سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

H4 aur H1 chart frames par ek mazboot ascending price channel kaafi arsay tak trade kar raha tha. Is channel mein higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila tha, jo ke crude oil prices mein ek strong uptrend ko darust karta tha. Yeh trend dekhnay mein mazboot aur consistent tha, aur traders ko achhi trading opportunities provide kar raha tha. Lekin, is channel ki stability us waqt disrupt hui jab price ne apni lower border ko break kar diya, jo ke 80.05 ke critical level ke qareeb tha. Is disruption ka mukhtalif factors ho sakte hain, jaise ke market sentiments, supply and demand dynamics, ya phir koi geopolitical event. Jab bhi ek well-defined trend break hota hai, traders ko cautious hona chahiye aur market ki changing dynamics ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Is break ke baad, traders ko market ka behavior closely observe karna chahiye, kyunki yeh ek potential trend reversal indication ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, traders ko aur analysis aur confirmation ki zarurat hoti hai, jaise ke price action, volume, aur technical indicators ka istemal. Ek potential strategy, jab price ne channel ka lower border break kiya hai, woh hai wait karna aur dekhna ke kya price phir se channel ke andar re-enter karta hai ya nahi. Agar price phir se channel ke andar re-enter karta hai aur channel ke andar trading range restore hota hai, toh yeh ek bullish indication ho sakta hai, lekin confirmation ke liye, traders ko aur price action ka wait karna chahiye. Dusri taraf, agar price channel ke andar re-enter nahi karta aur downtrend jari rehta hai, toh yeh ek bearish indication ho sakta hai, aur traders ko is direction mein trade karne ki possibility consider karni chahiye. Market ke volatility aur uncertainty ke beech, risk management ka bhi ek ahem hissa hai. Position size ko control karna aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna zaroori hai taake traders apne capital ko protect kar sakein. Crude oil ke current market conditions aur overall trend ko analyze karke, traders ko apni strategy ko adjust karna chahiye, aur market ke changing dynamics ke mutabiq react karna chahiye. Market mein flexibility aur adaptability key factors hain jo successful trading ko darust karte hain.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Crude oil ki price pichlay hafta ke doran unexpected tor par barh gayi, jo ke aik reversal tha na ke correction. 78.09 ke level ko break karke price ne foothold lene ki koshish ki magar fail hui, jis ke natije main price recover hui aur phir grow karte huye signal zone se bahar nikal gayi aur pichlay hafta ke lagbhag tamam losses ko wapas le aayi. Is tarah, further decline ka expected scenario kabhi materialize nahi hua. Iske ilawa, price chart green supertrend zone main enter kar gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ne situation ka control sambhal liya hai.

Crude oil ne positive outlook ko jeene diya jo humari pichli report main expect kiya gaya tha, official target 78.60 ko hit kiya aur 77.45 ka high touch kiya. Aaj ke technical picture ko dekhain to, simple moving average price ko higher push kar raha hai aur short term main positive momentum provide kar raha hai jabke RSI 50 agreed midline ke uper settle hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Hum positive magar cautious rehna pasand karenge, intraday trading ko 80.00 ke uper rakhenge aur agla target 80.02 hoga. Jab tak 80.30 ke level se niche deal nahi hoti, target 81.20 aur 81.50 tak extend ho sakta hai.



Is waqt prices weekly highs se kaafi uper trade kar rahi hain. Main areas of resistance overcome ho chuki hain aur maintain nahi ho sakti, jo indicate karta hai ke upward vector ko shift karne ki zarurat hai. Confirm karne ke liye, price ko current price range, jo 81.60 par hai, main enter karna hoga, jahan main support area ab border par hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent rebound aik naye upward movement ka moqa dega, jo 86.85 aur 89.06 ke area ko target karega.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka sign support level ka breakthrough aur price movement ka 79.54 ke reversal level se neeche jaana hoga.

Technical Analysis of Crude Oil
Crude oil prices ne guzishta haftay ke doran unexpectedly rise dekhi, jo ek reversal ban gaya balki ek correction ke bajaye. Level 78.09 ko break karne ke baad, price ne foothold gain karne ki koshish ki lekin fail hogayi, jis ke natije mein price recover hui aur phir growth continue ki, signal zone se nikal kar pichle haftay ke takreeban tamam losses ko wapas jeet liya. Iss tarah, expected scenario of further decline kabhi materialize nahi hua. Iske ilawa, price chart green supertrend zone mein enter ho gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ne situation par control le liya hai.

Crude oil ne hamari previous report ke positive outlook ko live up kiya, hitting the official target of 78.60 aur high of 77.45 ko hit kiya. Aaj ki technical picture ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke simple moving average prices ko higher push karta raha hai aur short term mein positive momentum provide karta hai, jab yeh RSI 50 agreed midline ke upar settle hone ki koshish karta hai. Hum positive rehna prefer karte hain lekin cautious bhi, intraday trading ko 80.00 ke upar rakhte hue, next target at 80.02 ke sath. Jab tak hum 80.30 ke neeche deal nahi dekhte, target ko 81.20 aur 81.50 tak extend kiya ja sakta hai. Neeche chart dekhain:


Prices abhi weekly highs ke upar trading kar rahi hain. Main areas of resistance overcome ho chuki hain aur maintain nahi ho sakti, jo indicate karta hai ke vector of preferences ko upward shift karne ki zaroorat hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko current price range mein enter karna hoga, jo ke 81.60 par hai, jahan main support area currently border karta hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent rebound ek new upward movement ka mauqa faraham karega, target in the area of 86.85 aur 89.06.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka sign support level ka breakthrough aur price movement reversal level of 79.54 ke neeche hona hoga.

Crude Oil ki Technical Analysis
Pichlay working week kay doran, crude oil ke prices barhtay huay naye highs par pohanch gaye. 81.60 level ke oper consolidate karne ke baad, price ne upward momentum generate kiya aur 86 ke aas-paas naye high tak pohanchi. Lekin, aaj ke gains ne isko apna target hit karne se rok diya, lekin yeh sirf waqt ki baat hai. Price chart abhi bhi green supertrend zone mai hai, jo ke buyers ke control mai hone ko indicate karta hai.

Technically, hum aggressive magar ehtiyat ke sath trade karna pasand karte hain, relying on positive signals from the 50-day simple moving average, jo ke upside ki likelihood ko increase karta hai aur 77.60 support ke oper price stability ke sath. Yahan se, bullish trend ka resumption mumkin hai kyun ke 79.00 se oper break karne se bullish trend ki strength increase aur accelerate hogi, jo ke directly 79.85 aur phir 80.40 tak access provide karegi, jo agla official stop hai. Yad rahe ke bullish scenario ka activation mainly day trading ki stability par depend karta hai strong support 77.60 ke oper, jahan se targets 77.00 aur 76.30 start hote hain, jo aapko wapas us zone mai layega.



Prices ab clearly weekly highs tak barh rahi hain. Major support areas abhi tak explore nahi huay aur untouched hain, jo ke upward vector sequence ko indicate karte hain. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko current price range mai enter karna hoga, jo 84.06 par hai, jahan main support area ab border karta hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent rebound ek naye upward movement ka mauqa provide karega jahan targets 89.06 aur 91.52 hain.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ki nishani hogi support level ka breakthrough aur price movement reversal level 81.60 se neechay.

Crude Oil ka forecast

H4 time frame chart outlook:
Bawajood ke price ek ustani channel mein move kar rahi hai aur ek musbat trend hai, jaisa ke maine diagram mein dikhaya hai, Crude Oil ke H4 time frame chart ke hisab se kharidaron ke liye technical situation kaafi mushkil lag raha hai. Kuch ghanton pehle, Crude Oil ka price is ascending channel ke lower bound ko test kiya aur ek bullish pin bar candle banayi. Us waqt, maine predict kiya ke price barhne wali hai mazeed buyer momentum ki wajah se. Lekin Crude Oil ke prices ne phir se apni bearish trend ko shuru kiya hai, aur wo ek baar phir ascending channel ke lower end par hain. Crude Oil shayad is ascending channel ke lower end ko tode aur moving average lines ko neeche cross kare agar bears apna dabaav barqarar rakhte hain.

