سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

C L / CRUDE OIL

Introduction

Subah bakher doston. Crude oil likhne ke waqt 86.73 par trade ho raha hai. Aaiye aaj ke Crude oil ke market price changes dekhte hain. Kal se Crude oil ke prices mein kuch zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. Mojooda shorat ke mutabiq, Crude oil ki keemat kharidar ke ilaaqay mein dakhil hone ka nazar aa raha hai. Ab mujhe sirf market sentiment ke jawab ka intezar karna hoga. Agar kharidar ki shorat zyada zor daar hai to Crude oil ke prices mein ooncha uthaar hone ka imkaan hai. Chart par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator kharidari ke signals mein nazar aata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.5919 par hai. Is waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator chart mein Crude oil ko khareedne ka signal de raha hai kyunke signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke oopar hai. Moving average indicator kharidar ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Crude oil sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai. Ussi waqt, 50-day exponential moving average bhi mojooda Crude oil price ke neeche hai jo ek bullish signal dikhata hai.

Resistance aur Support

Neeche diye gaye teen maqsoodah targets, jo ke maine is waqt ke chart par dekhe hain, main ne munsalik diagram mein dikhaye hain. Crude oil ke liye ahem resistance level 88.54 hai aur Crude oil ke liye ahem support level 84.95 hai. Is waqt, agar Crude oil 84.95 ke support ko tor deta hai, to Crude oil aur neeche gir sakta hai 80.28 ya 74.07 ke neeche. Magar agar Crude oil 88.54 ke upper resistance ko tor deta hai, to Crude oil mazboot ho sakta hai aur ooncha 94.85 ya 98.65 tak ja sakta hai jo doosra aur teesra resistance level hai. Nazar andaz karte waqt, agar market mojooda range ke neeche gir jata hai, to behtareen waqt hai bechne ka. Mujhe yeh kehna chahiye ke mein kisi bhi tajaweez ke liye shukriya ada karoonga. Sabko behtareen aur munafa-deh kareedaron ki khwahishat.

Chart Mein Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicators:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis

H-1 Timeframe Analysis
Crude oil ki upar ki tehqeeq lambi dar tak chali. Is liye, kami ki mansoobgi ab tak nahi laagi. Nishandehi ka darja na mila. 85.78 ka correction limit toota, aur price ne 88.91 ke reversal level ko toor diya. Harkat ka ziada se ziada darja 87.78 ke darja tak pohancha. Is haftay price mein aik bara gap ke saath khul gaya. Yeh mera target level 81 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya. Lekin, mansoobgi ab tak laagu nahi hui. Price phir gir gaya aur legend range mein wapas aa gaya. Is 85.78 se 91.78 tak ka yeh gap abhi tak fill nahi hua hai. Umeed hai ke yeh gap asaasai maaloomaat se bhara jayega. Ham khabron ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Chart neeche dekhein:



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Main oil ka gap bharnay ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Halaanki haal he mein girawat hui hai, hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke upar ki tehqeeq khatam ho rahi hai. Aik legend level ka khilaaf hona, lekin price ka apni had tak wapas aana downside scenario ko na khatam kar sakta hai, jo ab bhi laagu hai. Lekin, 85.78 ka darja aakhri rukawat hai pehli priority ko badalne se pehle. To ab price had ka zone mein hai, jo mazeed mozuat ko mukarrar karega. Neeche ka signal is level se bounce aur 81.78 ke nichle darja ke solid consolidation se tasdeeq kiya jayega. Yeh ab bhi resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yahan, price ek neeche ki impulse ko banayega jiska target 85.78 aur 82.19 hoga. Agar 81.78 ke reversal level ke neeche break hua aur yeh mazbooti se fix hua, to mojooda scenario ko cancel kiya jayega. Tadaad badal jayegi se upar ki taraf. Chart neeche dekhein:

Cl/crude oil

Cl/crude oil ka technical analysis

Crude Oil (CL) ka technical analysis karne ke liye aap ye steps follow kar sakte hain:

1. Price Analysis (Keemat ka Jaiza):
   • Pehle, current price aur historical price data ka analysis karen.
   • Price charts jaise ke candlestick charts, line charts, ya bar charts ka istemal karke price patterns aur trends ko identify karen.
2. Volume Analysis (Hajoom ka Jaiza):
   • Trading volume ka analysis karke price movements ko confirm karen.
   • Volume bars aur volume indicators jaise ke Volume Profile ka istemal karen.
3. Support aur Resistance Levels (Support aur Resistance Ke Satah):
   • Price levels ko identify karen jahan se price mein major shifts ya reversals ho sakti hain.
   • Support levels jahan price neeche jaane se rokay gi aur Resistance levels jahan price upar jaane se rokay gi, inko mark karen.
4. Technical Indicators (Technical Nishanaat):
   • Different technical indicators jese ke Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD ka istemal karke entry aur exit points ko confirm karen.
   • Divergence aur convergence ko bhi dekhen.
5. Candlestick Patterns (Mombattiyon ke Patterns):
   • Candlestick patterns jese ke Doji, Hammer, aur Shooting Star ko samjhen.
   • In patterns ko confirm karne ke liye volume aur price action ka bhi analysis karen.
6. Trend Analysis (Trend ka Jaiza):
   • Major trends ko identify karen, jese ke uptrend, downtrend, ya sideways trend.
   • Trend lines aur trend channels ka istemal karke trend direction ko samajhna.
7. Risk aur Reward Ka Ta'ayun (Risk aur Inaam Ka Faisla):
   • Har trade ke liye risk aur reward ka balance rakhen.
   • Stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko set karen trade management ke liye.

Ye steps follow karke aap Crude Oil (CL) ka technical analysis kar sakte hain. Ismein patience aur practice ki zarurat hoti hai taake aapko sahi trading decisions lenay mein madad mile.

Cl/crude oil ka market scope

Crude Oil (CL) ka market scope bohot wide hai aur ismein trading karne wale traders ko opportunities mil sakti hain. Yahan kuch key points hain Crude Oil market ke scope ke bare mein:

1. High Liquidity (Zyada Raqam): Crude Oil ek highly liquid market hai, jahan aapko easily buy aur sell karne ki flexibility milti hai.
2. Volatility (Tanaza'a): Is market mein volatility kaafi high hoti hai, jisse traders ko short-term aur long-term trades ke liye opportunities mil sakti hain.
3. Global Influence (Aalmi Asar): Crude Oil ka market globally influenced hota hai. Geo-political events, economic conditions, aur supply-demand dynamics is market ko directly impact karte hain.
4. Diverse Trading Strategies (Mukhtalif Trading Tadabeer): Crude Oil ke market mein diverse trading strategies ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke trend following, range trading, aur news-based trading strategies.
5. 24/5 Trading Hours (24/5 Trading Ghantay): Crude Oil market 24 ghantay, 5 dinon mein khula rehta hai, jisse traders ko flexibility milti hai apne preferred trading times choose karne mein.
6. Market Analysis Opportunities (Market Tahlil Ki Mumkinat): Is market mein technical analysis aur fundamental analysis se related opportunities hain. Price charts, indicators, aur economic indicators ki madad se market ka analysis kiya ja sakta hai.
7. Risk Management (Khatra Nigari): Risk management ka hona is market mein bohot zaruri hai, kyun ke volatility ke chalte losses hone ki possibilities bhi hoti hain. Stop-loss orders aur proper position sizing ka istemal karke risk ko control kiya ja sakta hai.
8. Trading Instruments (Trading Aalaat): Crude Oil trading ke liye different instruments available hain, jaise ke futures contracts, options, aur ETFs, jinmein traders apne preferences ke according trade kar sakte hain.

Overall, Crude Oil ka market scope traders ke liye challenging aur rewarding ho sakta hai, agar sahi taur par research, analysis, aur risk management kiya jaye.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, crude oil ne 89.06 ke level ko paar kar diya, uptrend ko jari rakhte hue aur ek aur local range tak pahunch gaya lagbhag 92 tak, turant hi target area tak pahunch gaya. Magar, stock naye uchit levels tak nahi pahunch saka, shayad isliye ki 91.52 par resistance mila, jisse price ko neeche jaana pada aur ek local correction mein dakhil hua. Magar, price chart green supertrend zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ki buyers situation par control mein hain.

US Dollar Index kal ke band hone ke 104.30 points se 104.15 points par gir gaya. Current session ke dauraan, index ne 104.44 points tak maximum aur 104.10 points tak minimum record kiya. Bazaar ka poora vishwaas hai ki core consumer price index 3.7% saalana badhega aur thoda gira hua hoga.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Is waqt, price alag alag directions mein trade kar rahi hai, haftay ke neechle maximum tak pahunchne ke baad neutral hai. Is case mein, central support area asar nahi dikhata, apni integrity ko maintain karta hai, jo upper vector ko pehlaadit karta hai. Isi samay, upward trend ko jari rakhne ke liye, ek local corrective wave khatm hona chahiye, jo 89.06 ke level ke paas seemit ho sakta hai, jo abhi main support area ke kinare hai. Is area se dobara test aur uske baad rebound, aage ki bullish intentions ka mahatvapurn confirmation hoga aur ek aur upward movement ko anumati dega, jiska target 93.53 aur 95.21 ke beech ka area hai.

Maujooda situation ko cancel karne ka signal hoga support levels ka breakdown aur price movement 86.85 ke reversal level ke neeche. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Let's delve into the current behavior analysis of crude oil prices. During Tuesday's trading session, the crude oil markets displayed stability, which coincided with the release of the consumer price index data. Although this data isn't directly correlated with oil, it provides insights into potential actions by the Federal Reserve. Currently, the WTI crude oil market hovers slightly above the $85.20 mark, a significant psychological threshold drawing considerable attention. Historical encounters with resistance in this region suggest it could now serve as a support level. However, a break below this level, particularly considering Monday's candle levels, might trigger a deeper correction towards approximately $82.58. Subsequently, focus would shift to the $80 level where the 50-day EMA is situated, representing a potential market bottom. Buying during downturns remains a viable strategy at present.





At the moment, this level aligns with the highest H1 interval. When executing trades according to the plan, it's advisable for the price movement to cover around 10-15 points, thereby safeguarding the order against losses. Closing positions equivalent to 5% of the initial deposit is crucial. A drop below the support at 86.59 would invalidate the upward trend, while the EMA 13-150 indicator would signal a reversal. Notably, the CCI indicator, with parameters set at 150-150, breached the 150-level boundary upwards, suggesting price efforts towards ascension. Attention now turns to the next zone at 86.94. However, at the onset of the U.S. session, oil prices experienced a decline following the release of U.S. government data revealing a significant increase in crude oil and fuel inventories, surpassing analysts' expectations. U.S. crude oil inventories surged by 5.8 million barrels during the week ending April 5, exceeding the anticipated 2.4 million. Additionally, petroleum product stocks, including gasoline and distillate stocks, saw unexpected increases, further impacting oil prices.

Kal oil ke dauran, din bhar ke doran, qeematon mein mukhtalif raahon mein izafa ya kamm hona ek dosre ke baad mukhtalif bunyadi aur siyasi data ka rad-e-amal kar raha tha. Ibtida mein qeemat 84.60 ke darjat par giri US oil inventory data ki wajah se, aur baad mein Middle East mein barhte hue situations ki wajah se tezi se barh gayi. Is tarah, din trend line ke neeche band hua, jo girne ki harkat ko bulandiyon tak mehdood karta hai. Subah, trend line ko imtehaan diya gaya, lekin rukh phir bhi halka hai, jis se qeemat ka rawayya jaana mushkil hai.
Tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai ke pehle trend line ko samarthan par imtehaan diya jayega, aur phir, ek rad-e-amal ke baad, qeemat ooper ki taraf chalegi. Abhi ke liye, is plan par qaim rahen, agar din ke doran koi tabdeeliyan aati hain, to hawalaat ke mutabiq tanazur ko sanjeeda kar sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke ek side-ways movement kaafi arse se jaari hai, jis mein samarthan 84.60 par hai aur rukawat 87.06 par hai.
Aaj, trading abhi bhi is hadd tak hai. Dekhte hain ke hawaaleat kaise aage badte hain, kya yeh side-ways movement jaari rahega ya aur manazir mumkin hain. Chalo aaj ke liye takneeki tajziya dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ke humein kya sifarishat mil rahi hain. Harek tarah ke amoor - kharidain, takneeki ishaare - mazbooti se kharidain, nateeja - mazbooti se kharidain.
Is tarah, takneeki tajziya aaj kharidne ki sifarish karta hai, lekin filhal, mujhe bechnay ka dabav nazar aata hai, jo jald hi kharidne mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Kharidne ka nishana 86.00 ke rukawat darjat tak ho sakta hai, ya mazeed uncha 86.50 tak. Doosri taraf, bechna 84.90 ke samarthan darjat tak pahunch sakta hai. Halaanki, humein aur nichlay darjat tak bechnay ko bhi nahi khatam karna chahiye, jismein ma'ashi giravat 84.60 tak ho sakti hai, range ka dakshini had hai. Is liye, mujhe side-ways movement jaari rahega ka intizaar hai. Yeh aaj ke liye trading ka plan hai.

Crude oil ka maazi mahine ke uchaaiyon par dabav mehsoos hua hai aur yeh overbought levels ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab tak ke momentum signs yeh ishara dete hain ke rally jaari reh sakti hai, naye geopolitical masail is rally ko barha sakte hain. Crude oil ka exchange rate 83.29 ke aas paas stabilize hua hai peer ke trading mein, daily chart par note ki gayi numaya giravat ke saath. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in regions like the Middle East, have historically had a significant impact on crude oil prices. Any escalation in conflicts or disruptions in oil supply from major producing regions could lead to a spike in prices. Additionally, factors such as OPEC's production decisions and fluctuations in global demand, especially amid economic recovery efforts post-pandemic, continue to influence crude oil prices. Technical indicators also play a crucial role in analyzing the market sentiment and potential price movements. While the current momentum suggests a continuation of the rally, traders and investors should remain cautious of overbought conditions, which could trigger a corrective pullback. Monitoring key support and resistance levels on the daily chart can help identify potential entry and exit points for trades. Furthermore, the interplay between crude oil prices and currency exchange rates adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics. A strong dollar typically exerts downward pressure on oil prices, as it makes the commodity more expensive for holders of other currencies. Conversely, a weaker dollar tends to support higher oil prices. Traders should therefore keep a close eye on currency movements, particularly against major currencies like the euro and the yen, to gauge potential impacts on crude oil prices. Moreover, environmental and regulatory factors continue to shape the long-term outlook for crude oil. Growing concerns over climate change and efforts to transition towards renewable energy sources could weigh on demand for fossil fuels in the coming years. This shift in consumer preferences and government policies towards cleaner energy alternatives could exert downward pressure on crude oil prices over the long term. In conclusion, while crude oil prices may experience further upside momentum in the near term, driven by geopolitical tensions and technical factors, traders should remain vigilant of potential risks and market dynamics. Monitoring key geopolitical developments, technical indicators, currency exchange rates, and long-term trends in energy consumption can help inform trading decisions and risk management strategies in the volatile crude oil market.

Kal tail main, peechle din ke unchaai ko update karne ke baad, keemat ulta ho gayi aur puri umeed se dakshin ki taraf jaati rahi, jiski wajah se ek poori bearish mombati bani jo peechle din ke range ke andar band hui. Saaf hai ke is saamaan mein ek kaafi tang range mein ikhatta ho raha hai aur zyadatar ye ikhatta hone wala hai, jo ke ek impulsive breakout ke saath khatam ho ga. Abhi ke liye, mujhe apne liye kuch dilchasp nahi lag raha, isliye main nazdeeki support levels ka nigaarani karunga, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 84.55 aur 83.12 par hain. Agar keemat ye support levels tak pohanchti hai, to wahan do manazir aane ke imkaanat hain. Pehla pehlu manazir ek ulat mor mombati ke shakl mein aur oopri keemat ki phir se chalu hone ki umeed hai. Agar ye mansooba kaamyaab hota hai, to main keemat ki taraf jaane ka intezar karunga jo 87.63 par hai.




Is resistance level par keemat ke upar band hone par, main mazeed uttarward harqat ka intezar karunga, takreeban 89.85 par resistance level tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga taake trading ka mazeed rukh ka tayyun kiya ja sake. Beshak, doosre keemat ke bhi dastakhat shamil hain, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 95.03 par hain, lekin ye surat-e-haal par munhasar hai aur keemat muntakhib douray uttar ke nishanat ka react kaisa karta hai. Support level 83.12 ke qareeb keemat ke harqat ka doosra mansooba ek mansooba ho sakta hai jahan keemat is level ke neeche band hone par aur mazeed dakshinward harqat. Agar ye mansooba kaamyaab hota hai, to main keemat ko 80.30 par support level ki taraf jaane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ke talash mein jaari rahunga, oopri keemat ki harqat ka intezar karte hue. Aam tor par, agar ise chand alfaz mein kaha jaaye, to filhaal mujhe kisi bhi dilchasp cheez nazar nahi aati. Amm taur par, main uttarward trend jaari rakhne ki taraf raghbat rakhta hoon, lekin kharidne ki options ka tajziya karne ke liye, mujhe nazdeeki support levels par ikhtiyarati pullback dekhna pasand hoga aur phir wahan uttarward signals ki talash karni hogi.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Crude oil ke daam 87.85 pe jab se gira hua hai, wo tezi se girta raha hai aur itihaasik support zones ke neeche chala gaya hai. Jab ke daam ne neeche se bounce kiya 82.40 tak, 200 dinon ka simple moving average bar bar ke faayde ko rok diya. Agar kharidar 200 dinon ke moving average ke upar ja sakte hain, toh unko turant rok 86.61 pe mil sakti hai. Iske alawa, daam 81.25 ke support level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aage ki koshishen 87.75 ke level ke paas atak sakti hain. Warna, agar 200 dinon ke moving average ne pakad liya, toh daam 79.97 ke level tak gir sakta hai. Is area ke neeche girna ned ke 78.40 pe pahunchnay ka raasta khul sakta hai.



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Crude oil ke daam ne nichayi taraf ki taraf trend kiya hai, jismein kam highs aur kam lows hain, jo giraavat wale channel ke saath ghante ka chart hai. Daam channel ke top ki taraf badhta hai, jo doosre inflection point ke saath milta hai. Vishesh roop se, chhoti-muddat ke resistance channel ko 61.8% Fibonacci level $86.24 per barrel par milta hai. Agar yeh munafa ko support karne ke liye kaafi hai, toh crude oil ke daam wapas $84 per barrel ya usse neeche ja sakte hain. 100 moving average 200 moving average ke neeche hai, jo ek chhoti-muddat ki bearish u-turn ya ye sanket karta hai ki giravat badne ke bajaye ulatne ke zyada chances hain. Daam ko yeh dynamic inflection points par kuch resistance ka samna lag raha hai. Lekin, current levels ke upar ek breakthrough aane ka matlab hai ki ek ulta rukh nazdeek hai. Isi doran, stochastics batate hain ki kharidar overbought ya thak gaya hai, isliye ek giravat daam kaafi ho sakti hai. RSI ne neeche jaane ka sanket diya hai, jo dikhata hai ki neeche ki dabav asar daal chuka hai, isliye daam wahi trend ko follow karta rahega jab tak oscillators na dikhayen ki kharidar ka josh khatam ho gaya hai. Neeche di gayi chart dekhein:

Crude oil ki upar ki tehqeeq lambi dar tak chali. Is liye, kami ki mansoobgi ab tak nahi laagi. Nishandehi ka darja na mila. 85.78 ka correction limit toota, aur price ne 88.91 ke reversal level ko toor diya. Harkat ka ziada se ziada darja 87.78 ke darja tak pohancha. Is haftay price mein aik bara gap ke saath khul gaya. Yeh mera target level 81 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya. Lekin, mansoobgi ab tak laagu nahi hui. Price phir gir gaya aur legend range mein wapas aa gaya. Is 85.78 se 91.78 tak ka yeh gap abhi tak fill nahi hua hai. Umeed hai ke yeh gap asaasai maaloomaat se bhara jayega. Ham khabron ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Chart neeche dekhein:


H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Main oil ka gap bharnay ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Halaanki haal he mein girawat hui hai, hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke upar ki tehqeeq khatam ho rahi hai. Aik legend level ka khilaaf hona, lekin price ka apni had tak wapas aana downside scenario ko na khatam kar sakta hai, jo ab bhi laagu hai. Lekin, 85.78 ka darja aakhri rukawat hai pehli priority ko badalne se pehle. To ab price had ka zone mein hai, jo mazeed mozuat ko mukarrar karega. Neeche ka signal is level se bounce aur 81.78 ke nichle darja ke solid consolidation se tasdeeq kiya jayega. Yeh ab bhi resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yahan, price ek neeche ki impulse ko banayega jiska target 85.78 aur 82.19 hoga. Agar 81.78 ke reversal level ke neeche break hua aur yeh mazbooti se fix hua, to mojooda scenario ko cancel kiya jayega. Tadaad badal jayegi se upar ki taraf. Chart neeche dekhein:

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, crude oil mein halki girawat dekhi gayi 91.52 se wapas aane ke baad, 89.06 tak pahunch gayi, ahem support ko pa karke, phir 91.52 tak wapas chali gayi. Ek aur baar, breakout fail ho gaya hai, aur Coates resistance mein baazi maar raha hai aur ab 89.06 level ki taraf ja raha hai. Iske alawa, price chart zyadatar super-trending green zone mein hai, jisse lagta hai ki buyers situation mein qabu mein hain.

US oil inventories ne Aprail ke 12 ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye 4.09 million barrels tak barhav kiya, jo pichle haftay 3.03 million barrels se zyada tha. Magar, US gasoline inventories 2.51 million barrels se gir gayi, aur refined product inventories 427,000 barrels se kam hui. US ke Cushing warehouse mein oil inventories bhi ishi douran 169,000 barrels tak kam hui. US ke strategic oil reserves mein 700,000 barrels ka izafa hua.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Is waqt, price mixed trading kar rahi hai, har haftay ke baad neutral reh rahi hai, ek local range tak pahunchne ke baad. Isi dauran, main support zone chhuta hua hai, apni integrity ko banaye rakhta hai, jo upper vector ko priority deta hai. Iske alawa, upward trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye, ek local corrective wave khatam hona chahiye, jo ki abhi 89.06 level ke qareeb me seemit ho sakta hai, jo abhi main support area ke borders mein hai. Is area ke retest aur uske baad ka rebound, mazeed bullish intentions ki ahem tasdeeq hogi aur naye upward movement ko 93.53 aur 95.21 ke darmiyan mein target kiya jaayega.

Maujooda haalaat ko cancel karne ka signal hoga support level ko todna aur price ko 86.85 ke reversal level ke neeche lane ka. Neeche diye gaye chart mein dekhein:

Middle East ki tanazaat duniya bhar ke tail farahum ko khatrey mein dal rahi hain. Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan aik mumkin jang ka khatra paida ho gaya hai jab Iran ne Israel se hamla hone par jawab dene ka dhamki diya, jo ke tail ki production ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Aise dor mein jab America pehle se hi Iran aur Venezuela par muqarrar kar raha hai, tail ka bazaar pehle se bebayana hai. Jabkay aam tor par sanctions farahum ko mukammal karte hain aur qeemat ko buland karte hain, magar bazaar is tarah ke mukhtalif asraat ka jawab nahi de raha hai mukhtalif asraat ka jawab nahi de raha hai. America ka dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo isay samjha sakta hai. Jab dollar buland hota hai, to doosray mumalik dollar mein qeemat mein faraham tail afford nahi kar sakte, shayad isay demand ko kam kar sakta hai.
Is ke ilawa, Asia ke central banks ne dollar ki mazbooti par fikar ka izhar kiya jab inflationary iqdamaat ko roka ja raha hai. Iran ko sanctions ka asar se pareshani hai. Iranian tail ke iktisadi exports par rukawat asar andaz ho sakti hai aur isay global farahum mein izafa kar sakti hai jab ke ye OPEC ka teesra bara tail farahum hai. Biden administration ye soch sakta hai ke Iran ke non-oil sectors par bhi sanctions laga sakta hai taake ye manazir na paida hon.
Technical indicators ke mutabiq, tail ki qeemat abhi $81.34 aur $86 per barrel ke darmiyan mustaqil hai. Agar ye $87.24, aham resistance level ko tor deti hai to qeemat mazeed buland ho sakti hai. $80.00 par support level aur moving averages ke convergence around $79 aise mozu mein aham giravat ko rok sakte hain agar tanazaat ya dollar kamzor hota hai. Middle East ke mozu mein mojooda halat aur ilaqa ke ongoing sanctions ke natayej mein, tail ke bazaar mein tanazaat paida ho rahi hain. Mustaqbil mein, tail ki qeemat ko kai asraat par asar dalta hai, jin mein siyasi tanazaat, dollar ki mazbooti, aur policy ke tabadlay shamil hain.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Hello, everyone. Kesy hy ap sub log. Crude oil ke prices ne 82.84 level se direct buy karne ka trend dikhaya tha. Lekin, crude oil ki price stability ka ant ho gaya aur girne lag gayi. Yeh ek lambi intezaar ki gayi nateeja tha. Pehle se hi is correction ka aghaz hone se pehle yeh samjha ja chuka tha. Lekin yeh sach nahi hua. Keemat ne kuch waqt tak 82.14 level ke thoda upar rehne ke baad tezi se kharab hone shuru ki. Abhi, quotes $83 ke area mein hain. Yeh confidently reversal level 83.92 ke neeche fixed ho gayi hai. 80.84 ka bear target nahi badla hai. Pichli girawat ne medium-term correction ka palatna wazeh signal diya hai. Is liye, system bhi confidently ascending se descending ki priority mein tabdeel hone ka signal de raha hai.



Maujooda girawat mukhtasir mein pehle downward impulse ki poora honay ke andar khatam ho sakti hai. Iss wave ka upper limit 84.74 ke qareeb mukarrar kiya gaya hai. 80.21 level se rebound price ko madad kar sakta hai. Yeh koshish karegi ke resistance area 87.21 tak recover kar sake. Lekin, jo girawat ek zyada global scale par shuru hui hai, uska order block ka retest 82.21 level par mutawaqqa hai. Humay is area mein mazid rebound ka intezar karna chahiye aur girawat ke ilaqaat 79.56 aur 80.89 ke ilaqaat mein jaari rakhna chahiye. Jab keemat 87.21 pivot level ke upar break karti hai, toh girawat mein rukawat aur gehri upward correction mumkin hai.

Crude Oil pricing ka mutalika mutalba hamari guftagu ka mawad hai. Main Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator istemal karta hoon jis mein 14 maahiyat ka setting hota hai, chhote trades ke liye jo 5 minute tak ka hota hai, jo mujhe aaram se lagta hai. Magar, yeh tareeqa lambe arse ke fraimz ke liye bhi mufeed ho sakta hai, agar qawaid ka palan kiya jaye. RSI 30 zone mein dakhil hone ka matlab hai ke bearish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, jahan maujooda qeemat 81.79 hai. Ham maujooda qeemat par kharidte hain taa ke hum apne market aamal ko behtar banayen, faida haasil karne ka maqsad 1 se 2 tak rakha gaya hai. Khatra ka nizam karne ke liye, maine ek mukarrar stop loss 15 pips ka lagaya hai, haal hi ki qeemat se zyada taa ke jhooti tootne se bacha ja sake. Nafrat farokht dabao barh raha hai, jahan harkat mein aane wale mohtalif ma'adiyon se neeche ki taraf dakhil hone ki sambhavna hai, jaisa ke 81.40 se neeche gir sakta hai. Magar, 82.63 ke upar chadhne ka matlab hai ke sudhar ke khatam hone ki nishaani hai, jiska taeed 83.60 ke upar ho sakta hai. Maujooda trading range 82.63 aur 81.46 ke darmiyan hai, jabke rukawat 85.52 se lekar aage tak hai, jo mazeed giravat ki nishani hai. 82.94 se upar chadhna faide ko barha sakta hai, jahan sudharon ka mukhtasir hota hai. 80.50 se neeche jhooti tootne ka mauqa kharidarion ko pesh karsakta hai. 85.68 se guzarna aur iske baad wazeh hona ek kharidari mauqa pesh karega. 80.65 ke ird gird madad ka bunyadi hota hai, khaaskar kamiyabi ke baad parikshan ke baad. Isliye, 85.50 ko toorna aur uske baad us par qabzah karna kharidari ke signal ko daurata hai.

ude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Middle East ki tanazaat duniya bhar ke tai
l farahum ko khatrey mein dal rahi hain. Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan aik mumkin jang ka khatra paida ho gaya hai jab Iran ne Israel se hamla hone par jawab dene ka dhamki diya, jo ke tail ki production ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Aise dor mein jab America pehle se hi Iran aur Venezuela par muqarrar kar raha hai, tail ka bazaar pehle se bebayana hai. Jabkay aam tor par sanctions farahum ko mukammal karte hain aur qeemat ko buland karte hain, magar bazaar is tarah ke mukhtalif asraat ka jawab nahi de raha hai mukhtalif asraat ka jawab nahi de raha hai. America ka dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo isay samjha sakta hai. Jab dollar buland hota hai, to doosray mumalik dollar mein qeemat mein faraham tail afford nahi kar sakte, shayad isay demand ko kam kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Asia ke central banks ne dollar ki mazbooti par fikar ka izhar kiya jab inflationary iqdamaat ko roka ja raha hai. Iran ko sanctions ka asar se pareshani hai. Iranian tail ke iktisadi exports par rukawat asar andaz ho sakti hai aur isay global farahum mein izafa kar sakti hai jab ke ye OPEC ka teesra bara tail farahum hai. Biden administration ye soch sakta hai ke Iran ke non-oil sectors par bhi sanctions laga sakta hai taake ye manazir na paida hon.
Technical indicators ke mutabiq, tail ki qeemat abhi $81.34 aur $86 per barrel ke darmiyan mustaqil hai. Agar ye $87.24, aham resistance level ko tor deti hai to qeemat mazeed buland ho sakti hai. $80.00 par support level aur moving averages ke convergence around $79 aise mozu mein aham giravat ko rok sakte hain agar tanazaat ya dollar kamzor hota hai. Middle East ke mozu mein mojooda halat aur ilaqa ke ongoing sanctions ke natayej mein, tail ke bazaar mein tanazaat paida ho rahi hain. Mustaqbil mein, tail ki qeemat ko kai asraat par asar dalta hai, jin mein siyasi tanazaat, dollar ki mazbooti, aur policy ke tabadlay shamil hain.