نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Aaj, main NZD/USD currency pair ke price movement ka forecast TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator ka istemal karte hue karunga, jo ke price fluctuations ko smooth karne mein madadgar hota hai aur trends ka achi tarah se analysis karta hai. Taza analysis ke mutabiq, TMA channel ka rukh upar ki taraf hai, jo ke is baat ka izhar karta hai ke market mein abhi buyers ka zor hai. Ye upward trajectory is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke buying momentum selling pressure se ziada mazboot hai, jis se pair ke liye bullish outlook samne aata hai.TMA indicator ka upward slope ek mazboot indicator hai ke abhi prevailing trend bullish hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai ke market sentiment New Zealand dollar ke haq mein hai ke wo US dollar ke muqable mein mazbooti haasil kar raha hai. TMA channel ke andar price action is view ko mazid mazbooti deta hai, kyun ke price lower boundary se support dhoondta hai aur upper boundary ki taraf push karta hai. Higher lows aur consistent resistance ka ye pattern us market ka aik characteristic hai jahan buyers dhere dhere sellers par haawi hotay ja rahe hain.

Bulish trend ke bawajood, market mein kuch challenges bhi hain. NZD/USD pair ne kuch downward corrective movements dekhi hain, jo ke kisi bhi trending market mein aam baat hai. Ye corrections aksar healthy pullbacks ke taur par dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke market ko mazid upward movement se pehle consolidate karne ka mauqa deti hain. Is case mein, corrections itni severe nahi hui ke TMA channel ka upward trend toot jaye, jo ke is baat ka izhar karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur ye pullbacks buying opportunities ke tor par dekhi ja sakti hain na ke trend reversal ke signals.

Maujooda sentiment market mein lagta hai ke bullish trend ke continuation ke haq mein hai. TMA channel ke mutabiq upward momentum is baat ka izhar karta hai ke market higher move karne ke rujhan mein hai, aur buyers ko shayad kisi bhi significant price dips ko defend karne ki koshish kareinge. Ye kisi fundamental factors ka result ho sakta hai, jese ke New Zealand dollar ke haq mein economic data, ya technical factors jahan TMA channel ek clear framework deta hai potential entry points ko identify karne ke liye.Akhir mein, TMA channel ka upward trend NZD/USD currency pair mein ek mazboot bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Halan ke kabhi kabhi downward corrections aati hain, lekin ye ab tak itni significant nahi hui ke overall trend ko disrupt kar sakein. Jab tak price upward-sloping TMA channel mein rehta hai, outlook bullish hi hai, aur buyers shayad apna control maintain rakhenge. Traders in corrections ko long positions enter karne ke mauqe ke tor par consider kar sakte hain, jo prevailing trend ke mutabiq hoga.

Is haftay, New Zealand ki currency ne US dollar ke muqable mein lagataar mazbooti haasil ki hai, November 2023 ke lows se apni recovery ko mazid barhawa diya hai. NZD/USD pair abhi ke liye apne three-week highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke New Zealand ke positive economic data aur US dollar ki kamzori ka nateeja hai. Ek aham factor jo NZD ko support kar raha hai, wo hai Wednesday ko release hone wala better-than-expected employment data. Isne Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai aur New Zealand ki economy mein investor confidence ko mazid mazboot kiya hai. Iske ilawa, China ke stronger-than-anticipated inflation figures ne bhi NZD ko faida diya hai, kyun ke China New Zealand ka ek bara trading partner hai.
US dollar par pressure aaya hai kai factors ki wajah se. Thursday ko aane wale strong US labor market report ke bawajood, investors abhi bhi anticipate kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein potential 50 basis point interest rate cut karega. Is expectation ne US Treasury yields ko decline kar diya hai, jis se dollar investors ke liye kam attractive ban gaya hai. Mazeed, overall positive market sentiment ne risk-on assets, jese ke New Zealand dollar, ko favor kiya hai, jab ke safe-haven currencies, jese ke USD, kamzor par gaye hain.

NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index kam ho raha hai, jo ke ek weakening downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Relative Strength Index bhi 50 level ke upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ka ishara ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upward trend kar raha hai, jo ke mazeed upward movement ki possibility ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair ke volatile rehne ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events, jese ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data, ke zariye driven ho sakti hain.

