نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-

NZD/USD

NZD/USD Currency Pair ka Jaiza (D1 Period Chart)

Agar hum D1 period chart par NZD/USD currency pair ka mutaala karein, to dekhne mein aata hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai.

CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai.

In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, jismein shamil hai:

• US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadaad
• US core orders for durable goods
• US core price index of personal consumption expenditures
• US durable goods orders ka volume
• US gross domestic product (GDP)
• US GDP deflator
• US mein unemployment benefits ke liye naye applications ki tadaad

Aur 16:20 par Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bhi ek speech hoga.

NZD/USD ka Taja Jaiza:

NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.

Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai.

RBNZ ke halia rate cut aur cautious outlook ne yeh dar paida kiya hai ke mazeed monetary easing ka imkaan hai, jo NZD/USD ke upside potential ko had tak mehdood kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD D1 chart

Chaliye D1 period ka NZD/USD currency pair ka chart dekhte hain. Kal ki girawat ka tajziya karne par maloom hua ke daam kaafi kam hua, lekin aaj phir se kuch ta'ali ka izhar ho raha hai. Kal ki girawat ka sabab waqai US dollar ka market mein ta'akkun tha. Gel ghaltiyon ka dhanchaa abhi bhi upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator khareedari ke zone mein hai aur apne signal line se upar hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil raha hai - jo ke aik mazboot sale signal hai. CCI indicator bhi garam zone se neeche ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle purani barhati candle ko puri tarah dhak gaya, jisse aik candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sale signals ka tasdiq hai. Iske ilawa, daam ne aik khoobsurat upar ki taraf jhukaav bana liya hai - jo ke aik giraawat ka nishan hai. Halankeh upar ki taraf ka rujhan hai, lekin aam halat ke madde nazar, mujhe lagta hai ke agle chand dino mein daam ko neeche le jaya jaayega, purani daily waves ke neeche ke line ki taraf. Aaj hik horizontal support level 0.6257 par daam ki barhoti ki wajah hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke hume choti time period par barhoti ka akhiriya dekhna chahiye, wahan sale ka nishan dhoondna chahiye aur neeche jana chahiye. Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow waqt par aayega: Amreeka mein bekaar darj karne walon ki total ta'dad, Amreeka mein durable goods ke liye core orders, Amreeka mein personal consumption expenditures ke liye core price index, durable goods ke liye orders ka volume, Amreeka ka GDP, GDP deflator, aur Amreeka mein bekaar darj karne walon ki initial applications ki ta'dad. 16:20 par Amreeka ke Federal Reserve ke sarbarah Jerome Powell ka taqreer bhi hoga.

NZD/USD currency pair haal ke trade sessions mein positive trajectory dikha raha hai, jo ke khaaskar Federal Reserve ke more dovish policy ke tawaqqo ki wajah se hai. Halankeh, is pair ka upar jana asan nahin hai, kyunki kuch factors, jaise ke Amreeka aur New Zealand dono ke ma’ashiyat ke uncertainties, iski taraqqi ko rok sakte hain. Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ki ummeed, jo ke aam tor par 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, New Zealand dollar ke liye aik significant tailwind raha hai. Yeh tawaqqo aakhri waqt mein Amreeka mein job growth ke girawat ke madde nazar bana hai. Jabke dusre quarter ke retail sales data mein halka sa contraction nazar aaya, lekin isne New Zealand ki ma’ashiyat ke baare mein jo positive jazba hai, usse zyada nuksan nahi pohanchaya. Amreeka mein mumkinah recession aur China mein ma’ashiy challenges ke baray mein nayi fikar ne aik risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar par manfi asar daal sakta hai. RBNZ ki recent rate cut aur ehtiyaati nazar mein ma’ashiyat ka negative rukh mawaqif izafah ka ehsaas dilata hai, jo NZD/USD ke liye upar ki taraf potential ko mehfooz kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD PRICE MOVEMENTS ANALYSIS**
**FINANCIAL MARKET MEIN PRICE MOVEMENTS**
Forex market mein price movements ko predict karna liquidity zones aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) ko samajhne par mabni hai, khaaskar currency pair NZD/USD ke hawale se. Is analysis ka markazi focus ahm support aur resistance levels par hoga jo market behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
**KEY SUPPORT LEVEL: 0.62000**
NZD/USD pair ke liye pehla ahm support level 0.62000 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh pehle ke distribution liquidity levels aur FVGs ke sath milta hai. Liquidity zones un areas mein nazar aate hain jahan bade buy ya sell orders ikattha hote hain, aur is surat mein, 0.62000 woh zone hai jahan buyers market mein phir se enter kar sakte hain. Yahan FVG ka maujood hona is level ki ahmiyat ko aur barhata hai. FVGs market mein imbalances hain jo rapid price movements ko dikhate hain aur price action mein gaps chhodte hain. Traders aksar in gaps ko aise areas ke tor par dekhte hain jahan prices wapas aakar balance bana sakti hain. Isliye, 0.62000 ek logical area ban jata hai potential rebounds ya price pauses ke liye.
**POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE SCENARIO**
Agar market 0.62000 par support ko sambhalne mein nakam hoti hai, to 0.61800 level ki taraf gehri retracement ho sakti hai. Yeh area secondary key liquidity zone hai, jo 0.62000 ke muqablay mein zyada mazboot support faraham karta hai. Liquidity zones ka maujood hona is taraf ishara karta hai ke institutional traders market mein entry ke liye tayar ho sakte hain, kyunki yeh zones aksar significant buying interest ko darshate hain. Agar price 0.61800 tak girti hai, to buyers behtar entry points dhoondne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo is level ko critical support ke tor par mazid majboot karega.
UPSIDE POTENTIAL AND RESISTANCE LEVEL
Upar ki taraf, agar market 0.62550 ke resistance ko successfully break karti hai, to yeh bullish continuation ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh price point ek barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur isay todne se yeh darshata hai ke buyers ne control hasil kar liya hai. 0.62550 ke upar, agla target 0.62750 ke aas-paas hai, jo September mein identify kiye gaye additional liquidity zones ki wajah se ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh zones un areas hain jahan price pehle react kar chuki hai, aur inke upar break karne se bullish trend ki continuity darshata hai.CURRENT MARKET CONDITION
Filhal market consolidation phase mein hai, jahan traders support aur resistance levels par nazar rakh rahe hain. Bulls 0.62550 ke upar breakout dekhne ke liye bechain hain taake upward momentum ko barqarar rakhein. Is resistance ko todne par price 0.62750 ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo aur bhi unchi levels ka potential unlock karega. Dousri taraf, agar resistance level sambhalta hai, to price support levels ki taraf wapas ja sakti hai, jo bears ko current market weakness ka fayda uthane ka mauka dega.
Bears price ko niche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, key support levels jaise 0.62000 aur 0.61800 ko target karte hue. Agar yeh in critical support levels ke neeche price ko le jane mein kamiyab hote hain, to yeh ek lambi bearish move ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisse mazid sell-offs honge. Aise scenarios mein, traders aksar gehre liquidity zones ko target karte hain, jo mazid girawat ko induce kar sakte hain.

NZD/USD Currency Pair

Daily Chart: Is trading week ka aghaz thori si growth ke sath hua aur main phir se D1 period ka chart dekhne ki salah dunga - NZD/USD currency pair. Ek aur trading week guzar gaya hai aur is chart ke is large period par yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke pichle mahine ke aathveen tareekh se yeh neeche girna shuru huay, aur poore mahine tak yeh stable downward trend jari raha. Wave structure apne order ko neeche banata ja raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Teesri wave guzar chuki hai jisme ek ascending support line tak pohoch gaya tha, jo ke purani waves ke bottoms ke sath bana sakta hai. Yeh line toot gayi thi, lekin support zone 0.5862 ke aas paas horizontal level ke qareeb break nahi hui, jiske baad sales se positions fix kar li gayi aur naye kharidari huay, jis wajah se growth hui, phir price ko wapas neeche fainka gaya aur phir se ek strong growth dekhne ko mili.

Isse pehle main horizontal resistance level 0.6043 ke qareeb tak pohoch gaya tha, lekin thoda kam reh gaya, jo level error ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Har surat mein, yahan kharidari ko ab consider nahi kiya ja sakta, sirf sales ko dekha jaye ga, waqai mein resistance level ke bilkul qareeb kharidari karna be-samajh hai, aur wo bhi itna powerful resistance level. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator ne upper overheating zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke ek additional factor hai decline ke liye. Lekin yeh sab nahi, CCI indicator kuch aur bhi show kar sakta hai, yani ek bearish convergence - jo ek sell signal hai. Aur level ke hisaab se, yeh ek excellent signal hai. Ek descent ka intizaar hai 0.5956 ke support level tak, jo ke candles ke closing prices par banaya gaya hai.

bakhair aur aapka Monday kamiyab ho! Jis tarah humne Friday ko market ko upar bounce karte aur 0.6100 zone ko cross karte dekha, isne NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza l Is waqt NZD/USD par neechey ki taraf dabao hai, aur jab tak qeemat 0.62000 ke resistance level ke neec rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza l Is waqt NZD/US

NZD/USD ab ek corrective decline mein hai, lekin bazar ka major trend upar ki taraf hai. Pehle ki koshish mein price gir gayi thi, lekin kal phir se upar gayi. Iske ilawa, U.S. dollar ki aam taqat ki wajah se bhi market ne girawat dekhi. Wave structure abhi bhi bullish hai. MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Lekin, MACD ka bearish divergence dekha gaya hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hai.
CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone ke neeche jaane ki tayyari kar raha hai aur ismein bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle pichhle bullish candle ko cover karte hue bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana raha hai. Yeh sell signals ki tasdiq hai.

In sab ke alawa, price ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke ek girne wala pattern hai. Halankeh upward trend hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke jald hi price phir se purane daily waves ke neeche banayi gayi ascending line par pressure daalegi.

Upar ki taraf jo movement kal raat shuru hui thi, woh horizontal support level par hai jo 0.6257 hai. Is support level ko todhna chahiye. Divergence ek powerful signal hai.

Moscow time ke mutabiq, aaj 15-30 baje kuch aham khabrein aane wali hain: U.S. mein core index of personal consumption expenditures, foreign trade balance in goods, personal consumption expenditures price index, individual expenditures, aur retail trade ke liye car inventory ka data.

Aaj ke liye, agle teen dinon mein sirf sales ki taraf tawajjo deni chahiye. Is waqt market ka haal dekhte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke bearish signals ke aane ke baad, investors ko short selling par focus karna chahiye.

Aam tor par, jab tak price support level ko nahi todti, tab tak upward movement mein choti moti girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh price movements par nazar rakhein aur market ki halat ke mutabiq apne faislay karein. Bearish engulfing pattern aur bearish divergence se ye maloom hota hai ke aage ke dinon mein market mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Isliye, aaj aur agle kuch dinon mein sales ki taraf tawajjo dena behter hoga.

Thursday ko European trading session ke dauran mazahmat ka muzahira kiya, pichlay session ke nuqsan se ubharte hue aur 0.6280 ke qareeb trading ki. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Agar is channel se kamiyabi se breakout hota hai, to yeh jari uptrend ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Is ke ilawa, nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 50-day EMA se upar hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke liye short-term mein mazid mazboot price trend ka ishara deta hai. Uptside par, NZD/USD pair 0.6380 level ke qareeb ka ilaqa explore kar sakti hai, jo ascending channel ka upper boundary hai. Agar yeh upper boundary ka breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish bias ko mazid mazboot karega aur pair ko December 2023 mein record hue 15-month highs 0.6409 tak waapas le ja sakta hai.
Support side par, EMA 0.6251 par hai. Agar is level se neeche ka break hota hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko nuksaan pohcha sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6156 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jahan se aage ja kar five-week low 0.6106 tak pohnch sakta hai. NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko mazid gains ko extend karte hue nine-month high 0.6354 ko chooa tha, magar phir halkay nuqsanat ka samna kiya. Pair August band se upar break kar gaya, aur December 2023 ke high 0.6368 par focus shift kiya. Magar, rally ke mutaliq slow hone ka imkaan hai, kyun ke RSI aur Stochastic se overbought signals aa rahe hain. Agar 0.6368 ke upar ek decisive close hota hai, to yeh ek naye upside wave ko trigger kar sakta hai jo recent decline ke 161.8% Fibonacci extension 0.6415 tak ja sakta hai. December 2022 aur February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 ka ilaqa kuch constraints pose kar sakta hai. Aage ja kar, bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye ek mazeed upar ki move zaroori ho sakti hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne char saal mein pehli dafa apni interest rate mein kami ka elan kiya, jis mein key borrowing rate ko 50 basis points se kam kiya gaya. Yeh qadam zyada accommodative monetary policy ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin Fed ke policymakers ne yeh bhi zahir kiya hai ke rate-cutting

Main NZD/USD jorh ki qeemat ki harkat par nazar rakh raha hoon, aur bullish trend par focus kar raha hoon jab tak qeemat 100-period simple moving average (SMA) se upar hai. Lekin pichli raat ki trading session mein, upar ki taraf ka trend kuch resistance ka samna karta raha, aur qeemat apne bullish rukh se thodi si ghir gayi. Shuru mein, candlestick 0.6172 ke aas paas tak uthi, lekin dheere dheere girne lagi. Aaj subah ki trading mein, qeemat 0.6141 ke qareeb hai. Agar hum candlestick ki position dekhein, to yeh ab bhi 100-period SMA se upar trade kar rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers ke paas bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ka mauka hai.

NZD/USD jorh apne pichle downtrend se mukammal badlaw ke asar dikhata hai. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ghat raha hai, jo downtrend ke kamzor hone ki nishani hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo momentum shift ka sign ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo aage chalne wali movement ko support karta hai.

Aane wale hafton mein, jorh ke volatile rehne ki umeed hai, kyunki Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka interest rate faisla aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data jorh ki qeemat ko kaafi mutasir kar sakte hain. Agar positive momentum jari raha, to NZD/USD jorh 0.6037 se 0.6092 ke darmiyan resistance zone ko target kar sakta hai. Yeh range 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, pehle ke support areas, aur key moving averages ko shamil karti hai. Agar yeh resistance successfully break hoti hai, to agla move October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.

Lekin, ehtiyaat rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki market conditions tezi se badal sakti hain. NZD/USD jorh 2024 ke naye lows 0.5848 par base banane ke baad dheere dheere recover ho raha hai. Hal hi mein, jorh 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko cross kar gaya aur naye do mahine ke buland darje par pohanch gaya, jo bullish outlook ko mazid barhata hai

Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain

Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar anae lga

NZD/USD ne Tuesday ko apni rise ko barqarar rakha aur ye trend Friday tak chalta raha. Kul mila kar, NZD/USD lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab sellers ne is level ko aggressively defend kiya, aur price ko wapas 0.62200–0.62300 region ki taraf dhakel diya, jahan is waqt consolidation ho rahi hai

NZD/USD ne apne medium-term range high ke upar dobara break kiya hai. Agar yeh September 3 ke high ke upar close kar leta hai to yeh bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai. NZD/USD ne September 11 ke low se recent pullback ke baad recovery ki hai aur 0.6248 ke range high ke upar break kiya hai, aur dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh shayad September 3 ka 0.6303 high tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin trend abhi tak clear nahi hai aur kisi bhi taraf koi clear bias nahi hai.


Daily aur hourly time frames ka tajziya NZD/USD par ek bearish scenario dikhata hai. Price 0.6175 par hai aur bulls ne apni qeemat Jumay ke din kho di. Is tarah, investors NZD/USD mein bearish scenario ko pehchaan sakte hain. Haali conditions ne bears, yaani sellers, ko mazid mazboot banaya hai jo ab 0.6175 level par position le chuke hain. Yeh development is baat ka ishara karti hai ke market behaviors bears ko favor kar rahe hain, bulls ke muqable mein.


4-hour time frame chart ko dekhne se pata chalta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ko 0.6068 zone ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish abhi bhi ho rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar cross kar chuki hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market mein bullish continuation ka potential hai. Market ka mutali'a aur trading tools ka durust istemal investors ko bearish environment mein behtar tor par navigate karne aur apne trading objectives hasil karne mein madad de sakta hai.


RBS zone ek mazboot support level bana, aur kyunki candle is area ko puri tarah nahi tor payi, bearish pressure kam hone laga. Iska natija yeh hua ke NZD/USD ne apna neeche ki taraf ka rujhan badal diya aur dobara upar ki taraf chalna shuru kiya. Is upar ki harkat se yeh zahir hua ke kharidaar market mein wapas aa rahe hain, jisse aage ke nuqsan ko roka gaya aur market par control hasil kiya gaya.

koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant

NZD/USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai Click image forClick image for larger version