سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Hum tool Oil ki mojooda analysis aur taqreebat kareinge. Jo samjhein gay woh 4 ghante ka time frame hoga.

Ham market movement ki study kareinge aur analyzed instrument ke liye ek priority trading plan banayeinge kuch mufeed indicators ka istemal karke - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD. Trading shuru karne ke liye, sab indicators ki readings milni chahiye. Hum ideal jagah chunte hain for entry point into selling or buying, sath hi position se bahar nikalne ke liye, Fibonacci grid ka istemal karte hain jo ke extreme points of the selected time frame (daily or weekly) pe stretch hota hai.

Sabse pehle, note karna wajib hai ke attached chart jis time frame (time-frame H4) ka hai woh clearly dikhata hai ke pehli darja ki regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument aur current trend ki direction ko dikhata hai, uttar ki taraf acute angle mein direction rakhta hai, jo ke ek bohot hi taqatwar trend movement ko darust karta hai jo ke uttar ki taraf dynamics mein barhta hai. Usi waqt, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne mein istemal hota hai, ne golden channel line ko bottom se upar cross kiya hai aur upward direction dikhata hai.

Price ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line ko cross kiya lekin 83.18 ke quotes ke maximum value (HIGH) tak pahunch gaya, uske baad isne apna girawat rok liya aur dheere-dheere decline shuru ki. Halankeh, instrument ab price level 83.10 par trade ho raha hai. Upar di gayi sabhi cheezon ke mutabiq, mein umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (78.65) channel line ke neeche laut kar consolidate honge aur mazeed down move karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 77.57 tak, jo ke Fibo level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Auxiliary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo ke sahi entry point ko confirm karte hain, overbought area mein hain aur instrument ki price mein girawat ki zyada possibility dikhate hain.

#CL H4

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Hello, sab log. Kaise hain aap? Umeed hai ke aap is hafte ki trading ka luqmaan utha rahe hain. Crude oil ne October mein set kiye gaye apne sab se kam levels se bahar nikalkar tezi se barhna shuru kiya hai, jo ke khasi important technical areas jaise ke 200-day simple moving average ko paar karke apne paanch mahine ke uchayi par pohanch gaya hai, 83.34 ke barabar. Mujhe kaamyabi mili. Crude oil ne overbought levels tak pohanchne ke baad thoda sa ruk gaya hai.

Agar kharidari ki dilchaspi jaari rahegi, toh July ke 85.55 uchayiyon ka mukabla karnay ki koshish hogi rally ko rokne ki. Lekin is ke agay, kharidadaar 86.43 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo peechle haftay ke paanch mahine ke uchayi aur ahem nafsiyati levels se jura hua hai. Is area ko paar karne ke baad, bullish wave April 2032 ke resistance ki taraf ja sakti hai. Is level ko paar karne se, sellers 81.55 level ko challenge kar sakte hain, jo ke 200-day moving average ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh rukavat bhi gir jaati hai, toh tawajju support par shift ho sakti hai, 80.23 level ki taraf, jo June mein bhi atypical tor par mazboot sabit hua tha. Yeh chart neeche diya gaya hai:



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Aam tor par, Crude oil ko mazeed uchai ki taraf ka bohot zor daar dabav mehsoos hua hai, jo ke overbought levels ki taraf ja raha hai. Jabke momentum signs yeh ishara dete hain ke rally jaari reh sakti hai, toh naye geopolitical masail is rally ko barha sakte hain. Crude oil ka exchange rate 83.24 ke aas paas stabilize hua hai peer ke trading mein, daily chart par note ki gayi numaya giravat ke saath. Agar yeh trend support levels, 80.90 aur 79.55 ki taraf jaari hota hai, toh bearish control ko mazbooti milti hai. Doosri taraf, agar is samay frame mein 85.33 resistance ki taraf jaati hai, toh mojooda downtrend ko ulta karne ke liye yeh khaas hoga. Yeh chart neeche diya gaya hai:

Tail on Thursday oil ke daamon mein izafa horaha hai, jo $82 per barrel ke upar mukammal hogaya hai. Ye izafa speculation se hota hai ke OPEC+, jise Saudi Arabia aur Russia jese bade oil producer countries lead karte hain, apni aanay wali meeting mein production cuts ko barqarar rakhega. Investors nazdeek se sitara bandi kar rahe hain, umeed hai ke OPEC+ June tak kisi bhi policy tabdeel ko taakhir kardega.Ye faisla tez honay wali geopolitical tensions ke doraan kiya gaya hai, khaaskar Ukraine mein chalne wale ongoing conflict ke doraan. Russian energy infrastructure par hamla global crude oil supplies ko mutasir kar chuka hai, jo pehle se hi tang market mein izafa dabaaw daal raha hai. Iske bawajood, US ki maeeshat mazboot buniyad par nazar aati hai. Halhi mein shaya hui data ne dikhaya ke US ki GDP growth 2023 ke chouthay quarter mein umeedon se zyada hai.



Oil prices ke izafe mein OPEC+ ki upcoming meeting ka bada kirdar hai. Agar production cuts ko barqarar rakha gaya, to isse oil ke daamon mein mukhtalif asarat dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Investors cautious hain aur market mein uncertainty ka mahol hai, jiska asar oil prices par bhi ho raha hai.Geopolitical tensions bhi oil prices par impact daal rahe hain, khaaskar Russia-Ukraine conflict ke doraan. Is situation mein market ke movements closely monitor kiye ja rahe hain taake sahi trading decisions liye ja sakein.US ki maeeshat ki mazbooti bhi ek positive factor hai, jo ki investors ko optimistic banata hai. GDP growth ke umeedon se zyada hona ek encouraging sign hai aur isse overall market sentiment ko bhi support milta hai.Is sab ke alawa, global economic conditions aur energy market ke developments ko bhi closely watch kiya ja raha hai taake future trends ka better analysis kiya ja sake.

Crude oil ka maazi mahine ke uchaaiyon par dabav mehsoos hua hai aur yeh overbought levels ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab tak ke momentum signs yeh ishara dete hain ke rally jaari reh sakti hai, naye geopolitical masail is rally ko barha sakte hain. Crude oil ka exchange rate 83.29 ke aas paas stabilize hua hai peer ke trading mein, daily chart par note ki gayi numaya giravat ke saath. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in regions like the Middle East, have historically had a significant impact on crude oil prices. Any escalation in conflicts or disruptions in oil supply from major producing regions could lead to a spike in prices. Additionally, factors such as OPEC's production decisions and fluctuations in global demand, especially amid economic recovery efforts post-pandemic, continue to influence crude oil prices. Technical indicators also play a crucial role in analyzing the market sentiment and potential price movements. While the current momentum suggests a continuation of the rally, traders and investors should remain cautious of overbought conditions, which could trigger a corrective pullback. Monitoring key support and resistance levels on the daily chart can help identify potential entry and exit points for trades. Furthermore, the interplay between crude oil prices and currency exchange rates adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics. A strong dollar typically exerts downward pressure on oil prices, as it makes the commodity more expensive for holders of other currencies. Conversely, a weaker dollar tends to support higher oil prices. Traders should therefore keep a close eye on currency movements, particularly against major currencies like the euro and the yen, to gauge potential impacts on crude oil prices. Moreover, environmental and regulatory factors continue to shape the long-term outlook for crude oil. Growing concerns over climate change and efforts to transition towards renewable energy sources could weigh on demand for fossil fuels in the coming years. This shift in consumer preferences and government policies towards cleaner energy alternatives could exert downward pressure on crude oil prices over the long term. In conclusion, while crude oil prices may experience further upside momentum in the near term, driven by geopolitical tensions and technical factors, traders should remain vigilant of potential risks and market dynamics. Monitoring key geopolitical developments, technical indicators, currency exchange rates, and long-term trends in energy consumption can help inform trading decisions and risk management strategies in the volatile crude oil market.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka qeemat tezi se barh rahi hai, teesre din se foran, aur Asian trading mein somwar ko $83.10 per barrel tak pohanch gayi hai. Yeh izafa OPEC aur uske allies, OPEC+, ke production cuts ki wajah se supply ko tight hone ki umeed se hota hai. Iss haftay ka OPEC+ meeting investors ke liye ek ahem waqia hai. Group ko mojooda market conditions ka jayeza lena hai aur member countries ke production quotas ka adherance dekhna hai. Zyadatar analysts ka kehna hai ke OPEC+ apni mojooda production strategy ko barqarar rakhega, supply ko aur bhi kam karke qeemat ko aur zyada buland karega. America OPEC ke saath "oil war" haar rahi lagti hai. American production Saudi Arabia aur Russia ke cuts ko compensate karne mein qamyab nahi ho saki hai. Iss ne America ko apne strategic reserves ko premium par istemal karne par majboor kiya hai, jo ke inflation ko barhawa deta hai aur gas ke prices ko khatar mein daal deta hai.





Oil ke bulls optimistic hain aur agle major resistance level ke tor par $86 par nazar dal rahe hain. Uske baad, $86.90, $89.64, aur shayad hi $93.98, sab potential upside targets hain. Neeche ki taraf, support $80.00 aur $80.60 par mazboot nazar aata hai, jabki 200-day moving average additional support provide karta hai jis ka level $78.55 ke aas paas hai. 100-day aur 55-day moving averages ka ek junction $75.64 aur $77.15 ke qareeb hai, sath hi crucial level $75.27 bhi downside ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai aur yeh bhi dikhata hai ke selling pressure zyada traction nahi gain kar sakegi. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD bhi upwards direction mein hain, jo ke bullish momentum suggest karte hain. Bulls moqabla karne ke liye tayar hain mojooda high level $83.10 ka, jo November se dekha nahi gaya hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to qeemat 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level tak, yaani $84.69 tak, pohanch sakti hai. Agar yeh point bhi paar ho jata hai, to prices ko 78.6% Fibonacci level $89.23 tak le ja sakta hai, jo October 2023 mein pichli baar dekha gaya tha.

Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading haftay mein, crude oil naye low tak gir gaya tha, jismein se 83.06 tak hissa correction hua, peechle review ke expectations ke mutabiq. Ek rebound ke baad, signal level tak nahi pahunchne par, price tezi se girne lagi, na sirf target area ko poori tarah se capture kiya balki uss level ke paas ek minimum stop loss bhi set kiya gaya tha, jo ke 82.54 ke qareeb tha aur usse bhi zyada neeche gaya. Is dauran, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo bechne walon ke continued control ko dikhata hai.

Technical taur par, price ab bhi 83.10 ke range mein hai. Pichle haftay, crude oil price badhi, aur yen price bhi badha. Lekin yeh level ke neeche ruk gaya. Is hafte, hum 84.20 level ke breakout ka intezar karenge. Uske baad, hum 85.44 level ka target set karenge. Agar price 80.00 level ke neeche jaati hai, toh woh 78.34 level tak jaayegi.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Prices abhi tezi se neeche trading kar rahi hain aur ek haftay ke lows ke kareeb hain. Key support areas ko test nahi kiya gaya hai aur unki integrity bani hai, jo ki decline ke vector ko relevant banata hai. Quotes abhi 82.71 ke current price area mein dakhil ho jaane ki zaroorat hai, jo main resistance area ka border hai aur jahan local correction mumkin hai. Further bearish intentions ka asal confirmation is area ke neeche laut aane se mil sakta hai, jo decline ko agle continuation ke doran dobara shuru kar dega, specifically area 78.3 aur 77.34 ke beech.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal resistance level ki breakdown aur price ka reversal level 85.17 ke upar entry mein mil jaayega.

4-hour chart:

Oil ne aik bullish trading week dekha aur mazeed izafa ki umeed hai. Pehle to, keemat ascension channels ke andar trade kiya gaya magar upper channel line ke qareeb rukawat ka samna kiya, jo aik girawat ka sabab bana. Lekin, haftay ki pivot level par support mila, jo keemat ko ooncha uthaya aur mukhtalif resistance levels ko tod diya.

Haftay ka rukawat jo 84.02 tha, usay tor diya gaya, phir keemat 84.93 ke resistance level ki taraf gayi, jo ke ab bhi tor diya gaya hai. Pichli mombati ne rukawat ke level ke upar band hui, aur ab keemat dobara isay dobara test karne ke liye gir rahi hai. Isliye, jab keemat dobara top tak retrace kare aur pichli mombati ki sab se unchi keemat ke upar trade kare, to aik kharidari ka moqa paida hota hai. Is trade ka maqsood 86.67 ke resistance level par set kiya ja sakta hai.

Maeeshati hawale se, tail ke daamon ki izafa karne ka sabab, siyasi tensions aur izafa hone wale demand ke expectations the. Israeli hawai hamle ne Syria mein Iranian embassy par tanazaat ko barha diya, jabke Pemex ke crude oil exports ko kam karne ka irada izafa hone wali supply ki kami ke lehaz se fikron ko barhaya. Is ke ilawa, OPEC ke ane wale market conditions ki tafseelat aur ahem production targets par members ki commitments ka jaiza, sath hi US aur China mein izafa hone wale manufacturing PMIs ne demand ki expectations ko barhaya.

Magar, halqi tor par pichle waqiat ne crude oil market par manfi asar dala hai. Israeli hamlon ne Damascus mein Iranian consulate par production risks ka samna kar sakte hain, jo ke qareebi dor mein global supply ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, API aur EIA se aane wale inventory data ke asar se market ke rukh ko mutasir honay ki tawajjo hai.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Crude oil ki keemat April tak to $80.85 se tezi se barh rahi thi. Lekin, chhotay arse mein, wazeh hai ke keemat 50-day moving average ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho pa rahi hai, jiski wajah se Ichimoku equilibrium chart ke neeche tezi se gir gayi hai. Agar bechne walay aage bhi neeche ki taraf dabao dalte rahein, to pehla support $80.20 ke qareeb paaya jaa sakta hai, jo March mein do martaba qaim hua tha. Is zone ke neeche girne se raasta khulta hai August ke record low $77.60 ki taraf, jo 200-day simple moving average ke saath milta hai. Mazeed neeche ki taraf raftar ko roka ja sakta hai June mein $75.00 resistance level par. Pichle haftay, keemat tezi se barhi aur usne apne upper level ko paar kiya. Main is upper level se crude oil ko bechne ka raaz maanta hoon, jiska target $81.00 par set hai. Khaas taur par, Ichimoku oscillation lines abhi ek doosre se alag ho rahe hain. In lines ka ittehad hone ka ishaara trend mein badlav ki taraf ishaara kar sakta hai. Yeh raha chart:



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Dusri taraf, agar keemat oonchi jaati hai, to usse April ke high par resistance ka samna karna padega jo 83.40 hai. Iske alawa, keemat April ke 84.15 ke high se mukabla kar sakti hai. Agar yeh bhi is level ko paar kar leti hai, to usse tezi se barhne mein koi mushkil nahi hogi aur 89.85 ke qareeb pahunchne se pehle January ke rejection zone se bach jaayegi. Toh mukhtasir karke, crude oil ab tak trend ko thoda sa badal chuka hai, lekin nazdeek ke oscillators bearish hain. Lekin, agar ek double-bottom pattern banta hai, to phir wapas tezi se barhne ka amkaan hai. Yeh raha chart:

Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Hello, everyone. Pichle trading haftay mein, Brent oil apni pehli giravat ko jaari rakha, lekin emerging sideways range se bahar nahi nikal paya. Price ne 85.50 ke aas-paas rok li, uske baad rebound hua aur original positions mein laut gaya, haal hi mein hue nuksano ko poora karke. Us dauraan, quotes 84.04 ke level tak gaye, jahan phir se ruk gaye, dobara resistance ka saamna karte hue. Isi dauraan, price chart zones ke darmiyan daur raha, jo zyada uncertainty ko darust karta hai. Price barh gayi aur wapas anay ki koshish ki. Yeh kamyab nahi hui kyun ke kharidaron ki taqat bohot zyada hai jo keemat ko 86.77 ke darje tak pohanchaygi. Is darje se, tez bearish candles banaayegi, meri takneeki tajziya ke mutabiq.



H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Is waqt, price kisi bhi significant tabdili ke bina trade ho rahi hai, har haftay lagbhag neutral hai, kyunke woh wahi levels par hai. Isi dauraan, 84.04 ke level ko ek aur baar test kiya gaya, jo upar jaane ki koshish ko roka, jo mojooda rebound ke neeche se zahir hai. Key resistance zone par zyada pressure hone ke bawajood, jo serious taur par violate hui lekin guzri nahi gayi, downward scenario relevant rehta hai. Is scenario ko confirm karne ke liye, quotes ko 82.71 ke neeche lautna hoga, uske baad consolidation aur ek neeche rebound. Yeh ek downward impulse ka vikas dene ka mauka dega, jo 79.54 aur 78.09 ke beech ka area target karega.

