Usd/cad

1.3796 mein mojud hain aur is range mein aik haftay se zyada arsay se hain. Yeh is baat ka imkaan kam kar deta hai ke prices 1.3796 se neechay girain gi, jo ke US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone aur Canadian dollar ke kamzor hone ko zahir karta hai, jo ke oil brands ke girti hui qeematon se mazeed badh raha hai. Yeh factors upward movement ko realistic banatay hain. Dosri taraf, guzishta haftay ek expanding triangle pattern zahir hoti hai, jo buyers ki kamzori ko dikhata hai, aur Thursday ko prices ka girna mazeed girawat ka imkaan barhata hai jo ke 1.3632 tak ja sakti hai aur consolidation range ko extend kar sakti hai. Mera andaza hai ke aglay haftay sideways movement hogi, kyunki koi strong impulses nahi hain jo ke significant upward ya downward momentum ko drive karen, given ke kamzor news background expected hai. Currency pair abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke dono borders ke upar trade kar raha hai. Support level 1.3834 ko test karne ke baad rebound hua, aur price dobara barh gayi. Candle model suggest karti hai ke bulls ne aakhri candle close hone par control hasil kar liya, jo ke growth potential ko reinforce karta hai. Natijan, currency pair apne upward trend ko jari rakhne ke liye poised hai, aur growth target 1.3887 hai. Hum is weekly maximum ko break karenge, aur 39-figure range ko aim karte huye, mumkin hai ke extended time frames mein 40-43 figures tak pahunch jayen. Agar is pair ko sell karne ka socha jaye, to ek greedy stop loss level set na karen, aur ise kam az kam 1.3996 par rakhen. Upward movement us surat mein likely hai agar bull wahan stop ko trigger karta hai. Har surat mein, bearish side ki taraf reversal expect nahi karunga. Bull abhi tak round resistance level 1.3901 tak


nahi pahuncha, jo bear ko poora moqa deta hai ke woh full-fledged turn bearish kare. Halankeh ek false breakout ya 1.3901 level ka minor breach hone se pehle downward turn lena mumkin nahi lagta. Hafte ke shuruati market session mein, price increase continue hone ke liye kaafi open lagti hai aur candlestick shayad weekly low 1.3792 ko chhodne ki koshish kare. Agar price Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ko red ke neeche break nahi kar pati, to yeh bullish path par wapas move karne ka reference ban sakta hai.
BUY transaction level ko 1.3845 ke range se calculate kiya ja sakta hai, khaaskar agar increase ka target 1.3900 ke nearest resistance level tak ho. Risk of loss ke liye price 1.3815 par rakha ja sakta hai. Agar buyers bullish target level tak pohnchne mein kamiyab hote hain, to further increases ka potential aur zyada hoga.
USD/CAD chart timeframe H4 ko monitor karte hue, buyers ki push dekhne ko milti hai jo candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 60 indicator in yellow ke upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

**USD/CAD Pair Review**

Aaj haftay ke beech mein, main phir se D1 period ka chart dekhne ka tajwez deta hoon - USDCAD currency pair. Pichle hafte yeh dheere-dheere neeche ki taraf gira aur is hafte bhi ye trend continue raha. Lekin filhaal wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf apna order bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is pair ki last corrective decline kaafi expected thi, kyun ke price pichle saal ke maximum ko break kar gayi thi, aur CCI indicator par bearish divergence bhi dekha gaya. Hafte ke shuruat mein price ne sharp udaan bharte hue maximums ko break kiya, aur phir wahan se gir gayi, support level 1.3795 ko break kar diya, lekin buyers ko abhi chhodna jaldi hai. General, price yahan clearly neeche ki taraf main senior support line tak girne ki koshish kar rahi thi aur yeh kar bhi gayi. Maine ummeed ki thi ke isse rebound hoga, lekin isse push kar diya gaya aur price ko ek bohot hi powerful horizontal support level 1.3595 tak gira diya gaya. Price par pressure aur US dollar ke general weakening ko dekhte hue, price ko neeche jaana chahiye tha. Kam se kam current support se upar ki taraf rebound ki ummeed hai, aur zyada se zyada 1.3695 tak uthane ki ummeed hai. CCI indicator bhi neeche ke overheating zone se upar jaane ke liye tayaar hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke is level ko aasani se nahi reach kiya jayega. Agar aap four-hour period ke CCI indicator par dhyan dein, to wahan bullish divergence dekha ja sakta hai - jo ke growth ke signal ke taur par hai jab senior level ko dekhte hain. To yahan din ke chhote periods mein growth ke formations dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Aaj zyada news nahi hai, sirf shaam ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes hain.

