سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Crude oil ne pichle week apni decline continue rakhi, aur phir se new lows hit kiye, gir ke lagbhag 75.99 tak pahunch gayi. Initially, price ne 79.54 se bounce back karne ki koshish ki aur apni rise resume ki, magar 82.22 pe resistance encounter ki, jo usay phir se girne pe majboor kar diya. Baad mein, quotes ne 75.99 pe stabilize hone mein kamyabi hasil ki, jahan significant support mila. Is se price ko desired scenario ke sath target area tak pahunchne ka mauqa mil gaya. Price chart super-trend red zone mein remain karta hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers control mein hain.

Oil prices ne turbulent week face kiya, wild fluctuations ke sath market forces ke clash ke wajah se. Ek taraf, global economic growth ke concerns aur falling oil demand ne prices ko weigh down kiya, jis se crude oil seven-week low of 78.50 per barrel tak gir gaya. Sentiment ko disappointing US economic data ne support kiya, jo ke possible recession ke fears ko reignite kar diya. Niche chart dekhein:



Abhi, prices decline ho rahi hain, weekly lows ke kareeb approach kar rahi hain. Key resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur breakout attempts ko successfully contain kiya, jo downward vector ki relevance ko confirm karta hai. Upward trend ko continue karne ke liye, quotes ko ab 79.54 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan key resistance zone ka border located hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent rebound ek naye downward move ka mauqa dega jo ke 74.28 aur 71.92 ke areas mein target karega.

Resistance ke upar break aur 82.22 ke reversal level ke upar move current scenario ka reversal indicate karega.

Sab ko acha din ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope upar hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko darshata hai jo 81.10 ke level tak barhna chahte hain. Jab target tak pohnch jayenge, movement dheemi ho jayegi. Kamzori ki wajah se volatility barhegi, aur market dheere dheere kamzor hote jayegi, isliye correction ke saath recharge karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke upper part ko purchases ke liye consider nahi karna chahiye, correction ka intezar karna chahiye jo 79.38 ke level tak aa sakta hai. Wahan se purchases ka entry consider kar sakte hain. Agar 79.38 ke niche fixation hoti hai, toh bears apna asar dikhayenge jo market ko neeche le ja sakta hai, isliye is background mein purchases uninteresting ho jaati hain. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bull kitna active hai, jyaada angle ka matlab hai ke buyer strong hai. Strong angle usually market news ka indicator hota hai jo achi movement ko contribute karta hai.

Main H1 par linear regression channel ko primary source ke roop mein use karta hoon movements determine karne ke liye. M15 channel ek auxiliary channel hai jo bullish picture ko ab highlight karta hai aur growing trend ko darshata hai. Channels ek hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, is instrument ke zariye bullish mood ko characterize kiya ja sakta hai. Jab younger period par signal break hota hai, toh 78.45 ke level tak decline ka intezar karna chahiye, jahan se fir se purchases ko re-consider kiya ja sakta hai 80.49 tak. Channel ke upper boundary par jab bulls hon, toh purchases aur sales dono se cautious rehna chahiye.

Meri trading ka principle H1 channel ke direction mein trade karna hai kyunki ye mera main channel hai. Younger channel par entry ko clarify karna aur strong movement ke sath kaam karna accha hota hai jab correction minimal ho. Waise to oil prices ke changes se gas station ki prices badhti ya kam hoti hain, aur stock exchange par oil girne par bhi oil prices unchanged rahte hain, mujhe ye jokes pata hain. Aur ye correlations sirf oil ke saath nahi hote. Mere liye kuch nahi badla. Main ab bhi $65 per barrel ka price tag expect karta hoon strategic satisfaction ke liye. Dekhte hain.

Mehtat mein kya ja raha hai keh crude oil ke prices mein beqarar hone ki nishaniyan mojood hain. Is tajziya mein Heiken Ashi candlesticks ka istemal kiya gaya hai jinhe Commodity Channel Index (CCI) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke sath mila kar market ke trends ko tasveer mein pesh karta hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks is tajziya ke liye khaas tor par ahem hai kyunke ye standard candlestick charts mein mojood shor ko saaf karte hain. Ye smoothing effect technical analysis ki darusti mein sudhar karti hai, jisse trading faislon mein behtari aati hai. Heiken Ashi technique shor aur reversals ko asani se pehchane mein madadgar sabit hoti hai aur market mein mojood power balance ko reflect karne ki khasiyat ke liye mashhoor hai. Hamari maujooda tajziya mein candlesticks laal hogaye hain, jo market mein sellers ki dominating position ko dikhata hai.

Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.

Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.

In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.

Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.

Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke risk ka behtareen management kar sakte hain

crude oil ke prices ne aik wazeh downward movement initiate ki, jo ke sell trend ko mark karti hai. H4 chart ko dekh kar yeh zaahir hota hai ke pichle hafte ka price gap abhi tak fill nahi hua. Filhal, price 77.53 level ke ird gird hai, jo selling trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. H4 chart yeh bhi dikha raha hai ke trend zyadatar bearish hai. Stochastic indicator, jo chart par apply kiya gaya hai, yeh sell signal ko corroborate karta hai, aur downward momentum ko mazid affirm karta hai.
Agar yeh bearish trend puray hafte barqarar rehta hai, to crude oil prices ka agla target chart par support level 72.59 ho sakta hai. Yeh aik significant support level hai jo ke floor ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan buyers shayad step in karain aur downward trend ko potentially rokain.
Lekin, agar current price wapas bounce karti hai aur gap fill karti hai, to aik upward movement bhi ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, upward target potentially 82 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh bounce temporary reversal ya correction ko signify kar sakta hai market mein, jo aik brief bullish movement ka moka faraham karta hai. Gap fill aksar prices ke liye magnet ka kaam karta hai, jo aise corrective movements ko lead karta hai.
Crude Oil ke price movement ka analysis aik dilchasp topic hai. Kal ke U.S. labor market statistics ne U.S. dollar ko negatively impact kiya, jo ke oil market ke liye aik wake-up call thi. Labor market ka slowdown U.S. ki economic activity ke kam honay ko reflect karta hai aur yeh duniya ke sab se baray market mein gasoline consumption ko kam kar sakta hai. Nateejaatan, oil prices ne apna downward trend continue rakha, price chart par exponential average se neechay gir gaye aur crucial support level 72.85 ke qareeb pohanch gaye.
Daily chart par koi reversal ke asaar nahi hain, aur yeh decline Monday tak continue rehne ki umeed hai, jahan bears 72.85 level ko torhne ki koshish karenge. Agar yeh successful ho jata hai, to downward movement 66.81 ke local minimum level tak barh sakti hai. Warna, agar price 72.85 ke neechay nahi girti, to aik upward wave develop ho sakti hai, jo resistance level 77.59 ko target karegi pehle ke bearish attempt phir se 72.85 ko torhne ki koshish kare.

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Crude oil ne pichle week mai apni decline ko continue rakha aur aik aur local low set kiya, jo 82.22 se thoda neeche tha. Price initially recover karne aur growth resume karne ki koshish ki jab 84.67 se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin 86.20 par resistance mili, jis ne 82.22 se neeche break karne aur downtrend continue karne diya. Is ke bawajood, abhi bhi target area nahi pohanch saka. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mai rehti hai, jo ke continued selling pressure ki indication hai.
Technical point of view se, aaj hum dekh rahe hain ke simple moving averages current bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain aur RSI se short-term time frame mai clear negative signal mil raha hai. Is se downtrend force mai rehti hai, day trading mai stability ke sath aur psychological barrier 79.00 ke upar koi resistance nahi hai, pehla target 77.60 par hai, jiska break downtrend ki strength ko barhaega, accelerate karega aur confirm karega, is tarah directly 76.85 tak pohanchne ka rasta milega. Hum remind karte hain ke 79.00 se upar break aur price consolidation above 79.10 puri tarah se presented scenario ko refute kar sakti hai aur oil prices ko recover karne ka lead de sakti hai, possibly 79.85 aur 80.40 tak. Neeche chart dekhen:
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke risk ka behtareen
Critical support area pressure mein hai aur break hone wala hai, jo preferred vector mein downward shift ko indicate kar raha hai. Is move ko confirm karne ke liye, prices ko new price area capped at 86.20 mein consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance area ab border kar raha hai. Is area ka retest aur bounce ek dusri negative impact ka opportunity provide karega jo 82.22 aur 79.54 areas ko target karega.

Resistance ke upar break aur 88.55 pivot level ke upar move current scenario ko reverse hone ka indication dega.

Aaj main TMA channel indicator ke zariye chuni gayi currency pair ke current price movement ko forecast karne ki koshish karunga, jo moving averages ke analysis par based hai. Filhal, channel north ki taraf directed hai, jo buyers ki dominance ko indicate karta hai sellers ke muqablay. Halankeh southern rollback movements hain, mujhe lagta hai ke bulls itne strong hain ke apna leadership bears ko nahi dene wale hain.

Zigzag line ki direction ke mutabiq, abhi sirf long deals kholna advisable hai. Laguerre aur RSI indicators, jo TMA signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, long purchase area mein hain. Main plan kar raha hoon ke open order ko Fibo 100% tak close kar doon, jo ke price mark 83.81 par located hai. Iske baad correction down to 78.15 aayegi, aur uske baad growth continue hogi. Shayad abhi se fall karna mumkin hai, aur phir growth continue karegi, misaal ke taur par 78.20 ke range se.

Humein achi correction mil chuki hai aur uske baad strengthening continue ho sakti hai. Shayad 79.10 ke range ko break kar ke upar consolidate karein, to yeh buy signal hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke choti si downward correction, misaal ke taur par 78.10 ke range tak, ke baad strengthening continue ho sakti hai. Jab 79.12 ke range ko break kar ke upar consolidate karenge, tab buy signal milega.

Lekin mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh reversal ka shuruat hai – zyada tar yeh growth ke wave par ek correction hai, jo continue karegi aur buyers ka target side wedge ki upper border hai, jo ke approximately 82.00 level par hai. Medium-term trading perspective mein WTI oil ko is price mark par kharidna chahiye. Lekin, upar di gayi technical analysis sirf ek pehlu hai aur fundamental factors ko nahi bhoolna chahiye.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
### **Muqadma**
Crude oil duniya mein sab se ziada istimal hone wala commodity hai. Is ki qeemat mein tabdeeli sirf energy sector ko nahi, balki global economy ko bhi mutasir karti hai. Technical analysis, jo historical price data aur market trends ko dekh kar aglay ehtemaal ka andaza lagata hai, crude oil trading mein aik aham kirdar ada karta hai.

### **Support aur Resistance Levels**

Support aur resistance levels crude oil ke technical analysis ka aik bunyadi hissa hain. Support level wo qeemat hoti hai jahan demand zyada hoti hai, aur price girna ruk jata hai. Iske bar'aks, resistance level wo qeemat hoti hai jahan supply zyada hoti hai aur price barhna ruk jata hai. Agar crude oil ki qeemat support level ke qareeb hoti hai, to traders isay kharidne par ghour kartay hain. Agar qeemat resistance level ke qareeb hoti hai, to sale karne ka ehtemaal barh jata hai.

### **Moving Averages**

Moving averages ka istimal karke market ke trend ko dekhna asan ho jata hai. Simple moving average (SMA) aur exponential moving average (EMA) do aham indicators hain jo traders ko market ke overall trend ka andaza dene mein madad karte hain. Agar crude oil ki current price apne moving average se upar hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko zahir karti hai, aur agar neechay hoti hai, to bearish trend ka pata chalata hai.

### **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**

Relative Strength Index (RSI) aik oscillator hai jo market ke overbought ya oversold honay ka andaza lagata hai. 70 se upar ka RSI score yeh zahir karta hai ke crude oil ki qeemat overbought hai, yani price mein correction ka ehtemaal hai. 30 se neeche ka RSI yeh dikhata hai ke market oversold hai, yani price barh sakti hai.

### **Candlestick Patterns**

Candlestick patterns, jaise ke Doji, Hammer, aur Engulfing Patterns, crude oil ki qeemat mein aanay wali tabdeelion ka andaza lagane mein madadgar hoti hain. Yeh patterns traders ko potential reversals ya continuation trends ke signals detay hain.

### **Nateeja**

Crude oil ka technical analysis aik complex process hai jismein kayi indicators aur tools ka istemal hota hai. Yeh analysis traders ko short-term aur long-term decisions lene mein madad deta hai, lekin is mein risks bhi hote hain. Accurate analysis ke liye market ki dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai, aur yeh analysis kisi bhi economic ya geopolitical events ke hawalay se bhi change ho sakta hai.

Crude Oil ki price behavior analysis ke mutabiq, agar price 78.99 par downward correction hoti hai, toh umeed hai ke uske baad phir se growth shuru hogi. Agar price apni current level se girti hai, toh recovery ka imkaan hai jo ke 79.14 ke range se shuru ho sakti hai. Kafi bearish correction ke baad, price ke mazid strong hone ki umeed hai. Agar consolidation hota hai aur price 80.14 ke upar breakout karti hai, toh ye buy ka signal hoga.

Agar ek chhoti si downward correction hoti hai, jese ke 78.69 par, toh uptrend jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price 80.24 range ko successfully break karke upar stay karti hai, toh ye confirm buy signal hoga. Heiken Ashi candle chart pe clear bullish signal dikh raha hai, is liye buy positions par focus karna behtar hoga.

Indicators ke combination se bullish price movement aur solid growth potential ka pata chal raha hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price data ko average aur smooth karti hain, traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein, trading analysis ko enhance karne mein madad karti hain. Yeh price reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulse moves ko timely detect karne mein madadgar sabit hoti hain.

Linear channel indicator, jo ke Moving Average ke current support aur resistance lines ko outline karta hai, bhi ek ahem trading tool hai. Yeh asset ki movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt dikhata hai. RSI oscillator bhi trades ko finalize karne mein crucial hai, kyun ke yeh overbought aur oversold zones ko identify karta hai, jo informed trading decisions lene mein madadgar hota hai. Is tools ke set se trading streamline hoti hai aur false market entries ka risk kam ho jata hai. Attached pair ke chart mein blue candlesticks dikhate hain ke bulls strong hain aur price ko upar drive kar rahe hain. Given is bullish sentiment, yeh ek acha mauqa hai long positions open karne ka at favorable price quotes. Price ne linear channel ke lower boundary se aagay move kar liya hai, lekin lowest extreme point par pohanch kar rebound hui aur channel ki middle line ki taraf shift hui. Basement RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal support karta hai, kyun ke iska upward curve overbought level se door hai, jo ke buy positions ke liye mazid reinforcement hai.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay hafte Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.

Wednesday ke end par U.S. oil futures lagbhag 1.5 percent tak gir gayi. Yeh OPEC cuts ke negative impact ko reinforce kar raha hai jo pichlay hafte implement hui thi, jinhon ne global oil demand forecasts ko affect kiya. OPEC ne is hafte apni oil demand forecast ko cut kiya, kuch positive oil-related factors ka hawala dete hue jo global oil prices ko barha sakte hain. Crude oil $77.03 per barrel tak gir gaya, jo ke previous close $78.58 se kam tha. Wednesday ko U.S. oil futures intraday high 79.07 tak pohchi, jab ke intraday low 76.79 tha.



Ab prices clearly rise kar rahi hain aur recent weekly highs se door move kar rahi hain. Ek key resistance zone par bhari pressure tha aur woh lagbhag toot gaya jab price pivot level mein deep ghus gaya, mushkil se isay torne se rok paaya aur downside bias ko maintain kiya. Aage barhny ke liye, quotes ko ab 79.54 level ke neeche wapas aana aur consolidate karna hoga, jahan key resistance zone ki border located hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent rebound aik aur negative impact ka mouka provide karega, jiska target area 75.99 aur 74.28 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar further growth hoti hai, to current scenario cancel ho sakta hai, aur final price action reversal level 82.22 ke upar hoga.

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke risk ka behtareen management kar sakte hain

Daily chart ko dekhne ke baad, ab hum hourly chart par nazar daalte hain. Yahan pehle ek confident ascending price channel ke niche border ko 78.50 par tod diya gaya tha, jiske baad black gold ne tezi se niche ki taraf move kiya aur is waqt jab yeh analytical post likhi ja rahi hai, oil 76.55 par hai. Technically, abhi southern channel mein ek corrective wave of growth chal rahi hai, jo lagbhag 77.00 ke price level par resistance line ke intersection par khatam hogi. Is tarah, daily chart par humein further sales ka signal mil raha hai, lekin hourly timeframe par sales ek chhoti northern corrective movement ke zariye chal rahi hai.

Agar decline continue hota hai, toh hum lower Bollinger band ki taraf aur jayenge, jo filhal 73.14 par hai, aur price wahan se upar bounce kar sakti hai. Agar price nayi week mein upar turn karti hai, toh hum MA pair ko dekhenge, jo thoda upar, lagbhag 77.21/57 ke aas-paas hain. Yeh dekhna hoga ki kya price in dono lines ko break kar sakti hai ya nahi. Agar hum further upar jayenge, toh upper Bollinger band ke taraf jo filhal 80.22 par hai, dekhenge.

Growth ke baad, decline bahut tezi se shuru hua, aur unloading phase bhi chhota tha. Baad mein, oil 75.91 par wapas aagaya, jahan se H4 par buy signal mila. Maine ise blue column ke saath mark kiya tha, lekin ab yeh signal outdated ho chuka hai. Trend lines bhi interesting hai, inki different slopes hain aur maine inhe pehle se draw kiya hai. Yeh Fibonacci fan ke similar lagti hain. Red line 61.8% level ke similar hai, purple line 50% ke, aur black line 38.2% ke.

American session ke dauran, price ne ek pennant pattern form kiya. Agar next week price pennant zone se north ki taraf nikalti hai, resistance level 76.92 ko todti hai aur is level ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh price ko next resistance level 78.16 tak jaan ka raasta mil sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab cancel ho sakta hai agar price pennant zone se south ki taraf nikalti hai, support level 75.91 ko todti hai aur niche consolidate karti hai, toh price ko next support level 74.91 tak jaan ka raasta mil sakta hai.

Crude oil ne pichle week mai apni decline ko continue rakha aur aik aur local low set kiya, jo 82.22 se thoda neeche tha. Price initially recover karne aur growth resume karne ki koshish ki jab 84.67 se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin 86.20 par resistance mili, jis ne 82.22 se neeche break karne aur downtrend continue karne diya. Is ke bawajood, abhi bhi target area nahi pohanch saka. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mai rehti hai, jo ke continued selling pressure ki indication hai. Technical point of view se, aaj hum dekh rahe hain ke simple moving averages current bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain aur RSI se short-term time frame mai clear negative signal mil raha hai. Is se downtrend force mai rehti hai, day trading mai stability ke sath aur psychological barrier 79.00 ke upar koi resistance nahi hai, pehla target 77.60 par hai, jiska break downtrend ki strength ko barhaega, accelerate karega aur confirm karega, is tarah directly 76.85 tak pohanchne ka rasta milega. Hum remind karte hain ke 79.00 se upar break aur price consolidation above 79.10 puri tarah se presented scenario ko refute kar sakti hai aur oil prices ko recover karne ka lead de sakti hai, possibly 79.85 aur 80.40 tak. Neeche chart dekhen:
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke risk ka behtareen
Critical support area pressure mein hai aur break hone wala hai, jo preferred vector mein downward shift ko indicate kar raha hai. Is move ko confirm karne ke liye, prices ko new price area capped at 86.20 mein consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance area ab border kar raha hai. Is area ka retest aur bounce ek dusri negative impact ka opportunity provide karega jo 82.22 aur 79.54 areas ko target karega.

Resistance ke upar break aur 88.55 pivot level ke upar move current scenario ko reverse hone ka indication dega

Oil prices Friday ko neeche chale gaye jab selling pressure barh gaya, aur market ko $78.50 per crucial 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par sakht muqabla ka samna karna para. American Petroleum Institute (API) ne 5.2 million barrels ka production cut report kiya, jo ek bullish factor tha, lekin broader market concerns ne isko overshadow kar diya. Producer Price Index (PPI) ki release jo expectations se kaafi neeche thi, ne aane wali US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report mein bhi kami ki umeed barhadi. Agar deflationary trend qaim rehta hai, toh yeh US dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo oil prices par downward pressure daal sakta hai kyunke yeh aksar greenback ke inverse mein move karti hain.

US dollar index (DXY) bhi selling pressure mein tha, jo market ki softer CPI reading ki anticipation ko reflect karta hai. Aane wala CPI data is haftay ka sabse ahem economic indicator samjha ja raha hai, jo dollar aur oil prices dono par significant asar daal sakta hai. Hal hi mein hui price increases ke bawajood, overall market sentiment abhi bhi cautious hai. OPEC aur International Energy Agency (IEA) dono ne oversupply conditions ko indicate kiya hai, jiski wajah se traders OPEC ke production changes par focus kar rahe hain bajaye uske stated commitment to production cuts ke. Is uncertainty ne market ki volatility mein izafa kiya hai.

Ek bara risk yeh hai ke agar US mein ek tezi se economic downturn aata hai, toh oil demand aur prices dono mein rapid decline ho sakta hai. Lekin broader trend yeh suggest karta hai ke oil ke liye downward bias hai. Technical analysis kuch critical levels ko highlight karti hai jo dekhne laayak hain. $77.68 per 200-day SMA aur $78.50 per 55-day SMA significant support aur resistance areas hain. Downside par, $75.27 ka level, jo pehle breach ho chuka hai, kuch support provide kar sakta hai, lekin wo kamzor hoga. August ke low of $71.17 ko zyada significant declines ke liye ek potential target samjha ja raha hai.

