NZD/USD pair abhi 0.5879 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur market mein volatility dekhne ko mil rahi hai jab ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand(RBNZ)ki upcoming meeting ka intezar hai.Expectations hain ke ek significant rate cut announce hoga,jahan 50 basis points ka cut base case scenario hai aur 75 basis points ke aggressive cut ka chance 25% hai.Iske ilawa,New Zealand Ministry of Finance ki pessimistic projections,jo economic recovery mein delay ka signal deti hain,NZD ke sentiment ko negatively impact kar rahi hain.US Dollar ki strength,jo Federal Reserve ke December policy decisions ke mixed expectations ki wajah se supported hai,NZD par pressure dala hua hai.US election ke baad,dollar ne dominant position le li hai,strong domestic factors ki wajah se aur un currencies ko overshadow karte hue jo similar support nahi rakhte,jiski wajah se unka valuation gir gaya hai.Is trend ke teh,NZD vulnerable hai aur USD ke against apni weakness show kar raha hai.H4 NZD/USD chart par,market ne 0.5921 level tak correction ki hai.Aaj ek bearish wave structure form ho raha hai jo 0.5858 level par consolidation range ke boundaries ko mark karta hai.Agar is range se bearish breakout hota hai,to yeh wave ko extend karke 0.5777 tak le ja sakta hai.Dusri taraf,agar price upside breakout karta hai,to ek aur corrective move 0.5944 tak ja sakti hai uske baad price phir se decline karega aur 0.5777 ka target hoga.Technically,is bearish outlook ko MACD indicator support kar raha hai,jiska signal line zero ke neeche aur downward trend mein hai.NZD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.5882 hai.Agar NZD/USD 0.5882 resistance todta hai aur bullish direction mein move karta hai,to yeh 0.5937 tak upar jayega aur uske baad 0.6785 resistance level tak move karega,jo 3rd level of resistance hai.On the other hand,NZD/USD ka initial support level 0.5831 hai.Agar NZD/USD 0.5831 support todta hai aur bearish direction mein move karta hai,to yeh 0.4896 ka target karega aur uske baad 0.4135 support level tak decline karega,jo 3rd level of support hai.
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