نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD currency pair filhal kafi taqat dikhata hai, jo ke kai faida mand economic factors se madad hasil kar raha hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne mazboot commodity prices se faida uthaya hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports mein, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot ahem hain. Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke wo inflation se nipatne ke liye interest rates barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh strategy NZD ki appeal ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein barhata hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve mubahis kar raha hai ke wo badalte economic halaat ke chalte potential rate cuts kar sakta hai. RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate differential NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye bohot ahem hai, kyun ke New Zealand mein tight monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support deti hai. Global trade conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi NZD ki performance par asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka mustahkam siyasi mahol aur China aur Australia ke sath mazboot trade ties NZD ko market mein acha position dete hain. Lekin, USD ek pasandeeda safe-haven currency hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai. Is liye, market participants ko aanewale economic data releases, jaise ke employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo investor sentiment ko badal sakti hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar dal sakti hain.

NZD/USD currency pair filhal upar ki taraf trend dikhata hai, aur ek key resistance level jo dekhne wala hai wo hai 0.61764. Agar price is level ko paar karta hai, toh traders aur investors ke liye agla bara target 0.62787 hoga. Yeh price level khaaskar ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh ek uchi resistance ko dikhata hai, jo is waqt ke bullish move ka peak ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko todne se yeh zahir hota hai ke NZD/USD momentum hasil kar raha hai, jo short-term aur long-term traders ke liye bohot ahm asar rakh sakta hai. Agar price 0.62087 level tak pohanchta hai, toh yeh current bullish momentum ki taqat ki tasdiq karega. Is point par breakthrough na sirf uptrend ki continuation ko signal karega balki yeh bhi dikhayega ke bulls ke haq mein broader trend shift ho raha hai. Traders is baat par nazar rakhne wale hain ke kya sustained strength ka koi ishara milta hai, kyun ke yeh aane wale dinon ya hafton mein aage ke upward movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 0.62087 par break hone se market participants ka dobara dilchaspi lena mumkin hai jo ek strong bullish reversal ki tasdiq ka intezar kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD pair ki is potential rise ke peechay kaafi reasons hain, khaaskar New Zealand ki economy ka outlook aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke actions. RBNZ ke monetary policy decisions NZD ki taqat mein ahm kirdar ada karne wale hain. Hal hi mein, RBNZ ki stance ke liye optimism dekha gaya hai, kyun ke central bank ne inflation ko manage karne aur economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye kadam uthaye hain. Agar RBNZ koi faida mand policy decision leta hai, jaise interest rates ko barhane ka, toh yeh NZD ko aur taqat de sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko barha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD ki relative kamzori bhi NZD/USD pair ke bullish momentum ko barhane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes par ehtiyaat se kaam kiya hai, aur jab ke inflation ab bhi ek concern hai, aise ishara milte hain ke Fed mustaqbil mein moderate approach apna sakta hai. Agar USD kamzor hota raha, toh yeh NZD/USD pair ke liye mazeed support faraham karega, jo isay 0.62787 level ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai NZD/USD pair ke bearish mehsoosiyat ko barhane mein madadgar hain. New Zealand aur United States se aane wale economic data releases, jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank ki interest rate decisions, is currency pair ki movements par significant asar daal sakte hain

NZD/USD Market Outlook

Good Morning guys!

New Zealand ka CPI rate 0.7% se 0.6% tak kam ho gaya. Isne kal NZD ko kamzor kar diya.

Market mein buyers aur sellers dono ke liye mauqe ban sakte hain, lekin agar risk management theek nahi hai, to traders volatile move ke wrong side par aa sakte hain. US trading session ke doran sharp price swings ki sambhavna ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke ek clear plan bana kar us par amal kiya jaye, chahe market ka reaction news ke liye kaisa bhi ho.

Aaj ke US Core CPI, CPI m/m, aur Unemployment Rate data releases market sentiment par bohot aham asar daal sakte hain aur buyers aur sellers dono ke liye mauqe paida kar sakte hain. Jabke market filhal buyers ke haq mein nazar aa raha hai, US trading session ke doran aane wali volatility ka matlab yeh hai ke sellers bhi mauqe dhoond sakte hain aur profit hasil kar sakte hain.

