سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil ki prices Friday ke strong upward move ke baad mazeed momentum hasil karti hain aur Monday ko teesre musalsal din bhi positive traction dekhti hain. Yeh upward trend European session ke pehle hissay tak jari rehta hai, jahan commodity $77.60 ke aas-paas pohanchti hai. Yeh level October 8 ke baad ka sabse uncha hai, jo buyers ki mazboot presence aur bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.

Friday ka strong recovery move ek bullish signal tha, jo sellers ke liye pressure create karte hue buyers ko price ko mazeed upar le jane ka chance de raha hai. Monday ke din bhi yeh momentum intact rehta hai, jo market ki short-term bullish positioning ko confirm karta hai. $77.60 ka level, jo recent high hai, is baat ki nishani hai ke oil prices ne apni girawat ke phase se nikal kar ek upward trajectory apna li hai.




Agar momentum aise hi barqarar rehta hai, to WTI ki prices agle kuch dino mein aur unche levels test kar sakti hain. Market ka focus ab potential resistance levels par hoga jo agle targets ke liye important hote hain. Is waqt ka technical setup buyers ke haq mein hai, lekin sellers ka pressure kabhi bhi comeback kar sakta hai agar prices critical support zones ke neeche girti hain.

Overall, WTI ke liye yeh positive phase hai, jo energy market ki bullish dynamics aur buyers ke interest ko dikhata hai. Yeh upward momentum European aur global economic factors par bhi depend karega jo oil demand aur supply ko influence karte hain.

WTI price Wednesday ke din early Asian session mein modest gains ke sath kareeb $76.75 par trade kar raha hai. Oil market mein yeh positive movement naye US sanctions ki wajah se aayi hai, jo Russian oil exports ko target karte hain. In sanctions se global oil supplies tight hone ka khatra hai, jiski wajah se West Texas Intermediate (WTI), jo US crude oil ka benchmark hai, ka price barh raha hai.

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne apni latest forecast mein kaha hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein US oil demand steady rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh projection oil market ke liye ek stable demand environment ka izhaar karti hai, lekin iski wajah se WTI price ke upside ko kuch had tak limited kiya gaya hai.

Iske ilawa, American Petroleum Institute (API) ke mutabiq, pichlay haftay US crude oil inventories mein 2.6 million barrels ki kami dekhi gayi hai. Yeh data oil market ke fundamentals ko mazboot karta hai aur price ko support deta hai, kyunke supply ki kami demand aur price ke liye positive signal ban sakti hai.

Halaanki, oil market abhi bhi kaafi sensitive hai, aur naye sanctions aur demand projections jese factors price movement par directly asar daal rahe hain. Agar supply tight hoti hai aur demand steady rehti hai, to WTI price mein mazeed gains ki gunjaish ho sakti hai. Lekin, agar demand forecast unexpected tariqe se neeche aati hai ya supply disruptions ka asar kum hota hai, to price ke momentum par negative asar ho sakta hai.

In tamam developments ko dekhte hue, oil market ke participants ko global supply-demand dynamics aur geopolitical updates par nazar rakhni hogi, jo aage chalkar prices ke liye direction define karein ge.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), jo ke United States ka crude oil benchmark hai, Thursday ke din lagbhag $78.85 par trade kar raha hai. WTI ki qeemat neeche ja rahi hai, kyunke Hamas aur Israel ke darmiyan ceasefire ka ehtimaal mazboot ho gaya hai. Is ceasefire deal se Middle East ke geopolitical tensions mein kami hui hai, jo WTI ki price par asar daal rahi hai aur investors ke liye uncertainty kam kar rahi hai. Filhal crude oil prices upar ki taraf ja rahe hai aor mumkin hai k anwareeb he 80 ki level ko cross kar jayega.

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) ki report ke mutabiq, pichle hafte crude oil inventories mein takreeban 1.962 million barrels ki girawat hui hai. Yeh kami demand aur supply ke darmiyan thodi si stability paida kar rahi hai, jo WTI ki qeemat par asar daal rahi hai. Magar geopolitical tensions ke kam hone ki wajah se oil market mein pressure dekhne ko mil raha hai, jiski wajah se prices neeche ja rahi hain.

Hamas aur Israel ke darmiyan behtari ki surat-e-haal aur ceasefire ki news ne market ke risk factors ko kam kar diya hai. Ab investors zyada confident mehsoos kar rahe hain, jo oil market mein volatility ko reduce kar raha hai. Yeh developments na sirf oil ki global demand par asar daal rahi hain, balki supply chain dynamics ko bhi affect kar rahi hain. Overall, Middle East ke stability ke signals ne WTI ki price ko neeche kheench diya hai. Trader ko trade lagane say pehly market ki conditions ko zaror analyse karna chaheye.

فروری 4 2025 کے لیے تیل کی پیشن گوئی

75.16 پر مزاحمتی سطح سے پلٹنے کے بعد، قیمت یومیہ توازن اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر دونوں سے نیچے گر گئی ہے۔ اس نے 15 جنوری کی 80.76 کی چوٹی کی طرف اوپر کی طرف موومنٹ کو مؤثر طریقے سے منسوخ کر دیا ہے۔



قریب ترین ہدف اب 71.44 پر سپورٹ لیول ہے۔ اگر قیمت اس سطح سے نیچے ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ 69.74 تک جاری رہ سکتی ہے، اس کے بعد 68.45۔ اس بات کا بھی امکان ہے کہ یہ 66.60 تک گر سکتا ہے، جو کہ 18 نومبر کی سطح سے مساوی ہے، جو اسے "ٹرمپ کی رواداری کی حد" کے نام سے نچلی حد کے قریب لاتا ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت توازن اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے نیچے مضبوطی سے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جبکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں ہے۔ مجموعی صورتحال واضح طور پر مندی کا شکار ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 71.44 سے نیچے مستحکم ہو جائے گی اور اس کی نیچے کی حرکت جاری رہے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

WTI price Wednesday ke din early Asian session mein modest gains ke sath kareeb $76.75 par trade kar raha hai. Oil market mein yeh positive movement naye US sanctions ki wajah se aayi hai, jo Russian oil exports ko target karte hain. In sanctions se global oil supplies tight hone ka khatra hai, jiski wajah se West Texas Intermediate (WTI), jo US crude oil ka benchmark hai, ka price barh raha hai.
US Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne apni latest forecast mein kaha hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein US oil demand steady rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh projection oil market ke liye ek stable demand environment ka izhaar karti hai, lekin iski wajah se WTI price ke upside ko kuch had tak limited kiya gaya hai.

Iske ilawa, American Petroleum Institute (API) ke mutabiq, pichlay haftay US crude oil inventories mein 2.6 million barrels ki kami dekhi gayi hai. Yeh data oil market ke fundamentals ko mazboot karta hai aur price ko support deta hai, kyunke supply ki kami demand aur price ke liye positive signal ban sakti hai.

Halaanki, oil market abhi bhi kaafi sensitive hai, aur naye sanctions aur demand projections jese factors price movement par directly asar daal rahe hain. Agar supply tight hoti hai aur demand steady rehti hai, to WTI price mein mazeed gains ki gunjaish ho sakti hai. Lekin, agar demand forecast unexpected tariqe se neeche aati hai ya supply disruptions ka asar kum hota hai, to price ke momentum par negative asar ho sakta hai.

In tamam developments ko dekhte hue, oil market ke participants ko global supply-demand dynamics aur geopolitical updates par nazar rakhni hogi, jo aage chalkar prices ke liye direction define karein ge.

WTI price Wednesday ke din early Asian session mein modest gains ke sath kareeb $76.75 par trade kar raha hai. Oil market mein yeh positive movement naye US sanctions ki wajah se aayi hai, jo Russian oil exports ko target karte hain. In sanctions se global oil supplies tight hone ka khatra hai, jiski wajah se West Texas Intermediate (WTI), jo US crude oil ka benchmark hai, ka price barh raha hai.

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne apni latest forecast mein kaha hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein US oil demand steady rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh projection oil market ke liye ek stable demand environment ka izhaar karti hai, lekin iski wajah se WTI price ke upside ko kuch had tak limited kiya gaya hai.

Iske ilawa, American Petroleum Institute (API) ke mutabiq, pichlay haftay US crude oil inventories mein 2.6 million barrels ki kami dekhi gayi hai. Yeh data oil market ke fundamentals ko mazboot karta hai aur price ko support deta hai, kyunke supply ki kami demand aur price ke liye positive signal ban sakti hai.

Halaanki, oil market abhi bhi kaafi sensitive hai, aur naye sanctions aur demand projections jese factors price movement par directly asar daal rahe hain. Agar supply tight hoti hai aur demand steady rehti hai, to WTI price mein mazeed gains ki gunjaish ho sakti hai. Lekin, agar demand forecast unexpected tariqe se neeche aati hai ya supply disruptions ka asar kum hota hai, to price ke momentum par negative asar ho sakta hai.

In tamam developments ko dekhte hue, oil market ke participants ko global supply-demand dynamics aur geopolitical updates par nazar rakhni hogi, jo aage chalkar prices ke liye direction define karein ge.

Smart Money Concept (SMC) Crude Oil Trading Mein

Bazaar Ki Tashkeel:


Crude oil ke bazaar ka overall structure samajhna zaroori hai. Trends, support aur resistance levels identify karein aur dekhein ke kahin bara players price manipulate toh nahi kar rahe.

Volume Ka Tajziya:


Agar kisi waqt volume spike ho jaye, toh yeh institutional buying ya selling ka indication ho sakta hai. Agar high volume ke saath price upar jaye, toh accumulation ho sakti hai, aur agar price neeche aaye toh distribution ho sakti hai.

