"New Zealand Dollar (NZD) US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf mazboot farokht dabaao ka samna kar raha hai, jahan NZD/USD pair apne ahem 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar qaim rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh critical support level is haftay mein sirf char dafa reject ho chuka hai, jis ne pair ko 0.6122 tak le ja kar neeche daba diya hai. Nuqsaan ko khasoosi taor par bahal karne ki koshish ki gayi hai, lekin technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko ishara dete hain jo mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai. Daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) market momentum ka ek ahem indicator hai. Halat ke mutabiq ab yeh 49 par hai, jo neutral zone ke thoda neeche hai, aur is se pehle haftay mein 51 se neeche ja chuka hai, jis se buying power mein kamzori ki nishani hai. Abhi tak oversold nahi hua hai, lekin yeh downtrend market sentiment mein ek tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Iske alawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein izafi red bars dikhaai de rahe hain, jo farokht ke activity mein izafa ko tasdeeq karte hain.
Agay dekhte hain, NZD/USD ke liye fori support 0.6100 par hai. Ek gehra support zone bhi hai jo 100-day aur 200-day moving averages ke convergence point ke aas paas hai, yakayak 0.6069 aur 0.6062. Agar yeh downtrend mazeed taaqatwar ho jaye, to yeh levels ek buffer ke tor par kaam aa sakte hain. Magar is confluence point ke neeche girna ek mazboot bearish signal hoga, jo mazeed tezi se giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, pair ke liye resistance abhi 20-day SMA ke qareeb 0.6150 par hai. Is level ke decisive tootne ke baad, 0.6170 aur phir 0.6200 tak chalne wale qadam bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar sakte hain. Magar halqi koshishen 20-day SMA ko toorna short-lived rahin hain, jis se short-term uptrend mein rukawat aur possible bearish reversal ka khatra barh gaya hai. Technical indicators ke negative slope ko le kar pareshani ka sabab hai, lekin thori raahat bhi mojood hai. Jab tak 0.6085-0.6095 ke support zone qaim rahe, farokht karnay walay sabar se kaam le sakte hain. Magar is area ke neeche girna, ek tez giravat ko trigger kar sakta hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, jo dono 0.6060 ke qareeb hain, is scenario mein thori waqt guzarne ke liye support pesh kar sakte hain, jo 0.5980-0.6000 zone ki taraf fori nahin girne dene ga. Agar farokht dabaao jari rahe aur NZD/USD is level ke neeche gir jaye, to ek mazeed tez giravat 0.5940 area tak mumkin hai, jahan ek ahem uptrend line mojood hai."
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