Umeed hai ke NZD/USD agle kuch ghanton mein support zone 0.6033 ko cross karega. Aaj ke market ko navigate karne ka key yeh hoga ke data ko release hote hi analyze kiya jaye aur changing market conditions ke mutabiq tayar raha jaye. Fundamental aur news-based strategies ka istemal karke, traders apne aap ko market ke movements se faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain aur "profit ratio" grab kar sakte hain US trading session ke doran.

Aaj kal ka FOMC Meeting Minutes shayad traders ko wahi insights nahi de paya jinki umeed thi, lekin aaj ke data releases naye mauqe paida karte hain informed trading decisions lene ke liye. NZD/USD ka price US Philly Fed Manufacturing index data release ke doran volatility se move karega.

Chaliye dekhte hain ke agle kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Stay Blessed and keep calm!

NZD/USD Pair Ka Jaiza
NZD/USD pair is waqt pressure mein hai, aur kai indicators yeh ishara kar rahe hain ke agar key support levels break ho jate hain, to downside movement ka imkaan barh sakta hai. Pair ne kuch ahem zones ko test kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ki strength dheere dheere kam ho rahi hai, aur iska nateeja 0.61200 level ke neeche breakdown ki surat mein nikal sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to price mazeed gir kar 0.61000 ka target kar sakti hai, jo 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath align karta hai aur wahan se support mil sakti hai.

Lekin agar price upward retrace karta hai, to 0.62000 level ke qareeb usay mazboot resistance ka samna ho ga, jahan pe pehle liquidity grabs aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) mojood hain. Is resistance ko break karna pair ke bullish outlook ki taraf shift hone ke liye zaroori ho ga. Chart par kai FVG zones hain, dono downside aur upside mein, jo price imbalance ki wajah se volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain, jab market participants liquidity dhoondte hain.

NZD/USD ka overall outlook abhi bearish hai, especially agar price 0.62000 resistance level ke neeche rehti hai. Agar price 0.61250 ke neeche break hoti hai, to uska rasta 0.61000 zone ki taraf khul sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke price is se bhi neeche chale jaye. Dosri taraf, agar recovery ki koshish hoti hai, to price ko pehle strong resistance 0.62000 ko break karna hoga, uske baad hi higher liquidity zones jese 0.62500 ko target kar sake gi. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo near-term movement ko forecast karte hain, golden line ka lower channel se upward cross show kar rahe hain, jo potential upward direction ka ishara deta hai. Ye ek buy entry ka support karta hai. Iske ilawa, RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi potential strength ke early signs dikhate hain, jo cautious bullish outlook ko support karte hain agar resistance levels clear ho jate hain. Conclusion: NZD/USD pair abhi pressure mein hai aur bias bearish hai, lekin kuch key levels aur zones ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai to downward move 0.61000 tak continue ho sakta hai. Jab ke agar 0.62000 ke upar break hota hai, to ek potential bullish trend ka ishara mil sakta hai, jisme higher liquidity zones, jaise ke 0.62500, target ho sakte hain. Lower liquidity zones ke qareeb buying pressure significant hoga agar overall bearish bias ko badalna ho.

Humne Thursday ka aaghaz NZDUSD ki growth ke saath kiya, jo phir se janub ki taraf chalti nazar aa rahi hai, agar hum ab banne wali candle par yaqeen karen. Yeh candle abhi itni bari nahi hai, lekin teen soldiers ka model yahan nahi ban raha, jo bulls ke liye kafi mayusi ki baat hai. Iske ilawa, humne sirf ek aam correction kiya hai, jo maqbooli had tak hi tha, ismein kisi qisam ka koi ziada exaggeration nahi hai, isliye is baat ka imkaan kam hai ke yeh koi global growth mein tabdeel ho. Humein yahan kuch bohot bara wazan chahiye jo yeh sabit kar sake, lekin lagta hai agle news us qism ke nahi honge. Bad-tareen surat mein, dollar aur pair mein thodi turbulence ho sakti hai, lekin anjaam neeche ki taraf hi hoga aur 0.6040 tak pohanch jayega. Mujhe lagta hai ke upward jerk guzar chuki hai aur yahan bulls ziada kuch karne ke qabil nahi hain. Shayad sham tak foundation par ek choti si non-critical upward pin dikhayein aur bas, jahan brave sellers ka kaam khatam ho. H1 par bhi yeh koi asli recovery movement ka aaghaz nahi lagta, mere khayal mein. Thoda bohot upar gaya, lekin ek reversal ya koi serious correction banane ke liye kafi nahi hai, halan ke hum MA ke upar hain, aur waisay bhi, MA ke neeche breakdown ke qareeb hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe mustaqbil mein bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai aur 0.6040 tak pohanchna muqaddar lagta hai. NZD/USD abhi 61.8% Fibonacci retracement par trade kar raha hai four-hour timeframe par. Kal maine peeshgoi ki thi ke price giray gi, aur yeh ek logical soch thi, kyunke sellers ne 50% retracement ke support level ko tor diya tha, jo ek ahem strength ka level tha, isliye consolidation iske neeche aane se ek gehra girawat ka wazeh sabab bana. Downward correction target level 61.8% tak chali gayi. Saath hi, bears ne 200th moving average ke neeche consolidation kiya, jo ke trend ke mazeed faasil ko bhi asar-andaz kiya. Price ne key level ko touch kiya aur wapas moving average tak chali gayi. Dekhte hain ab agay kya hota hai. NZD/USD ek mushkil position mein hai, yahan se ya to growth ho sakti hai ya girawat, lekin yeh ek bara sawal hai ke pair agay kis taraf jaayega. Jab trend wazeh ho jaye ga, tab hum trading ki taraf wapas aa sakte hain.

New Zealand ke inflation pressures pehli dafa 3.5 saal mein RBNZ ke target band mein wapas aa gaye hain. Markets ab is baat par guftagu kar rahi hain ke RBNZ late November mein 50 ya 75 basis points ka cut karega. NZD/USD ab familiar support levels ki taraf gir raha hai.
**Overview**
New Zealand ki consumer price inflation (CPI) September quarter mein 2021 ke shuruat se sabse neeche level par aa gayi, aur markets ka yeh khayal hai ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) November mein ek aur aham rate cut Karega.

NZD/USD ab range ke lows par wapas aa gaya hai, jab ke ek aur key inflation indicator ka intezar hai. **Aakhir kar band mein**
Headline CPI quarter ke liye 0.6% barha aur saal ke liye 2.2% barha, jis se annual rate pehli dafa RBNZ ke 1-3% target band mein aa gaya hai.

Aham baat yeh hai ke saal dar saal ka izafa RBNZ ke August ke forecast se, jo ke 2.3% tha, ek dasamlo kam hai. Headline CPI mein kami phir se tradable prices ki wajah se hui, jo aam tor par global factors se mutasir hoti hain, aur yeh quarter-on-quarter 0.2% aur year-on-year 1.6% gir gayi, jo December 2020 quarter ke baad Pehli dafa deflation ki taraf chali gayi.

Non-tradable prices, jo ke zyada tar domestic factors ko reflect karti hain, flat rahi, quarter ke liye 1.3% aur saal ke liye 4.9% barhi. Halankeh domestic inflationary pressures ka RBNZ target ki taraf wapas aana dheere hai, saal dar saal ka izafa teen saal mein sabse chhota hai.

Core inflationary pressures ke liye bhi achi khabar hai, jo quarter-on-quarter 1% aur year-on-year 3.1% barhi. Ab tawajjoh RBNZ ke core inflation ka pasandeeda measure - is ka sector factor model - par hogi, jo Wednesday ko Wellington waqt ke mutabiq 3 baje release kiya jayega.

ZD/USD currency pair abhi ek upward trend dikhane laga hai, aur ek ahem resistance level jo dekhne ke laayak hai woh hai 0.61764. Agar price is level se upar chale jati hai, to agla bara target traders aur investors ke liye 0.62787 hoga. Yeh price level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke yeh ek higher resistance hai jo current bullish move ke liye peak ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karta hai, to yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke NZD/USD mein mazeed momentum aa raha hai, jo short-term aur long-term traders dono ke liye kaafi ahem implications la sakta hai.

0.62087 level tak pohanchna yeh confirm karega ke ab ka bullish momentum kaafi strong hai. Is point par breakthrough ka sirf yeh matlab nahi hoga ke uptrend continue hoga, balke yeh bhi indicate kar sakta hai ke broader trend ab bulls ke haq mein shift ho raha hai. Traders ghor se dekh rahe honge ke kya koi signs hain jo sustained strength ka pata den, kyunke yeh aage ke dino ya hafto mein mazeed upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar price 0.62087 ke upar break karta hai, to market participants jo ek strong confirmation ka intezaar kar rahe thay, woh dobara interested ho sakte hain aur is bullish reversal ka faida utha sakte hain.

