نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD currency pair aakhri trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki dovish policy expectations ke wajah se hai. Lekin, is pair ki upward momentum ko kuch challenges ka samna bhi karna pad sakta hai, kyunki United States aur New Zealand dono mein economic uncertainties maujood hain jo iski gains ko limit kar sakti hain. Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ki ummeed, jo ke aam 25 basis points se zyada ho sakti hai, New Zealand dollar ke liye ek significant tailwind bana hua hai. Ye ummeed recent US job growth decline se aur bhi barh gayi hai. Halankeh, second quarter ka retail sales data thoda contraction dikhata hai, lekin isne New Zealand economy ke positive sentiment ko khaas tor par nahi roka. US recession aur China ke economic challenges ke naye concerns ne ek risk-averse environment create kiya hai, jo risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ko negatively impact kar sakta hai. RBNZ ka recent rate cut aur cautious outlook ye suggest karte hain ke aage bhi monetary easing ho sakti hai, jo NZD/USD ki upside potential ko limit kar sakti hai. Agar NZD/USD pair 0.6170 resistance level ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh 0.6220 aur 0.6257 levels ko target kar sakta hai. Agar 0.6109 support level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to yeh 0.6048 aur 0.5972 levels tak gir sakta hai. NZD/USD pair filhal bullish aur bearish factors ke beech tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Bullish factors zyada tar Federal Reserve ki dovish expectations se driven hain, jabke bearish factors global economic uncertainties aur RBNZ ki monetary policy stance se hain. Jab tak pair ki upward momentum zahir hai, traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur potential downside risks ko bhi dekhna chahiye. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki aane wali speech ek crucial event hogi, jo Fed ke policy path par clarity provide kar sakti hai aur NZD/USD ke direction ko significantly impact kar sakti hai

NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price ooper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake 100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga
NZD/USD apne sideways range ki chhat ko knock karta raha hai, jo springtime se established hai. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break shayad upside breakout ki tasdeeq karega, jiske baad khaasa gain expect kiya jaa sakta hai. Pair ne temporarily apni range ki chhat ko August 20 ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohoncha, lekin jald hi wapis niche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick form hui. Iske baad ek red down candle bhi bani jo ke further near-term weakness indicate kar sakti thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 22 August ke 0.6109 swing low tak gaya

Dollar Index (DXY) aik darmiyani aur lambay arse ke liye sideways trend mein hai, jo ek multi-year range ke andar chal raha hai. July ke aakhir se, isne is range ke andar ek neeche ki taraf movement shuru ki hai, jo 105 ke aas-paas ke ceiling se 100 level tak pohnch rahi hai. Price action abhi bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal pattern nahi ban raha – chahe woh shape ke form mein ho ya candlestick pattern mein. Yeh aur neeche jaane ka risk darshata hai. Agar south ki taraf continuation hoti hai, to DXY angle support level 99.57 tak pohnch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh range ka lowest floor hai – iske neeche decisive break hona ek bohot bearish sign hoga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly chart dono par oversold hai (weekly chart yahan nahi dikhaya gaya). Yeh darshata hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur ek pullback ka risk zyada hai.

Magar, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se nahi nikla, jo buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt, RSI ka oversold hona bas bears ko warn kar raha hai ke apni short positions ko na badhayein, yeh tabhi reversal signal dega jab yeh puri tarah se oversold zone se nikle ga.

100 ka level important hai. Yeh ek key psychological level ke ilawa, 100 ek major historical support level bhi hai jo teen martaba 2023 se girti hui prices ko support kar chuka hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is baar bhi madad karega? NZD/USD baar-baar apnea range ke ceiling ko touch kar raha hai jo spring se shuru hui thi. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout confirm karega. Aise move ke baad substantial upside follow-through expected hai. NZD/USD ne apne sideways range ke ceiling ko bar-bar test kiya hai jo spring se establish hui thi. Agar August 20 ke high ko break kiya jaye to yeh ek decisive breakout signal hoga aur upside target activate hoga, jo range ke height ka 0.618 ratio le kar calculate kiya jaye ga. Is se ek upside target 0.6448 (bold rectangle) milega. Ek aur zyada conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) hai. Aise move se short-term trend bhi sideways se bullish change ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh sideways trend ko confirm karega. Isse yeh pair phir se 0.5850 ke aas-paas ke range floor ki taraf move kar sakta

NZD/USD market, American session ke agaz se pehle, abhi bhi apni daily open aur qareebi support ke darmiyan oopar neeche hota nazar aa raha hai. Aaj market ka agaz 0.6242 ke price par hua aur support 0.6220 ke level par hai, jabke qareebi resistance 0.6262 par hai. Monday se lekar ab tak, is pair ke price movement ne chhoti-chhoti candles banayi hain. Kal se ek upward trend phir se zahir hona shuru hua hai, jabke pichle din ek slight correction dekha gaya tha. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hui. Pehle yeh andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price mazeed correct hogi, lekin Asian session ke agaz se buyers ne apni dominance barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne apne aap ko barqarar rakha aur ahista-ahista positively move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hui, aur price ne oopar move karna shuru kiya. Buyers ke is push ne price ko 0.6249 tak pohanchaya, aur phir price limited range mein move hui. Agar kal ke trading conditions ka hawala diya jaye, toh rally ka chance abhi bhi maujood hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ki daily open ke neeche hai.

Main H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor kar raha tha, toh Thursday ke trading session mein market ka agaz downward correction se hua, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ne candlestick ko oopar dhakelne mein kuch kamyabi hasil ki, chahe wo zyada nahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish tha, aur ab ke market conditions ko dekhte hue yeh lagta hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ka trend apne major trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi oopar ki taraf hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line phir se level 70 ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke hafte ke agaz ka chhota sa increase mazeed barh sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar abhi bhi zero level ke oopar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin uska size Monday ke downward correction ki wajah se thoda chhota ho gaya hai. Is hafte price oopar move kar chuki hai, aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke oopar aur door hoti ja rahi hai.

NZD/USD H1 Chart

NZD/USD market ke American session ki opening se pehle, market ko daily open aur apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limitedly move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai.

H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar ho gayi hai.

NZD/USD currency pair ke liye traders ke liye complex scenario hai. Daily charts mein bearish trend hai, lekin recent market activity ne intriguing dynamics introduce ki hai. Broader downtrend ke baad, pair ne recent low ke baad reversal ka sign dikha hai. Yeh low ne downtrend ka end mark kiya hai, aur buying activity ne price ko 0.6000 level ke upar push kiya hai. Yeh price movement upward momentum ya temporary bullish phase ka sign hai. Lekin, situation abhi bhi intricate hai. Price 0.6000 mark ke upar hai, lekin broader perspective se bearish trend abhi bhi hai. Is liye, main selling ke liye cautious hoon. Price 0.5900 level ke neeche drop kar sakti hai, jo buying ke liye opportunity present kar sakti hai.

Technical front par, Envelopes indicator ne support level 0.5977 dikha hai. Current price 0.5996 hai, to yeh support level par retracement buying opportunity present kar sakta hai. Stop loss 0.5970 level ke neeche rakhna risk ko manage karne mein madad karega. Upward move ka target resistance level 0.6035 hai. Technical indicators continued growth ko favor karte hain, upward cycle ka potential dikha rahe hain.

Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar geopolitical tensions ke karan pressure face kar sakta hai, jo weaker dollar ko support kar sakta hai. Yeh external factors NZD/USD pair mein upward movement ko support kar sakte hain.




Summary mein, NZD/USD pair mein bullish potential hai, lekin broader bearish trend ke liye aware rehna zaroori hai. Price action ko key support aur resistance levels par monitor karna informed trading decisions ke liye essential hai. Agar price support level 0.5977 par retrace karta hai, to yeh buying opportunity present kar sakta hai. Market trends aur technical indicators ko observe karna complex market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye key hai

NZD/USD market, American session ke agaz se pehle, abhi bhi apni daily open aur qareebi support ke darmiyan oopar neeche hota nazar aa raha hai. Aaj market ka agaz 0.6242 ke price par hua aur support 0.6220 ke level par hai, jabke qareebi resistance 0.6262 par hai. Monday se lekar ab tak, is pair ke price movement ne chhoti-chhoti candles banayi hain. Kal se ek upward trend phir se zahir hona shuru hua hai, jabke pichle din ek slight correction dekha gaya tha. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hui. Pehle yeh andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price mazeed correct hogi, lekin Asian session ke agaz se buyers ne apni dominance barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne apne aap ko barqarar rakha aur ahista-ahista positively move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hui, aur price ne oopar move karna shuru kiya. Buyers ke is push ne price ko 0.6249 tak pohanchaya, aur phir price limited range mein move hui. Agar kal ke trading conditions ka hawala diya jaye, toh rally ka chance abhi bhi maujood hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ki daily open ke neeche hai. Main H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor kar raha tha, toh Thursday ke trading session mein market ka agaz downward correction se hua, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ne candlestick ko oopar dhakelne mein kuch kamyabi hasil ki, chahe wo zyada nahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish tha, aur ab ke market conditions ko dekhte hue yeh lagta hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ka trend apne major trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi oopar ki taraf hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line phir se level 70 ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke hafte ke agaz ka chhota sa increase mazeed barh sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar abhi bhi zero level ke oopar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin uska size Monday ke downward correction ki wajah se thoda chhota ho gaya hai. Is hafte price oopar move kar chuki hai, aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala

qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price opper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake 100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial

Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD ka market price 0.5984 zone ko cross karega. Yeh

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki, waqai Monday ke trading session mein market ne downward correction movement ke sath shuruat ki, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar dekhne ko mila jo candlestick ko upar le gaye, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish trend ki taraf hi move kar raha tha, aur ab ke market conditions ke sath iska matlab yeh hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq ab bhi upar hi move kar raha hai.

