سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

China ki Policy Shift Demand Outlook Oil ko Boost Deti Hai, Jabke Traders EIA k Intezar Mein Hen

China ki monetary easing policy ne crude oil ki demand ke outlook ko mazboot banaya, jahan November imports mein 14% ka izafa dekhne ko mila, pichle saal ke muqable mein. Crude oil futures ne $69.11 ke ahem level ko test kiya; agar yeh $70.07 se upar chala jata hai to yeh prices ko 200-day average $72.94 tak le ja sakta hai. EIA ka kahna hai ke 2025 mein U.S. net crude imports mein 20% kami aayegi, jo 1971 ke baad se sabse kam hoga, kiyunke domestic production barh raha hai. Global oil demand ka andaza 2025 ke liye 104.3 million bpd lagaya gaya hai, jo pichle andazay se thoda kam hai, economic headwinds ki wajah se. Analysts umeed karte hain ke EIA data 900,000-barrel crude draw dikhayega, lekin gasoline inventories ka barhna bullish jazbaat ko rokh sakta hai.

Prices Chinese Stimulus Hopes aur EIA Inventory Data Par Barhte Hain

Light crude oil futures ne Wednesday ko progress ki, aur $69.11 ke pivotal level ko test kiya, jo mazeed izafay ke imkanat ka pata de raha hai. Lekin, tajir U.S. inventory data aur $70.07 ke technical resistance ke hawaale se ehtiyaat kar rahe hain, jo 200-day average $72.94 tak ki raftaar ko chala sakta hai.

China ki Policy Shift Demand Optimism Barhati Hai

Oil prices tab barh gayi jab China ne apni pehli monetary policy easing ka elaan kiya, 14 saalon mein pehli dafa, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hai. Beijing ne signal diya ke 2025 mein ek “appropriately loose” stance adopt kiya jayega, jiski wajah se crude demand ki umeedein mazboot hui hain. November ke data ne dikhaya ke Chinese crude imports mein 14% ka saal-dar-saal izafa hua, jo pichlay saat mah ke staghnation ka silsila tod diya.

Market strategist Yeap Jun Rong ne kaha ke mazboot policy signals ne umeed jagai hai ke achi stimulus measures ayengi, lekin kuch tajir abhi bhi ehtiyaat kar rahe hain, zyada definitive actions ka intezaar karte huye. Analysts ne agah kiya ke yeh policy shifts sirf downside risks ko mitigate karengi, lekin dusri economic headwinds, jaise ke nayi U.S. trade policies, ko poori tarah offset nahi karengi.

U.S. Inventory Data aur Production Trends

U.S. mein, crude oil aur fuel stocks pichlay hafte barh gayi, jahan American Petroleum Institute ne 499,000-barrel build report kiya aur gasoline aur distillate stocks mein baray izafay dikhaye. Energy Information Administration (EIA) ka aaj ke data ka intezaar hai, jisme analysts ne 900,000-barrel kami aur 1.7 million-barrel gasoline inventory izafa predict kiya hai.

Isi dauraan, EIA ke December Short-Term Energy Outlook ne dikhaya ke U.S. net crude imports 2025 mein 20% girenge, domestic production aur refinery runs ke girne ki wajah se. U.S. oil output 2025 mein 13.52 million bpd tak barhne ka andaza hai, jabke refinery throughput mein 200,000 bpd kami ki prediction hai.

Global Supply aur Demand Adjustments

EIA ne apne global demand aur supply forecasts revise kiye hain, 2025 ke liye demand expectation 104.3 million bpd aur output projection 104.2 million bpd tak gir gayi hai. Spot Brent crude prices ka ab 2025 ke liye $73.58 per barrel ka andaza hai, jabke WTI prices $69.12 per barrel pe hone ki umeed hai, jo ek bearish revision hai.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

U.S. crude oil (USOIL) prices $68.97 par trade ho rahi hain, 0.81% barhawa le kar, jo market mein ehtiyaati optimism ka signal hai. Pivot point $68.82 ek critical threshold hai, jo 200-day EMA se support le raha hai. Agar prices is level se upar rehti hain, toh bullish momentum barhne ke imkanat hain. Immediate resistance $69.62 pe hai, aur agla target $70.32 hai, jo mazeed izafay ka signal deta hai.

Downside mein, key support levels $68.27 aur $67.68 par hain. Agar $68.82 se neeche break hota hai, toh momentum sharply bearish ho sakta hai, aur yeh neeche diye gaye levels ko test kar sakta hai. 50-day EMA $68.39 par mazid support deta hai, aur tajiron ko yeh levels monitor karne chahiye clarity ke liye.



Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent crude (UKOIL) $72.57 par trade kar raha hai, 0.72% izafay ke sath, jabke prices $72.67 ke key pivot level ke paas hain. 200-day EMA $72.58 par is threshold ko reinforce karta hai, aur agar prices is level se upar hain, toh bullish momentum barh sakta hai. Immediate resistance $73.30 pe hai, aur $74.16 pe ek strong barrier hai, jo triple-top pattern ke completion ke sath align karta hai.

Downside mein, support $71.51 aur $70.83 par hai. Agar $72.67 se neeche break hota hai, toh jazba bearish ho sakta hai, aur in support levels ko test kar sakta hai. Tajir pivot ke paas price consolidation aur triple-top formation ke reversal signals ka dehaan rakhein."

USOIL ka yeh H1 time frame chart dekh kar lagta hai ke market abhi bullish trend mein hai, lekin kuch important levels hain jo trader ke liye bohot meaningful ho sakte hain. Is waqt price 69.27 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo resistance zone ke kareeb hai.
Support aur Resistance Levels:
Chart par support aur resistance zones clearly nazar aa rahe hain. Niche ka strong support 66.78 par hai, jahan price ne pehle bounce kiya. Agar price niche girti hai, to pehle 67.91 ka level test ho sakta hai. Upar ka major resistance 70.10 par hai, jo ek barrier ka kaam karega. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to agla target 71.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.
Moving Averages ka Analysis:
Yellow aur white moving averages price ke niche hain, jo bullish momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Yeh dikhata hai ke price abhi upward trend mein hai. Moving averages ka crossover bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo trend continuation ka ek signal ho sakta hai.
RSI Indicator:
RSI ki value 69 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought zone ke kareeb hai. Yeh signal karta hai ke price kuch der ke liye retrace kar sakti hai ya sideways movement mein ja sakti hai. Agar RSI 70 ko cross karta hai, to yeh price ke aur upar jane ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar RSI girta hai, to price mein decline expected hoga.
Trading Plan:
Agar price 70.10 ke resistance ko todta hai, to ek buy entry ka chance ban sakta hai, jahan pe target 71.00 ya us se upar ho. Lekin agar price niche girti hai, to support levels par buying opportunities dekhni chahiye, khaas tor par 67.91 aur 66.78 par. Sell entry ka plan sirf tab banta hai agar price moving averages ke neeche close kare aur RSI bhi downtrend dikhaye. Market mein enter karte waqt risk management aur stop loss ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Is waqt ka trend bullish lag raha hai, lekin retracement ka chance hamesha rehta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

China aur Geopolitics ke Asraat, Oil ke Trend Increase Hone Laga

China ke 2025 me "moderately loose monetary policy" ka elaan karne ke baad, Chinese oil aur sona ke demand sentiments mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jis se crude oil $70 ke ooper chala gaya. Saath hi, Middle East ke tensions ne bhi commodities ke liye support levels barqarar rakhe hain, kyun ke iss region me dramatik developments chal rahi hain.

China ki Moderately Loose Monetary Policy – Ismein Kya Hai?
OPEC ki 2024 ke liye oil prices ki lagataar 5th downward revision ke bawajood, China ki 2025 economic outlook ki bullish sentiment ne oil prices ko $70–72 ke resistance zone tak push kar diya hai. Is sentiment ko Middle East ke geopolitical risks ka bhi support mila hai.

Pichli martaba jab China ne "moderately loose" monetary policy apnaayi thi, woh 2008–2009 ke financial crisis ke douran tha, jab economy ko stimulate karne ke liye interest rates kaat diye gaye, reserve requirement ratio ko reduce kiya gaya, aur fiscal spending mein izafa kiya gaya. Is wajah se rapid credit expansion, inflation, aur economic growth dekhne ko mili.

Lekin baad mein, 2011 me bubble risks ko rokne ke liye ye measures scale back kar diye gaye aur prudent policy apnaayi gayi. Abhi 2025 ke liye monetary policy ke specifics wazeh nahi hain, magar umeed hai ke ek bara drastic approach liya jayega, khas kar Trump ke trade wars ke madde nazar.

Middle East aur Conflict ki Shiddat Trump ke Presidency se Pehle
China ki policy stance ke ilawa, Trump ne Middle East ke conflicts ko address karne ka wada kiya hai, aur kaha hai ke agar inka hal unki presidency se pehle nahi nikla, toh woh harsh measures lene par majboor honge. Is wajah se region mein tensions barh gaye hain, jin mein Iranian proxies ki kamzori aur Syria me Assad regime ka girna bhi shamil hai.

Ye developments commodities, khaaskar tel ke liye hedging risks barhate hain, jab tak concrete halat samne nahi aate.

Technical Analysis: An Uncertainty

Oil ne apne chart par ek aur shoulder extend kar di hai, jo $70 ke resistance level tak wapas gaya hai, jo ke November aur December ke darmiyan lagataar lower highs ko connect karta hai. Short-term resistance, November ke highs ke darmiyan, $72 aur $72.70 tak hai. Agar breakout hota hai, toh yeh triangle ke trough ko $78 aur $80 zone tak le ja sakta hai. Neeche ke risks $68–64 ke zone ke neeche hain, jahan aur girawat $60, $55, aur $49 tak ja sakti hai.

WTI Crude Oil Market Analysis
Jumeraat ke din West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka price kariban $69.95 per barrel par tha. Yeh price movement mukhtalif factors ka natija hai, jin mein global demand trends, geopolitical tensions, aur economic policies shamil hain.
Asar Andaz Factors:

1. Global Demand Growth:
   OPEC ne 2024 aur 2025 ke liye global oil demand growth ka forecast neeche le aaya hai. Yeh step global economic outlook aur oil consumption mein possible rukawat ki wajah se liya gaya hai.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
   Russia aur Iran se related geopolitical tensions ab bhi oil market par asar daal rahi hain. In countries par stricter sanctions se global oil supply disrupt ho sakti hai, jo ke prices ko ooper le jaa sakta hai.
3. China ki Economic Stimulus:
   China ki recent economic stimulus policies se oil market mein optimism ka izafa hua hai. Unki accommodative monetary policy domestic demand aur fuel consumption ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Technical Analysis:

• US Crude Oil Inventories:
  Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne US crude oil stocks mein significant kami report ki hai. Yeh drawdown supply tight hone ka signal deta hai, jis ki wajah se refiners ko zyada oil khareedna pad sakta hai, jo prices ko barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai.
• Technical Indicators:
  WTI crude oil abhi apni 100-day aur 200-day moving averages se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke short to medium term bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Lekin $68.00 ka key support level kareebi hai. Agar price is level se neeche na jaye, to upward trend ka signal mil sakta hai.

Conclusion:
Oil prices ka future mukhtalif factors ke dor-e-fikar par mabni hai. US crude oil inventories mein kami aur China ki stimulus policies se prices ko support mila hai. Magar global demand ki weakness aur supply disruptions ki potential khatra ab bhi barqarar hai. Traders aur investors ko yeh factors closely monitor karne chahiye.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Oil aur Natural Gas Forecast: Kya Supply Surplus 2025 Ke Price Outlook par Dabao Dal Sakta Hai?

Key Points:

• Oil aur natural gas ki prices U.S. inflation ke ease hone ke baad barhi hain, lekin 2025 ke supply surplus ke forecast ki wajah se long-term dabao ka samna hai.
• Natural gas ne ascending triangle breakout kiya; $3.775 support hold kar raha hai, aur $3.989 aur $4.262 key resistance levels hain.
• WTI crude $69.81 ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai; agar $70.48 ke upar breakout hota hai to prices $71.46 tak push ho sakti hain, jabke $69.38 pivot support ka kaam kar raha hai.

Market Overview
Oil aur natural gas ki prices is hafte barhi hain, jo U.S. inflation ke ease hone aur improved risk sentiment ki wajah se support mili hai. Lekin energy market contrasting pressures ka samna kar raha hai. Jahan geopolitical tensions price volatility sustain kar rahi hain, wahan 2025 ke supply surplus ka forecast long-term price expectations ko temper kar raha hai.

