جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne 52.7 ka score record kiya, jo market ke 52.2 ke expectations se zyada tha. Yeh panchwin musalsal mah growth ka signal tha aur May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez expansion rate ko zahir karta hai.

Is mahine ka aik aham highlight housing projects ka wapas aana tha. Commercial activities mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, aur civil engineering sector ne aik saal aur aadhe ke arsay ke baad apni sabse zyada growth dekhi. Construction activities aur naye orders mein mazeed tausee hui, jo purchasing aur employment activities ko barhawa dene mein madadgar sabit hua. Yeh teesra musalsal mah tha jab is sector mein employment barh rahi thi.

Supply chains par daal gayi kafi pressure ki wajah se input costs mein tez izafa dekhne ko mila, lekin bawajood is ke, sector ki performance mazboot rahi. Aane wale mahino mein growth ke liye ek positive outlook hai, jo sector ke liye achi khabar hai.
### Financial Overview: Bond Yields aur Market Reactions

Agar financial perspective se dekha jaye, toh British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa hua, jo ke pehle chhe mah ke lowest level tak gir gayi thi. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury notes ki yield 3.74% se barh ke 3.9% tak pohanch gayi. Is izafay ke peeche ke primary drivers U.S. services sector ka rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments the, jo ke market losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit huye.
### Currency Market Dynamics: GBP/JPY Trading Insights

Currency market mein traders GBP/JPY pair mein selling opportunities ko identify kar rahe hain. Agar 199.50 ka level breach hota hai, toh short-term bearish outlook invalid ho sakta hai, aur downside target 194.00 ho sakta hai. Ek effective trading strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke aap apni position ka aadha hissa 194.76 par close kar ke profits secure kar len, jab ke baqi position ko khula rakhain taake aage kisi mazeed downturn ka faida uthaya ja sake.
### Sharing Forex Trading Strategies

Meri forex trading mein das saal ki tajurba kaafi valuable raha hai, aur main pichle do saalon mein jo important strategies discover ki hain, wo sab ke saath share karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Main apna technical analysis is forum par pesh karne ka plan kar raha hoon aur har kisi se suggestions ya improvements ka bhi khush aamdeed hoon. Yeh collaborative approach humein sab ko faida pohanchayegi aur hamari forex trading ko naye makaam tak le jayegi.

Hum sab milkar, apni knowledge aur strategies ko share karke, apne trading practices ko mazeed behtar kar sakte hain aur forex market mein zyada success hasil kar sakte hain.

dosto, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD ne Thursday ko European trading hours mein apni girawat ko 1.3100 tak extend kiya. Yeh pair BoE ke governor Andrew Bailey ke sakht comments ke baad neeche aaya, jinhon ne kaha ke agar inflation kum hota hai to central bank rate cuts mein "zyada active" ho sakta hai. Middle East ke concerns ki wajah se risk aversion bhi is pair par asar daal raha hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne subah 20 ke neeche girawat dekhi, jo GBP/USD ke liye oversold conditions ko darshata hai. Agar yeh pair kisi technical correction ki taraf jata hai, to pehla resistance 1.3175 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) hoga, jo ke 1.3200 tak ja sakta hai, jahan 200-period simple moving average hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3100 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) agla support hai, jo ke 1.3050 aur 1.3000 ke static levels se pehle hai. GBP/USD par bohot zyada bearish pressure tha aur yeh Thursday ki subah 1.3100 ke aas-paas gaya. Yeh teen hafton mein iska sabse kam level hai. Aane wale waqt mein technical analysis oversold conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, lekin pair ko decisive correction karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

US dollar ne apni taqat ko barkarar rakha aur Wednesday ko GBP/USD ko peeche rakha jab Automatic Data Processing ke zariye private sector employment ka data aaya, jo 143,000 tha, jo ke market ki expectations 120,000 se zyada hai. Guardian newspaper ke saath interview mein, Bank of England ke governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke agar inflation ke baare mein achhi khabrein aati hain to wo rate cuts mein thoda zyada proactive ho sakte hain. In comments ne Thursday ki subah pound sterling mein sell-off ka sabab bana.

