جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

kamiyabi ke liye ahem hai. Haal hil mein GBP/JPY exchange rate mein hui harkat is baat ka zinda misaal hai ke in factors ka ahmiyat hai jo traders aur investors ko maqool faislay ke raste par le jaate hain. Psychological levels forex trading mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain, kyun ke ye ahem keemat ke levels hote hain jo aksar maqool market reactions ko trigger karte hain. Ye levels, jaise ke gol numbers ya tareekhi uncha/neechay, market participants ke liye psychological ahmiyat rakhte hain aur inka trading behavior par asar hota hai. Misal ke taur par, agar koi currency pair bara gol number jaise 200.00 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to traders is level ki ahmiyat ke natayej ke matabiq kharidari ya farokhtari ke zyada levels ka samna kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis, doosri taraf, past market data, zyada tarkeen se price aur volume, ka mutala karta hai taake future price movements ka tasawwur banaya ja sake. Chart patterns, trend lines, aur technical indicators traders ke istemal ki jane wali tools mein se hain taake market mein potential opportunities aur risks ko pehchana ja sake. Aise patterns mein se ek pattern jo traders khaas tor par dekhte hain woh double tops ya double bottoms ke banne ka, jo aksar mojooda trend mein ikhtiyar hone ka signal dete hain. GBP/JPY currency pair ke case mein, 193.48 ke aaspaas double tops ka paida hona yeh ishara deta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, jisse ke neeche ki janib ek correctuve move ka rasta ban sakta hai.


Is ke ilawa, traders aksar moving averages par bharosa karte hain taake trend ke rukh aur quwwat ko samajh sakein. Moving averages price fluctuations ko smooth out karte hain aur mool trend ka tasveeri mawad faraham karte hain. Mukhtalif moving averages ka ittehad ya ikhtilaf market ki jazbat ko samajhne mein qabil-e-qadar insights faraham kar sakte hain. Maujooda manzar mein, do Exponential Moving Averages ke positions ka tasali baksh taur par sellers ke liye adjust hona ek momentum ka shift dikhata hai bearish janib ki taraf, jo ke GBP/JPY currency pair mein neeche ki taraf ek correction ke liye mowajib ho

Pound ki taizi kam hui jab Japanese Yen (JPY) mazboot ho gaya. GBP/JPY pair ne apnay Tuesday ke faiday ko kho diya aur Asian trading mein Wednesday ko kareeb 188.70 tak gir gaya. Ye tabdeeli speculation ki bina par hui hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) March mein interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Kayi factors JPY ki izafa aur GBP ki kami ko barhwa rahay hain. Sab se pehlay, Japan ke labor market se achi nishanat samne aai hain. Renju, Japan ka bara union, ne wage negotiations mein shandar 5.85% ki izafa ko hasil kiya hai, jo teen dasroon mein pehli dafa 5% se zyada hai. Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi Yoshimasa ne bhi broad-based wage hikes ki khuwahish ko izhar kiya hai. Ye mazbooti wage growth, producer inflation data ke higher-than-expected hone ke sath, BoJ ko monetary policy ko pehlay se zyada jaldi tighten karne ke liye suggest karta hai. Ye soorat-e-haal JPY ko mazboot karta hai aur GBP/JPY pair ko kamzor karta hai. Waqt ke sath, UK ki economic outlook nahi nazar aati. UK mein wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai. Average earnings, including bonuses, November 2023 aur January 2024 ke darmiyan 5.6% tak gir gayi hai, pehle se 5.8% se. Bonuses ko chhod kar, tasveer wahi hai, saalana wage growth 6.1% se 6.2% par girti hai. Ye data Bank of England (BoE) ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne ki umeedon ko barha deta hai, Pound par neechay ki dabao daalta hai. abke Pound haal mein behtar tareen major currencies mein se aik tha, Commerzbank ke analaysts iski lambay arsay ki taqat par ihtiyat se nazar rakhte hain. Mojooda raftar nazar se bohat hi nazuk hai, aur 20-day EMA (exponential moving average) jo ke 189.50 par hai, iske neeche girna aagay ke izafa ko dor kar sakta hai. Ye GBP/JPY ke qeemat ko 50-day EMA jo 187.50 par hai, ki taraf khench sakta hai aur mukhtalif satah ko dobara test karne ki taraf ja sakta hai jaise ke 186.00 base aur 184.00-184.50 ilaqa. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY jodi ko nichlay dabao ka saamna hai agar market behtar na ho aur prices ko 191.14 ke darja se oopar nahi uthaya jata. Yen ki taqat, Japan mein tang monetary policy ki umeedon aur musbat wage developments se barhi hai, jabke UK ki wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai aur BoE ke rate cuts ke izafe ki tawaqo ki baat chal rahi hai. Ye mukhtalif ma'ashiyati signals currency pair mein hal hilne ki wajah hain.
lekin amomi tor par trend bullish hai, aur bull ke control mein gains ne 192.24 resistance level tak pohancha, jabke analysis likhne waqt 191.20 level ke aas paas stable ho gaya. Risk appetite aur Japanese yen ki kamzori jo ke Japanese intervention ka intezar karte huye, ye ensure karte hain ke is haftay bull trend ko control karein.
Iqtisadi lehaz se aur global central bank policy ke future ke hawale se. Major Bank of England survey inflation expectations mein decline confirm karta hai. Yeh further signs hain ke UK business inflation expectations ghatey ja rahe hain, jo ke Bank of England ko June mein interest rates cut karne ka bet strengthen karte hain. Is rawayya mein, Bank of England ki taraf se conduct kiye gaye DMP survey ke mutabiq Britain ke companies mein consumer price index inflation expectations next year tak March mein 3.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke February mein 3.3% se kamzor ho gaya.

