جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

**Technical Indicators aur Price Movements**
Technical indicators yeh darust kartay hain ke aage chal kar price mein izafa mumkin hai. Is context mein, price action yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ya "longs" 1.3395 ke level ke around active rehne ki sambhavana rakhte hain. Yeh level un traders ke liye bohot ahem hai jo aage price ke izafe ki umeed rakhte hain. Magar, market dynamics yeh bhi darust karti hain ke trend ke agay barhne se pehle kuch waqt ke liye rollback ya pullback ka bhi samna ho sakta hai.

**Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna**

Upward engulfing pattern aksar tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek badi bullish candlestick aati hai, jo pehle din ki price action ko puri tarah se "engulf" karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar reversal signal ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo darust karta hai ke downward trend kamzor ho raha hai aur buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern traders ke darmiyan izafa hoti umeed ko darust karta hai ke pound dollar ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hoga.

1.3395 ka level is liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh un points mein se hai jahan buying interest ki tasavvur hai. Traders jo GBP/USD mein long positions rakhte hain, is level ko apne positions kholne ya badhane ke liye acha samajhte hain, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh darust karta hai ke price yahan se upar ja sakti hai. Magar, broader market conditions aur kisi bhi potential resistance levels ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakti hain.

**Pullback ka Imkan**

Bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch nishan hain ke price ke agay barhne se pehle pullback ho sakta hai. Short sellers ya "shorts" 1.3310 level ke aas paas profit lene lag sakte hain, jo un logon ke liye dilchasp hoga jo currency pair mein temporary decline ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka mauqa de sakta hai, jo aage chal kar strength banane ke liye zaroori hai.

1.3340 ya 1.3370 par rollback bhi mumkin hai, jahan short sellers price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne mein na kamyab hone par fayda uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke areas hain, jahan price volatility barh sakti hai jab traders apne positions ke saath market ko influence karne ki koshish karte hain.

**Key Factors ka Jaiza**

Kayi buniyadi factors hain jo GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US se aane wale economic data yeh tay karega ke kya pound dollar ke muqablay mein apni taqat banaye rakh sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar UK GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data behtareen aaye, to pound ko mazid support mil sakta hai. Lekin, agar UK mein economic weakness ke nishan milte hain, to traders long positions rakhne mein cautious ho sakte hain.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi is pair ko asar daalenge. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations aur global economic stability se faida ho raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve zyada aggressive monetary tightening ka ishara de, to dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke upward movement ko mushkil bana dega.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi is pair ki performance par asar dalenge. Unexpected political developments, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations ke aas paas, volatility introduce kar sakti hain, jo price action mein rapid changes la sakti hain.

movement ke neechay ki taraf rally ko jaari rakhne ke imkanaat hain taake support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price 160.37 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips ki doori par hota hai jo dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka rukh M15 ki tarah hi hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi banti. Iske

208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical anal

GBP/JPY ne haal hi mein kafi utar chadhav dekha hai, jo ke aham economic events ka nateeja hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye market mein entry ka critical point ban sakta hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis

Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke benchmark rate ko baghair kisi limit ke maintain karne ke fundmental asraat ne Japanese Yen currency ka outlook kamzor kar diya hai. Price ko neeche girne ka moqa FR 50 - 188.57 ya FR 61.8 - 189.72 par milna chahiye tha jab ke us waqt trend ka rukh ab bhi bearish tha. Abhi ke halat mein, EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke perfectly cross hone ke baad golden cross signal aaya hai, jo ke bullish trend ka ishara deta hai aur price movement ke rise hone ka imkaan zyada hai. Doosri taraf, price pattern ka structure bhi tabdeel ho gaya hai jab se 193.21 ka resistance paar ho gaya. 193.45 ke high prices par structure ka break hua hai jo ke lower low - lower high structure ke invalidation level ko dikhata hai. Is tarah jab downward correction phase aayega, to price ka limited higher low pattern banana mumkin hai jo ke EMA 50 ya FR 78.6 - 191.36 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke mutabiq, histogram volume GBPJPY pair ke price volume ke izafa ke sath mutabiq nahi hai. Halaankeh yeh uptrend momentum dikhata hai, lekin ek bearish divergence signal ka ishara bhi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo 90 - 80 level par overbought zone mein hain, yeh dikhata hai ke buying saturation point jaldi pohanchne
Golden cross signal ke zahoor hone ke sath jo ke bullish trend ka ishara hai, aur break of structure bhi ho chuka hai, is liye BUY moment ka intezar karna zaroori hai. Position entry point ko tab set kiya ja sakta hai jab price correct ho kar resistance 193.21 par aaye. Confirmation tab milti hai jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke aas paas crossing karein. AO indicator ka histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar chora rehna chahiye taake bearish divergence signal invalid ho sake. FR 127.2 - 196.10 ko take profit ke target ke tor par istemal karein aur stop loss FR 78.6 - 191.36 par set karei

mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential

**GBP/USD ka Haal: Bearish Rujhan Ka Jaiza**
Filhal, GBP/USD ka darja 1.3378 par hai, jo ke ek musalsal bearish rujhan ka ishara hai jo haal ke dino mein dekhne ko mila hai. Yeh rujhan yeh darshata hai ke British pound (GBP) apni qeemat ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kho raha hai, jo dono currencies par asar انداز ekonomik factors ki wajah se hai.

### Bearish Jazbaat ke Wajah

**UK mein Ma'ashi Bechaini**

GBP ke liye bearish jazbat UK mein chal rahi ma'ashi bechainiyon se judi ho sakti hain. Ahem wajahain shamil hain:
- **Inflation ka Dar**: Inflation ke barhne ke khauf se consumer spending mein kami aur ma'ashi stagnation ho sakti hai.
- **Ma'ashi Growth ke Masail**: Slow economic growth ya recession ka khauf pound ko nuqsan pohanchata hai.
- **Bank of England ki Monetary Policy mein Tabdeeli**: Monetary policy mein mumkinah tabdeeliyan currency ki qeemat par asar dal sakti hain.

**US Ma'ashi Policies ka Asar**

Market US se aane wale factors par bhi react kar rahi hai, khas taur par:
- **Federal Reserve ke Interest Rate Faislay**: Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay USD ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain.
- **Inflation Data**: Inflation statistics market ki soch aur USD ki performance ko asar انداز karte hain.

### Aage Ka Khayal

Halankeh abhi bearish rujhan hai, kuch nishan hai jo yeh darshate hain ke aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD mein aham harkatein ho sakti hain. Traders aksar ma'ashi i'lanon ya geopolitical events ke doran volatility ki umeed karte hain jo market ke jazbat ko badal sakti hain.

### Aane Wale Ma'ashi Report

Aane wale ahem report shamil hain:
- **Employment Data**
- **GDP Growth Figures**
- **Inflation Statistics**

UK aur US dono ke in reports se GBP/USD ki qeemat mein bada farq aa sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis ka Jaiza

Technical analysis bhi potential reversal points ya continuation patterns ka jaiza le sakti hai. Ahem baatein shamil hain:
- **Support Levels**: Agar yeh pair kisi ahem support level ke qareeb pahunchta hai, to wapas bounce karne ki umeed hoti hai, jo current bearish rujhan ka reversal darshata hai.
- **Support Se Neeche Ghusna**: Agar currency pair in support levels se neeche girta hai, to is se tez girawat ho sakti hai.

### Nateeja: Aane Wale Harkatein

Nateejan, jabke GBP/USD filhal bearish rujhan dikhata hai, lekin ek aham price movement jald hi hone ki umeed hai. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, ma'ashi khabron par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur technical analysis ka istemal karte hue is currency pair ke aane wale fluctuation ko behtar samajhne ki koshish karni chahiye.

mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

GBP/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya GBP/JPY pair ne pichlay paanch din se musalsal positive rehna shuru kiya hai, aur Friday ko European session ke pehle hisay mein takreeban 3-week high tak chala gaya. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke post-meeting press conference mein naram comments ne Japanese yen ke ird gird selling ka rujhan barhaya, jis se spot prices wapas 191.00 tak pohanch gaye. Ueda ne Japanese economy aur prices ke hawalay se jari uncertainty ka izhaar kiya aur kaha ke recent exchange rate ke moves ne inflation ke zyada barhne ka risk kam kar diya hai. Is ke sath hi, global financial markets mein bullish sentiment ne safe-haven yen ko mazeed kamzor kiya. Dosri taraf, pound ko Bank of England ke faislay ne support diya, jo ke Thursday ko interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur aglay 12 maheenay mein mazeed government bond stocks ko kam karne ka faisla tha.

Technical Tajziya:

Agar technical perspective se dekha jaye, daily chart ke oscillators positive momentum gain kar rahe hain, jo mazeed upside ki possibility ko support karte hain. Lekin 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ab 200-day moving average se neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke "death cross" pattern bana raha hai aur bullish traders ko ehtiyaat karne ka mashwara de raha hai. Mazeed gains ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb mazboot resistance ka samna ho sakta hai, jo ke is waqt 191.75 area ke aas paas hai. Agla high 192.00 ka mark hai, jise cross karne ke baad GBP/JPY pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai, magar shayad 200-day moving average ke qareeb, jo ke 192.35-192.40 ke aas paas hai, ruk jaye.

Neeche ki taraf, 190.40-190.35 ka area immediate downside ko protect kar raha hai, jo ke 190.00 ke psychological level aur 189.45 ke horizontal support se pehle ka hai. Agar yeh support levels break ho jate hain, toh is haftay ka acha rally jo monthly lows ke qareeb se hui thi, khatam ho sakti hai, aur mazeed declines ka rasta khul jaye ga. Spot price tez se tez gir kar 188.00 ke round figure tak ja sakta hai aur aakhir kar 187.35 ke support area aur 187.00 ke mark tak gir sakta hai.

mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

GBP/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya GBP/JPY pair ne pichlay paanch din se musalsal positive rehna shuru kiya hai, aur Friday ko European session ke pehle hisay mein takreeban 3-week high tak chala gaya. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke post-meeting press conference mein naram comments ne Japanese yen ke ird gird selling ka rujhan barhaya, jis se spot prices wapas 191.00 tak pohanch gaye. Ueda ne Japanese economy aur prices ke hawalay se jari uncertainty ka izhaar kiya aur kaha ke recent exchange rate ke moves ne inflation ke zyada barhne ka risk kam kar diya hai. Is ke sath hi, global financial markets mein bullish sentiment ne safe-haven yen ko mazeed kamzor kiya. Dosri taraf, pound ko Bank of England ke faislay ne support diya, jo ke Thursday ko interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur aglay 12 maheenay mein mazeed government bond stocks ko kam karne ka faisla tha.
Technical Tajziya:

Agar technical perspective se dekha jaye, daily chart ke oscillators positive momentum gain kar rahe hain, jo mazeed upside ki possibility ko support karte hain. Lekin 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ab 200-day moving average se neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke "death cross" pattern bana raha hai aur bullish traders ko ehtiyaat karne ka mashwara de raha hai. Mazeed gains ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb mazboot resistance ka samna ho sakta hai, jo ke is waqt 191.75 area ke aas paas hai. Agla high 192.00 ka mark hai, jise cross karne ke baad GBP/JPY pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai, magar shayad 200-day moving average ke qareeb, jo ke 192.35-192.40 ke aas paas hai, ruk jaye.

Neeche ki taraf, 190.40-190.35 ka area immediate downside ko protect kar raha hai, jo ke 190.00 ke psychological level aur 189.45 ke horizontal support se pehle ka hai. Agar yeh support levels break ho jate hain, toh is haftay ka acha rally jo monthly lows ke qareeb se hui thi, khatam ho sakti hai, aur mazeed declines ka rasta khul jaye ga. Spot price tez se tez gir kar 188.00 ke round figure tak ja sakta hai aur aakhir kar 187.35 ke support

rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne prof