جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Humne kal GBPJPY mein ek bullish scenario dekha jo yeh batata hai ke bulls abhi tak apni taqat kam karne ke liye tayar nahi hain. Iske ilawa, GBPJPY market abhi bhi 194.77 ke overbought level par hai. Sarmaya daar ko hourly aur daily timeframes ko qareebi taur par dekhna chahiye taake market ke trends aur price action ka behtareen andaaza lagaya ja sake. In timeframes ka tajzia karne se aise potential entry points dhoondhne mein madad milti hai jo trading strategies ke mutabiq ho, chahe short-term gains ho ya long-term investments.
Mukhtalif tools, khaaskar indicators aur automatic trading rules ka istemal bohat zaroori hai. Yeh tools trading process ko streamline karte hain aur trades ko enter ya exit karne ke liye valuable signals faraham karte hain. Misal ke taur par, automatic trading systems pre-defined criteria ke mutabiq trades ko execute karte hain, jis se investors market opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain baghair baar baar monitoring ke. Yeh automation un investors ke liye khas tor par faidemand ho sakta hai jo markets ka mutali'a musalsal nahi kar sakte. Indicators jese Bollinger Bands ya MACD istemal karke market reversals ya continuations ko pehchanne mein madad milti hai, jo decision-making ko behtar banata hai.
Meri recommendation GBPJPY investors ke liye yeh hai ke woh bullish scenario par ghoor karein. Aur jab bulls is market ko navigate kar rahe hain, to unhein broader economic factors ka bhi khayaal rakhna chahiye jo currency movements ko asar andaz karte hain, khaaskar Japanese Yen ke hawale se. Macroeconomic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments market sentiment aur trading conditions ko kaafi had tak badal sakte hain. In factors ke baray mein informed rehna zaroori hai taake trading decisions ko sahi banaya ja sake. Akhir mein, bull's power overbought territories ke qareeb kam ho sakti hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi mashwara diya jata hai ke bulls apni trades hold karein, kyun ke market conditions hamesha unpredictable hoti hain. GBPJPY ki price aglay chand dino mein 195.00 ko test kar sakti hai.

GBP/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par dekhne se ye wazeh hota hai ke is waqt sellers ne market par mazboot qabza kar rakha hai. Price action se yeh pata chalta hai ke bears ka ghalba hai, aur wo actively pair ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jiska target ek aham support zone hai jo ke 195.12 ke qareeb hai. Ye area pehle bhi ek critical support ka kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke wo is level ko tod kar neeche le jaayein, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar sellers is aham support zone ko todne mein kaamyab ho jate hain, tou is se aur zyada downside movement ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko mazeed nuqsan uthana par sakta hai. Is waqt sellers ki strength ko aur zyada barhawa milne ki umeed hai upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se. Agar data bearish outlook ke haq mein aata hai, tou yeh wo zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai jo pair ko 195.12 ke support level ke neeche le jane ke liye darkaar hai. Aise scenarios mein fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko aur zyada mazboot bana deti hai aur market mein zyada strong reaction paida kar sakti hai. Is setup mein primary focus sellers ki koshishon par hai ke wo decisively support levels ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyunki aisa move unki dominance ko confirm karega aur GBP/JPY mein deeper pullback ka signal milega. Traders ko is zone ko ghore se dekhna chahiye, kyunki agar breakout successful hota hai tou downward pressure barh sakta hai, jabke agar ye level tootne mein nakaam hota hai tou ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke strong buyers ab bhi is level ko defend karne ko tayyar hain. Linear regression channel ka rukh north ki taraf hai. H1 channel ab bullish trend ko determine kar raha hai. Neeche ke waqt mein corrective movement channel ke lower edge tak hai jo ke 193.454 par hai. Yahan ke qareeb strong buyer ki positions located hain. Jab price 193.454 tak jaye gi, tou bulls apni activity dikhana shuru karenge, jo ke unki maujoodgi ko zahir karegi. Agar market channel ke lower part par react nahi karta tou iska matlab hoga ke buyer weak hai. Is surat mein market ka downward movement barqarar rehne ke imkanaat zyada hain. Mazeed consolidation lower part ke neeche ho sakti hai. Aise bearish actions se H1 channel ka rukh neeche ho jaye ga aur trend mein unke haq mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Bulls, jo apni positions aur stops ko 193.454 ke neeche protect kar rahe hain, market ko upwards dhakelne ki koshish karenge taake apne target ko haasil kar sake.

Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko

GBPJPY pair ka H-4 time frame mein is hafta ziada volatility nahi dekhi gayi. Price aksar EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 193.36 ke ird-gird ghoomti rahi. Halanke lagta hai ke trend upar ja raha hai, lekin price ab tak 195.94 ke high ko touch nahi kar paayi. Bullish trend ki direction ab bhi valid hai, isliye umeed hai ke rally resistance (R1) 197.17 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Jab price niche girti hai, to support (S1) 191.22 ke paas tak nahi ja paati jo ke qareeb hai. Agar price 195.59 ke qareeb high ko cross nahi kar paayi, to price ka direction phir niche ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Yahan price pattern structure tabdeel ho gaya jab price ne 193.45 ka high cross kiya. Agar price SMA 200 ya phir 189.54 ke low tak correct hoti hai, to ye ek higher low pattern hoga. Bullish trend ki direction ko follow karte hue, price ko 195.94 ke high se upar jaake ek higher high pattern banana hoga. Yeh resistance (R1) 197.17 tak bhi ja sakti hai taake higher high - higher low pattern confirm rahe. Lekin agar Japanese Yen mazid strong hota hai aur price support (S2) 187.41 tak push hoti hai, to price ka pattern lower low - lower high ban jata hai. Yeh isliye hota hai kyun ke price 189.54 ke low ko cross karti hai jo ke invalidation level hota hai.



Stochastic indicator ka perspective yeh batata hai ke price niche ja sakti hai agar parameters 80-90 ke overbought zone mein enter karne se pehle cross kar lein. Bhalay yeh saturation point tak na bhi puhnche, parameters ka cross hona is baat ki nishani hai ke GBPJPY pair ki price ka increase ruka hai. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne ab tak uptrend momentum ka pakka signal nahi diya. Halanke histogram level 0 se upar hai jo positive area hai, lekin histogram ka volume nahi barh raha jo ke ek aur possibility hai ke yeh negative area mein ja sake.

**Setup entry position:**

Agar bullish trend aur price pattern structure ka rujhan dekhein jo ab tak higher high - higher low dikhata hai, to trading options mein re-entry BUY position EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 193.36 ke aas paas place karna pasandida hoga. Confirmation tab hogi jab Stochastic indicator ka parameter oversold zone level 20 - 10 mein cross kare. AO indicator ka histogram kam az kam level 0 ya positive area mein volume barhta hua dikhaye. Take profit ke liye placement resistance (R1) 197.17 pe hogi aur stop loss support (S1) 191.22 se SMA 200 tak rakha jayega.

GBP/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par dekhne se ye wazeh hota hai ke is waqt sellers ne market par mazboot qabza kar rakha hai. Price action se yeh pata chalta hai ke bears ka ghalba hai, aur wo actively pair ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jiska target ek aham support zone hai jo ke 195.12 ke qareeb hai. Ye area pehle bhi ek critical support ka kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke wo is level ko tod kar neeche le jaayein, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar sellers is aham support zone ko todne mein kaamyab ho jate hain, tou is se aur zyada downside movement ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko mazeed nuqsan uthana par sakta hai. Is waqt sellers ki strength ko aur zyada barhawa milne ki umeed hai upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se. Agar data bearish outlook ke haq mein aata hai, tou yeh wo zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai jo pair ko 195.12 ke support level ke neeche le jane ke liye darkaar hai. Aise scenarios mein fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko aur zyada mazboot bana deti hai aur market mein zyada strong reaction paida kar sakti hai. Is setup mein primary focus sellers ki koshishon par hai ke wo decisively support levels ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyunki aisa move unki dominance ko confirm karega aur GBP/JPY mein deeper pullback ka signal milega. Traders ko is zone ko ghore se dekhna chahiye, kyunki agar breakout successful hota hai tou downward pressure barh sakta hai, jabke agar ye level tootne mein nakaam hota hai tou ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke strong buyers ab bhi is level ko defend karne ko tayyar hain. Linear regression channel ka rukh north ki taraf hai. H1 channel ab bullish trend ko determine kar raha hai. Neeche ke waqt mein corrective movement channel ke lower edge tak hai jo ke 193.454 par hai. Yahan ke qareeb strong buyer ki positions located hain. Jab price 193.454 tak jaye gi, tou bulls apni activity dikhana shuru karenge, jo ke unki maujoodgi ko zahir karegi. Agar market channel ke lower part par react nahi karta tou iska matlab hoga ke buyer weak hai. Is surat mein market ka downward movement barqarar rehne ke imkanaat zyada hain. Mazeed consolidation lower part ke neeche ho sakti hai. Aise bearish actions se H1 channel ka rukh neeche ho jaye ga aur trend mein unke haq mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Bulls, jo apni positions aur stops ko 193.454 ke neeche protect kar rahe hain, market ko upwards dhakelne ki koshish karenge taake apne target ko haasil kar sake.

Asian session mein sellers ka zor zyada tha. Market jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi ke liye daily Stochastic buyers ki strength zahir kar raha hai, jo price ko bullish trend mein rehne ka mauqa deta

JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.” Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected

**GBP/JPY H4 Trading Chart Analysis in Roman Urdu:**

Is hafte GBP/JPY pair ne moderate volatility dikhayi hai, jahan prices 50-day moving average aur pivot point 193.36 ke aas paas fluctuate karte rahe hain. Halanki price barh raha hai, lekin ab tak pehle ke high 195.94 ko touch nahi kar saka. Ongoing bullish trend ke madde nazar, umeed hai ke price resistance level 197.17 tak rally kare ga, kyun ke price support level 191.22 se neeche nahi gir saka. Magar agar price recent high 195.59 ko cross karne mein nakam hota hai, toh price neeche girne ka imkaan hai.

Jab se price 193.45 ke high tak pohcha hai, price pattern mein tabdili aayi hai. Ab higher low ka pattern ban raha hai, jab price 200-day moving average ya 189.54 ke low tak correct hua. Agar bullish trend ko barqarar rakhna hai, toh price ko pehle ke high 195.94 se upar ek higher high banana ho ga, jo ke resistance level 197 tak pohch sakta hai. Is dauran, Japanese Yen ki value mein izafa ho raha hai, jo price ko support level S2, yani 187.41 tak dhakel raha hai. Yeh ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ka sabab ban raha hai. Ab price 189.54 ke invalidation level se neeche gir chuka hai.

**Stochastic Indicator** ka signal yeh suggest karta hai ke price neeche ki taraf move karta rahega, kyun ke parameters overbought zone (90-80 level) tak pohchne se pehle cross kar gaye hain. Halan ke yeh optimal saturation point tak nahi pohcha, lekin parameters ke cross hone ka matlab yeh hai ke GBP/JPY pair ke price mein izafa ruk gaya hai. Magar, **Awesome Oscillator (AO) Indicator** ko dekhte hue koi clear signal nahi mil raha ke uptrend momentum barqarar hai. AO ka histogram zero level se upar (positive area) hai, lekin volume expansion ke kami ki wajah se yeh imkaan hai ke price negative area mein move kar sakta hai.

**Bullish trend direction** aur higher high - higher low price pattern structure ko dekhte hue recommended trading strategy yeh hai ke EMA 50 ya pivot point 193.36 ke aas paas re-entry BUY position set karein. Asset is waqt heavily traded region mein hai, jahan levels 20 aur 10 ke darmiyan hain. Awesome Oscillator ka histogram neutral line ke upar hai, jo ke positive momentum ko zahir karta hai, aur trading volume mein bhi izafa dekha gaya hai. Profit-taking ke liye target price resistance level 197.17 hai, jab ke stop-loss order support level 191.22 ke aas paas lagana chahiye, jo ke 200-day moving average ke nazdeek hai.

Is analysis ke madde nazar, trading karte waqt market ke har signal ko dekhte hue, buy or sell decisions ko samajh kar lein.

**GBP/JPY H4 Trading Chart Analysis**:

GBP/JPY pair ne is haftay mein moderate volatility dikhayi hai, jahan prices ne 50-day moving average aur pivot point 193.36 ke aas paas fluctuation ki. Halankeh price upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, magar yeh ab tak pichlay high 195.94 ko touch nahi kar saka. Bullish trend ke madde nazar, umeed hai ke price resistance level 197.17 ki taraf rally karega, kyun ke yeh ab tak 191.22 ke support level se neeche nahi gir saka. Magar agar price recent high 195.59 ko paar karne mein nakam hota hai, to price mein decline ka imkaan barh sakta hai.

Price pattern mein tabdeeli dekhi gayi hai jab se price 193.45 ke high ko choo kar wapas correct ho kar 200-day moving average ya 189.54 ke low tak gaya. Agar bullish trend ko barqarar rakhna hai, to price ko ek higher high banana hoga pichlay high 195.94 se upar, aur yeh resistance level 197 tak bhi pohonch sakta hai. Japan ki currency yen mazboot ho rahi hai, jo price ko neeche push kar raha hai support level (S2) 187.41 ki taraf. Yeh low price aur lower high price pattern structure ka indication hai, jo price ke neeche girne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ab price invalidation level 189.54 se neeche gir gaya hai.

**Technical Indicators**:

- **Stochastic Indicator**: Stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke price ka downward movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, kyun ke parameters cross ho gaye hain overbought zone 90-80 level tak pohonchne se pehle. Halankeh saturation point ko nahi chooa, magar parameters ka cross hona yeh batata hai ke GBP/JPY pair ki price ka increase ruk gaya hai.

- **Awesome Oscillator (AO) Indicator**: AO indicator ek clear signal nahi de raha uptrend momentum ka, halankeh histogram 0 level (positive area) ke upar hai. Magar volume expansion ke na hone ki wajah se, yeh price ko negative area mein shift hone ka imkaan paish karta hai.

**Trading Strategy**:

Bullish trend direction aur higher high - higher low price pattern structure ko dekhte hue, recommended trading strategy yeh hai ke ek re-entry **BUY** position place ki jaye EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 193.36 ke aas paas. Asset ab ek heavily traded region mein enter ho chuka hai, levels 20 aur 10 ke beech. Awesome Oscillator indicator ka histogram abhi tak neutral line ke upar hai, jo positive momentum ka ishara hai, aur trading volume bhi barh gaya hai. Is liye, jo traders hai, unhe yeh mauqa dekhna chahiye ke GBP/JPY pair mazid bullish direction mein jaaye.

- **Target Price for Profit-Taking**: Resistance level 197.17 pe target price rakha gaya hai, jahan price rally kar sakti hai agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai.

- **Stop-Loss Order**: Yeh support level 191.22 ke paas place kiya gaya hai, jo 200-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Agar price is support level se neeche girta hai, to yeh downtrend ko confirm karega, aur is case mein loss control ke liye stop-loss ka istemal zaroori hoga.

In conclusion, GBP/JPY pair ek bullish phase mein hai, lekin kuch bearish signs bhi nazar aa rahe hain jo market ke uncertain hone ka ishara karte hain. Traders ko pivot point aur support-resistance levels par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, aur momentum indicators ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye taake trading decisions ko mazeed behtar banaya ja sake.

**GBP/JPY M30 Time Frame Chart Analysis:**

GBP/JPY currency pair ka M30 chart dekhne par, lagta hai ke price upar ki taraf jaari rahegi. Kal hum ne daily support level 184.90 par pahuncha tha aur wahan se momentum ke sath upar chale gaye. Jab price barh raha tha, to ek mushkil level jo do daily resistances 187.36 par tha, tod diya gaya aur price iske upar mazid mazbooti hasil kar sakti hai, jisse resistance support mein tabdeel ho gaya. Is level ko todne ke baad, price iski taraf test karte hue consolidation mein chali gayi. Ye bas level ko hit karti hai aur bounce karti hai, jab ke positions accumulate ho rahi hain aur buy karne ke liye tayaar hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke neeche wala level ab buy karne ke liye achi situation hai, jahan candle tails ke peeche chhoti si stop lagakar targets 190.00 par rakha ja sakta hai. Is mark par daily resistance hai aur daily moving average bhi yahin khatam hoti hai. Wahan se mujhe neeche ki taraf wapas aane ki umeed hai.

GBP/JPY pair abhi ek downward trend par hai, kyunki ye recently ek flattening price range se bahar nikla hai aur 208 level se 20 figures se zyada gir chuka hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke hum ek aur girawat dekh sakte hain, khaaskar jab ke 187.32 level do dafa defend kiya gaya hai, aur hum 195.94 area ke aas-paas wapas aane ki sambhavna dekh sakte hain. Ye movement sirf ek strong resistance ko test nahi karega, balki Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke lower border ke paas bhi pahunchega. Agar rebound hota hai, to main 187 level ya isse neeche ke paas GBP ko dobara bechne ki koshish karunga. Agar 195.94 level tod diya gaya, to price Ichimoku Cloud mein chali jayegi aur 199.02 par upper border ko test kar sakti hai. Agar price 199.02 ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to upward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko strong buying zone mein le aayega, jahan 208 figure ko dobara test karne ki sambhavna hai.

H4 timeframe par CCI indicator ye darshata hai ke pair neutral position mein hai, kyunki indicator line abhi bhi selling zone mein hai lekin horizontal move kar rahi hai. Is wajah se, mujhe umeed hai ke chart par oversold condition door ki jayegi, jo potential rollback ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Lekin abhi tak koi buy signal nahi mila hai, isliye main ek strong rebound aur bullish absorption ka intezar karunga. Price ne channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) ko tod diya, highest point se rebound kiya, aur ab middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aa raha hai. Diye gaye maloomat ke mutabiq, main ye conclude karta hoon ke currency pair bechna munafa dila sakta hai. RSI oscillator ne bhi sell signal confirm kiya hai, kyunki iski curve neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai.

GBP/JPY ke pair ne is haftay modrate volatility dikhayi hai, jahan prices 50-day moving average ke aas-paas fluctuate karte rahe hain aur pivot point 193.36 par hai. Halankeh price barh raha hai, lekin yeh ab tak pichle high 195.94 ko nahi chhoo saka. Chalti hui bullish trend ke madde nazar, umeed hai ke price 197.17 ke resistance level tak rally karega, kyonke yeh 191.22 ke support level ke neeche nahi gir saka. Lekin agar price recent high 195.59 ko cross nahi kar sakta, toh yeh neeche aana shuru kar sakta hai.

Price ka pattern tabdeeli ka shikar hua hai jab price 193.45 ka high chhoo kar correction ke baad 200-day moving average yaani 189.54 ke low tak pohanch gaya. Agar bullish trend ko barqarar rakhna hai, toh price ko pichle high 195.94 se upar jaake ek higher high banani hogi, jo ke 197 ke resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Waqt ke sath Japanese Yen ki qeemat mein mazid izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo ke price ko support level (S2) 187.41 tak le ja raha hai. Is se lower low aur lower high ka price pattern ban raha hai. Ab price 189.54 ke invalidation level se neeche gir chuka hai.

Stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke price aage jaake downward move karega, kyunke parameters ne overbought zone 90-80 par pohanchne se pehle cross kiya. Bhalay hi yeh optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanchi, lekin parameters ka cross hona yeh indicate karta hai ke GBP/JPY ke pair ke price ka izafa ruk gaya hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend ke liye koi wazeh signal nahi diya hai, kyunke histogram ab tak 0 level (positive area) ke upar hai, lekin volume ke expansion ki kami yeh darshati hai ke negative area mein move hone ka imkaan hai.

Bullish trend direction aur higher high - higher low price pattern ko dekhte hue, trading strategy yeh recommend karti hai ke EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 193.36 ke qareeb re-entry buy position li jaye. Asset ne ek heavily traded region mein dakhil ho chuki hai jo 20 aur 10 ke levels ke darmiyan hai. Awesome Oscillator indicator ka histogram neutral line ke upar hai, jo ke positive momentum ko zahir karta hai, aur trading volume mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Profit-taking ke liye target price resistance level 197.17 rakha gaya hai, jabke stop-loss order support level 191.22 par lagaya gaya hai jo ke 200-day moving average ke qareeb hai.

kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh
kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh

matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara

ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko thoda surprise diya, jab yeh tezi se neeche gaya aur 188.43 ke level ke neeche break kiya, jab ke koi bhi fundamental factor Japanese currency ke strong hone ka ishara nahi de raha tha. Asal mein, is stage par daily chart par koi reversal ke signs nahi hain aur quotes neeche gir kar support level 183.09 tak ja sakti hain. Monday ko Japan ka GDP data release hoga, jo currency market mein Asian region ka balance badal sakta hai. Is background ke hawale se, yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke ek alternative scenario bhi ho sakta hai. Agar quotes dobara 188.43 ke level ke upar chalay jati hain, to phir hamein apna strategy badalni hogi aur price ko resistance level 192.18 tak le jane ke liye buy karna padega. Pichlay haftay ka candlestick sirf bara bearish nahi tha, balkay trading range 700 points se zyada thi aur ye movement mostly southern direction mein tha. Closing price 186.84 thi aur local minimum 186.48 par dikhayi di, jo ek bohat strong zone ka test tha. Yeh level kabhi itna low nahi band hua bohat arsay se. Aisa lagta hai ke mood aur trend ab bhi neeche girne ka hai, lekin mujhe personally abhi sell karne ka bilkul shauq nahi hai. Lekin buy karna bhi thoda risky lagta hai, kyun ke GBP/JPY shayad 181 ka deep test karna chah raha ho. Main koi sales plan nahi kar raha hoon, sirf purchases karunga, wo bhi modest volumes mein. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche ja kar 187.09 ka daily support tor deti hai, to kamzori ka silsila EMA 633 daily tak jari rahega. Agar yeh fail ho jata hai, to EMA 12 qareebi target ho sakta hai. EMA 200 daily downtrend ka ishara karta hai jab ke EMA 12 aur EMA 36 negatively price flow ka direction dikhate hain. Daily stochastic level 20 tak pohanch gaya hai, lekin kamzori ka chance abhi bhi bara hai. Iss haftay ki price movement mein bearish trend dominant hai, is liye sell ka option ab bhi worth considering hai.