نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

H-4 Timeframe Analysis

NZD/USD jora pichle haftay ki resistance ke qareeb barhna rok gaya. Umeedain aab pastar taraf hai. Currency pair traders Bank of NEW ZEALAND ke interest rate decision ka intezaar kar rahe hain. NZD/USD ne din ko kuch niche shuru kiya, jab uski izafa last week ki resistance ke qareeb ruk gayi thi, jo 0.5993 par thi. Khaas tor par, traders Bank of NEW ZEALAND ke interest rate decision ka intezaar kar rahe hain. 0.5990 level July se October ki upar ki taraf rukhne ki 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke sath milta hai, jo ek pullback ko mumkin banata hai. Overbought halaat se phir se chadhne ke bawajood, RSI abhi tak 50 equillibrium level se upar nahi utha hai, aur MACD levels laal signal line ke neeche hain, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ke nazdeeki muddat ki bharakari abhi shuru nahi hui hai.

Saral 20- aur 50-day moving averages aur 2020 ke unchayiyo se draw ki gayi ek descending trendline 0.60410 mark ke kareeb kisi bhi upside ko rok sakti hai. Agar buyers in rukawaton ko paar kar sakein, to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6137 aur 0.62750 compression zone advance ko rok sakte hain, taake taqatwar karkardagi ko taal sakte hain, jo 0.63840 aur 0.64870 areas ki taraf tezi se hamla karte hain.



Daily Timeframe Analysis

Ek downside correction sab se pehle 200-day moving average aur 0.58494 ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Agar sellers yahan apna dabav mazboot karen, toh prices 0.5742 limit line ki taraf gir sakti hain jo November se held hai, ya phir 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at.0.56400. Mazeed nuqsanat ki sambhavna hai ke pair 2024 ki up trend line ko test kare jo 0.6300 area mein hai. Mukhtasir tor par, jab NZD/USD ne is haftay mein apne kuch izafaat ko kam kar liya hai, to NZD/USD ke liye downside risks abhi khatam nahi hue hain. Ek mustaqil ralley ka istiqamat 0.6200 aur 0.6250 resistance zones ke upar shayad zaroori ho ga takay bullish outlook ko palat diya ja sake. Yeh raat neeche di gayi chart hai:

NZD/USD Ke Price Activity Ka Samajh

Hum NZD/USD currency pair ke mojooda qeemat ka tajziyah karte hain. Is currency pair mein izafa, halankeh dhimi raftar se, jaari hai. Be shak, America dollar ki kamzori is mein ahem kirdaar ada karti hai, lekin ye yeh haqeeqat hai ke yeh lambay arse tak barkarar na rahe. Mojudah maahol mein, 0.5945 tak izafa kafi waqaiyat nazar aata hai, aur agar khareedne wale mazeed bulandiyon par qadam jama sakte hain, to agla maqsood darja 0.6000 ka ho ga. Agar achanak American dollar phir se mazboot hone lagta hai, to sab se ahem baat ye hai ke 0.5850 ke neeche bechnay walon ko majboor na kiya jaye, kyunkeh is surat mein 0.5800 tak utarna mumkin ho jaye ga, lekin is waqt mein mein ye soch raha hoon ke ye option ek mutabaadil hai. Kal, NZD/USD pair ke khareedne wale qeemat par dabaav ko dhaalte hue, aur agle izafa ke nateeje mein, hum ne maqsood darja 0.5910 tak pohanchne mein kamyabi haasil ki, jis ke baad ek chhota sa imtehaan kiya gaya. Volume is mukammal amal ke doran istarha se barhte gaye aur kaafi buland qeemat par rahay, jo ke mazeed bade khareedne wale ke dakhilay ko darust karta hai, aur is ka natija ye hai ke New Zealand dollar ke mazboot ho janne ke liye bohot achay imkanat khul jate hain, khaas taur par jab humein pair mein dastiyab rukh ki tajziyah ki zarurat hai. Ek neeche ki rukh se ooper ki rukh par tabdeeli ke saath, NZD/USD pair par lamba jana munafa deh hogaya hai.

Khareedne Ke Liye Signals

Mausam ke tajziyah mein, NZD/USD pair par lamba jaana behtareen hai, aur maine khareedne ke signals ko highlight kiya hai. Yeh hain:

1. AO histogram ta'aluqati soorat mein chhod diya hai aur musbat sarhad mein dakhil ho raha hai.
2. Demark oscillator ki rekha ek uttar ki taraf daudi ja rahi hai.

Qeemat ka izafa 0.6009 ke dar se guzarnay par ta'aluk hai. Qeemat kam az kam nisf fasla tay karegi, aur agar khula hua long position munafa deh ho jaye, to samajhdaar faisla hoga ke stop loss ko break even par laaya jaaye. Main New Zealand dollar-American dollar pair ko ghanton ke chart par dekh raha hoon.

Trading Ki Halat Mein

America ki mahangai ke data ke baad, pair girne laga. Is ne 0.5861 ke darja tak pohancha, aur is level se khareedne ke hadood shuru ho gaye. Khareedar ne volume ikattha karna shuru kiya; pair 0.5891 ke darajat par gaya, lekin darajat par gaya bhi jab ke bechnay walon ne volume ikattha kiya. Lagta tha ke sab kuch nichle girne ke jaari honay ka faida le raha hai, lekin hum dekhte hain ke ye hadood naye ho gaye aur khareedar phir se volume ikattha karne laga. Halankeh volume chhota hai, lekin woh mojood hai, aur pair izafa jaari rakhta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye pair ab bhi uttar ki taraf palat gaya hai, aur pair 0.6063 tak izafa karega.

New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, New Zealand dollar ne apne decline ko jari rakha jo ek din pehle shuru hua tha aur localize hua. 0.5995 level area ko rokne aur upar lautne ki koshish nakam rahi aur price ne tezi se neeche ki aur chal di, 0.5921 level ko tod kar aur 0.5845 level ki taraf jaari rahi. Is natije mein, development expectations poore nahi hue. Isi doraan, price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo bechne wale ki control ko dikhata hai.

Technical taur par, price kuch pips ke saath ek bullish direction mein badha hai, berozgaar data ke zariye. Yeh data USD index ko aur nicha le gaya jisse gold aur doosre pairs mein izafa hua. Neeche diye gaye timeframe mein, hamara target 0.5650 tak ke liye ek bearish direction mein hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh hamara target 0.5500 tak badh jaayega. Ek bullish scenario ke liye, hamara target 0.5930 hai, aur agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh 0.6120 tak badh jaayega. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi kafi nicha hai, haftay ke hilchul se door ja raha hai jo haal hi mein reach kiya tha. Mukhya support area ant mein tod kar uchaala gaya, jo favored vector ko niche ki taraf shift karne ki zaroorat ko dikhata hai. Quotes ab is current price area mein dakhil ho gaye hain, decline ko jaari rakhne ke liye. Lekin, hum 0.5995 level tak aur ek further correction ko exclude nahi kar sakte, jo abhi ki taraf mukhya resistance area ko border karta hai. Is level ko dobara test karna aur phir se rebound, downward trend ko jaari rakhne ka mauka dega, jiska target hoga 0.5804 aur 0.5734 ke beech ke area ko.

Agar resistance toot jati hai aur price 0.6048 reversal level ko tod deti hai, toh current situation ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ka US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf mizaaj mixed hai, jis ka ab mukhtalif signals hai, mojooda bazar 0.5919 par trading kar raha hai, paanch mahine ka low se 0.60% ke aik rebound ke baad. Yeh izafa teen dinon ke nuqsaan ke baad hai, jo analysts ko future direction ke bare mein mashwara dene mein na-qabil e aitbaar chhodta hai. Aik taraf, technical indicators ek mogheeq tanasub ko numaya kar rahe hain. Ghantay ke chart ke RSI comfortable tor par 50 ke oopar hai, kharidari ke momentum ko darust karti hai, aur MACD histogram ek haree bar dikhata hai, jo is khayal ko mazeed taeed deta hai. Yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh aik nishaan hai ke chand dino ke buyers dobara bazar mein dakhil ho rahe hain. Magar, bara tasweer abhi bhi bearish hai. Daily RSI abhi bhi manfi medan mein hai, aur MACD aik bearish surkhi bar dikhata hai, jo musalsal kamzori ko numaya karta hai. Mazeed isay, NZD/USD tamaam ahem SMAs (20 din, 100 din, aur 200 din) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jisse lambay arsay ka downtrend zahir hota hai. In levels ke neeche kisi bhi tod ko aik tasdeeq shuda kharid sinyal ke tor par nahi dekha jana chahiye.

Situation ko aur bhi mushkil bana dete hue, foran resistance 0.5940 par hai, jise 20 din ka SMA 0.5980 ke baad follow karta hai. Agar kharidari dabao jari rahe, to yeh levels upar ki raftar ko rok sakte hain. In points ko paar karne se 50 din aur 200 din ke SMAs ko jo 0.6050 aur 0.6065 ke qareeb bandh gaye hain, aik imtehaan ka markaz bhi ban sakte hain, jo medium-term downtrend line ke sath milta hai. Dosri taraf, haal hilake maqam par 0.5858 ke nedai nahi girne se, mazeed zyada girawat ka aghaz ho sakta hai agle support level 0.5770 tak, jo pehli martaba October 2023 mein dekha gaya tha. Ikhtitami tor par, NZD/USD ek mufassil taur par hota hai. Jab ke chand dino ke technical indicators ko aik mumkin bounce ka ishaara hai, mukhtalif trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Aanay waale qeemat ka amal taeed dena mein nihayat ahem hoga ke mughal zaroorat hai, ya agar bears bazar ko aage guzarna jaari rakhte hain.

Pichli hafte se bechon ka dab dabaai rahi. Dekhte hain agle haftay mein dakshin ki taraf ka rukh jaari rahega ya agar humein koi aur option milti hai, main isey samajhne ki koshish karunga. Aane wale haftay ke liye jod-tod ki takhmeen par charcha karte hain. Moving averages - active bechna, technical indicators - active bechna, nateeja - active bechna. Yehan ek technical analysis humein agle haftay ke liye jodi se jhuki hui gati ka sujhav deta hai. Aane wale haftay mein pair par ehmiyatnak khabrein jaari ki ja rahi hain, jiski tawaqqu mei is waqt nakis hai. Thursday ko 15:30 baje, ek series ki ahmiyatnak khabron ki tawaqquq hai, jiska sujhav nakis hai. New Zealand se koi bhi ahmiyatnak khabar kam hai, tawaqquq zyada tar ke liye hai. New Zealand consumer price index Wednesday ko 01:45 baje ki tawaqquq hai, jiska sujhav musbat hai.

Aane wale haftay ke liye, main umeed karta hoon ke dakshin ki taraf ka rukh jaari rahega. Main tasalli deta hoon ke pair ke liye ek surachit trading plan hai. Pehle to, taa ke mukhtalif raastay (khareed ya bech) mein ghalti na ho, ek chart ko 4 ghanton ka waqtfram se khol kar haliat ka jaiza lete hain. Hum mehsoos karte hain ke aaj bazaar humein munfarid moqa deta hai chhote faiyaz (transaction) karna ke liye, kyun ke bikri karne walon ka dabaav wazan ho raha hai. HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka istemal kar ke, hum H1 waqtfram par ek dabe hue sentiment ko dekhte hain. Dono indicators laal rang mein hain, jo ke bechne walon ki qabz mein zyada hai. Is tarah, hum ek bechnay ki tehqeeqat shuru karte hain. Hamara nikalne ka mansooba magnetic levels indicator ke saath hoga, jahan par kaam karne ke liye maqsood leval filhaal 0.58873 hai. Is ke baad, hum daamun ka andaza lagayen ge aur faisla karenge ke hum apni hesiyat ko barqarar rakhte hain ya bazaar ke muashrat ke aadhar par munafa hasil karte hain.

NZDUSD
Shukriya! Aap ka tajwez dene ke liye. Naye zealand dollar/American dollar jodi sach mein ek niche ki taraf ke trend ka izhar kar rahi hai, jahan bechne walay halqaat mein mukhtalif siyaraat se zyada numaya hain. Qeemat support ke darj se kam gir gayi hai, iska matlab hai ke mazeed nichlay raftaar ke liye mumkin hai. Mazeed is per ghoor karna behtar hoga ke abhi ke qeemat 0.60773 ki sab se zyada qeemat pehle 0.62112 ki sab se zyada qeemat se kam hai, ek aise harkat ko buniyad ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai ke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar jodi ek nichlay raaste ka samna kar rahi hai toh samay hai bechnay ke mauqe dhoondne ka.
Waqtan fawaqtan, Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat abhi niche ke Bollinger Bands ke aas paas hai, isliye samay hai ke bechnay ke mauqe ki taraf badhein jahan tak ke darmiyani Bollinger Bands tak. Qeemat ki numaya aur mustaqil girawat Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki keemat ko stochastic oscillator ke level 20 se neeche le gayi hai, isliye samay hai ke level 80 tak barh jaye. Bollinger Bands indicator aur stochastic oscillator ka istemal karke dekhte hue, Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat ek sudharnaati qeemat tak barh sakti hai qareebi mustaqbil mein.
Tajwez ke natijay mein, Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar jodi trend ke mutabiq neeche ki taraf harkat karegi. Halankeh aap yakeen rakhte hain ke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat kamzor hogi, toh foran ek farokht ka amal na karen. Sabar rakhein aur intezaar karein ke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat sahi keemat tak barh jaye. Farokht tab ki ja sakti hai agar ek bearish pin bar ya engulfing candle ki tasdeeq ho jismein candle ka jism pinch candle ke neeche ho, jiske qeemat nuqsaan ki had 0.60092 pinch candle ke oopar ho aur faida qeemat 0.58517 bunyadi darkhwast ke oopar ho. Agar Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat pinch candle se zyada barh jaye, toh farokht ka signal khatam ho gaya hai kyunke trend ki taraf palat gaya hai.

Agar Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat foran neeche gir jaye pinch candle tak pohnchne se pehle, toh apne aap ko farokht karne par majboor na karen kyunke yeh takneeki shorat ko pura nahi karta. Amal ke liye ek pending kharid farokht ke order ki keemat 0.58517 bunyadi darkhwast ke oopar rakhi ja sakti hai kyunke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat pehle se hi oversold hai, nuqsaan ki had 0.57837 bunyadi darkhwast ke neeche aur faida 0.59639 pinch candle ke neeche rakha ja saktShukriya! Aap ka tajwez dene ke liye. Naye zealand dollar/American dollar jodi sach mein ek niche ki taraf ke trend ka izhar kar rahi hai, jahan bechne walay halqaat mein mukhtalif siyaraat se zyada numaya hain. Qeemat support ke darj se kam gir gayi hai, iska matlab hai ke mazeed nichlay raftaar ke liye mumkin hai. Mazeed is per ghoor karna behtar hoga ke abhi ke qeemat 0.60773 ki sab se zyada qeemat pehle 0.62112 ki sab se zyada qeemat se kam hai, ek aise harkat ko buniyad ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai ke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar jodi ek nichlay raaste ka samna kar rahi hai toh samay hai bechnay ke mauqe dhoondne ka.

Waqtan fawaqtan, Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat abhi niche ke Bollinger Bands ke aas paas hai, isliye samay hai ke bechnay ke mauqe ki taraf badhein jahan tak ke darmiyani Bollinger Bands tak. Qeemat ki numaya aur mustaqil girawat Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki keemat ko stochastic oscillator ke level 20 se neeche le gayi hai, isliye samay hai ke level 80 tak barh jaye. Bollinger Bands indicator aur stochastic oscillator ka istemal karke dekhte hue, Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat ek sudharnaati qeemat tak barh sakti hai qareebi mustaqbil mein.
Tajwez ke natijay mein, Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar jodi trend ke mutabiq neeche ki taraf harkat karegi. Halankeh aap yakeen rakhte hain ke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat kamzor hogi, toh foran ek farokht ka amal na karen. Sabar rakhein aur intezaar karein ke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat sahi keemat tak barh jaye. Farokht tab ki ja sakti hai agar ek bearish pin bar ya engulfing candle ki tasdeeq ho jismein candle ka jism pinch candle ke neeche ho, jiske qeemat nuqsaan ki had 0.60092 pinch candle ke oopar ho aur faida qeemat 0.58517 bunyadi darkhwast ke oopar ho. Agar Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat pinch candle se zyada barh jaye, toh farokht ka signal khatam ho gaya hai kyunke trend ki taraf palat gaya hai.

Agar Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat foran neeche gir jaye pinch candle tak pohnchne se pehle, toh apne aap ko farokht karne par majboor na karen kyunke yeh takneeki shorat ko pura nahi karta. Amal ke liye ek pending kharid farokht ke order ki keemat 0.58517 bunyadi darkhwast ke oopar rakhi ja sakti hai kyunke Naye Zeeland Dollar/American Dollar ki qeemat pehle se hi oversold hai, nuqsaan ki had 0.57837 bunyadi darkhwast ke neeche aur faida 0.59639 pinch candle ke neeche rakha ja sakt

NZDUSD market ka maazi halat ko ta'anal kiya ja raha hai jis mein aaj ka market price 0.59685 ko kal ke price ke muqablay mein jahil kiya ja raha hai, jab ek Fibonacci grid qaaim kiya gaya tha. Uchch samet Fibonacci level 100% (0.60009) aur low Fibonacci 0% (0.59532) ke saath milakar, quotes ko 0% (0.59532) se lekar 50% (0.59770) tak ke range mein dekha ja raha hai. Khaas tor par, is range mein mazboot technical levels 23.6% (0.59645) aur 38.2% (0.59714) pehchana gaya hai, jo 50% level (0.59770) ke saath ek mumkin bechne ka dakhilah nukta ke roop mein kaam kar sakte hain. Sabhi levels ka istemaal grid trading method ko lagoo karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Doosri taraf, traders 50% level (0.59770) tak ek pullback ka intizaar kar sakte hain aur standard lot ke saath dakhil ho sakte hain, bina position ko taqseem kiye. Magar, 50% level (0.59770) ke upar bechnay ke maamlay mein khaas tawajjo di jati hai, khaaskar bechne ki range ke andar. 50% level (0.59770) se guzarnay ke baad ek palatkar se kharidne ki ijaazat hai. Farokhten Fibonacci levels -23.6% (0.59419) aur -38.2% (0.59350) tak jari rakhi jati hain, jahan par positions mukammal ya juzvi tor par band ki jati hain. Ye zone keemat ki thakawat ka aik nishaan hai, jo aik palatkar ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Aam tor par, is zone mein dainik jhoolav dekha jata hai, jise aksar ek palatkar ke sath follow kiya jata hai.
Halki daak se guftagu ke mutabiq, NZDUSD market ka ta'anal Fibonacci levels ki tafseelati tawajjo ki zaroorat hoti hai taake potential dakhil aur kharij nuktaon ko pehchana ja sake. Pichle sessions se tay kiye gaye Fibonacci grid ke saath mojooda market price ko milakar, traders ko support aur resistance ke klidi darajat pehchana sakte hain. Mazboot technical levels, jaise 23.6% aur 38.2%, trading faislon ke liye mazeed tasdeeq faraham karte hain range ke andar pehchay gaye. Magar, traders ko ihtiyat bartna chahiye, khaaskar 50% level ke upar bechne ke maamlay mein, aur market Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb pahunchta hai to mukhalif gardishon ke liye chaukanna rahna chahiye. In usoolon ka paalan karke aur market ke shara'it par tabdeeliyon ka jawab dete hue, traders NZDUSD market mein asar andaz ho sakte hain aur trading ke mauqe ko faida utha sakte hain.

NZD/USD pair, neeche ja rahi trend channel TF-H4 ke upper border ke qareeb pohanchte hue, jis se bounce kiya, upper trend channel TF-H1 ke lower border ke qareeb pohanch gaya, jo ke toota, ek triangular figure ke expanding pattern mein dakhil hua aur neeche ke edge tak pohanch gaya, jis ke saath move kiya, upper time frame ke channel ke lower border ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai, support zone of 0.5937-0.5929 tak pohanch gaya hai, jis ke neeche consolidation hamain neeche ke movement ko jari rakhne ki mumaaniyat deti hai volume zone of 0.5897-0.5884 ke taraf, aur tested zone se rebound hamain zone resistance 0.5960-0.5969 ke taraf barhne ki mumaaniyat deti hai, jis ke saath oblique level aur expanding triangular figure pattern ke upper edge se guzarti hai.


Main currency pair/instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par tajwez ka istemal karke paisa kamane ka sujhav deta hoon. Is ke liye, hum ek transaction mein shamil hone ka behtareen dakhil karne ki koshish karenge taake woh humein acha munafa de. Sab se pehle, priority direction (khareedne ya bechna ke liye khula hona) mein ghalti na karen ke liye, chalo ek chart kholein jis ka 4 ghanton ka time frame hai aur mojooda trend ko check karein. Hum yakeen rakhte hain ke aaj bazaar humein short transactions khatam karne ka acha moqa deta hai, kyun ke selleron ki taqat mojooda waqt mein khaas tor par khareedo ki potential capabilities ko maat de rahi hai. Hum apne kaam mein HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka istemal karte hain. Hama indicator aur RSI Trend ke mutabiq H1 timeframe par, hum bhi ek bearish mood dekhte hain - dono indicators laal rang ke hain, jo ke selleron ki predominant strength ko darust karte hain. Is liye, hum be fikr ek sell transaction kholte hain. Hum position ko magnetic levels indicator ka istemal karke band karenge. Is waqt, kaam karne ke liye mukammal level 0.58873 hai. Phir hum chart ko dekhenge aur keemat ke movement ki fitrat ke mutabiq faisla karenge, kya hum position ko market mein jari rakhne ke liye jari rakhein ya pehle se hi hasil kiya gaya munafa bandhne ke liye. Zyada mumkin munafa hasil karne ke liye, aap ek Trailing stop ko jod sakte hain (trailing stop order, trailing), jis se pehle se zyada tar position ko bandh kar diya gaya ho, aur bache hue hisse ko breakeven par transfer kiya gaya ho.

NZD/USD pair mein, teesri lehar ban rahi hai, aur abhi keemat pehle resistance level tak pohanch chuki hai jo 0.5917 hai. Is se ooper nikalne se keemat aham level 0.59514 ke qareeb aa jayegi. Jab tak keemat nichle girtay hue channel mein rehti hai, toh dobara girawat par farokht munasib lagta hai. Pooray din mein kisi bhi naye maamlat ka asar aqalmandi se kam hai, lekin shaam ke akhbaar mojooda halat ko tabdeel kar sakte hain. Support level haftawar ki kam se kam had tak 0.5855 hai, agar is se neeche gir jaye toh keemat channel ki hudood se bahar chali jayegi, nichlay trend ko mazeed mazboot karke. Mojud waqt mein NZD/USD chart mein izhar shuda bearish trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke abhi ke maahol mein aise hi market situation mein natural hai ke moqfiyon se wapas aur phir keemat ki kami hogi. Is mansoobe ke mutabiq, agar abhi keemat mazeed barhti hai, toh asal muqami se hum 0.5939 tak pohanch sakte hain, aur phir is halat mein hum 0.5908 ke level tak ja sakte hain. Agar yeh sach hai aur aise halat mein NZD/USD level 0.5908 keemat ko nicha nahi jaane deta, toh is halat mein aur is mansoobe ke mutabiq, 0.5908 ke level se is jodi ki keemat izafa kar sakti hai, jo ke 0.5981 par maujood maqvi rupyon ke sath hai, jahan is halat mein hum intehai nafiz tor par neeche ja sakte hain 0.5886 ke ikhtraqi ilaqe mein

NZDUSD market ka ta'anal Fibonacci levels ki tafseelati tawajjo ki zaroorat hoti hai taake potential dakhil aur kharij nuktaon ko pehchana ja sake. Pichle sessions se tay kiye gaye Fibonacci grid ke saath mojooda market price ko milakar, traders ko support aur resistance ke klidi darajat pehchana sakte hain. Mazboot technical levels, jaise 23.6% aur 38.2%, trading faislon ke liye mazeed tasdeeq faraham karte hain range ke andar pehchay gaye. Magar, traders ko ihtiyat bartna chahiye, khaaskar 50% level ke upar bechne ke maamlay mein, aur market Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb pahunchta hai to mukhalif gardishon ke liye chaukanna rahna chahiye.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Middle East mein barhtay hue siyasi tensions ke darmiyan US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf jaddojahad kar raha hai. Filhal, NZD/USD joda taqreeban 0.5880 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, jo ek risk se mehroom mahol se dabaav ko zahir karta hai. Karobarion ka USD ki tarah safe-haven assests ki taraf rujhan barh raha hai buland uncertainty ki wajah se, khas tor par Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan tez hone wale tensions se mutaliq. Is surat-e-haal ke peechay ki manzar ko mazeed taqat di ja rahi hai jab US Dollar Index (DXY) apne buland tareen lehaz tak pohanch gaya hai November 2023 ke baad, jis ki mojoodgi ab 106.20 ke ooper hai.
Yeh index, jo USD ki qeemat ko aham currency basket ke muqablay mein naapta hai, jab USD ko pasand kiya jata hai to mazboot hota hai. Israeli action ke liye hal hil mein mawafiqat milna aik US intelligence briefing se mila, jismein Israel ne agle do dinon ke andar strike karne ka irada zahir kiya, jahan tak ke Iranian nuclear facilities ko targets se bahar rehne diya gaya. Rukawaton ke lehaaz se, NZD/USD ka foran rukawat 0.5940 par mojood hai, jo ke 20 din ka Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.5980 ke baad aata hai. Mazeed oopar jaane mein 200 din ka SMA 0.6050 aur 50 din ka SMA 0.6065 se takraav ka samna ho sakta hai, jo ke darmiyan-term downtrend line ke nazdeek hai. Mukhalif taur par, 0.5858 ke paanch mahine ke low ko toorna neeche jaane se agle support level 0.5770 tak mazeed girawat ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke October 2023 mein dekha gaya tha. Door se dekhtay hue, NZD/USD ka bara trend late December se neeche ki taraf raha hai, jahan jodi abhi khatarnak 0.5770 level ke ooper khatra mein palti hui hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) United States Dollar (USD) ke khilaf barhti hui aab-o-hawaon ka samna kar raha hai beech mein darmiyanat dar arzoo ke doran Middle East mein izafi siyasi tanazaat ke darmiyan. Filhal, NZD/USD jori kareeb 0.5880 ke ird gird karobar kar rahi hai, jo ek khatarnak mahol se dabi dhaar ko afsos karta hai. Investors mehfooz havale maal jese USD ki taraf rawana ho rahe hain barhne wali ghair-yakeeni ke bais, khaaskar Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan tez honay wale tanazaat ke zyada unchi hui yaqeeni ke wajah se. Is haalaat ka manzar ko US Dollar Index (DXY) ne 2023 ke November se naye buland darjah tak qareeb pohanchne ke sath zyada mehsoos kiya, jo ke ab 106.20 ke ooper hai. Ye index, jo ke USD ke ayyam-e-maqool ke khilaaf keemti currency ke ek tokri ke khilaf qeemat ko napta hai, jab USD pasand ki jaati hai to majboot hota hai. Haal hi mein Israel ki mumkin action ke liye ek US intelligence briefing ne Biden administration ko ek dhakka diya, jisme Israel ne apne iradon ko agle do din ke andar hamla karne ka ailaan kiya, jahan tak ke Iranian nuclear moain facilities ko maqsood se kharij kar diya gaya.

Halankeh haal hi mein 3 dinon ki giravat ke bawajood jo NZD/USD jodi ne 0.5858 tak pohanchte hue paanch maheenon ka naya record qaim kiya, wahaan se technical indicators ki taraf se ek mumkin bullish tezabi ishaara mil raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke qareeb ek ooper ki rah par hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator ek bullish crossover dikhata hai, jo ke yeh ishaara deta hai ke jori zyada bechni hui hai aur ek rebound ke liye tayar hai.

NZD/USD ke liye rukawat ke starat mein, foran ka rukawat 0.5940 par hai, jo ke 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke baad aata hai, jo 0.5980 par hai. Mazeed bulandi ki taraf chalne ki koshish ko 200-day SMA 0.6050 aur 50-day SMA 0.6065 se mushkilat ka samna karna parega, jo medium-term downtrend line ke qareeb mojood hai. Mukhtalif, paanch maheenon ka naya record 0.5858 ke neeche girne ke duran aik mazeed giravat ko daakhil kar sakta hai aglay support level tak jo ke 0.5770 par hai, jo 2023 ke October mein pehli baar dekha gaya tha. Baahar zoom karte hue, NZD/USD ka barha hua trend December ke akhir se neeche ki taraf raha hai, jori filhal sirf 0.5770 ke darwaze ke ooper mojood hai.

Jabke technical indicators aik short-term rebound ke liye mumkinah hoti hain, lekin overall jazbaat aur musalsal downtrend NZD par qareeb mustaqbil mein boj dalne ke liye jari rahenge. Taqatwar siyasi manzar aur iska asar e rishwat par aane wala khatra mustaqbil ke dinon mein NZD/USD jodi ke raaste ka raasta tay karnay wale aham factors honge.

Apki tajziya ke mutabiq, halat toh behtareen hain magar trading ke liye mein aise chhotay time intervals ko nahi dekhta, siwaye jab main market mein dakhil hone ke liye entry point dhoond raha hota hoon, ya jab mein market ki halat ko tasdeeq karne ke liye munasib lamha dhoond raha hota hoon. Mojooda keemat NZD/USD currency pair ke liye 0.5978 hai aur agar hum chaar ghanton ke chart par instrument ko dekhte hain, toh hum saaf dekh sakte hain ke instrument middle aur lower Bollinger moving average lines ke darmiyan lower price range mein move kar raha hai, jo southern trend ke imkanat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mere liye agla kaam karne ka area 0.5954 support level hai, jo hum agle kaam ke hafte mein dekh sakte hain kyun ke main umeed karta hoon ke US dollar mazboot hoga. NZD/USD Daily timeframe mein mein D1 waqt chhart par dobara dekhne ki tajweez karta hoon. Pichli trading hafte mostly down thi, jaise ki umeed thi. Ab ek mandi ka tanasub banne ki bulandi hai, kyun ke aap third wave ko structure mein dekh sakte hain. Yani, bade waqt ke third wave mein chote waqt ki third wave. Agar pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid ko laya jaaye, toh target nazar aata hai - level 161.8 ke hisab se target Fibonacci grid, mojooda keemat se 120 points door, ek achhi doori, jo ke meri raay mein jald hi paar ki jaayegi. Is mandi mein giravat ko pehchante hue, ek giravat pattern bhi dekha ja sakta hai - ek descending triangle, jiska base level pehle se tora gaya level 0.6035 hai. Giravat se pehle, ek mushahida kar sakte hain area ke beech 0.6035 aur 6080, yeh is liye kyun ke chaar ghanton ke MACD indicator par bullish divergence hai. Yeh option bhi kafi mumkin hai, magar mein kharidari ka irada nahi kar raha, kyun ke wave structure ne niche ki taraf ban gaya hai, aur is ke khilaf dakhil hona behtar nahi hai. Mojudah halat mein, meri raay mein umeedon ke chances kaafi kam hain. Doosre alliance pairs zyada giravat ki taraf nazar aate hain, jaise Euro-Dollar aur Pound-Dollar, aur giravat ke aur giravat ka samna hai, chaar ghanton ke chart par ek giravat trend hai, Aussie ke liye tasveer bhi zyada nichli hai, chaar ghanton ke chart par sirf ek third se third hai. Chaar ghanton ke chart par jo divergence hai, uska masla yeh hai ke keemat ko kisi pe bharosa nahi hai; Aam tor par divergence tab kaam karta hai jab usay ek achhi line ya ek achi horizontal level ke saath support milta hai. Mujhe yeh yahan nahi nazar aata, aur shayad yahan koi umeed nahi hai, magar phir bhi nishchit maqsad tak pohanchne ka amal jari rahega.

(NZDUSD)

New Zealand dollar versus the US dollar (NZDUSD) jodi abhi 0.6261 par trade ho rahi hai. Rozana ki takniki tafseeli tajziya dekhte hue, jodi kuch dino se ikhtetaam fazayein guzari hai 0.6050 ke support level se uchch rally ke baad. Keemat 0.6200 ke qareeb ke ahem support aur 0.6300 ke resistance ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai. 50 din ka moving average mojooda mein 0.6180 ke qareeb hai aur support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. 100 din ka moving average 0.6120 par hai. Keemat ne haal hi mein dono ahem moving averages ko tor kar upar chadha, jo qareebi muddat mein bullish signal hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) mojooda mein 57 par hai jo dikhata hai ke mazeed upar ke liye abhi jagah hai pehle overbought shorat se. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram haal hi mein musbat ho gaya hai aur signal line ke oopar barhta ja raha hai, jo ke mazboot bullish momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Upar ki taraf, agar keemat 0.6300 ke resistance ko tor sake, to ye 0.6400 baray nafsiyati level ko dobara test karne ka raasta kholta hai. 0.6400 ke level ki qeemat peechle bara downswing ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke saath milta hai. Agar bullish tor par 0.6400 ke paar kar sake, to ye qareebi muddat ki trend ko bullish kar dega aur 0.6500 level ko markaz mein laayega.

Niche ki taraf, support 0.6200 aur 0.6100 par hai. Agar bear keemat mein dakhil ho jaaye aur keemat 0.6100 ke neeche chale jaaye, to ye qareebi muddat ki trend ko mita dega. 0.6100 ke neeche agle ahem support ke neeche 0.6000 nafsiyati level aur 0.5985 ke qareeb 200 din ka moving average hai.

Mukammal tor par, takniki manzar NZDUSD ke liye mazeed upar ki taraf hai jab tak keemat 0.6100 support ke neeche qaim hai. Agar keemat 0.6300 resistance ke oopar daily band hoti hai, to ye upar ki taraf ki trend ko tasdeeq karegi aur 0.6500 area ki taraf ek manzil kholegi. Karobari log support ke dobara test ya resistance ke oopar torne ki talaash kar sakte hain. Stops ko 0.6100 ke neeche ya 0.6180 ke qareeb 50 din ke MA ke band hone par rakh sakte hain. Jodi ko overall risk sentiment ke liye khatarnak rehne ka mamla hai, isliye geopolitics, central bank policy, aur global growth ke ird gird hone wale tajziyat aham drivers banne jari rahenge.

Keemat phir se tezi se gir gayi aur 0.5896 zone tak pohanch gayi hai. NZD/USD ke buyers ke liye yeh behtar manzar nahi hai. Isliye, humain saavdhaani se trading karni chahiye kyun ke market ek support area mein hai. Is ke ilawa, trading hoshyari se ek ehtiyaat angithi ka amal kehte hain jo istiqamat, risk management, aur tabdeeli-pasandi se mushahida hai. In asoolon ka paalan karke, traders aaj ke market mein khud ko pur-aitmaad taur par samjhte hue ghoom sakte hain, aaj ke mizaaj ke badalte imkano ko jaante hue, aur aane wale mouqe par fayda uthane ke liye tayar rahe sakte hain. NZD/USD ke case mein, humein market ke jazbat ko samajhne ke liye chhote time frames ka istemaal karna chahiye. Aaj, maaliyat ke shor o gil ki bhag daud ke darmiyan, buyers pehle ki trading session mein mazbooti se qayam kiye gaye resistance zone ko himmat se muqabla kar rahe hain. Resistance ko torne ki ye maamooli koshish market ke participants ki iraday ko darust karta hai ke wo rukawaton ko paar karna aur potential munafa ke mouqe dhoondhna chahte hain. Jab ke ek aur trading hafta khatam hota hai, aaj ek khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo ke traders ke liye maujooda market ke jazbat ko durusti aur agahi ke saath jaanchne ka aakhri mouqa hai. Ye waqt investors aur speculators ke liye aham lamha hai ke wo market dynamics ko shakal dene wale trends, patterns, aur indicators ko jaanch sakte hain, jisse unki faisley karne ki quwwat par asar par sakta hai. Aakhir mein, NZD/USD market daily high zone 0.5932 ke baad guzregi. Jabke, traders ko naye data aur taraqqi ki woh anayat ko tasleem karne aur us par tawajjo deni chahiye jo market ke jazbat ko muthir aur asseyar ke qeemat ko asar daal sakta hai. Is tezi se guzarti dour mein, jahan maloomat currency hai, aakhri khabron aur maaliyat ke indicators par qaim rehna intehai zaroori hai. Chalte hain, dekhte hain ke is haftay ke ending moment mein NZD/USD market mein kya hota hai.

NZDUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
NZDUSD ke H1 time frame par, wazeh ho jata hai ke teesri lehar ab barh rahi hai. Ye upar ki manzil ke taraf le ja rahi hai, jo ke pehli resistance level 0.5932 par pohanch gayi hai. Ab tawajjo yeh rahegi ke keemat is rukawat ko paar karegi ya nahi, jo ke shayad usey ahem level 0.5954 ke qareeb le jaye. Aise ek qadam se market ke jazbat mein numayan tabdeeli ka ishara nahi hoga magar traders ke liye potential mouqe paida ho sakte hain ke is currency pair ke badalte dhang ko faida uthayen. Takneeki tajziya ek mazeed daryafti nazriya deta hai, jab ke keemat ka amal ek nichle downtrend channel ke hadood mein hota hai. Halankeh mojooda upar ki raftar hai, lekin bara trend ek neeche ki taraf raftar ka markaz banata hai. Ye mawazan wazeh karta hai ke market manzar ko ghoomte waqt ehtiyaat aur hoshyari ka istemaal kitna zaroori hai. Halankeh mojooda barhao dilchasp mouqe faraham karta hai, lekin bara trend ka madda samajh kar ehtiyaat zaroori hai, jo ke keemat ke harek hone par nichle dabaav daal sakta hai. Keemat ke amal ki tanqeedi taqseem mein, wazeh hota hai ke market ke hissedaron ko potential inflection points ke liye qareeb se nazar rakha ja raha hai. Pehle resistance level 0.5932 ka ahmiyat ko na ghalat samjha ja sakta hai, ke yeh ek aham rukawat hai jo ya to agay ki raftar ko rok sakti hai ya phir mazeed upar ki manzil ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Is level ke oopar uthne ka na sirf bullish raftar ki quwwat ko tasleem karay ga, balkay mazeed upar ki manzil ke mouqe ko bhi khol dega. Ulti halat mein, is rukawat ko paar na karne ka matlab temporary rokawat ka ishara ho sakta hai upar ki raftar mein, jo market ke hissedaron ko maujooda market shartein ka jawab dete hue unki pozishan ko dobara tasleem karne par majboor karega.




Turant rukawat level ke alawah, tawajjo ke zariye bhi ahem nafsani rukawat par muntazim hai jo 0.5954 par hai. Ye level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai, bullish raftar ke istehkam ka imtihan hota hai. Is had tak ke oopar sahi uthna na sirf bullish traders mein itminan peda karega balkay sath mein mazeed upar ki raftar ke liye rasta khol dega. Ulti halat mein, is level par inkaar ek mustaqil mouqa ya fir aik wakfa ka dor shoro kar sakta hai, jab market ke hissedaron ko maujooda market shartein ka jawab dete hue apni pozishan ko dobara tasleem karne par majboor karega. NZDUSD pair H1 time frame par, bullish raftar aur nichle raftar ke doraano ki takneeki jangal ka ek numayan mahol pesh karta hai. Halankeh mojooda upar ki raftar bullish traders ke liye umeed ki raftar rakhti hai, lekin ahem resistance levels aur baray trend ko yaad rakhna zaroori hai. Takneeki tajziya, bunyadi agahi, aur mustaqil strategy ka istemal karke traders forex market ke pesh raftar aur numaindgi ko samajh sakte hain.