سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Mashriqi Darmiyana Asia kai siasat se mutasir hoti rahi aur Amreeka ka benchmark, Maghrabi Texas Intermediate (WTI) crud oil ke daam girne ke baad achanak barh gaya. Ye kami, jo U.S. Energy Information Administration ne riport ki, zahir karti hai ke barh rahi dawat aur WTI ke daamon ko tez karne ke liye jumay ko lagbhag $78.95 tak pahuncha diya. Kam oil stasham hoti hai aam tor par zyada dawat ki nishaani hoti hai, jo daam ko uchhaalne mein madad karti hai. Middle East mein siyasi tanazur, khaas kar Israel aur Hamas ke darmiyan jari larai, bhi WTI ke daamon par asar daal sakta hai. United States umeed karti hai ke qaim waqt par ho rahi aam karwaiyon se dono taraf ke tafawutat kam honge. Tanazaon ka tasfiya shayad oil ke daamon ko kam kar sakta hai. Lekin, doosre factors bhi kaam mein hain. Haaliya Federal Reserve ke afraad ke sakhat raiyon ne rukh par lagaye hue interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ke hawale se America ka dollar mazboot kiya hai. Kyunki oil dollar mein keemat lagayi jaati hai, mazboot dollar WTI ke daamon ke upar ko rok sakta hai.

Aanay wale OPEC+ ke jalsa 1st June ko hai, jahan Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries aur uske saathi apni production policy par guftagu karenge, ye bhi ek ahem factor hai. Halan ke haal mein kisi bhi tajwez par baat cheet nahi hui hai ke oil supplies ko barhaya jaaye, lekin ye faisla daamon par gehra asar daal sakta hai. Takniki tor par, WTI futures ned mein ek do mahine ke dar se gir gaye jab ek ahem resistance level ko paar nahi kar sake. Agar daamon mazeed girte hain, to woh mukhtalif takniki satahon par madad hasil kar sakte hain, jo ek rukhavat ke baad tezi se oonchaalne ka sabab ban sakti hai. Lekin, agar support tor jaye to badi shiddat se farokht hone ka khatra bhi hai. Kul mila kar, WTI crud oil ke daamon ko barhne ya girenne mein inventory levels, siyasi tanaza, America ka dollar aur anay wale OPEC jese ahem factors ka mila julaa asar hai.

Crude oil ka haal stable hai, lekin 89.19 ke level par resistance aane se price ko upar jaane mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Iska mool karan geopolitical tensions aur supply chain disruptions hain jo ki market ko influence kar rahe hain. Recent oil market review ke baad, prices mein tezi kaafi had tak dekhi gayi hai, lekin ab ek crucial resistance level par rukawat aa gayi hai. Ek important factor jo crude oil prices par asar daal raha hai, wo geopolitical tensions hain. Kuch countries ke beech strained relations aur conflicts ki wajah se oil supply mein uncertainty paida ho rahi hai. Iske alawa, global economic conditions aur demand-supply dynamics bhi crude oil ke prices par asar dal rahe hain. OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) aur unke allies ne production ko control karne ke liye efforts kiye hain taaki market mein stability bani rahe. Lekin, ab jab demand ke saath supply bhi badh rahi hai, toh price stability maintain karna challenging ho gaya hai. Market analysts ka kehna hai ki 89.19 ke level par resistance aane se crude oil ke prices mein temporary slowdown dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, long-term mein, geopolitical situations aur global economic factors ke madhyam se prices mein volatility continue reh sakti hai. Crude oil ke prices kaafi volatile hote hain aur ismein short-term fluctuations common hote hain. Investors aur traders ko market trends ko closely monitor karna aur risk management strategies ko follow karna important hai. Ek aur cheez jo crude oil prices ko influence kar sakti hai, wo renewable energy sources ka adoption aur climate change policies hain. Jaise hi renewable energy sources aur clean technologies ka adoption badhega, crude oil ki demand par asar padega, jo prices ko further influence kar sakta hai. Is samay, market participants ko global economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur supply-demand fundamentals ko closely observe karna hoga taaki wo informed decisions le sakein. Crude oil ke prices ke upar kai factors ka impact hota hai aur isliye, ek comprehensive analysis ke bina accurate predictions difficult ho sakti hai. Overall, current scenario mein crude oil ke prices mein stability dekhi ja rahi hai, lekin geopolitical tensions aur supply chain disruptions ke chalte, market mein volatility bani rahegi. Investors aur traders ko vigilant rehna aur market trends ko closely monitor karna hoga taaki wo effective decisions le sakein.

Crude oil Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, crude oil apni peechli nuqsaan ko barhata raha lekin ek samtal range se bahar nahi nikal saka jo bana tha. Price 78.16 ke qareeb ruk gayi. Isne rebound kiya aur apni asal jagah ko phir se hasil karna shuru kiya, hal hil mein hue sab halat ko khatam karte hue. Isi doran, dhamaka 79.05 ke darjay tak pohanch gaya. Wahan, unhein phir se rok diya gaya aur dobara rukawat ka samna kiya. Isi doran, price chart tabdeel hota rehta hai, aik ilmi nateeja hai ki zyada tazagi hai. Aaj, maine crude oil ka chart tafteesh kiya taake dekho kya bear trend 78.81 ya 79.99 ke darjay tak jaayega. Bullish janib se, NFP ke doran 78.05 ke resistance level ka break dekha jayega. Neeche chart dekhen:



Mausam ke waqt, keemat koi khaas tabdeeli ke baghair trade kar rahi hai aur har haftay yeh lagbhag neutral hai kyun ki yeh wahi star pe hai. Isi doran, 76.48 ke darjay ka doosra imtehan upar jaane ki koshish ko kamzor kar diya. Isne haal hi mein rally mein kami ki tasdeeq ki. Niche ki soorat-e-haal muntazim rehti hai bari dabao ke bawajood. Uper ka channel ka break bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Inhein shadeed tora gaya lekin paar nahi kiya gaya. Is scenario ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, price ko phir se 75.77 ke neeche le jana hoga, jisse baad mein muntazim aur neeche ki taraf rebound hoga. Yeh ek mauqa faraham karega downside momentum ka izafa, jo 77.27 aur 76.40 ke darmiyan ke ilaqa ko nishana banayega. Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga agar price 83.97 ke reversal level ke area mein wapas aajaye.

Hamara mojooda focus karkardagi par hai jis mein crud oil ke prices ki movement ka tajziya hai. CL oil ke liye, price rozana waqt frame par ascending channel ke slope support ke qareeb ghoom rahi hai, jo ke lagbhag 82.00 ke qareeb hai. Ye bullish trend ke andar izafa ke liye imkanat ko zahir karta hai. Izafa maujoodi darjat se ya thora nichle darjat se shuru ho sakta hai, lagbhag 80.50 ke qareeb, liquidity accumulation ke liye. Agar aap khareedna chahte hain, to mumkinah targets 90.00 ke aas paas hain, jahan ahem resistance aur liquidity mojood hai. Magar agar price 80.00 ke neeche consolidate ho jata hai, to ye samay hai farokht par ghor karna aur bearish rukh ki taraf shift karna. Is surat mein, target demand area 75.70-77.00 hai. Halanki, ab tajziyaat ka markazi nazar watani

Rozana chart par, price descending channel ke andar hai. Kal, ye channel ke nichle had tak 80.93 tak pohanch gayi phir oopar ki taraf palat gayi. Aaj, upar ki taraf ki movement jari rahi, jo ke mazeed 85.43 ke qareeb ki taraf barhne ka ishara hai. Is upper level tak pohanch jaane par palat aur muta'asir taraf ki movement ka izafa ho sakta hai. Bad alternative taur par, descending channel ke oopar ka breakout mazeed izafa ki taraf le ja sakta hai, 87.36 ke qareeb. WTI crude oil ke daily chart ko tafseel se jaanchne par, ek wazeh upward price channel April tak mumkin hai, jab ek shift hui, ek confident downward channel bana. Halankeh, oil 82.02 par trading kar rahi hai. Is ke mutabiq, technical analysis ke buniyad par, mojooda prices se oil ko farokht karna munasib hai, bearish price channel ke nichle border ke taraf, lagbhag 80.00 ke qareeb.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Dollar ke mukhtalif currencies ke muqabley ka aik aham indicator hai, pichle do hafton mein mushkil mein hai. Is waqt, DXY mein kuch dafa ek ahem level 105.55 ke neeche girne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Ye girawat market mein kuch khas factors ki wajah se aayi hai. Pehli wajah, geopolitical tensions hain. Duniya bhar mein tension aur uncertainty ne investors ko dollar ki taraf se hatne par majboor kiya hai. Maslan, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Middle East ke masail aur China-US trade tensions, dollar ki stability ko mutasir kar rahe hain. In sab factors ne dollar ko pressure mein daala hai. Dosri wajah, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko barhane ki expectations ko halka kiya hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar rahi hai. Agar interest rates barhaye jaate hain, to dollar ki value bhi barh sakti hai, lekin is waqt, is par koi guarantee nahi hai, jo investors ko pareshani mein daal raha hai. Teisri wajah, US ke economic indicators ki performance hai. Haal hi mein release ki gayi data mein consumer confidence aur jobless claims mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, lekin ye numbers overall economic recovery ko lekar dubidha mein daal rahe hain. Kuch analysts ka khayal hai ke economic recovery tezi se ho rahi hai, jab ke doosre is par shak karte hain, jo dollar ko instability mein daal raha hai. Chauthi wajah, global economic conditions hain. Duniya bhar mein COVID-19 ke naye variants ke samne challenges hain, jo global economic recovery ko khatre mein daal rahe hain. Ye situation global trade aur commerce ko bhi mutasir kar rahi hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar rahi hai. Is halat mein, investors dollar ke mukhtalif currencies ke muqabley mein cautious hain. Unki uncertainty ka asar DXY par dekha ja raha hai, jo 105.55 ke neeche girne ki koshish kar raha hai. Future mein, dollar ki stability aur global economic conditions par mabni decisions, DXY ki trajectory ko tay karenge. Is dauran, investors ki strategies aur central banks ke actions, dollar index ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit honge.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Crude oil ki analysis dekhte hue, lag raha hai ke expected bearish trend abhi bhi jari hai, jab tak ke 79.10 ke resistance ke neeche trade na ho. Yeh ishaara karta hai ke 76.10 ke upar qadam rakhne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Oil ke prices temporary bullish trend mein convert ho sakte hain. Bent oil ne qareeban 86.85 ke qareeb ek local level tak pohancha, lekin agle mazeed izafa ko bardasht na kar saka. Aane wale trading week mein, price ne main support area ke neeche gir gaya. Yeh toot gaya, aur quotes ne nichle hisse mein consolidate hone shuru kiya. Natije mein, price chart ne bhi super trend ke laal zone mein dakhil ho gaya. Yeh darust karta hai ke initiative bechne walon ke paas chala gaya hai. Iska target tootay hue support level ko dobara test karna tha aur 75.90 ka resistance level ban gaya. Aaj ke shuruati trading mein 76.05 ka aala touch hua.



Technical nazar se, technical signals ke darmiyan farq hai. Humain 50-day simple moving average milta hai, jo ke izafa ko roknay ka aik rukawat bana hua hai. Yeh bearish pullback ke mumkinah hone ko support karta hai. Stochastic ziada bullish momentum dhoondhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Price haftay ka low ke neeche hai, aakhir mein 80.71 ke neeche consolidate hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh level oopar ki taraf mura kar gaya hai. Iska toot aik trend ke tabadla ki nishani hai jo ke abqaiyat trend mein tabdeel ho jayega. Yeh tasdeeq karega ke 80.71 ke dobara test hone ke baad, jo ke abhi bari resistance zone hai. Yeh agle target area ko dominate karne ke liye ikhtiyaar karay ga jo ke 77.54 aur 76.09 ke darmiyan hai. Current manzar ko mansookh karne ka signal reversal level 81.04 ke region ke oopar lautne ka hoga.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading week mai, crude oil ne thodi si correction dekhi aur phir apni expected decline ko extend kiya, resistance ko 84.06 pe clear karne ke baad successful retest hua. Magar target zone abhi tak nahi mila, aur iski talaash abhi bhi jaari hai. Price chart abhi bhi zyada tar supertrend red zone mai hai, jo ke continued selling pressure indicate karta hai.

Friday ko oil prices significantly gir gayi, lagbhag $1 per barrel, jab US central bank officials ne kaha ke wo interest rates ko badha sakte hain. Brent crude futures $1.09, ya 1.3 percent, gir ke $82.79 per barrel pe pohanch gayi. Week ke liye, crude oil 0.2 percent gir gayi, jab ke WTI crude 0.2 percent barh gayi. April last year mai US consumer price index 3.4 percent annually barh gayi, jo ke 3.5 percent forecast ke kareeb thi. Food aur energy ko exclude karke, index 0.3 percent barhi, jo ke previous month's 0.4 percent ke barabar thi.

Prices currently slightly below weekly lows hain jo is week ke shuru mai set hui thi. Main resistance zone test hui aur hold hui, jo ke downward rebound form hui, aur ye confirm karta hai ke downward vector relevant hai. Sellers ko current price area, jo ke around 84.06 hai aur resistance area ka boundary hai, mai gain karna hoga. Is level ka retest aur subsequent pullback ek aur negative continuation create karega, target area 79.54 aur 78.09 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar resistance level break ho jata hai aur price movement area above 86.85 pe chali jati hai, to current situation cancel ho jayegi. Neeche chart dekhen:

price rozana ascending channel ke slope support ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke 82.04 ke qareeb hai. Ye bullish trend ke andar izafa ke liye imkanat ko zahir karta hai. Ascending channel ek technical analysis tool hai jo price action ko analyze karne mein istemal hota hai. Yeh ek bullish pattern hai jo price ko upward trend mein dikhata hai. Is channel ke andar, price ko do trendlines ke darmiyan dekha ja sakta hai - ek upper trendline jo ki resistance ka kaam karta hai aur doosra lower trendline jo ki support ka kaam karta hai. Agar price upper trendline se upar jaata hai, to ye bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Jab price lower trendline ke qareeb jaata hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko darust karta hai. Is scenario mein, ascending channel ka slope support ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke 82.04 ke nazdeek hai. Ye ek bullish sign hai kyunki price support ke qareeb se upar ghoom rahi hai. Agar price is level se upar rehti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum jari hai aur price ko mazeed upar le ja sakta hai.Is bullish trend mein, traders ko long positions lena chahiye jab price support ke qareeb aata hai. Ye unhe mazeed profit kamane ka mauka deta hai jab price phir se upper trendline ki taraf jaata hai. Is strategy mein, stop-loss order ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai taake nuksan se bacha ja sake agar price unexpected direction mein move karta hai. Is tarah ke technical analysis ka istemal karke, traders market trends ko samajh sakte hain aur sahi waqt par positions lena seekh sakte hain. Halaanke, technical analysis keval ek hissa hai trading ka aur sirf ek indicator ki buniyad par trading nahi ki ja sakti. Fundamental analysis bhi mahatvapurna hai jismein market ke economic factors aur supply-demand dynamics ko samjha jata hai. Overall, ascending channel ke slope support ke qareeb ghoomne wala CL oil ka price bullish trend ko darust karta hai aur traders ko mazeed bullish movement ki umeed hoti hai. Lekin, har trade mein risk hota hai, isliye prudent risk management aur thorough analysis ke saath hi trading karna chahiye.

Crude Oil Market Rebound Ka Tafseeli Jaiza

Maujooda haalat mein, crude oil market mein ek rebound nazar a raha hai, jise khaas tor par Jumeraat ke pehle ghanton mein note kia gaya hai. Keemat 77.00 tak buland ho gayi phir ek mutasir girawat ka samna kia. Ye tezi se mutaharik movement traders ke liye choti arsi ke qeemat mein izafa o girawat ka faida uthane ke liye mojood hai.

75.00 se 78.00 Ke Ilaqe Mein Shorting Mauqay Ki Pechan

Keemat mein rad o amal hone ke darmiyan, 75.00 se 78.00 ke daire mein ek potential shorting mauqa samne aata hai. Traders 77.47 ke qareeb short positions shuru karne ka tawajo karte hain, haalat ka aakhri bulandiyon se pehle wapas aane ka intezar karte hue. Magar, ye ahem hai ke ehtiyaat aur munasib khatra nigrani ke tareeqay istemal karen, kyunke is tarah ki tezi se mutaharik mahol mein trading anokha khatra le kar aati hai.

Khatra Nigrani aur Positioning Ke Liye Ghor Karnay Wale Mamlaat

Crude oil market mein trading ke mauqay ki tehqiq karte waqt, khatra nigrani ko ahmiyat dena aur positioning mein discipline ka dharak hona zaroori hai. Bazaar ki halat se beparwah hone ki bajaye, aik behtareen tasveer ka tasaruf karte hue aur stop-loss orders ka amal zaroori hai takay moqadmat ki khatra ko kam kiya ja sake. Iske ilawa, halki position barqarar rakhna aur zyada exposure se bachna bhi nuqsanat se bachane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Crude Oil Market Ki Dynamics Mein Safar

Crude oil market ko samajhne ke liye uski asli dynamics aur keemat ke harkat ko chalane wale factors ka gehra ilm zaroori hai. Siyasi jhagron, farahmi o darkhwast ke dynamics, aur macroeconomic indicators crude oil prices ko intehai asar andaz kar sakte hain. Traders ko

CRUDE OIL KI TECHNICAL TAJZIYA:
Subah bakhair umeed hai ke meray tamam dosto ka jahan kaam karte hain wahan unki zindagi khushiyon se bharpoor guzar rahi hai. Main Crude oil ke daam ki harkat ko aik technical aur bunyadi nazar se tajziya karna chahta hoon. Likhnay ka waqt par Crude oil 79.07 par chal raha hai. Abhi, Crude oil Ameriki dollar ki dabao mein hai. Agar United States dollar mazboot hota hai, to Crude oil kamzor ho sakta hai aur aur niche ki taraf gir sakta hai. Agar US dollar kamzor rehta hai, to Crude oil mein ziada taqat dekhi ja sakti hai. Daamon mein kami humein ab future ke baare mein batati hai ke bearish rukh ka rasta kaisa hoga, kyunki kuch trading dino tak promotion trend tha. Lagta hai ke yeh trend barqarar rahega. Relative Strength Index RSI(14) 53.3005 par hai, jo mojooda market cap ke liye mazboot shuruaat aur jari bechne ki dabao ko dikhata hai. Moving average convergence divergence MACD(12,26, 9) indicator iss chart mein Crude oil ke liye ek aur bechne ki signal de raha hai. 28 aur 40 EMA indicators ke mutabiq, aik correction signal hai aur daam 28 aur 40 EMA line ke neeche hai. Pichlay kuch dino mein, maine mazeed tehqiqat ki hain aur yeh nateeja hasil kiya hai. Crude oil ke liye ibtidaai aur dosri resistance stages 77.28 aur 75.74 hain. Agar Crude oil 77.28 ke baad 75.74 stage ko tor deta hai, to Crude oil 71.05 ya 68.28 ki taraf chal sakta hai jo teesri aur chouthi resistance stages hain aur hum mazeed bearish movement dekh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, Crude oil ke ibtidaai aur dosri support stages 82.20 aur 85.80 hain. Agar Crude oil 77.28 ke baad 85.80 stage ko tor deta hai, to Crude oil 88.14 ya 91.33 ki taraf nichay chal sakta hai jo teesri aur chouthi support stages hain aur hum mazeed bearish movement dekh sakte hain. Technical tools istemal karke, hum aaj asaani se trading kar sakte hain. Lekin hum issey trading se pehle aik behtareen entry hasil karne ki koshish karenge.

Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Crude oil ne pichle session ke losses se recover karna continue rakha hua hai. Price ne last trading week ke losses ka almost sab retrace kar liya hai aur 75.17 level ke upar hai. Ab yeh 78 ke kareeb touch kar rahi hai, recent high of 79.8 se thodi neeche. Trend continue na karne ke bawajood, price thodi decline hui hai, lekin overall level ab bhi 78.17 shock level ke aas-paas hai. Price chart ab bhi green zone of the super trend mein hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers market ko control kar rahe hain. Crude oil ka target level moving average ko touch karna hai with more than eight pips profit. Price 200 SMA se bearish sign ke saath decline karegi aur target level chart mein neeche diye gaye levels hain.



Price is waqt ek fundamental area mein trade kar rahi hai aur koshish kar rahi hai ke 77.17 ke fundamental level se upar rise kar jaye, jo ke main broken support level hai. Agar price is level ko break kar le toh yeh level top down se retest karegi. Upward momentum ke continuation ka actual confirmation tab hoga jab buyers 78.17 level ke upar offers place karenge. Yeh conditions create karega bounce-up ke liye. Yeh zone mein next upward impulse ka rasta khulega jo ke 78 aur 79.2 ke beech hai. Yeh same pattern 4-H timeframe par bhi apply hota hai. Price moving average se drop karegi ya broken support level se retest karegi. Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga agar price 80.71 ke pivot level ke neeche wapas aa jaye.

Naye markazi oil market ka tajziya:

Markazi Oil Bunyadi Tahlil Ki Tabeer: Budh (27 April) ki Asian session mein, US oil ab 101.97 US dollars/barrel par hai; oil prices volatile trading mein phir se ubhre, Russia aur Europe ke darmiyan energy conflict ka intehai barhna, aur America ne Russia ke nuclear jang ke tanbihaat ko nazar andaz kiya, jis se barhti hui geopolitical tensions ka samar utha. Foreign media ke mutabiq Russia Poland ko Budh ko gas faraham karna band kar dega, ye khabar aik ahem energy supply issue ke hawale se Moscow aur European countries ke darmiyan tensions ka barhna dikhata hai. Poland ka main gas company PGNiG ne kaha ke Gazprom ne unhe inform kiya ke Budh se Russia Poland ko tamam natural gas faraham karna band kar dega. Is asar se, New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) par ultra-low sulfur diesel futures 9.2% izafa karke $4.47 per gallon par settle hue, aik record closing high.


Crude oil ki takhliqi tajziya: Geopolitical situation aur supply ke asar mein, crude oil ek martaba takriban $125 tak pahunch gaya, jo 2008 ke intehaai takhteeq tha. Phir is ne kai dafa chadhaav aur giravat ki, taake 93 ke kam support ko test kiya, lekin asar andaz tor par usay tora nahi gaya. Is ke ilawa, Russia ke khilaaf sanctions ke natije mein tareekh ke aik se bura oil supply shocks ka imkaan hai, aur in productions ko badalna mumkin nahi hai, aur yeh ishara deta hai ke koi mazeed production izafa nahi hoga. Waqtan-fa-waqtan, British taraf ne Russia par mazeed trade sanctions lagane ka elaan kiya, import ban ko phelane ka aur mutaasib tariffs ko barhane ka, aur EU ab bhi Russia aur Ukraine ke darmiyan tanaza par oil ban lagane ka tajziya kar raha hai. Is nateeje mein, crude oil ruka aur 109 ke nishan se neeche gir gaya, aur phir se 100 ke nishan se neeche gir gaya aur 95 tak tezi se gir gaya. Uska trend mukammal tor par Li Hongbin ke tawaqo ke mutabiq tha. Chhotay arse ke 116-109 ke nishan se neeche ki taraf ka trend barkarar raha, aur rozana rebound ki unchiyaan neeche ki taraf chalti rahi, jo aik high-level pressure ko bhi zahir karta hai.

Mera Active Trade

Crude oil

Open Order 100.67

Take Profit 103.0

Stop Loss 100.0

Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis

H-4 Timeframe Analysis




### Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis: H-4 Timeframe Mein

#### Introduction

Crude oil trading forex market mein bohot popular hai, kyunki yeh ek high volatility commodity hai jo market participants ko bohot trading opportunities provide karta hai. H-4 timeframe par crude oil ka technical analysis traders ko medium-term trends aur potential price movements ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is document mein hum crude oil ke H-4 timeframe technical analysis ko detail mein discuss karenge, jisme trend analysis, key support aur resistance levels, technical indicators, aur trading strategies shamil hain.

#### Crude Oil Ka Trend Analysis

1. **Identifying the Trend:**

- H-4 timeframe par trend identify karna zaroori hai. Trend ko identify karne ke liye hum trendlines aur moving averages ka use karte hain.

- Uptrend: Agar crude oil ka price consistently higher highs aur higher lows bana raha ho.

- Downtrend: Agar crude oil ka price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana raha ho.

- Sideways Trend: Agar crude oil ka price ek range mein move kar raha ho, without significant higher highs or lower lows.

2. **Trendlines:**

- Uptrend: Ek trendline draw karein jo successive higher lows ko connect karein.

- Downtrend: Ek trendline draw karein jo successive lower highs ko connect karein.

- Example: Agar crude oil price H-4 chart par 70 USD se 80 USD ke range mein move kar raha hai, to yeh ek sideways trend ko indicate karta hai.

#### Key Support Aur Resistance Levels

1. **Support Levels:**

- Support levels wo price levels hain jahan buying interest strong hota hai aur price decline ko roknay ki koshish karta hai.

- Example: Agar crude oil ka price 75 USD per barrel par multiple times rebound karta hai, to yeh 75 USD support level ho sakta hai.

2. **Resistance Levels:**

- Resistance levels wo price levels hain jahan selling interest strong hota hai aur price rise ko roknay ki koshish karta hai.

- Example: Agar crude oil ka price 85 USD per barrel par multiple times reverse karta hai, to yeh 85 USD resistance level ho sakta hai.

3. **Using Fibonacci Retracement:**

- Fibonacci retracement levels bhi key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hoti hain.

- Example: Agar recent high se low tak Fibonacci retracement apply karein aur 61.8% retracement level 78 USD par aata hai, to yeh ek significant resistance level ho sakta hai.

#### Technical Indicators

1. **Moving Averages:**

- Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur Exponential Moving Average (EMA) trend direction aur potential reversal points ko identify karne mein madadgar hoti hain.

- Example: Agar 50-period EMA 200-period EMA ke upar cross karta hai, to yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**

- RSI ek momentum oscillator hai jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko identify karta hai.

- Example: Agar RSI 70 ke upar ho, to crude oil overbought condition mein ho sakta hai aur price reversal ho sakta hai.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):**

- MACD trend-following aur momentum indicator hai jo moving averages ke convergence aur divergence ko measure karta hai.

- Example: Agar MACD line signal line ke upar cross karti hai, to yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai.

#### Trading Strategies

1. **Trend Following Strategy:**

- Trend following strategies ko use karte hue, aap major trend direction ke according trade enter karte hain.

- Example: Agar H-4 chart par crude oil uptrend mein hai, to aap dips par buy kar sakte hain aur rallies par profit book kar sakte hain.

2. **Breakout Strategy:**

- Breakout strategies ko use karte hue, aap significant support aur resistance levels ke break hone par trades enter karte hain.

- Example: Agar crude oil price 80 USD resistance level ko break karta hai, to aap buy trade enter kar sakte hain with stop-loss below the breakout level.

3. **Reversal Strategy:**

- Reversal strategies ko use karte hue, aap potential trend reversals ko trade karte hain.

- Example: Agar RSI oversold condition (below 30) show kar raha hai aur crude oil price support level par hai, to aap buy trade enter kar sakte hain expecting a reversal.

#### Practical Example

Aapka trading account balance $10,000 hai aur aap crude oil ko H-4 timeframe par trade karna chahte hain:

1. **Market Analysis:**

- Aap H-4 chart par dekhte hain ke crude oil uptrend mein hai aur 50-period EMA 200-period EMA ke upar cross kar chuki hai.

2. **Technical Setup:**

- Price currently 78 USD per barrel par trade ho raha hai aur recent high 80 USD hai, jo ek resistance level hai.

3. **Entry Point:**

- Aap decide karte hain ke 80 USD resistance level break hone par buy trade enter karenge.

4. **Risk Management:**

- Stop-loss 77 USD par set karte hain to limit your potential loss.

- Take-profit 85 USD par set karte hain to secure your potential profit.

5. **Monitoring:**

- Aap regularly price movements aur technical indicators ko monitor karte hain to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.

#### Conclusion

Crude oil ka H-4 timeframe technical analysis traders ko medium-term price trends aur potential trading opportunities ko identify karne mein madad karta hai. Trendlines, key support aur resistance levels, technical indicators jaise Moving Averages, RSI, aur MACD ka effective use karte hue aap profitable trades enter kar sakte hain. Proper market analysis aur risk management ke saath, aap crude oil trading mein successful ho sakte hain.

Brent crude oil ne apna maqami hadaf 91.50 tak hasil kiya hai, jaisa ke H4 chart par dekha gaya hai. Ek tajziyah ke mutabiq 82.70 ki taraf taksim ka imkan hai, is takmeel ke baad aik mawazna mizaj ka banne ka tawaqo kiya jata hai is level ke oopar. Agar keemat is range ke oopar phoot jati hai, toh 95.00 ki taraf naye izafe ki surat mein aik naye izafe ka aghaz hosakta hai. Ye bullish manzar MACD indicator ki roshni mein mazid tafseeliyaan hai, jahan signal line zero mark ke neeche hai, jo naye bulandiyon ki taraf taraqqi ka ishara deta hai.
Haal hi mein Brent crude oil ke keemat mein izafa ek ahem uptrend ko darust karta hai, jaisa ke maqami hadaf 91.50 tak pohanchne ka saboot hai. Keemat mein yeh izafa 82.70 ke darje tak ka tashreefi marhala ke tawaqo se mila hai. Lekin taasub hai ke nazar andaz rakhne ke maamle mein, jahan traders is sahara dar halaat ke upar aik mawazna mizaj ka banne ka imkan tawaqo karte hain.

Ek bullish jari rehne ki mumkinat ko technical nishanat, khaaskar MACD indicator ke zariye, taqat mein laya gaya hai. Signal line zero mark ke neeche hone ka matlab hai ke market ka mahol mazeed upar ki taraf taraqqi ko pasand karta hai. Traders is ko naye bulandiyon ki taraf taraqqi ka ishara samajhte hain, khaaskar agar keemat mutawaqqa tashreefi marhala ke upar phoot jati hai.

Market ki dynamics ke lehaz se, Brent crude oil ne global tail market ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif factors ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhayi hai. Geo-political tensions, demand-supply dynamics, aur macroeconomic indicators sab crude oil ke keemat ko asar andaz karte hain. Lekin, chhoti arzi mein izafay ke bawajood, overall rukh bullish rehta hai, technical analysis aur market fundamentals ki support mein.

Traders aur investors dono hi Brent crude oil ki keemat ke mazami harkat ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, khaaskar 82.70 aur 95.00 jaise ahem seviyat ki taraf. In seviyat ke oopar ya neeche phootne se market ke jazbaat mein numaya tabdiliyan aane ka ishara hosakta hai aur naye trading mauqe tayar ho sakte hain. Jaise ke hamesha, risk management ahem hai, aur traders ko market ke haalaat ke jawab mein apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Akhri mein, Brent crude oil ne aik ahem taraqqi ki lehron ko mehsoos kiya hai, H4 chart par apna maqami hadaf 91.50 tak pohanch gaya hai. Aik tashreefi marhala ka imkan 82.70 ki taraf tawaqo kiya jata hai, jis ke baad naye bulandiyon ki taraf mazeed taraqqi ka mumkin manzar hai. Technical factors aur market fundamentals dono ke sath, Brent crude oil ke liye overall manzar pur umeed hai.

CRUDE OIL PAIR REVIEW


Hourly chart par, main pair ki movement ko ascending channel ke andar consider karta hoon. Jumma ke din pair ne reversal experience kiya aur price upar jane lagi. Target top pe channel ki upper boundary thi. Lekin price goal tak nahi pohunchi, aur aaj pair ne upward movement continue ki aur price upper border of the ascending channel tak pohunch sakti hai, jo ke 81.00 ka level hai. Is level pe pohunch kar, ho sakta hai ke pair mein reversal ho aur price neechay jana shuru kar de. Agar pair decline karne lage, toh moving down, price neechay ja sakti hai channel ki lower border tak, jo ke 80.18 ka level hai.



Aaj subah price upar jane lagi, isliye main expect kar raha tha ke price upar move karaygi aur pair upper border of the ascending channel tak pohunch sakti hai. Lekin growth ka plan fail ho gaya, price ne turn around kiya, neechay move karne lagi aur ascending channel se bahar nikal gayi. Ab main expect kar raha hoon ke price neechay move karaygi aur downward channel ki upper border tak pohunchaygi jahan se price pehle upar gayi thi, jo ke 78.42 ka level hai. Is level pe pohunchne ke baad, price ya toh turn around karegi aur dobara upar move karaygi, ya pair is level ko break karaygi aur neeche downward move karegi.

Agar 80.60 ka level overcome ho jata hai, toh yeh continued growth ka sign hoga. Hum 76.98 ke level tak correction face kar sakte hain, uske baad strengthening expect ki jati hai. Agar hum 84.34 ka level overcome kar lein aur uske upar rehte hain, toh yeh buy ka signal hoga. 80.60 ka level overcome karna aur uske upar rehna bhi long position open karne ka signal hai. Agar 76.98 ka level break hota hai aur uske neeche rehta hai, toh yeh sell ka signal hoga.