Europe mein key pipeline operations ki resumption ne immediate supply concerns ko kam kiya hai, jabke money managers ne U.S. crude positions mein net-long barhayi hain, jo renewed investor interest ko signal karta hai.

U.S. rig counts mein halka izafa zarur hai, lekin global demand uncertainty, jo Asia mein consumption ke peak hone ke signals shamil hain, outlook par ab bhi dabao dala hua hai.

WTI Oil Price Forecast
Crude oil (USOIL) $69.81 ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai, market symmetrical triangle pattern ke saath wrestle kar raha hai, jo indecision ko signal karta hai. Pivot point $69.38 crucial support offer kar raha hai, jabke immediate resistance $70.48 par hai. Agar $70.48 ke upar breakout hota hai, to prices $71.46 tak ja sakti hain, lekin agar pivot ke upar hold karne mein nakami hoti hai, to lower supports $68.42 aur $67.69 par retest karna pad sakta hai.



50 EMA, jo abhi $69.54 par hai, 200 EMA ($69.42) ke upar cross kar gaya hai, jo potential uptrend signal karta hai, lekin triangle ke andar sideways movement caution ka izhar karta hai. Broader trend ka daromadar ek decisive breakout par hoga, jo ya to bullish momentum confirm karega ya sideways action ko extend karega.

Brent Oil Price Forecast
UKOIL (Brent) $73.23 ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai, aur key resistance zone $73.77 ko test kar raha hai. Pivot point $72.83 crucial support offer kar raha hai, jabke 50 EMA ($73.02) aur 200 EMA ($73.00) tight alignment mein hain, jo indecision ke period ko indicate karta hai. Immediate resistance $73.77 par hai, aur agar ye break hota hai to $74.55 tak target kar sakta hai. Downside par support levels $72.83 aur $71.98 par dekhe ja rahe hain.

Symmetrical triangle pattern bulls aur bears ke darmiyan tug-of-war ko highlight karta hai, jo market ko sideways trend mein rakhta hai. EMAs ki alignment yeh suggest karti hai ke consolidation tab tak continue karega jab tak ek decisive breakout nahi hota.

Filhal, Brent crude $73.77 resistance clear karne par upward momentum ke liye poised lagta hai, lekin agar nakami hoti hai, to lower supports ki taraf pullback ho sakta hai.



Natural Gas Price Forecast
Natural Gas (NG) ne ascending triangle pattern ka breakout kiya hai, jo ek classic bullish setup hai, aur continued upward momentum ko signal karta hai. Pivot point $3.775 ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke immediate resistance $3.989 par hai. Agar ye level successfully break hota hai, to next resistance $4.262 target kar sakta hai. Downside par, support $3.775 aur $3.566 par dekha ja raha hai.

50-day EMA, jo filhal $3.436 par hai, aur 200-day EMA $3.160 upward slope kar rahe hain, jo bullish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Ye breakout improving technical conditions ke saath align karta hai, jab buyers abhi control mein hain.

Is momentum ke saath, natural gas mazeed gains ke liye poised lagta hai, lekin $3.775 level ko monitor karna zaruri hai bullish trend maintain karne ke liye.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Oil Prices Extend Gains Before US Inventory Data

Global oil prices Tuesday ke din American trade mein izafa show kar rahi hain. Yeh third consecutive profit ke liye track par hain, jabke holiday trading thin hai aur US crude stocks ke initial data ka intezar hai.

Magar yeh gains European supply disruptions ke kam hone aur China ki weak demand par doubts ki wajah se thode limited hain.

Oil Prices

• US crude ka price 0.7% barh kar $69.94 per barrel tak pohanch gaya hai, jabke session-low $69.39 tha.
• Brent oil 0.6% barh kar $73.35 per barrel tak gaya, jabke session-low $72.81 tha.
• Kal, yani Monday ko, US crude 0.1% aur Brent 0.1% ka izafa show kar chuke hain, jo second consecutive profit tha.
• US Crude Stocks Par Nazar
• Aaj, American Petroleum Institute (API) apne initial data release karega, jisme umeed hai ke US crude stocks ka drawdown hoga, jo ke doosri baar consecutive ho sakta hai. Official report Energy Information Administration (EIA) kal release karega, jo market ke liye ek aham indicator hoga.

Drawdown ka matlab hai ke crude oil ke stock mein kami hui hai, jo demand ke izafe ka pata deta hai. Is wajah se oil prices kaafi sensitive hain aur traders in reports ka intezar karte hain.

European Supply Ka Masla Kamzor
European supply disruptions par concerns ab kam ho gaye hain, kyunke Druzhba pipeline, jo ke Russian aur Kazakh oil ko Germany aur dusre European mulkon tak pohanchata hai, dobara operational ho gaya hai. Yeh pipeline Thursday ko technical problems ki wajah se band ho gaya tha, magar ab repair ke baad wapas chal raha hai.

Is khabar ki wajah se Brent aur WTI oil prices par supply disruptions ka pressure kam ho gaya hai.

Chinese Demand Mein Kami
Ek naye research ke mutabiq, jo ke major Asian refining company Sinopec ne conduct ki hai, yeh pata chala ke China ki oil demand iss saal aur agle saal ke pehle hisson mein weak rehne wali hai.

Lekin research yeh bhi predict karti hai ke consumption late 2025 se improve hone lagega aur 2027 tak peak par pohanch sakta hai.

Chinese economy ke halat aur demand ko oil market ka ek important factor mana jata hai, kyunke yeh duniya ka sabse bara oil consumer hai. Weak demand ke asarat prices ko neeche la sakte hain, jabke improvement global oil markets ke liye ek bullish factor hoga.

Donald Trump Ke Threats
US President-elect Donald Trump ne dobara EU ko warn kiya hai ke agar unhone US oil aur gas ke imports ko nahi barhaya, to unke goods par heavy tariffs lagaye jaenge.

Yeh political tensions global oil markets ke liye ek naya challenge create karte hain. Agar EU apne imports ko barhata hai, to US oil ke liye demand barh sakti hai, magar agar tariffs lagte hain, to EU-US trade relations aur oil prices dono effect ho sakte hain.

WTI Crude Oil (CL) Ka Technical Analysis
WTI crude oil ka daily chart show karta hai ke market pichlay do mahino se $67 aur $72.20 ke neutral zone mein chal raha hai. Is range ka breakout decide karega ke WTI crude oil ka next direction kya hoga.



Price triangle ke apex mein hai, jo price compression ka signal deta hai.
RSI neutral hai, jo market mein momentum ke kami ko reflect karta hai, jo holiday season ki wajah se slow hai.
Agar price $72.20 ke upar breakout karta hai, to oil bullish zone mein aa sakta hai aur aglay resistance level $75 ke qareeb ho sakte hain. Waisay hi, agar price $67 ke neeche jata hai, to bearish zone mein shift hone ke chances barh jate hain, aur aglay support levels $65 aur $63 tak gir sakte hain.

Holiday Trading Ka Asar
Holiday season ki wajah se trading thin hai, aur kaafi saari positions speculative hain. Yeh trading activity January ke pehle haftay ke baad normalize hone ki umeed hai, jab market full volume ke saath kaam karegi.

Thin trading ke doran, oil prices zyada volatile ho sakti hain, kyunke kam participants ki wajah se chhoti news bhi prices ko significantly move kar sakti hai.

Oil prices abhi ek mixed zone mein hain, jahan US crude stocks ke data aur global demand ke factors dominate kar rahe hain. European supply disruptions ka kam hona ek bearish signal hai, magar US stocks ka drawdown aur Trump ki political strategies ek bullish impact la sakti hain.

Chinese demand ka weak rehna ek long-term challenge hai, lekin agar global markets ko positive data milta hai, to oil prices dobara recovery kar sakti hain. Technical levels ke mutabiq, aglay haftay price movements kaafi had tak data releases aur political developments par mabni hongi.

Investors aur traders ko cautious rehne ki zarurat hai, kyunke holiday trading ki wajah se volatility barh sakti hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Oil Climbs, Magar Brent Ne Dusri Martaba Barasat Ka Loss Register Kiya

Tuesday ke din oil prices me izafa dekha gaya aur 2024 ka aakhri din positive note par khatam hua. Lekin, Brent ne kamzor Chinese demand ke sabab dusri martaba saal ka loss record kiya.
Crude oil ke breakout ne mazbooti ka signal diya hai aur yeh unchi resistance zones ko target kar raha hai, jahan key technical levels aur bullish patterns iski upward trajectory ko guide kar rahe hain.

US Crude Output Ka Record Level
Energy Information Administration (EIA) ke official data ke mutabiq, October me US crude output 417.2 million barrels tak pohanch gaya, jo ke September ke 395.9 million barrels se zyada hai.

Thursday ko EIA apna official data release karega jo umeed hai ke 2.4 million barrels ke drawdown ko dikhayega.

Futures Prediction

• Brent March futures 0.9% ya 65 cents barh kar $74.64 per barrel par pohanch gayi.
• US crude futures jo February me due hain, 1% ya 73 cents barh kar $71.72 per barrel ho gayi.

Magar, 2024 ke doran crude oil ne 3.1% ka loss record kiya, jabke US West Texas mostly flat raha at $71.65.

Target Zones Aur Technical Levels
Pehla upside target zone 72.97 se 73.12 ke darmiyan hai, jo Fibonacci retracement levels aur rising ABCD pattern ke confluence se defined hai. Yeh zone 50% retracement aur ABCD pattern ka 100% target shamil karta hai.

Agla target zone 74.29 se 74.42 ke darmiyan hai, jo 127.2% extended ABCD target aur 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level par shamil hai.

Demand Aur Breakdown Ki Indication
Early-September me ek large symmetrical triangle pattern ka breakdown dekha gaya, jo bearish clue deta hai. Magar, iss breakdown ke bawajood market me koi zyada bearish follow-through nahi hua.



Yeh bullish price action aur failed breakout ke signal ke sath yeh possibility deta hai ke crude oil bullish reversal karte hue 79.09 ke October swing high tak pohanch jaye.

Agar price level 74.42 reclaim ho jaye, to agla target zone 75.78 hoga jo multiple indicators ka confluence hai:

• 161.8% extended ABCD target
• Triangle pattern ki dono boundary lines
• 200-Day MA at 76.02
• 78.6% retracement at 76.47

Bull Flag Pattern Aur Reversal Ke Asaar
Tuesday ko crude oil rally karte hue 72.27 ke high tak pohanch gaya, jo bull flag pattern ke breakout ko confirm karta hai.

Kal ke resistance point 71.79 ko tod kar crude oil ne bullish reversal ke asaar aur mazboot kiye hain.

• 20-Day MA (purple) ab 50-Day MA (orange) ke upar jane ke qareeb hai.
• Crude ne din ke trading range ke top third me khatam kiya aur 71.79 ke swing high ke upar raha.

Yeh sab bullish momentum aur future growth ke liye ek positive signal deta hai.

Crude Oil ka Daily Technical Analysis
Crude oil ka price chart is waqt interesting levels par hai. Price abhi 71.52 par trade kar raha hai, jahan se bullish ya bearish breakout ka imkaan hai. Current support aur resistance zones ko samajhna trading ke liye zaruri hoga.
Chart ke mutabiq, sabse qareebi support level 69.50 par hai, jo recent lows ko signify karta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche close karta hai, to agla major support 67.10 ke qareeb hoga, jahan buyers phir se active ho sakte hain. Is ke baraks, agar price upar ki taraf jata hai, to pehla resistance 73.20 par hai. Agar yeh resistance tod diya jaye, to agla target 76.30 ban sakta hai. Yeh level market ke liye bohot critical hoga, kyunki 100-day moving average bhi is area ke aas-paas hai.
Bollinger bands ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price abhi beech ki range mein hai, magar upper band ki taraf momentum dikhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Bollinger bands ke contraction se yeh andaza lagta hai ke price breakout ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin direction ka confirmation abhi hona baqi hai.
Moving averages bhi critical role ada kar rahe hain. Price abhi long-term 100-day moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar price 73.20 ke upar close kare aur moving average tod de, to bullish rally ka aghaz ho sakta hai.
Short-term traders ke liye yeh levels important hain. Agar price 69.50 ke neeche close kare, to short-selling ka moka ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 73.20 ke upar sustain kare, to buyers ke liye yeh achi entry hogi. Risk management ka khayal rakhein, kyunki yeh levels volatile ho sakte hain.
Akhir mein, yeh dekhna zaruri hoga ke price kis taraf breakout karega. Dono taraf ke scenarios ke liye tayar rehna trading strategy ka hissa hona chahiye.