Agar positive momentum jari rehti hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Agar is resistance ke upar successfully break hoti hai, toh ye October 2019 ke low of 0.6198 ki taraf move ka rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments par ghor se nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD exchange rate par potential impacts ko samajh sakein.

- Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ki NZDUSD currency pair H1 timeframe mein Asian trading session mein support area level 0.5960 se 0.5970 tak penetrate nahi kar saka, jahan August 16, 2024 ko Asian trading session mein trading instrument ne bullish rally ka experience kiya aur golden cross pattern create karne mein succeed kiya moving average indicator ke saath period setting 7 applications to close exponential method aur moving average indicator period 14 applications to close exponential method. To yeh hamari representation hai trading decisions karne ke liye next Monday.

- Golden cross pattern ke formation ke saath H1 timeframe mein trading chart par aur buyer ke resistance area level 0.6010 se 0.6020 tak penetrate karne ke success ke saath, NZDUSD currency pair mein increase ka potential Monday ke trading mein kafi wide open hai. NZDUSD currency pair ko price correction ka potential hai agar new resistance area level 0.6050 se 0.6040 tak fail ho jaye breakout ke candlestick pattern se next trade mein.

- To current price conditions ke saath, NZDUSD currency pair mein do possibilities hain jo occur ho sakti hain, aur hum isko good trading step ke roop mein use kar sakte hain next Monday trading activities karne ke liye, jaise ki buy order place karna jab resistance area level 0.6050 - 0.6040 ko bullish trend candlestick pattern se successfully break out kiya jaye, aur sell order place karna jab resistance area level bearish reversal trend candlestick pattern form kare, aur buy limit order place karna RBS area (resistance becomes support) mein formed at price 0.6010 - 0.6000. Well, yeh sab mere opinion mein NZDUSD pair ke movement ke review ke liye hai

NZD/USD currency pair ko macroeconomic factors ke kai tareeke se influence kia jata hai, jo iski volatility aur directional trends mein hissa lete hain. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai jo is pair ko effectively navigate karna chahte hain.

*1. Interest Rate Differentials:* NZD/USD pair ko influence karne wala sabse significant factor interest rate differential hai Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke beech. Jab RBNZ apne interest rates ko Fed ke relative mein raise karta hai, to New Zealand dollar (NZD) US dollar (USD) ke against appreciate karta hai kyunki higher yields foreign capital ko attract karte hain. Iske ulta, agar Fed ke interest rates higher hain ya expected to rise, to USD NZD ke relative mein strengthen ho sakta hai.

*2. Economic Data Releases:* Key economic indicators jaise GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur retail sales dono New Zealand aur United States se market sentiment ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. New Zealand se stronger-than-expected economic data NZD ko boost kar sakta hai, jabki weak data depreciation ko lead kar sakta hai. Similarly, robust US economic data USD ko drive kar sakta hai.

*3. Commodity Prices:* New Zealand ek significant exporter hai commodities ka, khaskar dairy products, meat, aur wool. Is liye, global commodity prices NZD ko direct impact karte hain. Rising commodity prices typically NZD ko support karte hain, kyunki yeh country ke trade balance aur economic outlook ko improve karte hain. Iske ulta, falling commodity prices NZD ko weigh kar sakte hain, currency ko investors ke liye less attractive bana sakte hain.

*4. Risk Sentiment:* NZD ko often risk-sensitive currency consider kia jata hai, meaning yeh periods of global economic optimism ke during perform karta hai aur underperform jab heightened uncertainty ya risk aversion market mein hota hai. Yeh dynamic global equity markets aur investor sentiment se closely linked hai. For instance, geopolitical tensions ya financial market volatility ke times, investors safety ke liye USD ko flock kar sakte hain, causing NZD/USD pair ko decline.

*5. Central Bank Policies:* RBNZ aur Fed ke monetary policies NZD/USD pair ki direction ko determine karne mein pivotal hain. Forward guidance, quantitative easing, aur interest rates mein changes dono central banks ke side se pair ko significantly influence kar sakte hain. For example, agar RBNZ dovish stance signals karta hai jabki Fed hawkish approach adopt karta hai, to NZD/USD pair decline ho sakta hai kyunki USD strength gain karta hai.

*6. Trade Relations aur Global Economic Conditions:* New Zealand ek small, open economy hai jo international trade par highly dependent hai. Trade relations mein changes, khaskar major trading partners jaise China aur Australia ke saath, NZD ko affect kar sakte hain. Additionally, broader global economic conditions, jaise major economies mein slowdown, New Zealand ke exports ki demand ko impact kar sakte hain, influencing NZD/USD pair.

In summary, NZD/USD pair ko interest rate differentials, economic data releases, commodity prices, risk sentiment, central bank policies, aur global economic conditions ke combination se influence kia jata hai. In factors ko samajhna movements ko anticipate karne aur informed trading decisions karne ke liye zaroori hai

**Technical Analysis: NZDUSD Currency Pair**

**Recent Performance**

NZDUSD currency pair ne kal ke trading session mein decline face kiya, khaas tor par European se American trading sessions tak. Iske baraks, Australian se Asian trading sessions tak increase dekha gaya. Pair ne resistance level 0.6010 ko break kiya aur 0.6000 tak gir gaya. Lekin, apna upward trend sustain nahi kar paya, jis ki wajah se ek false breakout pattern ban gaya.

**Support Levels**

Agle trade ke liye anticipate ki gayi support area 0.5980 aur 0.5990 ke price levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh zone significant hai kyun ke hourly (H1) trading chart par ek death cross pattern nazar aa raha hai. Yeh pattern tab hota hai jab 7-period exponential moving average 14-period exponential moving average ke neeche cross karta hai, jo ke ek potential trend reversal ko indicate karta hai.

Agar support area 0.5980 aur 0.5990 ke darmiyan bearish candle pattern ke zariye breach hoti hai, toh NZDUSD agle haftay Asian se Australian trading sessions tak further decline dekh sakta hai. Us waqt nearest support areas 0.5970 se 0.5960 ke price levels target karengi.

**Trading Advice**

Current analysis ki base par, meri recommendation hai ke NZDUSD currency pair par sell order place kiya jaye. Umeed hai ke yeh guidance market mein trade karne walon ke liye helpful hogi.

**Current Market Dynamics**

Haal hi mein, NZDUSD ne green resistance zone 0.5968 - 0.5976 ko break kiya aur isey support mein convert kar diya (Resistance Becomes Support - RBS). Is breakout ko ek significant bullish engulfing candle se confirm kiya gaya, jo ke strong buying momentum ko signal karta hai. Agle kuch ghanton mein, price ne minor resistance level 0.6028 ko reject kiya, jis ki wajah se kuch pin bar candles bani. Yeh indicate karta hai ke price decline ki strong possibility hai jo ke green RBS level ko retest karega.

**Future Considerations**

Mein aage chal kar price action ko closely monitor karunga. Agar in levels par strong bullish rejection hota hai, toh yeh ek strong buy signal dega. Is ke ilawa, NZ Central Bank ke cash rate ke announcement ke hawale se lagta hai ke agar price green RBS level ke upar rehti hai, toh market mein rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Economic aur technical data se support milne par, agle haftay ke liye apni trading plan accordingly banayi jayegi.


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halka sa izafa dekha, lekin ye 0.5900 ke threshold ko paar karne me nakam raha. Ye jahjati is wajah se hai ke investors intizar kar rahe hain aham US inflation data ka. Investors umeed kar rahe hain ke September me Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut karega kyunke US economy me susti ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Ye umeed USD ke recent rally ko thanda kar rahi hai, jo Wednesday ko do hafton ke bulandiyon tak pohanch gaya tha. Bawajood is ke ke US ka Q2 GDP growth umeed se zyada mazboot tha, greenback ka boost limited raha Dusi taraf, NZD ko kai challenges ka samna hai. China ki economy ke slowdown ke concerns risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke New Zealand Dollar, ko affect kar rahe hain. Aur saath hi market expectations ke RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) rate cuts karegi, NZD par bhi bojh daal rahe hain.




