جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.
Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share ka
GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

GBP/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast




GBPJPY pair ka price movement jo 191.70 ke resistance se successfully guzar gaya hai, lagta hai ke ab yeh upward rally continue karega towards psychological level 193.00. Agar price 192.47 ke high prices ko cross nahi kar saka, toh phir price dobara correct hoke neeche aayega towards 191.70, jo ab sabse qareebi RBS area hai. Price EMA 50 ke qareeb bhi correct ho sakta hai aur phir apni upward rally continue karega. Price pattern ka structure bhi change ho gaya hai aur higher high - higher low ban gaya hai jab se price ne resistance ko cross kiya hai. Is liye downward movement limited ho sakti hai aur higher low pattern bana sakti hai bullish trend ke darmiyan.

Agar Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekha jaye, jo pehle saucer signal show kar raha tha uptrend momentum ke liye, jahan red histogram green histogram se squeeze ho raha tha. Is se lagta hai ke GBPJPY ka price rally aur bhi upar ja sakta hai. Lekin Stochastic indicator, jiske parameters kaafi arsey se overbought zone mein hain, yani level 90 - 80 ke darmiyan, yeh indicate karta hai ke buying saturation point ho gaya hai. Agar yeh parameter 80 ke neeche aur level 50 ki taraf jata hai, toh iska matlab price temporarily neeche correct kar sakta hai kyun ke higher high pattern ban chuka hai.

**Entry Position Setup:**

Trading ka option bullish trend ke direction ke sath hi continue hona chahiye jo ke abhi chal raha hai, toh BUY ka moment ka intezar karein. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab corrected price EMA 50 ke qareeb rejection face kare. Confirmation ke liye dekhein ke Stochastic indicator ka parameter oversold zone, yani level 20 - 10 ya kam az kam level 50 ke qareeb cross kare. AO indicator ka histogram level 0 ke upar rahe ya positive area mein ho, jo indication dega ke momentum ab bhi uptrend mein hai. Take profit ke liye target high price 192.47 ho sakti hai aur SMA 200 ke qareeb dynamic support ke tor pe stop loss place karna sahi hoga.

GBP-JPY Currency Pair Analysis
Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ka istemal karte hue GBP-JPY currency pair ka analysis dikhata hai ke abhi trading plan bana ke purchases ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke aam Japanese candlesticks se zyada smooth aur price value ko average karti hain, reversal points, correction rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par notice karne mein madad deti hain, jo trader ke analysis ko kaafi asaan banata hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo ke Moving Average ke zariye current support aur resistance lines chart par show karta hai, trading mein aik zabardast madadgar hota hai, jo asset ke movement ki boundaries ko highlight karta hai.

Akhir mein, RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal aakhri decision lene ke liye hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Aise trading tools ka election technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur false market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Sabse pehle yeh notice karne ki zaroorat hai ke jo chart diya gaya hai, usme candles blue color ki hain, jo is baat ka signal hai ke bulls abhi strong hain aur price ko northern direction mein kheench rahe hain. Yeh aik acha mauqa hai ke favorable prices par long positions open ki jaayein.

Price quotes ne linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya tha, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad, price ne wahan se bounce back kiya aur channel ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move kiya. Is waqt, basement indicator RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, kyun ke iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai.

Is sab ko dekhte hue yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke current upward movement kaafi strong hai, jo purchases ke liye acha chance deta hai. Take profit ko channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) ke qareeb, yani 194.961 ke price mark par set kiya ja sakta hai. Aur market ke profit ko loss mein le jaane se bachne ke liye, trailing stop orders ka istemal karna behtar hoga jab position profitable zone mein move kar jaye, taake zyada profit hasil kiya ja sake.

GBP/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast (Roman Urdu)
EURJPY ka price movement ahista ahista tang hota gaya, jis se aik bearish triangle pattern bana aur trend ka rukh bhi bearish ho gaya. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan kuch crossings hui, lekin death cross signal akhir kar nazar aya. Is liye, price ka movement ziada tar neeche ki taraf rally continue karne ka imkaan hai taa ke support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Filhal, 161.45 ke qareeb aik SBR area hai jise test kiya ja sakta hai agar price me upar ki taraf koi correction hoti hai. Neeche wali price 160.37 ko main target rakha gaya hai taa ke lower low - lower high pattern ka structure barqarar rahe.

Agar hum Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh ab bhi downtrend mein consistent hai. Saucer signal ka imkaan hai agar agla histogram red ho. Magar, Stochastic indicator ke parameters abhi bhi upward price correction ko support kar rahe hain kyun ke woh oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein cross kar chuke hain aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin agar yeh parameters level 50 ko paar nahi karte jo ke overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ki taraf ja raha hai, to iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally continue karegi aur low prices 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi.

Entry Position Setup:

Bearish trend direction aur fresh death cross signals ke sath trading options pe focus karte huay, SELL moment ka intizaar karein. 161.45 ka SBR area ya shayad EMA 50 ke qareeb entry point ke liye use ho sakta hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko level 50 ya overbought zone (level 90 - 80) mein cross karne ka intizaar karein. AO indicator histogram kam az kam saucer signal produce kar sake downtrend momentum ke darmiyan. Take profit ka target low prices 160.37 rakhein aur stop loss ko SMA 200 ke 15 - 25 pips upar rakhein jo dynamic resistance ke taur par kaam karega.

GBP/JPY Pair Analysis (Roman Urdu)
GBP/JPY pair ne Jumma ko Asian session ke dauran pullback experience kiya, jisse peechlay do trading dinon me jo gains hue thay, woh reverse ho gaye. Yeh pair 190.90 ke qareeb trade ho raha tha, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq GBP/JPY pair ke liye mixed outlook hai. MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai, lekin overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, jo ke MACD line ke zero line ke neeche rehne se zahir hota hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 191.63 par hai, ek immediate resistance level pose kar raha hai. Agar price is level ke upar break kare, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak push kar sakta hai, jo ke 195.50 ke aas paas hai. Lekin agar price ascending channel se neeche break karti hai, to bearish reversal ka imkaan hai, jo ke pair ko 7 maheenay ke low 180.09 tak le ja sakta hai.




GBP/JPY pair ne pichlay chand maheenon mein kaafi volatility dekhi hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se August mein low 180.07 tak sharp sell-off hua. Jab ke uske baad se pair ne kuch recovery ki hai, iska advance 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iske baad mazeed girawat qareebi support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par ruk sakti hai, aur agar girawat mazeed hoti hai to pair 8 maheenay ke low tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair recent rejection zone 192.01 ko paar kar leta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke sath coincide karta hai, to March ke high 193.52 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai. Agar pair bullish trend ko barqarar rakhna chahta hai, to usay is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Kul mila ke, GBP/JPY pair abhi uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jahan mixed technical signals aur economic factors uske direction par asar dal rahe hain. Investors ko in developments par ghour se nazar rakhni chahiye taa ke informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

aur 189.00 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement thodi surprising thi kyun ke UK inflation data expectations se kam aaya tha, jo aam tor par currency ke liye downward pressure create karta hai. Yeh data Bank of England ke taraf se interest rate cuts ke potential ko suggest karta hai, jo ke normally pound ko weak karta hai. Lekin is trend ko balance karte hue, Middle East mein rising geopolitical tensions ne investors ko safe-haven assets jaise ke Japanese yen ki taraf attract kiya. US missile submarine ke deployment aur ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict ne potential escalation ke concerns ko barhaya. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke taraf se future interest rate hike ke expectations ne yen ko support provide kiya. Yeh conflicting backdrop GBP/JPY pair ke liye ek complex environment create kar raha hai, jisme currency pair ki movement multiple factors se influenced ho rahi hai. Technical Analysis:
Pair ne potential trend reversal ke signs show kiye, aur momentum indicators ne previous downtrend ke weakening ko suggest kiya. Magar significant resistance levels ab bhi maujood hain jo upside potential ko limit karte hain. GBP/JPY pair ab bhi various economic aur geopolitical factors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein **** hua hai. Market ka focus expected hai ke upcoming economic data releases, specifically agle UK CPI report, par shift hoga for further direction.
Lekin, market mein bears most likely attempt kar rahe hain ke control wapas hasil karein. August 22, 2023 ka high aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ne 185.21–186.75 region ko establish kiya hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko neeche force karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Agar yeh successful hote hain, toh yeh pair ko April 9, 2001 ke high 181.36 tak le jaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Is conclusion ke sath, halaan ke GBP/JPY abhi bhi rise kar raha hai, market ka momentum ab bhi shaky hai, jo ek aur decline ka room chhodta hai.
Technical Indicators:
Technical indicators ne bhi recent bullish sentiment ko support kiya hai. Average Directional Movement (ADX) indicator sideways move kar raha hai, jo GBP/JPY downtrend ke potential weakening ko suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf upwards ja raha hai, jab ke Stochastic indicator ne apne moving average aur oversold zone ke upar breakout kiya ha

Trading Plan GBPJPY Market August 28, 2024

Pehle, seller army ne koshish ki thi ke price ko neeche le jaya jaye, lekin wo 180.00 ke price level ko tor nahi sake. Is haftay tak, price ki position aur oonchi ho gayi hai aur ab 169.35 ke price level ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. GBPJPY currency pair ka condition ab bhi bullish movement ke liye potential rakhta hai, kyun ke agar ghor se dekha jaye, price ne aakhri kuch dino mein izafa dikhaya hai, jaisa ke H4 time frame mein nazar aata hai. Candlestick ki position aur oonchi ho gayi hai aur 191.50 ke price level ke qareeb hai.

Agar aglay trading session mein candlestick is level ko break kar leta hai, to aaj ke liye ek naya upward momentum ban sakta hai. Yeh clear hai ke bullish trend ke direction mein mazeed movement ka potential abhi bhi mojood hai. Haalanki mahine ke aghaz mein market ka movement bearish tha, agar aap ghor se dekhein to price dheere dheere upar aane mein kamyab hui, jo ke yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko tor gaya aur ek bullish market ka tasawar diya. Hum ab bhi intezar kar rahe hain ke kya price hamen mazeed upar jane ka aik valid mauqa dega.

Iss waqt jo cheez dekhne wali hai wo yeh ke kya significant bearish market reversal hoga, jaisa ke pichlay haftay ke aakhri dino mein hua tha, ya price wapas neeche jaye gi ya candlestick upward trend ko continue karega. Candlestick position jo abhi bhi Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, is se andaza hota hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai.

Is mahine ke aghaz se price ne 190.00 level ke upar dobara izafa dikhaya hai. Meray khayal mein, aglay price movements ka rujhan ab bhi bullish hoga, aur isko madde nazar rakhtay hue hamen BUY trading transaction opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Bullish trend ke continuation ka potential abhi bhi zyada hai, bearish direction ke comparison mein.

GBP/JPY pair ne Thursday ko ek chhoti si rally dekhi, jo bargain hunting aur overall positive risk sentiment ki wajah se hui. Lekin, pair ka overall trajectory ek mashhoor range mein restricted hai, jo aksar Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke interest rates ke hawale se chal rahi uncertainty ki wajah se hai. Haal hi mein UK ki inflation aur labor market data ne BoE ki ek aur rate cut ke chances ko kam kar diya, jis se pound ko support mila hai. Iske ilawa, UK ke positive GDP numbers ne ye afwahayen barhayi hain ke BoE apne September ke meeting mein interest rate ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. In sab factors ke saath, Japanese yen ke kamzor hone se bhi pair ka upward movement dekhne ko mila. Japan mein wazir-e-azam Fumio Kishida ke istefa dene se siyasi uncertainty barh gayi hai, jis se yen par mazeed dabao hai. Yeh situation BOJ ke rate hikes ko delay kar sakti hai, lekin investors ab bhi Japan ke macroeconomic conditions mein behtri ke liye pur umeed hain aur future mein rate increases ki tawako karte hain.



Geopolitical risks yen ki dynamics par asar daal rahe hain, jis se yen ke sharp declines limit ho rahe hain. Aane wale dinon mein UK ke PMI preview data aur Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) trading ke liye short-term opportunities aur economy ke hawale se insights faraham karega. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ka Jackson Hole Symposium mein shirka market mein volatility layega aur GBP/JPY ko significant momentum de sakta hai. Pair ki recent stabilization, aur BoE ki aakhri rate cut ke baad pound ki recovery, ek potential sentiment shift ka ishara deti hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, to Average Directional Index (ADX) dikhata hai ke GBP/JPY ka downtrend ab slow ho raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, aur Stochastic apni moving average aur oversold zone ke ooper break kar raha hai, jo current moderate uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 ko torne ki koshish kar sakta hai aur congested 192.57-193.60 zone ko target kar sakta hai, jo significant technical levels include karta hai. Lekin is resistance area ko overcome karne ke liye sustained upward pressure aur market sentiment mein favorable shift zaroori hai.

Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential

GBP/JPY Analysis

GBP/JPY ne pehle neutral stance le liya hai jab ke current retreat nazar aa raha hai. Agar price 193.45 ke upar jati hai to yeh rebound ko resume karegi, jo ke 180.00 se 61.8% retracement hai 208.09 se 180.00 ke darmiyan, aur yeh 197.35 tak pohonch sakti hai. Magar, agar 188.23 ka support break hota hai to yeh signal hoga ke 180.00 se jo rebound shuru hua tha, wo complete ho gaya hai, aur bias phir se downside ki taraf chala jayega, jahan 180.00 ko dobara retest kiya ja sakta hai.

Bari picture mein dekha jaye to 208.09 se price action ko ek correction ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo ke puray rally ka correction hai jo 123.94 (2020 low) se shuru hui thi. Ab tak ka development yeh suggest karta hai ke pehla leg complete ho chuka hai, aur medium-term consolidation ka range 38.2% retracement ke darmiyan 123.94 se 208.09 tak set hota hai, jo 175.94 aur 208.09 ke darmiyan hai.

Moving averages forex prediction ke liye sab se zyada popular tools mein se hain. Jaisa ke naam se zahir hota hai, moving average ek forex pair ki average closing price ko select kiye gaye time frame ke doran show karta hai, jo ek jitne period mein divide hoti hai. For example, 12-day simple moving average (SMA) ka matlab hai ke aakhri 12 dino ki closing prices ka total liya jata hai aur usay 12 se divide kiya jata hai.

SMA ke ilawa, traders exponential moving average (EMA) bhi use karte hain. EMA recent prices ko zyada weight deta hai, is liye yeh recent price action par tez react karta hai.




Market mein commonly used indicators mein 7-day, 12-day aur 21-day moving averages short-term resistance aur support levels ko identify karne ke liye use kiye jate hain. Wahi 50-day, 100-day aur 200-day moving averages ko long-term support aur resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye use kiya jata hai.

GBP/JPY Price Prediction: Counter-Trend Rally Ke Khatre

GBP/JPY ka August mein hone wala rally ab apni momentum kho raha hai aur neeche jaane ka risk barh raha hai. September ke peak se GBP/JPY ne kaafi steep sell-off dekha hai aur ek key level ke neeche break kiya hai. Bearish reversal ko confirm karne ke liye mazeed weakness zaroori hai.

August 5 ke lows se GBP/JPY ne recovery rally dikhayi thi. Tab se lekar ab tak yeh 180.09 ke low se uth kar September 2 ko 193.49 ke peak tak pohoncha.

Lagay taqreeban aik mahina hone wala yeh rally ab weakness dikhane laga hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke neeche jaane ka risk barh raha hai. Agar GBP/JPY reverse hota hai to bias neeche ki taraf shift ho jaye gi aur lower prices ko favor karegi.

September 2 ke highs se GBP/JPY kaafi steep girawat dikhaya hai aur abhi haali mein ek key swing low 190.26 ke aas paas break kiya hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator 37.77 tak gir chuka hai aur dikhata hai ke peak se sell-off ka momentum kaafi strong tha.




Halankeh yeh signs ek bearish reversal ko develop hota hua dikhate hain, lekin abhi poori tasalli ke liye yeh kaafi nahi hain. Is pair ko neeche girna hoga taake hum zyada sure ho sakein. Ideal situation yeh hogi ke price 189.50 (August 26 low) ke neeche jaaye, jo is baat ko confirm karega ke ek naya bear trend shuru ho chuka hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to price further gir kar pehla target 188.24 (August 19 low) tak pohonch sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, downside confirmation ki kami ki wajah se abhi recovery ka chance bhi hai. Agar price 192.00 ke upar close hoti hai to yeh strongly indicate karegi ke August ka rally dobara shuru ho gaya hai. Aise mein, price ko September 2 ke 193.49 highs tak wapis jaane ki umeed hogi.

GBP/JPY ka Analysis

GBP/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko European trading session ke doran ek reversal experience kiya, apni teen din ki winning streak se retreat karta hua. Yen ki weakness, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke interest rate hikes mein possible delays ke hawale se thi, ko inflation ke barhtay pressure aur government intervention ke against resilient rahne se counter kiya gaya. Japan ka faisla ke wo energy costs ke asar ko kam karne ke liye energy subsidies dein ge, inflation ko barhawa de sakta hai. Yeh government intervention BOJ ke hawkish monetary policy stance ke sath align karta hai, jo ke Tokyo mein inflation ke recent izafay ke bawajood aur mazid reinforce ho gaya hai.

Is ke ilawa, Japanese companies ke capital spending mein strong growth ne bhi BOJ ke tightening bias ko support diya hai. Doosri taraf, UK mein kuch positive economic data ne sterling ko support diya. August mein retail sales ne pichlay 5 mahine ka sab se tez growth dikhaya, aur Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) bhi expansionary level ke upar raha. In indicators ne market expectations ko mazid strong kiya ke Bank of England (BoE) apni current interest rate policy ko September ke upcoming meeting mein maintain karega. Magar November mein rate cut ka high probability abhi bhi mojood hai.



GBP/JPY pair ko apne 16 saal ke high se, jo July mein tha, significant decline ka samna karna para hai, aur is ne 8% se zyada value lose ki hai. Jab ke pair ka recent oversold condition yeh suggest karta hai ke aggressive selling pressure apne end par hai, lekin abhi tak short-term outlook bearish hai. 2024 ke uptrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ab bhi pass mein hai aur downward momentum ko temporarily rok sakta hai. Magar agar yeh level break nahi hota to pair further decline kar ke 188.22 support area tak ja sakta hai, aur shayad us se bhi neeche.

Summary mein, GBP/JPY pair ko ek challenging environment ka samna hai jo ke rising inflation, monetary policy ke uncertainty, aur technical indicators ke hawale se ek potential reversal ka ishara de raha hai. Aane wale economic data aur central bank ke announcements ka pair ke future direction mein ahem kirdar hoga.

GBP/JPY Trading Analysis Update
03-09-2024

Assalam-o-Alaikum doston, aaj raat ke liye mein GBP/JPY currency pair ki movement ka analysis karne ki koshish karunga, jo is waqt kaafi pressure mein hai. Ab sawal yeh hai ke GBP/JPY ki yeh girawat ek trend reversal hai ya sirf ek price correction? Is ka jawab hum technical methods ka istemal karke jaan'ne ki koshish karenge.

H4 timeframe par, jab GBP/JPY currency pair apni base area ko tor kar upar gaya, to iska matlab yeh hai ke major movement ka rukh upar hi rahega. Mera khayal hai ke jo girawat abhi ho rahi hai, wo sirf ek correction hai. GBP/JPY bas apni base area ko dobara test kar raha hai pehle ke wo apni Bullish movement ko continue kare.

Ab hum Moving Average Indicator ka istemal karte hain. H4 timeframe par period 21 aur period 34 ke Moving Averages ko dekhte hain, to abhi tak Moving Average ka direction upar ki taraf hai aur price bhi Moving Average ke area mein hi chal raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi tak Bullish hai aur kisi trend reversal ka koi sign nahi hai.

Meri rai mein, abhi ke price par BUY kaafi behtareen decision hoga. Hum 191.81 par BUY kar sakte hain, aur target set karne ke liye hum resistance area ka istemal kar sakte hain jo ke 198.74 par hai. Stop loss ke liye hum 189.35 ke qareebi support ko use kar sakte hain.



Aakhri baat yeh hai ke jab tak trend Bullish hai, hamesha BUY momentum dhoondne par focus karna chahiye. SELL karne ki koshish na karein kyunki trend ke against jaane par risk zyada hoga aur target opportunities limited hon gi.

Neeche mein ek image bhi laga raha hoon jo ke upar diye gaye analysis ko guide karega. Umeed hai yeh mere tamam doston, Investsocial forum ke members ke liye mufeed hoga.

GBP/JPY ka exchange rate Tuesday ke European session mein kaafi utar chadhav ka shikar raha. Jabke yen par kamzor manufacturing data aur hukoomat ki madakhlat ke wajah se neeche ka pressure tha, British pound ko majboot retail sales aur Bank of England ke hawkish stance ki umeedon se support mila.

Japan ki economy abhi bhi kai masail ka samna kar rahi hai. Bank of Japan ka sood ki sharah barhane mein takheer, jo ke kamzor manufacturing data ke sabab hai, yen par pressure daal raha hai. Hukoomat ka energy subsidies ke liye zyada funds allocate karna, jo logon ki zindagi ke lagat kam karne ke liye hai, lekin yeh inflation mein izafa bhi kar sakta hai. Yeh inflationary pressure BOJ ke hawkish stance ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Lekin doosri taraf, dusray quarter mein companies ki capital spending mein izafa economic growth ka ehtimal bhi zahir karta hai.




UK mein, economy kaafi behtari ke asaar dikha rahi hai. Retail sales ne August mein achi growth dikhayi, jo ke umeedon se behtar thi. Manufacturing PMI bhi 50-point ke upar raha, jo ke expansion ko zahir karta hai. Bank of England apni monetary policy ko stable rakhne ki umeed hai, aur November mein rate hike ka bhi ehtimal hai. Yeh hawkish outlook British pound ke liye support bana raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to GBP/JPY pair mein July ke sharp sell-off ke baad recovery ka phase hai. 200-day simple moving average ke ird-gird consolidation dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke uptrend mein ek rukawat ho sakta hai. Agar yeh pair 200-day SMA se upar break nahi karta, to downward pressure aasakta hai.

GBP/JPY exchange rate dono mulkon ki economic factors ke asar mein hai. Japan ke domestic challenges yen ko kamzor kar rahe hain, jabke British pound ko mazboot economy aur hawkish monetary policy se support mil raha hai. Is pair ka agla rukh in factors ke barabar hone par aur technical hurdles ko paar karne par mabni hoga.