Indicators ke istamal ka jaiza lein to, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line dobara level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai, jo is baat ko dikhati hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein jo thoda increase dekha gaya, wo dobara ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab bhi zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, iska size thoda chhota hua hai due to Monday ki downward correction. Is haftay ke liye price upar move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se kafi upar hai.

NATIJAH:

Market analysis ke results jo ke kai indicators se dikhaye gaye hain, wo yeh batate hain ke NZDUSD currency pair ka price ab bhi bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki potential rakhta hai. Aur agar hum H4 timeframe ka jaiza lein, to price ab bhi lagta hai ke yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break karne ke liye upar move karne ki potential rakhta hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke agle dinon mein candlestick ka movement dobara upar move kare.

Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue jo ke big trend mein ab bhi bullish hai, ek potential choice BUY trade karna ho sakti hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke range mein ho, shayad price haftay ke aakhir tak zyada move kar sake kyunki buyers ka asar ab bhi dominant hai

NZD/USD currency pair main recently kuch interesting movements dekhne ko mili hain. Jaise ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, support level 0.5865 par bohot acchi tarah perform kiya hai, aur yeh level ek mazboot support point sabit hua hai. Yeh important hai ke hum samjhein ke yeh future movements ke liye kya imply karta hai. Is waqt, NZD/USD pair is support level ke aas paas notable activity show kar raha hai. Historical context aur recent trends ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke hum ek significant upward movement ke qareeb hain. Khaas tor par, yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke price resistance zone, jo ke 0.6350 se 0.6390 ke darmiyan hai, ko break karay aur is threshold ke upar consolidate karay. Agar NZD/USD pair successfully is resistance zone ko break karke upar consolidate karne main kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh ek sustained upward trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Aise scenario main, hum 600 points tak ke additional rise ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo ke current levels se ek notable shift hoga. Yeh potential rise current market dynamics aur technical indicators ke zariye support kiya gaya hai. NZD/USD pair ki ability ke woh apni position key resistance level ke upar maintain kar sake, bohot crucial hogi. Agar yeh achieve ho jata hai, to market ek bullish trend ke continuation ko dekh sakta hai, aur yeh gains initial forecast se bhi zyada extend ho sakti hain. Agar hum current analysis ko dekhein, Moving Average (MA) jese technical indicators ka role bohot important hai traders ko informed decisions lene main madad dene ke liye. Is tool ka use karke trends ko detect karna aur un par trading decisions lena bohot asan ho jata hai. Hamari current analysis ke mutabiq, moving average signal karta hai ke market upward trajectory main hai. Isliye, meri recommendation yeh hai ke buying position maintain ki jaye ya trading language main kahen

NZD /USD market ki latest situation mein buyer ka control hi chal raha hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke wo price ko steadily upar push karna chahte hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyer control ne price ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le jaane mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai. Agar aap week ke shuruat ke trading situation ko monitor karein to lagta hai seller ne market ko control karne ki koshish ki taake price ko 0.5845 position tak le jayein. Lekin Tuesday ke baad downward trend continue nahi ho sakta, aur price upar dikhai diya. Ab tak price 0.6028 area tak bullish chal rahi hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke market mein ab bhi bullish trend ki journey ke liye chance hai. 4-hour time frame chart se monitor karte hue lagta hai ke buyer ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ko 0.6068 zone ki taraf raise karne ki koshish abhi bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Abhi ke candlestick position ne 100-period simple moving average zone ko cross kar liya hai, jo market ko agla moka de sakta hai ke wo bullish side par continue kare. Personal tor par, main umeed karta hoon ke market apni Uptrend journey ko continue kare, taake main Buy option par concentrate kar sakoon jo technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq hai. NZDUSD, yeh pair green resistance 0.5968 - 0.5976 ko tor kar usay support yaani RBS mein tabdeel karne mein kamiyab raha. Breakout process mein ek baray aur solid bullish engulfing candle ka nashur hua, is liye yeh izafa baray volume se support hota hai. Aakhri chand ghanton mein 0.6028 ke minor resistance par rejection dekha gaya hai aur kuch pinbar candles banayi gayi hain, jo ke is baat ki mazboot indication hai ke qeemat green RBS level ko retest karne ke liye gir sakti hai. Ab mein dekhunga ke qeemat kaise react karti hai, agar ek mazboot bullish rejection aata hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal hoga, aur NZ central bank ke cash rate ke announcement ke bawajood, yeh lagta hai ke qeemat soar karegi agar yeh green RBS level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai. Economic aur technical data ke support ke sath, aglay

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega
NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt