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T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S: N Z D / U S D

Tajziya:


Assalam-o-Alaikum, pyare forum ke participants aur mehman. Chaliye dekhte hain kaise NZD/USD ke daam mein tabdeeli aayi hai. Waqt likhte waqt NZD/USD 0.6005 par karobar ho raha hai. Tajziyati tor par, niche diye gaye chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh chart ek bearish continuation pattern ko darust karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, yeh support zone ki taraf ja raha hai. Isi doran, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator se bearish nishanat ka izhar hota hai, jo ke NZD/USD ke liye mazeed nuqsaanat ka sabab ban sakte hain. Keemat ki manfi gatish ko nahi manaa ja sakta kyun ke yeh is waqt moving averages (20 EMA, 50 EMA) lines ke neeche hai is waqt ke chart par aur indicator bearish trend ko support kar raha hai. NZD/USD ne jab 20 EMA aur 50 EMA moving average line ke mukhalif rukh liya tab girne laga.

Chart Par Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicator:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

Tasurat:


Is chart par, hum dekhte hain mukhtalif rangon se nishaanat jo supply aur demand areas ki isharaat hain. Pehla ahem rokna NZD/USD ke qareeb $0.6342 ke ilaqe mein hai. Doosra ahem rokna hai NZD/USD ke qareeb $0.6819 ke ilaqe mein jo ke 2nd level of resistance hai. Uske baad, mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka agla mumkin nishana 0.7303 hai jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, pehle $0.5523 aur $0.4922 zone se pehle, $0.5864 ilaqa is asaas par hai ke foran dar band se hifazat karega. Agar NZD/USD 0.5864 ka support torr deta hai, to ye mazeed neeche gir sakta hai 0.5523 tak. Uske baad, mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka agla mumkin nishana 0.4922 hai jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Main aapko NZD/USD ke mutalik sab se haal articles faraham karke umeed karta hoon ke aapko fayeda hoga.

Rozana wakt ke chart ka jayeza lenay par, NZDUSD mein tezi dekhi gayi, jab qeemat 0.5936 ke support se sarak gayi aur RSI indicator overbought level ko chhoo gaya. Maine dekha ke NZDUSD ne 26 EMA rekha aur 0.6043 ka resistance level dono ko chhua tezi se barhne ke baad. Price ne Thursday ko resistance level tak pohnchte hi girna shuru kiya, jo ke pin bar candle banane ka natija tha. Ye isliye hua kyun ke RSI indicator darmiyan mein tha. Jumeraat ko price overall gir gayi, lekin New York trading session mein baad mein tezi se barh gayi, aur NZDUSD ne ek upward pin bar candle banaya, jabke candle ka jism bearish tha. Mein ne dainay wakt ke chart mein kuch support levels ko shamil kiya hai jo ke diagram ke saath hain kyunki NZDUSD ka asli trend bearish hai.
Haftay ke chart ka jayeza lenay par, price kuch hafton tak range zone mein chalti rahi. Ye range trading activities moving average ki lines ke saath thi, aur mein ne ye range zone trading activities jo pehle ke movement ko samajhne mein madad karti hain diagram mein shamil ki hain. Do haftay pehle jo shadeed negative movement hui, woh NZDUSD ko ek mazboot bearish candle banane ka natija tha aur range zone ke support level ko torne ka. NZDUSD ne pichle haftay ek chhota bearish Doji candle banaya, lekin is haftay tezi se barhi, resistance level ko chhua, aur ek bullish Doji candle banayi. Is natije mein, dono mukhya support levels jo ke mein ne is time frame chart par pehchane hain, woh qeemat ke darje hain 0.5765 aur 0.5506. Resistance level ko dobara chhu lena yeh dikhata hai ke NZDUSD neeche girne ki koshish kar sakta hai.

Rozana wakt ke chart ka jayeza lenay par, NZDUSD mein tezi dekhi gayi, jab qeemat 0.5936 ke support se sarak gayi aur RSI indicator overbought level ko chhoo gaya. Maine dekha ke NZDUSD ne 26 EMA rekha aur 0.6043 ka resistance level dono ko chhua tezi se barhne ke baad. Price ne Thursday ko resistance level tak pohnchte hi girna shuru kiya, jo ke pin bar candle banane ka natija tha. Ye isliye hua kyun ke RSI indicator darmiyan mein tha. Jumeraat ko price overall gir gayi, lekin New York trading session mein baad mein tezi se barh gayi, aur NZDUSD ne ek upward pin bar candle banaya, jabke candle ka jism bearish tha. Mein ne dainay wakt ke chart mein kuch support levels ko shamil kiya hai jo ke diagram ke saath hain kyunki NZDUSD ka asli trend bearish hai.

Haftay ke chart ka jayeza lenay par, price kuch hafton tak range zone mein chalti rahi. Ye range trading activities moving average ki lines ke saath thi, aur mein ne ye range zone trading activities jo pehle ke movement ko samajhne mein madad karti hain diagram mein shamil ki hain. Do haftay pehle jo shadeed negative movement hui, woh NZDUSD ko ek mazboot bearish candle banane ka natija tha aur range zone ke support level ko torne ka. NZDUSD ne pichle haftay ek chhota bearish Doji candle banaya, lekin is haftay tezi se barhi, resistance level ko chhua, aur ek bullish Doji candle banayi. Is natije mein, dono mukhya support levels jo ke mein ne is time frame chart par pehchane hain, woh qeemat ke darje hain 0.5765 aur 0.5506. Resistance level ko dobara chhu lena yeh dikhata hai ke NZDUSD neeche girne ki koshish kar sakta hai.

NZDUSD ka Takhmina

Rozana waqt ka fraimi chart manzar nama:
Is haftay, qeemat aam tor par rozana waqt ka fraimi chart par barh gai thi jab is ne 0.5936 ke support darjat se wapas aaya aur RSI indicator overbought darja tak pohanch gaya Maine dekha ke NZDUSD ne qeemat barhane ke doran 26 EMA line aur 0.6043 ke resistance darja dono ko chua Is trading aset ki qeemat ne jumeraat ko resistance darja tak pohanch kar girti, jis se pin bar mumtaz ho gaya. Yeh is liye hua kyunkay RSI indicator lagbhag darmiyan tha Qeemat nay jumeraat ko khas tor par girna shuru kiya, lekin baad mein New York trading session mein barh gaya, aur NZDUSD ne ek upar ki taraf pin bar mumtaz kiya, jabke mumtaz ka jism bearish hai Main ne rozana waqt ka fraimi chart ki kuch support darjat ko is sath wali tasveer mein shamil kiya hai kyunkay NZDUSD ka pehla trend bearish hai






Haftay ka waqt ka fraimi chart manzar nama:
Qeemat kuch hafto tak haftay ka waqt fraimi chart par ek range zone mein chali gayi Ye range trading sargarmiyon ne moving average ki lines ke mutabiq hoti thi, aur main ne in range zone trading sargarmiyon ko tasveer mein shamil kiya hai taake traders qeemat ke pehle harkat ko andaza laga sakein Pichle do hafto mein jo shadeed manfi harkat thi jis ne NZDUSD ko mazboot bearish mumtaz banaya aur range zone ke support darja ko tora NZDUSD ne pichle haftay ek thori bearish Doji mumtaz banaya, lekin is haftay is ne upar ja kar resistance darja ko chuwa aur ek bullish Doji mumtaz banayi Is natije mein, main ne is waqt ke fraimi chart par do mukhya support darjat ko 0.5765 aur 0.5506 ke qeemat darjat par pehchana hai Resistance darja ka dobara chuwa jana darust karta hai ke NZDUSD girne ke liye tayar hai

RSI (Relative Strength Index) market ke momentum ka aham zareeya hai, jo darust karta hai ke kharidne wale ya farokht karne wale abhi market par hukoomat kar rahe hain. RSI ke case mein, yeh darust kar raha hai ek manzar jahan farokht karne wale market dynamics par bhaari asar rakhte hain. Magar, RSI ka rukh ek nuqta nigah mein ek mufassal dastan bayan karta hai—yeh nishan dikhata hai keh halankeh farokht karne walay qaboo mein hain, lekin unka asar ghata jaraha hai, jo keh bearish momentum mein thamne ki alaamat hai. Aise tajziya ko samjha jasakta hai keh yeh market dynamics mein tabdeeli ki alamat ho sakti hai, jis mein agle trend ka aghaaz shamil hai. Jab hum ghaur karte hain ghanton ki chart par, to RSI ka neutral zone ke aas paas ka muqam hamari tawajjo ko pakarta hai. Yeh maqam traders mein waziha ittefaq ki kami ko darust karta hai, jahan bullish aur bearish sentiments ke darmiyan mukhtalif signals hain. Ghanton ki chart par RSI ke readings mein na ittefaqi market participants ke darmiyan mojooda ghalbaati waswason ko darust karta hai mukhtalif factors se jaise ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, ya investor sentiment mein tabdeeliyan, jo market ke manzar par aur bhi mushkilat dal sakti hain. Hamari tawajjo ko New Zealand dollar ki mazbooti par mubarak baad dete hue jo March Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka izhaar hota hai, ek dilchasp dastan ka sabab banta hai. Pehle to, currency pair ne news release ke jawab mein ek neeche ki taraf murad harkat mehsoos ki, jo ke data ke asar ko foran market ki janib se dikhata hai. Magar, jo ke baad mein hua, ek ahem behtar halat ki nashonuma hui, jo keh zahir hai ke mojooda uptrend agle haftay mein dobara shuru hone wala hai. Yeh mazbooti buraiyon wale economic data ke samne New Zealand dollar ki mazbooti ko darust karta hai, jo ke mazid mazboot economic bunyadiyat, pasandida interest rate ke farq, ya market participants ke currency ki manzar par imaan mein motabar ho sakta hai

Daily Timeframe Chart Outlook: Is haftay, daal ki qeemat rozana wazeh taur par barhi jab ye 0.5936 ke sahara se wapas aai aur RSI indicator ovsold level ko mila. Maine dekha ke NZDUSD ne daal ki qeemat ko barhane ke doran 26 EMA line aur 0.6043 ke sahara ko chua. Is trading asset ki qeemat ko Thursday ko resistance level tak pohanchne ke baad gir gaya, jis se pin bar candle ban gayi. Ye isliye hua kyunki RSI indicator lagbhag mid-point par tha. Jumeraat ko qeemat ka aam tor par gir gaya, lekin New York trading session mein baad mein barh gayi, aur NZDUSD ne ek urooj dar pin bar candle banai, jabke candle ka jism bearish hai. Main ne daily time frame chart ke kuch sahara darjay kiye hain, jo ke sath sath di gai taar main darust ho raha hai, kyun ke NZDUSD ka asal trend bearish hai.

Weekly Timeframe Chart Outlook: Daal ki qeemat kuch hafto tak haftay ke time frame chart par aik range zone mein thi. Ye range trading activities moving average ke lines ke darmiyan thein, aur main ne is diagram mein in range zone trading activities ko dikhaya hai takay traders qeemat ki peechli harkat ka andaaza laga saken. Do hafto pehle NZDUSD ne ek mazboot bearish candle banai, aur range zone ke sahara darjay ko tora. Pichle hafte NZDUSD ne aik thori si bearish Doji candle banai, lekin is haftay is ne upar ki taraf harkat ki, resistance level ko chu kar, aur bullish Doji candle banai. Is natije mein, main ne is time frame chart par do aham sahara darjay ka pehchan kiya hai jo ke qeemat ke levels 0.5765 aur 0.5506 par hain. Resistance level ko dobaara choone ka ishaara hai ke NZDUSD girne ke liye tayar hai.

Haal hi mein ki trading session mein NZD/USD jodi ne aik ahem kamiyabi ka samna kiya, jahan bechne wale apni dominance sabit kar rahe the, jo aik numaya bearish harkat ka sabab bani. Ye neeche ki dabao ne aik ahem sahara darjay ko tor diya jo ke 0.6068 par pehchana gaya tha, meri tafseeli tahlil mein aik ahem mod hai. Iske baad, qeemat ka amal mazeed gir gaya, aur doosra ahem sahara darja jo ke 0.6037 par tha, ko azma kar ye tezi se nazar andaz hua, jo mere trading signals ke qareeb tha. Ham aaj ke market outlook ka jaiza laga rahe hain, to wazeh hai ke mojooda manzar mein rukawat ka ahsas hai. Phir bhi, meri mukammal kafiyat nazdeekh taur par ek naye seedhi rukh ki taraf wapas hony ka intezar kar rahi hai. Isliye, main khaas tor par 0.6038 ke qareebi sahara darjay se nikalne wale kisi bhi bullish signals ko pehchanne par tawajjuh dene par hai.

Mera dyaan khaas tor par 0.6038 ke qareebi sahara darjay ko nigrani mein rakhne par hai, kyunki ye aik ahem mod hai jahan ke mazeed market dynamics ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is tanazur mein, do mukhtalif manazir wazeh ho sakte hain, dono ko goyaan bardasht aur tafseel se nigrani aur tajziya ka mustahiq samjha jata hai. Pehla manzar aik 0.6038 sahara darjay se bullish rebound ka hai, jo ke kharidari ke dabao mein izafa ki nishani hai. Aise ikhtiyaar ke surat mein, ye darust hota hai ke market ke shirakat daron ko ye darja fayeda mand dakhil noksan samjha gaya hai, jo ke hali mein bearish momentum ka palat jata hai. Is manzar mein, main mojooda bullish qeemat ka kisi bhi izafi amal ki mazbooti aur yaqeen ko nigrani mein rakhta hoon, dekhta hoon ke ye NZD/USD jodi ko uncha karne ka ihtemaam rakhta hai.

Mukhtalif tor par doosra manzar 0.6038 sahara darjay ke tor par breach ka hai, jo ke mojooda bearish jazbaat ki jari rahi ke jaari rehne ki nishani hai. Agar qeemat is darjay se nichle to ye bechne wale dabao ka izafa karne ki nishani hogi aur mazeed nichle harkat ke raste ko banane ka rasta bana sakti hai. Is manzar mein, main neeche ki tezi ka ahem mod nigrani mein rakhta hoon aur dekhta hoon ke kya mazeed sahara darjay istemal hotay hain. Aakhir mein, haal hi ke market outlook mein koi numaya taraqqiyan na ho sakti, lekin meri kafiyat NZD/USD jodi ke nazdeekh muddat mein uttar ki taraf punah shuruat ki umeed ki taraf jhuki hai. Phir bhi, main agah aur mustaqil rehta hoon aur khaas tor par 0.6038 ke qareebi sahara darjay se nikalne wale kisi bhi bullish signals ko pehchanne par tawajjuh dene par hai, kyunki ye currency pair ke nazdeekh muddat ka rukh muqarrar kar sakta hai.

NZDUSD

Daily Time Frame Chart Outlook: Is hafte, price overall daily time frame chart par barh gayi thi jab woh support level 0.5936 se bounce back kiya tha aur RSI indicator oversold level tak pohunch gaya tha. Main ne dekha ke NZDUSD ne price barhne ke doran dono 26 EMA line aur 0.6043 ke resistance level ko chhua. Is trading asset ka price Thursday ko resistance level tak pohanchne ke baad gir gaya, jis se pin bar candle formation hui. Ye is liye hua kyunki RSI indicator qareeb qareeb midpoint par tha. Price Friday ko overall gir gaya, lekin New York trading session mein baad mein barh gaya, aur NZDUSD ne ek upward pin bar candle banaya, jabke candle ka jism bearish tha. Main ne daily time frame chart ke kuch support levels ko shamil kiya hai, kyunki NZDUSD ka asal trend bearish hai.

Weekly Time Frame Chart Outlook: Price kuch hafton tak weekly time frame chart par range zone mein move kiya. Ye range trading activities moving average ke lines ke darmiyan hoti thi, aur main ne traders ko price ke pehle ke movement ka andaza lagane ke liye diagram ke sath in range zone trading activities ko dikhaya hai. Darmiyan aate dino mein NZDUSD ka zyada negative movement, do hafton pehle usay ek mazboot bearish candle banaya aur range zone ke support level ko toor diya. NZDUSD ne pichle hafte ek chhota bearish Doji candle banaya, lekin is hafte woh upar chala gaya, resistance level ko chhua, aur ek bullish Doji candle banaya. Is natije mein, main ne is time frame chart par do mukhya support levels ko pehchana hai jo ke price levels 0.5765 aur 0.5506 hain. Resistance level ko dubara chhuna ye dikhata hai ke NZDUSD girne ke liye tayyar hai.

NZD/USD market mein kuch liquidity maujood thi, lekin ye barabri se taqseem nahi hui thi. Amreeki maliyat ki khabron ke data ne market mein kuch ghair mustaqil pan paida kiya aur karobarion ko munafa hasil karne ke mauqe diye, jabke nuqsaan ko mehdood kiya, ye rukawat paida karne wala ahem juz hai. Is ke bawajood, NZD/USD market mein kharidaron ka amal mukhtasir tha, aur market 0.6000 par band hui. Haftay ke chart ke girne ke mukablay mein, New Zealand ka rozana ka chart dekhne par market dynamics mein izafa nazar aata hai. Ye trend ki complexity New Zealand market ka stable hone ka aks hai jab bazaar mein shadeed tabahi hoti hai. Haftay ke chart ke girne aur New Zealand ke rozana ke data ko mukablay mein dekhte hue, ek numaya izafa nazar aata hai. Ye trend ki complexity dikhata hai ke karobarion ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur apne tareeqon ki azadi ko barqarar rakhna chahiye.
Rozana ka waqt:

Aakhir mein, New Zealand ka rozana ka chart haftay ke chart se mukhtalif tasveer deta hai, jo karobarion aur investors ko alternatif options faraham karta hai. Ye oversold territory mein chala gaya hai, haan lekin ye abhi tak apne moving averages se door hai. Ye ikhtilaf yeh dikhayega ke NZD ka girte hue trend thori dair ke liye ruk sakta hai phir apni mojooda rah par jari rahega. Agar NZD ko kuch momentum milta hai, to ye ikhtiyati rally ko shuru kar sakta hai jis ka nishana 0.6044-0.6090 hoga. Ye ahem zone hai kyunke ye 200-day simple moving average, July 14, 2022 ki kami, aur 38.2% Fibonacci level ke sath milta hai. Lekin yeh ahem hai ke stochastic indicator par tawajjo di jaye, jo ke abhi tak average se bohot door hai bhalay hi ye oversold zone mein hai. Ye ikhtilaf dikhata hai ke NZD thori dair ke liye rukne wala hai phir apna neeche ka trend jari karne wala hai. Agar NZD kuch momentum ikhtiyar karta hai, to 0.6044-0.6090 region mein thori dair ke liye izafa ho sakta hai.

Haal hi mein ki trading session mein NZD/USD jodi ne aik ahem kamiyabi ka samna kiya, jahan bechne wale apni dominance sabit kar rahe the, jo aik numaya bearish harkat ka sabab bani. Ye neeche ki dabao ne aik ahem sahara darjay ko tor diya jo ke 0.6068 par pehchana gaya tha, meri tafseeli tahlil mein aik ahem mod hai. Iske baad, qeemat ka amal mazeed gir gaya, aur doosra ahem sahara darja jo ke 0.6037 par tha, ko azma kar ye tezi se nazar andaz hua, jo mere trading signals ke qareeb tha. Ham aaj ke market outlook ka jaiza laga rahe hain, to wazeh hai ke mojooda manzar mein rukawat ka ahsas hai. Phir bhi, meri mukammal kafiyat nazdeekh taur par ek naye seedhi rukh ki taraf wapas hony ka intezar kar rahi hai. Isliye, main khaas tor par 0.6038 ke qareebi sahara darjay se nikalne wale kisi bhi bullish signals ko pehchanne par tawajjuh dene par hai.

Mera dyaan khaas tor par 0.6038 ke qareebi sahara darjay ko nigrani mein rakhne par hai, kyunki ye aik ahem mod hai jahan ke mazeed market dynamics ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is tanazur mein, do mukhtalif manazir wazeh ho sakte hain, dono ko goyaan bardasht aur tafseel se nigrani aur tajziya ka mustahiq samjha jata hai. Pehla manzar aik 0.6038 sahara darjay se bullish rebound ka hai, jo ke kharidari ke dabao mein izafa ki nishani hai. Aise ikhtiyaar ke surat mein, ye darust hota hai ke market ke shirakat daron ko ye darja fayeda mand dakhil noksan samjha gaya hai, jo ke hali mein bearish momentum ka palat jata hai. Is manzar mein, main mojooda bullish qeemat ka kisi bhi izafi amal ki mazbooti aur yaqeen ko nigrani mein rakhta hoon, dekhta hoon ke ye NZD/USD jodi ko uncha karne ka ihtemaam rakhta hai.

Mukhtalif tor par doosra manzar 0.6038 sahara darjay ke tor par breach ka hai, jo ke mojooda bearish jazbaat ki jari rahi ke jaari rehne ki nishani hai. Agar qeemat is darjay se nichle to ye bechne wale dabao ka izafa karne ki nishani hogi aur mazeed nichle harkat ke raste ko banane ka rasta bana sakti hai. Is manzar mein, main neeche ki tezi ka ahem mod nigrani mein rakhta hoon aur dekhta hoon ke kya mazeed sahara darjay istemal hotay hain. Aakhir mein, haal hi ke market outlook mein koi numaya taraqqiyan na ho sakti, lekin meri kafiyat NZD/USD jodi ke nazdeekh muddat mein uttar ki taraf punah shuruat ki umeed ki taraf jhuki hai. Phir bhi, main agah aur mustaqil rehta hoon aur khaas tor par 0.6038 ke qareebi sahara darjay se nikalne wale kisi bhi bullish signals ko pehchanne par tawajjuh dene par hai, kyunki ye currency pair ke nazdeekh muddat ka rukh muqarrar kar sakta hai.

NZDUSD

Daily time frame chart ki nazar: Is haftay, qeemat ne overalls roop se rozana waqt chart par izafa kiya, jab yeh 0.5936 ke support level se waapis aayi aur RSI indicator overbought level ko meet kiya. Main ne dekha ke NZDUSD ne qeemat ke izafay ke doran dono 26 EMA line aur 0.6043 ke resistance level ko chhua. Is trading asset ki qeemat ne Thursday ko resistance level tak pohanch kar girna shuru kiya, jo ke ek pin bar candle formation ka natija tha. Yeh is liye tha ke RSI indicator lagbhag midpoint par tha. Qeemat Friday ko overall gir gai, lekin New York trading session mein baad mein izafa hua, aur NZDUSD ne ek upward pin bar candle banaya, jabke candle ka jism bearish hai. Yeh hai kuch daily time frame chart ke support levels jo ke maine sath shamil kiye hain, kyunke NZDUSD ka primary trend bearish hai.



Weekly time frame chart ki nazar: Qeemat kuch hafton tak weekly time frame chart par ek range zone mein chali gayi. Yeh range trading activities moving average ke lines ke sath thay, aur maine in range zone trading activities ko diagram mein dikhaya hai jo traders ko qeemat ke pehle movement ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. Pichle do hafton mein jo shadeed manfi harkat NZDUSD ne dikhayi, is se ek mazboot bearish candle banaya aur range zone ke support level ko tor diya. NZDUSD ne pichle haftay ek chhota bearish Doji candle banaya, lekin is haftay isne upar ja kar resistance level ko chhua aur ek bullish Doji candle banaya. Is natije mein, maine is time frame chart par do asal support levels ko pichhlay haftay ke price levels 0.5765 aur 0.5506 par pehchana hai. Resistance level ka dobara chhuna yeh dikhata hai ke NZDUSD girne ke liye taiyar hai.

As-salamu alaykum. Mojooda waqt mein, NZD/USD joda asal mein apne chart par ek bearish formation ko darust kar raha hai, jo ke market ke khulne ke baad aur mazeed, is trading instrument ki qeemat ko neeche bhej sakti hai aur yeh haqeeqat sabit ho sakti hai. Haqeeqat mein, pichle Jumma ko price ki izafa 0.6106 ke important level tak pohancha, jo ke, meri raaye mein, is jode ki price ko ooncha nahi jaane diya aur jismein market band ho gaya. Agar yahan se ek bearish signal shuru hoti hai, toh is surat mein NZD/USD ka scenario mazeed kaam kar sakta hai, jo ke southern matlab ka hosakta hai aur jismein neeche ki taraf price ka kam hona, sirf ek mumkin aur muntazir kam hota hai, kahin kareeban money ke volumes ka majmua, jo ke 0.6056 ke aas paas hai. Agar market ke khulne ke baad, price mazeed ooncha jaata hai aur baad mein 0.6106 ke majmua ke oopar mazboot hojata hai, toh is surat mein agar aisa south mumkin hai, toh ek complete cancellation ho sakta hai.
Pichle trading haftay mein sellers ke liye kaafi kaamyaabi thi; woh uthaye gaye un bulandiyon se tazi se neeche aaye, jo ke dusre major currency pairs mein nahi dekha gaya. Wahan bhi, American dollar ki mazbooti thi, magar woh achi hissa ghat bhar chuke the. Lekin yahan nahi hai. Yahan bhi sabse qareeb Australian-American joda is jode ko nahi follow kar raha tha. Jumme raat ki khabron ke mutabiq, American dollar ne puri market ke spectrum mein giravat dikhai, siwaye is jode ke. Australian khaaskar ne tazi se uthaya, lekin phir woh thodi si uthi aur zyada nahi gayi. Yeh samajh nahi aata ke yeh kis se juda hai; New Zealand dollar ne pichle haftay mein apni zindagi basar ki. Aap is daily chart par dekh sakte hain ke giravat kis horizontal resistance level 0.6214 se aayi hai. Isi tarah, CCI indicator wahan se upper overheating zone chhod gaya. Main yeh assume karta tha ke rebound aksar level se neeche jaayega, magar maine ye nahi socha tha ke itna gehra hoga. Lagta hai ke horizontal support level 0.6146, jo closing prices par banaya gaya tha, giravat ko rokne ke liye kaafi hai, magar woh sirf thoda sa rebound diya aur ek taqatwar bearish candle ke zariye kamyab se tor diya gaya. Usi samay, MACD indicator lower sales zone mein chala gaya aur wahan se apne signal line ke neeche gir gaya. Wave structure mein koi directional movement nahi hai; yeh neutral hai. Main yeh assume karta hoon ke zyada tar mein ek update hone wala hai last month ke minimum tak, yani 0.6033 ke neeche giravat. Is se pehle, shayad aage kaam par agar upri sudhar ke taraf jata hai, toh resistance level 0.6146 tak jaari rahega, yeh behtareen jagah hai sell karne ke liye, ya neeche ek chhota daur par sell karne ke liye jagah dhundne ke liye. Lekin shayad wahan tak koi rollback na ho, aur mazeed kam hone lage. Mere khayal mein, is stage par sirf din ke andar neeche kaam karne ka zyada taayun hai.

NZD/USD

Achi raat dosto, mujhe umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge aur trade ka maza le rahe honge. NZD/USD ki ghantawar chart par, price ne neeche ke channel ke andar dakhil ho gaya hai. Aaj pair barh raha tha, lekin pair ne channel ke ooper ki had tak nahi pohancha, is liye main umeed karta hoon ke price ooper ki taraf barhta rahega aur pair channel ke ooper ki had tak barh sakta hai, yani level 0.5969 tak. Jab ye level haasil hoga, to aik ulta chalan ho sakta hai pair mein aur price neeche ki taraf barhna shuru kar dega. Agar pair kamzor hona shuru karta hai, to neeche ki taraf jaate hue, pair neeche ke channel ke had tak ja sakta hai, yani level 0.5911 tak, jahan pohanchne ke baad, pair mein ulta chalan ho sakta hai aur price phir se ooper ki taraf barhna shuru kar degi.

NZD/USD. Kal pair gir raha tha aur mujhe umeed thi ke price neeche ke channel ke had tak ja sakta hai. Magar price ne channel ka neeche ki had tak nahi pohancha; pehle hi pair muddat kar gaya aur ooper ki taraf barhna shuru kar diya. Ab maine ghantawar chart par ek oopri taraf chalan banaya hai aur ooper ki taraf barhna shuru kiya hai, price ne is channel ka ooper ki had haasil ki hai, yani level 0.5954 tak. Jab ye level haasil hoga, to pair ki barhti hui rukawat ho sakti hai aur agar price muddat nikal gaya aur neeche ki taraf barhna shuru kiya, to pair niche ke channel ke had tak gir sakta hai, yani level 0.5943 tak. Aur agla option pair ke liye mumkin hai: agar price channel ko ooper ki taraf tor deta hai, to barhav jaari reh sakta hai neeche ke channel ke ooper, yani level 0.5973 tak.

Main M30 time frame chart par New Zealand dollar-American dollar pair par nazar daal raha hoon. Pair neeche ki taraf gir raha hai; pehle maine samjha tha ke pair barhta rahega. Main isliye samjha jab ye 0.59681 ke resistance ke upar tha. Main New Zealand dollar ki aur girne ki koi wajah nahi dekh raha, kyunki taaza inflation data wahi level par aaya hai. Main umeed nahi rakhta ke pair mazeed giray ga, aur main samajhta hoon ke ye barhega. Main samajhta hoon ke ye 0.60933 ke resistance tak jaayega.

Dosto, agar hum NZD/USD pair ke chart par mojooda darust haqaiq par baat karen, toh haqeeqat mein ab is trading instrument ki keemat shumal ki taraf barh rahi hai, aur agar wo mojooda keemat barhti rahi hai, toh is mamle mein aik aisa manzar ho sakta hai jo meri tasveer mein darust kiya gaya hai, jismein asal me hum is level tak barh sakte hain jahan raqam ki jamaat ikatthi hoti hai, jo ke kareeb kareeb 0.6002 hai, aur agar ye sach hota hai aur aise halat mein, toh NZD/USD ke level 0.6002 ki keemat nahi chahayega, toh is manzar ke mutabiq, 0.6002 ke level se hum niche ki taraf wild gir sakta hai jo X point tak pohanch jaayega, aur ye karne ka maqsad liquidity ko neeche hataana hoga. Agar ye price ki harkat ne neeche poori tarah se liquidity ko hata diya, toh umeed ki jaati hai ke expected minimum update ke baad, hum phir se wild tareeqay se upar jaayenge asman ke taraf jamaat 0.6172 tak.

NZDUSD

Naya Zealand Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ki market movement ka faisla karne ke liye trading plan tayar kiya gaya hai. Tajziya karne waqt ham is sahulat ke aalam ko nazar andaz nahi karenge, jiske liye ham Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicators ke indicators ko mukammal tor par study karenge, RSI aur MACD oscillators ke sath milakar taake ham behtareen dakhilay ke liye dakhilay ka sab se durust waqt tay kar sakein aur acha munafa hasil kar sakein. Yaad rakhein ke zyada asar aur acha trading nateeja hasil karne ke liye, teeno indicators ke readings ko ek doosre ke khilaaf nahi hona chahiye. Jab quotes maqsad ke munafa ke qareeb pahunchein, to hum market se nikalne ka sab se munafa bakhsh nuktah tay karenge. Is ke liye, ham chart ke mojooda extrmes par Fibonacci grid banayenge, aur hum transaction ko band karenge jab ke qeemat corrective Fibo levels ko pohanchti hai.

Sab se pehla cheez jo foran nazar aati hai wo hai ke munsalik chart par pehla degree regression line (soni dhabbi wali line) jo ke manzil ka rukh aur mojooda haqeeqi trend ka halat numaya karti hai moqarar waqt frame (waqt frame H4) par downward slope par hai, jo ke ek manzil ki kaam hone wale rukh ke doran waqt ki period ki isharaat hai aur farokht karne walon ke qabzay ka zor zahir karta hai. Mutasilat taur par, qareebi mustaqbil ke rukh ka qabil-e-pesh-goi ke liye istemal kiye gaye ghair linear channel (convex lines) mein ek kaafi noticeable downward slope hai. Ghair linear regression channel ne soni line ko upar se neeche se guzar gaya hai aur quotes mein kami ko dikhata hai.

Qeemat ne red resistance line ko paar kar diya hai linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelResLine lekin 0.61036 ke zyada qeemat ki qeemat (HIGH) tak pohanchi, jis ke baad is ne apni izaafi izaafi harkat ko rok diya aur musalsal kam hone laga. Haalanki, ab sahulat 0.60096 ke qeemat level par hai. Upar di gayi sab cheezein madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.58719) FIBO level -23.6% ke neeche waapas aur jamaye gi aur mazeed neeche ja kar soni average line LR of the linear channel 0.58393 tak chale jaegi, jo ke Fibo level -38.2% ke sath milta hai. Faraiz ke dakhilay ka aik mazeed daleel hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ka bhi muddat sale main dakhilay ki durusti ko tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke woh oversold zone mein hain.

New Zealand Dollar

/ US Dollar currency pair ki market movement ka tajziya karne ke liye trading plan:

Hum asaatza ko monitoring karenge muqami market situation ke liye, jiske liye hum Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicators ke indicators ko RSI aur MACD oscillators ke saath mila kar tafseel se mutala karenge taake hum behtareen entry position ka tayyun kar sakein aur achi kamai kar sakein. Yaad rahe ke zyada se zyada asar hasil karne aur acha trading result hasil karne ke liye, teeno indicators ke readings ek dusre ke khilaaf nahi honi chahiye. Jab quotes maqsood afraad ke qareeb pohnchenge, to hum market se sab se zyada munafa dene wala exit point tay karenge. Is kaam ke liye, hum chart ke mojooda extreme par Fibonacci grid banaenge, aur jab keemat correction Fibo levels tak pohanchti hai to transaction ko band karenge.

Sab se pehli cheez jo foran nazar aati hai, woh yeh hai ke mojudah chart par pehla darja regression line (sona daagh dar line), jo mojoodah waqt frame (H4 waqt frame) par asal rukh aur halat ko dikhata hai, woh ek neeche ki janib slope par hai, jo saaman ke girne wale rukh ke doraan ka doran ko dikhata hai aur sellers ki dominant taqat ko zor deta hai. Bari hui line (convex lines) jo qareebi mustaqbil ka rukh predict karne ke liye istemal hoti hai, uski kaafi noticeable neeche ki janib slope hai. Nonlinear regression channel ne linear channel ke sona daagh se upar se neeche ja kar cross kiya hai aur qoutes ka girna dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin HIGH ke maximim qeemat (HIGH) 0.61036 tak pohanch gayi, uske baad usne apna izaafa rok diya aur dharayi ke darmiyan barhna shuru kar diya. Halankeh, asbaab ke hisaab se, main market price quotes ko wapas aur 2nd LevelResLine (0.58719) FIBO level -23.6% ke neeche consolidate honay ka intezar karta hoon aur phir mojooda linear channel ka sona average line LR 0.58393 tak aur neeche chalna umeed karta hoon, jo ke Fibo level -38.2% ke saath milta hai. Aik mazeed dalil jo sauda karne ke liye hai, yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi bech karnay mein sahi hone ka tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke woh overbought zone mein hain.