Order Ka Behav


Bari bari orders ka analysis karein taake institutional interest ka pata chal sake. Dekhein ke price in orders par kaise react karti hai.

Pani Wali Jagah:


Un jagahon ko dhoondein jahan liquidity zyada ho, kyunki yehi wo maqamat hain jahan smart money apni positions enter ya exit karti hai. Ye zones strong support ya resistance ka kaam kartay hain.

Khabrain aur Waqiyat


Economy reports, geopolitical tensions aur OPEC ke elaan crude oil ke prices par asar dal sakte hain. Smart money aksar in events se pehle apni position bana leti hai.

Commitments of Traders Report


COT report se futures market ke mukhtalif traders ki positions ka pata chalta hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke commercial hedgers aur speculators kis tarah positions le rahe hain.

Bazaar Ka Jazba:


Market sentiment indicators aur news ka analysis karein. Smart money aksar market ke prevailing sentiment ke mukhalif chalti hai.

Tehqiqat-e-Fanni:


Indicators aur chart patterns ka istemal karein taake entry aur exit points ka behtareen andaza lagaya ja sake.

Aaj Ke Din Crude Oil Trading Mein SMC Ka Ista'mal

• Recent price action aur volume ka tajziya karein.
• Koi bhi aham news ya report check karein jo supply aur demand ko affect kar sakay.
• COT report ka analysis karein taake institutional traders ki positioning ka pata chal sake.
• Historical price action aur aaj ki market dynamics ke mutabiq support aur resistance levels identify karein.

Nateejah:


Smart Money Concept ko samajh kar traders behtar decisions le sakte hain. Magar hamesha risk management ka khayal rakhein aur naye strategies ko pehle demo account par test karein taake real capital ka nukhsan na ho.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Oil Prices Teen Haftey Se Musalsal Losses Mein Hen

New American president Donald Trump ki new energy policies ki waja se crude oil musalsal kaye weeks se losses mein hen. Dunya bhar ke oil prices Friday ko teen sessions ke baad baray, jab Saudi Arabia ne March ke liye apne crude prices ko kafi ziada barhaya, jabke US ne Iranian crude exports par naye restrictions laga di.

Bawajood iske, global oil prices ab bhi tisray haftay musalsal nuqsan ki taraf barh rahe hain, khas tor par US mein supply glut ke khadshat ki wajah se, jahan pichlay hafta crude stocks mein zabardast izafa dekha gaya. Iske ilawa, President Trump ne bhi crude output barhane ka irada zahir kiya.

Prices
US crude 1.2% barh kar $71.29 per barrel pohoncha, jabke session-low $70.46 raha.
Brent bhi 1.2% izafa ke saath $75.08 per barrel pohoncha, aur session-low $74.20 tha.
Thursday ko US crude 0.9% gira tha aur 5 hafton ki kam tareen satah $70.44 tak pohoncha, jabke Brent 0.6% gir kar $74.14 per barrel par tha.

Saudi Crude
Saudi Aramco ne Asian markets ke liye apne light crude ke prices $2.9 per barrel barhane ka announcement kiya. Yeh izafa khas tor par China aur India se zyada demand ki nishani hai, jo ke Asia ke sabse baray fuel consumers hain.

Naye US Restrictions Iran par
US Treasury Department ne naye pabandeyan lagayi hain kai afrad aur oil tankers par jo har saal lakhon barrels Iranian crude China bhejte hain. Yeh ek aur koshish hai Iran par dabao barhane ki.

Weekly Trades
Oil prices is hafta 2.55% neeche hain, jo ke teen haftey musalsal nuqsan ka signal de raha hai.

US Stocks

• Energy Information Administration (EIA) ke mutabiq, US crude stocks 8.7 million barrels barh kar 423.8 million barrels tak pohonch gaye, jabke analysts sirf 1.3 million barrels ke izafe ki umeed kar rahe thay.
• Gasoline stocks 2.2 million barrels barh kar 251.1 million barrels ho gaye, jabke distillate stocks 5.5 million barrels gir kar 118.5 million barrels reh gaye.

US Production
EIA ne report di ke US crude production mein 255 hazar bpd ka izafa hoa hai, jo ab 13.475 million bpd tak pohonch gaya hai. Yeh US ko duniya ka sabse bara crude producer banata hai.

Technical Analysis

• Bari trade tensions, US stockpiles ka izafa, aur mazboot dollar crude prices par dabao dal rahe hain.
• $70 ka critical support zone test ho raha hai. Agar yeh support toot gaya, to prices $67 tak gir sakti hain.
• Agar bullish momentum aata hai, to yeh Iran ke supply disruptions ya phir OPEC+ ki production strategy ki tabdili par depend karega.

Technically, downside momentum yeh dikhata hai ke prices $70.80 se $69.55 tak gir sakti hain. Pehli dafa is area tak girne par ek technical bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai, magar agar $69.55 ka support fail ho gaya, to prices bohot tezi se neeche gir sakti hain.