نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current conditions ne price increase ke liye kafi strength nahi dikhayi hai, jab tak buyers 0.6184 price zone ko break nahi karte. Mein is haftay ke shuru se NZD/USD market ki price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf dekhte hue jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar rahti hai. Lekin raat ke trading period mein upward trend thoda hamper ho gaya aur price ne bullish trend se thoda correction kiya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak uchi gayi aur dheere dheere niche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading mein, price 0.6141 area ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, yeh ab bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye stable price ko bullish banane ka moqa hai. NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain. NZD/USD pair steadily recover kar raha tha jab usne naye 2024 ke lows 0.5848 par apna base banaya. Pair ne recently 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko break kiya aur ek nayi two-month high attain ki, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Short term mein, pair ka immediate resistance 0.6170 par expected hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend ka, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak chala. Agar bullish forces is hurdle ko break karti hain, to next target 0.6220 ka June high hoga

Subha bakhair aur aapka Monday kamiyab ho! Jis tarah humne Friday ko market ko upar bounce karte aur 0.6100 zone ko cross karte dekha, isne NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza l

NZD/USD ki qeemat mein harkat
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne pichle hafte US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek narrow range mein trade kiya, aur 0.6010 par close hua. Yeh 7 dinon se lagatar mehdood price movement ko zahir karta hai, jo ke pair ke liye consolidation ka dor lagta hai. Technical indicators ka mila jula tajziya saamne aata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke qareeb neutral level par aakar thehr gaya hai, jo ke buying aur selling pressure ke darmiyan balance ko dikhata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi flat ho gaya hai, jo ke clear direction ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Magar, positive histogram aur MACD par green bars buying interest ki nishandahi karte hain.

NZD/USD pair ko foran jo resistance darpesh hai, wo 0.6000 ke psychologically important level par hai. Agar yeh level tor diya gaya, toh yeh ek rally ka raasta khol sakta hai jo ke 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak 0.6040 ke level tak le ja sakti hai, aur ho sakta hai ke yeh 0.6150 tak bhi pohanch jaye. Iske bar'aks, agar pair 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 par tor deta hai, toh yeh downtrend ke dobara shuru hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jisme target 0.5900 tak ho sakta hai.

Daily aur hourly time frames ka tajziya NZD/USD par ek bearish scenario dikhata hai. Price 0.6175 par hai aur bulls ne apni qeemat Jumay ke din kho di. Is tarah, investors NZD/USD mein bearish scenario ko pehchaan sakte hain. Haali conditions ne bears, yaani sellers, ko mazid mazboot banaya hai jo ab 0.6175 level par position le chuke hain. Yeh development is baat ka ishara karti hai ke market behaviors bears ko favor kar rahe hain, bulls ke muqable mein.

Is context mein, main sell entry recommend karta hoon jisme modest target 0.6152 par rakha gaya hai. Yeh goal ek strategic approach ko zahir karta hai taake downtrend ka faida uthaya ja sake, jabke risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake. Bulls chhoti muddat ke goals ke liye buy entry open kar sakte hain aur apne targets ko 0.6200 par rakh sakte hain. Is tarah, successful trade ke chances barhane ke liye, zaroori hai ke market sentiment par gahri nazar rakhi jaye aur tamam available tools ka istemal kiya jaye.

Bari market sentiment ko samajhna bearish trend ki sustainability aur potential reversal points ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham kar sakta hai. Investors ko mukhtalif trading tools aur indicators ka istemal karna chahiye taake bearish momentum ko confirm kiya ja sake aur optimal entry aur exit points ka pata lagaya ja sake. In tools ka istemal karke ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke current market conditions barqarar rahengi ya kisi potential shift ki alamat hai. Real-time market data par close nazar rakhna decisions ko well-informed banata hai aur strategies ko zarurat ke mutabiq adjust karne mein madad milti hai.

Market ka mutali'a aur trading tools ka durust istemal investors ko bearish environment mein behtar tor par navigate karne aur apne trading objectives hasil karne mein madad de sakta hai.

Investors ke liye acha hafta ho

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai.
Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

NZD/USD ka bazar kal 0.6183 zone ko cross kar gaya. Aur, aaj ka din trading ke liye intehai ahmiyat ka hamil hai kyunke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)ka meeting aur Federal Funds Rate ka faisla hone wala hai. Yeh din khas tor par un traders ke liye important hai jo NZD/USD ka pair trade kar rahe hain, khaaskar sellers jo FOMC Economic Projections, Press Conference, aur Federal Funds Rate ke faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain.
FOMC news events bazar ke dynamics ko shape karte hain, aur sellers ke liye yeh ek prime opportunity hai ke wo apni losses ko cover kar sakein aur profit ratio ko maximize kar sakein. Aaj ke trading targets ke liye, NZD/USD ke hawalay se, meri recommendation yeh hai ke 0.6152 ka short target rakha jaye, aur ek sell position ko opt kiya jaye. FOMC news events ki ahmiyat iss liye hai kyunke yeh hume US economy ke future direction aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawalay se insight deti hain.

FOMC Economic Projections bazar participants ke liye intehai ahmiyat rakhti hain kyunke yeh economic growth, inflation, aur unemployment ke bare mein tafseeli outlook deti hain. Agar yeh projections weaker-than-expected economic growth ya elevated inflation ko signal karen, toh yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakti hain, jo ke sellers ko recent losses se recover karne ka mauqa dey sakti hain.NZD/USD ke hawalay se, buy position ko bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai lekin stop loss ka level kam az kam 201 points rakha jaye aur profit target 799 points ho. Yeh strategy us assumption par mabni hai ke bulls resistance zone 0.6351 aur 0.6391 ko break karain ge aur upward trend shuru ho ga. Halankeh, New Zealand dollar abhi tak achi tarah hold kar raha hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke bawajood, bea-ish pressure nazar aa raha hai. Hum ne pehle 0.6126 se neeche dip dekha, lekin uska koi firm hold nahi tha, jo ke ek false breakout suggest karta hai.Agar US dollar ki trading ka rukh mazid barh jata hai, toh NZD/USD ke hawalay se situation complex ho sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh phir se 0.6131 par pohonchta hai, toh mein buy position lene ka soch sakta hoon, khaaskar jab stop loss minimal ho.

NZD/USD ka 1-hour chart dekha jaye toh abhi yeh pair 0.62030 par trade kar raha hai, aur recent price movements se yeh lagta hai ke consolidation phase chal raha hai jo pehle ke downtrend ke baad aaya hai. Chart par kuch key liquidity areas nazar aa rahe hain, jismein Distribution Liquidity (DLiq) aur Fair Value Gaps (FVG) shamil hain, jo September ke doran price action ko kaafi influence karte rahe hain.
0.63000 level se sharp downside move hui, jo ek significant liquidity pool se coincide karti thi, aur is wajah se market structure mein shift dekha gaya. Uske baad price ne recover karne ki koshish ki, lekin 0.62500 ke qareeb resistance ka samna hua, aur wo liquidity area ko breach nahi kar saka jo is level par mark tha. Ab price 0.61500 aur 0.62000 ke darmiyan range kar raha hai, lekin ismein koi significant break na support ke neeche hua hai, aur na resistance ke upar.

Recent price action ne kai FVGs ko fill kiya hai, khaaskar 0.61500 ke aas paas, jo market participants ke imbalances par reaction ko zahir karta hai. Agar price bullish momentum banata hai toh 0.62500 ke qareeb liquidity zone ko phir se test kar sakta hai, lekin 0.62500 se 0.63000 ke darmiyan ki range mein strong resistance ka samna hoga, jahan pehle bhi price break karne mein kamiyab nahi hua.

Downside pe 0.61000 level ek strong support area hai, jahan liquidity pools uske neeche mojood hain. Agar koi significant bearish move hota hai, toh yeh strong buyer interest se takraega, aur yeh area market ke liye ek critical zone sabit hoga. Chart pe multiple liquidity zones aur fair value gaps ki mojoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke koi bhi upward ya downward move liquidity hunting ke activity se takraye ga, is liye short-term mein sharp breakouts kam honge.

NZD/USD is waqt consolidation pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jismein 0.61000 aur 0.62500 ke darmiyan range dekhi ja rahi hai. Filhal price is range ke upper part ki taraf lean kar raha hai, lekin 0.62500 ke qareeb liquidity zones ko clear karne ki zaroorat hogi meaningful upward movement se pehle. Agar price 0.61000 se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh bearish action ko signal karega, aur deeper liquidity pools aur FVGs target honge.

Pichlay hafte ke shuruwat mein buyers kaafi bullish rahe aur candles pick kiya taake bull market ko continue kar sakein. Aaj bhi buyers ke predict kiya ja raha hai ke wo prices ko upper push karenge, khaaskar chhote time frame par, jese ke 4-hour timeframe mein dekha ja sakta hai. Is subah ke trading mein lagta hai ke prices 100 points ke qareeb ho sakti hain. Moving average bhi increment ho raha hai aur zone cross karne ke qareeb hai, jo ke steady bullish journey ka indication deta hai jo pichlay hafte ke trading session se chal rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke buyers ka control sellers par zyada hai.

Main aap sab ko achi mood ki dua karta hoon! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ab bhi upward position mein hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke buyers abhi active hain. Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon.
NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai

USD Thursday ko mazbooti se phir se ubar gaya, jo ke pehle ke session ke nuqsanat se nikla. Iska faida bullish market sentiment aur positive technical indicators se mila, aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke ummeedon ne bhi madad ki. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne positive territory mein qadam rakha, jo ke bullish momentum ka izhaar hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish se bullish ke potential reversal ke nishan de raha hai, jo upward trend ko support karta hai. NZD/USD jorhe ke liye key support levels 0.6120, 0.6140, aur 0.6160 hain. Resistance levels mein 0.6185 (20-day SMA), 0.6210, aur 0.6230 shamil hain. Agar 0.6200 se upar break hota hai, to yeh pair dono 20-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke upar aa jayega, jo further upside ko dekhne ka imkaan hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows mixed signals. Jabke overall CPI kam hua, core CPI ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke inflationary pressures ke bharpur hone ki nishani hai. Lekin market Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke plans par bharosa rakh rahi hai.
New Zealand mein retail e-card sales ne recovery ke asaar dikhaye, jabke food prices ka izafa dheere dheere hua. Yeh developments New Zealand ki economic outlook ko mixed dikhati hain. Technical indicators ye bhi darshate hain ke NZD/USD pair ki positive momentum shayad kam ho rahi hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke nazdeek hai. Agar rally momentum kho deti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to yeh pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (June-August downtrend) pe 0.6141 tak gir sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karne par deeper correction ho sakta hai, aur 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 potential target ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein, NZD/USD pair filhal ek rebound ka samna kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut ki ummeedon se supported hai. Magar technical indicators ye darshate hain ke upward momentum kam ho sakti hai. Traders ko in factors aur evolving economic landscape ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake wo aage ki gains ya corrections ko assess kar saken

Jab tak trading period ka waqt aaj tak ka hai, price position abhi bhi 0.6151 zone ke aas paas stuck hai. Agle market trend ke liye, main Sell trading option ko tarjeeh deta hoon kyun ke candlestick ke paas abhi bhi neeche move karne ka mauqa hai, 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche. Halan ke abhi main market conditions ko dekh raha hoon jab rally bearish hai, magar main price increases se bhi hoshiyar hoon. Is liye, andaza hai ke candlestick 0.6138 zone tak neeche jayegi, aur main yeh soch raha hoon ke main Sell position open karoon target price zone 0.6089 ke liye.
Mera khayal hai ke price abhi bhi bearish condition mein rahegi agar market situation mein volatility barh jaati hai. Agar aap market ka 4-hour time frame chart dekhain, toh mere khayal mein aglay chand dinon mein abhi bhi market ke bearish taraf move karne ka chance hai. Candlestick position abhi bhi simple moving average zone ke neeche hai 100 period ke liye, jo yeh wazeh nishani hai ke market situation ek strong momentum ka intezaar kar rahi hai taake Downtrend continue kar sake. Is liye, EurUsd market ka safar candlestick signal ke mutabiq abhi bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche hai, jo downward trend ko aur zyada emphasize karta hai. Jab tak koi zabardast increase nahi hoti jo trend ko bullish banane ke liye wapas la sake.
Trading mein hamesha risk management strategy ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, especially jab market volatile hoti hai.

NZD/USD Market Forecast

Salam aur Subah Bakhair Sab Ko!

Kal NZD/USD market ne 0.6183 zone cross kiya. Aur, US dollar ko FOMC meeting aur Federal Funds Rate ke doran stability mil sakti hai. Aaj ka din financial markets ke liye bohat important hai, kyunke aaj FOMC news events ka din hai. Yeh din khas tor par un traders, khaaskar sellers ke liye bohat ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo FOMC Economic Projections, Press Conference, aur Federal Funds Rate ka intezar kar rahe hain. In tamam announcements ka market dynamics pe bohot bara asar hota hai, aur sellers ke liye yeh ek acha mauqa hai ke woh apne nuqsan cover kar sakein aur apni profit ratio ko barhawa dein. NZD/USD trading ke liye, mai sell position ko prefer karta hoon, jisme short target 0.6152 ka hai.

Yeh yaad rakhein ke FOMC news events bohot critical hote hain, kyunke yeh hume U.S. economy aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke direction ka pata deti hain. FOMC Economic Projections khas tor pe ek bohot zaroori hissay hain market participants ke liye. Yeh projections economic growth, inflation, aur unemployment ke baare mein tafseelat dete hain, jisse traders ko Fed ki future policy samajhne mein madad milti hai. Jo sellers recent market conditions mein pressure face kar rahe hain, woh umeed kar rahe hain ke yeh projections aise economic environment ko zahir karengi jo unki positions ke haq mein ho. Agar projections weaker-than-expected economic growth ya elevated inflation dikhayen, toh yeh markets mein selling pressure ko barha sakta hai, jo sellers ko apne nuqsan se recover karne ka chance dega.

Umeed hai ke NZD/USD market aaj aur kal sellers ko mazeed mauqe dega.
Aap sab ka Wednesday profitable rahe!

NZD/USD currency pair ka price behavior dekhte hue, abhi tak iski volatility ke initial stages hain, lekin humne pehle hi 0.61389 level ke upar ek strong consolidation dekhi hai. Is ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main 0.61481 pe ek buy position initiate karunga. Do potential profit targets hain. Pehla target 0.61694 hai, jabke doosra target 0.62001 hai. Agar pehla target surpass ho jaye aur temporary correction aaye, tab bhi buy positions add karna safe rahega. Iss scenario mein final target 0.62001 hi rahega.

20-period exponential moving average (EMA) jo ke 0.6191 pe hai, ab downward slope hona shuru ho chuki hai, jo ke ek short-term bearish trend ka aaghaz confirm kar rahi hai. Agar asset ne 0.6101 level ko decisively break kiya, toh price aur neeche jaane ka imkaan hai, jo isay 3 May ka high 0.6047 tak le ja sakti hai, aur psychological support 0.6001 tak bhi gira sakti hai.

Iss waqt, main NZD/USD ka ek significant level 0.6172 pe dekh raha hoon. Agar price iss level tak barhti hai aur humein bearish signal mile 0.6172 accumulation area ke aas paas, toh yeh pair wahan se gir ke 0.6073 accumulation zone tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price barh kar 0.6172 level pe resistance nahi dikhaati, toh pair aur upar jaa sakta hai aur 0.6223 accumulation area ko test kar sakta hai, us se pehle ke koi expected downturn aaye.

Agar price current level se seedha girti hai, toh pair 0.6073 tak ja sakta hai bina higher levels test kiye. Aur agar price 0.6259 accumulation area ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh yeh bearish movement complete hogi, jisse recent maximum ke upar ek tezi se rise hone ka imkaan hoga. NZD/USD pair ne abhi haali mein ek steep decline dikhaya hai, jab four-hour chart pe Ascending Wedge pattern break hua, jo ek bearish reversal ko signal karta hai.

US Dollar Index ka short-term trend late July se downward raha hai. Current wave weekly timeframe par ek correction form kar rahi hai. Wave structure dikhata hai ke ek intermediate pullback ho raha hai, jo pehle ke support level ko resistance mein badal chuka hai. Ab final part (C) aana baaki hai.
**Weekly Forecast:**

Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.

**NZD/USD Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles ho sakte hain.

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

ZD/USD Ki Maujooda Market Situation
NZD/USD market ki latest situation dikhati hai ke buyers abhi market par control mein hain, aur price ko dheere dheere upar ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyers ne successful tareeqe se price ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le gaye hain.

Weekly Trading Outlook

Hafte ke aghaz mein, sellers ne market ka control lene ki koshish ki aur price ko 0.5845 tak push karne ki koshish ki. Lekin Tuesday ke baad downward trend zyada dair tak nahi reh saka, aur price bullish signs dikhane lagi. Ab tak, price 0.6028 area tak uth gayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market mein abhi bhi upward journey ka chance hai.

4-Hour Time Frame Analysis

4-hour time frame chart ko dekhne se pata chalta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ko 0.6068 zone ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish abhi bhi ho rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar cross kar chuki hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market mein bullish continuation ka potential hai.

Meri Trading Ki Rai

Meri personal rai yeh hai ke market ka uptrend journey continue kare, jisse main buy options par focus karun jo technical analysis ke results se match karti hain. NZD/USD pair ne successful tareeqe se 0.5968 - 0.5976 ke green resistance level ko break kiya, aur ab yeh level support mein tabdeel ho chuka hai, jise "resistance-turned-support" (RBS) level kehte hain.

Breakout Confirmation

Breakout process mein ek bari aur solid bullish engulfing candle bani, jo significant volume se supported thi. Aakhri ghanton mein, humne 0.6028 ke minor resistance level par rejection dekha, aur kuch pin bar candles bhi bani. Yeh ek strong indication deta hai ke price green RBS level ko retest karne ke liye neeche aa sakti hai.

US Dollar Index ka short-term trend late July se downward raha hai. Current wave weekly timeframe par ek correction form kar rahi hai. Wave structure dikhata hai ke ek intermediate pullback ho raha hai, jo pehle ke support level ko resistance mein badal chuka hai. Ab final part (C) aana baaki hai.
**Weekly Forecast:**

Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.

**NZD/USD Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles