جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY Analysis: Downward Trend Confirmed

Japanese Yen ne doosri bari currencies ke muqable mein tez upar ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai, jab ke Bank of England ke rate cut ki umeedain barh rahi hain. Kai factors ne GBP/JPY exchange rate mein shadid girawat ko janam diya hai, jo 180.07 support level tak gir gayi hai, aur abhi 183.55 ke qareeb stable hai. Main aksar apne Trusted Trading Signals page par ye recommend karta hoon. GBP/JPY mid-July mein 208.00 resistance level se girna shuru hui thi.

Stock trading company platform ke mutabiq, UK stock market ne chaar maheenon ke low se upar ka rukh kiya hai. FTSE 100 index ne thori si recovery ki, jab ke Tuesday ko Wall Street markets ke gains ko track kiya, jo Monday ke global recession fears ki wajah se shadid girawat ke baad hua tha.

Haal hi ke weak U.S. data ne recession ka khauf barhaya hai, jis ne investors ko safe-haven assets ki taraf dhakel diya aur global markets mein sell-off shuru kar diya. Monday ko global markets mein shadid girawat dekhi gayi thi, jab ke recession ke khatrey aur Federal Reserve ke further rate hikes ki chinta barh gayi thi.

UK mein, abhi markets December tak Bank of England ke ek quarter-point rate cut ko price kar rahi hain. Pichle haftay, Bank of England ne interest rates ko 5.25% se kam karke 5% kar diya, jo ke 2020 ke baad pehla rate cut tha.



Japan ke 10-year bond yields sharp decline ke baad dobara barh gaye. Japan ke 10 saal ke government bond yields Tuesday ko takreeban 0.9% tak barh gaye, jab ke pichlay session mein wo 0.73% tak gir gaye thay, jo chaar maheenon ka low tha. Ye global sell-off aur yen ke tezi se girnay ki wajah se hua. Bearish asset trading ne safe Japanese bonds ki demand ko barhaya.

Domestic bond yields ne bhi U.S. Treasury yields ka peechha kiya, jab ke weak economic data ne recession ke concerns ko barhawa diya aur Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate cuts par bets ko barhaya.

Jab tak Bank of England ke rate cuts ki umeedain barqarar hain, GBP/JPY ka trend bearish hi rahega. Agar GBP/JPY ne 180.00 support level se neeche break kiya, toh bears ka control aur mazid barh jayega, jab ke technical indicators deeply oversold levels tak pohanch jayenge.

Bears yaani sellers ne aaj 188.30 ka level hit kiya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke bulls aaj pressure mein hain. Hum trading mein madad ke liye mukhtalif tools istemal kar sakte hain, khas tor par GBPJPY ki trading ke liye. Market participants ke liye ek zaroori tool daily aur hourly charts ki analysis hoti hai. Yeh charts mukhtalif time frames mein price movements ko tod kar market ki overall direction ke bare mein aham insights dete hain. Aaj ke charts ek bullish scenario ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jo is baat ki tauseeq karte hain ke market unchi qeematon ki taraf ja raha hai. Ek bullish scenario ka matlab hota hai price chart par higher highs aur higher lows, jo mustahkam upward momentum ko zahir karte hain. Dono daily aur hourly charts ko istemal karke ahem price levels, trends, aur doosre technical indicators ko pehchana ja sakta hai jo decision-making mein rehnumai karte hain. Is tarah se hum in tools se aaj GBPJPY ki trading mein madad hasil kar sakte hain
Hourly chart khas tor par un short-term market participants ke liye mufeed hota hai jo market mein behtareen waqt par daakhil hona chahte hain. Yeh micro-trends aur qeematon ke chote aur tez hatho-hath moves ko pakarne mein madad karta hai, khaas tor par un waqt mein jab market mein zyada volatility ya ahem khabren hoti hain. Hourly charts aksar flags, pennants ya reversals jaisi patterns ko zahir karte hain jo lambi muddat ke charts par foran saaf nahi hoti. United States USA trading session mein level 188.00 toot sakta hai. Iske muqable mein, daily chart market ka ek wasee nazariya deta hai, jis se bade trends, support aur resistance levels, aur doosre aham factors jaise ke moving averages, trendlines, aur momentum oscillators ki interaction ko dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat ke aaj ke daily aur hourly charts bullish conditions ko zahir kar rahe hain, ek aham indicator hai ke overall sentiment positive hai, aur upward trend jari rehne ke imkaanat hain

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.
Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai

lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai,





jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte

GBP/JPY ka jo jorha hai, wo niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur recently ek purani price range se bahar nikla hai, jahan se yeh 208 level se 20 figures se zyada gir chuka hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke aur bhi girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khas taur pe kyunki 187.32 level ko do martaba defend kiya gaya hai, aur hum 195.94 ke aas paas phir se aa sakte hain. Yeh movement na sirf ek mazboot resistance ko test karegi balki Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke lower border ke nazdeek bhi le aayegi. Agar rebound hota hai, to main phir se GBP bechne ki sochunga 187 level ke aas paas ya usse bhi niche. Agar 195.94 level tut jata hai, to price Ichimoku Cloud ke andar chale jayegi aur upper border ko 199.02 pe test kar sakti hai. Agar price 199.02 se upar nikal jati hai aur wahan stabilize hoti hai, to upar ki taraf trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko ek strong buying zone mein le aayega aur 208 figure ko phir se test karne ki possibility hai.

H4 timeframe pe CCI indicator yeh batata hai ke jorha neutral position mein hai, kyunki indicator line abhi bhi selling zone mein hai magar horizontally move kar rahi hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke oversold condition chart pe khatam ho jayegi, jisse ek potential rollback dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin abhi tak koi buy signal nahi mila, isliye main ek strong rebound aur bullish absorption ka intezaar karunga. Price ne channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ko break kiya, highest point se rebound hua, aur ab middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aa rahi hai. Diye gaye information ke base pe, maine conclude kiya hai ke currency pair ko bechna faida mand hoga. RSI oscillator ne bhi sell signal confirm kiya hai, kyunki iska curve niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai.

Summary mein, humne ek sell position initiate ki hai aur entry points dekh rahe hain. Jab market quotes channel ke lower border (red dotted line) tak pohnchti hain, hum apna take-profit target 184.079 set karenge.

GBP/JPY British Pound aur Japanese Yen ke beech ka jorha hai. Heikin Ashi candles aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) ka istemal karke, hum market mein reduction ki umeed kar rahe hain. Heikin Ashi candles, jo ke regular Japanese candles se mukhtalif hain, harmony aur average prices ko dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko asaan banati hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko improve karti hain. TMA channel indicators (red, blue, aur yellow mein) smooth, moving average-based support aur resistance lines create karti hain, jo current price movement ki limits ko show karti hain. Heikin Ashi ke sath kaam karna ek additional filter ke taur pe positive results de raha hai; hum RSI basement indicators bhi use karte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY price girne wali hai. Trading volumes major economic events ya data releases ke doran, jaise ke UK inflation figures, employment data, aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke monetary policy statements, dono taraf barh jati hain. In events pe focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain.





Is competitive environment mein emotions bhi ek bada role play karte hain. Jab market volatile hoti hai, to traders ke liye apne nerves ko steady rakhna mushkil ho sakta hai. Aksar greed aur fear jaise emotions unke decisions ko influence karte hain. Isliye, trading mein success discipline aur risk management ke bina mushkil hai.

Ek aur interesting aspect aaj kal market mein automated trading systems aur algorithms ka hona hai. Yeh bots human traders ke patterns ko analyze karte hain aur lightning speed se trades execute karte hain. Inka hona market movements ko aur bhi unpredictable bana sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY market ka ever-changing landscape traders ke liye ek challenging aur exciting battlefield create karta hai. Naye trends aur developments ke saath, yeh market tabhi profitable ho sakti hai jab traders informed aur strategic decisions lein.

GBP/JPY ka Fundamental Analysis:
GBP/JPY currency pair ko UK aur Japan ke recent economic data ke sath sath global market sentiment bhi kaafi influence karta hai. Pichlay do dinon mein kai ahem economic indicators aur developments ne is pair ke outlook ko shape diya hai.

UK ka Economic Overview:
UK ke recent data ne milay julay results dikhaye hain. 9 August 2024 ko June ke manufacturing aur industrial production figures ka release hua, jahan manufacturing production sirf 0.6% year-on-year barh paayi, jo UK ke industrial sector mein chalti mushkilat ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, UK ka trade balance expected se zyada deficit mein raha, jo global economic uncertainties ke doran export performance mein kamzori ko dikhata hai.

Bank of England (BoE) ka stance abhi bhi ehtiyaat par mabni hai, khas taur pe jab Q2 2024 ke GDP growth rate ka release hua jo sirf 0.3% year-on-year tha, jo expected se kam tha. Is ne UK ki economic resilience par sawaal uthaye hain, khas taur pe jab ke inflationary pressures aur European markets par geopolitical tensions ke asraat dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Yeh economic conditions BoE ko aggressively interest rates barhane se rok sakti hain, jo near term mein pound ko kamzor kar sakti hain.

Japanese Economic Context:
Japan ki economy abhi tak stability dikhati hai, halanke ismein bhi kuch challenges hain. Japan ka recent economic data kaafi stable raha hai, lekin growth kaafi modest hai. Yen ko safe-haven currency samjha jata hai aur global risk aversion ke doran iska faida hota hai, khas taur pe jab global economic outlook uncertain hota hai. Lekin Japan mein inflation abhi bhi kamzor hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko short term mein apni monetary policy tight karne se rok sakti hai. BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy jaari rehne ki umeed hai, jo yen par downward pressure barqarar rakhegi.

Global Market Sentiment:
Global market sentiment bhi GBP/JPY par kaafi asar dalta hai. Global economic slowdown aur key markets mein recession ke concerns ne risk appetite ko kamzor kiya hai. Is se yen ko safe-haven status ki wajah se faida ho raha hai, jab ke pound investor confidence ki kami ke wajah se suffer kar raha hai.

Short-Term Outlook:
Short term mein GBP/JPY par downward pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke pound ki kamzori aur BoE ke rate hikes mein possible delays ki wajah se hai. Doosri taraf, yen ki strength safe-haven flows ki wajah se barh sakti hai jab tak global uncertainty barqarar hai. Lekin agar BoJ ki monetary policy mein koi unexpected shift aata hai ya UK ke economic data mein koi significant improvement hoti hai, to yeh outlook change ho sakta hai.




Japanese Yen ka Strengthening:
Japanese yen ne pichlay kuch hafton se doosri currencies ke muqablay mein strength dikhai hai, jisse kai bearish weekly candles bani hain. Lekin jab price 100-day Simple Moving Average tak pohanchi, to strong reaction dekha gaya aur ab weekly chart par ek bullish pin bar form ho rahi hai. Agar yeh pin bar complete ho jati hai, to yeh bullish reversal ka signal de sakti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yen ki recent strength khatam hone ke qareeb ho sakti hai aur aglay hafton mein upward movement possible hai.

GBP/JPY Analysis Updates - 10 August 2024




Jumay ko koi high-impact data release nahi hui, jis wajah se market ka movement flat raha. Kal EUR/USD sirf 187.05 ke aas paas hi move karta raha. GBP/JPY ka trading session bhi week close hone se pehle niche band hua, jab currency pair mein thodi kamzori aayi. Shuru mein GBP/JPY upar gaya tha aur apni qareebi resistance ko 187.28 par cross kiya tha, lekin yeh movement zyada dair tak nahi tik saka. Is haftay mein ne dekha ke GBP/JPY ka movement ziada bullish raha hai. Kuch moments aise thay jab GBP/JPY niche aya, lekin yeh sirf ek correction thi.

Agar H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye to resistance 187.29 ke cross hone se lagta hai ke GBP/JPY abhi aur barh sakta hai. Masla yeh hai ke ab tak GBP/JPY kaafi gehrai mein gir chuka hai, lekin pichle kuch dinon se movement ziada tar upar ki taraf rahi hai. Badi timeframe par bhi confirmation candle nazar aayi hai, jo ek bullish engulfing candle ke roop mein hai, aur mere khayal mein yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke market jaldi reverse karega. Jab tak demand area 180.94 par toot nahi jata, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ke upar jane ka mauqa abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Mere scenario ke mutabiq, ane wale waqt mein GBP/JPY 205.46 ke price tak barh sakta hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke analysis kiya jaye, to kal jo decline hui uski wajah se candle ki position badal gayi hai. Jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar thi, ab woh neeche aagayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Monday ko GBP/JPY ka movement niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh 184.48 ke support ko test karne ke liye gir sakta hai. Agar yeh area nahi tootta, to GBP/JPY wahan se rebound kar sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, line apne lowest level, yani 80, ke bohot kareeb hai. Lekin halanke woh wahan tak nahi pohnchi, line ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Is indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke future mein GBP/JPY ka movement upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar direction achanak se niche ho jati hai, to GBP/JPY ka support 184.48 tak girne ka imkaan hai jo main ne upar explain kiya hai.

Aaj ke Analysis ka Nateeja:
GBP/JPY currency pair ke upar jane ka abhi bhi chance hai kyunki filhal demand area 180.94 par toot nahi sakta, aur yeh possibility hai ke yeh GBP/JPY ko upar le jayega. Iske ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area 184.87 par stuck hai. Isliye, main aapko suggest karta hoon ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, to aap sirf buy positions pe focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target 199.01 par rakhein aur stop-loss support 183.69 par set karein.

Aaj hum GBP/JPY H4 (British Pound - Japanese Yen) pair ka analysis karain ge, jisme hum Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ka istemal karain ge taake ek solid trading plan banaya ja sake. Heikin Ashi candlesticks traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price ko smooth karti hain, jo reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulsive price breakouts ko asaani se pehchanay mein madad karti hain. Yeh traders ke liye analysis ko simplify kar deti hain.

TMA linear channel indicator bhi ek qeemati tool hai, jo moving average ke zariye chart par support aur resistance lines dikhata hai. Yeh asset ki movement ke boundaries ko zahir karta hai. RSI oscillator indicator ko aakhri faislay ke liye istemal kiya jata hai ke trade mein enter karna chahiye ya nahi, kyunki yeh overbought aur oversold areas ko highlight karta hai.

In trading tools ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur galat market entries se bacha sakta hai. Chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke is waqt blue candles nazar aa rahi hain, jo yeh dikhati hain ke bulls abhi tak mazboot hain aur price ko upar kheench rahe hain. Yeh ek acha mauqa hai long position kholne ka.

Price quotes ne linear channel ki lower border (red dashed line) ko cross kar liya hai, lekin sabse neechey se rebound hui hai aur ab channel ki centerline (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar rahi hai. RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, kyunki iski curve upar ki taraf hai aur abhi overbought level se kaafi door hai.




In tamam information ko combine karke hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke upward trend barqarar hai, aur buying ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai. Is liye, hum ek extensive trade open kar sakte hain. Hum apna take profit channel ki upper border (blue dashed line) ke qareeb set kar sakte hain, jo ke 193.785 ka price hai.

Market ko negative values mein turn hone se bachane ke liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jab position profitable area mein move kare, to trailing stop order ka istemal kiya jaye taake zyada se zyada profit secure ho sake.

British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye

کمائیں۔ British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo





market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

GBP/JPY pair ne Jumme ke din thoda surprise kiya, jab yeh sharply neeche gir kar 188.43 level ke neeche break kar gaya, jabke koi fundamental factors Japanese currency ke strength ko support nahi kar rahe thay. Filhaal, daily chart par koi reversal ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe aur quotes mazeed gir kar 183.09 ke support level ko test kar sakte hain. Monday ko Japan ka GDP data release hoga jo Asian region mein currency market ke balance ko badal sakta hai.

Iss situation ke bawajood, hamesha alternative scenario ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Agar quotes wapas 188.43 ke upar chalein, to humein apni strategy badalni padegi aur 192.18 ke resistance level ko test karne ke liye increase ke direction mein sochna padega.

Pichle hafte ka candlestick na sirf incredibly bearish tha, balki trading range bhi lagbhag 700 points thi aur lagbhag saara movement southern direction mein tha. Closing price 186.84 par thi, jabke local minimum 186.48 par dikhaya gaya, jo ke bohot strong zone hai, aur kafi arse baad yeh week itna neeche close hua hai. Aisa lagta hai ke trend aur mood mazeed decline ka hai, lekin mujhe sell karne ka koi iraada nahi hai. Lekin buy karna bhi thoda mushkil hai, kyunke possibility hai ke pound-yen aur neeche jaaye, shayad 181 tak. Issi ke sath, mein kisi bhi sales ka plan nahi kar raha, sirf modest volumes mein buys karne ka plan hai, aur pehli opportunity par transaction ko stop-loss ke sath protect kar lunga.

Pound/yen ne is hafte ek bari bearish candle ke sath close kiya, jo ke further movement towards the south ka hint de raha hai. Daily chart par, Bollinger Bands abhi bhi narrow ho rahe hain, jo ke southern movement ko limit karne ka ishara karte hain. Lekin lower band tak abhi bhi kuch jagah hai, jahan hum further sentiment ko dekh sakte hain. Choti timeframe par, hourly chart ke indicators bhi south ka ishara kar rahe hain, lekin Bollinger Bands se thodi correction ka hint mil raha hai, jo lower middle band ko test kar sakti hai. Monday ko market ke opening ke baad ek chhota rise dekhne ka imkaan hai pullback ke andar. H4 chart par bhi indicators decline ko support karte hain, lekin yahan bhi ek local correction ka hint mil raha hai, jo lower middle band ko test kar sakta hai. Toh overall, global perspective mein south ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin locally ek chhoti pullback ka intezar hai.

GBP/JPY ke pair ko Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ke saath analyze karte hue, abhi ek trading plan banane ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai jo kharidari ke haq mein hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price value ko noticeably smooth aur average kar deti hain, aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein reversal points, correction rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par dekhna asaan bana deti hain, jo trader analysis ko kafi madadgar banati hain . TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi ek behtareen madadgar hai jo chart par current support aur resistance lines ko Moving Average (Mashki) ke zariye dikhata hai aur asset movement boundaries ko waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Aur aakhri mein, RSI oscillator indicator final decision lene mein madad karta hai, jo ke traded asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Ye trading instruments ka chunav technical analysis ko kaafi asaan bana deta hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Chart ko dekhte hue, yeh situation nazar aati hai ke candles blue rang ki hain, jo ke indicate karti hain ke bulls ab strong hain aur price ko north direction mein pull kar rahe hain. Isliye, long positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Price quotes linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar nikal gayi thi, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad, wahan se bounce kar ke channel ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf agay barh gayi hai. Saath hi, RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko support karta hai kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Isliye, abhi ke upward movement ko dekhte hue, purchases ka achha chance hai, aur long deal open karna ek acha faisla hai. Take profit ko channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke price mark 194.961 par hai. Market ko profit ko minus mein jane se rokne ke liye, trailing stop orders ka istemal karna aur position ko profitable zone mein move karne ke baad zyada profit kamane ki koshish karna

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko thoda surprise kiya, sharply neeche gir gayi aur 188.43 ke level ko tod diya, jabke Japanese currency ke majboot hone ka koi fundamental factor nahi tha. Filhaal, daily chart par reversal ke koi nishan nahi hain aur quotes 183.09 ke support level tak gir sakti hain. Yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke Monday ko Japan ka GDP data release hone wala hai aur yeh statistics Asian currency market ke balance ko badal sakti hain.

Is context mein, ek alternative scenario bhi hai. Agar quotes 188.43 ke level ke upar wapas aati hain, to hume apni strategy ko badalna padega aur bullish direction mein khelna padega, resistance 192.18 tak pahunchne ke liye.

Pichle hafte ka candlestick sirf bearish nahi tha - trading range lagbhag 700 points thi aur yeh movement puri tarah se south direction mein thi, lekin yeh candlestick bahut important aur informative bhi thi. Closing price 186.84 thi aur local minimum 186.48 tha, jo ek strong zone ko test kar raha tha. Aur, aisa lagta hai ke mood aur trend aur bhi decline ki taraf hai, lekin personally mujhe sell karne ka mann nahi hai, aur main nahi karunga. Lekin buy karna bhi thoda uncomfortable lagta hai, kyunki pound-yen 181 figure tak depth test kar sakta hai. Main koi sales plan nahi kar raha, sirf modest volumes mein purchases karunga aur pehli opportunity milte hi transaction ko transfer kar dunga, lekin stops ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye.

Pound/yen ne is hafte ko ek badi bearish candle ke saath close kiya, jo south direction mein movement continue hone ka indication de rahi hai. Daily chart par, Bollinger Bands abhi bhi narrow ho rahe hain, jo south movement ko limit karne ka suggestion dete hain. Lekin lower band tak space hai, jahan hum further sentiment ko dekh sakte hain. Chhoti time frame par, hourly chart par indicators south ki taraf point kar rahe hain, sirf Bollinger Bands se slight hint mil rahi hai correction ka, jo lower middle band ko test karne ke liye hai. Isliye, Monday se opening ke baad thoda rise dekhne ki possibility ho sakti hai. 4-hour chart par, indicators decline ke favor mein hain, lekin yahan bhi Bollinger Bands se local correction ka hint mil raha hai jo lower middle band ko test karne ke liye hai. Toh overall, main global perspective mein south ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin locally thoda pullback bhi expect kar raha hoon.

Yeh wazeh tha ke GBP/JPY currency pair ne daily pivot point level se neeche open kiya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke Thursday ke trading ke doran yeh pair downward trend (bullish trend) ko experience kar raha tha. Iska matlab yeh hai ke filhaal GBP/JPY ke movement ke tendency kam honay ki umeed hai. Lekin agar low ya support area level, jo ke 186.40 ke qeemat pe hai aur support level area 186.50 pe hai, ko bearish trend candlestick pattern ya sellers break nahi kar paate, toh agle trade mein trend badalne ka imkaan hai. Lekin, American trading session ke end par H1 timeframe ke trading chart par ek bearish reversal candlestick pattern bana, jo ke ek doji candlestick pattern tha. Is se yeh andaza lagta hai ke Asian trading session se le kar European trading session tak GBP/JPY currency pair mein pehle kuch girawat aasakti hai. Agar hum moving average indicator period 8 ko exponential close method par apply karein aur moving average indicator period 16 ko bhi, toh yeh dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke yeh deadth cross pattern banayenge. Agar European trading session tak GBP/JPY pair support area level 186.40 ya resistance area 186.50 ko penetrate nahi karta. Lekin agar hum envelope indicator period 50 ko dekhain, toh abhi bhi yeh GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye bullish signal de raha hai. Counter trend indicator yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal GBP/JPY pair seller ke pressure mein hai, aur MACD indicator aur stochastic oscillator indicator par ek divergent bearish reversal trend pattern ban raha hai. Saath hi, follow the trend indicator, yani ke moving average indicator period 8 aur moving average indicator period 16, H1 timeframe ke chart par deadth cross signal banane ka imkaan hai, jo ke trend ke tabdeeli ki nishani hai, yani bullish se bearish trend mein tabdeel hona.