USD/CAD Price Action ka Tajziya

Filhaal USD/CAD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behaviour ko analyse kar rahe hain. Canadian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein taqat pakad raha hai, jo ek aise trend ko darshata hai jo ab kuch waqt se dekhne ko mil raha hai. Computer analysis tools selling opportunities ka signal de rahe hain, jahan AO histogram aur MACD oscillator histogram positive se negative territory mein move kar rahe hain, aur zero level ko cross kar rahe hain. Ab strategy yeh hai ke price 1.3539 level ko bearish candle se breach kare ya false breakout ke through price drop ho. Jab short position profitable ho jaye aur price kam se kam adha distance cover kar le, to stop loss ko breakeven par le jana behtar hoga. Kamzor inflation data ki wajah se quotations mein prolonged decline ko dekhte hue, USD/CAD ko 1.3649 tak buy karne ka tajwez diya jata hai. Greenback index ka near-term trend largely Fed ke tone par depend karega. Canadian dollar ke liye, girti hui oil prices bhi jald hi iski value par asar dalengi.

USDCAD Pair ka Tajziya

USDCAD pair filhaal 1.3559 ke aas paas ke support zone ko test kar raha hai, jo ke haal hi mein 1.35874 ka low ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to price aur niche gir sakti hai, agla support level 1.3476 ke aas paas hoga. Aise decline se uptrend se downtrend ki shift ka signal milega. Lekin, is level se growth phir se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Dollar mein correction comprehensive hai, aur niche H1 timeframe mein move karte hue minimum ab tak ho chuka hai. Decline gradual raha hai, jo ke kisi bhi achanak girawat ke aane ka imkaan nahi darshata. Main umeed karta hoon ke jaldi ek modest rise dekha jayega, jahan 1.3579 immediate target hoga. Sath hi, yeh kuch points ka hi ho sakta hai, lekin din ke liye ek realistic goal hai. Lower broken band bhi downward trend ke continue hone ka ishara deti hai.

Aaj, hafta ke beech mein, main phir se D1 period ke chart ka jaiza lene ka mashwara deta hoon - USDCAD currency pair. Guzishta hafte yeh dheere dheere mazeed neeche gaye aur is hafte bhi yeh silsila jaari raha. Lekin filhaal wave structure abhi bhi apni direction upar ki taraf bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator abhi lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Iss pair ki price mein akhri corrective decline kafi expected thi, kyunki price pichle saal ke maximum se aage chali gayi thi, aur sath hi used CCI indicator par ek bearish divergence bhi dekhne ko mili. Hafte ke shuru mein price ne achanak maximum se upar soar kiya, aur phir wahan se gir gaya, support level 1.3795 ko todte hue, lekin buyers ko abhi likhna jaldi hoga. General taur par yahan price ne clearly main senior support line ke neeche girne ki koshish ki, aur aisa karne mein kamiyab ho gayi. Mujhe umeed thi ke yeh wahan se upar ki taraf rebound karegi, lekin yeh support ko tod diya gaya aur price ek bohat strong horizontal support level 1.3595 tak neeche aa gayi. Price par pressure aur US dollar ke overall market spectrum mein kamzori ko dekhte hue, price ko neeche jana chahiye tha. Kam az kam current support se ek rebound upar ki taraf expected hai, aur zyada se zyada yeh 1.3695 tak barh sakti hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar janay ke liye tayyar hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke aise level ko bas aisay hi reach karna mushkil hai. Agar aap 4-hour period ke CCI indicator par tawajju dein, to wahan ek bullish divergence ka mojoodgi paayi ja sakti hai - jo senior level par reliance ke waqt growth ka signal hota hai. To yahan chhote periods mein din ke dauran growth ki formations dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Aaj zyada news nahi hai, sirf shaam ko - Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting ke Minutes aayenge.




