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**NZD/USD ka Qareeb Se Jaiza:**

NZD/USD currency pair filhal kaafi taqatwar nazar aa raha hai, jo kay kuch faida mand economic factors ki wajah se hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ko mazboot commodity prices ka faida mila hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports mein, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye zaroori hain. Iske ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnayi hai, jo ye darshata hai ke wo inflation ka samna karne ke liye interest rates barhane ke liye tayaar hain. Ye strategy NZD ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein mazid aakarshak banati hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve evolving economic conditions ke tehat rate cuts par ghoor kar raha hai. RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate differential NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki New Zealand mein tighter monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support karti hai.

Global trade conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi NZD ke performance par khaas asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka stable political climate aur China aur Australia ke sath mazboot trade ties NZD ko market mein acha position dete hain. Lekin, USD ek pasandeeda safe-haven currency hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai. Is wajah se, market participants ko aanewale economic data releases, jaise employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo investor sentiment ko sway kar sakti hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakti hain.

Jab ke outlook bearish nazar aata hai, lekin trading karte waqt ek well-defined risk management strategy ke sath aage barhna zaroori hai. Forex market inherently volatile hota hai, aur sabse mazboot trends bhi achanak reversal ka shikaar ho sakte hain. Appropriate stop-loss orders set karna aapke capital ko protect karne ke liye crucial hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aap apne recent swing high ke just upar stop-loss lagate hain, toh ye aapke potential losses ko limit karne mein madad karega agar market aapke position ke khilaf move kare.

Traders ko key economic events se bhi waqif rehna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan jaise khabrein currency pair mein achanak movements trigger kar sakti hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Waakif rehna aur apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai.

H4 time frame par NZD/USD currency pair filhal sellers ke liye ek compelling case pesh karta hai. Chal raha downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh darshata hai ke traders ke liye pair mein mazeed declines ka faida uthane ke kai mauqe hain. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko dhyan se analyze karke, traders strategically apne aap ko bearish trend se faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur kisi bhi development par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo market dynamics ko impact kar sakti hai. Sahi approach ke sath, NZD/USD market ki maujooda halat un logon ke liye munafa dene wale mauqe pesh kar sakti hai jo trading mein hain.

NZD/USD Price Prediction

28 September ko khatam hone wale hafte mein 225,000 pehli dafa be-rozgari ke dawe hue, jo ke US Department of Labor (DOL) ne Thursday ko publish kiye. Yeh angka pichle hafte ke 219,000 (jo 218,000 se badal diya gaya tha) se kuch behtar hai, magar bazar ki umeed 220,000 se thoda kam hai.

Is maqolay mein aage ka tafseelat yeh batata hai ke aage ka mausam ke hisaab se be-rozgari ki insured rate 1.2% thi, aur 4 hafton ka moving average 224,250 par tha, jo pichle hafte ke revised average se 750 kam hai.

"DOL ne yeh bhi note kiya ke 21 September ko khatam hone wale hafte mein seasonally adjusted insured be-rozgari ka aage ka angka 1,826,000 tha, jo pichle hafte ke revised level se 1,000 kam hai."

NZD/USD ne girewa kar ke 0.6220 par ahm support ka samna kiya hai. Yeh ek bearish Japanese candlestick pattern bana sakta hai aur MACD ne apni signal line ke neeche cross kiya hai.




NZD/USD ne 0.6400 ke aas-paas ek ahm resistance band tak pahuncha aur foran neeche ghir gaya. Yeh teen musalsal bearish dinon ki tayyari mein hai, jo ke Japanese candlestick analysis mein ek bearish reversal sign hai, jise “Three Black Crows” pattern kaha jata hai. Agar Thursday (aaj) ka din lambi laal candle ke sath khatam hota hai, toh yeh is pattern ke mukammal hone ki tasdeeq karega. 30 September ke peak se neeche aana tez tha aur iske sath bearish momentum bhi tha, jo is baat ki sambhavana ko barhata hai ke yeh aage bhi gire sakta hai. Magar, isne 0.6220 par ek mazboot support level ka samna kiya hai, jo 2024 ke pehle hise mein kai price peaks se milkar bana hai. Yeh bears ke liye ek rukawat ban sakta hai jo prices ko neeche le jana chahte hain.

Blue Moving Average Divergence Convergence (MACD) ne apni laal signal line ke neeche cross kiya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai.

Is baat ka khatar hai ke bazar ulat raha ho aur aage aur ghirawat ho sakti hai. Yeh khaaskar tab hoga agar prices 0.6220 support level se khaas tor par neeche band hoti hain, shayad 0.6200 ya isse bhi kam.

Magar, aisi harkat ko turant hi mazboot support ka samna karna padega, jo ke major Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ka cluster hai, jo 50-day SMA ke 0.6141 par shuru hota hai, uske baad 100 aur 200-days SMA hai jo lagbhag 0.6120 aur 0.6101 par hain.

Iske ilawa, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke Kiwi pair abhi ke 0.6220 ke support level se upar ki taraf chadh sakta hai aur apne pehle se bullish trend ko resume kar sakta hai. Lekin kisi bhi badi udaan ko 0.6400 par tough resistance ka samna karna padega, jo pichle July aur December 2023 ke highs se hai.

NZD/USD Price Analysis

Aaj yeh pata chala hai ke kai high impact news release hui hain, jo market ko zyada crowded bana sakti hain. NZD/USD currency pair mein halka sa girawat dekhi gayi hai jab candle ne 0.6163 ke price par resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi. Ab NZD/USD ka position 0.6149 par trade ho raha hai. H1 resistance jo 0.6163 par hai, uski taqat ko test kiya jayega kyun ke agar yeh tut jata hai, toh NZD/USD zaroor upar ki taraf badega. Lekin agar yeh nahi tutta, toh NZD/USD aur bhi zyada upar ja sakta hai.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, main yeh predict karta hoon ke NZD/USD upar jayega kyun ke candle ka position ab bhi MA 100 line ke upar hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo further upward movement ki sambhavana ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, is pair mein volatility ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ki wajah se ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum jaari raha, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pichle support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Is resistance ka successful break hone se October 2019 ka low 0.6198 ki taraf rukh khul sakta hai.

Wahin, aaj main yeh predict karta hoon ke NZD/USD pehle girne wale hai kyun ke H1 support jo 0.6131 par tha, usko tod diya gaya hai. Support ka todna yeh darshata hai ke NZD/USD aur bhi gehra girega. Isliye, main un logon ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trading karte hain ke pehle sell position kholen. Target aap sabse nazdeek support par rakh sakte hain jo 0.6060 par hai.

Agar hum momentum ki baat karein, toh yeh 0.63300 ke resistance ko todne ke baad strong upward momentum dikhata hai. Yahan par market ne high highs ko test karte hue ek aur FVG banaya. Lekin jab price 0.63600 ke mark ke paas pahuncha, toh liquidity zones upar banana shuru ho gaye, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers is higher resistance level par aane lag sakte hain. Filhal, price 0.63476 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai, jo abhi haal hi mein 0.63600 se pull back kiya hai.




Current consolidation 0.63200 aur 0.63400 ke beech hai, jo ek key support aur resistance range hai. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar nahi tikta, toh hum 0.63000 ya usse bhi neeche ki taraf wapas aate dekh sakte hain, jo agle significant support zone 0.62800-0.62600 ko test karega, jahan zyada liquidity maujood hai.

Summary yeh hai ke jab price ne strong upward momentum dikhaya hai, lekin key liquidity zones aur fair value gaps NZD/USD ki direction tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar tikti hai, toh yeh upar ke levels ko test kar sakti hai, lekin agar yeh is level se neeche girta hai, toh lower levels ka retest hona mumkin hai.

NZD/USD Price Analysis

Aaj yeh samne aaya hai ke kai high impact news release hui hain, jo market ko zyada crowded bana sakti hain. NZD/USD currency pair ne halka sa girawat dekhi hai jab candle ne 0.6163 ke price par resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi. Ab NZD/USD ka position 0.6149 par trade ho raha hai. H1 resistance jo 0.6163 par hai, uski taqat ko test kiya jayega. Agar yeh tut jata hai, toh NZD/USD zaroor upar jaega, lekin agar nahi, toh yeh aur bhi upar ja sakta hai.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, main yeh dekh raha hoon ke NZD/USD ka upar jana mumkin hai, kyun ke candle ab bhi MA 100 line ke upar hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo further upward movement ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, is pair mein volatility ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events, jaise RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ki wajah se ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum jaari raha, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pichle support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Is resistance ka successful break hone se October 2019 ka low 0.6198 ki taraf rukh khul sakta hai.

Aaj main yeh bhi predict karta hoon ke NZD/USD pehle girne wale hai, kyun ke H1 support jo 0.6131 par tha, usko tod diya gaya hai. Is support ka todna darshata hai ke NZD/USD aur bhi gehra girega. Isliye, main un logon ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trading karte hain ke pehle sell position kholen. Aap apna target nazdeek support par 0.6060 rakh sakte hain.

Price ab 0.6175 par hai aur bulls ne apni value Friday ko kho di. Isliye, investors ko NZD/USD par bearish scenario dekhne ko mil raha hai jo kal ke market action se darshata hai. Maujooda halaat ne bears yaani sellers ko mazboot kiya hai jo filhal 0.6175 level par positioned hain. Yeh development yeh darshata hai ke market ka rawaya bears ke haq mein hai.




NZD/USD ka akhir mein dekha jaye, toh bearish trend mazboot nazar aa raha hai. Is context mein, main sell entry ka sujhav deta hoon jiska modest target 0.6152 par rakha gaya hai. Yeh goal ongoing downtrend se faida uthane ki strategic approach ko darshata hai jabke risk ko effectively manage karna bhi zaroori hai.

Bulls short-term goals ke liye buy entry khol sakte hain aur apne targets 0.6200 par rakh sakte hain. Toh, successful trade ke liye market sentiment ko dhyan se dekhna aur available tools ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Bazar ke broader sentiment ko samajhna bearish trend ki sustainability aur potential reversal points ka andaza lagane mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Investors ko various trading tools aur indicators ka istemal karke bearish momentum ko confirm karna chahiye aur optimal entry aur exit points identify karne chahiye. Yeh tools yeh jaanchne mein madad karte hain ke kya current market conditions barqarar rahengi ya potential shift ke signs hain. Real-time market data par nazar rakhna ensure karega ke decisions well-informed hon aur strategies ko zaroorat par adjust kiya ja sake. Careful market analysis ko appropriate trading tools ke saath milana successful trading ki taraf rukh de sakta hai.

NZD/USD Price Analysis

Aaj yeh pata chala hai ke kai high impact news release hui hain, jo market ko zyada crowded bana sakti hain. NZD/USD currency pair ne halka sa girawat dekhi jab candle 0.6163 ke price par resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi. Ab NZD/USD ka position 0.6149 par trade ho raha hai. H1 resistance jo 0.6163 par hai, uski taqat ka jaiza liya jayega. Agar yeh tut jata hai, toh NZD/USD zaroor upar jaega, lekin agar nahi, toh yeh aur bhi upar ja sakta hai.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, NZD/USD ka upar jana mumkin hai kyun ke candle ab bhi MA 100 line ke upar hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo further upward movement ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, is pair mein volatility ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events, jaise RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ki wajah se dekhe ja sakte hain. Agar positive momentum jaari raha, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pichle support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Is resistance ka successful break hone se October 2019 ka low 0.6198 ki taraf rukh khul sakta hai.

Aaj main yeh bhi predict karta hoon ke NZD/USD pehle girne wale hain kyun ke H1 support jo 0.6131 par tha, usko tod diya gaya hai. Is support ka todna yeh darshata hai ke NZD/USD aur bhi gehra girega. Isliye, main un logon ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trading karte hain ke pehle sell position kholen. Aap apna target nazdeek support par 0.6060 rakh sakte hain.

Filhal price 0.6175 par hai aur bulls ne apni value Friday ko kho di. Isliye, investors ko NZD/USD par bearish scenario nazar aa raha hai jo kal ke market action se darshata hai. Maujooda halaat ne bears, yaani sellers, ko mazboot kiya hai jo filhal 0.6175 level par hain. Yeh development yeh darshata hai ke market ka rawaya bears ke haq mein hai.

Agar NZD/USD ka akhir dekha jaye, toh bearish trend mazboot nazar aa raha hai. Is context mein, main sell entry ka sujhav deta hoon jiska modest target 0.6152 par rakha gaya hai. Yeh goal ongoing downtrend se faida uthane ki ek strategic approach hai jabke risk ko effectively manage karna bhi zaroori hai.




Bulls short-term goals ke liye buy entry khol sakte hain aur apne targets 0.6200 par rakh sakte hain. Isliye, successful trade ke liye market sentiment ko dhyan se dekhna aur available tools ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Bazar ka broader sentiment samajhna bearish trend ki sustainability aur potential reversal points ka andaza lagane mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Investors ko various trading tools aur indicators ka istemal karke bearish momentum ko confirm karna chahiye aur optimal entry aur exit points identify karne chahiye. Yeh tools yeh jaanchne mein madad karte hain ke kya current market conditions barqarar rahengi ya potential shift ke signs hain. Real-time market data par nazar rakhna ensure karega ke decisions well-informed hon aur strategies ko zaroorat par adjust kiya ja sake. Careful market analysis ko appropriate trading tools ke saath milana successful trading ki taraf rukh de sakta hai.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

NZD/USD currency pair filhal kafi taqat darshata hai, jo kayi favorable economic factors se supported hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne mazboot commodity prices, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports, se faida uthaya hai, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye bahut zaroori hain. Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnayi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke woh inflation ko tackle karne ke liye interest rates badhane ke liye tayar hain. Yeh strategy NZD ki appeal ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein barhata hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve evolving economic conditions ke response mein potential rate cuts par ghor kar raha hai.

RBNZ aur Fed ke beech interest rate differential NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye critical hai, kyun ke New Zealand mein tight monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support karti hai. Global trade conditions aur geopolitical elements bhi NZD ki performance par significant asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka stable political climate aur China aur Australia ke saath strong trade ties NZD ko market mein behtar position dete hain. Lekin, USD ek pasandeeda safe-haven currency hai jo uncertainty ke doran mazboot hoti hai.

Isliye, market participants ko agle economic data releases, jaise employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo investor sentiment ko sway kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain.

Trading karte waqt, ek well-defined risk management strategy apnana zaroori hai. Forex market inherently volatile hota hai, aur sab se behtar trends bhi sharp reversals ka samna kar sakte hain. Appropriate stop-loss orders set karna aapke capital ki hifazat ke liye crucial hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aap recent swing high ke just upar stop-loss rakhte hain, toh yeh aapke potential losses ko limit kar sakta hai agar market aapke position ke khilaf chale.




Traders ko un key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar daal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein changes se currency pair mein achanak movements ho sakte hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakte hain. Isliye, informed rehna aur apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai.

H4 time frame par NZD/USD currency pair abhi sellers ke liye compelling case pesh karta hai. Jo ongoing downward trend hai, wo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hoti hai, aur yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ke paas pair mein further declines se faida uthane ke liye kai mauqe hain. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko dhyan se analyze karke, traders strategically apne aap ko is bearish trend se faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain. Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein, risk ko effectively manage karna aur kisi bhi developments par alert rehna bahut zaroori hai.

NZD-USD Pair Analysis

Pichhle do dinon mein, NZD/USD ki movement mein kami dekhi gayi hai. Kal Asian session ke shuru hone par, NZD/USD ne pehle kuch izafa dekha. Lekin, yeh sirf 0.6307 ke price tak hi pahuncha, aur baaqi movement ne girawat ki taraf rukh kiya. Aisa lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka yeh izafa sirf ek correction tha. Kal ki girawat bhi kaafi gehri thi kyunki yeh 0.6260 ke price par support ko todne mein kamiyab raha. Ab NZD/USD ka position 0.6255 par trade ho raha hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle ne 0.6259 ke price par H1 support ko tod diya hai, lekin ab tak yeh 0.6255 ke price par demand area ko nahi tod payi. Jab tak demand area ko successfully nahi todha jata, yeh mumkin hai ke NZD/USD ki movement dobara upar jaye. Yeh izafa bohat zyada ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh demand area tut jata hai, toh NZD/USD ke upar jane ka mauqa kaafi kam ho jayega. Mera scenario yeh hai ke NZD/USD pehle 0.6363 ke price tak upar jaega aur phir phir se gir jayega.





Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle ki position abhi tak Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Iska matlab hai ke NZD/USD ka trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Filhal, Ichimoku indicator ne koi bullish signal nahi diya hai kyunki yeh andaza lagaya gaya hai ke NZD/USD abhi bhi gir sakta hai. Umeed hai ke demand area ko nahi todne wali candle apni movement ko dobara upar karne mein madad karegi.

Is doran, Stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke NZD/USD oversold hai, jo pichhle kuch dinon mein gehri girawat ki wajah se hai. Yeh is line se sabit hota hai jo level 20 ko tod gayi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke jald hi NZD/USD dheere dheere dobara upar jaye. Humein sirf is line ke upar ki taraf aane ka intezar karna hai kyunki filhal yeh abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai.

Toh aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ke paas dobara upar jane ka mauqa hai kyunki candle 0.6255 ke price par demand area ko nahi tod payi. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator bhi yeh kehta hai ke NZD/USD ka condition oversold hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trading karte hain, unhe sirf buy positions kholne par focus karna chahiye. Aap apna take profit target nazdeek resistance par 0.6309 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko nazdeek support par 0.6244 par set kar sakte hain.

NZD/USD Ka Tajziya: Rozana Waqt

Chaliye NZD/USD currency pair ka rozana (D1) chart dekhte hain. Yahaan dekh sakte hain ke yeh pair pichle maheenay ke aathwe din se girne laga aur poore maheenay is girawat ka silsila jaari raha, jo ke doosre aham currency pairs ki tulna mein tez tha. Leher ka dhacha neeche ki taraf tha, aur MACD indicator ne neeche ki sales zone mein qadam rakha. Teesri leher guzri, aur agar aap pehli leher par Fibonacci target grid lagayen, toh aap dekhenge ke girawat ka minimum target – levels 161.8 aur 200 – haasil ho gaya. Price ne ek upar ki taraf support line tak bhi pahuncha, jo pichli lehrein ke bottom se kheechi ja sakti thi. Lekin support zone ne 0.5862 ke qareebi horizontal level ko todne mein nakam rahi, jiski wajah se kuch positions sales se fix hui aur naye purchases ki wajah se chouthi leher mein thodi si recovery dekhne ko mili.

Yeh saaf hai ke maheenay ka aakhri din monthly results ko fix karne ke liye bohat ahm tha, jiski wajah se yeh price rollback dekha gaya. Is reversal ke liye technical wajahain bhi thi, jo charts se zahir hoti hain. Chaar ghante ke waqt par, MACD indicator par bullish divergence tha. Paanchwi leher mein girawat ki continuation ki tawaqqo thi, jo ke 0.5862 ka aham minimum level phir se update kar sakti thi. Maine socha ke hum pichle Jumme ko mazeed harkat dekhenge. Lekin, Amreeka se aane wali na-umeedi bhari khabrein is girawat ko rok diya. Amreeka ke non-agricultural sector ka employment data andazan se bohot kharab raha. Amreeka mein bekaar hone ki shiddat foran 0.2 percentage points tak barh gayi, jiski wajah se NZD/USD ki price ne barhne ki koshish ki, magar yeh pound ya euro ki tarah itni tezi se nahi barh saka.




Aaj, yeh pair phir se gira hai, paanch lehrein ka mukammal cycle poora karte hue aur ek jhooti breakout line aur level banate hue. Ab 0.6046 ki taraf barhne ka bohot zyada imkaan hai. Halankeh haali barhne ki koshishain limited rahi hain, lekin yeh potential bounce qareebi mustaqbil mein ek corrective move ka mauka de sakta hai.

Yeh tajziya technical factors, leher ke patterns, aur haal ke maashi data ko zahir karta hai jo NZD/USD pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain, key support levels aur mustaqbil ki price movement ke liye mumkinah areas par tawajjo dete hue.

NZD/USD Market Outlook

Current Market Status

NZD/USD currency pair ne 0.6243 ke zone tak pohanch kar dikhaya hai ke buyers market mein active hain. Is doran, US Dollar mein kamzori dekhi gayi hai, jo ke ek recent policy shift ka natija hai. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki FOMC Press Conference mein investors ne wazeh rehnumai ki umeed ki, lekin Powell ke bayanon ne flexibility aur adaptability ki zarurat ko ubhar kar rakha. Yeh approach behtar hai lekin isne market ke concerns ko khas tor par door nahi kiya, jis wajah se kai market participants aane wale mahinein ke liye skeptikal hain.

Clear direction ki kami ne US Dollar ke irgird insecurity barhadi hai, aur currency par mukhtalif fronts se pressure hai. Umeed hai ke NZD/USD market agle hafte 0.6275 ke zone ko cross karega.

Impact of Recent Announcements

Is doran, kuch major announcements ke negative asraat ko kuch optimistic news reports ne kuch kam kiya hai.

Market Conditions Today

Sab ko Good Morning! Aaj ka market kaafi pur-sukoon hai, lekin hum agle hafte ke liye naya trading plan tayyar kar sakte hain. Mere nazdeek, NZD/USD market mein tezi se neeche ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke 0.6164 support zone ko cross kar sakti hai. NZD/USD market mein sellers ke liye yeh ek aham waqt hai. Maujooda halaat yeh dikhate hain ke sellers ke liye behtar mauqe hain. Lekin agar koi ghaflati economic development aata hai to buyers ka haath fir se barh sakta hai.




Masalan, agar Federal Reserve se koi ghaflati announcement hoti hai ya UK se kuch hairat angez economic data aata hai, to market ka jazbaat jaldi se tabdeel ho sakta hai. Agar stop-loss nahi lagaya gaya, to trader ko significant losses ka samna karna pad sakta hai, khaaskar jab koi wazeh exit strategy na ho. Isliye, halankeh maujooda market outlook bearish hai, lekin stop-loss lagana zaroori hai taake market reversal ke khilaf hifazat ki ja sake. Is tarah, traders behtar confidence ke saath market mein shamil ho sakte hain, yeh jaan kar ke unke paas risk ko kum karne ka hifazati plan hai.

Importance of Monitoring News Events

Aane wale news events ka jaiza lena zaroori hai, kyunki yeh NZD/USD market par gehra asar dal sakte hain. News events ek mulk ki economic health ka pata dete hain aur market ka jazbaat par asar daalte hain, isliye traders ke liye yeh aham hai ke woh alert aur informed rahein. In events se waqif rehkar behtar trading decisions lena aur market movements par behtar taur se respond karna mumkin hoga.

NZD/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis

NZD/USD ka 1-hour chart ek aam tor par bearish trend dikhata hai, jahan price is waqt 0.62834 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ke kamzori ki nishani hai kyunki yeh critical support levels ko test kar rahi hai. 24 September se, is pair ne neeche ki taraf shift kiya hai, jisne price ko kai fair value gaps (FVGs) se guzar diya, khaaskar 0.6310 aur 0.6290 ke levels ke darmiyan. Yeh FVGs jaldi bhare gaye jab price ne retrace kiya, jisne upward momentum ko roka aur bearish jazbat ko mazid barhaya. 0.6335 ke level par ek significant rejection dekha gaya, jahan sellers ne intervene kiya aur naya resistance area tayar kiya.

Price ke neeche downward liquidity (DLiq) zones dikhate hain ke yahan stop losses clustered hain, jo ke neeche ki taraf movement ke liye targets ban sakte hain. 0.6270 aur 0.6290 ke darmiyan jo FVG hai, yeh maujooda price se thoda neeche ek pivotal zone ke taur par kaam kar raha hai jahan buyers ground hold karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh zone breach hota hai, to yeh deeper sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo price ko agle support 0.6250 tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke historical liquidity grabs aur pehle ke market reversals se aligned hai.




Upar ki taraf, resistance 0.6315 ke aas paas hai, jahan pehle ek FVG bhara gaya tha, aur is area ko reclaim karne ki koi bhi koshish ko kaafi buying pressure ki zarurat hogi. Lekin, maujooda bearish momentum aur significant bullish reversals ki kami ke madde nazar, is level ki taraf koi bhi retracement strong selling interest ka samna kar sakti hai. Agla resistance zone 0.6345 par hai, lekin yeh maujooda market conditions mein kaafi door lagta hai.

Summary mein, NZD/USD ek crucial support zone ke paas consolidate hota dikh raha hai. Agar 0.6280 ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh aage ke downside ki nishani ho sakti hai, jiske targets 0.6250 ke aas paas hain. Koi bhi potential bullish retracement 0.6310 ke aas paas resistance ka samna kar sakti hai. General trend abhi bhi bearish hai, aur neeche liquidity hunts price ko short term mein neeche ki taraf le ja sakti hain. Yeh price action yeh darshata hai ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain, aur buyers ko current trend ko reverse karne ke liye support levels ki mazboot hifazat karni hogi.

NZD/USD Pair Analysis

Jumeraat ko European trading session ke doran, NZD/USD pair ne resilience dikhayi, pehle ke session ki losses se ubharte hue 0.6280 ke nazdeek trade kiya. Daily chart ka technical analysis dikhata hai ke pair ek ascending channel pattern ki lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh channel successfully break hota hai, to ongoing uptrend kamzor ho sakta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke level se upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ki maujoodgi ko darshata hai. Is ke ilawa, nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 50-day EMA se upar hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke short-term price trend mein mazid taqat ka signal hai.

Upar ki taraf, pair 0.6380 level ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ascending channel ki upper boundary se milta hai. Agar yeh upper boundary break hoti hai, to bullish bias mazid mazboot hoga aur pair ko 15-month highs 0.6409 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo December 2023 mein record hui thi. Support side par, EMA 0.6251 par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bullish sentiment ko nuqsan ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6156 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke aakhir kar five-week low 0.6106 tak pohanch sakta hai.




Budh ko, NZD/USD pair ne apne gains ko extend karte hue 0.6354 par nine-month high ko touch kiya, lekin phir thodi si losses dekhi. Pair August range ko break karte hue December 2023 ki high 0.6368 ki taraf shift kar gaya. Lekin, rally mein slowdown ka khauf hai, kyunki RSI aur Stochastic indicators se overbought signals mil rahe hain. Agar 0.6368 level par decisive close hota hai, to yeh ek nayi upside wave ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension level 0.6415 tak le ja sakta hai. December 2022 se February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 area mein kuch resistance ho sakta hai. Bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye, mazid upward movement zaroori ho sakti hai.

Haal hi mein, Federal Reserve ne chaar saal mein apni pehli interest rate cut ka elan kiya, key borrowing rate ko 50 basis points se kam kiya. Yeh move ek zyada accommodating monetary policy ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, Fed policymakers ne yeh bhi darshaya hai ke rate-cutting cycle itna aggressive nahi hoga, jo US monetary policy ke mustaqbil ke rukh ke baare mein kuch uncertainty paida karta hai. Yeh uncertainty aage chal kar market mein cautious tone banaye rakh sakti hai.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Do musalsal dinon mein NZD/USD currency pair mein izafa dekha gaya. Yeh izafa is liye hua kyunki candle ne 0.6170 ke RBS area ko penetrate karne mein nakami hasil ki. Is area ko touch karne se pehle, NZD/USD ki movement neeche ki taraf thi. Pichle Jumeraat ko, izafa bhi kaafi zyada tha kyunki candle 0.6190 se 0.6218 tak pohanch gayi. Iska matlab hai ke NZD/USD takreeban 50 pips upar gaya. Shuru mein yeh neeche gaya, lekin khushqismati se candle ne apne nazdeek tareen support ko nahi cross kiya, aur wahan pohanchne se pehle hi upar chali gayi.

H1 timeframe se dekha jaye to jab NZD/USD upar gaya, candle ne 0.6202 par resistance ko break karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Resistance ko break karne se mujhe lagta hai ke yeh NZD/USD ko upar jane ke liye encourage karega. Aisa lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka maksad 0.6288 par resistance ko test karna hai. Wahan tak pohanchne ke liye, NZD/USD ko aur 70 pips move karna hoga. Wahan pohanchne ke baad, yeh mumkin hai ke NZD/USD phir se gire, kyunki is ka izafa sirf ek correction hai. Agar highest H1 resistance ko penetrate nahi kiya to NZD/USD ke liye neeche jana mushkil ho sakta hai. Mere khayal mein, jab tak RBS area 0.6170 par penetrate nahi hota, tab tak NZD/USD ke liye agle kuch ghanton mein upar jane ka mauqa hai.

Trading Strategy and Market Outlook

Halankeh outlook bearish lagta hai, lekin trading karte waqt ek wazeh risk management strategy ka hona bohot zaroori hai. Forex market inherently volatile hota hai, aur sab se behtareen trends bhi tez reversals ka samna kar sakte hain. Appropriate stop-loss orders lagana aapki capital ko protect karne ke liye crucial hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aap stop-loss ko recent swing high ke thoda upar lagayenge, to yeh aapke potential losses ko limit kar sakta hai agar market aapki position ke khilaf chale.

Traders ko un key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein changes se currency pair mein achanak movement aayi sakti hai, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakta hai.




H4 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair abhi sellers ke liye kaafi mauqay faraham kar raha hai. Chalu downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh darshata hai ke traders ke liye pair mein further declines se faida uthane ke liye bohot se mauqe hain. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka dhyan se jaiza lekar, traders strategically apne aap ko is bearish trend se faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain.

Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur kisi bhi developments par alert rehna zaroori hai jo market dynamics ko asar daal sakti hain. Sahi approach ke sath, NZD/USD market ki maujooda halat un logon ke liye profitable opportunities faraham kar sakti hain jo trading karna chahte hain.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Good afternoon, fellow Invest Social members! Umeed hai aap sab khair maqdam hain aur is platform par valuable insights ka faida utha rahe hain. Aaj, mein NZD/USD currency pair par kuch analysis share karna chahunga, jo haali mein interesting price action ka samna kar raha hai.

Halankeh US Dollar ki value mein aam tor par izafa ho raha hai, lekin kuch key factors greenback par neeche ki taraf pressure daal rahe hain, jo New Zealand Dollar (NZD) jaisi risk-sensitive currencies ko asar daal rahe hain.

Is waqt, US Dollar (USD) kuch downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai jo economic aur geopolitical factors ka natija hai. Halankeh humne recently USD ki taqat mein izafa dekha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke greenback ki demand barh rahi hai, lekin yeh taqat challenges ke baghair nahi hai.

USD ki recent climb asal mein Federal Reserve se potential interest rate hikes ki market expectations ki wajah se hui hai. Jab rates barhte hain to dollar ki demand mein izafa hota hai, kyunki yeh un investors ke liye zyada attractive ban jata hai jo zyada returns ki talash mein hain. Lekin is izafe ke bawajood, mukhtalif macroeconomic factors USD par dabao daal rahe hain.

US mein inflation ke concerns, mixed economic data, aur global trade aur geopolitics ke aas-paas chali aati uncertainty ne currency mein kuch instability ko janam diya hai. Yeh pressures greenback ki upward trajectory ko limit kar rahe hain, aur is wajah se yeh apne kuch recent gains kho raha hai.




H1 chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf hai. H1 par channel ka direction bhi wahi hai. Dono channels ki movement bina kisi disagreement ke is instrument par upward movement ko highlight karti hai. Mere liye ab purchases kaafi important hain. Channel ke bottom se, jo 0.62833 ke level ke nazdeek hai, mein entry point samajhta hoon.

Aksar market ka 0.63946 tak barhna zaroori hai - yeh channel ka upper boundary hai, jahan market mein slowdown aayega. Agar market upper boundary ke nazdeek kaafi dair tak rahe, to humein lower part ki taraf girne ki umeed karni chahiye.

Main neeche ki taraf movement ko sales mein enter kiye baghair skip kar raha hoon. Sales trend ke khilaf ja rahi hain, aur agar koi rollback nahi hota, to growth jari rahegi. Isliye, mein rollback se market mein enter karne ka tareeqa istemal karta hoon.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh method tab implement hoga jab ek strong player growth ki taraf jaayega, bears ko break karte hue. Is surat mein, top ko cross karna kaafi zyada fayda de sakta hai.

M-1 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD
4-hour chart par New Zealand dollar ka ribbon indicator red color mein downward trend show kar raha hai. Half-hourly chart par bhi yehi indicator red hai, jo yeh batata hai ke price mein aur girawat ka imkaan hai. NZD/USD apni bullish momentum ko qaim nahi rakh saka aur 0.6375 ka high touch karne ke baad, US trading session mein USD ke muqable mein price gir gayi.

Bearish Trend Reversal:

15-minute time frame mein Moving Average 100 bearish trend reversal ko dikhata hai.

30-minute time frame mein Moving Average 20 bhi bearish reversal ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Adaptive Moving Average 50 bhi 30-minute time frame mein bearish trend reversal ka indication deta hai.

1-hour time frame mein Parabolic SAR indicator bhi bearish reversal ko show kar raha hai.

1-hour time frame mein MACD indicator se bearish divergence bhi dekha ja sakta hai.

2-hour time frame mein MACD apni moving average ko neeche le ja raha hai.


NZD/USD ki price weekly time frame mein horizontal resistance ke qareeb hai. Filhal NZD/USD 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai.

Kiwi ka bearish reversal 0.6375 ke neeche dekha gaya hai.

Short-term range bearish lag rahi hai.

NZD/USD abhi 0.6340 level ke upar hold kar raha hai.

Average True Range (ATR) market ki high volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.


Agla support 0.6334 par hai, jo ke ek pivot point hai. NZD/USD abhi apne pivot level 0.6374 ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur bearish channel mein move kar raha hai. NZD/USD ki price apne classic support level 0.6361 se neeche hai aur ab apne aglay target 0.6315 ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke 14-3 day raw stochastic 80% par hai.

Disclaimer: Ye analysis sirf meri apni rai par mabni hai. brand ke tehat kaam karne wali companies isko kisi qisam ki opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke taur par na lein.

Finance market mein price movements ko predict karne ke liye aapne jo scenario bayaan kiya hai, uss mein currency pair ke hawalay se liquidity zones aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) aham kirdar ada karte hain. Pehla notable support level 0.62000 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level is liye aham hai kyun ke yeh pehle ke distribution liquidity level aur FVG ke sath match karta hai. Liquidity zones aksar unn areas mein samnay aate hain jahan bade buy ya sell orders ikathey hotay hain, aur is case mein 0.62000 woh area hai jahan buyers dobara dakhil ho sakte hain. Yahan par FVG ki mojoodgi is level ki ahmiyat ko aur bhi zyada barhati hai. Fair Value Gaps market mein woh imbalances hain jahan ek tezi se move hoti hai, aur price action mein gap chhor diya jata hai. Traders aksar in gaps ko aise areas ke tor par dekhte hain jahan price wapas balance hone ke liye aa sakti hai, jo ke 0.62000 ko ek logical area banata hai jahan price rebound ya ruk sakti ha Agar market 0.62000 ke support ko hold karne mein nakam hota hai, toh price ka gehra retracement 0.61800 level tak jaa sakta hai. Yeh area doosra aham liquidity zone hai, jo 0.62000 ke muqable mein zyada strong support offer karta hai. Liquidity zones ki mojoodgi yeh darshati hai ke institutional traders yahan market mein dakhil hone ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain, kyun ke yeh zones aksar significant buying interest ko zahir karte hain. Agar price 0.61800 tak girti hai, toh yeh aksar buyers ko better entry point dhoondhne par majboor karega, jo is level ko ek critical support ke tor par mazid mazboot karega Upar ki taraf, agar market 0.62550 ko successfully break karta hai, toh yeh bullish continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Yeh price point ek resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur is ka break hona yeh batata hai ke buyers ne market ka control phir se haasil kar liya hai. 0.62550 ke upar, agla target 0.62750 ke aas paas hota hai. Yeh level iss liye aham hai kyun ke September ke pehle ke additional liquidity zones yahan mojood hain. Yeh zones woh areas hain jahan price pehle react kar chuki hai, aur inke upar break karna bullish trend ke continuity ko zahir karega
Market iss waqt consolidation phase mein hai, aur traders dono taraf se in levels ko closely dekh rahe hain. Bulls chahtay hain ke 0.62550 ke level ko break hota dekhein taake upward momentum qaim rahe. Agar resistance ke upar ek strong push hoti hai, toh yeh rally ko 0.62750 tak le jaa sakta hai, aur mazeed higher levels ke liye darwazay khol sakta hai. Lekin agar resistance break nahi hota, toh price wapas support levels ki taraf retrace kar sakti hai, jisse bears ko faida uthana ka moka mil sakta hai jo market ki current weakness se faida uthana chahtay hain Doosri taraf, bears price ko neeche dhakailne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur 0.62000 ya hatta ke 0.61800 jese key support levels ko target karte hain. Agar woh price ko in critical supports ke neeche dhakailne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh zyada extended bearish move ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo mazeed sell-off ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Aise scenario mein traders aksar gehri liquidity zones ko target karte hain, jo mazeed girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai. NZD/USD pair ka broader outlook bearish hai, aur 0.62000 par strong resistance upward moves ko rok raha hai. Lekin agar price is level ko todti hai, toh aisa lagta hai ke pair higher liquidity zones ko target kar sakta hai jo ke 0.62500 ke aas paas hain. Non-linear regression channels mein golden line ke upward cross ke sath, RSI aur MACD ke early signals ek bullish outlook ko support karte hain. Lekin traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, kyun ke market abhi fragile hai, aur key resistance levels ke upar confirmation ke baghair ek mazid stable