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NZD/USD

USD University of Michigan Sentiment figures aur housing market data ke baad gir gaya. Markets ko September mein cut ke liye abhi bhi yaqeen hai. Greenback data releases par sensitive reh sakta hai.

Jumay ke din, US Dollar (USD), jo ke US Dollar Index (DXY) se mapi jati hai, ne girawat dekhi jab University of Michigan ke Consumer Sentiment Index ki figures aur housing market data ke soft hone ke baad. University of Michigan ke Consumer Sentiment Index ne August ke shuru ke liye 67.8 ki behter figure record ki, jo ke July ke 66.4 se zyada hai. Yeh market ke expectation 66.9 se bhi behtar hai.

Isi tarah, Current Conditions Index mein kami dekhi gayi, jo 60.9 tak gir gaya 62.7 se, jab ke Consumer Expectations Index mein izafa hua jo 68.8 se 72.1 tak barh gaya. Iske baraks, US mein Housing Starts mein 6.8% ki girawat record hui, jo ke July mein 1.238 million units tak neeche aa gayi, jo ke housing market ki softening ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, Building Permits mein bhi 4% ki kami hui June ke 3.9% ke izafay ke baad.

Markets ko abhi bhi overconfidence hai ke Fed jaldi cut karega, lekin sab kuch is par depend karega ki data kis tarah aata hai.



Khulasay mein, jab ke NZD/USD pair ne pichlay haftay ke akhir mein kuch bullish signals dikhaye hain, jaise ke bullish engulfing pattern aur US dollar ke overall kamzori, price abhi bhi critical resistance level 0.6073 ke neeche hai. Mukammal trend abhi bhi downward hai, aur 0.6073 par resistance abhi bhi ek bara barrier bana hua hai. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur trading decisions lete waqt broader trend aur resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. 0.5977 ka support level abhi bhi aik aham nuqta hai, aur mazeed developments ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye taake yeh dekha ja sake ke pair kisi bullish momentum ko sustain kar sakta hai ya bearish trend dobara shuru ho jayega. Aakhri mein, technical indicators abhi ke liye NZD/USD currency pair ke liye ek bullish nazariya support karte hain, TMA, MACD, aur OsMA sab upward momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. Lekin, trading mauqon ko maximize karne aur risks ko asar daar tor par manage karne ke liye, yeh mozoon hoga ke nayi trading decisions lene se pehle TMA indicator ke beech wale level tak price retracement ka intizar kiya jaye. Yeh approach sirf entry points ko enhance nahi karta balke trading mein prudent risk management practices se bhi hamahang hai.

NZD/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast

Sham bakhair sab ko! Umeed hai ke is haftay ke market band hone se pehle hum sab ne faida kamaya hoga aur withdrawal bhi ki hogi. Aaj main aapko NZD/USD pair ka analysis share karunga jo H4 timeframe par apne highest resistance tak pohnch gaya hai aur buyers ne bullish movement ka ek acha picture dikhaya hai. Lekin agle movement ke liye tafseeli wazahat ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur NZD/USD trading signals kya kehte hain.

Trend Classification

NZD/USD uptrend is haftay ab bhi bade rukawaton ka saamna kar raha hai, halaanke buyers ne price ko upar ki taraf push karke positive strength dikhayi hai. Technically, agar is haftay ki closing price white box area ke neeche close hoti hai, to price mein kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Isse sellers ki taqat barh jayegi aur price phir se apne lowest zone mein correction ka shikaar hogi. Agar agle haftay rejection hota hai, to sellers bullish movement ko kamzor kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD ko phir se 0.6060 ke RBS area ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jo ke humne trading ke liye mark kiya hai.

Trading Signal

Maine sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price white box area 0.6213 tak pohnch gayi hai. Agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick create karta hai, to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai jo baad mein RBS area ban jayega aur isay hum TP1 level ke taur par use kar sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 ke neeche kamzor hoti hai, to hum sell position ko 0.5835 zone tak rok sakte hain aur isay TP2 level bana sakte hain.




Agar white box area rejection provide nahi karta, to bullish confirmation banne lagti hai aur sell position close karni padegi. Phir hume buy position open karni chahiye jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation sun rahe hain. Umeed hai hum agle haftay NZD/USD movement par profit maximize kar sakenge.

Technical Analysis of NZD/USD

New Zealand Dollar ne pichle trading haftay mein apni growth ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, lekin price mukhtalif directions mein chalti rahi bina kisi zyada tabdeeli ke. Price ne support se bounce karke 0.6082 level tak pohnch gayi, lekin phir tez mod le kar support zone ki taraf gir gayi, jahan movement ruk sakti hai. Yeh hume target area tak pohnchnay aur masla hal karne ka mauka deta hai. Saath hi, price chart super-trend red zone mein move kar raha hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke sellers apni activity band kar rahe hain.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ka sab se ahem speech is saal hone wala hai. Technical nazariye se, NZD prices ab resistance levels 0.6190, 0.624, aur 0.6290 ka samna kar rahi hain. Support levels 0.5903, 0.5990, aur 0.5890 hain. Oil prices ke liye overall outlook uncertain hai, dono bullish aur bearish factors hain. Jerome Powell ki upcoming speech market moves ke liye ek key catalyst ban sakti hai. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Chart Analysis:

Pair filhal mixed trading kar raha hai, weekly chart pe flat hai jab ke pehle weekly high set kiya tha. Key support areas test ho rahe hain, aur selling pressure ko successfully resist kiya gaya hai, jo upside ko barqarar rakhne ki potential ko suggest karta hai. Movement ko continue karne ke liye, price ko 0.5995 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan key support area border karta hai. Is level se retest aur confident rebound se uptrend ko continue karne ka mauka milega, jiska target 0.6126 aur 0.6198 areas hai.




Agar support level se break hota hai aur 0.5921 reversal level ke neeche girti hai, to is current scenario ki cancellation ka signal milega.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY agle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega
NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target deta hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakta hai

NZD/USD Analysis

Friday ko New Zealand Dollar positive territory mein hai. North American session ke shuru hone par, NZD/USD 0.6158 par trade kar raha tha, jo din bhar mein 0.28% ka izafa hai.

New Zealand Dollar is hafte mein 1.7% upar hai, jab ke US Dollar gir raha hai.

New Zealand mein retail sales girne ki umeed hai. Dusre quarter mein retail sales mein sharp decline dekha gaya. Retail sales 1.2% gir gayi hain quarter-on-quarter, jab ke pehle quarter mein 0.4% ka izafa hua tha aur market estimate -1% se zyada gir gaya. Saal dar saal basis par, dusre quarter mein retail sales 3.6% gir gayi hai, jab ke pehle quarter mein -2.4% thi.

Consumers kharch nahi kar rahe, jo economy ke liye bura nishaan hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke mutabiq, economy dusre quarter mein 0.5% kam hui aur teesre quarter mein 0.2% aur contraction hone ka andesha hai. Agar economy dono quarters mein girti hai, to yeh do saal se kam waqt mein teesri recession hogi. RBNZ ne pichle hafte apni interest rate policy ko achanak badla, rates ko quarter point se kam kiya, aur ab aur cuts ki umeed hai jab ke inflation kam hui hai.

May mein, central bank ne warn kiya tha ke rates ko barhana par sakta hai aur agar yeh policy meandering hoti hai to bank ki credibility khatar mein aa sakti hai. Kya Powell ka speech markets ko hila dega? Annual Jackson Hole meeting shuru ho chuki hai aur sab nazar Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell par hai. Markets ko Fed ke rate plans ke baare mein kuch hints milne ki umeed hai.

Yeh yaqeen se kaha ja sakta hai ke Fed September 18 ko apni meeting mein quarter point ka cut karega. Agla kya hoga, yeh abhi clear nahi hai, aur Powell ke US economy ke strength par nazar se kuch roshni mil sakti hai.




NZD/USD Technical Analysis:

NZD/USD ne pehle resistance 0.6147 ko test kiya tha. Iske upar resistance levels 0.6191 hain. Agle support levels 0.6122 aur 0.6103 hain.

NZD/USD Analysis

NZD/USD currency pair filhal H1 chart par 0.5920 par trade kar raha hai. Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya aur is level ko paar nahi kar paaya, jis se price ne downward movement shuru ki. Yeh lagta hai ke price 0.5900 ke niche gir sakti hai, jo bearish trend ka continuation dikhata hai.

Pair ab 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai aur yeh aur bhi neeche gir gaya hai. Chart par ek reversal zone ban gaya hai jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke beech confined hai. Agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level se upar chadh jaye aur ek ghante ke candle ko is level se upar close kare, to yeh current decline ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke price rebound kar sakti hai aur 0.5978 ke resistance level ki taraf phir se barh sakti hai. Is scenario mein, relevant levels ke niche stop-loss orders place karna advisable hai.




Chart par 4-hour timeframe par linear regression channel mein upward trend dikhayi de rahi hai, jo buyer activity ko suggest karta hai. Lekin buyers mein kamzori nazar aayi hai, kyunki unhone 0.59421 level ko chhod diya hai jo sellers ne breach kar diya tha. Yeh market mein strong bearish interest ko dikhata hai, jo upward channel ko reverse karne ki koshish kar sakta hai aur specific level ko target kar sakta hai. Uptrend ko threat ho sakta hai. Agar channel neeche ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh sellers ki dominance aur trend mein badlav ko reflect karega. Strong bears 0.58630 level ko target karenge. Dusri taraf, agar market 4-hour chart par 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karti hai, to bulls apni momentum wapas le sakte hain, jo trading ke waqt dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

NZD/USD Forum Analysis

Aaj raat NZD/USD currency pair 0.61300 tak gir gaya hai. Yeh girawat kiwi dollar ke exchange rate mein kamzori ke sabab se hui hai, jab New Zealand ka Credit Card spending data release hua, jismein 3.8% ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Is izafay ke baad NZD/USD ki movement mein lagbhag 10 pips ki girawat dekhne ko mili. Iske ilawa, aaj raat US dollar ka exchange rate bhi kaafi mazboot hua hai. Yeh izafa is liye hai kyunki Nasdaq stock index mein 1000 points ki girawat hui hai aur America mein inventory bhi 4.2 million barrels tak kam ho gayi hai, jiski wajah se NZD/USD ki movement 0.61300 tak gir gayi hai. In tamam haalaat ko dekhte hue, mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq maine faisla kiya hai ke NZD/USD ko 0.61300 par SELL kiya jaye.

Technical Analysis

Agar hum technical analysis ki taraf dekhein, toh NZD/USD pair ke liye aaj ke din ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 0.61250 tak gir sakta hai. H1 timeframe par dekha jaye toh NZD/USD pair ne ek double bearish candle engulfing pattern bana liya hai, jo ke SELL ka ek strong signal deta hai. Yeh pattern market ke bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers market par control hasil kar rahe hain.

RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, NZD/USD price 0.6160 par overbought declare kiya gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh level overbought zone mein hai, jahan se ek reversal ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai. Overbought zone mein price usually pehle se hi kafi high hoti hai aur yahan se selling ka pressure barhta hai. Yeh wajah hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka price yahan se 10-40 pips tak deeply correction dekh sakta hai. Yeh correction isliye bhi mumkin hai kyunki market mein ab sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur unka yeh samajhna hai ke yeh ek acha mauqa hai apne positions ko lock karne ka.

Iske saath hi, NZD/USD SELL signal ko SNR (Support and Resistance) aur Fibonacci methods bhi support karte hain. Jab price 0.61450 par aayi thi, toh woh pehle se hi SBR (Support Become Resistance) area mein thi, jahan se reversal ka signal milta hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ko milta hai ke is area par sellers ne market mein apne positions ko mazeed mazbooti se liya hai aur NZD/USD pair ko sell karne ka mauqa dhoond rahe hain. Is wajah se, is level par entry lena safe strategy hai.

Fibonacci retracement levels ko dekha jaye toh yeh bhi signal dete hain ke 0.61450 ka level ek ahem reversal point hai. Yeh level market ke pichlay bullish move ka ek retracement level hai jahan se selling ka pressure aur bhi barhta hua nazar aata hai. Fibonacci analysis yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke price yahan se niche ki taraf move kar sakti hai, aur isliye SELL positions ko reinforce karne ka yeh ek acha point hai.

Conclusion

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke NZD/USD ko 0.61250 par SELL karna ek munasib strategy hogi. Yeh faisla market ke maujooda trend, technical indicators, aur key levels ko dekhte hue kiya gaya hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke market mein aur bhi fluctuations hoon, lekin overall analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh point SELL positions ko establish karne ke liye ek acha mauqa hai. Traders ko chaahiye ke woh in levels par nazar rakhein aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karein taake market ke potential movements ka faida uthaya ja sake..

NZD/USD currency pair aakhri trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki dovish policy expectations ke wajah se hai. Lekin, is pair ki upward momentum ko kuch challenges ka samna bhi karna pad sakta hai, kyunki United States aur New Zealand dono mein economic uncertainties maujood hain jo iski gains ko limit kar sakti hain. Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ki ummeed, jo ke aam 25 basis points se zyada ho sakti hai, New Zealand dollar ke liye ek significant tailwind bana hua hai. Ye ummeed recent U.S. job growth decline se aur bhi barh gayi hai. Halankeh, second quarter ka retail sales data thoda contraction dikhata hai, lekin isne New Zealand economy ke positive sentiment ko khaas tor par nahi roka. U.S. recession aur China ke economic challenges ke naye concerns ne ek risk-averse environment create kiya hai, jo risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ko negatively impact kar sakta hai. RBNZ ka recent rate cut aur cautious outlook ye suggest karte hain ke aage bhi monetary easing ho sakti hai, jo NZD/USD ki upside potential ko limit kar sakti hai.




Agar NZD/USD pair 0.6170 resistance level ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh 0.6220 aur 0.6257 levels ko target kar sakta hai. Agar 0.6109 support level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to yeh 0.6048 aur 0.5972 levels tak gir sakta hai. NZD/USD pair filhal bullish aur bearish factors ke beech tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Bullish factors zyada tar Federal Reserve ki dovish expectations se driven hain, jabke bearish factors global economic uncertainties aur RBNZ ki monetary policy stance se hain. Jab tak pair ki upward momentum zahir hai, traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur potential downside risks ko bhi dekhna chahiye. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki aane wali speech ek crucial event hogi, jo Fed ke policy path par clarity provide kar sakti hai aur NZD/USD ke direction ko significantly impact kar sakti hai.

NZD-USD PAIR MOVEMENT

Aaj ka din kai high impact news ke release se bhar gaya hai, jo market ko zyada crowded bana sakti hai. NZD-USD currency pair ne thoda sa decline dekha jab candle 0.6163 ke resistance ko breach nahi kar paayi. Ab NZD-USD 0.6149 ke price par trade ho raha hai. H1 timeframe ka resistance 0.6163 par hai, jo aage test hoga. Agar yeh break ho gaya, to NZD-USD mein ukaar dekhne ko milega. Lekin agar yeh penetrate nahi hota, to NZD-USD aur bhi zyada barh sakta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, NZD-USD ke barhne ki umeed hai kyunki candle position abhi bhi MA 100 line ke upar hai.

Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo aur upar ke movement ki possibilities ko support karta hai. Agle hafton mein, pair mein volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur price movements RBNZ ke interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke events se drive ho sakti hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, to pair 0.6037-0.6092 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Is resistance ka successful break October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf move open kar sakta hai.




Lekin aaj ke liye, meri prediction hai ke NZD-USD pehle gir sakta hai kyunki H1 support 0.6131 breach ho chuka hai. Support ka penetration NZD-USD ke aur bhi zyada decline ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trading karte hain, wo pehle sell position open karein. Target ke liye, aap nearest support 0.6060 par rakh sakte hain.

NZD/USD

Forex trading ke realm mein, NZD/USD currency pair ne recent mein kuch dilchasp movements dikhayi hain. Jaise ke ummeed thi, 0.5865 ka support level apni expectations ke mutabiq kaam kar raha hai. Yeh level ek mazboot support point sabit hua hai, aur isse aage ki movements ke liye kya matlab nikalta hai, iska jaiza lena zaroori hai.

Filhal, NZD/USD pair is support level ke around kaafi activity dekh raha hai. Tareekhi context aur recent trends ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke hum ek significant upward movement ke qareeb hain. Khaaskar, yeh mumkin hai ke price resistance zone ko jo 0.6350 se 0.6390 tak hai, tod kar is threshold ke upar consolidate kar le.

Agar NZD/USD pair is resistance zone ko successfully break karta hai aur iske upar position secure karta hai, to yeh ek sustained upward trend ki shuruat ko signal karega. Yeh potential breakout additional gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Aise mein, hum lagbhag 600 points ki additional rise ki ummeed kar sakte hain, jo ke current levels se ek significant shift hoga.

Yeh potential rise current market dynamics aur technical indicators se support hota hai. NZD/USD pair ka key resistance level ke upar apni position ko maintain karna crucial hoga. Agar yeh achieve hota hai, to market bullish trend ko continue kar sakta hai, aur initial forecast se aage ke gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Nukta-e-nazar, NZD/USD pair ka recent interaction support level ke saath ek positive trend ko indicate karta hai. Technical indicators, jaise Moving Average (MA), trading decisions mein madadgar hote hain. Moving averages market direction ko identify karne mein madad deti hain, price data ko smooth out karte hain. Hamare analysis mein, moving average market ke upward trajectory ko signal kar raha hai. Isliye, meri recommendation hai ke buying position maintain karein ya upward movement ke liye position banayein.




Aakhir mein, jabke NZD/USD currency pair filhal bearish trend mein hai aur dheere dheere move kar raha hai, kai factors suggest karte hain ke significant movement aane wale waqt mein ho sakti hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment sab in factors ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake forex market mein potential opportunities aur risks ko anticipate aur respond kiya ja sake.

NZD-USD

Is hafte New Zealand ki currency ne US dollar ke muqable mein dheere dheere izafa kiya hai, aur yeh November 2023 ke lows se ek substantial recovery dikha rahi hai. NZD/USD pair filhal teen hafton ke high ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai, jo ke New Zealand se aayi positive economic data aur US dollar ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai. NZD ko support dene wala ek key factor Wednesday ko release hui behtar employment data hai. Isse Reserve Bank of New Zealand se rate cut ki market expectations kam hui hain aur New Zealand economy mein investor confidence barh gaya hai. Iske ilawa, China ke better-than-expected inflation figures ne bhi NZD ko faida diya hai, kyunki China New Zealand ka major trading partner hai.

US dollar pressure mein hai kai factors ki wajah se. Thursday ko strong US labor market report ke bawajood, investors September mein Federal Reserve se 50 basis points ki interest rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Is expectation ki wajah se US Treasury yields mein kami aayi hai, jo dollar ko investors ke liye kam attractive bana rahi hai. Saath hi, positive market sentiment risk-on assets ko, jaise NZD, ko safe-haven currencies, jaise USD, se zyada pasand kar raha hai.

NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se potential turnaround ke signs dikhata hai. Average Directional Movement Index gir raha hai, jo downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar chadne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo aage ke upward movement ki possibility ko support karta hai.




Aane wale hafton mein, pair ke volatility banay rakhne ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise RBNZ ke interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ki wajah se honge. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, to pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pehle ke support levels, aur key moving averages ko shaamil karta hai. Is resistance ko successfully break karne se October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf move ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunki market conditions tez se badal sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake NZD/USD exchange rate par potential impacts ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Jumay kay din 7 maheenay ki bulandi 0.6236 se wapas aane kay baad, NZD/USD abhi 0.6210 par trade kar raha hai. Is kay bawajood, US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki dovish nazariya aur uski policy outlook NZD/USD pair ki downside ko limited rakh sakti hai. Markets ne mukammal tor par October aur November kay liye Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki taraf se 25 basis point se zyada cuts ko price mein shamil kar liya hai, jis ki wajah se New Zealand Dollar (NZD) par downward pressure ho sakta hai. RBNZ ne August mein Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kiya, jo iske easing cycle ka aaghaz tha. Iss haftay ke aakhir mein, traders mumkin hai ke seasonally adjusted Building Permits (MoM) data for July aur ANZ—Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence for August ko observe karein kyun ke in numbers se New Zealand ki economy ki soorat-e-haal par naye nazariyat mil sakte hain.

Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price ne 0.6213 level par white box area mein dakhil ho gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick banane mein kamyab hoti hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf giregi, jo baad mein RBS area ke tor par kaam karegi aur hum isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Phir agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche kamzor hoti hai to hum sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone mein kami nahi hoti, aur hum isay TP2 level bana sakte hain aglay haftay ki trading mein. Mazeed, sab se buri soorat-e-haal ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein nakam hota hai to NZD/USD ki bullish confirmation banne lagti hai aur humein sell position ko close karne ki zaroorat hoti hai. Phir recover karne ke liye humein buy position kholni chahiye resistance area 0.6330 mein target increase ke saath. Shukriya aap sab ka tawajjoh dene ke liye, dosto, jo meri baat sun rahe hain. Bunyadi tor par, ab tak New Zealand pair mein humare liye kuch bhi nahi badla, kyun ke upar ki taraf movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ki gunjaish hai. Lekin jaldi hi open hone ke baad, hum itna update nahi kar paaye aur wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halaan ke hum abhi tak 62nd par hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum zyada trade kaise karte hain. Aur jaise ke pehle hi bayan kiya gaya hai, main is baat ko nazar andaaz nahi karta ke Powell ke tamam statements ne market par pehle hi asar kiya hai, aur is liye hum kam az kam ek rollback hasil karein ge. Soorat-e-haal mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi foran targets nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon aur is liye, agar hum dobara 0.6160 se neeche break karte hain, to main wahan ek buy ki ijaazat deta hoon ek maqool stop ke saath.

American session market ke shuru hone se pehle NZD/USD market abhi bhi daily open aur iski sab se qareeb support ke darmiyan upar neeche hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Aaj market khuli thi 0.6242 ke price par aur support level 0.6220 par tha. Jab ke sab se qareeb resistance level 0.6262 par map ki gayi hai. Monday se, is pair ki price movement choti choti candles bana rahi hai. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua kal jab pichle din thodi si correction aayi thi. High bhi zyada hasil kiya gaya. Ibtida mein andaza tha ke price mein correction jari rahegi, lekin Asian session se hi buyers apni dominance barqarar rakhne ki koshish karte nazar aaye. Price ne zinda rehne mein kamyabi hasil ki aur ahista ahista positive move ki. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout kar gaya aur price zyada ho gayi. Is buyer ke push ne price ko 0.6249 tak ponchne mein support kiya aur phir price limitedly move ki. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye andaza kiya ja raha hai ke abhi bhi chances khule hain, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se neeche hai.
Halaat aisay hain ke RSI abhi oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaruri hai. Jis tarah halat hain, sirf RSI ka oversold hona yeh sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apni short positions mein izafa na karein, isko poori tarah se oversold se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide ho sake.

100 ek zaruri level hai. Yeh sirf ek psychological level nahi, balke 100 ek bara historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar ab tak 3 dafa girti hui prices ko safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche daira karke dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai ke kya 100 is mauka par dobara rescue karne aayega? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat se takra raha hai jo isne bahaar mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ka high todne se ek higher high banega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq hogi.

Aisi move se mutawaqa hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga. NZD/USD continue karta hai sideways range ki chhat par knock karte hue jo isne bahaar se banayi hui hai. August 20 ke high ke upar break mumkin hai ke upside breakout ki tasdeeq karey jismein substantial gains ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Pair ne temporarily range ki chhat ko August 20 ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak utha tha uske baad jaldi se wapas gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick form kiya. Iske baad ek red down candle bani thi jisse mutawaqa tha ke near-term weakness mein izafa ho ga, lekin pair thodi points gir kar 22 August ke 0.6109 swing low tak gir gayi

NZDUSD ne apni bullish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh paaya aur European trading session mein 0.6251 ka high touch karne ke baad prices US Dollar ke khilaf gir gayi.

Hamein 30-minute time frame mein moving average of 50 ke saath bearish price crossover formation dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Momentum indicator 1-hour time frame mein zero ke neeche aa gaya hai.

NZDUSD prices daily time frame mein horizontal resistance ke qareeb hain.

Kuch technical indicators bhi market mein neutral stance ko darshane lagte hain, aur markets consolidation wave mein hain.

NZDUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai.

• Kiwi bearish reversal 0.6251 mark ke neeche dekha gaya.

• Short-term range bearish lagti hai.

• NZDUSD 0.6240 level ke upar hai.

• Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

Agle support 0.6213 hai, jo ke pivot point 1st support point hai.

NZDUSD ab apne pivot level 0.6245 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur bearish channel mein move kar raha hai.

NZDUSD price apne classic support level 0.6224 ke upar hai aur ab apne agle target 0.6206 ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo ke 1 standard deviation price support hai.

Disclaimer: Yeh analysis sirf meri opinion hai. ****** brand ke under kaam karne wali companies isey opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke tor par nahi samajh sakti.

Tenkan-sen ka Kijun-sen ko neeche se upar intersect karna purchases ko darshata hai, jo ki abhi bhi preserved hain. Maine intraday trading ke liye Nichimoku indicator par positions rakhi hui hain jab tak reverse signal na mile ya trade close na ho.

NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price ooper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake
100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga
NZD/USD apne sideways range ki chhat ko knock karta raha hai, jo springtime se established hai. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break shayad upside breakout ki tasdeeq karega, jiske baad khaasa gain expect kiya jaa sakta hai. Pair ne temporarily apni range ki chhat ko August 20 ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohoncha, lekin jald hi wapis niche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick form hui. Iske baad ek red down candle bhi bani jo ke further near-term weakness indicate kar sakti thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 22 August ke 0.6109 swing low tak gaya
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