5K tak pahunch gaya. Hum keh sakte hain ke yeh data behtar hai jo AUD/USD ke market mein mukhtalif tabdiliyan la raha hai. Kal, Australian Monetary Policy ki jaanch ke baad bhi, humne AUD/USD ke market mein koi khaas tabdiliyan nahi dekhi. Mazeed, US dollar ke pass aaj bhi mukhtalif khabron ka wide range hai, jaise ke Flash Manufacturing aur Service PMI aur Exiting Home sales. Is liye, humein aaj bhi ehtiyaat se trade karna chahiye kyun ke yeh bhi ek volatile din hai. AUD/USD ke daamon mein kharidari karne walon ko baad mein aur moqa mil sakta hai. Hum keh sakte hain ke Australian bayrozgaari dar mein izafa hua hai, jo ke 4.0% se 3.7% tak gir gaya hai, jabke rozgaar dar 39.7K se 115.5K tak barh gaya hai. Yeh data ek behtareen trend darust karta hai, jo AUD/USD market mein mukhtalif tabdiliyan la raha hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke kal ki Australian Monetary Policy ki jaanch ne AUD/USD market mein kisi bhi khaas tabdili ko janam nahi diya. Magar, aaj ka manzar mukhtalif hai, jahan US dollar mukhtalif news data ke izhaar ka shahkaar hai, jaise ke Flash Manufacturing aur Service PMI figures, sath hi Exiting Home sales ke statistics. Is nateeje mein, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, is din ke natural gudgude ko pehchante hue.
Is gudgude ke bawajood, AUD/USD market mein future mein kharidari karne walon ko faiday mand mauqay miltay jayeinge. Kul mila ke, AUD/USD ke market kharidari karne walon ke favour mein hai jo abhi 0.6626 ke darje tak pohanch gaya hai. Is liye, humein aaj ke calendar mein US dollar se mutaliq mazeed news data ka ehtiyaat se samna karna chahiye.

AUD/USD

Australian dollar (AUD) ne chauthe din mazboot rally ka maza liya, jo Thursday ko musbat ma'loomat ki intihai paishkash ke baad aayi. Australia ke liye Godot Bank Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne mulk ke sanati sector ka roshan manzar pesh kiya, jo ma'ashiyat mein sarmaya darosti ko barhawa diya. Is ke ilawa, Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) ne behtar saalana (YoY) data jaari kiya, jo AUD ke uthne ka sath mazid madad faraham ki. Ek saath, jab ke US dollar (USD) ko ISM Service Industry PMI data kamzor aya. Ye data point USD par dabao barhane ka zor-e-asar barhata hai, jo pehle se hi Federal Reserve ke afwaj speech se kamzor tha. Chair Jerome Powell ne darustiqamat ko interest rate cuts ke liye khulah ashar kiya, monetary policy ke liye data-driven approach ko taqwiyat di. AUD ke uthne mein tail daalne ka silsila federal afwaj ke ahem afraad jaise ke Raphael Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed, ke bayanat the, jo Q4 2024 mein rate cut ki peshkash ki. Is ke ilawa, Aderiana Kuogler, ek Fed member, ne musalsal kam honay wale trend ko buland kiya, jo saal ke ikhtitami tak kam az kam teen interest rate cuts ko zaroori bana sakta hai.



Thursday ko, AUD/USD exchange rate 0.6580 ke aas paas tha. AUD ke liye ahem resistance levels 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke 0.6596 aur psychological level 0.6600 par mojood hain. In levels ke tay shuda toor par upar chadhna 0.6650 exploration level aur March ki unchayi tak pohanchne ka rasta bana sakta hai 0.6667. Magar AUD ke liye nisbatan kamzoriyaten mojood hain. Currency ke liye support ahem 0.6550 level aur 14-day exponential moving average (EMA) ka 0.6543 par mojood hai. In support zones ke tootne se aik pullback ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai 0.6500 psychological level tak. Ikhtitami tor par, Australian dollar ab mojooda ma'ashiyati maalumat aur Federal Reserve ka narm o nafas dafa par sawar hai. Magar AUD/USD jodi ka mustaqbil waziha ma'loomat aur agle mahinon mein federal afwaj ki monetary policy faislon par mabni hoga.

EUR/USD H1 TIME FRAME

EUR/USD pair 1.08532 tak barh gaya jab ke US dollar ne ISM Services ke March ke PMI data ke baad defensive stance maintain kiya. Ye, Fed Chair Powell ke comments ke saath mila ke, aane wale Fedspeak aur US employment data ke aglaar, pair ke saath support pohnchane mein madad kari. Is ke ilawa, kal ke geopolitical sphere mein hone wale events ne market sentiment par asar dala, currency markets mein fluctuations ka shara kya. EUR/USD pair ke latest movement mein ongoing interplay ko reflect karta hai economic data, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events ke darmiyan, jo currency valuations ke liye significant implications rakhte hain. March ke ISM Services ke PMI data ne insights faraham ki economic growth ki, jo overall economy ka ek crucial component hai. Weaker-than-expected figures ne economic growth ke liye potential headwinds ko dikhaya, jisse investors ke darmiyan concerns barh gayi aur US dollar ko apne major counterpart ke khilaf kamzor kar diya. Fed Chair Powell ke comments ne market dynamics ko aur bhi asar andaz bana diya, kyun ke unke remarks often monetary policy ke expectations ko shape karne mein wazeh hoti hain. Powell ke statements, jo market participants ke dwara dovish taur par interpret kiye gaye, ne yeh notion reinforce kiya ke Federal Reserve economic recovery ko support karne ke liye apna accommodating stance maintain karega. Ye sentiment, in turn, risky assets ke demand ko boost kiya aur Jab Hama aur RSI indicators blue aur green colors mein tabdeel ho jayein, to yeh bullish interest aur yeh fact ke buyers market ko is waqt dominate kar rahe hain, ke main confirmation ke tor par shumar kiya jayega. Indicators ke rang badalne ke saath hi, hum market mein dakhil hotay hain aur aik long position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawafiq samjha jayega. Abhi, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada ummeedwar levels neechay darj hain - 1.08601. Zaroori targets ko haasil karne ke baad, chart par price behavior ko barqarar tor par monitor karna ahem hai magnetic level ko paar hone ke baad, aur aglay steps par faisla karna - ya to position ko market mein rakhna aglay magnetic level tak, ya pehle se hi haasil kiye gaye munafa ko lock kar lena. Agar potential profit ko barhane ki koshish ki jaati hai, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD H4 chart par uptrend observed hai. Yeh moving average dealers aur judges ke taraf se kafi closely monitored hota hai aur overall trend direction ka aik dependable index ka kaam karta hai. Is position ke decisive move upar ki taraf aur buyers ko aur attract kar sakta hai, jo ke prices ko upar le ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, cerebral situations jaise ke 0.6600 frequently cerebral walls ki tarah kaam karte hain, jinhein overcome karne ke liye significant instigation ki zaroorat hoti hai. Dealers aksar in situations ke aas paas price action ko cover karte hain taake request sentiment aur implied route openings par muzahira kia jaa sake. 0.6600 ka successful breach renewed bullish sentiment ko spark kar sakta hai, jo ke AUD/USD mein farther upward movement ko fuel kar sakta hai. Summarizing, mojooda Fibonacci retracement phase aur 0.6600 ki cerebral position AUD/USD ke price action ko assess karne ke liye pivotal factors present karte hain. Dealers ko in situations par nazar rakhni chahiye aur bullish durability ke signs ke liye dekhna chahiye, utasalar agar currency brace 50-day EMA ke upar break karta hai aur cerebral hedge ke pare muzahira ko barqarar rakhta hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) currency brace ne pichle haftay mein fortunes ka reversal dekha. Strong Australian employment data ke bawajood jo ke severance mein significant kami aur bari tadad mein naye jobs create hone ki misaal thi, AUD/USD apni recent trading range ke neeche 0.6500 ke aas paas gir gaya. Yeh giravat Australia se positive sentiment ke bawajood aayi jab US data release hua, jo ke khaas tor par exceptional nahi tha, lekin Australia se aaye positive sentiment ko kafi zyada tha. Australia ke emotional jobs figures dekhte hue deceptive lag rahe the. Jabke headline numbers positive thay, statistics experts ne seasonal factors par tawajju dilaai jo ke enhancement mein hissa daal sakte thay. Is ke ilawa, severance rate, wala ke kam hua, ab bhi wahi position par hai jahan woh six months ago tha.

AUD/USD brace ne early March se downcast trend dekha hai, crucial technical pointers ke neeche girte hue. Lekin, yeh temporary recovery bhi manage kia after pacifist signals from the Federal Reserve. Lekin, yeh kai price points par resistance face kar sakta hai, including recent highs aur highs from December 2023 aur May 2023, agar AUD strengthen hota hai. Phir se, agar AUD aur weak hota hai, toh recent months ke support situations ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh support situations ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh ek further decline ka rukh le sakta hai.

Aakhri teen din se Australian dollar (AUD) taraqqi kar raha hai, jis ka sabab kamzor hota ja raha US dollar (USD) hai. USD ki kami Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke Congress ke samne di gayi bayanat se hai, jinhone ishara kiya ke agar mahol ko qaboo mein rakha jaye, to Fed is saal interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Yeh naram mawaqif, sath hi stock market ki behtar performance ke saath, investoron ke dilchaspi ko AUD ki taraf barhane mein madad ki hai. Australia mein S&P/ASX 200 index haal hi mein naye uchayiyan chhoo chuka hai, jo ke Wall Street par technology stocks ke jariye dekhi gayi faaide ki tasalli se mutaasir hota hai. Yeh musbat mazbooti ko Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) jaise bade central banks ke interest rates mein kami ki umeed se joda ja sakta hai. Australia ki chauthi sathaar ke kamzor se tamam economic growth aur kamzor tarjumani ko bawajood, AUD mazbooti se qaim hai. Ye economic indicators RBA ke liye interest rates ko nazdeeki mustaqbil mein kam karne ka faisla karne ka dawa ko mazboot karte hain.

Market ki tajziya ke mutabiq RBA shayad August mein hi interest rates ko kam karne ka amal shuru kar sakta hai, jismein 2024 ke darmiyan total 45 basis points ki kami ki tawaqquh ki jati hai. AUD/USD jodi ne apni downtrend line ko paar karne aur usay barabar karne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai, lekin 200-day moving average par mukarrar inkar ka samna kiya hai. Agar jodi ko mazeed girawat ka samna karna pare, to February ke support level 0.6467 initial defense mechanism ban sakta hai. Agar is level ko tor diya jata hai, to AUD/USD jodi ko 2024 ke 0.6441 low tak pohanchne ka imkan ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat isay August ke 0.6363 low tak le ja sakta hai.


Doosri taraf, ek upward trend ke dauran qeemat ko 0.6525 tak chadhane ka imkan hai, jo ke aitihasik tor par support aur resistance dono ki hesiyat se raha hai. Mazeed faida hilne se haal ki unchi 0.6593 ke baad rok sakta hai, phir January ke level 0.6623 par mukarrar inkar ka samna kiya jayega. Agar AUD/USD is noqtey ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh 0.6689 mark par challenge kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD ka D1 time frame par dekha jaye to, chhoti si janoobi rokawat ke baad, qeemat ki ulte dhārā ho gayi aur tezi se bharak uthi aur purab ki taraf daab ke sath chalay gaye. Is ke natijay mein, ek puray shumali candle ban gaya jo aasani se tor diya gaya aur barh kar wazeh tor par sargarmi say mazboot ban gaya. Ye puray shumali candle, mere marking ke mutabiq 0.65597 par tha. Is darusti mein, yeh shumali candle ek mazboot trend ki nishani hai jo purab ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yeh daakhil hone wale trend ka sartaaj hai jo aam tor par ek bullish momentum ki shuruaat ko darust karta hai. Is tarah ki tezi ko dekhte hue, aap ko audacious mawadat mein izafah karne ki raaye di ja sakti hai, yani ke aap 0.65597 ke kareeb positions le sakte hain. Lekin, zaroori hai ke aap mazboot risk management ka istemal karen taake aap ki investments ki hifazat bani rahe. Is surat-e-hal mein, aap ko ek mukhtasar tor par technical analysis ki zarurat hai taake aap ke paas behtar faisale ka intikhab ho sake. Fibonacci retracement aur moving averages jaise tools istemal kar ke, aap taqreeban har qisam ki munfarid nukta-e-nazar ko shamil kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, mahol aur dusri mukhtalif factors ko bhi ghor se dekha jana chahiye jaise ki siyasi aur iqtisadi tasawwurat, jin ka asar forex markets par hota hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue apna faisla karen aur sath hi sath apne positions ki nigrani karte rahen taake aap ki investments ki hifazat aur munafa munasib tarah se barqarar rahe.

AUD/USD.(RSI)

RSI indicator ki value ka use karke trading
karna ek common approach hai forex market mein. RSI, yaani Relative Strength Index, market ki momentum ko measure karne ke liye istemal hota hai. RSI ki value 0 se 100 ke beech hoti hai aur generally 70 se zyada value ko overbought aur 30 se kam value ko oversold consider kiya jata hai. Tumhari di gayi RSI ki value 46.6774 hai, jo intermediate range mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ki market mein koi extreme condition nahi hai aur price movement mein kuch stability hai. Jab RSI value 50 ke paas hoti hai, toh yeh usually market ke indecision ko indicate karti hai, jismein neither the bulls nor the bears have a strong hold. Agar RSI value 70 ke upar hai, toh yeh ek potential overbought signal ho sakta hai, matlab ki market mein bahut zyada demand hai aur ek correction ki sambhavna hai. Is situation mein, traders selling positions ko consider karte hain. Wahi agar RSI value 30 ke neeche hai, toh yeh ek oversold condition ka indication ho sakta hai, jismein market mein zyada supply hai aur ek possible reversal ki possibility hoti hai. Is scenario mein, traders buying positions ko consider karte hain. 46.6774 ki RSI value ke saath, aapko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ka aur analysis karna chahiye. Market sentiment, fundamental factors aur technical analysis ke saath combined approach se hi trading decisions lena chahiye. Market mein volatility hamesha hoti hai, isliye risk management ko bhi hamesha dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Trading karne se pehle, apne trading plan ko thik se establish karna zaroori hai. Yeh plan aapko entry points, exit points aur stop-loss levels decide karne mein madad karta hai. Aur hamesha yaad rakhein ki forex market mein trading karne mein discipline aur patience ki zarurat hoti hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis


US dollar 0.6565 par trading kar raha tha, 0.02% ki halki izafa se. Australian dollar ne Budh ke din mazboot izafa darj kiya tha U.S. dollar ke muqable mein, kam U.S. Treasury yields aur kamzor U.S. dollar ke saath. Federal Reserve policymakers ne headlines ko ghera, jab ke U.S. ki economic data mixed tha, aik mazboot ADP report lekin kamzor PMI ke saath. Wednesday ko, markets Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke taqreeron par tawajjo di, jo central bank ke tayar rehne ki baat ko dohrate hue, haalaankay data par mabni approach mein interest rates kam karne ke liye. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ka qayam ke akhri quarter mein rate cut ko support karne ka izhar bhi wazeh taur par tawajjo ko apni taraf kheench raha tha. Haal hi mein, aik naye Fed governors mein shamil hone wali Adriana Kugler ne kaha ke deflate hone ka process jari rahega, jo 2024 ke aakhri quarter mein kam az kam teen interest rates cut ko yaqeeni banayega. Australian dollar ko bhi behtareen market sentiment se faida mila jab ke Wall Street ne do dinon ki nuqsanat khatam ki. U.S. Treasury yields flat tak pohnch gaye, jo dollar ke liye ek rukawat thi. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 104.22 par se zyada 0.50% gir gaya.





Dusri jaga, March ke ADP report ne dikhaya ke private hiring 184K se barh gayi, estimates aur tajwezon ko peechay chorh diya. Isi waqt, U.S. S&P Global Index (S&PGLOBAL) aur ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) thori si kamzor hui. Is ke sath hi, Australia se data ne dikhaya ke Judo Bank Services PMI March mein 53.5 se 54.4 tak behtar hua. Report ke mutabiq: "Ye chautha musalsal maheena hai jo behtar hota ja raha hai, jabke services output index 8.4 points barh kar, lockdown recovery ke ilawa sab se zyada gain kiya. Takneeki lehaz se, AUD/USD oopri tabadla dar ki taraf neutral bias le raha hai. A "bullish Harami" candlestick pattern jo ke Budh ke din ke baraay mein bara candle 200-day moving average (DMA) ke oopar (0.6543) ke neeche hoti hai, aik challenge ko pave kar sakta hai 100-day DMA (0.6597) ki taraf, 0.6600 mark ke pehle. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish ho chuka hai aur ooncha ja raha hai, momentum bullish ke favor mein mudaawana hogaya hai. Dosri taraf, 200-day moving average ke neeche ek break 0.6500 figure ko nazar andaz kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD Ki Takniki Tahlil:

Halat mein, hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki keemat par mabni hai. Sach kehun toh, maine itni tezi se taraqqi ka imkan nahi dekha tha. Meri umeed thi ke ascending channel ke support line se ek oopri harkat hogi. Magar jo haqeeqat samne aayi, woh meri tawaqo ke mutabiq nahi thi. Maine socha tha ke resistance level 0.6620 aur ascending support line ke darmiyan ikhtilat ka dor mukhtalif satah par munsalik hoga. Australian-US dollar pair ke fluctuations buniyadi factors se mutasir hue, kyunke aise ahem tabdeelio mein aam tor par itni bebas nahi hoti. AUD/USD pair H4 uptrend channel ke nichle shor ke sath chal raha tha, jo ke neeche se ooper ki taraf se trend line ke kareeb tha. Is maqam se aik mumkin rebound mazeed jaeza lene ki ijaazat dega. Ye tahlil yeh isharah karta hai ke farokht pe tawajju di jani chahiye, jahan nishana hadaf 100% Fibonacci level par set kiya gaya hai, yaani 0.65876.

Ye tajwezati faisla na ke sirf mojooda market dynamics ke mutabiq hai balkay traders ko faida hasil karne ka wazeh imkan bhi deta hai. Magar, AUDUSD market ke jatil hone ke bawajood, hifazat aur tabdeeli se mutaalbaat aham rehti hain. Maharatmand tijarat ke faislon ke liye, traders ko market ke izafati sarrat aur takneeki aur bunyadi indicators ki mukammal samajh honi chahiye. Is ke ilawa, mazboot risk management ke tareeqay amal mein lana zaroori hai taake mohtamim nuqsanat ko kam karein aur trading capital ko mehfooz rakhein. Stop-loss orders ka istemal kar ke aur pehle se mukarrar karda risk hadood ka mazbooti se paalan karke, traders market ke asliyati gumrahiyon ka mukabla mazbooti aur istedad se kar sakte hain. Aakhri mein, AUDUSD market traders ke liye ikhtiyarat se bharpoor manzar pesh karta hai. Fibonacci levels ki tafseeli tahlil aur market ka mahool ka qabza karne se, traders apne aap ko numaya trends ka faida uthane aur kamyabi hasil karne ke liye dhang se position de sakte hain.