Daily time frame chart outlook:


Jaise ke daily time frame chart se dekha ja sakta hai, pichle haftay ke peer ke din, Crude Oil ke price mein aik significant izafa hua. Is natijay mein, Crude Oil ka price moving average lines ke upar se guzar gaya, trend direction ko bearish se bullish mei badal diya. Iske baad ke price ne 80.56 ka resistance level tor diya aur ab is ke upar hai, ye support level ka kaam karta hai, ke buyers pichle haftay mein overall buland rahe hain. Crude Oil ne is support level ko test karne ke baad chhota sa bullish candle banaya. Agar price aaj barhti hai, to Crude Oil 84.46 aur 87.66 ke resistance levels ko challenge karega. Agar price ghat ti hai, to wo 78.07 aur 72.46 ke support levels ko test karne ki koshish karega.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Pichle week, Crude oil ki price narrow range mai 84 aur 86 ke beech trade karti rahi with little dynamic changes. Price ne naye level pe fix hone ki koshish ki taake previous trend continue ho sake. Magar apna goal achieve nahi kar saka aur work abhi ongoing hai. Price chart abhi bhi green supertrend zone mai hai, jo buyers ke control mai hone ka indication hai.

Technically, H-4 chart ko closely dekhte hue, Simple Moving Average current uptrend ko support kar rahi hai, positive stimulus aur oil price signals se support mil raha hai. Is liye, uptrend likely hai with aaj ke session ka target 81.60 rakha gaya hai, jiska break hone se rally continue hone ka encouragement milega, aur seedha 82.05 aur 82.60 dekhega. Hum yaad dilaate hain ke bullish scenario ka activation largely intraday trading ki sustainability pe depend karta hai above the support level 80.55, jiska break hone se negative pressure ka door khulega aimed at retesting 80.00.



Is waqt, price different directions mai trade kar rahi hai aur weekly neutral hai. Major support areas abhi tak explore nahi hui aur untouched hain, jo upward vector sequence indicate karti hain. Further confirmation ke liye 84.06 level ka confident retest hoga, jahan key support area ke boundaries hain. Is area se subsequent rebound nayi upward movement ka opportunity provide karega with target 89.06 aur 91.52.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price 81.60 ke reversal level ke neeche move hoti hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.

H4 Time Frame Chart Outlook:


Crude Oil ki trade activity pichle kuch trading dino se H4 time frame chart par range zone mein rahi hai, jaisa ke accompanying diagram mein dikhaya gaya hai. 21 June ko Crude Oil ke liye new contract launch hua, jo in range trading operations ka aghaz tha. Price is waqt rising hai aur resistance level 82.48 ke qareeb aa rahi hai. Agar buyers is barrier ko todne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to price bohot zyada upar jaye gi aur 83.91 resistance level ko challenge karegi.



Daily Time Frame Chart Outlook:


Daily time frame chart par, overall bullish trading activity 5 June ko shuru hui jab Crude Oil ne trend line test ki jo maine attached diagram mein draw ki thi. Us waqt main trend bearish tha kyunki price moving average lines ke neeche trade kar rahi thi. Do ya teen trading dino baad, jab Crude Oil ki price ne moving average lines ko contact kiya, to yeh range movement indicate karta tha. Aakhir mein, 17 June ko Crude Oil ki price moving average lines ke upar cross hui, aur trend ka direction change ho gaya. Trend change ke waqt purchasers ne Crude Oil ki price drive ki, lekin range movement ki wajah se price significantly rise nahi hui aur ab bhi range mein hai. Lekin, strong bullish candle jo kal form hui hai, yeh likelihood increase karti hai ke price jald hi range zone ke established resistance ko break karlegi aur long run mein price upar jayegi. Agar aap isse purchase karte hain, to aapko un resistance levels ka khayal rakhna hoga jo maine attached figure mein depict kiye hain.

WTI crude oil ke abhi ke taaza muaasharti halat ka tajziya:

Maujooda qeemat ka jayeza:
Jis trading session ke mutabiq, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil karib $78.96 har barrel par priced hai, jo ke pehle din ke $80.24 se kam hai. Ye qeemat pichle saal ke is hi waqt se 15.93% barh gayi hai.

Haal ki qeemat ki harkatein:
Haal hi mein, WTI crude oil mein nihayat zyada uthal-puthal dekhi gayi hai. Qeemat $78 se lekar $82 har barrel ke darmiyan rahi hai, jo ke is mahine ke shuru mein $72.51 se aham tor par ubhar gayi thi. Ye tabdeel mukhtalif maqdar mein inventory data aur saiyasi waqeaton ke asar se hoti hai.

Ahem resistance seviyaan:
200-din ke Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar wala level $82.55 resistance ke taur par kaam karta hai. Qeemat ko is level ke upar rehna chahiye taake bullish trend jari rahe aur shayad $87 ka nishan bhi pa sake. Ye horizontal line ek ahem resistance point hai.

Tanzeemiaat ke indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 par hai, jo taqatwar uthal-puthal ko zahir karta hai lekin yeh bhi samjhata hai ke market overbought hai. Ek RSI jo 60 se oopar ho aam tor par ye darust hota hai ke market correction qareebi samay mein muntazir hai.

Market sentiment aur correction:
Tajziaan karne walon ka khayal hai ke jab WTI ke prices $79 tak pohanchen, to market overbought haalat aur 200-din ke EMA par resistance ke conditions ke mutabiq correction ho sakti hai. Unhon ne ehtiyaat se kaam karne ki salah di hai, traders ko saaf market signals ka intezar karne ki hidayat di hai.

Linear Regression Channel Analysis:
M15 chart ke upper linear regression channel ka slope taqatwar khareedari ke interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin jab qeemat channel ke upper limit ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to upar ki trend ko dhimi hoti hai, jo shayad volatility ko kam kar sake aur market correction ko le kar aaye.

Inventory Reports ka asar:
Haal hi mein Energy Information Administration (EIA) ke reports ne bataya ke U.S. crude oil inventories mein izafa hua hai, jo bullish sentiments ko kam kar diya hai. Lekin unke mutabiq, barish ke dino mein buland demand ki umeed aur saiyasi risks qeemat ko support karte hain.

Saiyasi aur ma'ashiyati factors:
Saiyasi risks aur ma'ashiyati indicators crude oil ke prices par badi asar dalte hain. Ahem oil production ke ilaakon mein tanazaat aur global demand ke taqweem mein tabdiliyan market dynamics mein zaroori kirdaar ada karti hain.

Technical Analysis aur trading strategy:
Oil ke prices $72.52 se uthne ke baad barhne shuru hue. Main ne do bullish market break structures pehchaane: pehla inverted head aur shoulders pattern ke shakal mein aur doosra horizontal resistance line $80.55 par. Daily chart indicators abhi khareedari ke signals dikhate hain.

Crude Oil Ka Danishmandi Ki Talaash Mazid Barh Rahi Hai

H4 waqt ke chart ka tasawwur:
Crude Oil ke H4 waqt ke chart se maloom hota hai ke bears ka influence pehle Jumma ko behtar tha jab market band hui, isliye Crude Oil ne taqatwar bearish engulfing candle ki tayyari ki. Bearish engulfing candle ki tayyari ke sabab se, maine yeh umeed ki thi ke price is hafte mazeed giray ga wahi bearish momentum ke saath. Lekin aakhri candle mein, Crude Oil ne trend line aur 50 EMA line ko touch kiya, jaise maine graphic mein dikhaya hai. Crude Oil ne ek bullish pin bar candle banaya aur 26 EMA line ke upar band hua jab ke price tezi se chadha aur trend line ko test kiya. Crude Oil kharidne ki slah hai takreeban 82.72 aur 84.42 resistance level tak kyun ke kharidne ke liye ek green signal hai.

Daily waqt ke chart ka tasawwur:
June 17 ko Crude Oil ka price tezi se chadha tha bade buyers ki taqat se, moving average lines ko cross kiya aur apne trend ki direction badal di, Crude Oil ke daily waqt ke chart ke mutabiq. Crude Oil ka price activity June 18 se ek range zone mein reh rahi hai, jo trend traders ko pareshan kar raha hai. Crude Oil ne daily waqt ke chart ke aakhri candle mein range zone ke resistance level ko chu liya tha, isliye price filhal gir raha hai. Daily waqt ke chart mein dikhne wale bullish primary trend ke chalte, zyada probability hai ke price chadhega. Maine ek diagram shamil kiya hai jo kharidne wale ke liye agli kuch mushkil resistance levels ko dikhata hai.

Tajwez kia gia hai ke oil ka price analysis kia jaye. Kal, oil ne $78 ke aas paas jama kiya. Daily candles par upper wicks resistance ko darust karte hain, jo ek possible pullback ka ishara dete hain. Magar pehli girawat ka shikar $75 range mein hai, kyunki price apne pehle levels par wapas aa gayi hai. Highs ko update karna mukhtasir araam $80 ke aas paas lambay arse tak resistance toorna ko darust kar sakta hai. Pichle hafte bullion ke liye faida mand raha, jab ke prices mein izafa hua. Magar ab tak price ne $80.1 ya pehlay wale $80.62 round level tak nahi pohancha. Kul mila kar, global fundamental background itna nuksandeh nahi hai ke oil ke prices barh saken, jisse agle trading week mein correction mumkin hai. #CL trading instrument $76.51 ke support zone tak gir sakta hai. Takneekan, hum mazeed izafa ka intizaar kar rahe hain is correction ke baad. Maine chart par asset ko update kiya hai, magar baghair mutabiq fundamental support ke taqatwar izafa mumkin nahi hai.
Phir bhi, lambi positions $80.1 round resistance level tak rakhi ja sakti hain, jab tak ke imtiyazi girawat saaf nahi ho jati. 4 ghante ke channel structure ke andar, bears daily bearish trend ko torne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar trend line Monday ko khul jati hai aur ek "false breakdown" dikhata hai, to phir aik recover ke liye umeed hai. Magar $80.1 figure ke neeche girne par aur breakdown area ke upar mazidata ke sath jamawar hona ek potential trend change ka ishara deta hai. Is level ko control karne wale baazigar ek aagey local resistance par hamla karne ki koshish kar rahe hain $81 ke aas paas. Oil ka movement in ahem levels ke andar ek qabil e pesh ghor pattern hai.

Oil ka $78 ke aas paas jama hona resistance ko darust karta hai, pehli girawat ke targets $75 par hain. Bullion ne pichle hafte mein bari kamiyan dekhi, magar $76.51 tak correction mumkin hai phir mazeedi izafa se pehle. Ahem resistance $80.1 par hai, jahan shayad trend change ho sakta hai agar bears is level ko tor nahi paate. Agla local resistance $81 ke aas paas hai, jisse oil ka movement in levels ke andar qabil e pesh ghor hai.

Dusri taraf, chandi ke daam, gold ki behen commodity, ne ounce ke neeche $23 ke qareeb gir gaye. Aam tor par, safed dhaat ke daam ne pichle haftay mein 3.7% ki kami ki, jisme is saal ke shuruaat se lagbhag 6% ki kami shamil hai. Aam tor par, dhaat ke market ke daam trading hafte ke shuruaat mein gir gaye hain jis mein ye ummeed hai ke monetary authorities mazeed US interest rate cuts ko taal sakte hain. Ek group Federal Reserve policymakers ne ishara kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mazeed sabr se kaam le sakta hai aur US interest rates ko lamba arse tak buland rakhe sakta hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, investors June mein US interest rate cut ka 52% chance dekh rahe hain. Ye saaf taur par pehle ki tawajjuat ka khilaf tha jo taqreeban March ke shuruaat mein rate cut ki umeed thi. Is natije mein, ye US Treasury bonds ke yield mein izafa ka sabab bana, jisme das saal ke bonds ke yield ne 4.27% tak pohanch gaya. Isi tarah, do saal ke bonds ke yield ne do basis points ke izafe ke saath 4.71% tak pohanch gaya, jabke tees saal ke bonds ke yield 4.38% par mustahkam raha.

Jaise jante hain, sona interest rates ke fluctuations ke liye hassas hai kyun ke ye ghair munafa dene wali dhaat ko rakhne ka mauqa asar andaz hota hai.

