جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY pair ka review karte waqt, yeh points samne aaye hain:

1. Bullish Momentum: Pair ka current trend bullish hai aur expected hai ke yeh resistance ke taraf mazid strengthen karega, jo weekly period ki latest mother bar ki resistance ke qareeb hai jo ke 200,530 ke price level par hai.
2. Support and Resistance: Pair ko support mil raha hai SMA5 dynamic support se daily aur H4 time frame par. Agar position RBS area (198,184) ke upar rehti hai jab tak ke woh SBR area (198,441) ko penetrate nahi karti, toh momentum ko buy option ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai.
3. Target Price: Buy option ke liye target SBR area (199,234) ke around bullish opportunities ko talash karna hai.
4. Potential Downside: Agar pair SBR area ko overcome nahi kar pata toh woh SMA5 dynamic support (196,070) ki taraf push ho sakta hai, jo weekly period ke time frame mein hai aur H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke qareeb hai.
5. Market Sentiment: Market conditions overbought signs dikhane par hai, jo ke bearish reversal ki sambhavna ko zahir karta hai.
6. Technical Indicators: Daily time frame par bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, lekin overbought level ke wajah se decline ki possibility hai.
7. Price Movement: Price movement abhi tak 197.58 area ke around hai jo ke is haftay ka weekly open hai. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehta hai aur Friday's high (197.83) ko penetrate karta hai, toh strengthening expected hai.
8. EMA Crossovers: EMA 12 aur EMA 36 abhi tak upward movement mein hain aur potential crossover indicate kar rahe hain jo next price movement ki direction ko show karega.

Overall, GBP/JPY pair ka forecast bullish hai lekin overbought conditions aur technical indicators ke signals ko dhyan mein rakhte hue traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur proper risk management ke saath trading decisions lena chahiye.

GBP/JPY Pair Review

Yeh chances hain ke yeh pair apni strength ko barqaraar rakhe aur weekly period ki latest mother bar ke resistance 200.530 ki taraf barhta rahe. Do hafton se yeh resistance ki taraf rally kar raha hai. Filhal position ko daily aur H4 time frame mein SMA5 dynamic support ka sahara mil raha hai. Agar position RBS area 198.184 par barqaraar rahe aur SBR area 198.441 ko cross kar jaye, toh momentum ko buy option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Target ko SBR area 199.234 par bullish opportunities ko dekhne ke liye direct kiya ja sakta hai.

Agar yeh SBR area ko overcome karne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh SMA5 dynamic support ke taraf push ho sakta hai, jo weekly period mein 196.070 ke price range mein hai, jo H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke around hai. Yeh isliye ke yahan tak pohchne ke liye kaafi wide gap hai, jab yeh last week significantly strengthen hua tha. Agar yeh resistance ke around reject hone ki confirmation mil jaye aur reversal signs show kare, toh yeh momentum sell option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai.

Buyers' Efforts

Buyers abhi bhi prices ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo pichle mahine ke end par fall hua tha. Prices un peak figures ke kareeb aa rahe hain jo unhone kabhi achieve kiye thay. Lekin market conditions overbought ke signs dikhate hain. Agar prices is situation ka response karein, toh decline ho sakta hai. Bullish trend daily time frame par read kiya ja sakta hai jahan EMA 200 position current price movement se kaafi neeche hai. Significant weakening ke bawajood, yeh condition EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke behavior ko significantly change nahi karti. Yeh dono small EMAs abhi bhi upwards stick

Current Market Conditions

Aaj koi bade movements dekhne ko nahi mile. Prices abhi bhi 197.58 area ke around hain jo is hafte ka weekly open hai. Prices Friday ke high 197.83 se bhi door nahi gaye. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehne aur Friday ke high ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh strengthening target daily resistance 198.88 se 201.07 tak ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price weekly open ke upar rehne mein nakam hoti hai, toh EMA 12 line correction ka target ban sakti hai. Friday ke candle ka formation jo almost perfect bullish candle dikhata hai jahan high aur low 196.76 aur 197.83 the, yeh possible hai ke price upar ki taraf move kare, lekin market ke overbought level tak pohchne ki wajah se yeh increase delay ho sakti hai.

GBP-JPY PAIR FORECAST

Buyers abhi bhi GBP-JPY market mein dominant hain, khaaskar H1 time frame mein jo trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Increase continue ho rahi hai halan ke correction phase bhi zaroori hai jo pass karni padti hai. Jumme ko daam kaafi der tak consolidate hui jab daam Thursday ke high 196.88 se Asian session mein 197.30 tak barhi. New buyer activity dobara dekhi gayi jab American session mein thoda sa price increase hua aur peak 197.83 tak gaya. Price range zyada nahi thi, lekin higher high bana jo pehle din se zyada tha, jo ke bullish trend ko complete kar raha hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 upar ki taraf chipak gaye hain positive price movement ke sath. EMA 200 neeche aur door ho rahi hai jo ke is time frame mein trend ke direction ka nishaan hai.

Aaj ka price movement abhi tak nazar nahi aa raha. Daam Monday ke daily open 197.27 par subah se le kar ab American session tak slope kar rahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 abhi bhi apni jagah par hain, lekin dono EMA lines ke ends thoda sa narrowed hain following price movements jo abhi tak bahut limited hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh dono EMAs naya crossover banayen jo agle price movement ke direction ka indication hoga. Waqt ke sath, kareebi support aur resistance ko market mein enter hone ka reference map kiya gaya hai jo ke 196.85 aur 198.31 areas mein hain. Sloping market aksar market mein bara movement identify karti hai aur yeh momentum wohi hai jo hum intezar kar rahe hain. Agar lower limit pe breakout hota hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke darmiyan downward crossover banta hai, to correction phase mumkin hai. Ulta, agar dono EMAs upward cross banti hain, aur upper limit breakout hoti hai, to rally dobara shuru ho sakti hai.


Ooper diye gaye analysis ke mutabiq, mapping ki gayi hai aur GBP-JPY pair ke liye transaction plan yeh hai: Buy plan tayar hai jo ke trend direction ko follow karta hai jo abhi bhi strong bullish period mein hai, price breakout resistance conditions ke sath jo aaj ke market opening area ka kareebi upper limit 198.31 hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 dobara upar ki taraf chipak rahe hain ya naya crossover upar ki taraf ban raha hai, to take profit 198.91 – 199.48 ke level par calculate kiya gaya hai. Buy pullback ek option hai agar price correction phase ka samna karti hai aur EMA 200 H1 line se reject hoti hai, take profit plan 197.36 – 197.57 par hai. Sell consider kiya jata hai agar price correction phase ka samna karti hai assuming ke 196.85 support area confirm hota hai breakout ke sath, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 downside crossover banti hain, take profit level 196.26 – 195.66 par hai. Sell pullback dusri option hai agar price 200.52 area se reject hoti hai sabse kareebi target 197.90 hai. Stoploss 15 pips order area se.

gbp/jpy technical analysis . Kal ki trading session mein, GBP/JPY pair ne market dynamics ka zabardast display kiya, jo ek strong uptrend ko showcase karta hai jo ek brief retracement aur subsequent gap fill ke baad aya. Yeh price action heightened market activity ke beech unfold hui, jo forex landscape mein shifting sentiments ko reflect karti hai. Session ek minor pullback ke sath shuru hui, jo pronounced bullish momentum ke periods ke baad ek aam baat hoti hai. Yeh retracement phase recent gains ko consolidate karne ke liye tha, jo traders ko apne positions aur strategies ko reassess karne ka mauka deta hai. Is temporary pause ke bawajood, market participants vigilant rahe, closely monitoring karte rahe key technical levels ko potential trading opportunities ke liye.Jese jese trading session aage barhi, GBP/JPY pair ne ek impressive comeback stage kiya, jo ek resolute bullish impulse ke zariye driven tha jo kisi bhi lingering doubts ko swiftly dispel kar diya. Is strong bullish sentiment ka emergence market mein prevailing bullish bias ko underscore karta hai, signaling renewed confidence among traders. Is bullish narrative ka central formation ek full-bodied bullish candle thi, jo ek significant technical development thi indicative of robust buying pressure aur bullish conviction ka. Yeh candle, jo ke apne substantial body aur extended wicks se characterized thi, symbolized karti hai bulls ke dominance ko market arena mein jese unhone price action par control hasil kiya aur pair ko upar propel kiya. Khaas tor par significance thi decisive breach aur subsequent closure above the prominent resistance level positioned at 195.745. Yeh critical juncture, jo meticulous technical analysis ke zariye identified thi, ek pivotal turning point tha market participants ke liye, delineating karta hai boundary ko bullish aur bearish sentiment ke darmiyan. Is key resistance level ka breach sirf technical analysis ke efficacy ko validate nahi karta balke ek catalyst ka kaam karta hai renewed bullish momentum ke liye, jo further buying interest ko attract karta hai aur GBP/JPY pair ko naye heights par le jata hai. Is breakthrough ki significance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, jese yeh bullish trend ki resilience ko reaffirm karta hai aur overarching bullish bias ko underscore karta hai jo market mein prevailing hai. Summary mein, kal ki trading session ne ek compelling display ki bullish momentum ki GBP/JPY pair mein, culminating in a convincing breakout above the key resistance level at 195.745. Yeh noteworthy development bullish trend ki resilience ko highlight karta hai aur technical analysis ke importance ko reaffirm karta hai forex market ki complexities ko navigate karne mein. Jese traders evolving market conditions ko adapt karte hain, diligence aur adaptability essential rehti hai emerging opportunities ko capitalize karne aur curve ke aage rehne ke liye.

Chances hain ke yeh pair latest mother bar ke resistance ki taraf strengthen karte hue continue karega weekly period par jo ke 200.530 ke price par hai. Do hafton se yeh resistance ki taraf rally kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, abhi position ko daily ya H4 timeframe mein SMA5 dynamic support ka sahara mil raha hai. Is liye, agar position RBS area ke price 198.184 ke upar rehti hai aur SBR area ke price 198.441 ko penetrate karti hai, to momentum ko buy option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Target SBR area ke price 199.234 ke aas-paas bullish opportunities dekhne ka ho sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, agar aap SBR area ko overcome karne mein fail hote hain, to aap likely SMA5 dynamic support ki taraf push ho jayenge weekly period mein jo ke price range 196.070 par hai, jo ke H4 timeframe mein SMA50 dynamic support ke aas-paas hai. Yeh is liye ke pichle hafte significant strengthen ke baad is dynamic support ki taraf kaafi wide gap hai. Is liye, agar resistance ke aas-paas rejection confirm hota hai aur reversal signs show karta hai, to is momentum ko sell option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai.

Buyers abhi bhi prices ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain last month ke end mein fall ke baad. Prices apni ever reached peak figures ke qareeb hain. Lekin, market conditions overbought signs show kar rahe hain. Agar prices is situation ka jawab dete hain, to decline mumkin hai. Bullish trend daily timeframe par abhi bhi read kiya ja sakta hai jahan EMA 200 position current price movement se kaafi neeche hai. Halanke significant weakening hui, yeh condition EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke behavior ko significantly change nahi karti. Yeh dono choti EMAs abhi bhi upwards stick kar rahi hain.

Aaj humne koi bade movements nahi dekhe. Prices abhi bhi 197.58 area ke aas-paas hain jo ke is hafte ka weekly open hai. Prices Friday ke high 197.83 se door nahi hui hain. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehti hai aur Friday ke high ko penetrate karti hai, to strengthening target estimated daily resistance 198.88 to 201.07 par ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price weekly open ke upar rehne mein fail hoti hai, to correction ke liye EMA 12 line target ho sakti hai. Friday ke candle formation se jo ke ek almost perfect bullish candle show karta hai high aur low 196.76 aur 197.83 par, mumkin hai ke price upar move karti rahe, lekin overbought level tak pohanchne ki wajah se yeh increase delay ho sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ka daam doosre din phir barh gaya hai, aur yeh ab 194.19 ke resistance tak barh gaya hai. Is tarah ka price movement dekhkar traders ko kuch chunautiyan aur faiday ki ummeedain samne aati hain. Currency trading ka maidaan bohot hi dynamic aur challenging hota hai. Jab bhi kisi currency pair ka daam barhta hai, jaise ke GBP/JPY ka, traders ke liye samay par faisla karna mushkil ho jata hai. Jab yeh daam 194.19 ke resistance level tak pahunch gaya hai, toh yeh ek mahatvapurna aur critical point ban jata hai. Yahan par, traders ko kuch cheezein dhyan mein rakhni chahiye. Pehli baat, resistance level ko paar karne ke baad, daam aur bhi tezi se barh sakta hai ya phir wapas neeche bhi aa sakta hai. Is situation mein, traders ko market ke trend ko dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Agar trend upward hai, toh daam aur bhi upar ja sakta hai, lekin agar trend downward hai, toh daam neeche aa sakta hai.
Dusri baat, traders ko apne risk aur reward ko balance karna zaroori hai. Agar daam 194.19 ke upar jaata hai, toh traders ko apni trading strategies ko revise karna chahiye, taaki woh apne positions ko protect kar sakein. Stop-loss orders lagana ek acchi practice ho sakti hai taaki nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake. Teesri baat, fundamental aur technical analysis ka istemal karna bohot zaroori hai. Fundamental analysis se traders ko pata chalta hai ki kis tarah ke factors, jaise economic indicators ya geopolitical events, currency pair ka daam influence kar sakte hain. Technical analysis se, traders ko trend aur price patterns ka pata lagta hai, jo ki unhe trading decisions mein madad karte hain.

Chauthi aur sabse zaroori baat, patience aur discipline maintain karna. Market kabhi bhi unpredictable ho sakti hai, isliye traders ko hamesha apne trading plan ke mutabiq chalna chahiye. Emotions par control rakhna bhi bohot zaroori hai, kyunki ghaflat ya overconfidence nuksandeh ho sakte hain. In sab chunautiyon ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ke daam ka barhna traders ke liye faiday ka mauka bhi hai. Agar sahi samay par entry aur exit kiya jaye, toh traders acche munafe mein bhi ho sakte hain. Lekin, har trading decision ko samajhdari se lena zaroori hai, taaki nuksan se bacha ja sake aur faiday ki ummeedain bhi poori ho sakein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ke hilte hue daur ko hal hil mein dekha gaya hai. Is haftay ke shuruaat mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne foreign exchange market mein dakhal diya aur keemat 195.61 ke darje pe aagayi, jahan seller team phir se taqat hasil ki aur neeche ki taraf mazboot dabao dala. GBPJPY market ko pichle Jum'at ko zyada shadeed halat nahi ka samna karna para. Din bhar, keemat 191.84 se 192.57 ke darmiyan limited taur par oopar neeche hili, jo rozana open aur qareebi support tha. Halaanki trend pehle se he downtrend mein hai. Ye halat tre ke baad paida hui, jo keemat ko apni neeche ki manzil ki taraf barha di. Ye ek bearish raasta tha. Is giraavat ke akhir mein, ek ghante ka candle pullback area ke oopar ek inkar candle ko banane ke liye band hui. Faida. GBPJPY H4 time frame chart pe buyers ko kal ke trading mein baazi haath mein thi jahan keemat Asian session ke doraan EMA 633 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. Us waqt, keemat 200 EMA ke neeche thi. European session mein dakhil hone par, buyers ko himmat milti dikhayi di. Magar us raat, keemat jo EMA 633 H4 se oopar daba di gayi thi, woh EMA 200 line se inkaar kar di gayi, is tarah keemat phir se EMA 633 H4 line par aagayi. Aisa lagta hai ke yeh waqt hai ke buyers phir se harkat karein. EMA 633 rukawat hai, jo ke buyers ke dikhaye hue bade harkat ka ibtida hai. Is ilaqe se keemat ko zor se daba gaya jab tak ek mukammal breakout EMA 200 H4 line par nahi hua aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H4 se ek upside crossover ban gaya. Is dafa buyers ki baazi ne keemat ko oopar le gayi magar ise wapas buyer ka critical ilaqa le gaya. Ye ilaqa ek mazboot resistance hai jo ab tak nahi toota hai. GBPJPY H4 time frame chart pe buyers ko kal ke trading mein baazi haath mein thi jahan keemat Asian session ke doraan EMA 633 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. Us waqt, keemat 200 EMA ke neeche thi. European session mein dakhil hone par, buyers ko himmat milti dikhayi di. Magar us raat, keemat jo EMA 633 H4 se oopar daba di gayi thi, woh EMA 200 line se inkaar kar di gayi, is tarah keemat phir se EMA 633 H4 line par aagayi. Aisa lagta hai ke yeh waqt hai ke buyers phir se harkat karein. EMA 633 rukawat hai, jo ke buyers ke dikhaye hue bade harkat ka ibtida hai. Is ilaqe se keemat ko zor se daba gaya jab tak ek mukammal breakout EMA 200 H4 line par nahi.

Good morning to all forum management team aur sab trader friends. Aaj is hafte ka aakhri trading day hai, aur umeed hai ke sab forum friends ne trading routine ke dauran achi profits enjoy ki hongi. Aaj hum technical analysis ka istemal karte hue GBPUSD currency market ke growth ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal ke trading session ko 4-hour market chart par base karte hue dekha gaya ke sellers ne psychological support level 1.2650 ko test karne ki koshish ki, lekin ye koshish nakam rahi. Agar ye support level successfully penetrate ho jata, to mumkin tha ke price aur niche push ho jata, taake agla support level test ho sakta.
Sellers ki nakami ke baad, market conditions phir se completely buyers ke control mein aa gayi, aur ab price Middle Band aur EMA50 ke upar trade ho raha hai. Ye clearly indicate karta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ka strengthening trend ab bhi continue hai. Bullish candlestick ke strengthening ke sath, buyers ko umeed hai ke woh nearest resistance level 1.2750 ko test karenge. Agar ye resistance level successfully penetrate ho jata hai, to price aur bhi upar push ho sakta hai, taake agla resistance level test ho sake.








Trading Plan

Upar di gayi basic technical analysis ko istemal karte hue, GBPUSD currency trading plan ko consider karte hue buying options dekhna hoga. Market mein enter karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke correction price ka wait karein taake nearest support level ko test karein, taake humein ideal re-entry setup mil sake. Aur pin bar candlestick pattern ko istemal karte hue, bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ko confirmation ke tor par le sakte hain taake GBPUSD currency price ke strengthening ko confirm kar sakein aur risks ko acchi tarah se control kar sakein.

Trading shuru karne ke liye, pehla buy plan support level 1.2700 par hoga. Agar ye support level successfully penetrate ho jata hai, to hum dusre support level 1.2650 par wait kar sakte hain. Aur stop loss ke liye, hum minimum 1:1 set kar sakte hain, aur profit target ke liye hum 100 pips le sakte hain, jo ke current market conditions ke mutabiq adjust kiya ja sakta hai. Technical analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency ka bullish trend ab bhi valid hai, is liye buying trading option ko consider karna interesting hoga. Humein khas taur par nearest resistance level ko achieve karne par tawajjo deni hogi.

GBP/JPY H4 Time Frame Analysis

Aaj main GBP/JPY pair ke movement ko 4-hour chart par dekhna chahunga, kyunke mere khayal mein yahaan picture lower timeframes ke muqablay mein zyada objective hai. Pair ek uptrend mein hai aur Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke naye trading week ke shuruat mein aap long position open kar sakte hain. Stochastic indicator resistance zone mein hai.
Aakhri trading session ke doran, pair ne north ki taraf movement continue rakhi; players pehla resistance level ke upar apni position banane mein kamyab rahe. Bulls ne rise continue rakhi aur ab woh 197.18 par trade kar rahe hain. Intraday targets for growth classic Pivot levels ka resistance hai. Mera khayal hai ke Monday ko growth current levels se continue karegi, aur agar second resistance level 197.63 ka breakthrough hota hai, to pair mein ek naye growth wave ki shuruat hogi aur north ki taraf movement resistance line 199.96 ke upar continue hogi.
Agar short sellers market mein wapas aate hain, to unka reference point current chart section mein support level 192.75 hoga.
GBP/JPY ke is analysis ko dekhte hue, yeh pata chalta hai ke pair abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai aur trading opportunities ko capitalize karna behtar hoga. Technical indicators aur chart patterns ko dekhte hue, is waqt long positions lena profitable ho sakta hai.









Trading Plan

Agar aap is analysis ko follow karte hue trading plan banana chahte hain, to long positions ko priority deni chahiye. Monday ko trading shuru hone ke baad, 197.63 resistance level ka break hona ek achi opportunity provide karega, taake aap new highs ko target kar sakein. Agar price is level ko cross kar jati hai, to growth ka agla target 199.96 hoga.
Lekin agar market mein unexpected reversals hoti hain, to support level 192.75 ko closely monitor karna hoga. Agar price is support level ke niche jati hai, to short positions ko consider karna hoga. Risk management ke liye, stop losses ko carefully place karna hoga, taake potential losses minimize kiya ja sakein.

Conclusion

Overall, GBP/JPY pair abhi ek bullish trend mein hai aur upcoming trading week mein is trend ke continue hone ki umeed hai. Market conditions aur technical indicators ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, yeh waqt trading opportunities ko capitalize karne ka hai. Long positions ko focus karte hue, resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor karke, informed trading decisions lena zaroori hai.

tabdili ya ghair mutawaqqa catalysts ke liye hoshyaar rahein jo ke GBPJPY ke raaste mein tabdeeli kar sakte hain. Jab traders market ke haalaat ko mutaghayyar karte hain, technical aur fundamental factors ke gehre analysis se aagahi hasil karke informed trading strategies aur risk mitigation measures bana sakte hain. Aakhri mein, GBPJPY ki haal ki rawaani ek consolidation period ko darust karta hai jo ke barha hua uncertainty ke dor par hai, jis mein traders ko mohtatam sabr aur mehnat ki zaroorat hai taake maujooda market environment mein safar kar sakein. DAILY TIME FRAME PAR TRADING: Maujooda market harkaat ko dekhne mein, kharidari karne waleon ke dabaav mein abhi bhi koi maqbooliyat hai aur ye ek significant bullish trend ka correction ka mauqa faraham kar sakti hai. Ye ek ahem ghor hai aur ye ek position kholne ka wajah ban sakta hai. Jaise ke hum sab jante hain, jab market 13, 18, aur 28 EMA zones mein hota hai, to ye ek mauqa hai pehle test karne ka phir wo izafa jo ke mazeed barh sakta hai, jo ke BB ke ooper baahar jaake target ko poora Kar sakta hai aur ye lambay time frame ka istemal karke tasdeeq kiya ja sakta hai. chhota.Maujooda market ke shiraiyat ke sharaait ki roshni mein jo ke izafa ya kharidari ka rukh dikhate hain, ye dekha ja sakta hai jo ke 0.9001 ki dakhil hone wale darjeel se shuru hua hai aur 0.9124 ke ooper ka target poora karne ki mumkin hai. Pichli upar ke dabav ki madad se, wala ke wo bilkul mazboot nahi hai, lekin market mein izafa ko barhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Isliye, humein sirf chhote time frames par achi tasdeeq ke liye intezaar karna hai. Is doraan, Stochastic Oscillator ki position abhi tak oversold zone ke aas paas hai aur phir se barhne ke laayak hai, kharidne ke liye mazeed musbat ishaaraat faraham karte hain.

GBPJPY ki trading karte waqt, hamesha yeh zaroori hota hai ke hum technical analysis par poora focus karein. Iss waqt, GBPJPY ke price action ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke ismein abhi bhi barhne ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai. Ab tak, price ki giravat ne teesri lahar (wave) ke ikhtitam par koi mazboot tasdeeq nahi di hai. Teesri lahar ke baad aksar ek lambi lahar banti hai, jo ke potential rakhti hai ke paanchwan wave (wave) banaye. Pehli cheez jo humein dekhni chahiye, wo hai Elliot Wave Theory. Is theory ke mutabiq, market cycles paanch waves mein divide hote hain. Pehli, teesri, aur paanchwan waves impulsive hoti hain, matlab yeh trend ke direction mein hoti hain. Doosri aur chauthi waves corrective hoti hain, jo ke trend ke against jaati hain. Ab tak, hum teesri wave mein hain, aur yeh wave aksar sabse zyada aggressive hoti hai.

Ab teesri wave ke analysis par aate hain. Jab tak teesri wave apni mukammal shakal nahi leti, tab tak market mein bullish trend ke barqarar rehne ka imkaan hota hai. Teesri wave ki girawat ke baad bhi agar price mazboot support level ke aas-paas ho, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi hoti hai ke market ab bhi paanchwan wave ke liye tayar hai. Yeh paanchwan wave aksar ek naye high ko touch karne ka potential rakhti hai. Agar hum GBPJPY ke current price action ko dekhein, to kuch signs hain jo bullish trend ke continuation ko support karte hain. Sabse pehla sign yeh hai ke price ne abhi tak major support levels ko break nahi kiya hai. Dusra sign yeh hai ke market mein momentum indicators, jaise ke RSI aur MACD, bhi yeh show kar rahe hain ke abhi bhi upside ka potential hai.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke GBPJPY mein abhi bhi bullish potential hai. Jab tak market teesri wave ke ikhtitam ko mazboot tasdeeq ke saath confirm nahi karti, tab tak paanchwan wave ka ban-na mumkin hai. Isliye, traders ko chahiye ke wo apne positions ko accordingly manage karein aur risk management ko hamesha apne trading plan ka hissa banayein. Akhir mein, technical analysis ke alawa, fundamental factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. GBP aur JPY ke economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events bhi price movement par asar dal sakte hain. Lekin jab tak technical indicators bullish scenario ko support karte hain, GBPJPY mein barhne ka imkaan kaafi strong lagta hai.

GBP/JPY pair ka current market review aur potential scenarios ko analyze karte hue, hume kuch key points aur scenarios observe hote hain jo trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakte hain:
Key Points:

1. Upward Trend and Resistance Levels:
   • Current price strongly upward trend continue kar raha hai aur ab naya resistance level touch kar raha hai. Yeh price ya to directly break ho sakta hai ya phir thoda correct karne ke baad wapas try karega.
2. Bullish Pattern and Resistance Zone:
   • Is mahine ke shuru mein pair ne bullish pattern mein trade karna shuru kiya, lekin resistance zone mein upper channel lines ka saamna kiya.
   • Price giri aur monthly pivot level 195.86 ko break kar diya. Price lower channel lines aur monthly support level 191.20 tak pohanch gayi aur phir upward rebound kiya.
3. Rebounding to Opening Levels:
   • Price ne strong support prapt karke month ke opening level ko break kiya aur upward movement continue kiya.
   • Ab price phir se upper channel lines ka saamna kar rahi hai. Yeh lines break ho sakti hain aur price 201.77 level tak ja sakti hai, ya phir price monthly pivot level tak gir sakti hai aur phir se rise kar sakti hai.
4. Economic Factors:
   • Japanese yen par continued pressure ke saath, GBP/JPY price broader upward path par stabilize ho raha hai aur 198.60 resistance ke aas-paas hai.
   • Technical indicators strong saturation levels for purchase dikha rahe hain.
   • General trend bullish reh sakta hai jab tak Japanese intervention currency markets mein nahi hota.
   • Japanese intervention ke baad, strong selling operations GBP/JPY price par a sakti hain aur trend short term mein bearish ho sakta hai.
5. Investor Sentiment:
   • Investors divided hain Bank of Japan ke surprise moves ke possibilities par, jahan government bond purchases mein changes aa rahe hain.
   • Weak yen aur yield gap ke backdrop mein, speculation hai ke similar moves phir ho sakte hain jab tak US inflation data Wednesday ko pressure ease nahi karta.

Potential Scenarios:

1. Scenario 1: Direct Break of Resistance:
   • Agar price upper channel lines aur current resistance ko break karta hai, to next target level 201.77 ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario strong upward momentum aur bullish trend ko indicate karega.
2. Scenario 2: Correction and Rebound:
   • Agar price current resistance se girta hai, to monthly pivot level 195.86 tak correct ho sakta hai. Uske baad price phir se rise kar sakta hai aur resistance ko break karne ka try karega.
3. Scenario 3: Japanese Intervention:
   • Agar Japanese intervention hota hai, to GBP/JPY price par strong selling pressure aasakta hai aur price short term mein bearish trend follow kar sakti hai.
   • Investor confidence aur intervention ka amount determine karega ke price kitna gir sakta hai.

Conclusion:


GBP/JPY pair ke potential movements aur trading opportunities ko samajhne ke liye yeh review madadgar ho sakta hai. Different scenarios ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders apni strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain aur market conditions ke mutabiq action le sakte hain. Risk management aur technical indicators ka sahi istemal trading decisions ko support karega aur unexpected market moves se bachne mein madad karega

GBP/JPY H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Ghante ke chart par, daam ek uparward channel ke andar hai. Aaj daam is channel ke nichle kinare ke qareeb pohancha, jise daam ne neeche tor diya, lekin girawat jaari rakhne mein mumkin nahi tha, daam mud kar uparward movement shuru kar gaya. Uparward chalte hue, daam ne uparward channel ke uchle kinare ke qareeb qadam rakha, yani ke 198.50 ke level par. Ab yeh mumkin hai ke daam mukar jaye aur is channel ke nichle kinare tak girne ka silsila shuru ho, yani ke 197.47 ke level tak. Iske baad 197.10 ke range mein jhoota breakout ho sakta hai, aur mazeed mazbooti aaye gi. Shayad 197.80 ke range mein rukawat ho, phir girawat jaari rahegi. Kyunki humein bechnay walon ki taraf se mazboot dabaav hai, aur daam 197.00 ke range ke neeche gir sakta hai, behtareen yehi hoga ke bechein. Jab hum 197.00 ke range ko tor kar uske nichle mazbooti se theher jaate hain, to yeh bechne ka signal hoga. Agar aap 197.80 ke range ko tor sakte hain, to barhav jaari rahega aur aap kharid sakte hain. Main 197.05 ke breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon aur jab yeh hota hai, to yeh bechne ka mumkin hoga. Hum 194.90 ke range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur wahan se barhav jaari rahega. Agar mojooda daam se uparward hai, to yeh baad mein bhi jaari rahe sakta hai, aur barhav mazid jaari rahega. Shayad woh 197.80 ke upar theher jaye, phir yeh kharidne ka signal hoga. Haal ke neeche ki girawat ke baad, GBP/JPY daam ka mazboot ho raha hai.

Analysis of GBPJPY 22 MAY 2024


GBPJPY ka pair dekhte hain jo abhi tak resistance (R1) 198.75 ko paar karne mein nakami ka samna kar raha hai, lagta hai ke pehle ise neeche ki taraf correction karna hoga EMA 50 tak. Price neeche ki taraf bhi correction ho sakta hai considering ke aaj British inflation data aur kuch aur data releases hain. Agar report ke natije 2.1% ya us se kam aata hai jo ke pehle 3.2% se kam hai, to GBPUSD pair ki price neeche ki taraf gir sakti hai pivot point (PP) 196.74 tak. Magar dhyaan dein ke chal rahe trend ka direction ab bhi bullish hai. Isliye jab neeche ki correction hoti hai, toh yeh sirf ek secondary reaction ka formation hai aur projected price movement kaafi strong hai ke woh apne upward rally ko jari rakhega.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram jo ab level 0 ke aas-paas hai, woh dikhata hai ke momentum ke baare mein koi pakka pata nahi hai. Jaise ki histogram negative area mein dikh raha hai, lekin volume kafi wide nahi hai jo valid downtrend momentum dikhaye. Jabki Stochastic indicator ka parameter overbought zone ke neeche cross kar chuka hai aur level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, yeh dikhata hai ke abhi ke price movement mein neeche ki correction hone wali hai. Maan lijiye agar parameter level 50 paar nahi karta aur phir cross hota hai, toh price resistance (R1) 198.75 ko test karne ke liye upar ja sakti hai aur aage badh kar resistance (R2) 199.84 tak ja sakti hai kyun ke distance zyada nahi hai.

Position entry setup:

Trend following strategy ka istemal karke trading options mein, jab bullish trend conditions hain. BUY entry position lagane ke liye behtar hai ke price ka correction neeche pivot point (PP) 196.74 ke aas-paas hone ka wait karein volatility se bachne ke liye UK inflation data ke release ke baad. Confirm karein ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ya oversold zone ko cross kar sakein. AO indicator ka histogram wapas level 0 ya positive area mein aana chahiye jo ke current trend direction conditions ke hisaab se uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai. Take profit resistance (R1) 198.75 ke aas-paas le sakte hain aur support (S1) 195.65 ko stop loss ke tor par rakha jaa sakta hai.

GBPJPY Chart Analysis Review:

Japanese economy mein bhi karobar ki faalio mein izafa nazar araha hai, lekin yeh growth rate kamzor hai, United Kingdom mein jo hum dekh rahe hain. Berozgari 2.9% par qayam hai. Shayad mustaqbil mein halaat behtar ho jayein, jaise ke bade manufacturers ke darmiyan mehsoos ki jane wali jazbat ka index, jo ke 4 mahinon ke manfi zone ke baad +5 pips par bahal ho gaya., UK ke state statistics ke mutabiq, manufacturing sector mein karobar ki faalio mein izafa hai, aur chauthe quarter ka GDP 1% se 1.3% tak revise kiya gaya hai. Usi doran, us doran business mein invest karna 5.9% barh gaya, jise taqreeban kehte hain. Investors vaccine ke raftar ko bhi keemat lagane mein hain, jo ke UK mein kaafi mustaid hai aur British economy mein invest karna bohot wada karne wala hai. Economy ab mohlik qareeb hai aur hum pehle signs dekh rahe hain muta'akhir macroeconomic reports ke mutabiq: retail sales mein kami, 2nd quarter mein tanqeed mein 3% kami, aur jald hee karoaron British apne ghar garam karne ya khana khareedne ka faisla karenge. In shara'aiton ke tehet, pound ki girawat wazeh hai.

British pound United Kingdom aur aath aur territories ke qomi currency hai, jo ke Jersey, Guernsey, Isle of Man, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands, British Antarctic Territory, Gibraltar, the Falkland Islands, aur Saint Helena mein shamil hain. GBP top teen reserve currencies mein se hai. Pound Sterling British currency ka rasmi naam hai. Magar, yeh sirf formal texts mein istemal hota hai. Forex traders ke darmiyan kuch ghair rasmi naam bhi hain, jin mein 'sterling' aur 'cable' shamil hain.Modern Japanese currency ko 1871 mein introduce kiya gaya, ek zyada mushkil monetary system ko replace karte hue. Us system par ek mon shesh sikka ka mabni tha. Jaldi hi introduction ke baad, Japanese yen ko sone se joda gaya. Joda hamesha price fluctuations ko kam karne aur ek qoami currency ki qeemat ko mustabil banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai.Economy ab mohlik qareeb hai aur hum pehle signs dekh rahe hain muta'akhir macroeconomic reports ke mutabiq: retail sales mein kami, 2nd quarter mein tanqeed mein 3% kami, aur jald hee karoaron British apne ghar garam karne ya khana khareedne ka faisla karenge. In shara'aiton ke tehet, pound ki girawat wazeh hai.

Bears ka trend hal hi mein GBP/JPY ke liye bohot mazboot hai. Jab tak ke keemat 191.47 JPY ke resistance ke neeche rahe, aap bearish rally ka faida uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Pehla bearish maqasid 190.68 JPY par hai. Is support ko todne se bearish momentum phir se barh jayega. Phir bechare agle support ko istemal karenge jo ke 188.39 JPY par hai. Agar yeh toot jaye to sellers ko 183.54 JPY ko target karne ki ijaazat mil jayegi. Savdhani barsaat se jyada barhavat ki wajah se zaroori hai. Agar aisa hai to yaad rahe ke trend ke khilaf trade karna zyada risk wala ho sakta hai. Behtar hai ke trend ke ulte hone ka ishara ka intezar kiya jaye. Bearish momentum phir se barh jayega. Phir bechare agle support ko istemal karenge jo ke 188.39 JPY par hai. Agar yeh toot jaye to sellers ko 183.54 JPY ko target karne ki ijaazat mil jayegi. Savdhani barsaat se jyada barhavat ki wajah se zaroori hai. Agar aisa hai to yaad rahe ke trend ke khilaf trade karna zyada risk wala ho sakta hai. Behtar hai ke trend ke ulte hone ka ishara ka intezar kiya jaye.

GBP/JPY abhi tak bekar hai aur tajziya wahi hai. 193.51 se mabaad, jamatain barqi rukawat jari hai lekin mazeed izafa ka intezar hai jab tak 190.02 support ka sath hai. Upar, 193.51 ke toot, lamba trend ko 195.86 tak dobara shuru karega. Neche, agar 190.02 toot jata hai to bias neeche ke liye ho jayega aur 187.94 support par bar kar jayega. mojooda rally 123.94 se (2020 low) up trend ka hissa hai, aur 195.86 tak lambi dor ki resistance (2015 high) mein hai. 187.94 support ka toot medium term ke urdu mein pehla ishara hai. Warna, tajziya ubhar hawa mein rahega. Tajziya ki taraqqi par guzarish hai kyun ke mooly ney key support ke upar qaim hai 180 ke kareeb. Magar, technical tajziya iss lehaaz se bearish ho jaye gi agar Guppy iss level ke neeche kisi waqt iss haftay ko mukammal kar lete hain, kyun ke phir humare pass mojooda trend ka tasleesal nichla nichla darja hoga. Humara pound ka tajziya is surat mein yen ke khilaf manfi ho jaye ga, lekin abhi tak hum bullish camp par hain. Bechare tabiyeen ek 181.00 resistance ke upar ek mukammal kar lein ge, jo ke GBP/JPY ko 21-dinayi exponential moving average ke upar wapas la sakta hai.