Conclusion yeh hai ke oil prices ko economic concerns, technical resistance, aur OPEC ke uncertain stance se headwinds ka samna hai. Jab ke API ka production cut temporary support provide kar raha hai, lekin yeh prevailing bearish sentiment ko offset karne ke liye kafi nahi hai. Aane wala CPI report market ke next move ka crucial determinant hoga, jisme volatility barh sakti hai.

Crude Oil Price Action:

Crude oil ke price action ka analysis abhi chal raha hai. Abhi ki surat-e-haal mein crude oil mein ziada tabdeeli nahi hui hai. 4-hour chart par, futures market bullish trajectory maintain kar raha hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo continued upward momentum ko signal karta hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke long position beneficial ho sakti hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upward trend kar raha hai. Is waqt oil $76.59 par trade ho raha hai. Intraday growth ka target traditional Pivot reversal levels par hai. Monday se, futures apne current levels se apni ascent ko continue karega, aur agar initial resistance level ke upar breakthrough hota hai, to nayi growth wave start hogi, jo oil prices ko $80.65 ke kareeb resistance ke aage le jayegi. Agar market players downside par wapas aate hain, to support level $73.40 par critical reference point hoga current chart par. Growth ka primary driver Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan ongoing tension hai, jo har nayi development ke saath oil prices ko upar drive karti hai.

Recent U.S. data ke mutabiq, oil reserves drop hui hain, active drilling rigs ka number ek kam hua hai, aur oil imports mein thodi kami aayi hai. Speculative trading pichle haftay mein surge hui hai. Mera khayal hai ke aane wala hafta price drop se shuru ho sakta hai, jo $77 per barrel ke aas paas hogi, aur phir hafta ke aakhri hisse mein ek correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain. OPEC ka irada lagta hai ke price ko $80 ke kareeb maintain karna hai, jo United States ke liye bhi acceptable hai. Is wajah se, main expect karta hoon ke price $81 se $74 ke darmiyan fluctuate karegi. Pichle haftay ke end par, oil trading instrument ne ek bearish signal show kiya tha jab prices ne resistance level $78.86 ko break kar diya tha, jo ke previous high tha. Filhal, main yeh assert nahi kar sakta ke situation poori tarah se play out ho gayi hai. CL trading instrument mein abhi bhi considerable potential hai further decline ke liye, jab tak ke Middle East mein koi unforeseen events na ho jayein, halan ke wahan ka situation ab kuch had tak stabilize ho gaya hai.

Crude Oil ki price behavior analysis ke mutabiq, agar price 78.99 par downward correction hoti hai, toh umeed hai ke uske baad phir se growth shuru hogi. Agar price apni current level se girti hai, toh recovery ka imkaan hai jo ke 79.14 ke range se shuru ho sakti hai. Kafi bearish correction ke baad, price ke mazid strong hone ki umeed hai. Agar consolidation hota hai aur price 80.14 ke upar breakout karti hai, toh ye buy ka signal hoga.

Agar ek chhoti si downward correction hoti hai, jese ke 78.69 par, toh uptrend jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price 80.24 range ko successfully break karke upar stay karti hai, toh ye confirm buy signal hoga. Heiken Ashi candle chart pe clear bullish signal dikh raha hai, is liye buy positions par focus karna behtar hoga.
Indicators ke combination se bullish price movement aur solid growth potential ka pata chal raha hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price data ko average aur smooth karti hain, traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein, trading analysis ko enhance karne mein madad karti hain. Yeh price reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulse moves ko timely detect karne mein madadgar sabit hoti hain.



Linear channel indicator, jo ke Moving Average ke current support aur resistance lines ko outline karta hai, bhi ek ahem trading tool hai. Yeh asset ki movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt dikhata hai. RSI oscillator bhi trades ko finalize karne mein crucial hai, kyun ke yeh overbought aur oversold zones ko identify karta hai, jo informed trading decisions lene mein madadgar hota hai. Is tools ke set se trading streamline hoti hai aur false market entries ka risk kam ho jata hai. Attached pair ke chart mein blue candlesticks dikhate hain ke bulls strong hain aur price ko upar drive kar rahe hain. Given is bullish sentiment, yeh ek acha mauqa hai long positions open karne ka at favorable price quotes. Price ne linear channel ke lower boundary se aagay move kar liya hai, lekin lowest extreme point par pohanch kar rebound hui aur channel ki middle line ki taraf shift hui. Basement RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal support karta hai, kyun ke iska upward curve overbought level se door hai, jo ke buy positions ke liye mazid reinforcement hai.