Dusri taraf, investors is hafte do ahem data points ka nazarandaz karenge. Economic calendar data ke mutabiq, pehla US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke chauthay quarter ke doosre tajziyah ka intezar hai. Iska intezar hai ke ye 3.3% tak pohanchega. Doosra Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hai, jisme 0.3% ke izafe ka intezar hai, Core PCE Price Index ke saath, jo mazeed volatility ke energy aur khane ke hisson ko shamil nahi karta, jisme 0.4% ke izafe ka intezar hai.
Performance ke mutabiq, kamzor US dollar ne peelay dhaat ka madad nahi kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY), ek basket ke doosre major currencies ke khilaf dollar ka measurement, 103.84 par gira, 103.94 se shuru hokar. Pichle haftay, US Dollar Index (DXY) ke daam mein 0.5% ka giravat tha lekin saal ke shuruaat se ab tak 2.5% ka izafe hai. Aam tor par, ek girte hue US dollar dollar-denominated maal ke liye acha hota hai kyun ke ye unhe sasta kar deta hai foreign investors ke liye. Dosray dhaat ke market ke liye, tambay ke future $3.828 per pound tak gire. Isi tarah, platinum future $884.90 per ounce aur palladium future $968.00 per ounce tak gire.

Gold Technical Analysis

Sonay ke daam ke technical nazariye mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai, kyun ke aam trend ab bhi oopri taraf hai. Roz marra ki chart ke performance ke mutabiq, kai trading sessions mein tang range mein movement aam tor par ek taraf ki mazboot movement ka ishaara karta hai, aur is haftay ke ahem American economic data ke natayej is performance par mazboot reaction dikhayenge. US dollar ke daam, aur is tarah sonay ke daam, mazboot ane wale movements ke liye qabil e stable ho sakte hain. Halanki, abhi ke liye, sonay ke qareebi resistance levels $2055 aur $2070 hain, jo bulls ko zyada control hasil karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Dosri taraf, jaise hum pehle keh chuke hain, is aam trend ka palatna bina support levels $2000 aur $1985 per ounce ki taraf nahi ho sakta, jaise performance us arse mein rahi hai.

Dusri taraf, chandi ke daam, gold ki behen commodity, ne ounce ke neeche $23 ke qareeb gir gaye. Aam tor par, safed dhaat ke daam ne pichle haftay mein 3.7% ki kami ki, jisme is saal ke shuruaat se lagbhag 6% ki kami shamil hai. Aam tor par, dhaat ke market ke daam trading hafte ke shuruaat mein gir gaye hain jis mein ye ummeed hai ke monetary authorities mazeed US interest rate cuts ko taal sakte hain. Ek group Federal Reserve policymakers ne ishara kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mazeed sabr se kaam le sakta hai aur US interest rates ko lamba arse tak buland rakhe sakta hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, investors June mein US interest rate cut ka 52% chance dekh rahe hain. Ye saaf taur par pehle ki tawajjuat ka khilaf tha jo taqreeban March ke shuruaat mein rate cut ki umeed thi. Is natije mein, ye US Treasury bonds ke yield mein izafa ka sabab bana, jisme das saal ke bonds ke yield ne 4.27% tak pohanch gaya. Isi tarah, do saal ke bonds ke yield ne do basis points ke izafe ke saath 4.71% tak pohanch gaya, jabke tees saal ke bonds ke yield 4.38% par mustahkam raha.
Jaise jante hain, sona interest rates ke fluctuations ke liye hassas hai kyun ke ye ghair munafa dene wali dhaat ko rakhne ka mauqa asar andaz hota hai.

Dusri taraf, investors is hafte do ahem data points ka nazarandaz karenge. Economic calendar data ke mutabiq, pehla US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke chauthay quarter ke doosre tajziyah ka intezar hai. Iska intezar hai ke ye 3.3% tak pohanchega. Doosra Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hai, jisme 0.3% ke izafe ka intezar hai, Core PCE Price Index ke saath, jo mazeed volatility ke energy aur khane ke hisson ko shamil nahi karta, jisme 0.4% ke izafe ka intezar hai.
Performance ke mutabiq, kamzor US dollar ne peelay dhaat ka madad nahi kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY), ek basket ke doosre major currencies ke khilaf dollar ka measurement, 103.84 par gira, 103.94 se shuru hokar. Pichle haftay, US Dollar Index (DXY) ke daam mein 0.5% ka giravat tha lekin saal ke shuruaat se ab tak 2.5% ka izafe hai. Aam tor par, ek girte hue US dollar dollar-denominated maal ke liye acha hota hai kyun ke ye unhe sasta kar deta hai foreign investors ke liye. Dosray dhaat ke market ke liye, tambay ke future $3.828 per pound tak gire. Isi tarah, platinum future $884.90 per ounce aur palladium future $968.00 per ounce tak gire.

Gold Technical Analysis

Sonay ke daam ke technical nazariye mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai, kyun ke aam trend ab bhi oopri taraf hai. Roz marra ki chart ke performance ke mutabiq, kai trading sessions mein tang range mein movement aam tor par ek taraf ki mazboot movement ka ishaara karta hai, aur is haftay ke ahem American economic data ke natayej is performance par mazboot reaction dikhayenge. US dollar ke daam, aur is tarah sonay ke daam, mazboot ane wale movements ke liye qabil e stable ho sakte hain. Halanki, abhi ke liye, sonay ke qareebi resistance levels $2055 aur $2070 hain, jo bulls ko zyada control hasil karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Dosri taraf, jaise hum pehle keh chuke hain, is aam trend ka palatna bina support levels $2000 aur $1985 per ounce ki taraf nahi ho sakta, jaise performance us arse mein rahi hai

Haal hi mein tail ke market mein ahem tehalne aaye hain, khaaskar Brent crude oil ke prices mein. Ab tak, Brent crude barah se ghante ke aspaas $87 per barrel par trading ho raha hai. Tail ke market mein hilchul dekhi gayi, khaaskar OPEC+ ke ilanat aur production cuts mein tabdeeliyon ke baais se. Abhi ke trend se lag raha hai ke daam barhne ka imkan hai jabke supply tight hoti ja rahi hai aur talaab mustaqil hai.

30 minute ka chart dekhte hain, kai asli tootaktoot wakti tor par zahir hue, isharaat koofiaqi ka. Keemat kai dino tak $80.24 aur $80.80 ke darmiyaan thahri rahi, phir $81.80 ke oopar pohnchnay ka koshish kiya. Magar yeh tootaktoot bahut chand liya gaya, keemat ne iss level ke oopar qaim rehna na mumkin saabit hua, iska matlab yeh hai ke yeh jhooti tootaktoot thi.

15 minute ke chart mein, pehlay range mein wapas aane ke baad, market ne phir se $81.80 level ko test kiya lekin wahin se inkar ka samna kiya, jo ek neechi hui movement ko paida kiya aur ek symmetrical pattern bana. Yeh dikhata hai ke chandi aur ghair yakeeni ke dor mein hain.

H4 chart par dekhte hain, halat bullish logo ke liye ihtiyaat se sabernazar rehti hain. Pichle haftay mein, tail ke prices ek girte hue channel ke oopar chale gaye, jahan tak $82.69 tak jane se pehle tezi se palat gaye. Ek shooting star pattern aur uske baad ke side-by-side candles ki maujoodgi ke sahare, bullish momentum ki sambhavna hai agar keemat channel ke oopar reh sakti hai. Magar agar keemat is boundary ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh ek short-term bearish trend ko tasdeeq karega.

Mukhtasir tor par, tail ke market mixed signals dikhata hai, choti muddat ki ghair mustaqil

ke daam, gold ki behen commodity, ne ounce ke neeche $23 ke qareeb gir gaye. Aam tor par, safed dhaat ke daam ne pichle haftay mein 3.7% ki kami ki, jisme is saal ke shuruaat se lagbhag 6% ki kami shamil hai. Aam tor par, dhaat ke market ke daam trading hafte ke shuruaat mein gir gaye hain jis mein ye ummeed hai ke monetary authorities mazeed US interest rate cuts ko taal sakte hain. Ek group Federal Reserve policymakers ne ishara kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mazeed sabr se kaam le sakta hai aur US interest rates ko lamba arse tak buland rakhe sakta hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, investors June mein US interest rate cut ka 52% chance dekh rahe hain. Ye saaf taur par pehle ki tawajjuat ka khilaf tha jo taqreeban March ke shuruaat mein rate cut ki umeed thi. Is natije mein, ye US Treasury bonds ke yield mein izafa ka sabab bana, jisme das saal ke bonds ke yield ne 4.27% tak pohanch gaya. Isi tarah, do saal ke bonds ke yield ne do basis points ke izafe ke saath 4.71% tak pohanch gaya, jabke tees saal ke bonds ke yield 4.38% par saha raha.

