British Pound ki taizi kam hui jab Japanese Yen (JPY) mazboot ho gaya. GBP/JPY pair ne apnay Tuesday ke faiday ko kho diya aur Asian trading mein Wednesday ko kareeb 188.70 tak gir gaya. Ye tabdeeli speculation ki bina par hui hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) March mein interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Kayi factors JPY ki izafa aur GBP ki kami ko barhwa rahay hain. Sab se pehlay, Japan ke labour market se achi nishanat samne aai hain. Renju, Japan ka bara union, ne wage negotiations mein shandar 5.85% ki izafa ko hasil kiya hai, jo teen dasroon mein pehli dafa 5% se zyada hai. Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi Yoshimasa ne bhi broad-based wage hikes ki khuwahish ko izhar kiya hai. Ye mazbooti wage growth, producer inflation data ke higher-than-expected hone ke sath, BoJ ko monetary policy ko pehlay se zyada jaldi tighten karne ke liye suggest karta hai. Ye soorat-e-haal JPY ko mazboot karta hai aur GBP/JPY pair ko kamzor karta hai. Waqt ke sath, UK ki economic outlook nahi nazar aati. UK mein wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai. Average earnings, including bonuses, November 2023 aur January 2024 ke darmiyan 5.6% tak gir gayi hai, pehle se 5.8% se. Bonuses ko chhod kar, tasveer wahi hai, saalana wage growth 6.1% se 6.2% par girti hai. Ye data Bank of England (BoE) ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne ki umeedon ko barha deta hai, Pound par neechay ki dabao daalta hai.
Jabke Pound haal mein behtar tareen major currencies mein se aik tha, Commerzbank ke analaysts iski lambay arsay ki taqat par ihtiyat se nazar rakhte hain. Mojooda raftar nazar se bohat hi nazuk hai, aur 20-day EMA (exponential moving average) jo ke 189.50 par hai, iske neeche girna aagay ke izafa ko dor kar sakta hai. Ye GBP/JPY ke qeemat ko 50-day EMA jo 187.50 par hai, ki taraf khench sakta hai aur mukhtalif satah ko dobara test karne ki taraf ja sakta hai jaise ke 186.00 base aur 184.00-184.50 ilaqa. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY jodi ko nichlay dabao ka saamna hai agar market behtar na ho aur prices ko 191.14 ke darja se oopar nahi uthaya jata. Yen ki taqat, Japan mein tang monetary policy ki umeedon aur musbat wage developments se barhi hai, jabke UK ki wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai aur BoE ke rate cuts ke izafe ki tawaqo ki baat chal rahi hai. Ye mukhtalif ma'ashiyati signals currency pair mein hal hilne ki wajah hain.
Jabke Pound haal mein behtar tareen major currencies mein se aik tha, Commerzbank ke analaysts iski lambay arsay ki taqat par ihtiyat se nazar rakhte hain. Mojooda raftar nazar se bohat hi nazuk hai, aur 20-day EMA (exponential moving average) jo ke 189.50 par hai, iske neeche girna aagay ke izafa ko dor kar sakta hai. Ye GBP/JPY ke qeemat ko 50-day EMA jo 187.50 par hai, ki taraf khench sakta hai aur mukhtalif satah ko dobara test karne ki taraf ja sakta hai jaise ke 186.00 base aur 184.00-184.50 ilaqa. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY jodi ko nichlay dabao ka saamna hai agar market behtar na ho aur prices ko 191.14 ke darja se oopar nahi uthaya jata. Yen ki taqat, Japan mein tang monetary policy ki umeedon aur musbat wage developments se barhi hai, jabke UK ki wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai aur BoE ke rate cuts ke izafe ki tawaqo ki baat chal rahi hai. Ye mukhtalif ma'ashiyati signals currency pair mein hal hilne ki wajah hain.
تبصرہ
Расширенный режим Обычный режим