Is potential rise ke peechay jo main drivers hain unmein New Zealand ki economy ka outlook aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki policy decisions kaafi ahem hain. RBNZ ki monetary policy ka NZD ki strength par bara asar hoga. Hal hi mein, RBNZ ke stance ke hawale se optimism dikhai de raha hai, kyunke central bank ne inflation manage karne aur economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye kuch qadam uthaye hain. Agar RBNZ koi favorable policy decision karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko maintain ya barhata hai, to yeh NZD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ke bullish outlook ko support karega.

Is ke ilawa, U.S. Dollar (USD) ki relative weakness bhi NZD/USD pair ke bullish momentum ko support kar sakti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes ke hawale se ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur jabke inflation abhi bhi ek concern hai, kuch signs hain ke Fed aage chal kar thoda moderate approach apna sakta hai. Yeh USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo NZD ke liye mazeed appreciation ka raasta khol sakta hai. Agar USD mazeed soften hota hai, to yeh NZD/USD pair ke liye mazeed support ka sabab ban sakta hai, jise 0.62787 level ke qareeb push kar sakta hai.

Traders ke liye, 0.62787 level ko ek critical point maana ja raha hai, kyunke yeh sirf ek short-term resistance nahi balke current bullish cycle mein ek potential peak bhi ho sakta hai. Agar price is level tak ya is se upar pahunch jata hai, to yeh signal de sakta hai ke ek zyada sustainable upward movement ho sakti hai, jisme long-term mein aur gains ka imkaan hai. Lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke yeh yaad rakhein ke yeh level ek strong resistance ke tor par bhi kaam kar sakta hai, iska matlab hai ke NZD/USD is level ko break karne mein mushkil ka samna kar sakta hai agar significant bullish pressure ya supportive fundamentals nahi milte.

NZD/USD currency pair filhal kafi taqat dikhata hai, jo ke kai faida mand economic factors se madad hasil kar raha hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne mazboot commodity prices se faida uthaya hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports mein, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot ahem hain. Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke wo inflation se nipatne ke liye interest rates barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh strategy NZD ki appeal ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein barhata hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve mubahis kar raha hai ke wo badalte economic halaat ke chalte potential rate cuts kar sakta hai. RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate differential NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye bohot ahem hai, kyun ke New Zealand mein tight monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support deti hai. Global trade conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi NZD ki performance par asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka mustahkam siyasi mahol aur China aur Australia ke sath mazboot trade ties NZD ko market mein acha position dete hain. Lekin, USD ek pasandeeda safe-haven currency hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai. Is liye, market participants ko aanewale economic data releases, jaise ke employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo investor sentiment ko badal sakti hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar dal sakti hain.

NZD/USD currency pair filhal upar ki taraf trend dikhata hai, aur ek key resistance level jo dekhne wala hai wo hai 0.61764. Agar price is level ko paar karta hai, toh traders aur investors ke liye agla bara target 0.62787 hoga. Yeh price level khaaskar ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh ek uchi resistance ko dikhata hai, jo is waqt ke bullish move ka peak ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko todne se yeh zahir hota hai ke NZD/USD momentum hasil kar raha hai, jo short-term aur long-term traders ke liye bohot ahm asar rakh sakta hai. Agar price 0.62087 level tak pohanchta hai, toh yeh current bullish momentum ki taqat ki tasdiq karega. Is point par breakthrough na sirf uptrend ki continuation ko signal karega balki yeh bhi dikhayega ke bulls ke haq mein broader trend shift ho raha hai. Traders is baat par nazar rakhne wale hain ke kya sustained strength ka koi ishara milta hai, kyun ke yeh aane wale dinon ya hafton mein aage ke upward movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 0.62087 par break hone se market participants ka dobara dilchaspi lena mumkin hai jo ek strong bullish reversal ki tasdiq ka intezar kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD pair ki is potential rise ke peechay kaafi reasons hain, khaaskar New Zealand ki economy ka outlook aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke actions. RBNZ ke monetary policy decisions NZD ki taqat mein ahm kirdar ada karne wale hain. Hal hi mein, RBNZ ki stance ke liye optimism dekha gaya hai, kyun ke central bank ne inflation ko manage karne aur economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye kadam uthaye hain. Agar RBNZ koi faida mand policy decision leta hai, jaise interest rates ko barhane ka, toh yeh NZD ko aur taqat de sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko barha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD ki relative kamzori bhi NZD/USD pair ke bullish momentum ko barhane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes par ehtiyaat se kaam kiya hai, aur jab ke inflation ab bhi ek concern hai, aise ishara milte hain ke Fed mustaqbil mein moderate approach apna sakta hai. Agar USD kamzor hota raha, toh yeh NZD/USD pair ke liye mazeed support faraham karega, jo isay 0.62787 level ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD ka 1-hour chart aik lambay bearish trend ko dikhata hai, jahan price abhi 0.60620 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Aik tez girawat ke baad, market consolidation ka ishara de raha hai. Is bearish move ke dauran, price ne key liquidity areas (DLiq) ko upar aur neeche dono taraf test kiya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke in zones ke aas-paas kafi zyada accumulation aur distribution hui hai.Ye selloff jo is maheenay ke shuruat mein shuru hua tha, price ko 0.62000 ke upar se gira kar current level tak le aaya, jahan usne kaafi "Top Liquidity" aur "Bottom Liquidity" zones ko face kiya, khaaskar 0.61000, 0.60800, aur 0.60600 ke qareeb. Ye liquidity pools is baat ka ishara dete hain ke buyers aur sellers dono is areas mein actively position le rahe hain, taake potential breakout ya reversal ka intezar kar sakein. Halankeh bearish pressure ab tak barqarar hai, 0.60500 aur 0.60600 ke aas-paas aik minor double bottom ki formation se selling momentum mein kamzori ka ishara mil sakta hai.Dauran early downtrend, aik fair value gap (FVG) fill hui thi, jo us waqt bearish sentiment ko mazid mazbooti deti thi. Magar, abhi ke market structure se consolidation nazar aa rahi hai, jahan liquidity dono sides se li gayi hai, jo short term mein possible sideways movement ka ishara deti hai. Agar price critical bottom liquidity level 0.60500 ke qareeb break nahi karta, tou aik corrective rebound 0.61000 ya us se upar tak hosakta hai. Lekin agar price 0.60600 ke neeche break kar gaya tou aur ziada downside movement 0.60500 ya us se neeche ho sakti hai.Agar price 0.61000 ke upar break karta hai tou ye aik short-term recovery ka signal ho sakta hai, jo higher liquidity zones 0.61500 ke aas-paas test kar sakta hai. Key resistance levels mein 0.6136 (primary resistance) aur 0.6249 (secondary resistance) shamil hain, jabke sabse bara resistance 0.6371 pe hai.
Neeche, 0.60500 critical support hai jise bulls ko defend karna hoga. Agar ye level break hota hai, tou aur ziada decline hosakta hai, jahan key support levels 0.5876 (primary) aur 0.5134 (secondary) hain, jabke sabse low support 0.4533 pe hai.
Overall, trend ab tak bearish hai, magar short-term mein consolidation ya minor rebound possible hai. Liquidity zones ko closely monitor karna breakout opportunities ko pehchanne ke liye bohot zaroori hoga.

NZD/USD currency pair abhi considerable strength dikhata hai, jo ke kai favorable economic factors se supported hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne high commodity prices ka faida uthaya hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports ka, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. qeemat kaafi zyada gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai,

NZD/USD currency pair filhal upar ki taraf trend dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, aur ek key resistance level jo dekhna zaroori hai, wo 0.61764 hai. Agar price is level se upar nikalti hai, to traders aur investors ke liye agla bada target 0.62787 hoga. Yeh price level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh ek higher resistance ko darshata hai, jo current bullish move ke liye peak ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko todne ka matlab hoga ke NZD/USD momentum gain kar raha hai, jo short-term aur long-term traders ke liye ahm asraat rakh sakta hai. 0.62087 level tak pohanchna current bullish momentum ki taqat ko confirm karega. Is point par breakthrough sirf uptrend ki continuation ka signal nahi dega, balki yeh bulls ke haq mein ek broader trend shift ki nishani bhi ho sakta hai. Traders iske liye nazar rakh rahe hain ke koi sustained strength ki nishani milti hai ya nahi, kyunki yeh agle dinon ya hafton mein mazeed upward movement ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Agar 0.62087 ke upar break hota hai, to market participants ka naya interest is taraf aa sakta hai jo ek strong bullish reversal ki confirmation ka intezar kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD pair ki is potential rise ka ek aham sabab New Zealand ki economy ka outlook aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki karwaiyan hain. RBNZ ke monetary policy decisions NZD ki taqat par gehra asar daal sakte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ke stance ke bare mein optimism hai, kyun ke central bank ne inflation ko manage karne aur economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye kuch kadam uthaye hain. Agar RBNZ ka policy decision favorable hota hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhna ya badhana, to yeh NZD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko support karega.

Is ke ilawa, U.S. Dollar (USD) ki relative kamzori bhi NZD/USD pair ke bullish momentum ko barhane mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve apne interest rate hikes ke approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, aur jab ke inflation ek concern hai, kuch nishaniyan hain ke Fed shayad mustaqbil mein moderate approach apnaaye. Agar USD kamzor hota raha, to yeh NZD ko appreciate hone ka zyada mauqa dega.

Traders ke liye, 0.62787 level ek critical point mana jata hai, kyun ke yeh sirf short-term resistance nahi balki current bullish cycle ka potential peak bhi hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai ya isay paar

nazar aa rahi hai, agar hum ab banne wali candle par yaqeen karen. Yeh candle abhi itni bari nahi hai, lekin teen soldiers ka model yahan nahi ban raha, jo bulls ke liye kafi mayusi ki baat hai. Iske ilawa, humne sirf ek aam correction kiya hai, jo maqbooli had tak hi tha, ismein kisi qisam ka koi ziada exaggeration nahi hai, isliye is baat ka imkaan kam hai ke yeh koi global growth mein tabdeel ho. Humein yahan kuch bohot bara wazan chahiye jo yeh sabit kar sake, lekin lagta hai agle news us qism ke nahi honge. Bad-tareen surat mein, dollar aur pair mein thodi turbulence ho sakti hai, lekin anjaam neeche ki taraf hi hoga aur 0.6040 tak pohanch jayega. Mujhe lagta hai ke upward jerk guzar chuki hai aur yahan bulls ziada kuch karne ke qabil nahi hain. Shayad sham tak foundation par ek choti si non-critical upward pin dikhayein aur bas, jahan brave sellers ka kaam khatam ho. H1 par bhi yeh koi asli recovery movement ka aaghaz nahi lagta, mere khayal mein. Thoda bohot upar gaya, lekin ek reversal ya koi serious correction banane ke liye kafi nahi hai, halan ke hum MA ke upar hain, aur waisay bhi, MA ke neeche breakdown ke qareeb hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe mustaqbil mein bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai aur 0.6040 tak pohanchna muqaddar lagta hai. NZD/USD abhi 61.8% Fibonacci retracement par trade kar raha hai four-hour timeframe par. Kal maine peeshgoi ki thi ke price giray gi, aur yeh ek logical soch thi, kyunke sellers ne 50% retracement ke support level ko tor diya tha, jo ek ahem strength ka level tha, isliye consolidation iske neeche aane se ek gehra girawat ka wazeh sabab bana. Downward correction target level 61.8% tak chali gayi. Saath hi, bears ne 200th moving average ke neeche consolidation kiya, jo ke trend ke mazeed faasil ko bhi asar-andaz kiya. Price ne key level ko touch kiya aur wapas moving average tak chali gayi.

/USD ka ahem level 0.61764 hai. Agar price is level ke ooper chali jati hai, to agla bara target 0.62787 hoga. Yeh level khaas tor par significant hai kyun ke yeh ek bara resistance point hai, jo current bullish move ka peak ban sakta hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke NZD/USD mein momentum barh raha hai, jo short-term aur long-term traders dono ke liye ahem ho sakta hai. Agar price 0.62087 tak pohanch jati hai, to yeh bullish momentum ki taqat ko confirm karega. Is point ka breakthrough na sirf uptrend ke continuation ka signal hoga, balki yeh bhi indicate karega ke broader trend bulls ke haq mein shift ho raha hai. Traders is level ko closely dekh rahe honge, kyun ke agar yeh strength barqarar rahi, to price aane wale dino ya hafton mein aur bhi ooper ja sakti hai. 0.62087 ke uper ka break trading community ka naya interest la sakta hai jo ek mazid bullish reversal ke liye confirmation ka intezaar kar rahe hain.
Is potential rise ke peechay ek bara driver New Zealand ki economy aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki policies hain. RBNZ ki monetary policy decisions New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki taqat mein bara kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Haal hi mein optimism barh raha hai RBNZ ke hawale se, kyun ke central bank ne inflation ko manage karne aur economic growth ko promote karne ke liye kuch qadam uthaye hain. Agar RBNZ koi favorable decision karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhna ya barhana, to yeh NZD ko aur mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ke bullish outlook ko mazid strong karega.

Dusri taraf, U.S. Dollar (USD) ki kamzori bhi NZD/USD ke liye bullish momentum ka sabab ban rahi hai. U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ke mamle mein ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, aur jab ke inflation abhi bhi ek concern hai, lagta hai ke Fed future mein moderate approach ikhtiyar kar sakta hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, to NZD ko aur mazid ooper janay ka moka mil sakta hai. Agar USD apni kamzori jari rakhta hai, to yeh NZD/USD pair ko 0.62787 level ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

Traders ke liye 0.62787 ka level ek critical point hai, kyun ke yeh sirf ek short-term resistance nahi, balki current bullish cycle ka peak bhi ho sakta hai. Agar price is level tak ya is se ooper jati hai, to yeh sustained upward movement ka signal hoga, aur mazeed gains ki guzarish mumkin hai. Lekin, yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh level ek strong resistance ban sakta hai, aur NZD/USD ke liye isay todna mushkil ho sakta hai jab tak mazid bullish pressure ya supportive fundamentals nahi aate.

Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair abhi ek potential bara gain ke qareeb hai, jahan 0.61764 ka level ek ahem rukawat hai. Agar pair is resistance ko break karta hai, to agla bara target 0.62787 hoga, jo ek critical resistance level aur current bullish move ka peak ban sakta hai. Traders ko 0.62087 ke aas paas ki strength ko closely dekhna hoga, kyun ke is level ke upar ka break bullish momentum ko confirm karega aur broader trend shift ka ishara dega. RBNZ ka asar aur kamzor USD ki wajah se NZD/USD pair ke liye favorable

New Zealand dollar (NZD) apni gains barqarar rakhey huey hai US dollar (USD) ke khilaf, Friday ki early Asian trade mein lagbhag 0.6095 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Lekin, is pair ka upside potential thora limited ho sakta hai kyun ke September mein US inflation unexpectedly barh gaya hai, jo ke Federal Reserve se kisi significant rate cut ki umeed ko kam kar raha hai aur dollar ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Sarmaiyah car ab Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Michigan consumer confidence ke pehlay data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko baad mein release hoga. Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein September mein 2.4% year-on-year ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jab ke pichlay mahine ke 2.5% ke muqablay mein thora kam hai. Isi dauran, Core CPI, jo ke khorak aur energy prices ko chhor kar check ki jati hai, September mein pichlay saal ke muqablay mein 3.3% barhi, jo ke pehlay reading 3.2% aur expectations 3.2% ko surpass kar gayi. Aik higher-than-expected inflation report greenback ko mazid support kar sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair ke upside ko restrict kar sakta hai. Jab ke September mein rate mein thori si izafi bardasht ki gayi hai, yeh Federal Reserve ko is saal mazeed interest rates cut karne se nahi roke gi, lekin 50 basis point ka rate cut hone ka imkaan strong US nonfarm payrolls report ke baad kafi kam ho gaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market mein November mein 25 basis point ka rate cut hone ka 83.3% chance price kiya ja raha hai.

New York Fed ke President Williams ne Thursday ko kaha ke woh mazeed rate cuts ki umeed rakhtay hain, kyun ke inflationary pressures ease ho rahe hain aur economy mazboot hai. Chicago Fed ke President Austin Goolsbee ne kaha ke woh aglay aik saal ya saal aur aadhe tak aik series of rate cuts ki tawako kar rahe hain, aur yeh bhi note kiya ke inflation Fed ke 2% target ke qareeb hai aur economy full employment ke qareeb hai, jo ke Fed ka goal hai. Halankeh, Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne yeh kaha hai ke woh November mein aik rate cut skip karne ka imkaan dekh rahe hain agar economic data time par Fed ke target se match nahi karta.

New Zealand dollar ne US dollar ke khilaf aik tezi se decline experience kiya jab Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates mein 50 basis points ki cut kiya. Pair 0.6100 area ke aas paas stable raha, jo ke 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb hai, jo ke aik strong support level hai. Technical oscillators mixed signals de rahe hain. Stochastic oversold zone mein ooper ki taraf point kar raha hai jab ke %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan aik bullish crossover bana hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) neeche ki taraf neutral threshold 50 ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, support area 0.5850-0.5875 sharp negative momentum ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakte hai

taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai, jabke koi bhi bullish koshish ko