GBP ki kamzori ko darshate hue, EUR/GBP pair din bhar mein 1% se zyada barh gaya. Baad mein, US economic calendar par weekly initial jobless claims aur September ISM services PMI data release hoga. Markets ko umeed hai ke pehli baar jobless benefits ke liye claims 220,000 tak pahunch sakte hain, jo pichle hafte ke 218,000 se thoda zyada hai. Agar yeh figure 200,000 ya isse neeche aata hai to USD ko support milega aur pair par aur pressure aayega. Agar ISM ka headline unexpected taur par 50 se neeche aata hai, to yeh bhi market par asar daal sakta hai.

Agar GBP/JPY trading ke doran aaj sellers ki taqat zyada nazar aati hai, to yeh selling position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Sellers ke paas yeh chance hai ke woh market ko bullish se bearish trend mein shift kar sakein aur price ko support defense area tak le aayein, jo MA100 indicator ke neeche hota hai. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek ahem target ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ki aur bhi confirmation de ga.Ab tak GBP/JPY ki movement technical analysis ke mutabiq abhi bhi 100 ke price tak wapas jane ki koshish kar raha hai. H1 timeframe par GBP/JPY ki movement mein ek bullish engulfing candle bani hai, jo ke BUY ka bohot strong signal hai, aur future mein 100 ke level tak wapas ja sakta hai. Lekin hamein downward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna hoga, kyun ke RSI 14 indicator bhi downward signal de raha hai.GBP/JPY pair ki movement ko samajhne ke liye in tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, central bank ki policies, technical analysis, aur geopolitical events mil kar is currency pair ki direction tay karte hain. In elements par focus karke traders apni strategies ko better kar sakte hain aur zyada profitable trading outcomes hasil kar sakte hain.GBP/JPY kaafi dafa mukhtalif economic indicators se mutasir hota hai. Misal ke taur par, Australia ki economy zyada commodities, khaaskar iron ore aur gold, par mabni hai. Jab commodity prices barhti hain, to AUD ki value bhi barhti hai. Iske baraks, Japan ki economy consumer spending aur manufacturing output jaise indicators se shape hoti hai, jo JPY ki value ko directly impact karte hain. Agar Japan se positive economic data aaye, to JPY ki value barh sakti hai, jo GBP/JPY ke exchange rate ko neeche le aasakti hai.

GBP/JPY pair ka rukh bar-bar badalta raha hai, jo ek broad range mein trade karta raha hai aur traders ko upar aur neeche dono taraf ki movements ko capture karne ka mauqa diya.
Bullish phases ke doran, pair ne 185.00 tak ka upar ka rukh kiya, jo ke British Pound ki taqat aur positive economic data aur Bank of England ki taraf se mazeed tightening ki aashaon ki wajah se tha. Saath hi, Japanese Yen ki kamzori, jo Bank of Japan ki continued accommodative monetary policy ke asar mein thi, ne bhi bullish momentum ko barhawa diya. Lekin, in bullish advances ko bar-bar sharp bearish corrections ne roka hai. Bearish phases aksar global risk-off sentiment ke wajah se triggered hote hain, jab investors geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke concerns ke chalte safer assets jaise Japanese Yen ki taraf rujhan karte hain. Yeh corrections pair ko 182.00-183.00 ke ilake ki taraf khinch leti hain, jahan isne support hasil kiya aur phir se upar ki taraf jana shuru kiya.
GBP/JPY ka baar baar 200-day moving average ke upar support na dhoondh paana yeh dikhata hai ke aagay barhni ke liye mazid strong buying ki zarurat hai. Pichlay 10 din mein GBP/JPY pair ne ek strong bullish rally dekhi, jo ke 195.95 ka fresh two-month high tha, aur 183.70 support level se achi recovery dekhi gayi thi. Market ne 200-day SMA aur 195.00 full level ke upar break kar lia, jo ke upward correction ke liye rasta bana raha tha. Technically, Stochastic ab bhi overbought zone mein tha, jabke RSI 70 level ke upar break karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Agar bulls ne tezi dikhai, toh pair 199.40 aur 201.60 jese aglay resistance levels ko challenge kar sakta hai.
GBP/USD ka overall rukh bullish hai, kyunki jorha 2023 ke doran apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakha hai. Lekin, yeh naye saal ke unchaai ko toor karne mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai, jo shayad Fed ke ikdamat ke baad bazar ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Is waqt, Relative Strength Index (RSI) kharidaron ke liye support dikhata hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke jorha ek rebound dekh sakta hai. Doosri taraf, haal ki price action yeh ishaara kar rahi hai ke traders BoE ke rate faislay se pehle profits book kar rahe hain, jo short-term mein neeche ki taraf pressure ka sabab ban raha hai.

day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do

day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”
Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”
Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par
GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye BUY ke options dhoondhein. Aam tor par main M30 ya M15 jaise short timeframes par patterns dekhta hoon taake entry ka mouqa mil sake. Lekin aaj raat main plan kar raha hoon ke main position 191.04 ke aas paas open karoon, kyun ke H4 Stochastic momentum indicator abhi bhi kaafi strong direction dikhata hai. Agar buying zone milta hai to main resistance area ko 193.49 ke aas paas consider karoonga. Take-profit ke liye main support level 188.64 ko use karoon ga. Agar kisi dost ko meri analysis samajhne mein koi masla ho raha hai, to main aik tasveer bhi neechay attach kar raha hoon jo aapke liye reference ke tor par kaam karegi. Umeed hai

Aaj subah GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai.

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sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”
Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”
Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par
GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye BUY ke options dhoondhein. Aam tor par main M30 ya M15 jaise short timeframes par patterns dekhta hoon taake entry ka mouqa mil sake. Lekin aaj raat main plan kar raha hoon ke main position 191.04 ke aas paas open karoon, kyun ke H4 Stochastic momentum indicator abhi bhi kaafi strong direction

/JPY pair ne ek short-lived rally experience ki, jisme yeh one-week high tak pohanchi, lekin phir selling pressure ka shikar hui aur retreat kar gayi. Is decline ke peeche kai factors thay, jin mein ek weak British Pound bhi shamil tha, jo UK President Andrew Bailey ke comments ki wajah se kamzor hua, aur ek stronger Japanese Yen, jo geopolitical risks aur Bank of Japan ke officials ke dovish statements ki wajah se mazid mazboot hua. In headwinds ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ko support milta raha hai, kyun ke Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke hawale se uncertainty barqarar hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation ko overcome karne ki ahmiyat par zor diya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke nazdeek future mein interest rates ko significantly raise nahi kiya jaye ga. Saath hi, Bank of England ke chief economist Houpier ke comments, jo higher interest rates ka ishara dete hain, ne British Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Technical Perspective se dekha jaye to, GBP/JPY pair ne ek strong uptrend form kiya hai, aur 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 195.00 level ke upar break kiya hai. Stochastic indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke qareeb hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term pullback ka potential hai. Agar GBP/JPY pair apni upward momentum ko maintain kar sake, to yeh agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Magar, given ke overbought conditions hain aur short-term correction ka chance bhi hai, bullish traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Agar pair neeche girta hai to yeh 200-day SMA ke qareeb 192.70 tak aa sakta hai, jo ke 50- aur 20-day SMAs, yani 190.60 aur 189.35 ke aage hai, agar yeh immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girta hai. Kul mila ke, GBP/JPY ke performance ki buniyad par short term mein ek upward retracement ki umeed hai, khaaskar agar price 200.00 round figure ke upar rise karti hai

Main aaj apna trading ka tajurba aap logon ke saath share karna chahta hoon. Pehle to main apne chart par ek indicator lagata hoon jo ke Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ko dikhata hai. Iska fayda yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko filter karke clear signal deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka ek khaas tareeqa hota hai jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main is decline ko miss kar dunga

mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resistance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni

strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders

strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur

192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad