NZD/USD Asia ke trading mein thora sa musbat rukh dikha raha hai aur mid-0.6100 ke neeche hai. US dollar (USD) Chairman Powell ke pehle testimony ke baad multi-week lows par kamzor hua, jo NZD/USD pair ko kuch support di. Press time par, pair 0.6130 par trading kar raha hai, din ke 0.02% izafay ke sath. U.S. ADP private sector employment ne January mein 111K se February mein 140K tak barhne ka saboot diya, jo ke market ki tawajjuat se kam tha jo 150K ki umeed thi. Isi doran, JOLTS job vacancies January mein pichle value 9.026M se 8.863M tak gir gaye, jo market ki umeed 8.900M se kam tha. Investors ka khayal hai ke US non-farm payrolls (NFP) February mein pichle 353K se 200K tak barhenge. Wednesday ke teen ghanton ke testimony mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke rate cut 2024 mein kahin bhi aasakti hai lekin abhi tak tay nahi kar sakte. Powell ne ye bhi kaha ke central bank yeh nahi manta ke faiz dar kam karna sahi hoga jab tak wo yaqeeni na ho ke maal-e-tijarat 2% ki taraf mustawi ho raha hai. Federal Reserve ke June mein rate cut ke badhne ke izharat ne dollar ko kamzor kiya hai aur NZD/USD ko support di hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke mukhtasib maishat Paul Conway ne kaha ke agar Federal Reserve ne is saal ke akhir mein policy mein asani karnay ka ailaan kiya, toh central bank jald az jald faiz dar mein kami shuru kar sakta hai. Conway ne mazeed kaha ke Federal Reserve ke faiz dar kam karna New Zealand dollar (NZD) ko barha sakti hai, jisse ke maal-e-tijarat ki dabao mein kami ho.
Agle, traders China ke February ke trade balance data par tawajju denge. Din ke doran, US weekly jobless claims, Chairman Powell ke doosre testimony aur trade data jaari hoga. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki L. Mester bhi kuch bayan karenge. NZD/USD ko unchiyaan chadhane ki koshish karte waqt mazeed rukawat ka saamna karna parega, jahan muqami levels 0.6150 aur phir psychological threshold 0.6200 aur February ke peak 0.6219 par mutawaqqa hai. Lekin, Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (MACD) ka istemal karte huye technical analysis NZD/USD pair ke liye phailay hue bearish hawale ko darust karta hai. MACD line midline aur signal line ke neeche hai, jo ek bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day relative strength index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko aur tasdeeq deta hai. Agar downside move saamne aaye, toh NZD/USD ke liye ahem support 0.6050 ke main level par aur uske baad February ke low 0.6037 hoga. In levels ke neeche girne se nichey ki dabao barh sakti hai, jisse ke pair ko 0.6000 ke aas-paas ke psychological support area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders ko market sentiment mein tabdiliyon ke liye in levels par tawajju deni chahiye.
Agle, traders China ke February ke trade balance data par tawajju denge. Din ke doran, US weekly jobless claims, Chairman Powell ke doosre testimony aur trade data jaari hoga. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki L. Mester bhi kuch bayan karenge. NZD/USD ko unchiyaan chadhane ki koshish karte waqt mazeed rukawat ka saamna karna parega, jahan muqami levels 0.6150 aur phir psychological threshold 0.6200 aur February ke peak 0.6219 par mutawaqqa hai. Lekin, Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (MACD) ka istemal karte huye technical analysis NZD/USD pair ke liye phailay hue bearish hawale ko darust karta hai. MACD line midline aur signal line ke neeche hai, jo ek bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day relative strength index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko aur tasdeeq deta hai. Agar downside move saamne aaye, toh NZD/USD ke liye ahem support 0.6050 ke main level par aur uske baad February ke low 0.6037 hoga. In levels ke neeche girne se nichey ki dabao barh sakti hai, jisse ke pair ko 0.6000 ke aas-paas ke psychological support area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders ko market sentiment mein tabdiliyon ke liye in levels par tawajju deni chahiye.
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