جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD-JPY Pair Forecast

Agar hum current journey par nazar daalein, kam az kam humein pata hai ke USD/JPY pair apne increase ko return karne ki koshish kar raha hai jahan 155.76 zone mein ek bounce hua hai, aur abhi tak candlestick is zone ko penetrate karne mein nakam raha hai. Market prices ke track record ko dekhte hue jo ke hafte ki shuruaat se shuru hota hai, yeh kaafi clear hai ke trend uptrend ki taraf hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein candlestick abhi bhi downwards move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, jo mere khayal mein ek correction situation thi. Agar aap choti time frame, maslan 4 ghante dekhein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke ab price upar jaane wali hai aur lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi zyada bullish ho sakta hai.
Ab candlestick 157.84 price zone ke upar survive kar sakti hai, mere khayal mein, yeh woh zone hai jo next market direction ko determine karega. Maujooda market conditions ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke price movement upward direction mein tend kar rahi hai, bilkul kal ke market conditions ki tarah, to weekend ke trading period ke liye lagta hai ke price movement abhi bhi bullish run kar sakti hai. Ek benchmark area ke tor par jo hum is trade mein position open karne ke liye use karenge, hum latest market trend ke mutabiq opportunities par rely karte hain. Agar aap current market trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, to yeh profit banane ke opportunities ko khol sakta hai.
Buyers ko predict kiya gaya hai ke market ko control karenge jab tak market is weekend close hota hai. Next target bullish ho sakta hai 158.61 area ko pursue karna. Aaj aur future mein USD/JPY market ke liye trading plan ke tor par, main Buy trading option ko prefer karta hoon. Jab tak 155.46 price zone sellers se pass nahi hota, ek stable trend bullish run karne ka rujhan hai. Halanki market ke paas apni Uptrend journey ko continue karne ka zyada chance hai, lekin yeh behtareen hoga ke bearish opportunities ko nazarandaz na kiya jaye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain.

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91 rewrite in roman urdu

pair apne increase ko return karne ki koshish kar raha hai jahan 155.76 zone mein ek bounce hua hai, aur abhi tak candlestick is zone ko penetrate karne mein nakam raha hai. Market prices ke track record ko dekhte hue jo ke hafte ki shuruaat se shuru hota hai, yeh kaafi clear hai ke trend uptrend ki taraf hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein candlestick abhi bhi downwards move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, jo mere khayal mein ek correction situation thi. Agar aap choti time frame, maslan 4 ghante dekhein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke ab price upar jaane wali hai aur lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi zyada bullish ho sakta hai. Ab candlestick 157.84 price zone ke upar survive kar sakti hai, mere khayal mein, yeh woh zone hai jo next market direction ko determine karega. Maujooda market conditions ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke price movement upward direction mein tend kar rahi hai, bilkul kal ke market conditions ki tarah, to weekend ke trading period ke liye lagta hai ke price movement abhi bhi bullish run kar sakti hai. Ek benchmark area ke tor par jo hum is trade mein position open karne ke liye use karenge, hum latest market trend ke mutabiq opportunities par rely karte hain. Agar aap current market trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, to yeh profit banane ke opportunities ko khol sakta hai.
Buyers ko predict kiya gaya hai ke market ko control karenge jab tak market is weekend close hota hai. Next target bullish ho sakta hai 158.61 area ko pursue karna. Aaj aur future mein USD/JPY market ke liye trading plan ke tor par, main Buy trading option ko prefer karta hoon. Jab tak 155.46 price zone sellers se pass nahi hota, ek stable trend bullish run karne ka rujhan hai. Halanki market ke paas apni Uptrend journey ko continue karne ka zyada chance hai, lekin yeh behtareen hoga ke bearish opportunities ko nazarandaz na kiya jaye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain

GBP/JPY currency pair pe dhyan diye jaane wale traders ke liye H1 (ghante ke) time frame par, din bhar ke kharidariyon ke liye ek maqsood manfiyat ka tajwez hai. Ek qabil-e-amal strategy yeh hai ke aham sahara darjaton par kharidari ke mouke dekha jaye. Is maqam mein, pehla sahara darja jo ghor kiya jana chahiye, 156.200 par hai. Yeh darja aksar keemat ke liye ek mazboot sahara ka kaam karta hai, jahan peechle neeche ki harkatain qadeem tareen tor par sahara milti hain aur baad mein ooper chalang lagati hai. Dusra sahara darja jo nazar rakha jaye, 156.340 par hai. Yeh darja thora ooncha hai aur keemat ko stabilize karne ke liye ek ahem zone faraham karta hai jahan qeemat ko ooper chalne se pehle mehfooz kiya ja sakta hai. Traders aksar aise sahara darjaton ko kharidariyon ke dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar banate hain, keemat mein ulte ko ya phir qeemat mein phir se ooper jaane ki umeed par daav lagate hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne trading capital ko hifazat mein rakhte hain




GBP/JPY ke case mein, 157.500 level ke approach ne market scrutiny aur trading activity ko barhaya hai. Ye level, jo 157.00 aur 158.00 ke darmiyan hai, ek ahem psychological barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai. Traders isay aik potential turning point ya aham mark samajh sakte hain jo future price direction ko indicate kar sakta hai. Is tarah traders is level ke aas paas reactions ke liye tayyari rakhte hain jis se heightened volatility aur tezi se price movements dekhi ja sakti hain. Mazeed, psychological levels aksar self-fulfilling prophecies ki tarah kaam karte hain. Boht se traders in levels ko ahem samajhte hain, aur is liye apni trades usi mutabiq place karte hain. Jab zyadatar market participants kisi psychological level par reaction expect karte hain, to un ke collective actions ki wajah se predicted reaction asani se ho jata hai. Misal ke tor par, agar bohot se traders 157.500 level par resistance expect karte hain aur is liye wahan sell orders place karte hain, to resulting selling pressure asal mein price ko rukne ya palatne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo psychological levels ki ahmiyat par iradah ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Forex market mein zehni satah ke maqamat ka kirdar intehai aham hota hai. Ye maqamat aise specific points hote hain jo trading ke liye focus areas ban jaate hain. In maqamat ko samajhna aur pehchanna traders ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai, kyun ke ye market ke behavior aur price movements ke hawale se qabil-e-itimaad isharaat faraham karte hain.

Zehni satah ke maqamat ko technical analysis ke zariye identify kiya ja sakta hai. In mein support aur resistance levels shamil hote hain. Support level wo maqam hota hai jahan price ne gir kar rok jana hota hai aur phir wapas upar jane ki umeed hoti hai. Resistance level wo maqam hota hai jahan price ne barh kar rok jana hota hai aur phir wapas niche ane ki umeed hoti hai. Ye maqamat aise zones hain jahan institutional traders bohot zyada activity dikhate hain, kyun ke unhein in levels pe buy ya sell orders place karne ki umeed hoti hai.

Institutional traders ke ilawa, retail traders bhi zehni satah ke maqamat ka faida uthate hain. Retail traders asan technical analysis tools ka istemal karte hain jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, aur trend lines, taake in levels ko identify kar saken. Ye levels unhein market ke possible reversals ya breakouts ke bare mein pehle se agah karte hain, jo unhein trading decisions lene mein madadgar sabit hote hain.

Algorithmic trading systems bhi zehni satah ke maqamat ko madde nazar rakhte hain. In systems ko is tarah se program kiya jata hai ke wo specific price levels pe orders execute karen. Algorithms market ke data ko analyze karte hain aur agar price kisi specific level pe pohanchta hai ya usko cross karta hai, to wo accordingly trade karte hain. Is tarah, in automated systems ka bhi zehni satah ke maqamat se faida uthana ek important aspect hota hai.

Zehni satah ke maqamat ka forex market mein aham kirdar is liye bhi hai kyun ke ye market ke psychology ko reflect karte hain. Jab price kisi important level ke qareeb hota hai, to market participants emotional reactions dikhate hain jo buying ya selling pressure mein izafa karte hain. Ye emotional reactions market ke trend ko influence karte hain aur price action ko drive karte hain.

Aakhir mein, zehni satah ke maqamat ko samajhna aur use karna forex trading ka ek zaroori hissa hai. Ye maqamat market ke mukhtalif hisson mein ek aham role ada karte hain aur inhein analyze karne se traders ko better trading decisions lene mein madad milti hai. Chahe aap institutional trader hain, retail trader hain, ya algorithmic trading system ka istemal kar rahe hain, zehni satah ke maqamat aapki trading strategy ka ek integral part hone chahiye.

GBP/JPY ne charhdav ka silsila jari rakha hai, aur buyers ke liye choudah lagataar jeet ka silsila rahe. Is bullish surge ne ek naye saal ka uncha qeemat haasil kiya hai, magar ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai. Jabke overall trend positive hai, momentum kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo overbought conditions ka paimana hai, ab extreme highs ko chhoone ke baad thanda pad raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ek potential retracement shuru ho raha hai, jo ke already underway hai jabke pair 200.00 ke psychologically important level se neeche gir gaya hai.

Technical indicators ek mixed picture paint karte hain. Agar GBP/JPY Kijun-Sen support level 199.03 se neeche girta hai, to yeh 197.54 ki taraf aur girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke Senkou Span A se mark hota hai. Agar crucial 197.00 level, jo ke turning point (Tenkan-Sen) 196.05 pe coincide karta hai, se neeche break hota hai, to yeh ek zyada significant reversal ko signal kar sakta hai. Magar, bulls abhi tak fight se bahar nahi hue hain. Agar pair 200.00 ke upar return karta



hai, to buying pressure dobara barh sakta hai, aur yeh year-to-date high 200.74 ka retest kar sakta hai. Yeh level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke isne Bank of Japan ko April ke aakhri dino mein market mein do dafa intervene karne pe majboor kiya tha yen ko kamzor karne ke liye.
Aaj mai 4-hour period par tawajju dena chahta hoon kyunke kuch technical points hain jo mujhe interest dete hain jaise ke woh point jahan bulls level tak pohanchte hain pehle, jaise ke mai sochta hoon, ek mukammal reversal se pehle. Chart par dekh sakte hain ke price 1/1 angle ke neeche hai, jo mere khayal se bulls pohanchne mein kamiyab hue hain. Halaanki, haal hi mein reversal ke hints already maujood hain, magar chhote periods se dekh kar lagta hai ke bulls aakhri northern impulse banana chahte hain.
Agar support level 198.67 toot jata hai, to girawat jari rahegi. Agar aaj hum 200.60 ke range ko tor lete hain, jahan resistance maujood hai, aur iske upar consolidate karte hain, to yeh buy ka signal hoga. Shayad hum 200.80 ke range ka ek false breakdown dekhain, uske baad rate gir sakta hai. 200.80 ke range mein resistance hai, phir girawat jari rahegi.Buyer se strong pressure ki waja se, aur 200.75 ke range ke upar rate ko mazbooti milne ke chalte, best hai ke hum sell karein. Agar hum 198.75 ke range ko tor kar uske neeche consolidate karte hain, to yeh sell ka signal hoga. Jab hum 200.75 ke range ko tor lete hain, growth jari rahegi aur aap buy kar sakte hain. Agar hum 200.70 ke range ko tor kar uske upar consolidate karte hain, to growth jari rahegi.

Rozana wakia ki taqreeban analysis mein GBPJPY jodi mein.

GBP/JPY ke liye Juma ko price behad confidently uttar ki taraf push hui, jis ki wajah se aik puri bullish mombati bani, jo aasani se resistance level ke oopar consolidate ho gai, jisay meri markings ke mutabiq 197.056 par tha. Moujooda surat mein, main poori taqreer karta hoon ke agle haftay uttari movement jaari rahegi aur is surat mein, main resistance level par nazar rakhna chahta hoon, jo ke 199.777 par hai ya phir resistance level, jo 200.539 par hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, halat ke taraqqi ke do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidation aur mazeed uttar ki movement se mutalliq hai. Agar yeh mansooba kam karta hai, to main price ka resistance level 207.995 par pohanchne ka intezar karonga.

Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke ban jane ka intezar karonga, jo further trading ke rukh ko maloom karne mein madad karega. Bila shuba, main tasleem karta hoon ke price mazeed uttar ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai jo 215.892 par wala resistance level ke qareeb hai, lekin yahan par halat dekhne ki zaroorat hogi aur sab kuch us par mabni hoga ke price kese reagi designated bohot door ki uttari targets ki taraf chalte hue kaisi news background add hoga. Jab resistance level 199.777 ya resistance level 200.539 ke qareeb pahunche gi to tareeqa kara shay macbari sham candle ke formation ke sath aur price ki madaraja barayan ka makhraj hai.

Agar yeh mansooba kam karte hain, to main price ke sudharne ka intezar karonga Jo 197.056 ya support level, jo 195.044 par hai. Main inn support levels ke qareeb mombati alaamton ka talash jaari rakonga, utar ki price movement ke dobara honay ka intezar karte hue. Bila shuba, mazeed door southern targets ka wazar bhi ho sakta hai, lekin main abhi tak inke tezi se dene ki koi umeed nahi dekh raha hoon. Aam tor par, chand alfaaz mein kahon to agle haftay main mashriqi ki taraf chalte hue aga mein qareebi resistance level tak jaari rakhna behtar samjhta hoon, aur phir woh be ijaazat fayz hasool.

GBP/JPY ke price action ko analyze karte hue, humein nazar aata hai ke bullish trend mazboot hai aur price ne historical levels ko touch kiya hai. MACD indicator ka bearish divergence ne kuch selling pressure introduce kiya, lekin price phir se rebound hui aur upward momentum gain kiya. Fibonacci grid ke targets aur historical resistance levels ko dekhte hue, trading opportunities identify karna zaroori hai. Market dynamics aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karte rehna chahiye, taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Aaj, GBP/JPY market kholnay par koi khaas herat angaiz waaqiaat nahi huay. Asian trading session ke doran keemat ka nichay ki taraf rawana hua, kuch farokht dabao ki ishaarat dete hue. Is dakhli harkat ke bawajood, yeh mumkin hai ke trend European aur American sessions mein mukhtalif ho jaye. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke keemat apni oopri harkat ko dobara shuru karegi aur qareeb tareen resistance level par jayegi, jo maine 200.539 par pehchaana hai. Jab hum European trading session mein dakhil hotay hain, to market dynamics badalne ki sambhavna hoti hai. European session aksar zyada liquidity aur buland trading volumes ke saath ata hai, jo ke qeemat mein zyada numaya harkaton ka bais banta hai. Mojudah takneeki setup ke mutabiq, mujhe yeh umeed hai ke jodi neeche ke staron par sahara dhundh legi aur European traders market mein dakhil hone par kharidari ke dilchaspi ko kheenchenge. Kharidaron ke yeh aa jane se keemat ko mustehkam karne mein madad mil sakti hai aur aik mumkin ulta chaal ka mansooba tyar ho sakta hai.
Abhi GBP/JPY 200.48 levels par trade kar raha hai. H4 chart par dekha jaye to price 200.62 ke resistance zone ke kareeb hai. Chart par 50 aur 100 SMA (Simple Moving Averages) ne bullish movement ke liye crossover kiya hai, jo ke ek positive indicator hai ke price upward direction me move kar sakti hai. Lekin, aaj raat Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki news ane wali hai, jiski wajah se market me uncertainty hai aur movements slow hain. Ye news traders ke liye bohot important hoti hai kyunki is se future interest rates ke baare me hints mil sakti hain, jo forex market par bohot asar dalti hain.

Abhi ke liye price 197.16 aur 200.62 levels ke beech me fluctuate kar rahi hai. Agar price 200.62 resistance zone ko break karti hai aur uspe sustain karti hai, to humein further bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Wahan se next target levels 202 aur 203 ho sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price niche girti hai aur 197.16 ka support level break hota hai, to price 195 aur 193 ke levels tak bhi ja sakti hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo FOMC news ka intezar karein aur uske baad hi apne trades execute karein. News ke baad market me volatility barh sakti hai, isliye risk management par focus rakhna bohot zaruri hai. Apne stop-loss levels ko theek se define karein aur impulsive trading se bachain.

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis


Yeh chart GBP/JPY ka 4-hour timeframe ka hai, jo humein is currency pair ka technical outlook dikhata hai.

Sabse pehle, hum dekh sakte hain ke price action mein recent decline hua hai. May ke aakhri haftay se lekar June ke pehle haftay tak, price mostly ek range-bound movement mein thi. Yeh range approx 198.00 se 202.00 ke beech thi. Lekin, June ke second week mein ek significant drop dekhne ko mila hai.

Moving averages (MAs) par nazar daalein:

• Red line (50-period MA) ne kuch samay ke liye support provide kiya, magar recent drop ne isey breach kar diya.
• Black line (200-period MA) bhi recently breach hui hai, jo ek bearish signal hai.

Parabolic SAR (green dots) ka position bhi yeh indicate karta hai ke current trend bearish hai. Dots price ke upar hain, jo selling pressure ko dikhate hain.

Support aur resistance levels:

• 202.00 ek major resistance level tha jo pehle support ke taur par kaam kar raha tha, magar ab resistance ban gaya hai.
• 198.00 ek important support level hai jo abhi recent drop ke baad price ko hold kar raha hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh agla support approx 197.00 ke paas hoga.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator bhi currently 40 ke qareeb hai, jo keek oversold condition ki taraf indicate kar raha hai. Yeh batata hai ke short-term mein kuch relief rally ya consolidation ho sakti hai.

Market sentiment aur key economic data par bhi focus rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh indicators GBP/JPY ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain.

In conclusion, GBP/JPY ka current technical outlook bearish hai. Moving averages aur support/resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar 198.00 ka support level hold kar leta hai, toh kuch short-term bullish movement ho sakti hai. Magar agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh 197.00 ka next support target hoga. Traders ko cautiously trade karna chahiye aur market sentiment aur technical indicators ka jaizah lete rehna chahiye.

Stay vigilant and happy trading!

ke resistance 200.530 ki taraf barhta rahe. Do hafton se yeh resistance ki taraf rally kar raha hai. Filhal position ko daily aur H4 time frame mein SMA5 dynamic support ka sahara mil raha hai. Agar position RBS area 198.184 par barqaraar rahe aur SBR area 198.441 ko cross kar jaye, toh momentum ko buy option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Target ko SBR area 199.234 par bullish opportunities ko dekhne ke liye direct kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh SBR area ko overcome karne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh SMA5 dynamic support ke taraf push ho sakta hai, jo weekly period mein196.070 ke price range mein hai, jo H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke around hai. Yeh isliye ke yahan tak pohchne ke liye kaafi wide gap hai, jab yeh last week significantly strengthened hua tha. Agar yeh resistance ke around reject hone ki confirmation mil jaye aur reversal signs show kare, toh yeh momentum sell option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Buyers' Efforts Buyers abhi bhi prices ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo pichle mahine ke end par fall hua tha. Prices un peak figures ke kareeb aa rahe hain jo unhone kabhi achieve kiye thay. Lekin market conditions overbought ke signs dikhate hain. Agar prices is situation ka response karein, toh decline ho sakta hai. Bullish trend daily time frame par read kiya ja sakta hai jahan EMA 200 position current price movement se kaafi neeche hai. Significant weakening ke bawajood, yeh condition EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke behavior ko significantly change nahi karti. Yeh dono small EMAs abhi bhi upwards stick Current Market Conditions Aaj koi bade movements dekhne ko nahi mile. Prices abhi bhi 197.58 area ke around hain jo is hafte ka weekly open hai. Prices Friday ke high 197.83 se bhi door nahi gaye. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehne aur Friday ke high ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh strengthening target daily resistance 198.88 se 201.07 tak ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price weekly open ke upar rehne mein nakam hoti hai, toh EMA 12 line correction ka target ban sakti hai. Friday ke candle ka formation jo almost perfect bullish candle dikhata hai jahan high aur low 196.76 aur 197.83 the, yeh possible hai ke price upar ki taraf move kare, lekin market ke overbought levelweakness ko rokne ki, to ek intervention ka mauka ho sakta hai. Kuch technical indicators uptrend ko support karte hain, jaise ke Average Directional Movement Index (ADX), jo ke strong directional movement ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi overbought zone mein hai, jo ke current

ki raah par hai. Jabki overall trend musbat hai, lekin momentum kamzor hone ka andaaza lagta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo overbought shara'it ka ek paemana hai, ab extreme highs tak pahunch kar thanda hone laga hai. Ye ek potential retracement ki


taraf ishaara karta hai, jo ke pehle se shuru ho chuka hai jab pair psychologically important level 200.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai. Technical indicators ek mix tasveer pesh karte hain. Agar GBP/JPY Kijun-Sen support level 199.03 ke neeche gir jaata hai, to ye ek mazeed giravat ko trigger kar sakta hai jo Senkou Span A ke saath 197.54 tak pahunch jaayega. Ek crucial 197.00 level ke neeche gir jaane par, jo ke Tenkan-Sen ke turning point (196.05) ke saath milta hai, ek zyada significant reversal ki nishani ho sakti hai. Magar, bulls abhi tak ladai mein nahi haare hain. 200.00 ke oopar lautein ek baar phir buying pressure ko phir se jala sakti hai, jise pair ko saal ke taaza unchaayi 200.74 ki taraf le jaane ka potential hai. Ye level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke ye Bank of Japan ko late April mein do baar market mein interference karne par majboor kiya tha Yen ko kamzor karne ke liye Bank of Japan ek wildcard factor bani rehti hai. 27th May ko US markets bandh hain, agar Bank ko zaroorat mehsoos hoti hai Yen ki kamzori ko rokne ke liye toh ek intervention ka darwaza khul gaya hai. Mumkin headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators abhi bhi uptrend ki taraf mael karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne March-June 2023 ki rally se le kar apni highest level tak pahunch gaya hai, jo ek mazboot directional movement ko dikhata hai. Usi tarah, Stochastic indicator phir se overbought zone mein hai, mojooda bullish momentum ko taqwiyat deta hua. Magar, RSI ka qareeb se jhaankne par bullish armor mein ek shakhsiyat ki nishaani nazar aati hai. Indicator ko zyada highs banane mein kamyabi nahi milti, jo kuch underling weakness ko darust karti hai. Agar bulls ko control mein rakhna hai, toh unhein GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke upar rakhna hoga aur nihayat mein April 29th ki unchaayi 200.50 ko dobaara test karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar safal tor par breakthrough hota hai toh Japanese authorities ka ek

GBPJPY pair ki price Asian session se upar move kar rahi thi, lekin European session mein entry karte hi yeh decrease hoti nazar aayi. Agar hum dhyan dein, toh ek perfect bearish engulfing candlestick pattern nazar aata hai kyunke candle ka body aur shadow/tail pehle bullish candlestick se exceed kar rahe hain. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jiska accuracy level kaafi high hota hai aur yeh price ko niche correct karne ka encouragement deta hai. Note karein ke trend direction ab bhi bullish condition mein hai, isliye price decline sirf ek correction phase tak limited hai. Agar price jo EMA 50 ki taraf ja rahi hai, downward correction ko continue karne mein fail hoti hai, toh upward price bounce dobara high prices 201.28 ko re-test kar sakti hai. Waisa hi, price 199.91 ke low prices ko test karne ka potential rakhti hai taake ek break of structure ho sake.

toh unhe GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke upar rakhna hoga aur aakhir kaar April 29th ka high 200.50 ko retest karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar successful break hota hai, toh yeh Japanese authorities ke taraf se ek aur intervention ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo potential losses ko lead kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, bulls aur bears ek tug-of-war mein engaged hain. Aane wale din yeh determine karne mein crucial honge ke pair ki direction kya hogi aur kya uptrend apni momentum ko maintain kar sakta hai



MACD indicator ko observe karte hue, aisa lagta hai ke histogram jo level 0 ya positive area ke upar remain karta hai, ab bhi uptrend momentum show karta hai. Lekin yeh Stochastic indicator se mukhtalif hai jo price movements ka downward correction indicate karta hai kyunke parameter ab tak level 20 - 10 ke oversold zone ko cross nahi kiya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price bullish trend aur uptrend momentum ke same direction mein wapas aaye jab parameter oversold zone ko successfully cross kare jo ke saturation point sale achieve hone ko indicate karta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke trading plan kaafi clear hai bullish trend conditions aur price pattern structure ko dekhte hue jo ab bhi higher high - higher low show karta hai. Position entry tab place ki jaye jab price downward correction phase complete kare jo ke likely EMA 50 ya price range 200.42 ke aas paas hoga. Confirmation ka intezar valid Stochastic indicator parameter ke oversold zone mein level 20 - 10 ko cross karne ka hai. Waisa hi, MACD indicator uptrend momentum ko positive area mein maintain karne ke liye kaafi lagta hai. Take profit ko high prices 201.28 pe place kiya ja sakta hai aur stop loss ko low prices 199.91 ke around rakha ja sakta hai.

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Shaapaki
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Shaapaki
تاریخِ شمولیت: Jun 2024
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attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of


a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91 rewrite in roman urdu

GBP/JPY: Price overview
GBP/JPY market abhi musbat jazbat ka samna kar raha hai, jis se kharidaroun ke liye mauqaat paida ho rahe hain. Ye bullish trend kai factors se taqwiyat paata hai. Sab se pehle, UK ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rate mustahkam raha hai, jo Pound Sterling (GBP) ke liye mazboot bunyadi asas hai. Ye mustaqil panj rehmati kharidaroun ko yakeen deta hai ke unke GBP mein maal ki qeemat mein bari taizi nahi aaye gi. Dusra, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke aane wale announcements ka intezar sab se zyada hai. BOJ ke Monetary Policy, Policy Rate aur Press Conference mein Japanese Yen (JPY) ki current direction par roshni dalne ki ummeed hai. BOJ ki monetary policy par unka rukh samajhna GBP/JPY market mein maqbool faislon ko karne ke liye ahem sabit hoga. Mojudah indicators ke mutabiq, mazboot imkan hai ke GBP/JPY pair aane wale ghanton mein 201.32 zone ko paar kar jaye. Ye bullish jazbat mehfooz kharidari dabao se taqwiyat pa raha hai, jo baazaar ko mustawar tor par ooncha le ja raha hai. Kharidaroun ne ab tak numayaarayi ke tamam muzahirey ko kamyabi se hal kar liya hai. Magar, musbat outlook ke bawajood, ihtiyati bhi zaroori hai.



Yeh aksar trader ko trap karta hai jo munafa barhane ki umeed mein khareedta hai. Aise breakout ke baad rukh ki palatne par, keemat tezi se gir jati hai jab ye traders apne positions band karte hain. Agar keemat 170.25 ke level tak girne ke baad correction ho, to yeh ek clear buy signal ho sakta hai. Is level ko kuch saalon ke liye short-term support ke tor par consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur isko tootna matlab tezi se giravat ki taraf hai. Traders ke liye keemat girne ka darr hai jo kharidari ko rokta hai. Agar 170.20 ke level par significant breakout ho, to hum taqat mein rehte hain. Agar keemat 170.25 ke level tak girne ke baad correction ho, to yeh ek buy signal ho sakta hai. Lekin mumkin hai ke keemat 170.85 ke level ke upar break kare aur uske upar ek jam khule, to yeh buy signal consider kiya ja sakta hai. Jab keemat badhti hai, khareedna pehla option ban jata hai.