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  • #1111 Collapse

    USD/CAD market ne 1.3567 ka support zone cross kiya. Lekin, sellers ziyata mazboot nahi thay magar US news events ne US dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Doosri news events jaise ke BOC ka asar market value par kaafi bara hota hai. BoE ki monetary policy actions, special interest rate changes, trading ko bohat zaiya mutasir kar sakti hain. Jab BoE hawkish stance leti hai, yani ke inflation se larne ke liye rate hikes ka ishara karti hai, to pound aksar US dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota hai. Bar'aks, agar BoE dovish position leti hai to market kamzor ho sakta hai, jo selling opportunities pesh kar sakti hain. Traders ko BoE ki policy outlook aur aham officials ke statements par close nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke in se mustaqbil ke monetary moves ka andaza hota hai. Yad rahe ke USD/CAD market US news events ke baad tabdeel ho sakti hai, kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) US dollar ki value ko shakal dene mein ahem kirdar ada karti hai. Fed ke decisions, interest rates, quantitative easing, aur doosray monetary tools ko duniya bhar ke traders closely monitor karte hain. Ek mazboot dollar aksar downward pressure dalta hai, jo sellers ke liye faida mand hota hai. Lekin agar Fed koi shift signal kare, jaise ke rate hikes ko rokne ka ishara ya dovish tone apnaye, to dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur market trends ulat sakte hain. Fed ke announcements aur broader US economic outlook par nazar rakhna traders ke liye zaroori hai. Agla hafta buyers ko USD/CAD ka 1.3600 zone dobara cross karne mein madad de sakta hai. Kul mila kar, US economic reports, jisme Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), inflation data, aur Fed ke announcements shaamil hain, currency pairs ko bohat ziyaa mutasir karte hain. NFP report, jo har mahine ke pehle Jumay ko release hoti hai, US labor market ki sehat ka ahem indicator hoti hai


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    • #1112 Collapse

      USD/CAD
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ID:	13134302USD/CAD Ki Tajziya (Analysis)
      USD/CAD, yaani ke US Dollar aur Canadian Dollar ke darmiyan exchange rate, international forex market ka ek bohot aham currency pair hai. Dono mulkon ki economies resources aur energy sectors ke lihaaz se mazboot hain, jo is currency pair par direct asar dalte hain.

      USD/CAD Ka Asar Andaz (Factors Influencing USD/CAD)

      Oil Prices Ka Asar

      Canada dunya ka bohot bara oil producer hai. Jab bhi oil prices mein izafa hota hai, to Canadian dollar (CAD) mazboot hota hai kyun ke oil exports se Canada ko zyada fayda hota hai. Agar oil prices girte hain, to CAD ko nuksan hota hai aur USD ke muqablay mein girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. Is lihaaz se oil market USD/CAD ke trend par bohot bara asar dalta hai.

      Interest Rates Aur Monetary Policy

      US aur Canada ke central banks, yani Federal Reserve aur Bank of Canada, apni monetary policies ke zariye interest rates ko control karte hain. Agar US mein interest rates barhte hain to USD mazboot hota hai, aur agar Canada mein barhte hain to CAD ko support milta hai. Is liye, har do mulkon ki central banks ki announcements ko closely dekhna bohot zaroori hota hai.

      USD/CAD Ka Trend Analysis

      2024 mein USD/CAD ka trend kaafi volatile raha hai. Ek taraf, US economy recession ke khatrona se bachti hui nazar aa rahi hai, jabke doosri taraf Canada ko apne oil exports ki wajah se faida mil raha hai. Agar oil prices mein izafa hota hai, to CAD mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Lekin agar US economy ko koi achi news milti hai, jese ke inflation control ya interest rates mein izafa, to USD upper hand le sakta hai.

      Technical Analysis

      Abhi ke liye, USD/CAD ki major resistance level 1.3700 ke aas paas hai, jabke support level 1.3400 ke qareeb hai. Agar price 1.3700 ke upar breakout karti hai, to yeh ek bullish signal hoga, aur USD aur mazid strong ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.3400 ke neeche jati hai, to CAD ke mazid strong hone ka imkaan hai. Is waqt RSI aur moving averages ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai taake price ka aage ka rujhan samjha ja sake.

      Conclusion

      USD/CAD par trading karte waqt oil prices aur central bank policies ko closely dekhna bohot zaroori hai. Yeh dono factors is currency pair ke future ko kaafi limit tak decide karte hain.


         
      • #1113 Collapse

        Fed ki taraf se September mein rate cuts ke hawale se kam aggressive hone ki umeed hai. Traders ISM Manufacturing PMI ki release ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Tuesday ko hai, US employment data se pehle. Canadian dollar ki girawat, jo commodity prices se mutasir hai, oil prices ke barhne se modrate hone ki umeed hai. Monday ke holiday data ne USD/CAD ki demand ko thoda kam kar diya, jis se price movement slow ho gayi hai, aur pair ab 1.3501 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Chaar hafton ki rally ke baad, jis mein Canadian dollar 22-month lows se 3.63% barh kar five-month highs tak pahuncha, iska momentum ab ruk gaya hai. Short-term trends ab dollar bulls ke favor mein hain, aur USD/CAD 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.3617 ko test karne ke liye poised hai. Agar pair 1.3486-1.3516 range ko break karta hai aur solid foothold establish karta hai, to ye 1.3566-1.3606 resistance zone ki taraf barh sakta hai. Jabke initial price movement ne is expectation ko meet kiya hai, yeh dekhna abhi baaki hai ke pair is momentum ko sustain karega ya 1.3486 level par wapas jayega, jo ke false breakout ko indicate kar sakta hai. Agar pair resistance zone mein move karta hai,
        USD/CAD ne apni downward trajectory ko continue rakha hai, jo pichlay haftay shuru hui thi. Halanki weekly decrease lagbhag 75 pips ka hai jo zaahir tor par chhota lag sakta hai, lekin iske technical implications kafi significant hain. Is decline ne bearish engulfing pattern ko trigger kiya hai, jo ke ek strong reversal signal hai aur ye agle dinon mein aur ziyata downside potential ki nishani hai. Iss setup ke madde nazar, traders ko USD/CAD pair par mazeed selling pressure ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, jahan price key support zone ke qareeb 1.3600 par move kar sakti hai. Weekly chart par banne wala bearish engulfing pattern is baat ki mazid taeed karta hai ke sellers ab control mein hain. Ye pattern tab hota hai jab ek bearish candlestick pichlay haftay ki bullish candlestick ko perfect tor par engulf kar leta hai, jo market sentiment ko bullish se bearish mein shift honay ki nishani hai. Ab jab ke ye pattern confirm ho gaya hai, ye indicate karta hai ke pair decline karta rahega, aur shayad support zone 1.3600 ke qareeb pohanch jaye.
        1.3600 level USD/CAD ke liye past mein ek significant support zone sabit hota raha hai. Ye area bar-bar pair ko upar dhakelta raha hai, jisse aksar substantial bullish rallies dekhne ko milti hain. Is support level se ab se pehle jo bounce dekhne ko mila tha, usne lagbhag 1.3945 tak ka peak dekhaya tha kuch hafte pehle. Jab ye pair is critical level ke qareeb phir se pohanchta hai, traders ko is rebound ke potential par gaur karna chahiye.
        Agar pair 1.3600 support zone tak pohanchta hai, to ye ek valuable buying opportunity sabit ho sakti hai




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        • #1114 Collapse

          USD/CAD Price Summary

          Hamari guftagu abhi bhi USD/CAD currency pair ki real-time evaluation ke gird ghoom rahi hai. Surat-e-haal zyadah nahi badli, aur hum abhi bhi maqami highs ke qareeb ek tang range mein trade kar rahe hain baghair kisi bara nuqsan ke. Kal bhi, jab retail sales ke positive data ke baad dollar mein achi barhoti hui thi, hum is range ke andar hi rahe. Magar, asliyat mein trend abhi bhi downward hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj ka din U.S. ke liye faisla kun ho sakta hai kyun ke hum Federal Reserve ka announcement expect kar rahe hain. Market kisi bhi direction mein move kar sakti hai kyun ke yeh clear nahi hai ke rate kitna hoga, lekin umeed hai ke 0.4-point ka cut ho sakta hai. Jo bhi rhetoric decision ke sath aaye ga, woh bhi critical hoga. Main Federal Reserve ke announcement se pehle koi position open nahi karoon ga, lekin agar koi false breakout 1.3621 ke upar hota hai toh main pair ko short karne ka sochoon ga. Is waqt, bearish momentum control mein hai aur bulls zyada muqawamat nahi kar rahe, jo sellers ke liye favourable conditions create kar raha hai.

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          Ek triple top pehle hi form ho chuki hai, jisme 1.3579 par ek false breakout hua tha, aur iske baad decline resume ho gi. Current conditions selling ke liye ideal hain. Yeh pair mazeed gir sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke 1.3564 ka level tor de. Agar 1.3621 ka level aur false breakout confirm ho jata hai, to girawat ka silsila aur barh sakta hai. Market abhi bhi 1.3539 ke neechay girne ki koshish kar raha hai. Thodi bohot upward correction ho sakti hai, lekin overall trend girawat ki taraf hi rahe ga. Agar aaj hum 1.3559 ka level tor ke us position ko hold karte hain, to yeh selling ka signal ho ga. Main USD/CAD pair ko short karne ka plan kar raha hoon kyun ke short positions ke liye setup promising lag raha hai. Current price 1.35845 hai jo ek strong selling interest ke area ke qareeb hai, aur main is price par entry karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin price thodi si aur upper bhi ja sakti hai.
           
          • #1115 Collapse

            (USD) ki qeemat gir gayi hai. Jab interest rates kam hoti hain, toh USD-denominated assets par returns bhi kam hote hain, jis ki wajah se currency ki demand kum ho jati hai aur uska value drop ho jata hai. In expectations ka USD par downward pressure raha, jo pair ki recent girawat ka sabab bana. Dosri taraf, Canadian Dollar (CAD) ne mazid strength hasil ki, jisme Bank of Canada (BoC) ke Governor Tiff Macklem ke remarks ka aham kirdar tha. Macklem ne indication di ke BoC rate-cutting measures ko jaldi implement kar sakta hai, jis se CAD ke liye ek positive outlook bana hai. Agar BoC economic conditions ke mutabiq zyada tayyar hota hai to Canadian assets ka attraction barh sakta hai. Yeh dynamic, jahan Fed ke rate cuts USD ko weak kar rahe hain aur BoC ke rate cuts CAD ko strengthen kar rahe hain, ne CAD ko USD ke against gain karne ka mauqa diya hai. **Technical point of view** se USD/CAD abhi ek downward trend ka samna kar raha hai, jahan price 1.3560 tak gir chuki hai. Yeh trend technical indicators aur significant support levels se support karta hai. Price ab ek important support area ke qareeb hai jo 1.3570 par hai. Agar USD/CAD is level ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ka continuation signal kar sakta hai, aur further targets lower support zones tak ja sakte hain. Yeh technical pattern bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai, aur 1.3565 level ko monitor karna crucial hai. Lekin agar price mein rebound ya correction hota hai, toh buying opportunities 1.3565 ke qareeb mazid emerge kar sakti hain, khas tor par agar price EMA zone par dynamic support par react karti hai. Resistance level 1.3623 par expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar price rebound karti hai aur is resistance ke qareeb jati hai, toh yeh broader downtrend mein ek temporary bullish correction ka signal de sakta hai. Effective risk management zaroori hai, aur 1.3560 par stop-loss levels recommended hain taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake agar bearish trend continue karta hai. Overall Click image for larger version

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            • #1116 Collapse

              Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Mera trading strategy Bollinger Bands aur vertical volume histogram par base karti hai, jo ab yeh signal deti hai ke growth ka peak aa gaya hai aur yeh short position open karne ka acha waqt hai. Bollinger Bands ke mutabiq, abhi pair ki quote 1.36061 par hai, jo ke upper boundary 1.36027 se zyada hai. Yani yeh ideal moment hai sell karne ka, kyun ke price wapas reverse ho kar Bollinger Bands ke lower levels ki taraf jaane ka chance hai. Mera pehla profit target middle band ke aas paas 1.35748 hoga, aur doosra target 1.35469. Main trailing stop ka use karunga taake gains protect ho sakein. Agar aaj ka downward movement continue hota hai, toh achi profit secure karne ka mauqa hai. Click image for larger version

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              Pullback ke baad growth dobara resume hone ki umeed hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci level ke aas paas target hoga, jo pechlay decrease par base karta hai. Intraday trades ke liye sirf buy positions ko consider kar raha hoon jab growth formations nazar aayengi. Selling signals ko ignore karna chahiye, kyun ke rebounds resistance level se shallow ho sakte hain.

              Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (triangular moving average) aur RSI indicators ka technical analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke market clearly bearish hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo ke current forecast dikhata hai, yeh currency ko bearish side par switch karne se nahi rok raha. Is case mein Kumo apni body mass ko badha kar decline ke favour mein 40-degree angle par pull kar raha hai. Light stochastic overbought zone mein chala gaya hai, jo ab potentially reversal aur decline ke liye ready hai.

              TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow lines) support aur resistance lines ko double-smoothed moving averages ke base par banata hai, aur instrument ki current boundaries ko achi tarah dikhata hai. RSI basement indicator ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par use hota hai jo Heiken Ashi ke sath best results dikhata hai. Chart mein red candlesticks dikhate hain ke sellers ki priority hai. Price ne channel ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kar liya tha, aur maximum point se bounce kar ke channel mein wapas aaya, phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf gaya. Saath hi, RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai kyun ke iski curve neeche move kar rahi hai aur oversold level ke paas nahi hai.

                 
              • #1117 Collapse

                Hum USD/CAD currency pair ka 4-hour timeframe par technical analysis kar rahe hain. Forex market mai is instrument ka analysis karte waqt Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke signals ka istimal kiya ja raha hai, sath hi RSI (14) aur MACD classic oscillators ko bhi entry points ki tasdeeq ke liye use kiya jata hai. Trade sirf us waqt open hoti hai jab teeno indicators ek he direction mai signal dain, agar koi signal match na kare to entry ignore ki jati hai. Position se nikalne ke liye Fibonacci retracement levels ka istimal kiya jata hai, jo trading ke liye chune gaye waqt (haal ya guzishta din/haftay) ke extremes se draw hote hain.

                Is H4 timeframe par chart pe dekha ja sakta hai ke pehla regression line (golden dashed line) jo asal trend ka direction aur halat zahir kar raha hai, neeche ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo ke zyada tar bearish movement ka ishara de raha hai.
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                Non-linear regression channel bhi neeche ki taraf bend ho chuka hai, golden uptrend line ko upar se neeche cross karte hue, aur ab yeh neeche ki taraf chal raha hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators overbought zone mai hain, jo ke ek acha mauqa hai short selling ke liye. Price ne linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelResLine red resistance line ko cross kar liya, aur quotes ki maximum value (HIGH) tak pohanch gaya, lekin is ke baad upar ki taraf ruk gaya aur thehrav ke baad girna shuru ho gaya.

                Is tamam analysis ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes dobara 2nd LevelResLine ke neeche consolidate karega, aur phir neeche ki taraf golden middle LR line, jo ke linear channel ka hissa hai, aur 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.33900 ka target achieve karega.

                Agar price upar ki taraf chalta hai to Fibonacci retracement ka istimal karte hue 50% level ko target kiya ja sakta hai. Pehle price 38.1% level ke kareeb tha lekin kuch factors ki wajah se neeche ki taraf reversal ho gaya. Baqi currency pairs bhi zyada wazeh nahi hain, kyun ke zyada tar uncertainty ka shikar hain. Main overall bearish trend ki taraf jhuka hua hoon, kyun ke aksar trend ke direction mai trade karna aasaan hota hai. Lekin 1.3544 level aik bara barrier hai jo foran selling ko rok raha hai, bhale he setup tempting ho. Agar 1.3544 break ho jata hai, to ideal entry us waqt hogi jab price is level ko neeche se retest kare, lekin ye bhi ho sakta hai ke price break karke retest ke baghair neeche chaley jaye. Price abhi bhi consolidate ho raha hai aur main is range se breakout ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Maine yeh umeed nahi ki thi ke consolidation itni dair tak chalay gi.
                   
                • #1118 Collapse

                  USD/CAD ke recent behavior ko kai factors ke combination se influence kiya gaya hai, jinmein Fed policy expectations aur crude oil prices shamil hain. Federal Reserve officials ke recent comments, khaaskar Mary Daly ke, Fed ke monetary policy outlook mein badlav ka ishara dete hain. Daly ne kaha hai ke Federal Reserve ke liye interest rates cut karna munasib ho sakta hai. Yeh stance pehle ke tightening cycle se ek aham tabdeeli hai aur USD ke liye significant implications ho sakti hain. Lower interest rates aam tor par currency ko kamzor kar deti hain, kyunki yeh currency mein assets hold karne ki attractiveness ko kam kar deti hain, jo demand mein kami la sakti hai. Crude oil prices recently barh gayi hain, jo CAD ko support provide kar rahi hain. Canada ek major oil exporter hai, isliye higher oil prices aam tor par CAD ko boost deti hain, national revenues ko barhati hain aur trade balances ko behtar banati hain. Is wajah se, jab oil prices high hoti hain, toh CAD dusri currencies ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hoti hai. Yeh positive correlation USD/CAD ke liye ek headwind bana deti hai, jo USD ko CAD ke muqablay mein ground gain karna mushkil bana deti hai.
                  USD/CAD market mein buyers ka asar abhi bhi qabil-e-bharosa lagta hai. Aane wale bullish trend ka agla target 1.3647–1.3676 region tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke recent bullish trend agle hafte bhi barqarar rahe. Candlestick abhi downward correction se guzar rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke hafte ke aghaz mein market ka haal kaisa hoga. Iska matlab yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke Monday ya Tuesday tak price 1.3554 tak neeche aa jaye. Lekin Wednesday se trading session ke aghaz se agle hafte ke aakhri din tak, mujhe lagta hai ke candlestick positive trend ki taraf jaari reh sakti hai. Jab Stochastic Indicator ka signal line dekha gaya, toh yeh 20 zone se door chalta hua dikhai diya, jo buyers ki control ko zahir karta hai. Yeh lagta hai ke candlestick agle hafte mazeed upar jaane ka irada rakhta hai taake positive trend ko qaim rakh sake, aur price ko buyers ke target tak pohchne de. Mera ye andaza hai ke agle hafte price apna upward trend barqarar rakhne ke imkaanaat hain, aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke wo upar wale area ko test kare. Agar yeh koshish kamiyab hoti hai, toh USD/CAD pair agle bullish target ki taraf barh sakta hai, lekin agar yeh koshish nakam hoti hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke price bearish side ki taraf gir sakti hai,

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                  • #1119 Collapse

                    USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain. H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai.
                    jahan price ne guzra hua bounce back dikhaya hai. Is cheez ko samajhna traders ko market movements ko anticipate karne mein madad de sakta hai aur ye samajhne mein ke kab trades ko enter ya exit karna hai. Market ke kareeb lower boundary hai, ye aam baat hai ke traders growth ke signs ka intezar karein. Is case mein, target level dekhne wala 1.3850 hai. Ye level ek point hai jahan market resistance face kar sakti hai, jo ke ek correction ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Market mein correction ek temporary reversal hota hai price trend mein, jo aam tor par profit-taking ya market sentiment mein shift ke zariye hota hai. Is scenario mein, jab market 1.3680 tak pohnch jaye, to ek downward correction wapis lower boundary ke kareeb 1.3963 tak anticipate kiya jaata hai. Correction ka concept trading mein bohot zaroori hota hai, kyun ke ye market mein dobara enter hone ke possibility ko zyada favorable price point par dekhne ki guzarish karta hai. Agar market wapis lower boundary 1.3963 tak correct karti hai, to traders ko naye buying opportunities consider karne ke liye tayar hona chahiye. Ye approach ek aam trading strategy ke sath align karti hai, jahan traders defined range ke andar low buy aur high sell ke liye dekhta hai.

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                    • #1120 Collapse

                      Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain. H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai. Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed

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                      • #1121 Collapse

                        USD/CAD Currency Pair ki Pricing Movements ka Current Analysis

                        USD/CAD currency pair ki pricing movements ka jaiza lete hue, hum technical analysis par focus karte hain. Is approach se humein potential levels identify karne mein madad milti hai jahan price action ya to aage barh sakti hai ya phir ruk sakti hai. Is waqt, maine ek weekly target establish kiya hai, lekin downside ka bhi khayal rakha hai. Short-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai.

                        Recently, humne ek significant level ko touch kiya hai, jo 61.7% Fibonacci retracement hai, aur iski importance confirm hui hai. Price ab is level ke qareeb hai, lekin agle steps abhi clear nahi hain. Pullback aur correction ka process jaldi shuru ho sakta hai, jaise maine anticipate kiya tha. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke USD/CAD aur neeche gir jaye.

                        Summary mein, kayi sawalat abhi baqi hain, aur ek closer target decision-making ko aasaan bana sakta hai. Growth potential tab hoga jab buyers significant momentum ke sath 1.34719 ko break karne mein kamiyab hon. Tab tak, mein sellers ke sath aligned hoon aur USD/CAD currency pair ki movements se faida uthana chahta hoon.

                        Agar hum four-hour chart ko dekhein, toh yeh wazeh hota hai ke 1.35979 level sell positions initiate karne ke liye ek strategic point hai. Mera maqsad hai ke price pehle ke low 1.34459 tak drop kare, jahan profits hasil kiye ja sakte hain. Lekin agar market dynamics shift hon aur reversal signal milta hai, toh trade ko loss par band karna par sakta hai.

                        Agar 1.35979 level cross ho jaye, toh yeh naye support level ke taur par serve kar sakta hai, jise buy positions ke liye viable point samjha ja sakta hai. Mere analysis mein USD/CAD pair ko M30 time frame par focus kiya gaya hai. Strategy mein Bollinger indicator aur vertical tick volume histogram shamil hain.

                        Iss waqt, USD/CAD 1.34652 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jahan selling ki taraf inclination zyada hai. Sell positions enter karne ke liye extreme limit 1.34719 hai, jabke Bollinger indicator ki lower boundary 1.34591 ek appropriate profit target ke taur par kaam karti hai. Yeh natural hai ke lower boundary thodi si downward movement ke sath shift ho sakti hai.
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                        • #1122 Collapse

                          USD/CAD Currency Pair ki Analysis

                          Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke pricing movement ka ongoing study analyze kar rahe hain. Yeh currency pair consolidation phase mein hai aur lagta hai ke yeh trend Monday ko bhi continue kar sakta hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke pair ne recently 1.3511 resistance level ko test kiya hai aur abhi 1.3490 par trade kar raha hai.

                          RSI apne range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend dikha raha hai, jabke AO ek weak sell signal de raha hai. Yeh pair previous day's trading range ke upar baitha hai. Halanki signals faint hain, yeh ek chhoti si increase ki possibility suggest karte hain. Price shayad 1.3511 resistance level ko phir se test kare.

                          Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CAD pair eventually decline karega, apne lows ko break karega, aur naye support levels establish karega. Weekly time frame mein ek significant critical level deep mein hai, jise main closely monitor karunga. Ek reversal pattern nazar aa raha hai. Price ne four-hour chart par ek crucial support level ko break kiya, jo ke weekly breakdown mein identify kiya gaya. Yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls ke paas advance karne ke liye space hai.

                          Direction ka chunav abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin prolonged retracement ki kami ke madde nazar, current trend ke continuation ka chance barh gaya hai. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke Canadian dollar pair apni bearish trajectory mein koi significant changes nahi dekhi hain, aur downside potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Halanki recent decline ruk gaya hai, aur 1.351 se upar jane ki koshish ki gayi thi, lekin pair is level ko sustain nahi kar paya.

                          U.S. dollar ko kuch support mila hai halan ke weak economic indices release hue hain. Critical sawaal yeh hai ke Monday ko trading kaise unfold hogi, given ke dono U.S. aur Canada ek holiday observe karenge. In developments ke bawajood, meri stance bearish outlook par barqarar hai. Agar pair pull back karke 1.3576 ke upar chadh jata hai, to main us point par selling opportunities ko consider karunga.
                          USD/CAD Currency Pair ki Analysis
                          Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke pricing movement ka ongoing study analyze kar rahe hain. Yeh currency pair consolidation phase mein hai aur lagta hai ke yeh trend Monday ko bhi continue kar sakta hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke pair ne recently 1.3511 resistance level ko test kiya hai aur abhi 1.3490 par trade kar raha hai.

                          RSI apne range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend dikha raha hai, jabke AO ek weak sell signal de raha hai. Yeh pair previous day's trading range ke upar baitha hai. Halanki signals faint hain, yeh ek chhoti si increase ki possibility suggest karte hain. Price shayad 1.3511 resistance level ko phir se test kare.

                          Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CAD pair eventually decline karega, apne lows ko break karega, aur naye support levels establish karega. Weekly time frame mein ek significant critical level deep mein hai, jise main closely monitor karunga. Ek reversal pattern nazar aa raha hai. Price ne four-hour chart par ek crucial support level ko break kiya, jo ke weekly breakdown mein identify kiya gaya. Yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls ke paas advance karne ke liye space hai.

                          Direction ka chunav abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin prolonged retracement ki kami ke madde nazar, current trend ke continuation ka chance barh gaya hai. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke Canadian dollar pair apni bearish trajectory mein koi significant changes nahi dekhi hain, aur downside potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Halanki recent decline ruk gaya hai, aur 1.351 se upar jane ki koshish ki gayi thi, lekin pair is level ko sustain nahi kar paya.

                          U.S. dollar ko kuch support mila hai halan ke weak economic indices release hue hain. Critical sawaal yeh hai ke Monday ko trading kaise unfold hogi, given ke dono U.S. aur Canada ek holiday observe karenge. In developments ke bawajood, meri stance bearish outlook par barqarar hai. Agar pair pull back karke 1.3576 ke upar chadh jata hai, to main us point par selling opportunities ko consider karunga. Click image for larger version

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                          • #1123 Collapse

                            USD/CAD Price Analysis

                            USD/CAD ke price ke hawale se analysis yeh hai ke currency pair ka daily chart ek mazboot bullish candle ko zahir kar raha hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke shayad trading day ke khatam hone se pehle 1.3591–1.3609 ke resistance zone ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh zone clear breakout dekhay, toh is se mazeed upar ke targets ke liye rasta saaf ho sakta hai.

                            Maine pehle anticipate kiya tha ke 1.3591 tak pohanchne ke baad yeh pair apna safar 1.3691 tak jaari rakh sakta hai. USD/CAD ki price ek ascending price medium mein push kar rahi hai. Aaj ke din yeh pair channel ke upper boundary 1.3532 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh peak hit karne par growth ruki hui lagti hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke reversal mumkin hai. Agar decline hota hai, toh price wapas channel ki lower boundary ke paas, jo ke 1.3497 ke kareeb hai, retreat kar sakti hai.

                            Oil aur is trading instrument ko dekhte huay, ek bullish direction-based jump ki umeed thi, lekin abhi tak yeh nahi hua, shayad U.S. dollar ki taqat ki wajah se. Technically, mujhe lagta hai ke 1.3428 support level ko test karne ki koshish ki jaaegi, lekin market dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain. Koi bara market participant behtar insights rakh sakta hai.

                            Hum daily time frame mein critical 1.3591–1.3609 level ko probe karte rehain. Agar confirm ho jaye, toh ek bearish trend-based correction ho sakta hai. Lekin oil prices ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se ek aur push 1.3591–1.3609 ke upar ho sakta hai. Pair apni alignment bullish trajectory ki taraf kar raha hai.

                            Agar yeh 1.3577 ke upar break karta hai, toh main buy karne ka sochunga, aur mera target 1.3705 hoga. Phir 1.3646 se pullback par mazeed buys karne ka irada hai, jiska aim 1.3784–1.3834 hai. Aakhir mein, main 1.3941 ke upar market mein northward entry karne ka irada rakhta hoon, is liye main closely watch karunga ke price 1.3705 ke qareeb trend line ke upar break hoti hai ya nahi.
                            USD/CAD Price Analysis
                            USD/CAD ke price ke hawale se analysis yeh hai ke currency pair ka daily chart ek mazboot bullish candle ko zahir kar raha hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke shayad trading day ke khatam hone se pehle 1.3591–1.3609 ke resistance zone ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh zone clear breakout dekhay, toh is se mazeed upar ke targets ke liye rasta saaf ho sakta hai.

                            Maine pehle anticipate kiya tha ke 1.3591 tak pohanchne ke baad yeh pair apna safar 1.3691 tak jaari rakh sakta hai. USD/CAD ki price ek ascending price medium mein push kar rahi hai. Aaj ke din yeh pair channel ke upper boundary 1.3532 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh peak hit karne par growth ruki hui lagti hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke reversal mumkin hai. Agar decline hota hai, toh price wapas channel ki lower boundary ke paas, jo ke 1.3497 ke kareeb hai, retreat kar sakti hai.

                            Oil aur is trading instrument ko dekhte huay, ek bullish direction-based jump ki umeed thi, lekin abhi tak yeh nahi hua, shayad U.S. dollar ki taqat ki wajah se. Technically, mujhe lagta hai ke 1.3428 support level ko test karne ki koshish ki jaaegi, lekin market dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain. Koi bara market participant behtar insights rakh sakta hai.

                            Hum daily time frame mein critical 1.3591–1.3609 level ko probe karte rehain. Agar confirm ho jaye, toh ek bearish trend-based correction ho sakta hai. Lekin oil prices ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se ek aur push 1.3591–1.3609 ke upar ho sakta hai. Pair apni alignment bullish trajectory ki taraf kar raha hai.

                            Agar yeh 1.3577 ke upar break karta hai, toh main buy karne ka sochunga, aur mera target 1.3705 hoga. Phir 1.3646 se pullback par mazeed buys karne ka irada hai, jiska aim 1.3784–1.3834 hai. Aakhir mein, main 1.3941 ke upar market mein northward entry karne ka irada rakhta hoon, is liye main closely watch karunga ke price 1.3705 ke qareeb trend line ke upar break hoti hai ya nahi. Click image for larger version

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                            • #1124 Collapse

                              USD/CAD Ka Halat: Geopolitical Tensions Aur Market Sentiment Ka Asar

                              Pair Friday ko early US session mein 1.3570 ke aas-paas softer note par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke rates ko unchanged rakhne ke faisle ke baad, US Dollar ki recent dip ne pair ko weekly lows tak push kar diya hai. Ab investors upcoming economic data, jaise ke US ISM Manufacturing PMI, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, aur final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, se further direction ka intezar kar rahe hain.
                              Geopolitical Tensions Aur Negative Sentiment


                              Geopolitical tensions bhi market sentiment par asar daal rahi hain. Israeli government ne report kiya hai ke usne Hezbollah ke most senior commander ko Beirut mein aik airstrike ke zariye target kiya hai. Ye action Israel par cross-border rocket attack ke jawab mein kiya gaya. US aur UN officials ke ongoing diplomatic efforts ke bawajood, Reuters ke mutabiq Middle East mein broader conflict ka risk ab bhi ek concern bana hua hai.

                              Scotiabank ke Chief FX Strategist, Shaun Osborne, ne is baat par roshni dalte hue kaha ke Canadian dollar ko kafi negative sentiment ka samna karna pad raha hai. Unhone ye bhi note kiya ke Commodity Futures Trading Commission ke recent data ke mutabiq bearish positions mein substantial increase aayi hai. Ye negative sentiment primarily Bank of Canada ke current monetary policy stance ki wajah se hai, jo easing ki taraf lean karta hai.
                              USD/CAD 1.3600 Ko Break Karne Mein Struggle


                              Filhal, pair 1.3580 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo 2024 ke peak bids ke upper end ke nazdeek hai. Technical low 1.3496 aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se bounce karne ke baad, pair ne 2% se zyada gain kiya hai. Magar, bullish momentum fade hota dikh raha hai kyunki pair 1.3600 mark ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, pair teen hafton se winning streak par hai, jo kuch resilience ko indicate karta hai.

                              Long-term technical analysis abhi bhi long positions ko support karti hai, kyunki spot price 50-day EMA (1.3511) ke upar trade kar raha hai. Lekin, upward momentum constricted hai kyunki pair is mahine ke shuru mein 1.3950 ke peak ko surpass nahi kar paya.
                              Aakhir Mein


                              In tamam factors ko dekhte hue, USD/CAD ki halat mehsoos ki ja rahi hai ke kuch volatility aane wali hai. Investors ko chahiye ke wo market trends aur economic indicators par nazar rakhein taake behtar faisle le sakein.
                              USD/CAD Ka Halat: Geopolitical Tensions Aur Market Sentiment Ka Asar
                              Pair Friday ko early US session mein 1.3570 ke aas-paas softer note par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke rates ko unchanged rakhne ke faisle ke baad, US Dollar ki recent dip ne pair ko weekly lows tak push kar diya hai. Ab investors upcoming economic data, jaise ke US ISM Manufacturing PMI, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, aur final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, se further direction ka intezar kar rahe hain.

                              Geopolitical Tensions Aur Negative Sentiment
                              Geopolitical tensions bhi market sentiment par asar daal rahi hain. Israeli government ne report kiya hai ke usne Hezbollah ke most senior commander ko Beirut mein aik airstrike ke zariye target kiya hai. Ye action Israel par cross-border rocket attack ke jawab mein kiya gaya. US aur UN officials ke ongoing diplomatic efforts ke bawajood, Reuters ke mutabiq Middle East mein broader conflict ka risk ab bhi ek concern bana hua hai.

                              Scotiabank ke Chief FX Strategist, Shaun Osborne, ne is baat par roshni dalte hue kaha ke Canadian dollar ko kafi negative sentiment ka samna karna pad raha hai. Unhone ye bhi note kiya ke Commodity Futures Trading Commission ke recent data ke mutabiq bearish positions mein substantial increase aayi hai. Ye negative sentiment primarily Bank of Canada ke current monetary policy stance ki wajah se hai, jo easing ki taraf lean karta hai.

                              USD/CAD 1.3600 Ko Break Karne Mein Struggle
                              Filhal, pair 1.3580 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo 2024 ke peak bids ke upper end ke nazdeek hai. Technical low 1.3496 aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se bounce karne ke baad, pair ne 2% se zyada gain kiya hai. Magar, bullish momentum fade hota dikh raha hai kyunki pair 1.3600 mark ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, pair teen hafton se winning streak par hai, jo kuch resilience ko indicate karta hai.

                              Long-term technical analysis abhi bhi long positions ko support karti hai, kyunki spot price 50-day EMA (1.3511) ke upar trade kar raha hai. Lekin, upward momentum constricted hai kyunki pair is mahine ke shuru mein 1.3950 ke peak ko surpass nahi kar paya.

                              Aakhir Mein
                              In tamam factors ko dekhte hue, USD/CAD ki halat mehsoos ki ja rahi hai ke kuch volatility aane wali hai. Investors ko chahiye ke wo market trends aur economic indicators par nazar rakhein taake behtar faisle le sakein. Click image for larger version

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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #1125 Collapse

                                Trading Wisdom: USD/CAD
                                We are presently dissecting the dynamic pricing behavior of the USD/CAD currency pair. Considering a potential bearish movement for the USD/CAD pair, we could see a decline without breaking the recent high. Given the current accumulation zone, the price may not rise further, as there might be no financial incentive for significant players above this level. If this scenario holds, we might see the price drop straight from here without touching the recent peak. We could see an upward rebound if the pair fell to the accumulation zone around 1.3559. However, a sharp decline below the recent low could follow if the price fails to break through the 1.3589 level. A bullish move is likely, but the cost may remain within the current sideways range. That is the tentative trading plan for the near te Click image for larger version

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                                The pair has been trading sideways on the daily chart for some time, and today, it remains within that range. It is unclear whether this sideways price pattern will persist or if a breakout is imminent. Let's examine the technical analysis for insights. Moving averages and technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, signaling a "buy" across the board. Based on this analysis, a bullish move seems likely, but we need confirmation. As for market news, critical updates from the U.S. have been positive, with more data expected soon. Canada recently released figures on foreign investment in its securities, which is another positive sign. No significant news from Canada is forthcoming. Based on this, I expect an upward movement in the future. Buying could be targeted at the 1.3619 resistance level, while sales could aim for the 1.3589 support level.

                                economic factors could impact the direction of GBP/USD in the near future. The United Kingdom’s economic outlook, particularly in the wake of ongoing inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and fiscal policies, will play a significant role in determining the direction of the Pound.

                                If the Bank of England (BoE) signals any change in monetary policy or takes a more dovish stance on interest rates, this could put further pressure on the Pound, exacerbating the bearish trend. On the other hand, any signs of economic recovery, improvements in GDP, or a more hawkish tone from the BoE could provide a boost for the currency.

                                In the United States, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will also be crucial. As the Fed continues to monitor inflation data and employment figures, any changes in the outlook for interest rates will have a direct impact on the US Dollar. A stronger dollar, driven by higher interest rates, tends to weaken the GBP/USD pair, while a softer dollar could help the Pound recover.

                                Additionally, external geopolitical factors, such as trade relationships, Brexit-related developments, or broader macroeconomic issues like energy prices, could cause large swings in the market. Investors are keeping a close watch on these events, as they can create the conditions for the kind of volatility and big movement you anticipate in the coming days.

                                3. Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior:
                                Another aspect to consider is the overall market sentiment. Market participants’ attitudes towards risk are constantly shifting based on global economic conditions, news headlines, and central bank commentary. At present, if traders perceive that the risks of holding Pounds are higher than those associated with holding Dollars, we will likely see continued selling pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

                                However, if there is a shift in sentiment—for example, if there is a resolution to some of the global economic concerns such as inflation or energy crises—we may see renewed confidence in the Pound. Sentiment can change quickly, especially in times of uncertainty, leading to the kind of sharp movements you expect. This could come in the form of a rally for GBP/USD or an acceleration of the bearish trend.

                                4. Upcoming Economic Data:
                                In the coming days, economic data releases will be closely watched by traders and investors. Key data points like inflation numbers, employment reports, and GDP figures for both the UK and the US will offer more insight into the health of the respective economies.

                                For instance, higher-than-expected inflation in the UK could push the BoE to raise interest rates further, providing support for the Pound. Conversely, if the data shows signs of economic weakness, the bearish trend could continue or even accelerate.

                                On the US side, any signs of economic strength could bolster the US Dollar, putting further downward pressure on GBP/USD. Conversely, weaker-than-expected data from the US could have the opposite effect, helping the Pound regain strength against the Dollar.

                                5. Volatility Expectations:
                                Finally, it’s worth noting that periods of low volatility often precede high volatility. As you have pointed out, the GBP/USD pair is moving slowly now, but this may be the calm before the storm. Traders are likely waiting for key catalysts to make their next move, which could result in a sudden and significant movement.

                                In conclusion, while the current trend of GBP/USD is bearish and the market is moving slowly, there are several reasons to expect a big movement in the coming days. Technical indicators suggest that the market may be preparing for a breakout, while fundamental factors like economic data, central bank policies, and global market sentiment will likely play a significant role in determining the direction of the next move. Whether it will continue its downward trend or reverse direction remains to be seen, but the conditions are ripe for volatility.











                                   

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