NZD/USD pair par focus karne walay traders ke liye key target 0.5942 hai. Is level ko pohanchna sustained upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo ke price increases ka faida uthane ka mauka pesh karta hai. Ulta, agar price 0.5850 se neeche girta hai, to ye traders ke liye purchasing ka signal ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar price movements 0.5893 aur 0.5883 ke levels se zyada ho jati hain 0.5930 ke najdeeki resistance range ko dekhna profit-taking strategies ke liye bohot aham hai. Traders ko in critical levels ke aas paas bohot hoshiyaar rehna chahiye taake apne trading decisions ko optimize kar saken. 0.5942 ke upar price fixation favorable moment ko zahir karta hai ya to existing positions ko add karne ka ya nayi positions initiate karne ka. In guidelines ko follow karte hue aur price movements ko closely dekhte hue, traders NZD/USD currency pair ko zyada accuracy aur confidence ke sath navigate kar sakte hain Ye price fixation suggest karta hai ke market ne ek solid support base establish kar liya hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek behtareen mauka hai existing positions ko add karne ka ya nayi positions initiate karne ka. In conditions ko adhere karte hue aur in key levels ke aas paas price movements ko closely monitor karte hue, traders apni positions ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD currency pair ke trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain. Najdeeki resistance range 0.5930 profit-taking ke liye critical hai, jabke pair ko purchase karne ke signals me 0.5850 se neeche declines shamil hain, saath hi price fixations 0.5893 aur 0.5883 se zyada hain. 0.5942 ka target level traders ke liye ek clear objective hai jo upward movements se faida uthana chahte hain NZD/USD currency pair me. In guidelines ko follow karte hue, traders m

NZD/USD currency pair iss waqt traders ke liye ek complex situation present kar raha hai. Daily charts pe ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, lekin recent market activity ne kuch interesting dynamics introduce kiye hain. Broader downtrend ke bawajood, is pair ne Monday ko record kiye gaye recent low ke baad reversal ke signs dikhaye hain. Yeh low aisa lagta hai ke downtrend ka aakhri point tha, jisse buying activity mein izafa hua aur price ko 0.6000 level ke upar push kiya. Is price movement se lagta hai ke market upward momentum ya temporary bullish phase ka shikar hai. Lekin, situation ab bhi intricate hai. Halankeh price is waqt 0.6000 mark ke upar hai, lekin broader perspective se dekha jaye toh overall bearish trend ab bhi mojood hai. Is liye, mein in levels pe selling ke liye ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon. Yeh possibility hai ke price wapas se 0.5900 level




ke neeche gir sakta hai, jo ke lower levels pe buying ka mauka de sakta hai. Is waqt, NZD/USD pair ek mixed scenario show kar raha hai. Overarching bearish trend ke bawajood, market ne higher push kiya hai aur significant support levels ke upar hold kiya hai. Yeh kuch upward pressure ko indicate karta hai lekin sath hi market ke complex environment ko bhi highlight karta hai. Is market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye patience aur diligent observation zaroori hai.
Technical front pe, Envelopes indicator yeh suggest kar raha hai ke support level lagbhag 0.5977 ke aas paas hai. Current price 0.5996 hai, toh agar price is support level tak retrace hota hai toh yeh ek achi buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Risk manage karne ke liye stop loss 0.5970 level ke neeche implement karna helpful hoga. Is upward move ka target resistance level 0.6035 pe hona chahiye. Technical indicators lagta hai ke current levels se growth ko favor kar rahe hain, jo ke ek upward cycle ka potential dikhata hai.

Fundamental perspective se dekha jaye toh US Dollar par increasing pressure aa sakta hai, khas kar ongoing geopolitical tensions ke wajah se, jo ke Middle East mein chal rahi hain. Yeh external factors dollar ko weaken kar sakte hain, jo NZD/USD pair mein further upward movement ko support kar sakte hain

. Aise mauqe pe, technical analysis ke results ke base pe mujhe sell position pe focus karna zyada comfortable lagta hai. Sell position open karne ke liye area jo consider kiya ja sakta hai wo 0.6038 area ya us se neeche 0.6030 area ho sakta hai NZDUSD movement fiber level ke through pass ho raha hai. Instrument ne northern variant ko outline kiya hai. Market changes ke range mein, 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 ke beech, current price 0.60696 hai. Pechle din ka extreme use kiya ja sakta hai. Is structure se, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 hai. Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear




team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai. Mera faisla yeh hai ke daily candles ke sath isay connect karoon, jo installation ko market errors ke bina simplify karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, NZD/USD ka current condition overbought hai kyun ke pichle kuch dino se NZD/USD ne bohot zyada increase experience kiya hai. NZD/USD ne kuch din sideways bhi raha, magar us ke baad dobara upar chala gaya. Upar ki picture se, line position level 80 ke upar hai, jo overbought condition ko indicate karta hai. Humein sirf lines ke intersect karne ka intezar karna hoga aur neeche face karna hoga, jo ke decline ke continue hone ka matlab hoga To aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ab bhi girne ka potential rakhta hai correction karne ke liye . Reason yeh hai ke NZD/USD ki pichle kuch dino ki increase bohot zyada hai. Plus, candle ab bhi supply area pe 0.6137 ke price pe blocked hai. Jab tak supply area 0.6145 ke price pe penetrate nahi hota, movement ke girne ke chances hain. Is liye, main doston ko jo is pair mein transact karte hain yeh advise karta hoon ke sirf sell positions open karne pe focus karein. Aap target 0.6064 ke area mein set kar sakte hain NZD/USD mein Wednesday ko jo tezi se girawat aayi, woh central bank policies aur market expectations ke currency movements par asar ko highlight karti hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ki dovish stance ne NZD ke liye potential downside risk ko introduce kiya hai, jahan key support levels critical hain pair ke aane wale move ko determine karne ke liye. Traders ko in technical levels aur bank ke future statements ko nazar mein rakhna hoga taake evolving landscape ko samajh sakein

halka sa izafa dekha, lekin ye 0.5900 ke threshold ko paar karne me nakam raha. Ye jahjati is wajah se hai ke investors intizar kar rahe hain aham US inflation data ka. Investors umeed kar rahe hain ke September me Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut karega kyunke US economy me susti ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Ye umeed USD ke recent rally ko thanda kar rahi hai, jo Wednesday ko do hafton ke bulandiyon tak pohanch gaya tha. Bawajood is ke ke US ka Q2 GDP growth umeed se zyada mazboot tha, greenback ka boost limited raha Dusi taraf, NZD ko kai challenges ka samna hai. China ki economy ke slowdown ke concerns risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke New Zealand Dollar, ko affect kar rahe hain. Aur saath hi market expectations ke RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) rate cuts karegi, NZD par bhi bojh daal rahe hain.



NZD/USD pair par focus karne walay traders ke liye key target 0.5942 hai. Is level ko pohanchna sustained upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo ke price increases ka faida uthane ka mauka pesh karta hai. Ulta, agar price 0.5850 se neeche girta hai, to ye traders ke liye purchasing ka signal ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar price movements 0.5893 aur 0.5883 ke levels se zyada ho jati hain 0.5930 ke najdeeki resistance range ko dekhna profit-taking strategies ke liye bohot aham hai. Traders ko in critical levels ke aas paas bohot hoshiyaar rehna chahiye taake apne trading decisions ko optimize kar saken. 0.5942 ke upar price fixation favorable moment ko zahir karta hai ya to existing positions ko add karne ka ya nayi positions initiate karne ka. In guidelines ko follow karte hue aur price movements ko closely dekhte hue, traders NZD/USD currency pair ko zyada accuracy aur confidence ke sath navigate kar sakte hain Ye price fixation suggest karta hai ke market ne ek solid support base establish kar liya hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek behtareen mauka hai existing positions ko add karne ka ya nayi positions initiate karne ka. In conditions ko adhere karte hue aur in key levels ke aas paas price movements ko closely monitor karte hue, traders apni positions ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD currency pair ke trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain. Najdeeki resistance range 0.5930 profit-taking ke liye critical hai, jabke pair ko purchase karne ke signals me 0.5850 se neeche declines shamil hain, saath hi price fixations 0.5893 aur 0.5883 se zyada hain. 0.5942 ka target level traders ke liye ek clear objective hai jo upward movements se faida uthana chahte hain NZD/USD currency pair me. In guidelines ko follow karte hue, traders m

NZDUSD currency pair ka 30-minute chart dekhte hue, maine aik sell position kholi. Profit target ke tor pe maine 0.59815 ka level choose kiya, jo LRMA BB indicator ke lower border se milta hai. Market mein strong selling pressure hai, jo downward trend bana raha hai. Isi liye, current price 0.60119 moving average price 0.60253 se neeche hai. Agar price 0.59815 ke lower border ko tor deta hai, to main sell position close kar dunga aur buy position open karne ka





sochunga, 0.60253 ke middle range tak pullback ka intezar karunga. Lekin agar 0.60253 ka average level tor diya jata hai, to main long position kholne ka faisla karunga aur buy trade ko LRMA BB indicator ke upper limit 0.60691 pe open karunga. Half-hour chart pe, hum dekhte hain ke price horizontal resistance line ki taraf ja raha hai, aur jab price resistance level ko pohanchta hai, to horizontal support line ko target bana kar short position enter ki ja sakti hai. Agar resistance level tor diya jata hai aur price uske upar fix ho jata hai, to instrument pe long position lene ka socha ja sakta hai, agle horizontal resistance line ke target ke sath NZD/USD pair mein ek potential trend reversal ke signs nazar aa rahe hain, jahan momentum indicators jaise ADX, RSI, aur Stochastic ek weakening downtrend aur increasing bullish pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Aage dekhte hue, market participants US economic data, khas tor par weekly jobless claims report ko closely monitor karenge, taake Federal Reserve ke monetary policy path ke baare mein further clues mil sakein. RBNZ ki upcoming rate-setting meeting bhi NZD/USD pair ke liye ek key event hogi.
Overall, NZD/USD pair ek potential upward move ke liye position mein hai, jo ke RBNZ ke hawkish stance aur US dollar ki weakness se support hota hai. Lekin, pair ki ability is momentum ko sustain karne ke liye economic conditions aur geopolitical developments ke evolution par depend karegi.
Main aap sab ko achi mood ki dua deta hoon! Main H1 main channel par selling ka bohot bara fan nahi hoon, lekin is currency pair ke liye aisa ek mauqa hai. Selling ka factor M15 chart par linear regression channel hai. Kyunki channel south ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo sellers ki strength ko emphasize kar raha hai, sellers koshish karenge ke 0.59480 tak move karein, jahan buyers located hain. Channel ke upper edge se 0.60028 par main selling consider karta hoon. Short positions ka breakout growth mein madad karega, jo channel ke opposite direction mein reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Aaj mein NZD/USD currency pair ki price movement ka forecast karunga TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator ka istemal karke. Yeh indicator price fluctuations ko smooth out karta hai aur trends ko analyse karne mein madadgar hota hai. Aakhri analysis ke mutabiq, TMA channel upward trend show kar raha hai, jo ke yeh batata hai ke market mein buyers ka zyada control hai. Yeh upward trend yeh signal karta hai ke buying momentum selling pressure se zyada strong hai, jiska matlab hai ke pair ke liye bullish outlook hai.

Technical Analysis Ka Jaaiza

TMA indicator ka upward slope ek strong indicator hai ke market mein bullish trend chal raha hai. Yeh yeh suggest karta hai ke market ka overall sentiment New Zealand dollar ke haq mein hai, jo ke US dollar ke against gain kar raha hai. Price action jo ke TMA channel ke andar hai, is view ko mazid reinforce karta hai, kyun ke price baar baar channel ki lower boundary pe support le raha hai aur upper boundary ki taraf push kar raha hai. Yeh pattern of higher lows aur upper levels pe consistent resistance market mein buyers ka control dikhata hai.

Downward Corrections

Bullish trend ke bawajood, market mein kuch challenges hain. NZD/USD pair ne kuch downward corrective movements dekhi hain, jo ke kisi bhi trending market mein aam hoti hain. Yeh corrections aksar healthy pullbacks ke taur pe dekhi jaati hain jo market ko consolidate karne ka mauqa deti hain taake phir se upward movement ho sake. Is case mein, corrections itni strong nahi hain ke TMA channel ka upward trend break kar sakein, jo yeh batata hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur yeh pullbacks buying opportunities ke taur pe dekhe jaa sakte hain na ke trend reversal ke signals.





Market Sentiment

Haal ka market sentiment bullish trend ke continuation ke haq mein lagta hai. Upward momentum, jo ke TMA channel se zahir hota hai, yeh batata hai ke market aagay barhne ka rujhan rakhta hai aur buyers kisi bhi significant dip ko defend karne ke liye tayar hain. Yeh combination economic data jo ke New Zealand dollar ke haq mein hai, ya phir technical factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan TMA channel buyers ke liye potential entry points identify karne mein madadgar hai.

Conclusion

Aakhir mein, TMA channel ka upward trend yeh indicate karta hai ke NZD/USD currency pair mein strong bullish sentiment hai. Kabhi kabhi downward corrections hoti hain, lekin yeh ab tak itni significant nahi hain ke overall trend ko disrupt kar sakein. Jab tak price upward-sloping TMA channel ke andar hai, outlook bullish hai aur buyers ka control barqarar rehne ke chances hain. Traders in corrections ko long positions lene ka mauqa samajh sakte hain, jo prevailing trend ke saath aligned hoga.

haftay, New Zealand ki currency ne US dollar ke muqable mein lagataar mazbooti haasil ki hai, November 2023 ke lows se apni recovery ko mazid barhawa diya hai. NZD/USD pair abhi ke liye apne three-week highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke New Zealand ke positive economic data aur US dollar ki kamzori ka nateeja hai. Ek aham factor jo NZD ko support kar raha hai, wo hai Wednesday ko release hone wala better-than-expected employment data. Isne Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai aur New Zealand ki economy mein investor confidence ko mazid mazboot kiya hai. Iske ilawa, China ke stronger-than-anticipated inflation figures ne bhi NZD ko faida diya hai, kyun ke China New Zealand ka ek bara trading partner hai. US dollar par pressure aaya hai kai factors ki wajah se. Thursday ko aane wale strong US labor market report ke bawajood, investors abhi bhi anticipate kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein potential 50 basis point interest rate cut karega. Is expectation ne US Treasury yields ko decline kar diya hai, jis se dollar investors ke liye kam attractive ban gaya hai. Mazeed, overall positive market sentiment ne risk-on assets, jese ke New Zealand dollar, ko favor kiya hai, jab ke safe-haven currencies, jese ke USD, kamzor par gaye hain.






NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index kam ho raha hai, jo ke ek weakening downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Relative Strength Index bhi 50 level ke upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ka ishara ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upward trend kar raha hai, jo ke mazeed upward movement ki possibility ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair ke volatile rehne ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events, jese ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data, ke zariye driven ho sakti hain.

Agar positive momentum jari rehti hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Agar is resistance ke upar successfully break hoti hai, toh ye October 2019 ke low of 0.6198 ki taraf move ka rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments par ghor se nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD exchange

NZD/USD /H1

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, New Zealand/American dollar (NZD/USD) currency pair ke H1 timeframe chart par, mujhe shak hai ke growth resistance level 0.61003 se zyada nahi hogi. Main yeh anticipate karta hoon ke ek potential correction ya consolidation ho sakta hai, jo ke established resistance aur support zones ke beech mein hoga. Yeh scenario favorable prices pe support zone ke andar buying ka mauqa de sakta hai. Lekin yeh abhi sirf ek andaza hai; correction ka hona market ke future movements pe depend karta hai, jo ke hamisha unpredictable hoti hain. Is liye main price action ko closely monitor kar raha hoon bina jaldi faislay kiye.

Jab market overbought conditions tak pohanch jaye, to ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hota hai. Agar hum multiple indicators se clear signal ka intezar karen, to ek successful trade ka chance barh jata hai. Agar NZD/USD pair 0.61005 ki price tak pohanch jata hai daily H4 timeframe chart par aur hamara order trigger ho jata hai, to hum profit dekh sakte hain, provided ke hum apne risks ko effectively manage karen stop-loss aur take-profit orders ke zariye.






Ek disciplined approach ko apnana zaroori hai, taake hum market ke mukhtalif scenarios ko handle karne ke liye tayar hoon, aur aakhir mein consistent aur sustainable profitability ko aim kar sakein. Apne trading plan ko consistently follow karke, clear entry aur exit points set karke, aur risks ko sahi tarah manage karke, hum market ki complexities ko zyada confidence aur precision ke saath navigate kar sakte hain. Yeh systematic approach long-term success hasil karne ke liye bunyadi hai, jo ke multiple indicators ka istemal, realistic objectives ka set karna, aur trade execution mein discipline ko maintain karne ki ahmiyat ko underscore karta hai.

Iss hafta New Zealand ka currency, US dollar ke muqable mein steadily gain kar raha hai, November 2023 ke lows se kaafi achi recovery kar chuka hai. Abhi NZD/USD pair takreeban teen hafton ki highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh recovery New Zealand se aane wale positive economic data aur US dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai. Ek ahem factor jo NZD ko support kar raha hai wo Wednesday ko release hone wala better-than-expected employment data hai. Is se market ki expectations kam hui hain ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate cut karega, aur is ne investors ka confidence New Zealand ki economy mein barhaya hai. Is ke ilawa, China ke stronger-than-expected inflation figures ne bhi NZD ko faida pohanchaya hai, kyun ke China New Zealand ka bara trading partner hai.

US dollar kai factors ki wajah se pressure mein hai. Thursday ko strong US labor market report ke bawajood, investors abhi bhi anticipate kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut karega. Is expectation ki wajah se US Treasury yields mein kami hui hai, jo ke dollar ko investors ke liye kam attractive bana rahi hai. Is ke saath saath, overall market sentiment risk-on assets, jaise ke New Zealand dollar, ko prefer kar raha hai safe-haven currencies, jaise ke USD, ke muqable mein.

NZD/USD pair apni pehli downward trend se potential turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka pata deta hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke ooper jane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ka indication de sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi higher trend kar raha hai, jo ke further upward movement ka support kar raha hai. Agle kuch hafton mein, yeh pair volatile rehne ki umeed hai, aur significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ki wajah se ho sakti hain.







Agar positive momentum continue karta hai, to yeh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jisme 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages shamil hain. Agar is resistance se successful break hota hai, to October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf move ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions rapidly change ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake NZD/USD exchange rate pe potential impacts ko samjha ja sake.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis:

NZD/USD currency pair ne H1 timeframe mein 0.5960 aur 0.5970 ke beech support area level ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin August 16, 2024 ko, trading instrument ne bullish rally ka anubhav kiya, successfully golden cross pattern ko moving average indicators ke saath banaya. Is analysis mein 7-period close exponential aur 14-period close exponential moving averages ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Yeh development Monday ko trading decisions mein madad kar sakta hai.

Potential Trading Scenarios

Golden cross pattern ke formation ke baad aur buyers dwara resistance area level 0.6010 aur 0.6020 ko successfully penetrate karne ke baad, NZD/USD currency pair mein Monday ke liye substantial upside potential hai. Lekin agar newly established resistance area 0.6050 to 0.6040 ko candlestick pattern dwara break out nahi kiya jata hai, to price correction ki possibility bhi hai. Is liye, Monday ke trading session mein NZD/USD currency pair mein do potential scenarios surface kar sakte hain:

Buy Order

Buy order tabhi place ki ja sakti hai jab resistance area level 0.6050 to 0.6040 ko bullish trend candlestick pattern dwara successfully break out kiya jata hai.

Sell Order

Conversely, agar bearish reversal trend candlestick pattern resistance area level par forma hota hai, to sell order place ki ja sakti hai.

Buy Limit Order

Buy limit order RBS area (Resistance Becomes Support) par place ki ja sakti hai, jo 0.6010 to 0.6000 ke qareeb hai.

Current Market Sentiment

Currently, NZD/USD ki price apni bullish movement ko jari rakh rahi hai aur MA 100 (Blue area) ke upar cross ho gayi hai. Friday ke trading session mein, buyers ne price ko higher push karne ki koshish ki, MA 50 (Red area) ko break out karne ke liye, upcoming target ki taraf further bullish opportunities ko kholne ke liye. Solid bullish candlestick pattern ki formation buyers ke liye substantial opportunity provide karti hai. Agar successful hota hai, to NZD/USD pair ki price aur strengthen ho sakti hai, next seller's supply resistance area ki taraf targets ko set karne ke liye