جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

UK Construction Sector
Reaches Historic Highs

UK construction sector apni tareekhi bulandiyon par pohanch gaya hai, jaisa ke Standard & Poor's Global ke aakhri data se zahir hota hai. July 2024 ka Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 55.3 tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke market expectations 52.7 aur June ka figure 52.2 se kaafi zyada hai. Yeh izafa construction sector mein aik zabardast tosee ko darshata hai aur yeh pichlay paanch months se lagataar barh raha hai. July mein jo growth hui hai, yeh May 2022 ke baad se sab se zyada hai.

**July ki Performance se kuch ahem nuqaat:**

Is mahine ki performance ka aik khas pehlu housing projects ka doobara ubharna aur commercial activity mein izafa hai. Iske ilawa, civil engineering mein bhi aik saal aur cheh maheenon ka sab se bara izafa dekha gaya hai. Iss dauran, construction activity aur nai orders mein khaasi barhoti hui hai, jo purchasing activity aur rozgar mein barhoti ka sabab bani hai, aur yeh silsila pichlay teen mah se jari hai.

Construction sector mein barhti hui demand ne supply chains par bhi kaafi dabbao dala hai, jiski wajah se input costs mein tez izafa dekhne ko mila. Magar, sector ka overall performance mazboot raha hai, jo aglay maheenon mein growth ka positive outlook pesh karta hai.

**Financial Overview: Bond Yields aur Market Reactions:**

Financial side par, British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa hua hai, jo pichlay chay maheenon ke low se upar aya hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury notes ka yield 3.74% se barh kar taqreeban 3.9% tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh izafa U.S. services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve ke policymakers ke comments ki wajah se hai, jo pehlay market losses ko mitigate karne mein madadgar rahe hain.

**Currency Market Dynamics: GBP/JPY Trading:**

Currency market mein, traders GBP/JPY pair mein selling opportunities dekh rahe hain. Agar 199.50 level se neeche girawat hoti hai to aik short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai, aur downside target 194.00 ka ho sakta hai. Achi trading strategy yeh hai ke 194.76 par aadhi position close kar ke profits secure kar lein, jab ke mazid girawat ki gunjaish bhi chhor dein.

**Forex Trading Strategies ka Tabaadla:**

Main aik tajriba kaar forex trader hoon, jo das saal se ziada market mein kaam kar raha hai, aur pichlay do saal mein maine kuch key strategies discover ki hain jo main aap sab ke saath share karna chahta hoon. Main apna technical analysis is forum mein pesh karunga aur aap sab ke tajurbaat aur suggestions ki tehqiq karunga taake hum apni trading strategies ko behtari ki janib le ja sakein. Mil kar hum aik collaborative approach apna sakte hain apne analysis ko refine karne ke liye.

GBP/JPY ka jo trend hai, wo pichle hafte ke trend se mutabiqat nahi rakh raha. Candlestick ka rukh bullish taraf hai, lekin pichle hafte mein request conditions neeche ki taraf thi. Yeh sach hai ke price 183.74 area se neeche nahi gayi. Lekin buyers ki taraf se ab bhi koshishen ho rahi hain ke wo is izafa ko jaari rakhein, halanke dealers ki taraf se kuch attempts is izafe ko dabaane ki bhi hain. Agar aap Monday se lekar Saturday raat tak price movement ko dekhein, to bullish trend ki shart price ko steadily upward taraf le ja sakti hai.
Is hafte price 191.96 position tak barh gayi hai. Daily trading 184.78 se shuru hui aur aakhir mein daily bullish candlestick ke sath close hui. Is sab ke dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke request buyers ke control mein hai.
GbpJpy market ke potential ke hawalay se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke market abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, jaisa ke pichlay haftay dekha gaya tha. Buyers ke control mein lagta hai, jis se price mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Aaj bhi price mazeed upar jaane ka irada rakhta hai aur hum kuch zones ko plan kar sakte hain taake buy positions ko open kiya ja sake, jo ke trend movement pattern ke mutabiq buyer ke control mein lagta hai. Mera khayal hai ke price 192.83 ke zone ke qareeb ja sakta hai.
Aakhri raat price 191.67 par ruk gayi kyunki weekend ke liye request band ho gayi. Meri raaye yeh hai ke agle hafte buy position lena trading ka behtareen focus hoga, kyunki GBP/JPY request par buyers ka asar ab bhi kaafi dominant hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle bullish trip mein candlestick 192.47 ki price range ko test karne ke liye phir se upar ja sakti hai. Pichle dino ka bullish trip agle hafte bhi jaari rehne ki achi sambhavna rakhta hai. Shayed hafte ki shuruaat par candlestick thodi correction dikha sakti hai, jo Monday se Tuesday tak ho sakta hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke candlestick behtar bullish trend ki taraf move karegi jab hafte ka darmiyan aayega. Meri tawaqqo yeh hai ke price ab bhi upward movement ki taraf hai taake buyers ke target ki taraf barh sake. Agle hafte mujhe lagta hai ke price ke paas upar ki taraf jaane ki achi sambhavna hai aur wo 192.47 ki position ko test karna chahti hai.

day, aur sab forum members ko profitable trading ki dua deta hoon! Main aaj apna trading ka tajurba aap logon ke saath share karna chahta hoon. Pehle to main apne chart par ek indicator lagata hoon jo ke Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ko dikhata hai. Iska fayda yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko filter karke clear signal deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka ek khaas tareeqa hota hai jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga.
Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main is decline ko miss kar dunga. Aur phir rollback se main growing trend par wapas se purchases dekh raha hoon." Is tarah se aap apni strategy aur market analysis ko Roman Urdu mein likh sakte hain aur apne forum members ke saath share kar sakte

Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point

apna trading ka tajurba aap logon ke saath share karna chahta hoon. Pehle to main apne chart par ek indicator lagata hoon jo ke Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ko dikhata hai. Iska fayda yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko filter karke clear signal deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka ek khaas tareeqa hota hai jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga.
Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main is decline ko miss kar dunga. Aur phir rollback se main growing trend par wapas se purchases dekh raha hoon." Is tarah

bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar

GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke economic data releases aur technical analysis key factors honge dekhne ke liye.

Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum GBP/JPY pair ki price increase rally ko support kar raha hai, magar ek downward correction phase ki zarurat hai taake agla price movement aur barh sake.

Hafte ke aaghaz par, price action resistance level 191.01 ke qareeb tha, jahan H1 timeframe par EMA 633 bhi cross kar raha tha. Asian session ke dauran, price daily open aur 191.01 resistance level ke darmiyan ghoomta raha, lekin buyers is resistance ko torne mein nakam rahe. Yeh resistance H1 chart par EMA 200 ke saath mazid qarib tha. Jab buyers is level ko cross karne mein nakam hue, to price wapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Thodi dair ke liye yeh daily open aur EMA 633 (H1) ke neeche chala gaya, magar 189.30 ke qareeb support milne par wapis upar bounce kar gaya. Filhal, price dobara 191.01 resistance level ko retest kar raha hai. EMA 200 ke qareeb hone ke bawajood, trend abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. H1 timeframe par EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ka downward slope ek negative trend ko zahir kar raha hai, jo ke Friday se chala aa raha hai.

Friday ko ek extreme reversal dekhne ko mili jab price ne rally karne ki koshish ki, lekin 195.94 ke high tak pohanch kar kamzor ho gaya. Uske baad price ne tezi se girawat dekhi aur H1 timeframe par EMA 200 aur EMA 633 dono ko cross kar diya. Ye bearish momentum Monday ke trading session tak barqarar raha, jahan sellers ne market ko qaboo mein rakha. Abhi ke liye, price H1 chart par EMA 200 ke qareeb hai, jo ke trend mein uncertainty paida kar raha hai. Agar buyers is area ke aas-paas ek strong bullish candle bana lein, to yeh ek bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Friday ki significant weakness ne market par bara asar dala, jab price EMA 200 ko daily timeframe par cross karne ke baad 196.01 resistance level par reject ho gaya. Uske baad price ne 192.35 resistance aur daily level par EMA 200 ke neeche girawat dekhi. Us session ka high 195.94 aur low 189.98 tha. Jab tak price daily chart par EMA 200 ke neeche hai, trend abhi bhi bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 dono ne daily chart par EMA 200 ke neeche flat ho kar bearish outlook ko mazid barhawa diya hai.

Agar price last Friday ke low ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh confirm karega ke price daily level par EMA 200 ke neeche hi rehne wala hai, jo mazid girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai aur price ko daily support level 187.68 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar buyers 190.18 ke upar price ko qaim rakhne mein kamyab hote hain, to yeh EMA 200 tak wapis push karne ka ek chance ho sakta hai, jo ke 192.84 area ko test kar sakta hai aur bullish movement ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai.

Filhal, price daily level par EMA 200 ko test kar raha hai, aur buyers market par pressure daal rahe hain. Dekhna yeh hai ke kya unki koshishien kamyaab hoti hain, jo ke naye buying opportunities ko janam de sakti hain. Lekin daily stochastic downward ishara kar raha hai, jo ke current trend mein complexity daal raha hai.

GBP/JPY ka Outlook Analysis:

GBP/JPY ke D1 timeframe chart par recent price action mein kuch ahem developments dekhne ko mile hain. Aakhri chand dinon mein price movements ko dekh kar yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pair bearish trend mein trade kar raha hai, jahan candlestick formations mein significant downward momentum dekhne ko mila. Yeh bearish movement market sentiment mein tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai, kyunke recent trading sessions mein sellers ne bazar ka control hasil kar liya tha. Chand din pehle, GBP/JPY chart par price conditions ne barhtay huay selling pressure ko reflect karna shuru kiya. Candlestick formations mein lambi red candles dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo yeh zahir karti hain ke sellers market ko dominate kar rahe hain, aur price ko consistently neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Aise bearish activity aksar technical factors ka natija hoti hai, jaise ke pair ka key resistance levels ko test karna, ya phir broader economic factors ka asar, jaise ke British pound ya Japanese yen ki strength mein tabdeeli, ya koi news jo market sentiment ko impact karti ho.

Is bearish momentum ke bawajood, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke koi bhi trend hamesha nahi rehta. Traders ko closely dekhna chahiye ke koi reversal ya consolidation ka signal to nahi aa raha, khaaskar jab pair key support levels ke qareeb pohanch raha ho. Misal ke taur par, agar price kisi significant support zone par pohanch kar uske neeche break nahi karta, to hume momentum mein tabdeeli dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo bounce aur ek possible bullish recovery ka sabab ban sakti hai.








GBP/JPY ka H4 timeframe Analysis:

H4 timeframe chart par GBP/JPY mein pichlay aik mahine ke trading sessions mein bullish aur bearish trends ka aik dynamic aur alternating pattern dekhne ko mila hai. Is dauran price action mein kaafi fluctuations dekhne ko mili, jisme pair upward aur downward trends ke darmiyan back and forth hota raha. In alternating movements ne market ko kaafi active rakha, jo ke buyers aur sellers dono ke liye opportunities pesh kar raha tha, depending on prevailing momentum in any given session.

In fluctuations ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ne consistently SMA 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar apni position qaim rakhi hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke long-term upward momentum abhi bhi support kar raha hai. Yeh moving averages trend strength aur support levels ke liye key indicators ka kaam karte hain. Jab tak price in averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, yeh bullish sentiment ka signal hai, halankeh kuch periods mein bearish correction bhi nazar aaye. H4 chart par GBP/JPY mein bullish aur bearish trends ka alternating pattern dekhne ko mila hai, lekin SMA 60 aur 150 ke upar ki position zahir karti hai ke bullish sentiment abhi bhi mazboot hai, jo traders ke liye upward trend follow karne ka potential mauqa paish karta hai, lekin ehtiyaat ke saath.

UK Construction Sector Ne Tareekhi Bulandiyon Ko Cho Liya

UK ka construction sector is waqt bay misaal taraqqi dekh raha hai, jaisa ke Standard & Poor's Global ke latest data se zahir hota hai. July 2024 ke liye Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 55.3 tak pohanch gaya hai, jo market ki umeedat 52.7 se zyada hai aur June ka figure 52.2 se bhi barh gaya hai. Yeh izafa construction sector mein substantial expansion ko zahir karta hai, aur yeh pichlay paanch months se musalsal growth ka hisa hai. July mein jo growth rahi, yeh May 2022 ke baad sab se tezi se hui hai.

July ki Performance se Ahem Insights

Is month ki performance ka aik ahem pehlu housing projects ka dobara se fa’lan hona hai, saath hi commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila. Iske ilawa, civil engineering mein bhi ek saal aur aadha saal ke baad sab se bara expansion dekhne ko mila. Is dauran, construction activity aur naye orders mein zabardast izafa hua, jo ke purchasing activity mein bhi barhawa de raha hai, aur yeh pichlay teen mahino se employment levels ko barhane ka sabab ban raha hai.

Construction sector mein barhtay demand ki wajah se supply chains par kafi pressure pada hai, jo ke input costs mein tezi ka sabab bana, magar sector ki overall performance mazboot rahi. Yeh resilience aglay mahino mein growth ke liye ek positive outlook paish karta hai.

Maliyati Jaaiza: Bond Yields aur Market ka Reaction

Maliyati lehaz se, British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jo ke apne pichlay chay mahinay ke low se nikal kar aage barh chuka hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury notes ka yield 3.74% se barh kar taqriban 3.9% tak pohanch gaya hai. Is izafay ka sabab U.S. services sector ka July mein rebound karna aur Federal Reserve ke policymakers ke comments hain, jo ke pehle market losses ko mitigate karne mein madadgar sabit huay hain.








Currency Market Dynamics: GBP/JPY Trading

Currency market mein, traders GBP/JPY pair mein selling opportunities ko dekh rahe hain. Agar 199.50 level ke neeche break hota hai, to short-term bearish outlook ka imkaan khatam ho sakta hai, aur downside target 194.00 ho sakta hai. Aik behtar trading strategy yeh hogi ke 194.76 par aadhi position close kar di jaye taake profits secure ho jayein, aur ager mazid girawat aaye to uske liye guzarish rahi.

Forex Trading Strategies Share Karna

Aik tajurba kaar forex trader ke tor par, jise market mein das saal se zyada arsa ho gaya hai, main ne pichlay do saal mein kuch ahem strategies daryaft ki hain jo main sab ke sath share karna chahta hoon. Main apna technical analysis is forum mein pesh karne ka iraada rakhta hoon, aur aap sab se suggestions aur behtari ke liye koi feedback ki darkhwast karta hoon. Mil kar hum apni trading strategies ko mazeed behtar bana sakte hain.

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum GBP/JPY pair ki price increase rally ko support kar raha hai, magar ek downward correction phase ki zarurat hai taake agla price movement aur barh sake.

GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum GBP/JPY pair ki price increase rally ko support kar raha hai, magar ek downward correction phase ki zarurat hai taake agla price movement aur barh sake

GBPUSD Price Action Analysis

Hello doston, good evening! Aaj hum GBPUSD currency pair ka price action analyze karne ja rahe hain. Ab tak hum ne dekha ke price ne initial uptrend experience kiya hai, aur qareebi resistance area tak pohanchi. Lekin aaj ka price action wapas bearish movement ki taraf shift ho gaya hai. Mere observation ke mutabiq, price mazeed girne ke imkanaat hain jab tak ke yeh qareebi support area tak nahi pohanch jata.

H4 (four-hour) time frame par dekha ja sakta hai ke dopahar ke aas paas, price movement phir se bearish ho gayi aur ab yeh EMA (Exponential Moving Average) line ki taraf ja rahi hai. Jaise ke hum jaante hain, agar candlestick movement EMA line ke ooper hoti hai, to yeh buyers ke liye aik positive signal hota hai.

Lekin yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke bullish trend mein bhi kabhi kabhi price ko mushkilaat ya resistance ka samna karna parta hai. Agar GBPUSD currency pair correction support level ke qareeb 1.331xx ko break karta hai, to yeh mazeed downside movement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Humein double top pattern par bhi nazar rakhni hogi. Agar 1.331xx support level break hota hai, to yeh aik sell signal hoga aur price ko agli support area ke qareeb 1.324xx tak dhakel sakta hai. Is liye, aaj position lene se pehle ek accurate signal ka intezar karna behtareen hoga.






Doosri taraf, agar price upper move karti hai aur resistance area ke qareeb 1.342xx ko break karti hai, to yeh buy ka moqa ho sakta hai. Is waqt, price qareebi support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan fluctuation kar rahi hai, is liye position lene mein jald baazi na karain. Agar 1.331xx support break hota hai, to yeh clear sell signal hoga. Aur agar 1.342xx resistance break hoti hai, to yeh buy signal ho ga.

Akhir mein, aaj sabr karna behtareen rahega. Support ya resistance levels ka confirmed break hone ka intezar karna samajhdari hogi. GBPUSD pair is waqt aik critical zone mein hai, aur traders ko aglay qadam uthate waqt ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Agar 1.331xx support break hota hai, to bearish trend ka ishara milega, jab ke 1.342xx resistance break hone par bullish position ka moqa mil sakta hai.