Unki taraf se, economists ka kehna hai ke inflation expectations achieved inflation ka ek ahem hissa hain, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke girte hue inflation expectations Bank of England ko 2.0% target mein wapas laane ka ishara hain. Economic calendar data ke natije ke mutabiq, British Consumer Price Index ke liye 3 saal ke liye inflation expectations March tak 2.7% tak gir gaya, yani February ke 3 mahinon ke muqable mein 0.1 percentage points kam ho gaya. Halankay inflation expectations continue girte ja rahe hain, lekin yeh medium-term expectations bank ke 2.0% target se kafi ooper hain. Bank of England ke kuch members halaat ka faisla karte hain ke interest rates ko lamba arsa 5.25% par rakhna zaroori hai ke 2.0% target achieve ho sake, jabke Governor Andrew Bailey jese doosre members ko June mein rate cut ka lean nazar aata hai.

Magar, inflation expectations mein giravat aur companies in Britain ke dynamics clearly lower hain. Special price inflation ka annual rate March tak 3 mahinon ke liye 4.1% expect kiya gaya, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 4.3% se kam ho gaya.

Magar wage growth, domestic inflationary pressures ka mukhya driver, high hai, lekin downward trend mein hai. Annual wage growth March tak 3 mahinon ke liye 6.4% tak pohancha, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 0.3 percentage points se kam ho gaya. 3 mahinon ke averages ke mutabiq, UK businesses apni pay growth ko next 12 months mein 1.5 percentage points girne ki umeed rakhte hain. Expected wage growth next year 3 mahinon ke moving average ke mutabiq 4.9% tak gir gaya.

Annual employment growth March tak 2.0% raha, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 2.3% record kiya gaya tha. Expected employment growth next year March tak 1.4% raha, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 0.2 percentage points se kam ho gaya. Yeh aur saboot deta hai ke labor market conditions mein easing hai, jo ke wage growth ko continue fade hone mein madadgar hai aur inflation sustainably target tak gir sakti hai.

GBP-JPY Jodi Tahlil

GBP-JPY jodi ki daam ab tak dopahar tak oopar ki taraf ja rahi hai, uncle. Is liye agar aage bhi daam oopar ki taraf jaari rahe, to mumkin hai ke GBP-JPY jodi ko utarna jaari rahe aur main sirf aaj ki trading mein aik khareed ka order denay ka iraada karta hoon aur umeed hai ke faida ho.

Aik technical nazarie se, RSI 14 indicator ka istemaal karte hue strategy abhi 50% ke darmiyani qeemat se oopar hai, jo ke 54% ke darmiyan hai. Iska matlab hai ke GBP-JPY jodi ki daam ka intizam aaj dopahar tak barh raha hai.

Aaj, gbpjpy currency pair ka movement abhi bhi kharidaron ke zair e qabza hai, jo ke 151.60 ke daam tak barhne ka imkaan hai. Yeh ho sakta hai kyun ke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ke movement ne aik bullish hammer candlestick aur aik bullish engulfing candle bana li hai, jo ke humare liye GBPJPY ko aaj tak 151.60 ke daam tak khareedne ka bohat mazboot signal hai. Iske alawa, relative strength index 14 indicator ne kaha hai ke GBPJPY ke 190.20 ke daam par khareedne waale bohat zyada hain, is liye aaj GBPJPY bohat zyada 10-50 pips ke qareeb barh sakta hai.

Technical nazarie se moving average indicator ka istemaal karte hue strategy ke pehlu se, abhi sare moving average indicator lines, yani MA 50, 200 aur 100 lines, abhi chal rahe Cereal ke daam ke oopar hain. Iska matlab hai ke GBPJPY jodi ki daam ka intizam abhi tak neechay ki taraf bar raha hai. Is liye agar daam aage bhi oopar ki taraf jaari rahe, to daam aur bhi oopar jaayega aur meray khayal mein ek khareed ka order mera trading plan hoga is peer aur umeed hai ke main faida kama sakoon.

Pichle waqt mein, mujhe yeh kahani yaad hai ke high-impact news bazaar par koi asar nahi daalti aur mujhe technical analysis par zyada tawajjuh denay ko kaha gaya tha. Lekin jab se maine macroeconomics ka mutaalaa kia hai, toh yeh pata chala ke high-impact news ka kirdar waqai bara hai. Isi liye main pehle se zyada fundamental analysis ka hissa barhaane laga hoon. GBPJPY jodi ke baray mein, un detaion ka khaas tawajjuh diya jaana chahiye jo UK aur Japan se jaari kiye jaate hain. Lekin ghalti mat karna, United States se ahem khabrein bhi GBPJPY jodi ko volatile kar sakti hain.

Aik technical nazarie se, main dekh raha hoon ke naye dabaav kharidaron se aa raha hai jo subah se daam ko bullish kar rahe hain. Lagta hai ke Middle East ke haalaat garam hone ki dar se bazaar ke khiladiyon ne asal mein Japanese yen ko daba diya hai aur Pound Sterling khareeda hai. Mujhe bhi hairat hai kyun ke, pichle kuch saalon mein, Yen ko ab safe haven nahi kaha ja raha hai, jaise ke kai dekhnay walay kehte hain.

Mera aaj ke liye GBPJPY jodi ka mansooba asal mein ek SELL position ke liye hota hai. Masla yeh hai ke main abhi bhi shak karta hoon ke GBPJPY aur bhi oopar jaake ek naya higher high 192.99 se banaye ga. Waqt ke mamlaat ke liye, main nigrani rakhoonga jab tak ke daam aakhir mein Bollinger band ki oopari line ko chhoo nahi leta. Phir bas yeh dekhoonga ke sab se aakhri candlestick peechle high level se oopar ka nahi banta hai

GBP/JPY Ki Takneeky Nigaah:

GBP/JPY ke fundamental analysis mein, aapko British aur Japanese markets par gehri taqreeb karna hoga. Ye aapko dono currencies ki asli qeemat ka tayun karne mein madad karega - yaani ke jo keemat keemat ke rukh ki taraf murawaj ho sakti hai mustaqbil mein. Currency pairs ke fundamental analysis ka muqarar karna kayi tareeqon se kiya ja sakta hai. Aap economic, samaji aur siyasi data points ka tajziya karke shuruat kar sakte hain, jo UK aur Japan ke darmiyan trade agreements (imports aur exports) ke beech shamil hotay hain. GBP/JPY par fundamental analysis karne ke doran, is pair ke qeemat par asar dalne wale kisi bhi haalat par nazar rakhni chahiye. Haal hi mein hone wale economic reports ke ilawa, qareebi mustaqbil mein aane wale reports ka bhi khayal rakha jana chahiye. Yaad rakhein ke yeh sirf economic events nahi hain jin par aapko ghor karna hai, balkay unka market ke reaction bhi.

GBP/JPY ne pehli dafa 190.02 tak giravat ka samna kiya lekin 193.51 resistance ko tor nahi saka. Iktiyar ka bais is hafte zyada muzammil bana raha hai mazeed mawazna ke liye. Uper ki taraf, 193.51 ko toorna lamba up trend ko 195.86 tak lambi muddat wale resistance tak le jaega. Neeche, agar, 190.02 ko tor diya jata hai to bais neechay ki taraf chala jaega 187.94 support ki taraf. GBP/JPY ka technical analysis chart patterns, technical indicators aur tareekhi qeemat ka amal se wabista hota hai. Is tarah ke analysis ke doran, kuch traders yeh samajhte hain ke pair ki qeemat agle kya karegi.

Technical indicators mathematic calculations hote hain, jo ke price chart par line ke tor par dikhaye jate hain, aur aapko apne chunay huye market mein kuch khaas signals aur trends ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain. Leading indicators aur lagging indicators jaise mukhtalif qisam ke trading indicators hote hain.

GBP/JPY ke case mein, aik leading indicator ek basharat ka signal hai jo pair ki mustaqbil ki qeemat ke hawale se fazool mawazna karta hai.

Aik lagging indicator currency pair ke guzishta trends ki nigrani karta hai aur iska momentum darust karta hai. Aap apni maloomat aur risk appetite ko pehchanne ke liye istemal kar sakte hain ke kon se indicators aapke forex trading strategy ke liye behtar hain.

GBPJPY ek buland volatility wala currency hai jismein dosray currency ko fund karne ke liye use kiya jata hai kyunke ye itihas se aik kam yield wala currency hai. Jabke United Kingdom Europe mein baray economies mein se aik hai, to GBPJPY pair ko aik global economic health ka sabab samjha jata hai. Lekin, jab carry trade ulta hojata hai toh ye currency pair market 'risk-off' move ke representative ke tor par kaam karta hai. Is wajah se, GBP JPY taqatwar trends ka nashar karta hai jo hazaron pips tak pohnch jaate hain.

Aik chart pattern aik price chart mein ek shakal hai jo ke currency pair ki qeemat ke agle karvayat par ishara karta hai, jo ke guzishta harkat par mabni hota hai. Dosri baaton mein, ye GBP/JPY pair ke mukhtalif trends ko highlight karta hai. Kuch chart patterns forex jaisi volatile market ke liye zyada munasib hote hain. Isliye, zaroori hai ke aap jaanen ke GBP/JPY trading aur investing ke liye kaunsa chart pattern zyada behtar hai, taake faida haasil karne ka mauqa na chhoot jaye.

mein kal ke din, keemat oopar jaari rahi aur ek chhote bullish candle ban raha tha jis mein ek uttar ki parchi thi jo pehle din ki unchi ko naya karne mein kamiyaab raha. Aaj, khabron ki taraf se hamwar, keemat oopar jaari hai, aur mujhe yakeen hai ke qareebi muqabla ke dobara tajwez hai, jo 191.318 par hai. Jaise maine pehle zikar kiya hai, is qareebi muqabla ke nazdeek, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla manzar hai ke keemat is satah ke upar mazid tez raftar se barh rahi hai. Agar yeh manzar pesh aaye, to main keemat ka intezar karon ga ke wo agle muddai ke taraf barh rahi hai jo 195.883 par hai. Us muqabla ke qareeb, main agle trading raah ka faisla karne ke liye ek trading setup ka intezar karoon ga. Be shak, main tasleem karta hoon ke tajwez ki gayi uttar maqsad ki taraf ke doraan, southern pullbacks hosakte hain, jo main naye qareebi support sataahon se bullish signals talash karne ke liye istemal karoon ga, global uttar ke trend ke andar uttari raftar ki dobara shuruaat ki tawaqqo rakhta hoon. Ek dosra manzar jab 191.318 par qareebi muqabla ke nazdeek hota hai, ek mukhif candle formation aur qareebi muqabla ke ban rahe mukhtalif doosra manzar hai. Agar yeh manzar pesh aaye, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat wapas 188.229 par support sataah par laut jaaye gi. Is support sataah ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karna jaari rakhoon ga, keemat ki upar ki raftar ka jaari rakhne ki tawaqqo rakhta hoon. Be shak, doosre doosre doraan southern maqsad ka nishana ho sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is ke jaldi puri karne ki tawaqqo nahi rakhta hoon. Mukhtasaran, aaj ke liye, mujhe umeed hai ke keemat upar jaari rahegi aur qareebi muqabla ke dobara tajwez ki jayegi, phir main bazaar ki halaat ka

