نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ka US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein girawat ka samna karna padh raha hai, jo ke Friday ki Asian trading session mein dekha gaya. Is waqt NZD ki trading 0.5760 ke aas paas ho rahi hai, jabke isse pehle ki session mein isne lagbhag 1% ka izafa kiya tha. Yeh girawat ka sabab New Zealand ke domestic trade balance data ka release hona hai, jismein January 2025 ke liye trade deficit NZ$486 million dekhne ko mila. Yeh figure December ke liye revised surplus NZ$94 million ke muqablay mein kaafi zyada hai, jabke pehle isse NZ$219 million report kiya gaya tha.

Trade data ke mutabiq, New Zealand ke goods exports mein kami aayi hai, jo NZ$6.19 billion se ghat kar NZ$6.67 billion tak pahuncha, jabke imports mein izafa hua hai, jo NZ$6.8 billion se NZ$6.62 billion tak gaya. Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se ghatakar 3.75% kar diya hai, jo ke market ki tawaqqo ke mutabiq tha. RBNZ ke Chief Economist Paul Conway ne central bank ki dovish stance ko dobarah bayan kiya, kehna tha ke "official interest rate outlook ke liye 75 basis points aur ka cut hone ki umeed hai." RBNZ ke Governor Adrian Orr ne pehle hi is baat ka izhar kiya tha ke agle kuch mahino mein aur rate cuts ki sambhavna hai, jab inflation dheere dheere kam hoti ja rahi hai aur policymakers ek mushkil economic situation ko stimulate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Iske muqable mein, NZD/USD pair ne weak US dollar ke sabab se kuch izafa dekha tha. Yeh girawat US mein weak jobless claims data ki wajah se hui, jismein unemployment benefit applications ki ginti market ki tawaqqo se zyada thi. Is wajah se dollar par bechne ka pressure bana. Iske ilawa, US-China trade negotiations mein progress ki reports ne market mein behtar mood banaya, jisse tariffs ke concerns mein kami aayi. Is behtari ne New Zealand dollar ko kuch support diya. Analysts at ING Bank ka kehna hai ke "easing cycle ka khatam hona jaldi ho raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke liye achhi baat hai." Lekin, US tariffs se mutaliq uncertainty ab bhi NZD ke liye aik chunaoti hai.

Tariffs ka khulasa karte hue, nayi tariffs ka announcement timber aur forestry products par bhi ho sakta hai, jo NZD par downward pressure daal sakta hai. Yeh trade-related uncertainties aur RBNZ ki dovish policy stance NZD/USD pair ke trajectory ko aage bhi mutasir karegi. Is waqt, NZD ka performance international market mein kaafi had tak US dollar ki halat aur global economic conditions par depend kar raha hai.

Aakhir mein, NZD ka future outlook mushkil dikh raha hai, kyunki agle kuch mahino mein interest rates ke aur ghatne ki umeed hai, jabke trade tensions aur tariffs ke concerns ab bhi maujood hain. Is wajah se, investors ko NZD par focus karte waqt in sab factors ko madde nazar rakhna hoga. NZD/USD ka trend market ki sentiments ke saath saath global economic developments par bhi depend karega. Agar US dollar ki halat aur trade negotiations mein behtari hoti hai, to NZD ki girawat aur barh sakti hai. Isliye, ab waqt hai ke investors ko samajhdaari se faisle karne ki zaroorat hai, kyunki market ki halat ab bhi kaafi volatile hai.

NZDUSD currency pair ka analysis karte hue, hamein dekhna hai ke February ke shuru se lekar ab tak kya kuch dekha gaya hai. Jab hum D1 chart par nazar dalte hain, to sab se pehle yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price ne gap ke saath neeche ki taraf girawat shuru ki, aur January ke muqablay mein naye low tak pahuncha. Is dauran, MACD aur CCI indicators par bullish divergence ka signal mila, jo ek strong buy opportunity ko darshata hai. Ye scenario pehle bhi dekha gaya hai, jab bullish divergence ne trading opportunities di thi, lekin uske baad price phir se neeche gir gaya.

Is dip ke din, ek buying setup mirror level par bana, jahan resistance support mein tabdeel hua. Is movement ko hum choti time frames, jaise M5 aur M15 par bhi analyze kar sakte hain. Is din, kai major currency pairs ne bhi price gaps dekhe, jo baad mein yahan par close hue. Mujhe ummeed thi ke is moment ke baad price ek upward movement karega, jo pehle ki growth wave ke peak ko cross karega, lekin aisa nahi hua. Price ne high tak nahi pahuncha aur kuch din tak sideways mein chalta raha, jo ek downward trend ka imitaaz karta hai, lekin phir bhi price ne upar ki taraf shift kiya bina kisi significant progress ke.

Aakhirkar, price ne pehle maximum ko cross kiya aur target ko achieve kiya. Yeh aakhri growth wave pehle ki wave ki height se bhi upar nikaal gayi. Magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh upward movement bina kisi pullback ke aage nahi barh sakti. Mujhe shak hai ke price pehle kuch neeche jayegi, jo ke range ke lower boundary se neeche, yani 0.5630 ke niche decline karegi, phir shayad ek upward trajectory ki taraf rukh karegi.

Agle kuch dinon mein, key currency pairs mein corrective pullback hone ki ummeed hai, jo US dollar ki kamzori ke natije mein ho sakta hai. Lagta hai ke yeh pullback shayad pehle hi shuru ho gaya hai, lekin filhal price phir se upar push hui hai.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke trading strategies ko tayar karte waqt humein market ke in sab patterns aur signals ka khayal rakhna hoga. Agar aap trading kar rahe hain, to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price movements ko sirf historical data par nahi, balki current market sentiments aur economic indicators par bhi base karna chahiye.

NZDUSD ki current situation ko dekhte hue, humein yeh bhi samajhna hoga ke global economic conditions, jaise ki inflation rates, interest rates, aur geopolitical tensions, bhi currency pair ki movements par asar daalti hain. Isliye, trading decisions lete waqt in sab factors ko samajhna aur analyze karna zaroori hai.

Yeh tha mera analysis NZDUSD currency pair ka, jo ke February se lekar ab tak ki market movements ko darshata hai. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market unpredictable hoti hai, isliye kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle proper research aur analysis zaroor karein.\

NZDUSD currency pair ka analysis karte hue, hamein dekhna hai ke February ke shuru se lekar ab tak kya kuch dekha gaya hai. Jab hum D1 chart par nazar dalte hain, to sab se pehle yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price ne gap ke saath neeche ki taraf girawat shuru ki, aur January ke muqablay mein naye low tak pahuncha. Is dauran, MACD aur CCI indicators par bullish divergence ka signal mila, jo ek strong buy opportunity ko darshata hai. Ye scenario pehle bhi dekha gaya hai, jab bullish divergence ne trading opportunities di thi, lekin uske baad price phir se neeche gir gaya.

Is dip ke din, ek buying setup mirror level par bana, jahan resistance support mein tabdeel hua. Is movement ko hum choti time frames, jaise M5 aur M15 par bhi analyze kar sakte hain. Is din, kai major currency pairs ne bhi price gaps dekhe, jo baad mein yahan par close hue. Mujhe ummeed thi ke is moment ke baad price ek upward movement karega, jo pehle ki growth wave ke peak ko cross karega, lekin aisa nahi hua. Price ne high tak nahi pahuncha aur kuch din tak sideways mein chalta raha, jo ek downward trend ka imitaaz karta hai, lekin phir bhi price ne upar ki taraf shift kiya bina kisi significant progress ke.

Aakhirkar, price ne pehle maximum ko cross kiya aur target ko achieve kiya. Yeh aakhri growth wave pehle ki wave ki height se bhi upar nikaal gayi. Magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh upward movement bina kisi pullback ke aage nahi barh sakti. Mujhe shak hai ke price pehle kuch neeche jayegi, jo ke range ke lower boundary se neeche, yani 0.5630 ke niche decline karegi, phir shayad ek upward trajectory ki taraf rukh karegi.

Agle kuch dinon mein, key currency pairs mein corrective pullback hone ki ummeed hai, jo US dollar ki kamzori ke natije mein ho sakta hai. Lagta hai ke yeh pullback shayad pehle hi shuru ho gaya hai, lekin filhal price phir se upar push hui hai.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke trading strategies ko tayar karte waqt humein market ke in sab patterns aur signals ka khayal rakhna hoga. Agar aap trading kar rahe hain, to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price movements ko sirf historical data par nahi, balki current market sentiments aur economic indicators par bhi base karna chahiye.

NZDUSD ki current situation ko dekhte hue, humein yeh bhi samajhna hoga ke global economic conditions, jaise ki inflation rates, interest rates, aur geopolitical tensions, bhi currency pair ki movements par asar daalti hain. Isliye, trading decisions lete waqt in sab factors ko samajhna aur analyze karna zaroori hai.

Yeh tha mera analysis NZDUSD currency pair ka, jo ke February se lekar ab tak ki market movements ko darshata hai. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market unpredictable hoti hai, isliye kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle proper research aur analysis zaroor karein.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan trading ka halat abhi kafi interesting hai. 18 February 2025 ko NZD/USD ka rate 0.5710 ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle ke kuch dinon ki gains ke baad hua hai. Yeh girawat isi wajah se aayi hai kyunke US Dollar ki taqat mein izafa hua hai, jabke US Treasury yields bhi barh rahe hain.
Jab hum baat karte hain US Dollar Index (DXY) ki, toh yeh 106.90 tak pahunch gaya hai, jo ke pehle teen dinon ki losses ke baad hai. Iska matlab hai ke US Dollar mukhtalif currencies ke muqablay mein mazboot hua hai. US Treasury ke 2-year notes ki yields 4.27% aur 10-year notes ki yields 4.50% hain, jo investors ko yeh darshata hai ke unka reliance ab US Dollar par barh gaya hai.

NZD/USD ke liye yeh waqt kuch mushkil hai, kyunki US Dollar ki taqat mein izafa ho raha hai. Iske alawa, Federal Reserve ke kuch governors bhi inflation ke bare mein chintit hain. Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha hai ke abhi bhi kuch upside risks hain aur rate cuts par sochne se pehle zyada certainty ki zaroorat hai. Dusri taraf, Governor Christopher Waller ne yeh bhi kaha ke inflation mein kuch sudhar dekhne ko mil raha hai, lekin kaam aahista ho raha hai, aur unka kehna hai ke data-driven decisions lena zaroori hai jab bhi policy ke bare mein socha ja raha ho.

Iske bawajood, NZD/USD ko kuch support mila hai jab US President Donald Trump ne reciprocal tariffs ko delay karne ka faisla kiya. Yahaan tak ke ek US retail sales report ne bhi yeh speculation barhayi hai ke Federal Reserve shayad is saal ke aakhir mein interest rates ko cut kare. Lekin yeh sab kuch inflation ke chinta ke bawajood chal raha hai.

Kisi bhi currency ki value uske central bank ke policy decisions par kafi had tak depend karti hai. New Zealand ki Reserve Bank (RBNZ) se yeh umeed hai ke wo apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 50 basis points se ghata kar 3.75% kar dega. Yeh ek significant cut hoga aur is se NZD par pressure barh sakta hai.

Traders ki nazar RBNZ ke Governor Adrian Orr ki press conference par hogi jo rate decision ke baad hogi. Agar unhone dovish signals diye, toh is se Kiwi Dollar par aur bhi selling pressure barh sakta hai. Aise halat mein, NZD/USD ka pair 0.5710 se 0.5745 ke darmiyan trade karne ki umeed hai, lekin long-term mein kuch analysts ko lagta hai ke NZD ki taqat barhne ki sambhavna hai, jo ise 0.5790 tak le ja sakta hai.

Yeh poora silsila market ke dynamics, central bank ki policies, aur global economic conditions se milkar tay hota hai. Isliye, traders ko in sab factors par nazar rakhni chahiye aur unki strategies ko tyaar karna chahiye taake wo market ki is volatility ka faida utha sakein. NZD/USD ki trading ke liye ye waqt kaafi critical hai, aur ismein kis tarah se trends develop hote hain, ye sab kuch aane wale dinon mein dekhne ko milega.

Is sab ke madde nazar, NZD/USD ke liye traders ko apne analysis ko mazboot karna hoga, aur saath hi US Dollar aur New Zealand Dollar ke fundamental aur technical indicators ko samajhna hoga taake wo behtar faisle le sakein.

NZDUSD pair ne H4 time frame par 0.5745 wali resistance line ko break karne ke baad uske andar ek H4 candle bana li hai jo breakout ka confirmation de raha hai neeche ek order block maujood hai jahan se price reaction de sakta hai aur isi zone mein 50 EMA bhi hai jo market price ko test karne ke liye aa rahi hai jiska matlab hai ke agar price is support zone ko respect karta hai toh yahan se buying start hone ke chances hain RSI bhi 70 aur 50 ke beech mein hai jo neutral se bullish bias ko dikhata hai aur agar price 50 EMA se bounce karta hai toh buyers ke liye strong confirmation milegi agla target 0.5780 aur uske baad 0.5810 ho sakta hai lekin agar price order block aur 50 EMA ke neeche break karta hai toh short-term correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai price action par focus karna zaroori hai kyun ke agar bullish engulfing ya hammer jaisa reversal pattern banta hai toh buyers ko entry ka acha mauqa milega lekin agar bearish candle close hoti hai toh support breakdown ka signal hoga filhal structure bullish hai aur jab tak price 0.5745 ke upar sustain karta hai buying preference zyada strong hai lekin risk management ke liye confirmation ke bina impulsive entries avoid karni chahiye fundamental factors bhi dekhna zaroori hai kyun ke market sentiment par news ka asar ho sakta hai agar price EMA se bounce karke higher highs banata hai toh trend continuation hoga lekin agar rejection milti hai toh sideways ya downward movement possible hai buyers ke liye ideal scenario yeh hoga ke price order block ko respect karte hue bullish momentum dikhaye aur RSI agar 60 ke upar jata hai toh aur zyada confirmation milegi ke market buyers ke haath mein hai lekin agar RSI 50 ke neeche slip karta hai toh weak buying signals de sakta hai isliye intraday movement par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake entry aur exit points clear ho sakein.