CONCLUSION:

USDCAD currency pair ka D1 chart dekhnay par maloom hota hai ke guzishta hafte se price dheere dheere neeche ja rahi hai, lekin wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai. MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur CCI indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko milti hai. Support level 1.3595 tak price gir chuki hai, lekin wahan se rebound ki umeed hai. Short-term mein growth ke indications hain, lekin sab kuch Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting ke Minutes par depend karega.

USD/CAD pair ne Thursday ki subah ke Asian session ke dauran thodi si girawat dekhi aur yeh 1.3755 ke aas-paas trade hui. Is girawat ka wajeh kai market dynamics hain. Sab se pehle, Bank of Canada (BoC) ne apni fikr ka izhaar kiya ke 2025 aur 2026 mein consumer spending shayad khaas nahi hogi, jo ke economic headwinds ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, BoC ne labor market mein dheemi growth aur working-age population mein job creation mein kami ka zikar bhi kiya, jo ke mixed economic outlook ko wazeh karta hai.
Investors ghore se weekly US Initial Jobless Claims report ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US employment market ke hawale se koi ishara mil sake. Agar jobless claims mein izafa hota hai to yeh labor market ke kamzor hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jo USD ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Federal Reserve ke further interest rate actions bhi ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Market mein umeed hai ke aur aggressive rate cuts honge, jo near term mein US dollar ke upside ko limit kar sakte hain.

Geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, aur US crude oil inventories ke girne se oil prices mein izafa hua hai. Canada ek bara oil exporter hai, isliye oil prices mein izafa aksar Canadian dollar ko support karta hai, jo ke USD/CAD pair ki softness ka ek aur wajah hai. Lekin Canadian economic landscape abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur aney wali employment data mein unemployment rate mein thoda izafa dikhaya ja sakta hai, jo 6.4% se 6.5% tak pohanch sakti hai.

USD/CAD exchange rate par domestic economic concerns, geopolitical factors, aur US interest rates ke hawale se market expectations ka asar hai. Traders ko yeh variables ghore se monitor karne ki zaroorat hai jab wo forex market mein navigate karte hain. H4 chart par currency pair USD/CAD correction mein hai. Isne character change bhi kiya hai jab price ne double bottom aur SMA-100 ko break kiya. Jab price SMA-100 ke upar bounce back karegi, to yeh ishara hoga ke correction phase khatam ho gaya hai aur phir hum buy entry dekh sakte koi

USD/CAD ke price action ko dekhte hue, abhi hum is currency pair ke dynamic pricing behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Canadian dollar, US dollar ke muqablay mein mazid mazbooti hasil kar raha hai, jo ke aik ahem trend hai. Computer analysis tools ab selling opportunities ka ishara de rahe hain, kyun ke AO histogram aur MACD oscillator histogram positive se negative territory mein move kar rahe hain, aur zero level cross kar rahe hain. Strategy ab price drop par focus karti hai, jo ke ya to false breakout se ho ya phir 1.3539 level ka complete breach ek bearish candle ke zariye ho. Jab short position profitable ho jaye aur price at least aadhi distance cover kar le, to stop loss ko breakeven par move karna acha hoga. Weak inflation data ke bawajood, mein USD/CAD ko 1.3649 tak kharidne ki salahiyat de raha hoon. Greenback index ka near-term trend ziada tar Fed ki tone par mabni hoga. Canadian dollar ke liye, girti hui oil prices uski value par jald asar dalengi.

USDCAD pair is waqt support zone ko test kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3559 ke qareeb hai aur recent low 1.35874 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to price mazeed gir sakti hai, jiska agla support level 1.3476 ke qareeb hoga. Aise girawat ek uptrend se downtrend mein shift ka signal hoga. Magar yeh level se growth dobara shuru hone ke imkanaat hain. Dollar mein correction comprehensive hai, aur agla minimum bas abhi H1 timeframe par dekha gaya hai. Girawat gradual rahi hai, jo ke sudden drops ke imkanaat ko kam karti hai. Mein jald hi aik modest rise ki tawaqo karta hoon, jahan 1.3579 immediate target hai. Yeh shayad sirf kuch points tak ho, lekin din ke liye yeh aik realistic goal hai. Lower broken band bhi downward trend ke continuation ka indication deta hai.

USD/CAD ke price movement ka tajziya abhi discussion ke liye available hai. Oil ka ongoing dispute ek dafa phir ubhar aya hai. Canadian dollar support range 1.3609-11 ke kareeb hai, jab ke oil apni recent corrective dip ke baad upper side pe rally karne mein hesitant lag raha hai. Yeh scenario reverse bhi ho sakta hai, aur trading instrument expected direction mein move kar sakta hai. Magar bearish rehne ke liye, price ko pehle 1.3609-11 ke strong horizontal support level ko breach karna zaroori hai, jo ke pehle mention kiya gaya hai. Is point par upper side pe bounce hone ke chances hain. Agar yeh movement fail ho gayi, toh hum din mein kisi waqt ek aur significant bullish zigzag dekh sakte hain. Buyers ko control wapas hasil karne ke liye, price ko recently reached high 1.3944 ke upar push karna hoga aur usse resistance zone 1.3909-11 ke upar secure karna hoga. Yeh upward movement ek challenging task hoga.


Meri strategy mein USD/CAD ko sell karne ke liye, current scenario sellers ke favor mein hai. Price 1.36689 tak pohonch gaya hai, jo ke selling ke liye ek acceptable range hai, is wajah se mujhe sell position enter karne mein confidence mil raha hai. Sellers ki dominance aur weak opposition short trades ko successfully initiate karne ke liye support kar rahi hai. Mera aaj ka target yeh hai ke lower support levels mein se ek, yani 1.36207 tak pohonchna hai. Magar exact stop level determine karna challenging hai, lekin yeh slightly above 1.36821 hona chahiye. Persistent selling pressure 1.36207 ke neeche break hone ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke sellers ki momentum ko aur mazid strengthen karega, aur in positions ke liye ek longer holding period ko indicate karega. Critical moment shayad 1.3617 ke aas paas hoga, jahan hum ek solid upward correction dekh sakte hain, ya phir bears apni consolidation ko mazid continue karenge, jo ke ek badi downward trend ka raasta khol sakti hai. Overall, bears ke liye ek aur support zone aage hai, magar decline continue karega, halan ke gradually, kam az kam support level 1.2954 tak.

USD/CAD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. D1 chart ko dekhte hue, pichle hafte yeh pair dheere dheere gir raha tha aur is hafte bhi isi trend ko continue kar raha hai. Halankeh wave structure abhi bhi ooncha ban raha hai, MACD indicator pehle se hi lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Price ka recent corrective dip, jab price ne last year ke peak ko exceed kiya, aur CCI indicator par bearish divergence ka nazar aana, isko support karta hai. Price sharply previous highs ko cross karne ke baad, 1.3794 ke support level ko break kar gaya. Aaj price primary high support line tak gir gayi hai. US dollar ki general weakness ke saath, price ne ab wo ascending support line touch kar li hai.

Char ghante ke chart par, MACD indicator bullish divergence dikhata hai, jo growth potential ko indicate karta hai. Yeh signal suggest karta hai ke short-term me upward move ke formations dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Pair is waqt downtrend mein hai, Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai, isliye sell position viable option hai. Stochastic indicator bhi downward direction mein hai. Aaj ke trading session mein, pair ne apni bearish trajectory continue ki, aur bears ne price ko pehle support level ke neeche push kar diya. Filhal pair 1.3638 par trade kar raha hai, classic Pivot levels ke support ke saath. Agar yeh second support level 1.3624 ke neeche girta hai, to ek nayi bearish movement shuru ho sakti hai, jo price ko aur neeche, 1.3575 ke support line ke neeche le ja sakti hai.

Ham real-time USD/CAD currency pair ke price assessment ko analyze kar rahe hain. Daily chart par USD/CAD ka trend downward hai aur price bina kisi chhoti upward correction ke niche ja sakti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, clear signals hai jo sale ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Dono histograms positive zone se negative territory mein chalay gaye hain. Main expect karta hoon ke support level 1.3588 ya usse niche test kiya jaayega. USD/CAD pair ka downward trend abhi bhi dheere dheere chal raha hai. Pair ka final targets niche ke taraf open hai, 1.3669-59 ke aas-paas, jo ke 76th Fibonacci retracement aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke sath align karta hai. Kal ki news se false break niche ho sakta hai, lekin agar price channel ke andar rahti hai, toh upward move bhi possible hai. Lekin agar bears is level ke niche establish ho jaati hain, toh ek zyada pronounced bearish trend emerge hoga.

Sellers ki mehnat rang laayi hai, aur daily chart par USD/CAD ka price bubble deflate ho raha hai—ye ek haqeeqat hai jo zaroori hai. Downtrend active hai aur successfully unfold ho raha hai. Maine selling ke signals identify kiye hain aur main in par capitalize karne ka plan kar raha hoon. MACD histogram positive territory se bahar ja raha hai aur AO histogram bhi positive zone se nikal raha hai. Strategy yeh hai ke price ko 1.3588 ke support level se niche le jaayein. Money management principles ko dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab profitable positions ko breakeven par le aayein. Agar hum current H1 chart ko dhyan se dekhein, toh market short trades ke liye favourable situation de rahi hai. Kuch

downward movement sirf aik temporary nahi hai, balki technical indicators se aane walay primary aur secondary signals se support hoti hai. H4 time frame par analyze karte waqt, multiple factors ko consider karna zaroori hota hai taa keh trend ko confirm kiya ja sake. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI, MACD aur doosri technical tools sab yeh suggest karte hain ke bears ne market par control hasil kar liya hai. Price action consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, jo ke ek classic sign hai bearish trend ka. Iske ilawa, volume indicators bhi increasing selling pressure dikhate hain, jo ke downtrend ko further confirm karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi shayad ek bearish crossover dikhaye, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar jati hai, aur yeh downtrend narrative ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Yeh indicators mil kar market ke current state ka aik comprehensive picture dete hain. H4 time frame par is shift ko dekhne walay traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur isay short positions ke liye aik potential opportunity samajhna chahiye, kyun ke sab signals yeh indicate karte hain ke USDCAD pair mein mazeed downward movement hone ke chances hain. H4 chart par in technical signals ka convergence yeh strong indication hai ke downtrend qareeb waqt mein barqarar reh sakta hai, agar koi unforeseen fundamental shifts market mein na aayein. Is liye, koi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo USDCAD pair ko impact kar sakti hain aur current trend ko reverse kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Canadian building permit data bhi ek neutral outlook ke sath aayega. In factors ko dekhte hue, aik bearish movement ka imkaan zyada hai. Sales support level 1.3701 tak pohanch sakti hain, jabke buying resistance level 1.3741 ko chhoo sakti hai. Is liye, yeh pair zyadah tar bearish move karega.

USDCAD currency pair ko H1 chart par dekhte hue yeh wazeh hota hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai. Haal hi mein, price ek significant support level 1.3608 par aayi thi, jo ke daily aur weekly support lines se mazid reinforced thi. Shuru mein, price ne is level ko break karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya aur wapis upar rebound hui. Magar aaj humne dekha ke yeh support level successfully breach hui, aur price is ke neeche consolidate kar rahi hai.

Support level break hone ke baad, price ne tezi se wapis is level ko neeche se test kiya, aur abhi yeh testing phase mein hai. Yeh phase important hai kyunke yeh yeh dekhne mein madad karega ke pehle ka support level ab resistance ka kaam karega ya nahi. Directional indicator abhi bhi bearish trend ko signal kar raha hai, jo market sentiment ke negative hone ka izhar hai.Agar price is broken support level ke upar sustain karne mein kamyab nahi hoti aur testing ke dauran downward bounce dikhati hai, to yeh ongoing downtrend ke alignment mein ek selling opportunity present karega. Is scenario mein, broken support level ke bilkul upar ek small stop-loss place karna prudent risk management strategy hogi. Is approach se potential losses mitigate karne mein madad milegi agar market anticipated direction ke khilaf move kare.

Un traders ke liye jo selling consider kar rahe hain, next target 1.3565 ke qareeb hoga. Yeh level significant hai kyunke yeh daily support ke saath correspond karta hai aur average daily aur weekly downward range ke end ko represent karta hai. Yeh dekhte hue ke price ne pehle se is area ko approach kiya hai, yeh asani se break hone ke bajaye rebound karne ke imkaanaat rakh sakta hai. Is liye, is support zone se ek bounce expect kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke possible upward movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Summary mein, analysis suggest karta hai ke downtrend abhi play mein hai, aur recent breakout aur 1.3608 support level ke test se yeh indication milti hai ke bearish pressure ka silsila jaari hai. Traders ko selling ke liye opportunities dekhni chahiye agar price is level se downward bounce dikhati hai, jisme target 1.3565 ke qareeb set kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke caution ke saath upward corrections ka potential monitor karein jo is support area se ho sakta hai.

USDCAD ke H4 time frame par, currency pair ke trajectory mein aik wazeh tabdeeli nazar aati hai. Indicators ko qareebi taur par dekhne se ye saaf zahir hota hai ke USDCAD ek zabardast downtrend mein shift ho gaya hai. Ye neeche ki taraf chalne wala movement sirf ek arzi waqia nahi hai, balki primary aur secondary signals se bhi supported hai jo technical indicators ke zariye use ho rahe hain. H4 time frame ko analyze karte waqt, ye zaroori hai ke multiple factors ko madde nazar rakha jaye taake trend ko confirm kiya ja sake. Indicators, jaise ke moving averages, RSI, MACD, aur doosri technical tools, sab is baat ki dalalat karte hain ke bears ab market par qabza kar chuke hain. Price action lagataar lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ke ek classic sign hai bearish trend ka. Is ke ilawa, volume indicators bhi ziada selling pressure zahir kar rahe hain, jo ke downtrend ko mazeed confirm karte hain. Mazeed, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi ek bearish crossover dikhata hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar rahi hai, jo ke downtrend ke narrative ko mazeed mazboot bana raha hai. Ye indicators mil kar market ke current state ka ek mukammal tasvir pesh karte hain. Jo traders is shift ko H4 time frame par observe kar rahe hain, unhain ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur isay short positions ke liye ek potential mauqa samajhna chahiye, kyun ke sabhi prevailing signals ye indicate karte hain ke USDCAD pair mein aage chal kar mazeed downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. In technical signals ka convergence H4 chart par ek strong indication hai ke downtrend qareebi door mein jaari reh sakta hai, ager market mein koi unexpected fundamental shifts na aaye. Is liye, ye zaroori hai ke kisi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhi jaye jo ke USDCAD pair ko asar andaz kar sakti hain aur shayad current trend ko reverse kar sakti hain.

RSI indicators ka combination istemal karti hai, us waqt yeh suggest karti hai ke yeh ek munasib waqt hai is currency pair ko sell karne ka. Yeh indicators ke aligned signals yeh dikhate hain ke market mein ab bears ka control hai, jisse selling abhi ki priority hai.

Heiken Ashi candles jo traditional Japanese candles se zyada smooth aur averaged hoti hain, wo reversal points, corrective retracements, aur impulse moves ko waqt par pehchanne mein madad karti hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) indicator relevant support aur resistance lines plot karta hai jo moving averages par based hoti hain, aur yeh asset ki movement ke liye crucial boundaries provide karta hai. RSI oscillator final signal filtering ke liye use hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Yeh tools ka combination technical analysis ko significantly enhance karta hai aur incorrect market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

Abhi ke chart par Heiken Ashi candles red ho chuki hain, jo bearish sentiment ke dominant hone ka ishara deti hai aur yeh suggest karti hai ke ab short entry point dhoondhna acha rahega. Price upper boundary of the linear channel (blue dashed line) ke paar move kar chuki hai, lekin highest point par pohanchne ke baad, central line of the channel (yellow dashed line) ki taraf reverse ho chuki hai. Saath hi, RSI (14) bhi sell signal support karta hai, kyunke iska curve downward point kar raha hai aur oversold level se kaafi door position mein hai.

Given these conditions, yeh waqt successful sales execute karne ka hai, aur short position open karna reasonable lagta hai. Aapka anticipated take profit channel ke lower boundary (blue dashed line) ke qareeb hai, jo ke price level 1.35500 ke mutabiq hai. Jab trade profitable zone mein move kar jaye, to position ko break-even par move karna zaroori hoga, kyunke market aksar false movements se expectations ko disrupt kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Bollinger Bands bhi downward oriented hain. Bollinger Bands ek middle band (typically a simple moving average) aur do outer bands jo middle band se standard deviations ko represent karti hain, par consist karti hain. Jab bands downward slope karte hain, to yeh market ke downtrend aur volatility ke decrease hone ka ishara deti hain. Yeh bands ka downward point karna continued bearish momentum ko support karta hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) oscillator bhi volumes mein decline dikhata hai. MACD ek trend-following momentum indicator hai jo trend ke strength, direction, momentum, aur duration mein changes identify karne mein madad karta hai. MACD volumes ka decrease hona bullish momentum ke weaken ya bearish momentum ke strengthen hone ka ishara hai, jo overall bearish trend ke alignment mein hai.

RSI bhi ek critical indicator hai, jo abhi 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai. RSI price movements ke speed aur change ko measure karta hai aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne mein use hota hai. RSI ka 50 level ke neeche hona yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure bullish pressure se zyada strong hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.

Pichlay hafte ke directional moves on key markets kal bhi jaari rahe bina kisi guidance ke eco data ya central bankers ki taraf se. Core bond yields fail karte hain early August setback se recover karne mein US ke changes daily range mein -1.8 bps (30-yr) aur +1.6 bps (2-yr) ke darmiyan. German yields almost unchanged close hue. Khaskar US money markets significant Fed rate cuts ko expect kar rahe hain. Lift-off ke magnitude (25 bps being our preferred scenario) ke ilawa, khaskar 2025 path updated September FOMC dot plot mein challenge ho ga. Markets filhaal 2025 ke end tak 3.25% policy rate discount kar rahe hain, compared with a median Fed view of 4%-4.25% back in June. Aggressive rate cut bets dollar ko defensive mein rakhte hain. EUR/USD kal apni YTD best level par close hua (1.1085 from 1.1014) ke sath resistance levels line up ho rahe hain: 1.1139 (December top) aur 1.1276 (2023 top). Softer dollar ab bhi jaane ka rasta hai. Less restrictive monetary policy jahan money markets umeed kar rahe hain wo US soft landing ko accommodate karne mein madad karega aur khaskar downside recession risk ko rule out karega. Yehi wajah hai US stock markets ka bhi impressive comeback since the August 5 market meltdown. Key benchmarks kal 0.6% (Dow) se lekar 1.4% (Nasdaq) tak rally kiye, jo unko is month ke best levels tak le gaye. On commodity markets, gold apne all-time high par close hua $2548.3/ounce. Brent crude selling pressure mein raha ($77/b) global demand concerns aur is ke alawa ke US ne ye indicate kiya ke Israel ne Gaza mein cease-fire proposal ko accept kiya.

Asian stock markets kal ke positive momentum ke sath join karte hain China underperforming ke sath. Chinese banks ne apne benchmark lending rates unchanged rakha (1y: 3.35% aur 5y: 3.85%) jab ke unho ne pichlay mahine hi inko 10 bps se cut kiya tha. ECB governing council member Rehn ne kaha ke recent negative EMU growth risks ke increase ne September policy rate cut ke case ko reinforce kiya (disinflation track par rahe to). Unhone kaha ke manufacturing sector mein kisi pick-up ke clear signs nahi hain even though energy cost drivers largely fade away ho gaye hain. Aaj ka eco calendar extremely thin hai with only final July EMU CPI data on tap. Swedish Riksbank expect kiya jata hai ke apni policy rate doosri martaba 25 bps se lower karega (3.5% tak) Turkish central bank forecast ke sath jo rates steady rakhega 50% par

Dosri taraf, guzishta haftay ek expanding triangle pattern zahir hoti hai, jo buyers ki kamzori ko dikhata hai, aur Thursday ko prices ka girna mazeed girawat ka imkaan barhata hai jo ke 1.3632 tak ja sakti hai aur consolidation range ko extend kar sakti hai. Mera andaza hai ke aglay haftay sideways movement hogi, kyunki koi strong impulses nahi hain jo ke significant upward ya downward momentum ko drive karen, given ke kamzor news background expected hai. Currency pair abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke dono borders ke upar trade kar raha hai. Support level 1.3834 ko test karne ke baad rebound hua, aur price dobara barh gayi. Candle model suggest karti hai ke bulls ne aakhri candle close hone par control hasil kar liya, jo ke growth potential ko reinforce karta hai. Natijan, currency pair apne upward trend ko jari rakhne ke liye poised hai, aur growth target 1.3887 hai. Hum is weekly maximum ko break karenge, aur 39-figure range ko aim karte huye, mumkin hai ke extended time frames mein 40-43 figures tak pahunch jayen. Agar is pair ko sell karne ka socha jaye, to ek greedy stop loss level set na karen, aur ise kam az kam 1.3996 par rakhen. Upward movement us surat mein likely hai agar bull wahan stop ko trigger karta hai. Har surat mein, bearish side ki taraf reversal expect nahi karunga. Bull abhi tak round resistance level 1.3901 tak nahi pahuncha, jo bear ko poora moqa deta hai ke woh full-fledged turn bearish kare. Halankeh ek false breakout ya 1.3901 level ka minor breach hone se pehle downward turn lena mumkin nahi lagta. Hafte ke shuruati market session mein, price increase continue hone ke liye kaafi open lagti hai aur candlestick shayad weekly low 1.3792 ko chhodne ki koshish kare. Agar price Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ko red ke neeche break nahi kar pati, to yeh bullish path par wapas move karne ka reference ban sakta hai.
BUY transaction level ko 1.3845 ke range se calculate kiya ja sakta hai, khaaskar agar increase ka target 1.3900 ke nearest resistance level tak ho. Risk of loss ke liye price 1.3815 par rakha ja sakta hai. Agar buyers bullish target level tak pohnchne mein kamiyab hote hain, to further increases ka potential aur zyada hoga.
USD/CAD chart timeframe H4 ko monitor karte hue, buyers ki push dekhne ko milti hai jo candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 60 indicator in yellow ke upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain