جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

JPY pair ne Friday ki Asian session mein pullback experience kiya, jisse pichlay do trading dinon ke gains reverse ho gaye. Pair lagbhag 190.90 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo bullish momentum mein kamzori ki nishani hai. Technical analysis se mixed outlook ka pata chalta hai. Halanki MACD indicator short-term bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai, magar overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line abhi bhi zero line ke neeche hai. 14-day RSI bhi 50 ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 191.63 par ek immediate resistance level hai. Agar price is level se upar break kare to bullish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur pair ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, 195.50 ke aas paas pohonch sakta hai. Lekin agar channel break ho gaya to bearish reversal ke asar hain, jo pair ko 7-mahine ke low, 180.09 tak le ja sakta hai. Pichlay kuch mahino mein GBP/JPY pair ne kaafi volatility dekhi hai, 16-saal ke high se August mein 180.07 ke low tak sharp sell-off hua. Jab ke pair ab recover kar chuka hai, iska advance 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Mazeed declines ko 188.22 aur 185.22 ke near-term support levels par roka ja sakta hai, aur phir shayad 8-mahine ke low tak girawat aa jaye. Upar ki taraf, agar pair recent rejection zone, 192.01, jo 200-day moving average se coincide karta hai, ko cross kar leta hai, to March ke high, 193.52, tak rasta khul sakta hai. Taake bullish trend barqarar rahe, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support, 197.18, ko target karna hoga. Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY pair ab uncertainty ke dor se guzar raha hai, jahan mixed technical signals aur economic factors iski direction ko asar kar rahe hain. Investors ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni chahiye taake behtareen trading decisions le sakein. Filhal, jo cheez dekhne ki zaroorat hai wo yeh hai ke market mein ek significant bearish reversal ka possibility hai, jaise pichle hafte ke akhir mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke kya price phir se neeche jayega ya candlestick uptrend ko barqarar rakhega jo abhi upward reversal dikha raha hai. Agar candlestick ki position dekhi jaye, jo abhi bhi consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, to isse yeh pata chalta hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai

haftay ke akhri market mein GBP/JPY ka bullish movement ne horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ko break kar diya, jo ke ek trend reversal ka indication tha. Bullish power ne GBP/JPY pair mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake.
Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein thay, ne sterling ki position ko mazid mazbooti di.

/JPY pair ne pichle do dinon mein jo rebound kiya tha, wo Wednesday ke Asian session ke doran nayi supply ke samnay mushkil mein aagaya aur spot prices wapis 186.00 ke qareeb agaye. Japanese yen ke aas-paas naye kharidari ke bawajood downside seemit lagta hai, kyunke UK ke consumer inflation data ka intezar hai. UK CPI ki forecast hai ke August mein 0.3% ka izafa hoga, jabke pichle mahine mein 0.2% ka kami dekhi gayi thi. Annual rate ka intezar hai ke 2.2% par barqarar rahega. Dusri taraf, core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.

BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke qareeb kyun na ho. Agar price neeche girti hai tou August ke low 183.00 ka retest ho sakta hai

**GBP/JPY OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:**

GBP/JPY H4 timeframe chart par, currency pair ne pichlay chand dino mein ek mazboot aur musalsal upward trend dikhaya hai, jo market mein clear bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Price action steadily ooper ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo pound ki yen ke muqable mein taqat ko dikhata hai, jo ke positive market sentiment aur British pound ke liye favorable conditions se driven hai. Iss waqt pair 194.75 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke pound abhi bhi yen se outperform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement higher highs aur higher lows ke silsile se support ho rahi hai, jo ke bullish trend ko mazid confirm karta hai. Un traders ke liye jo is momentum ko follow karte rahe, unhein shayad achi profitable opportunities mil rahi hongi, kyunke recent sessions mein kisi major reversal ka sign nazar nahi aaya.

Mazid, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages bhi iss bullish outlook ko support kar rahe hain, kyunke price key support levels ke kaafi upar hai. Jis tarah se pair ooper ja raha hai, agla key resistance level 195.50 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jahan sellers market mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

**GBP/JPY H1 Timeframe Analysis:**

Agar hum Buy position lene ka sochte hain, to stop loss aur take profit levels ko ehtiyaat se plan karna zaroori hai. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, main suggest karunga ke stop loss ko 193.80 ke support area ke qareeb rakha jaye. Yeh support zone pehle bhi mazbooti dikhata raha hai, isliye agar price is ke niche chali jaye to trade se exit karna logical hoga, kyunke yeh momentum shift ka ishara de sakta hai. Take profit ke liye, mein recommend karunga ke isay 195.50 ke resistance area ke qareeb set kiya jaye. Yeh resistance zone pehle upward movement mein rukawat bana tha, aur agar price is level tak pohnch jaye to profit lock karna reasonable hoga.

In support aur resistance levels ko strategically use karke, hum risk ko manage karte hue GBP/JPY pair mein potential gains ko maximize kar sakte hain. Yeh approach trade setup mein ek balanced risk-reward ratio ko ensure karti hai.

**GBP/JPY Pair Analysis**

GBP/JPY pair ne aik short-lived rally dekhi, jisme ek haftay ka high touch kiya, lekin phir selling pressure ka samna karke wapas retreat kar gaya. Is decline ke peeche kuch factors hain, jinmein British Pound ki weakness bhi shaamil hai, jo ke UK President Andrew Bailey ke comments ke baad aayi. Sath hi, Japanese Yen ko geopolitical risks aur Bank of Japan ke dovish statements ki wajah se boost mila. In headwinds ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ko support mil raha hai Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke uncertainty ki wajah se. Japan ke naya Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister dono ne deflation se nikalne ki importance pe zor diya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke kareebi waqt mein interest rates significantly increase nahi hongay. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ke chief economist Houpier ke comments, jo ke higher interest rates ke potential ko indicate karte hain, ne British Pound ko thoda support diya hai.

**Technical Perspective**

Agar technical perspective dekha jaye to, GBP/JPY pair ne aik strong uptrend banaya hai, jisme 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 195.00 level ke upar break kiya hai. Stochastic indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level ke qareeb hai, jo short-term pullback ka potential suggest karta hai. Agar GBP/JPY pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai, to yeh agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Magar, overbought conditions aur short-term correction ke potential ke madde nazar, bullish traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Agar pair immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh 200-day SMA 192.70 tak move kar sakta hai, jo 50- aur 20-day SMAs ke aagay 190.60 aur 189.35 hain. Summing up, short-term mein GBP/JPY ki performance ke basis pe thodi hope hai ke upward retracement ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar price 200.00 round figure se upar jata hai.

, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resistance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni

**GBP/JPY Outlook Analysis:**

GBP/JPY H4 time frame chart par, currency pair ne pichle kuch dinon mein ek mazboot aur musalsal upar ki taraf trend dikhaya hai, jo market mein wazeh bullish momentum ki nishani hai. Price action steadily upar ki taraf badh rahi hai, jo pound ki yen ke muqablay mein taqat ko darshata hai, jo positive market sentiment aur British pound ke liye favorable conditions se chalay aa raha hai. Filhal, pair 194.75 ke level par trade kar raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pound yen ko outperform kar raha hai. Upar ki taraf movement ko higher highs aur higher lows ke silsile ne support kiya hai, jo bullish trend ko mazeed confirm karta hai. Traders jinhon ne is momentum ko follow kiya hoga unhein munafa milne ke mauqe mile hain, kyunki pair ne recent sessions mein kisi bhi bade reversal ke asar nahi dikhaye hain. Iske ilawa, technical indicators jaise moving averages bhi is bullish outlook ko support karte hain, kyunki price key support levels ke kaafi upar hai. Jaise jaise pair upar ki taraf badh raha hai, agla key resistance level dekhne ke liye 195.50 ke aas paas hoga, jahan sellers shayad entry lene ki koshish karein.

GBP/JPY H1 time frame chart par, agar hum Buy position lene ka faisla karein, to stop loss aur take profit levels ko dhyan se plan karna zaroori hai. Potential losses ko limit karne aur risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, mein recommend karunga ke stop loss 193.80 ke price level par support area ke aas paas rakhein. Yeh support zone pehle bhi taqat dikhata raha hai, isliye yeh ek logical point hai trade se exit karne ka agar price iske neeche girti hai, jo momentum mein potential shift ko signal dega. Take profit target ke liye, mein suggest karunga ke ise 195.50 ke resistance area ke aas paas set karein. Yeh resistance zone pehle upward movement ke liye ek barrier ke tor par kaam kiya hai, aur yeh ek achha point hai munafa lock karne ka agar price is level tak pohanchti hai. In support aur resistance levels ko strategically istemal karke, hum risk ko manage kar sakte hain jabke GBP/JPY pair mein potential gains ko maximize kar sakte hain. Yeh approach is trade setup mein ek balanced risk-reward ratio ko ensure karta hai.

/JPY pair ne Friday ki Asian session mein pullback experience kiya, jisse pichlay do trading dinon ke gains reverse ho gaye. Pair lagbhag 190.90 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo bullish momentum mein kamzori ki nishani hai. Technical analysis se mixed outlook ka pata chalta hai. Halanki MACD indicator short-term bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai, magar overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line abhi bhi zero line ke neeche hai. 14-day RSI bhi 50 ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 191.63 par ek immediate resistance



level hai. Agar price is level se upar break kare to bullish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur pair ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, 195.50 ke aas paas pohonch sakta hai. Lekin agar channel break ho gaya to bearish reversal ke asar hain, jo pair ko 7-mahine ke low, 180.09 tak le ja sakta hai. Pichlay kuch mahino mein GBP/JPY pair ne kaafi volatility dekhi hai, 16-saal ke high se August mein 180.07 ke low tak sharp sell-off hua. Jab ke pair ab recover kar chuka hai, iska advance 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Mazeed declines ko 188.22 aur 185.22 ke near-term support levels par roka ja sakta hai, aur phir shayad 8-mahine ke low tak girawat aa jaye. Upar ki taraf, agar pair recent rejection zone, 192.01, jo 200-day moving average se coincide karta hai, ko cross kar leta hai, to March ke high, 193.52, tak rasta khul sakta hai. Taake bullish trend barqarar rahe, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support, 197.18, ko target karna hoga. Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY pair ab uncertainty ke dor se guzar raha hai, jahan mixed technical signals aur economic factors iski direction ko asar kar rahe hain. Investors ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni chahiye taake behtareen trading decisions le sakein. Filhal, jo cheez dekhne ki zaroorat hai wo yeh hai ke market mein ek significant bearish reversal ka possibility hai, jaise pichle hafte ke akhir mein dekha gaya

jab upper channels ki lines tak pohanchti hai, wahan se neechay murnay ke baad ek price peak banati hai, jiska Matlab tha ke keemat ne neechay sudharna shuru karna tha. Lekin keemat ko phir se support mila aur ab isne keemat channels ko upar ki taraf tor karne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, aur keemat ke liye qareebi resistance level 206.64 hai. Yeh level hai jahan se aap maujood level se dakhil ho sakte hain aur iske neechay maqsad tayyar kar sakte hain. Iqtasadi hawale se, Japan ke Forex currency markets mein intervention karne mein deri hone se yen ki nuqsan barh rahi hai. Agar kisi waqt expected Japanese intervention hota hai, to yeh currency pair ko bechne mein mazboot istiqrar la sakta hai. Bila kisi khatra ke bechnay ki policy abhi bhi behtareen hai. Monetary policy ke samne... Bank of England August mein interest rate mein kisi tarah ki kami nahi kar sakti agar inflation ke baray mein Canada aur Australia se warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ke baray mein nishanae samjhe, to Bank of England August mein interest rates ko kam nahi kar sakta hai. Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Is haftay Canada aur Australia se jari shuda figures ke mutabiq, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein May mein anjaane se inflation 0.6% mahine mein barh gaya, jo ke gegual expecte shuda miqdar se zyada tha. Australia mein maheenay ke CPI 3 mahinay se barabar 4.0% salana barh gaya hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Carry Trade: Yeh strategy yen ko kam interest rates par udhaar lena aur zyada munafa dene wale pound assets mein invest karna shamil hai. Lekin agar interest rate policies ya market sentiment mein achanak tabdeeliyan aa jaayein to yeh risky ho sakti hai. News Trading: UK aur Japan se aane wale economic news releases

karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se

mein, Friday ke trading ke dauran Asian session mein sellers ka zor zyada tha. Market jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se co

mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai. Price action musalsal upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resistance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jo mazeed movement par asar daal sakte

par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY pair ne ek short-lived rally experience ki, jisme yeh one-week high tak pohanchi, lekin phir selling pressure ka shikar hui aur retreat kar gayi. Is decline ke peeche kai factors thay, jin mein ek weak British Pound bhi shamil tha, jo UK President Andrew Bailey ke comments ki wajah se kamzor hua, aur ek stronger Japanese Yen, jo geopolitical risks aur Bank of Japan ke officials ke dovish statements ki wajah se mazid mazboot hua. In headwinds ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ko support milta raha hai, kyun ke Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke hawale se uncertainty barqarar hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation ko overcome karne ki ahmiyat par zor diya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke nazdeek future mein interest rates ko significantly raise nahi kiya jaye ga. Saath hi, Bank of England ke chief economist Houpier ke comments, jo higher interest rates ka ishara dete hain, ne British Pound ko kuch support diya hai.
Technical Perspective se dekha jaye to, GBP/JPY pair ne ek strong uptrend form kiya hai, aur 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 195.00 level ke upar break kiya hai. Stochastic indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke qareeb hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term pullback ka potential hai. Agar GBP/JPY pair apni upward momentum ko maintain kar sake, to yeh agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Magar, given ke overbought conditions hain aur short-term correction ka chance bhi hai, bullish traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Agar pair neeche girta hai to yeh 200-day SMA ke qareeb 192.70 tak aa sakta hai, jo ke 50- aur 20-day SMAs, yani 190.60 aur 189.35 ke aage hai, agar yeh immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girta hai. Kul mila ke, GBP/JPY ke performance ki buniyad par short term mein ek upward retracement ki umeed hai, khaaskar agar price 200.00 round figure ke upar rise karti hai.

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**GBP/JPY Market Outlook**

**Sab ko Good Morning!**

GBP/JPY ka bazaar ab sellers ke haq mein nazar aa raha hai, kyunki qeemat overbought zone tak pohanch gayi hai. Is se umeed hai ke qeemat wapas aaye gi aur baad mein support zone 194.75 ko cross kar sakti hai. Is waqt, trading strategies mein discipline aur flexibility ko barqarar rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Aane wale data releases ke jawab mein bazaar ka rawaya un logon ke liye bohot ahm mauqe faraham karega jo tayar hain.

**Bazaar Ka Rukh:**

Agar hum technical indicators aur fundamental developments par nazar rakhte hain, to hum bazaar ki complex nature ko behtar samajh sakte hain. Humein apne paas maujood tools ka istemal karte hue hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye, khaaskar jab hum is pivotal week ki taraf barh rahe hain. Is week mein kuch ahem economic indicators ka release bhi ho raha hai, jo GBP/JPY market par asar daal sakte hain.

Yeh jaan lena bhi zaroori hai ke doosre markets bhi GBP/JPY par asar dal sakte hain. Is week, UK GDP ka data release hone wala hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Pehle teen dinon mein, traders key economic indicators ke release ka intezar karte hain, is liye market ka rawaya sideways ya slow raha sakta hai.

**Pehle Teen Din:**

Is pehle phase mein, hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat ki movement limited hai, kyunki bohot se participants crucial data points ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh data baad mein week mein release hoga, aur jab yeh aayega, to market mein volatility bhi shamil ho sakti hai. Aam tor par, trading participants ke liye yeh waqt consolidation ka hota hai, jahan qeemat established ranges mein rah sakti hai.

**Aakhri Do Din:**

Lekin, jab last do din aate hain, to jab news events release hote hain, tab bazaar mein kaafi volatility dekhi ja sakti hai. Yeh mauqa un logon ke liye hoga jo in insights ko samajhne ke liye tayar hain. Jab ahem reports aati hain, to in par amal karne ka waqt hota hai, aur traders ke liye yeh naye mauqe faraham kar sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis:**

Aaj, bazaar technical analysis par amal karega, jo traders ko in khamosh periods se guzarne ke liye framework provide karega. Is waqt, humein yeh expect karna chahiye ke GBP/JPY ki qeemat support area 194.75 ko aane wale ghanton mein cross karegi. Yeh cross hona ek significant point hoga, jo aage chal kar trading dynamics ko badal sakta hai.

**Strategy aur Risk Management:**

Traders ko chahiye ke woh apne risk management strategies ko tayar rakhein. Jab market ka mood uncertain ho, to discipline aur patience bohot zaroori hote hain. Humein yeh samajhna hoga ke har market movement ke saath kya approach adopt karna hai, chahe woh upward ho ya downward.

Is waqt, humein apni analysis par bharosa rakhna hoga aur kisi bhi unforeseen market reaction se bachne ke liye tayar rehna hoga. Aane wale data releases ke liye tayyari karna aur un par dhyan dena zaroori hai, kyunki yeh changes market ke rawaye ko asar de sakte hain.

**Aakhir Mein:**

Is report ka maksad traders ko aane wale haalaat ke liye tayyar karna hai. Hum sab ko chahiye ke apni strategies ko behtar karain aur market ke trends ka gehra jaiza lein.

Umeed hai ke aap sab is mauqe ka behtareen faida uthane ke liye tayar hain. Sab ko duaon mein yaad rakhein aur apne trading decisions mein hamesha achhi soch aur strategy ko madde nazar rakhein.

**Khush rahiye aur mehfooz rahiye!**

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