Mojooda scenario ko cancel karne ka signal 84.04 ke reversal level ke area mein lautne par milega. Neechy chart dekhein:

Crude oil ke market mein halat kamzor hai aur movement zyada tar downtrend ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yeh dekha gaya hai ke market ka rate 84.61 tak gir gaya hai. Is situation ka kai factors ho sakte hain, jaise ke global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, aur supply-demand dynamics. Ek sabse ahem factor global economic conditions hain. Agar dunya bhar mein economy slowdown mein hai ya phir kisi specific region ya country mein economic instability hai, to iska asar crude oil prices par hota hai. Kamzor economy mein demand kam hoti hai, jis se crude oil ki demand bhi ghat ti hai aur iske prices down chale jate hain. Geopolitical tensions bhi crude oil prices par asar dalte hain. Agar kisi important oil-producing region mein instability ya conflict ho, jaise ke Middle East mein, to isse crude oil supply par asar padta hai. Agar supply mein kisi bhi tarah ka disruption hota hai, to yeh prices ko upar ya neeche le ja sakta hai.
Supply-demand dynamics bhi crucial role ada karte hain. Agar crude oil ki supply zyada ho aur demand kam ho, to isse prices par pressure padta hai. Isi tarah, agar supply kam ho aur demand zyada ho, to prices upar ja sakte hain. Isme OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) aur non-OPEC countries ka role bhi hota hai jo production levels aur quotas ko regulate karte hain. Yeh factors ke saath saath, currency exchange rates bhi crude oil prices par asar dalte hain. Agar dollar strong hai compared to other currencies, to dollar-denominated commodities jaise ke crude oil ke prices down ho sakte hain.



Investors aur traders bhi crude oil ke prices par asar dalte hain. Agar market sentiment negative hai, to log apne investments ko safe havens mein shift karte hain, jis se crude oil prices bhi down ho sakte hain. Is waqt, crude oil market mein downtrend ki wajah se prices 84.61 tak gir gaye hain. Halan ke yeh temporary fluctuations hote hain, lekin market participants ko is tarah ke movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake woh apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakein.

Haal hi mein, crude oil prices mein tezi se girawat dekhne ko mili hai aur is wajah se prices 84.69 tak pohanch gaye hain. Is downtrend ki kai wajahen ho sakti hain. Sabse pehli wajah global economic conditions mein kamiyaabi ka izafa ho sakta hai. Agar kisi badi mulk ke economic indicators mein kamzori dikhai de rahi hai, to iska asar crude oil demand par bhi pad sakta hai, jiski wajah se prices gir sakti hain. Dusri wajah, geopolitical tensions ho sakti hain. Agar kisi important oil-producing region mein koi conflict ya tension ho, to iska asar crude oil supply par pad sakta hai. Is tarah ke situations mein, traders market ke uncertainty ko dekhte hue cautious ho jate hain, jiski wajah se prices down ho sakti hain. Teesri wajah, renewable energy sources ka istemal aur conservation efforts bhi ho sakte hain. Duniya bhar mein renewable energy sources ka istemal barh raha hai, jiske chalte crude oil ki demand mein kami a sakti hai. Isi tarah, energy conservation efforts aur fuel efficiency standards bhi oil demand ko kam kar sakte hain, jiski wajah se prices gir sakti hain. Chothi wajah, global oil inventories aur production levels ka asar bhi ho sakta hai. Agar oil-producing countries ne production levels ko barha diya hai ya phir inventories mein izafa kiya hai, to iska asar prices par pad sakta hai. Oversupply ki situation mein, prices naturally down ho sakti hain. Panchvi wajah, currency fluctuations bhi prices par asar daal sakti hain. Agar dollar ki value strong ho gayi hai, to dollar par base currency wale commodities, jaise crude oil, ke prices down ho sakte hain, aur vice versa. In sabhi factors ke saath, future market conditions bhi crude oil prices par asar daal sakte hain. Agar traders aur investors market mein uncertainty mehsoos karte hain, to iska asar prices par dekha ja sakta hai. Isi tarah, weather conditions aur natural disasters bhi supply chain ko disrupt kar sakte hain, jiski wajah se prices gir sakte hain. Overall, crude oil prices mein downtrend ka mukhtalif factors se taluq ho sakta hai. Geopolitical tensions, economic conditions, renewable energy adoption, aur supply-demand dynamics sabhi prices par asar daal sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko market ko closely monitor karna aur changing trends ko samajhna zaroori hai takay unhe future ke liye sahi investment decisions lena mumkin ho.