Jaise jante hain, sona interest rates ke fluctuations ke liye hassa hai kyun ke ye ghair munafa dene wali dhaat ko rakhne ka mauqa asar andaz hota hai.

Dusri taraf, investors is hafte do ahem data points ka nazarandaz karenge. Economic calendar data ke mutabiq, pehla US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke chauthay quarter ke doosre tajziyah ka intezar hai. Iska intezar hai ke ye 3.3% tak pohanchega. Doosra Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hai, jisme 0.3% ke izafe ka intezar hai, Core PCE Price Index ke saath, jo mazeed volatility ke energy aur khane ke hisson ko shamil nahi karta, jisme 0.4% ke izafe ka intezar hai.

Performance ke mutabiq, kamzor US dollar ne peelay dhaat ka madad nahi kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY), ek basket ke doosre major currencies ke khilaf dollar ka measurement, 103.84 par gira, 103.94 se shuru hokar. Pichle haftay, US Dollar Index (DXY) ke daam mein 0.5% ka giravat tha lekin saal ke shuruaat se ab tak 2.5% ka izafe hai. Aam tor par, ek girte hue US dollar dollar-denominated maal ke liye acha hota hai kyun ke ye unhe sasta kar deta hai foreign investors ke liye. Dosray dhaat ke market ke liye, tambay ke future $3.828 per pound tak gire. Isi tarah, platinum future $884.90 per ounce aur palladium future $968.00 per ounce tak gire.

Gold Technical Analysis

Sonay ke daam ke technical nazariye mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai, kyun ke aam trend ab bhi oopri taraf hai. Roz marra ki chart ke performance ke mutabiq, kai trading sessions mein tang range mein movement aam tor par ek taraf ki mazboot movement ka ishaara karta hai, aur is haftay ke ahem American economic data ke natayej is performance par mazboot reaction dikhayenge. US dollar ke daam, aur is tarah sonay ke daam, mazboot ane wale movements ke liye qabil e stable ho sakte hain. Halanki, abhi ke liye, sonay ke qareebi resistance levels $2055 aur $2070 hain, jo bulls ko zyada control hasil karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Dosri taraf, jaise hum pehle keh chuke hain, is aam trend ka palatna bina support levels $2000 aur $1985 per ounce ki taraf nahi ho sakta, jaise performance us arse mein
ra

Crude Oil Analysis: Potential Upside Movements

Aaj oil market mein koi significant gaps nahi thay jab market open hui. Asian session ke doran, price confidently north ki taraf push ho rahi hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi mention kiya tha, mujhe lagta hai ke Friday ki accumulation ka natija ek impulsive move upside ki taraf hoga, aur buyers 84.46 ke resistance level ko test karenge. Is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur further upwards move karay. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, to main anticipate karunga ke price 87.63 ke resistance level ya 89.85 ke resistance level tak advance karegi. In resistance levels par, main ek trading pattern ka wait karunga jo next trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Ek higher northern target 95.03 ka bhi possibility hai, magar yeh evolving situation par depend karega, jisme news flow ka asar aur price ka reaction in higher northern targets par shamil hai.




Alternative scenario yeh hai ke jab price 84.46 ke resistance level ko approach kare, to ek reversal candle formation ho jaye jo downward price movement ko resume karay. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, to main ek corrective pullback expect karunga towards 80.62 ke support level ya 79.96 ke support level. In support levels par, main bullish signals ko search karunga, anticipating ek upward price movement ka resumption. Halanke ek lower southern target ko reach karne ka possibility bhi hai, lekin main is waqt usko consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe iski immediate prospects nazar nahi aa rahi. Summary mein, aaj ke liye main yeh believe karta hoon ke price further north push ho sakti hai towards nearest resistance level, aur wahan se main market conditions ko assess karunga.