Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke khilaf kami dekhi jab chaarshambay ko kuch ahem maashi data release hua. Risk-sensitive AUD/USD jor par niche pressure tha jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions mein izafa hua. Israeli Broadcasting Corporation (IBA) ne report kiya ke Israeli security cabinet ne Iran ke hamlon ke jawab mein zor dar jawab dene ka faisla kiya. Australia ka trade balance August mein $5.644 billion ka surplus dikhata hai, jo market ki umeedon se zyada hai aur pichle mahine ke surplus se thoda zyada hai. Magar, August mein imports aur exports dono pichle quarter ke muqablay mein kam hue hain. Is mixed trade data ke bawajood, Australian dollar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish outlook se support hasil kar raha tha. August mein retail sales ki umeed se zyada growth ne RBA ke taraf se jaldi interest rate cut hone ki sambhavna ko kam kar diya. Market ne lagbhag November mein rate cut ki sambhavna ko khatam kar diya. China, jo Australia ka sab se bada trading partner hai, mein stimulus measures ne commodity prices ko upar ki taraf le jaaya, jo Australian dollar ko aur support faraham kar raha tha. Traders ne chaarshambay ko aane wale kuch ahem US maashi data, jaise September ISM Services PMI aur pichle hafte ke weekly jobless claims, par nazar rakhi hui thi.
AUD/USD jor ne chaarshambay ko sidha trade kiya, jab ke pichle teen behtareen sessions ne isay February 2023 ke baad se sab se unche star par le jaaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report kaafi ahem kirdar ada karne ki umeed thi is jor ki qareeb mustaqbil ki direction tay karne mein. 5 August 2024 ko shuru hone wala uptrend mazboot tha, jo kuch unche highs aur unche lows se support hasil kar raha tha. Momentum indicators mixed the. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne tezi se izafa kiya, jo ek strong bullish trend ki nishani thi, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne 50 midpoint se kaafi upar trade kar raha tha. Lekin, Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein tha, jo maujooda uptrend ko khatar mein daal sakta hai. Agar bulls ko confidence bana raha, to wo AUD/USD jor ko 25 February 2021 ko tay ki gayi trend line ke upar le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar is trend line ke upar successful break hota hai, to ye October 13, 2022 se February 2, 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6924 ka test kar sakta hai. Is ke aage, 0.7000 level agla logical target ban sakta hai.
AUD/USD jor ne chaarshambay ko sidha trade kiya, jab ke pichle teen behtareen sessions ne isay February 2023 ke baad se sab se unche star par le jaaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report kaafi ahem kirdar ada karne ki umeed thi is jor ki qareeb mustaqbil ki direction tay karne mein. 5 August 2024 ko shuru hone wala uptrend mazboot tha, jo kuch unche highs aur unche lows se support hasil kar raha tha. Momentum indicators mixed the. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne tezi se izafa kiya, jo ek strong bullish trend ki nishani thi, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne 50 midpoint se kaafi upar trade kar raha tha. Lekin, Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein tha, jo maujooda uptrend ko khatar mein daal sakta hai. Agar bulls ko confidence bana raha, to wo AUD/USD jor ko 25 February 2021 ko tay ki gayi trend line ke upar le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar is trend line ke upar successful break hota hai, to ye October 13, 2022 se February 2, 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6924 ka test kar sakta hai. Is ke aage, 0.7000 level agla logical target ban sakta hai.
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