US oil prices are soaring, reaching their highest point since late 2023 due to a combination of factors. The weakening value of the US dollar is making oil more appealing to holders of other currencies. This trend is occurring alongside concerns about future oil supplies, stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, between Russia and Ukraine, and around the Red Sea. These tensions raise the specter of disruptions to oil production and exports. Moreover, the OPEC+ group of oil producers is expected to maintain production cuts when they convene soon, further tightening supply and buoying prices. Additionally, the possibility of a US interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this year could weaken the dollar, making oil cheaper for foreign buyers and potentially boosting demand. However, a hawkish tone in upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve officials could strengthen the dollar, capping gains for oil prices.





Technically, the recent surge in prices is supported by a break above a key resistance level on charts, suggesting potential for further gains. Bulls are now targeting a test of the October 2023 high, with bullish technical indicators providing support. Overall, the short-term outlook for WTI crude oil prices is positive, with multiple factors likely to keep them elevated. If a correction occurs, the price may test $82.30, with a significant bullish trend line emerging and serving as support at that level. Between the swing low of $80.30 and the high of $82.87, there is a 50% Fib retracement level and the $81.60 zone on the WTI crude oil chart, representing the next significant support. A downside break could see the price drop below $80.30, potentially leading to a move into the $78.80 support zone if further losses occur.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Crude oil H-4 chart par aath muntazim sessionon mein izafa record kar chuka hai aur ab chhote arsay ke simple moving averages ke ooper qaim hai. Keemat abhi Ichimoku badal ke andar ghoome ja rahi hai, aur agar kisi tarah se usse guzarna ho, toh upar ki manzil tak phail sakti hai. RSI bhi overbought area ke qareeb aa raha hai, jabke MACD ne apne laal signal line aur zero line ko qareebi muddat mein cross kar liya hai, dono cheezen mazeed izafa hone ki sambhavna dikhate hain. Agar kharidari dabao jari rahe, toh keemat mukhtalif resistance level 89.30 ko dobara test kar sakti hai. Isse guzarne ke baad, yeh pehle paanch mahine ka uncha 91.00 tak ja sakta hai. Is ilaqe se guzar jana lambi muddat mein bullish technical tasveer ko support kar sakta hai.



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Warna, agar bechne walay keemat ko neeche dabaane ki koshish karein, toh giravat pehle halat mein hil jayegi, jo 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 85.24 ka hai, jo 50-period SMA ke saath milta hai. Us area ke neeche, keemat 20-period simple moving average tak gir sakti hai jo 84.20 hai. Mukhtasir tor par, Crude oil ne haal hee mein 83.40 ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level se punarvas pradarshit karke qareebi nishanat ko aksar kiya hai.

Crude oil ki keemat ne 2024 ke shuru se 87.20/barrel, ya 21.43%, izafa kiya hai, farokht ke mutabiq. Crude oil ka tajziya Trading Economics global macro models aur analyst ke tajziyat ke mutabiq is hafte ke end tak 90.20 par farokht hone ki umeed hai. Agay dekhtay hue, hum umeed karte hain ke wo agle 12 mahinon mein 91.75 par farokht hogi. Kul mila kar, crude oil market ko barhne wale geopolitical tensions aur bullish options ke zyada se zyada 30 million barrels ke ek mazeed jhatke ke wajah se mazboot momentum mil sakta hai jo ab paiso mein hain. Brent crude price rally ne June tak expire hone wale 90.2 bullish call options contracts ko $90 se $91 ke darmiyan le aaya hai. Yahan chart dekhein:

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S: C L / CRUDE OIL

Salam Subah,


Mujhe umeed hai ke meray team members aur administrators theek hongay. Chaliye hum Crude oil market ka jayeza aaj lenay ki koshish karte hain. Umeed hai yeh aapke liye faida mand sabit hogi. Is waqt Crude oil ki keemat 86.73 hai jab yeh tajziya likha ja raha hai. Abhi halat ke nazdeek Crude oil ki mojooda keemat mein izafa nazar aa raha hai, aur agar aaj yeh bullish momentum jari rahe, toh keemat 96.57 level tak pohanch jayegi. Magar, dollar ki kamzori aur Crude oil market ka abhi bullish hone ke imkanat ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue, keemat ka izafa munasib hai. Agar hum technical indicators jaise ke moving average convergence divergence (MACD) aur The Relative Strength Index (RSI) par nazar daalein, toh yeh dono bullish zone mein hain is chart par. Yeh darust karta hai ke market ab bhi bullish hai, aur mustaqbil ab bulls ke sath hai. 20-day exponential moving average aur 50-day exponential moving average ab bhi keemat ko 96.57 level ki taraf dhamka rahe hain, jo ke kharidaron ka mukhya nishana hai.

Chart Par Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicator:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

Tasurat:


Is chart par hum mukhtalif rangon se nishanat ko dekh sakte hain jo supply aur demand zones ko darust karte hain. Crude oil ke liye pehla rukawat ka daur 96.57 hai. Agar Crude oil rukawat ko torr deta hai, to 96.57 ke qareeb ka ilaqa ek mazeed upside barrier ka kaam karega, aur wahan se agay barhnay par bulls ko 130.13 ke qareeb ka ilaqa nishana banaye rakhna chahiye. Doosri taraf, Crude oil ke liye pehla support level 64.63 hai. Agar Crude oil support ko torr deta hai, to 64.63 ke qareeb ka ilaqa ek mazeed downside barrier ka kaam karega, aur wahan se agay barhnay par bears ko 34.71 ke qareeb ka ilaqa nishana banaye rakhna chahiye. Main bilkul yaqeen rakhta hoon ke keemat mazeed mazboot hogi aur 130.13 ke rukawat ilaqa tak barhaye jayegi.

Tail wakt mein Oil (WTI) chhote arse ke liye ek uchhal kha raha hai. Iska saboot hai ke iski keemat ke channel ke barhne wale highs aur lows. Tadbeer nigar ye trend kuch arse ke liye jari rakhne ka keh rahe hain, kehte hue "trend aap ka dost hai." Magar bahut zyada umeedwarion ki pesh kashion ke liye hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai. Ek zyada wakt ka tanazur dekhte hue, trend kam wazeh hai. Oil ke daamon ne March ke darmiyan 83.05 dollars ki bulandiyon tak pohanch gayi thi, phir nichli. 100 haftay ki moving average (SMA) aur channel ke upper limit se rukawat shayad is girawat ke peeche hai. Tab se, keemat 80.20 aur 82.00 dollars ke darmiyan jhool rahi hai. Choti arse ke trend ke liye klidi hai ke oil ko uchhle dar uchhle dharaye qayam kar sake. Agar yeh hal hi mein maojooda shreni ke andar trade karta raha, toh up trend ko khatra ho sakta hai. 80.20 dollars ke neeche girna, channel ke neeche se, ek ahem bearish signal ho sakta hai. Yeh keemat 78.60-80 dollars ke shuruaati support level tak qeemat girne ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Yahan, kuch ahem moving averages ke group kuch madad faraham kar sakte hain.

Dusri taraf, agar oil March ki bulandi 83.05 dollars ko tor de, toh up trend ke mukhtalif ho sakti hai. Agla maqsood takreeban 83.90 dollars ke qareeb ho sakta hai, shayad 84.69 dollars, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko bhi par kar de. October 2023 mein yeh shakht rukawat ka kaam karta tha. Yahan se nikalne ke baad, keemat ko 89.23 dollars, 78.6% Fibonacci level tak barhne ki sambhavna hai. Takneeki nishanat jaise ke RSI aur MACD bhi bullish bias ka ishara dete hain. Ek sambhavna hai ke bail $83.10 level ko torne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo ke November se is se zyada ooncha hai. Magar yeh bullish momentum bechnay walon ke dabaav se mukhalfat ho sakti hai, jo ke keemat ko 81.50 dollars ke neeche la sakte hain. Us surat mein, dekhne ke liye agle support levels 80.30 aur 78.30 dollars honge, ek mukhtalif girawat ke liye 74.35 dollars tak.