GBP/JPY H1 time frame

Subah bakhair dosto! Aaj GBP/JPY pair Ichimoku Cloud ke zariye guzra aur woh sellers se chutkaara mil gaya jo Tenkan-Sen reversal line 191.807 aur Kijun-Sen base line 191.156 ke golden cross ke peechay bethe thay. Tenkan-Sen tezi se chalti hai, is liye usay aik reversal line qarar diya jata hai, woh Kijun-Sen se ooncha hai, jiska period settings mein zyada hai, is wajah se woh dheemi hai. Cross karne aur market price 191.812 ko cloud ke ooper paayi jaane ka signal sab se mazboot khareedne ka signal deta hai. Main khareedari ko ghor karne ki tajweez karta hoon; jab market upar jaaye, toh Senkou Span B 190.665 aur Senkou Span A 190.436 cloud lines tak mazeed rollbacks mumkin hain, jo ke abhi support ki kirdar ada karte hain. Selling option tab hoti hai jab Tenkan-Sen line se Kijun-Sen line ko upar se neeche cross karti hai. Pehle hi gaon mein signal hai, lekin behtar hai ke Ichimoku Cloud ko toorna aur usay assign karne tak intezar kiya jaaye.

GBP/JPY daily time frame

As-salamu alaykum, saathi! Main bhi GBP/JPY ko kam karne ki mumkinah mumkinat ka muntazir hoon. Fitrat-e-khalal ke qanoon ke mutabiq - kam honay ki bajaye - hum faiz mein izafa kar rahe hain. Woh jo hum ab daily chart par wave technique istemal kar ke dekh rahe hain: - wahi bullish, halkay upar ki taraf mudakhil channel ab tak taraqqi mein nazar aata hai. Jisme humne kuch adjustment shuru kiya hai - mere liye yeh ek qisam ka shuru kiye gaye movement ko patla karne ka tareeqa hai, magar is waqt - kuch aisay koi kami nahi hai, hum ismein abhi tak pooray tarah paaye hain, toh keh sakte hain)) Aur yeh pata chalta hai ke is patli hadd ko bhi kisi tarah se hisaab se lena chahiye. Kal humne iske neechay ke hadood mein clear shuru kiya tha. Ab hum wazeh tor par range ke darmiyan mein hain aur yeh khud ba khud yeh nikalta hai ke humein fence par bethna padega - kyunke yeh hamara purana darsgah hai - hum range ke darmiyan ke corridors se na chooien.- MA100 abhi floor ke qareeb se taqreeban parallel chal raha hai - aik flat andaruni mood ka nishaan. Haal hi mein MA18 abhi bhi koshish kar raha tha ke kuchh bulge ho jaye, lekin ab woh bhi floor ke saath parallel hai. Toh, chunanchal, hum ab corridor market mein hain, is liye yahan dhalai ke qanoon lagu hote hain.- dono base bundles ke indicators idhar udhar idhar udhar hain, kuchh tasveer banana ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mujhe yeh saazgaar ke liye - GBP/JPY - abhi ke liye akela chor do. Agar aap range ke ooperi hudood ko test kar sakte hain - 193.57 - toh yahan se shorts mein entry dhoondhein.

GBPJPY


Asalam-o-Alaikum, dosto. Is haftay ke market session ke shuruaat mein AUDUSD ka market movement barhne ka rukh dikhata hai taake peechle Sunday ke market session ke bearish pressure ka aik bullish correction phase shuru kiya ja sake. Dilchaspi se dekha jayega ke mojooda bullish movement ka jari rehna, kya bearish trend ka jari rahay ga ya phir yeh koshish karega ke trend ki taraf laut jaye. Mein ne nichodkar tafseelati jaiza dena hai jo neeche diya gaya hai.

H4 TF ki reference ke mutabiq, dekha jata hai ke barhawa 0.6498 ke qareeb SBR area tak ja raha hai. Is haftay ke market session ke shuruat mein barhawa lagbhag 30 pips ke roop mein upar ki taraf tha kam se kam keemat ki had se 0.6460 se mojooda buland keemat tak. Bullish correction movement ke baad keemat ne oversold area tak pohanch kar barhawa shuru kiya tha jo RSI ke level 30 par tha. Bullish correction ke movement ko jaari rakha ja sakta hai takay upar ke supply area tak pohanch saken jo ke 0.6535 ke qareeb hai.

Bechnay ki soch wahiyaat hai kyunki yeh mumkin hai ke keemat bullish correction phase khatam hone ke baad girne ka amal jaari rahe. Bech re-entry area ko shumar karna aasan hai taake SBR level range se shuru hokar 0.6500-0.6535 ke qareeb supply area tak dakhil ho sake. Is keemat ke range se farokht ke maqsad ko dobara demand area ko dobara test karne ke liye tayyar kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6460 ke qareeb hai aur aik naye kam se kam ka shakal banane ke koshish kare taake 0.6400 ke darja tak pohanch sake. Yeh farokht ke plan ke risk ko nuqsaan par laga sakta hai jo ke Ma 50 (red) movement area ke upar 0.6565 par hai. Choti taur par khareedari ke considerations ko mad-e-nazar le sakte hain jab keemat 0.6565 ke level se oopar jaaye taake maqsad upar ke supply area ko pohanchne ki koshish kare jo ke 0.6620 ke qareeb hai.

Daily chart ki reference par dekha jata hai ke keemat abhi tak apne bearish trend ke ibtidaai marhale mein hai jahan candle movement Ma 200 area (blue) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Mojudah upar ki condition ko ek correction phase ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai, khaaskar ke qareeb supply area ko 0.6510 ke qareeb test karte hue. Misal ke taur par, agar keemat supply area ke range mein phir se bullish rejection ka samna kare, toh girne ka moqa dobara dekha ja sakta hai, khaaskar ke neeche aik naye kam se kam ko shakal dene ke liye, khaaskar ke 0.6443 ke qareeb crucial support area ko test karne ke liye. 0.6443 ke darja ke neeche ek tor par guzar jaane par keemat ko phir se rally base drop karne ke liye encourage kiya ja sakta hai jo ke peechle saal ke kam se kam keemat ki had tak pohanchne ka moqa de sakta hai. Trend direction mein tabdeeli ka saboot ke tor par upper side limit 0.6644 aur 0.6666 ke range mein resistant levels ko guzarne ka barhawa hai.

GBPJPY


Pichle Budh ke din, British Pound (GBP) Japanese Yen (JPY) ke khilaf kamzor ho gaya, jo ke market ke jazbat mein ek bara tabdeeli ka nateeja hai. Yeh kami aane wali umeed par aati hai ke Amreeki Federal Reserve muntakhib darjat ke interest rate ko nahi pesh karegi. Is ne investors ko zyada risk se bachne ke liye majboor kiya hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ke saath sath Amreeki Dollar aur Swiss Franc ki dekhi gayi mehsoos shanakht ki taraf mutawajjah ho rahe hain. GBP/JPY currency pair 191.82 par band hua, jis ne chart par aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern banaya. Yeh pattern yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ka qabza barh raha hai, lekin ek mustaqil toot-phoot ke liye, qeemat ko 191.49 support level ke neeche girna hoga. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed kami 191.12 aur 190.74 ki taraf dekhi ja sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar bulls qeemat par qabu hasil karte hain, to unhe qeemat ko 192.00 level ke upar le jane ki zarurat hai, phir April 10 ki unchi 192.95 tak. Aakhir mein, mojooda saal ki yeh unchi 193.53 ko paar kar lena un ke liye aik ahem fatah hogi.

Yeh qeemat ki harkat aaj ke Amreeki mazdoori market report ka intezar karte hue aati hai, jo Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke faislon par asar dal sakta hai. Jab ke Japan ke Bank ke haal hil ke interest rate barhane ne Yen ko mazboot kiya, to is ki shuru se le kar ab tak ki tiz raftaar ne pareshaniyan utpi hai. Japani authorities ke dakhil honay ki mumkin sambhavna Yen ko abhi stable kiya hai, lekin aik mazboot parwardigar koshish ko dobara azma sakti hai.

Technical indicators GBP/JPY ke liye aik range-bound market ka izhar karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehne aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 50 ke qareeb hai, is mai traders ke darmiyan faisla na hone ki dikhate hain. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator midpoint ke qareeb hone par pair ke nazdeek aik naram mawazan ka izhar karta hai. Agar bulls ka ikhtiyar hota hai, to wo qeemat ko January 2nd, 2024 ke uptrend line ke upar le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain, jisse ke July 21st, 2005 ki kam low 192.57 ke liye rukawat ban jaye gi. Yeh ek nai 2024 ki unchi ko pave kar sakti hai jo ke 193.52 ke upar hai, jahan 195.00 level agla potential target hai.

Pichle Budh ke din, British Pound (GBP) ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein kamzor ho gaya, jo ke market sentiment mein ek zyada tabdeeli ka nateeja tha. Yeh giravat isi doraan aayi jab khabron ke mutabiq United States Federal Reserve muntazir interest rate cut na kar sakay. Is ne investors ko zyada risk se bachne ke liye muntazir bana diya, jo ke Japanese Yen ke saath United States Dollar aur Swiss Franc ki mehsoos hifazat talash kar rahe hain. GBP/JPY currency pair 191.82 par band hua, jo ke charts par aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern banata hai. Yeh pattern yeh dikhata hai ke bechne walay control mein aa rahe hain, lekin musbat tootne ke liye, keemat ko 191.49 support level ke neeche girna hoga. Is level ke neeche toot jaane par mazeed giravat dekhi ja sakti hai 191.12 aur 190.74 ki taraf. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control haasil kar lein, to unhe keemat ko 192.00 level ke ooper dhakelna hoga, jo ke April 10th ki unchi ko 192.95 ke sath follow karega. Aakhir mein, maujooda saal ki sab se unchi 193.53 ke ooper guzarna un ke liye aik ahem jeet hogi. Yeh keemat ka andaruni hum barhtay hain jab market aaj ke US labor market report ka intezar karta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke future decisions par asar daal sakta hai. Jab ke Bank of Japan ka haal hi mein interest rate ka izafa Japanese Yen ko mazboot karne mein madadgar sabit hua, lekin is ka aggressive chadhav saal ke shuru mein shakhsiyat ko pareshan kar raha hai. Japanese authorities ki intervention ke mumkinat ne abhi tak Yen ko mustahkam kiya hai, lekin aik mazboot rebound un ki iraday ko dobara test kar sakta hai.
Technical indicators GBP/JPY ke liye range-bound market ka izhaar karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehne aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke qareeb harkat se traders ke darmiyan uncertainty ko dikhata hai. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator midpoint ke nazdeek hone se jor par ek naazuk mawazan ko darust karta hai. Agar bulls control haasil karte hain, to woh keemat ko January 2nd, 2024 ki uptrend line ke ooper dhakelne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jis se July 21st, 2005 ki kam low 192.57 ke taraf set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh ek naye 2024 ki unchi ke liye rasta ban sakta hai 193.52 ke ooper, jahan 195.00 level agla potential target hai.



Aaj, gbpjpy currency pair ke movement ab bhi kharidaron ki taraf se dominated nazar aata hai, jo ke 151.60 ki keemat tak barhne ki sambhavna hai. Yeh ho sakta hai kyunke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ki harkat ne ek bullish hammer candlestick aur aik bullish engulfing candle banaya hai, jo ke humein aaj GBPJPY ko 151.60 tak khareedne ke liye bohot strong ishara hai. Is ke ilawa, relative strength index 14 indicator ne bataaya hai ke GBPJPY ki keemat 190.20 par oversold ya bohot hi oversold hai is liye bohot zyada sambhav hai ke aaj GBPJPY kafi buland ho jaye ga lagbhag 10-50 pips ke qareeb.

Moving average indicator ka istemal kar ke technical strategy ke technical side se, abhi tak sabhi moving average indicator lines, yaani ke MA 50, 200 aur 100 lines, mojooda price ke ooper hain. Is ka matlab hai ke gbpjpy pair ke price movement is dopahar tak abhi tak ek downward trend mein hai. Is liye, agar keemat upar jaari rahe to, to price barhne jaari rahegi aur meri raay mein ek khareed order mera trading plan is peer ke liye hoga aur umeed hai ke main faida kama sakoon.

GBPJPY H1


GBPJPY currency pair ke liye khaas tajziya shamil karne ki ijaazat dijiye, jaise ke hum sab jaante hain, filhal Japanese Yen currency bohot kamzor hai, is liye agar mukhalif currency mein thori taqat aaye, to GBPJPY pair tezi se mazboot ho jayega. Aaj subah GBPJPY pair ne apne aj ke sab se kam darje se 90 pips ka safar tay kia hai, lekin kyunki GBP currency ki halat filhal theek nahi hai, is liye tasleem kiya jata hai ke mojooda izafa sirf ek correction hai jo ek aur kam qeemat ki taraf ja raha hai, mujhe yaqeen hai ke qeemat pehle SBR level 191.50 tak uthay gi, to is qeemat ke ilaqa mein hum sell kar sakte hain aur friday ke maamooli dar se faida utha sakte hain.

Pehle mujhe yeh ghalat fehmi thi ke high impact news market ko asar nahi dalta aur mujhe technical analysis pe zyada tawajju di jati thi. Magar jab se maine macroeconomics parhna shuru kia, tab se yeh maloom hua ke high impact news ka kirdar sach mein bohot bara hota hai. Is liye maine pehle ke muqablay mein fundamental analysis ka hissa bada diya. GBPJPY pair ke liye, aapko UK aur Japan ki taraf se jaari khabron ka tawajju dena chahiye. Magar ghalati mat karein, United States se aane wali ahem khabron ka bhi asar GBPJPY pair ke volatile hone mein ho sakta hai. Technical nazar se, mujhe naye kharidaron ki dabawat nazar aati hai jo subah se qeemat ko bullish karne mein kamiyab rahe hain. Lagta hai ke darr ke wajah se ke Middle East ke halat garam ho jayenge, market ke khilariyon ne Japanese Yen ko bech kar Pound Sterling kharida hai. Main khud bhi hairan hoon kyunki kuch saalon se Yen ko bohot se dekhnay walay kehte hain ke yeh ek safe haven nahi hai. Mera aaj ka GBPJPY pair ke liye mansooba asal mein ek SELL position ki taraf hota hai. Masla yeh hai ke mujhe abhi bhi shaq hai ke GBPJPY aur bhi tezi se bullish ho sake aur 192.99 ke upar ek naye higher high ban sake. Waqt ke mamlaat ke liye, main dekhta rahunga jab tak qeemat aakhir mein Bollinger band ke upper line ko choo nahi leti. Phir bas yeh dekhoon ga ke aakhri candlestick pehle ke high level se ooncha nahi banta. Agar yeh do manazir bante hain, to main SELL position kholne mein kafi pur-amn ho jata hoon.

GBP/JPY taqreban 188.79 tak girne se pahle apne Tuesday ke faiday ko kho chuka hai. Yeh giravat shayad market mein taza tension ya kisi maamooli si dar se ho sakti hai. Haalanki, is giravat ka koi specific reason ho sakta hai jaise ki economic data releases, geopolitical tensions, ya market sentiment mein kisi tarah ka badalao. Ek wajah ho sakti hai yen ki mazbooti. Japan ki currency, yen, adhiktar samay par safe haven currency ke roop mein istemal hoti hai. Jab bhi global market mein koi uncertainty hoti hai, investors yen ki taraf bhagte hain, jo ki kisi doosri currency ke muqablay mein uski keemat ko barha deti hai. Is tarah ki yeh mazbooti GBP/JPY ko nicha daba sakti hai. Doosri wajah ho sakti hai Britain ya Japan se judi kisi specific economic development ya policy announcement ki expectations. Agar koi badi policy change ya economic indicator negative hota hai, to isse GBP/JPY ko neeche dabaya ja sakta hai. Asian trading session mein kisi bhi currency pair ki volatility bhaari hoti hai, khaaskar jab ek taraf yen jaise strong currency involved hoti hai. Yeh time zone bhi market participants ki alag hoti hai, jo ki sudden price movements ka karan ban sakta hai. GBP/JPY ke is giravat se pehle, traders aur investors ko market ki muddaton ka jayezah lena hoga, taaki unhe future ke movement ke baare mein behtar samajh mil sake. Isse pehle ki trading decisions lene ki koshish karein, unhe market ki sthiti ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye. Yeh important hai ki traders aur investors apne positions ko manage karte samay risk ko bhi samjhein aur zaroori suraksha upaayon ka istemaal karein. Stop loss orders, hedging strategies, aur proper risk management techniques ka istemaal karna kabhi bhi zaroori hota hai, khaaskar jab market mein volatility zyada hoti hai. Overall, GBP/JPY ke giravat ka koi specific reason abhi tak nahi aya hai, lekin market participants ko attentive rehna chahiye aur upcoming economic events, policy announcements, aur global market sentiment ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading decisions lena chahiye.

GBP/JPY

British Pound aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan keemat ki technical analysis ki tajwez ko taaza karte hue, haal hi mein keemat ne ek taqatwar bikri ki raftaar dekhi jo keemat ko 156.491 ke darje tak le gayi, ek support level jo hum ne peechle tajwezon mein refer kiya tha. Technical analysis ke qawaid ke mutabiq keemat ki harkat ka jari rakhne ke saath, hum chart par kuch technical signals dekhenge, jo mujhe chart par nazar aaye.

Pehla signal RSI ke zariye hai.

RSI par pehle signs ka zahir hona, jo keemat ko bikri ki raftaar se azad karne ki koshish hai, yeh woh cheez hai jo chaar ghanton ke timetable par dekhi ja sakti hai, aur ek ghante ke timetable par bhi, jahan keemat abhi tak oversold ilaake par hai jaise ke indicator par dikhaya gaya hai. Agar keemat is level se azad ho gayi toh yeh khareedne ki taraf badh jaayegi 158.355 aur 159.013 ke darjat tak, taake yeh darjat ek wapas khareedne ka ilaqa ban jaaye 153.933 ko keemat ke mukhya nishaan ke liye chart par, jo ke peechle tajwezon mein refer ki gayi formations ko mukammal karne ke liye hai, jo ke Gartley Pattern formation hai, aur yeh harmomic analysis ki school ke mutabiq hai, aur wolf waves ki formation mukammal hoti hai jab harmonic formation mukammal hoti hai aur bikri ki raftaar mukammal hoti hai, aur jab keemat in darjaton tak pahunchti hai, hum keemat ko dobara monitor karenge aur ek tajziya khareedne ki taraf banayenge. Abhi ke waqt mein, hum keemat ko uske bikri ke maqasid mukammal karne ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jaise dikhaya gaya hai.



Support aur resistance ilaqa

Resistance ilaqa Fibonacci tool ke mutabiq 159.013 ke darja 158.355 ke darja Supply aur demand ke mutabiq support ilaqa

153.933 ke darja 151.825 ke darja

Mai ek transaction mein sakht maali idaray ka istemal karne ki salahiyat ke kisam ke tor par $1,000 ke har hisse ke liye 0.01 ke contract size ke sath dakhil honay ki salahiyat deta hoon.

GBP/JPY market ki taraf dekhtay hue, haftawaray traders ko bohot si mushkilat ka samna karna para, khaaskar woh jo sell position mein thay. Abhi tak, GBP/JPY mein lambay arsay ki kami ka koi nishaan nahi aya, jo ke sellers ke liye pareshani ka sabab ho sakta hai. Uska sell target 1.3514 tha, lekin usko darr tha ke market buland hojane se uska target miss hojaye. Ye manzar economic indicators aur global waqiyat mein tabdeeliyon ka bara sabab bana. Tezi se tabdeel horahi market dynamics ki wajah se, traders ko apni strategies adjust karni pari. Har trader ko apni position monitor karni chahiye aur market ke haalaat ko samajhna chahiye

GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, Brexit bhi UK ki economic policies aur Japan ki economic conditions par asar dalta hai. Traders ke liye zaroori tha ke yeh factors zehan mein rakhtay hue apni positions ko manage karna. Ismein geopolitical tensions aur economic data releases bhi shamil hain, jo market sentiment aur direction ko mutasir karte hain. Is haftay, GBP/JPY ki volatility bhi barh jayegi, jo traders ke liye mazeed mushkil banayegi. Volatility ke doran, ghair mutawaqa price changes aur sudden reversals hote hain, jis se traders ko nuksan uthana parta hai. Is liye, risk management bohot ahem hai taake traders apni positions ko bacha sakein. Market mein short positions hold karne wale traders ko market ke movements par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye. Nuksan se bachne ke liye kabhi bhi apni position adjust karna parega. Technical analysis aur market trends par bhi tawajjo dena zaroori hai, jo traders ko market ki mustaqbil ki taraf ki raah dikhate hain. Isi tarah, har trader ko apni trading strategy ko market ke haalaat ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Har trade ko sahi analysis aur research ke saath karna hoga taake qawi faislay liye ja sakein. Aam tor par, GBP/JPY ke liye is hafta traders ke liye mushkil hoga, lekin sahi approach aur risk management ke saath, woh is mushkil ko paar kar sakte hain. qeemat action aur volume dynamics ke darmiyan ek dilchasp milaap mein paate hain. Chalo hum is currency pair ke haalat ko samajhne ke liye haalat ko detail mein dekhte hain aur is ke liye mumkinah manazirat ka tajziya karte hain. Shuru mein, yeh ahem hai ke GBP/JPY ne range-bound rawayati ponch par pesh aaya hai. Ek ibtidaai tajziya ke bawajood, jo pair ko 193.355 tak buland kar diya, muzahirah harkaat ne ek makhsoos range ke andar qaid kiya gaya hai. Magar, aik ahem waqiya asar andaz hua jab pair ne double touch ka samna kiya, jise ek durust karnama nay huee, jo ke 190.717 ka ahem support level tor diya. Is tor par tor ka tajziya karte hue, naqabil e faham farokht volume ka mojood hona dilchaspi angaiz nataij ka ishaara deta hai. Jabke support ka toot traditional tor par bearish jazbat ka ishaara deta hai, to farokht dabaav ki kami naye aur mazeed tajziyat ko ishara karta hai. Balkay, support tor ke doraan khareedar volume ke ubharne ka andaza mojooda bullish momentum ke aghaz ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jo ke ek qareebi uptrend ka ishara ho sakta hai.


Umeedon ka izhar phir se bullish jazbat mein barhne ke liye mazeed mazboot kiya gaya, jab mojooda stagnation doraan khareedar volume ki fard ki kami thi. Khareedaron aur farokht karne walon dono ki is shirakat ki kami market mein maujood faisla mein shakhsiat ki tafseelat par roshni dalta hai. Magar yeh aise dekhna nahi hai ke yeh aik mazeed girawat ke sath mazi ka ibteda hai, balkay yeh ek qareebi bullish rukh ki notion ko mazbooti deta hai. In tajziyat ki roshni mein, bullish bias barqarar rakhna munasib hai. Nashist mein izafa ki ummeed ke saath, tawajjuh aglay ahem resistance level par 192.346 Yeh strategy bazari qa

GBPJPY

GBP-JPY currency pair ka price movement aaj dopahar tak upar ki taraf ja raha hai, uncle. Isliye agar future mein price upar ki taraf jaari rahe, toh ho sakta hai ke GBP-JPY pair aur upar jaari rahe aur main sirf aaj ke trading mein ek buy order place karne ka iraada karta hoon aur ummeed hai ke faida ho.

Technical perspective se dekha jaaye, RSI 14 indicator ki strategy abhi medium value 50% ke oopar hai, jo ke 54% range mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke GBP-JPY pair ka price movement aaj ke dopahar tak ek trend mein upar ki taraf ja raha hai.

Aaj, gbpjpy currency pair ka movement buyers ke dwara seemit lag raha hai, jo ke 151.60 ke price tak upar badhne ke zyada chances hain. Ye ho sakta hai kyunke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ka movement ek bullish hammer candlestick aur bullish engulfing candle bana hai, jo ki humare liye BUY GBPJPY ka bohot strong signal hai 151.60 ke price tak aaj. Iske alawa, relative strength index 14 indicator ne kaha hai ke 190.20 ke price par GBPJPY oversold hai ya bohot oversold hai, isliye aaj GBPJPY ke price mein kaafi upar jaane ke chances hain, lagbhag 10-50 pips tak.

Moving average indicator ki strategy ke technical pahlu se dekha jaaye, abhi sabhi moving average indicator lines, jaise MA 50, 200 aur 100 lines, chal rahi price ke upar hain. Iska matlab hai ke GBP-JPY pair ka price movement aaj ke dopahar tak abhi bhi ek downward trend mein hai. Isliye agar price upar jaari rahe, toh price upar jaari rahega aur mere khayal mein ek buy order mera trading plan hoga is shanivaar ke liye aur main umeed karta hoon ke main munafa kama sakoon.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne ek tang trading range mein qayam kiya hai, jo ke bara nuqsaan se phir se uthne mein qasir hai. Magar, ek umeed ki kiran pennant pattern ke shakl mein samne aati hai, jo ke ek muqarrar breakout ki mumkinat ki isharaat deti hai. Jab hum daily chart ke tafseelaat mein ghus jate hain, toh wazeh ho jata hai ke market ka jazba-e-ghafilan aik taaruf pe hai, bullish aur bearish rujhanon ke darmiyan ka naram-o-nazuk aizaaz. Tawil musharikat faiz wala mudda buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek muayyan fauzi haath pane ki jang ko zahir karta hai, jis mein koi bhi taraf muayyan fauzi faida haasil nahi kar rahi. Technical tajziya mein, patterns aksar mustaqbil ke qeemat ka aik ahem paishanuma hote hain. Is surat mein pennant pattern ke banne ka matlab hai ke tez price movement ke baad ek mudda-e-mudammat ka dor, jo ke kam honay wali ghair mutanazza volatility aur milte julte trendlines ke zahir hone ki khasiyat se nawaza jata hai. Ye pattern aik symmetrical triangle se markaz rakhta hai, jiska apex ek qaribi breakout ke liye markazi point ka kirdar ada karta hai. Daily chart ka jaaiza lene par, hum dekhte hain ke GBP/JPY price action ka dhere se nazdeeki aik pennant formation ke hadood mein ikhata hona. Ye tang range ek temporary aitwaar ko numaya karta hai, jab ke market shiraa'it dene wale hissa mein ek muqarrar rukh ki taraf janib le jate hain. Is pattern ki ahmiyat is mein hai ke ye do rukh ke breakout ko shuru karne ka imkan deta hai, traders ko upar neechay ke harkaton par faiyda uthane ki dastiyab karta hai. Pennant ke symmetrical taba'a ke mutabiq chalne ya inqilab ki barabar ke imkanat hote hain, jo ke asar ko ghaibi samjhati hai.