جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

21-Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain
Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai
Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Wasee tor par geopolitical events aur market sentiment GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rate par asar dal sakte hain

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya , jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka kabaro 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai . Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye

GBP-JPY currency pair ka forecast aur analysis Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA aur RSI indicators ke zariye kiya gaya hai, jisme abhi khareedari ke liye ek trading plan banane ka mauka nazar aata hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein qeemat ke value ko kaafi smooth aur average karti hain, trader ko reversal points, correction rollbacks aur impulse price breakthroughs waqt par dekhne ka moka deti hain, jo analysis ko asan banati hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) jaise linear channel indicator ka istemal bhi trading mein kaafi madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance lines dikhata hai, aur ye asset ki movement ke boundaries bhi highlight karta hai.

Iske ilawa, RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal final decision lene ke liye kiya jata hai, jo traded asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. In trading instruments ka istemal technical analysis ko kaafi simplify kar deta hai aur false market entries ko avoid karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Pehle ye kehna zaroori hai ke diye gaye chart par iss waqt jo situation hai, wahan candles ka blue rang signal deta hai ke bulls abhi mazboot hain aur price ko northern direction mein kheench rahe hain, is liye ye ek acha mauka hai ke long positions kholi jayein sabse behtareen prices par.

Price quotes ne linear channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kar diya hai, lekin jab lowest extreme point par aaye to wahan se push lekar central line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) direction li. Is dauran, RSI (14) basement indicator bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai kyun ke ye long position ke conditions ke khilaf nahi hai—uska curve upward direction mein hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. In sab baaton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, hum ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke abhi instrument ka upward movement dominate kar raha hai, aur yahan se khareedari ka acha chance hai. Is liye, long deal open karne ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Take profit ko channel ki upper boundary ke area mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke price mark 194.961 par hai. Market mein profit ko nuksaan mein badalne se bachne ke liye trailing stop orders ka istemal karne ka mashwara diya jata hai jab position profitable zone mein aa jaye, taake zyada se zyada profit hasil kiya ja sake.

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand

**GBP/JPY**

GBP/JPY ke pair ko Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ke saath analyze karte hue, abhi ek trading plan banane ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai jo kharidari ke haq mein hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price value ko noticeably smooth aur average kar deti hain, aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein reversal points, correction rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par dekhna asaan bana deti hain, jo trader analysis ko kafi madadgar banati hain.

TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi ek behtareen madadgar hai jo chart par current support aur resistance lines ko Moving Average (Mashki) ke zariye dikhata hai aur asset movement boundaries ko waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai.

Aur aakhri mein, RSI oscillator indicator final decision lene mein madad karta hai, jo ke traded asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Ye trading instruments ka chunav technical analysis ko kaafi asaan bana deta hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

Chart ko dekhte hue, yeh situation nazar aati hai ke candles blue rang ki hain, jo ke indicate karti hain ke bulls ab strong hain aur price ko north direction mein pull kar rahe hain. Isliye, long positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Price quotes linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar nikal gayi thi, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad, wahan se bounce kar ke channel ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf agay barh gayi hai.

Saath hi, RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko support karta hai kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Isliye, abhi ke upward movement ko dekhte hue, purchases ka achha chance hai, aur long deal open karna ek acha faisla hai. Take profit ko channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke price mark 194.961 par hai. Market ko profit ko minus mein jane se rokne ke liye, trailing stop orders ka istemal karna aur position ko profitable zone mein move karne ke baad zyada profit kamane ki koshish karna behtar hoga.

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kamgay gaya

aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday

evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upa

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya , jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial


currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka kabaro 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai . Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh j

sentiment ki wajah se hui. Lekin, pair ki overall trajectory abhi bhi ek maamool range mein rahi, jo zyadatar Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate stance ke hawalay se chal rahi uncertainty ki wajah se hai. Haal hi mein UK ki inflation aur labor market data ne ek aur BoE rate cut ki imkaan ko kam kar diya hai, jis se pound ko support mil raha hai. Is ke ilawa, UK ke GDP figures upbeat hone ki wajah se spekulasyon hui hai ke BoE apne current interest rate level ko September meeting mein maintain kar sakta hai. Ye factors, aur kamzor hoti Japanese yen ne pair ke upward movement mein hissa dala hai. Japan mein Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke isteefa dene se paida hone wali siyasi be-yaqeeni ne yen ko aur bhi kamzor kiya hai. Yeh cheez mumkin hai ke BoJ ke maqsoodah rate hikes mein takheer ho, lekin investors abhi bhi Japan ke behtar hotay macroeconomic halaat aur mustaqbil ke interest rate increases ke hawalay se optimistic hain. Geopolitical risks yen ki dynamics ko asar andaz karte rehte hain, jo iske tez decline ko limit karte hain. Aanay wali UK PMI preview data aur Japan ke national consumer price index (CPI) ki release se short-term trading opportunities aur dono maeshat ki insight milegi. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ki Jackson Hole Symposium mein appearance se market mein volatility ki tawaqo hai, jo GBP/JPY ko significant momentum de sakti hai. Pair ki recent stabilisation aur aakhri BoE rate cut ke baad pound ki recovery se sentiment mein shift ka imkaan zahir hota hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, Average Directional Index (ADX) yeh indicate kar raha hai ke GBP/JPY ki downtrend mein ease aa rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, aur Stochastic apne moving average aur oversold zone ke upar break kar raha hai, jo current moderate uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 se ooper jaane ki koshish kar sakta hai aur congested 192.57-193.60 zone ko target kar sakta hai, jismein significant technical levels shaamil hain. Lekin, is resistance area ko overcome karne ke liye sustained upward pressure

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

GBP/JPY ke pair ko Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ke saath analyze karte hue, abhi ek trading plan banane ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai jo kharidari ke haq mein hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price value ko noticeably smooth aur average kar deti hain, aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein reversal points, correction rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par dekhna asaan bana deti hain, jo trader analysis ko kafi madadgar banati hain .
TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi ek behtareen madadgar hai jo chart par current support aur resistance lines ko Moving Average (Mashki) ke zariye dikhata hai aur asset movement boundaries ko waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Aur aakhri mein, RSI oscillator indicator final decision lene mein madad karta hai, jo ke traded asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Ye trading instruments ka chunav technical analysis ko kaafi asaan bana deta hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Chart ko dekhte hue, yeh situation nazar aati hai ke candles blue rang ki hain, jo ke indicate karti hain ke bulls ab strong hain aur price ko north direction mein pull kar rahe hain. Isliye, long positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Price quotes linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar nikal gayi thi, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad, wahan se bounce kar ke channel ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf agay barh gayi hai. Saath hi, RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko support karta hai kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Isliye, abhi ke upward movement ko dekhte hue, purchases ka achha chance hai, aur long deal open karna ek acha faisla hai. Take profit ko channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke price mark 194.961 par hai. Market ko profit ko minus mein jane se rokne ke liye, trailing stop orders ka istemal karna aur position ko profitable zone mein move karne ke baad zyada profit kamane ki koshish karna behtar h

Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary school policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta

21-Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain
Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai
Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Wasee tor par geopolitical events aur market sentiment GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rate par

Aaj raat daily time frame par bullish candles ban rahi hain. Ye formation abhi ke liye temporary hai kyunki Monday ka market abhi khatam nahi hua. Prices 0.8410 se positive movement dikha rahi hain jo ke ek daily resistance aur weekly open hai. High Friday se zyada ban gaya hai, lekin bullish candle ki integrity jo baad mein form hogi wo future price movements ke liye reference banegi. Friday ko dekhte hue, sellers jo dominance continue karne ki koshish kar rahe the, wo fail ho gaye kyunki price ne 0.8399 se positive reversal dikhaya. Lekin buyers ki strength abhi tak intact nahi hai kyunki sellers ne price ko phir se dabaya, jisse price jo high 0.8426 tak pohnchi thi, wapas gir gayi. Aakhir mein Friday ki price movement se doji candle bani. Agar is waqt buyers resistance 0.8436 ko break karne mein successful hote hain, to price ke higher positive movement ka chance hai jiska target daily resistance 0.8477 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ye fail hota hai, to price 0.8410 ke area tak wapas aa sakti hai aur agar ye area bhi break hota hai, to bearish gap khul sakta hai aur weakening dobara dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily abhi bhi down point kar rahe hain jo price movement ke negative hone ki indication hai. EMA 200 daily jo price movement ke upar hai, daily trend ko bearish dikhata hai. Stochastic daily market conditions ko oversold ki taraf indicate kar raha hai. Is situation se lagta hai ke price correction phase mein enter kar sakti hai.