usd/cad

Aaj ke tajziye ke liye, main USDCAD currency pair ki daily timeframe par price movement ko monitor karunga. Aakhri kuch dino se candlestick ne bearish conditions ka samna kiya hai aur yeh Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche consistently chal raha hai. Is mahine ke trading session ke liye, lagta hai ke candlestick abhi bhi zyada tar bearish trend ko experience kar rahi hai aur iska range kaafi wide hai. Market movement ne Monday ko level 1.3682 se shuruat ki. Phir mahine ke shuruat mein, jab buyers ne price ko 1.3945 tak push kiya, akhir mein sellers ne market ko dominate kar liya aur price wapas gir gayi hai aur abhi bhi sideways hai.

Simple Moving Average 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 indicators ko monitor karne ke nateeje se yeh pata chalta hai ke candlestick abhi bhi inke neeche chal rahi hai, aur agar sellers apni dominance ko consistent rakhein aur market ko 1.3650 ke neeche maintain rakhein, toh yeh condition week ke end tak chalne ki umeed hai. MACD indicator se bhi yeh clear hai ke histogram bar level zero ke neeche hai aur iska size barhta ja raha hai, jo ke ek strong bearish trend ko darshata hai jo major timeframe ke market direction ke saath match karta hai. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ka lime line level 30 ke paas hai. Teen support indicators ke monitoring ke results se yeh trend bearish hai.




Phir, maine H4 timeframe chart ko dekha, jahan August ke shuru se candlestick Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar chal rahi thi lekin ab yeh kaafi neeche gir gayi hai. Bearish market conditions waise do haftay pehle shuru hui thi jab significant decline hua. Is hafte koi significant movement nahi dekhi gayi kyunki price abhi bhi narrow range mein 1.3583 level ke aas-paas chal rahi hai. Market players ki taraf se koi pressure ya encouragement nahi hai.

Relative Strength Index (14) indicator mein Lime Line ab bhi level 30 ke neeche consistently chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish zone mein market trend ke valid hone ka indication hai. Meri raaye mein, yeh condition darshata hai ke seller troops ki dominance ab bhi strong hai aur ho sakta hai ke woh further fundamentals ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo significant movement effect daal sakte hain, aur aaj ke din niche jaane ka zyada potential hai.

1.3796 mein mojud hain aur is range mein aik haftay se zyada arsay se hain. Yeh is baat ka imkaan kam kar deta hai ke prices 1.3796 se neechay girain gi, jo ke US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone aur Canadian dollar ke kamzor hone ko zahir karta hai, jo ke oil brands ke girti hui qeematon se mazeed badh raha hai. Yeh factors upward movement ko realistic banatay hain. Dosri taraf, guzishta haftay ek expanding triangle pattern zahir hoti hai, jo buyers ki kamzori ko dikhata hai, aur Thursday ko prices ka girna mazeed girawat ka imkaan barhata hai jo ke 1.3632 tak ja sakti hai aur consolidation range ko extend kar sakti hai. Mera andaza hai ke aglay haftay sideways movement hogi, kyunki koi strong impulses nahi hain jo ke significant upward ya downward momentum ko drive karen, given ke kamzor news background expected hai. Currency pair abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke dono borders ke upar trade kar raha hai. Support level 1.3834 ko test karne ke baad rebound hua, aur price dobara barh gayi. Candle model suggest karti hai ke bulls ne aakhri candle close hone par control hasil kar liya, jo ke growth potential ko reinforce karta hai. Natijan, currency pair apne upward trend ko jari rakhne ke liye poised hai, aur growth target 1.3887 hai. Hum is weekly maximum ko break karenge, aur 39-figure range ko aim karte huye, mumkin hai ke extended time frames mein 40-43 figures tak pahunch jayen. Agar is pair ko sell karne ka socha jaye, to ek greedy stop loss level set na karen, aur ise kam az kam 1.3996 par rakhen. Upward movement us surat mein likely hai agar bull wahan stop ko trigger karta hai. Har surat mein, bearish side ki taraf reversal expect nahi karunga. Bull abhi tak round resistance level 1.3901 tak

USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain.
H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai.
Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed breakout nahi dekha. False breakout ki bhi possibility hai, jiske baad phir se accumulation phase mein

CAD pair ne Friday ki NY session ke doran 1.3700 ke aas-paas apna ahem support level barqarar rakha, halaan ke thodi si decline hui. US Dollar (USD) neeche gira, kyunke Loonie asset ne Thursday ke gain ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami dekhi. US Dollar Index (DXY) taqreeban 102.70 tak gira, jo ke US dollar ki value ko chhe badi duniya ki currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai.Investors ka ye yakeen ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September meeting se interest rates mein kami karna shuru karega, ne Greenback ki value par pressure daala hai. July ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne yeh darshaaya ke price pressures wapas targeted range 2% ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jisne market expectations ko barhawa diya ke Fed se ek significant rate reduction aa sakta hai.Jumay ke din, trading week ke khatam hone par, Canadian dollar (CAD) ne weaker Greenback ke muqable mein ground gain kiya, halaan ke risk appetite ke decrease hone ke bawajood Friday ko yeh general tor par kamzor raha. Friday ko broad-market risk mood mein ahem behtari dekhi gayi jabke positive US data ne investors ke pehle ke US recession ke hawale se concerns ko kam kiya. Agle Tuesday ko Canada apne latest inflation statistics release karega. CAD traders apni neutral attitude ko barqarar rakhne ke liye country ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers mein steady prints ke intezar mein rahenge.US dollar ki girti hui value ke bawajood, Canadian dollar (CAD) ne Friday ko ground gain kiya, three-week high tak pohanch gaya aur USD/CAD pair ko 1.3700 barrier ke neeche push kar diya. Pair ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne 1.3728 par technical rejection diya, aur price movement ko EMA aur 200-day EMA ke darmiyan 1.3634 par range ke beech mein rokh diya.

CAD pair ne Friday ki NY session ke doran 1.3700 ke aas-paas apna ahem support level barqarar rakha, halaan ke thodi si decline hui. US Dollar (USD) neeche gira, kyunke Loonie asset ne Thursday ke gain ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami dekhi. US Dollar Index (DXY) taqreeban 102.70 tak gira, jo ke US dollar ki value ko chhe badi duniya ki currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai.Investors ka ye yakeen ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September meeting se interest rates mein kami karna shuru karega, ne Greenback ki value par pressure daala hai. July ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne yeh darshaaya ke price pressures wapas targeted range 2% ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jisne market expectations ko barhawa diya ke Fed se ek significant rate reduction aa sakta hai.Jumay ke din, trading week ke khatam hone par, Canadian dollar (CAD) ne weaker Greenback ke muqable mein ground gain kiya, halaan ke risk appetite ke decrease hone ke bawajood Friday ko yeh general tor par kamzor raha. Friday ko broad-market risk mood mein ahem behtari dekhi gayi jabke positive US data ne investors ke pehle ke US recession ke hawale se concerns ko kam kiya. Agle Tuesday ko Canada apne latest inflation statistics release karega. CAD traders apni neutral attitude ko barqarar rakhne ke liye country ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers mein steady prints ke intezar mein rahenge.US dollar ki girti hui value ke bawajood, Canadian dollar (CAD) ne Friday ko ground gain kiya, three-week high tak pohanch gaya aur USD/CAD pair ko 1.3700 barrier ke neeche push kar diya. Pair ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne 1.3728 par technical rejection diya, aur price movement ko EMA aur 200-day EMA ke darmiyan 1.3634 par range ke beech mein rokh diya.

downward movement sirf aik temporary nahi hai, balki technical indicators se aane walay primary aur secondary signals se support hoti hai. H4 time frame par analyze karte waqt, multiple factors ko consider karna zaroori hota hai taa keh trend ko confirm kiya ja sake. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI, MACD aur doosri technical tools sab yeh suggest karte hain ke bears ne market par control hasil kar liya hai. Price action consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, jo ke ek classic sign hai bearish trend ka. Iske ilawa, volume indicators bhi increasing selling pressure dikhate hain, jo ke downtrend ko further confirm karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi shayad ek bearish crossover dikhaye, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar jati hai, aur yeh downtrend narrative ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Yeh indicators mil kar market ke current state ka aik comprehensive picture dete hain. H4 time frame par is shift ko dekhne walay traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur isay short positions ke liye aik potential opportunity samajhna chahiye, kyun ke sab signals yeh indicate karte hain ke USDCAD pair mein mazeed downward movement hone ke chances hain. H4 chart par in technical signals ka convergence yeh strong indication hai ke downtrend qareeb waqt mein barqarar reh sakta hai, agar koi unforeseen fundamental shifts market mein na aayein. Is liye, koi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo USDCAD pair ko impact kar sakti hain aur current trend ko reverse kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Canadian building permit data bhi ek neutral outlook ke sath aayega. In factors ko dekhte hue, aik bearish movement ka imkaan zyada hai. Sales support level 1.3701 tak pohanch sakti hain, jabke buying resistance level 1.3741 ko chhoo sakti hai. Is liye, yeh pair zyadah tar bearish move karega.

**USD/CAD Price Movement Projection**

Agar hum USD/CAD currency pair ka current price behavior analysis dekhein, to mujhe shak hai ke yeh currency pair significant correction ya phir ek strong upward trend ka samna kar sakta hai, khaaskar jab price 1.3364 ke mark ke qareeb aaye. Isliye, jab price is level ki taraf descend kar rahi ho, to yeh munasib hoga ke short positions close kar di jayein. Ho sakta hai ke bullish momentum market ko correct kare aur possibly upward surge ki taraf le aaye. Jabke yeh scenario ko mukammal tor par dismiss nahi kiya ja sakta, lekin hoshiyaar rehna zaroori hai. Filhaal, kuch naya samnay nahi aaya; mere pass ek sell position doosray platform par khuli hui hai aur main baad mein decide karunga ke kab exit karna hai.

Isi tarah, bullish pattern ne downward direction ko point kiya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke short trades open karna munasib hoga. Is se continued selling ke liye ek strong entry point milega. Stop order high ke neeche, 1.357 ke mark par rakha jayega, jo buyers' zone ko protect karega. Main is position ko 61.7% Fibonacci level tak maintain rakhne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo ke 1.35059 par hai.

Daily time frame par dekha jaye to ongoing downtrend clearly nazar aa raha hai. Bears pressure daal rahe hain, lekin technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh zyada dair tak nahi chalega. 50% Fibonacci retracement support level se reversal ka strong imkaan hai, jo ke ek full correction ka sabab ban sakta hai within the day. USD/CAD ko sabse pehle MA199 ko break karna hoga, jo filhaal ek barrier ka kaam kar raha hai, aur phir support tak pohanchna hoga. Aisa lagta hai ke sellers ko rokne ke liye kaafi momentum mojood hai. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke price 23.5% resistance level tak barhe gi, jo ke 199 points ka gain hoga. Yeh ek favorable buying opportunity ko present karta hai, lekin pehle ek pause aur pullback ka intizaar karna zaroori hai. USD/CAD instrument downward trend mein hai, halankeh market ko reverse karne ki kai koshishen ki gayi hain. Sellers ne apni positions ko successfully defend kiya hai. Focus ab yeh hai ke price ko buyers' zone, yani 1.353, par wapas le jaya jaye, jahan price filhaal anchored hai.

**USD/CAD Analysis**

USD/CAD pair ne apni downward spiral ko barhate hue paanch din tak ke losing streak ko continue kiya. Is decline ki wajah kuch factors hain, jo primarily Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke expectation ke around hain. Recent mein US labor market data jo ke weaker tha, ne market beliefs ko mazbooti se support kiya ke Fed apni monetary policy ko ease karega. US aur Canada ke beech narrowing interest rate differential ne Canadian dollar ke demand ko badhawa diya hai. Investors apni funds ko CAD ki taraf shift kar rahe hain, jo ke Canadian market mein higher returns ki ummeed rakhtay hain. Is influx of capital ne USD/CAD pair par downward pressure daala hai.

Wahin, crude oil ke girte hue price, jo ke Canadian economy ka ek key driver hai, USD/CAD par zyada impact nahi daal raha. Jabke girte hue oil prices aam tor par Canadian dollar ko kamzor karte hain, lekin broader market sentiment, jo ke Fed ke dovish stance se dominate ho raha hai, ne is effect ko overshadow kiya hai. US dollar ki overall weakness bhi USD/CAD ki decline mein contribute kar rahi hai.

Despite rising US Treasury yields ke zariye ek choti si rebound, dollar ka long-term trend bearish hi raha hai. Market ka focus ab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke aane wale speech par hai, jo ke central bank ke monetary policy outlook ke baare mein zyada clarity de sakti hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technically, USD/CAD pair ne apni 200-day simple moving average ke neeche break kiya hai, jo ke potential long-term downtrend ko signal karta hai. Price abhi 50-day moving average ke paas trade kar rahi hai, jo kuch support provide kar sakta hai. Lekin, technical indicators suggest karte hain ke downward momentum abhi bhi strong hai. Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein enter ho chuka hai, lekin RSI aur MACD par negative cycles indicate karte hain ke downtrend continue ho sakta hai.

Conclusion mein, USD/CAD pair pe significant pressure hai jo ke anticipated Fed rate cut aur strengthening Canadian dollar ki wajah se hai. Decline ko technical indicators bhi support karte hain, jo ke prolonged downtrend ko suggest karte hain. Jabke Fed Chair Powell ki aane wali speech temporary relief de sakti hai US dollar ko, overall market sentiment bearish hi raha hai.

par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein




break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain. H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai.
Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed breakout nahi dekha. False breakout ki bhi possibility hai, jiske baad phir se accumulation phase

USDCAD currency pair. Pichle hafte yeh dheere-dheere neeche ki taraf gira aur is hafte bhi ye trend continue raha. Lekin filhaal wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf apna order bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is pair ki last corrective decline kaafi expected thi, kyun ke price pichle saal ke maximum ko break kar gayi thi, aur CCI indicator par bearish divergence bhi dekha gaya. Hafte ke shuruat mein price ne sharp udaan bharte hue maximums ko break kiya, aur phir wahan se gir gayi, support level 1.3795 ko break kar diya, lekin buyers ko abhi chhodna jaldi hai. General, price yahan clearly neeche ki taraf main senior support line tak girne ki koshish kar rahi thi aur yeh kar bhi gayi. Maine ummeed ki thi ke isse rebound hoga, lekin isse push kar diya gaya aur price ko ek bohot hi powerful horizontal support level 1.3595 tak gira diya gaya. Price par pressure aur US dollar ke general weakening ko dekhte hue, price ko neeche jaana chahiye tha. Kam se kam current support se upar ki taraf rebound ki ummeed hai, aur zyada se zyada 1.3695 tak uthane ki ummeed hai. CCI indicator bhi neeche ke overheating zone se




upar jaane ke liye tayaar hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke is level ko aasani se nahi reach kiya jayega. Agar aap four-hour period ke CCI indicator par dhyan dein, to wahan bullish divergence dekha ja sakta hai - jo ke growth ke signal ke taur par hai jab senior level k o dekhte hain. To yahan din ke chhote periods mein growth ke formations dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Aaj zyada news nahi hai, sirf shaam ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes

mazeed iss semat mein apna ye safar jari rakhega, jo lagbhag 1.3625-1.3625 area mein hai European session ke shuruati hisse mein, lekin follow-through ki kami hai. Crude Oil prices ke ird gird selling bias teesray din tak jaari rehti hai, Gaza mein ceasefire ki umeedon ke dauran, jo commodity-linked Loonie ko kamzor karti hai aur currency pair ke liye ek tailwind ke tor par kaam karti hai. Dar asal, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken ne kaha ke Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ne ek bridging proposal ko manzoor kiya hai takay ek ceasefire deal mein rukawat dalnay wali disagreements ko tackle kiya ja sake aur Hamas se bhi isi ki darkhwast ki.
Is se Middle East mein ek broader conflict ke hawalay se pareshaniyan kam hoti hain aur is region se supply disruptions ke hawalay se bhi. Aagey chal kar, China mein economic slowdown ke concerns - jo ke duniya ka sabse bara importer hai Oil ka - black liquid ko lagbhag do hafta ke neeche dhakel dete hain. Is ke ilawa, ek modest US Dollar (USD) recovery, jo ke January se sabse neeche darjay se hoti hai, USD/CAD pair ko support karne wala ek aur factor hai. Greenback ke liye upside, magar, dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations ki wajah se capped hai. Dar asal, CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke




mutabiq, ziyada chance hai ke Fed apna rate-cutting cycle September policy meeting par shuru kare aur 2025 ke end tak borrowing costs ko 200 basis points se ziyada neeche le aaye. Dovish remarks by Fed officials ne inn bets ko reinforce kiya hai, jo USD ke kisi bhi meaningful gains ko rok sakti hai aur currency pair ke liye bhi.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke US economy mein overheating ke asar nazar nahi aa rahe, is liye central bank officials ko zarurat se ziyada waqt ke liye restrictive monetary policy ko jagah pe rakhne se hichkichana chahiye. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne US economic slowdown ke sharp concerns ko kam tar kiya, magar kaha ke US central bank ko gradually borrowing costs ko kam karna chahiye. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne kaha ke Monday ko ke policy rate ke September mein cut karne ke hawalay se debate karna ek munasib baat hai jab ke labor market par risk ka balance zyada ho gaya hai. Yeh sab USD bulls ke liye kuch ehtiyaat mangta hai aur USD/CAD pair ke bottom out karne se pehle confirmation zaroori hai.

Traders zyada cues ke liye bhi intezaar kar sakte hain about the Fed's rate-cut path before placing aggressive directional bets. Iss liye, focus rahega on the release of the July FOMC meeting minutes, jo ke Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein Friday ko hone wale speech ke saath, USD demand ko drive karega aur USD/CAD pair ko kuch meaningful impetus dega. Is beech, Tuesday ke latest consumer inflation figures from Canada ko short-term trading opportunities ke liye dekha jayega. Canadian CPI ka doosray straight month mein fall hone ki umeed hai jo Bank of Canada (BoC) ko ek zyada accommodative policy ko pursue karne ka mauka de sakti hai, jo Canadian Dollar (CAD) par wazan dal sakti hai aur USD/CAD pair ko ek meaningful recovery dila

USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward




correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain.
H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai.
Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed breakout nahi dekha. False breakout ki bhi possibility hai, jiske baad phir se

wnward movement sirf aik temporary nahi hai, balki technical indicators se aane walay primary aur secondary signals se support hoti hai. H4 time frame par analyze karte waqt, multiple factors ko consider karna zaroori hota hai taa keh trend ko confirm kiya ja sake. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI, MACD aur doosri technical tools sab yeh suggest karte hain ke bears ne market par




control hasil kar liya hai. Price action consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, jo ke ek classic sign hai bearish trend ka. Iske ilawa, volume indicators bhi increasing selling pressure dikhate hain, jo ke downtrend ko further confirm karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi shayad ek bearish crossover dikhaye, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar jati hai, aur yeh downtrend narrative ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Yeh indicators mil kar market ke current state ka aik comprehensive picture dete hain. H4 time frame par is shift ko dekhne walay traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur isay short positions ke liye aik potential opportunity samajhna chahiye, kyun ke sab signals yeh indicate karte hain ke USDCAD pair mein mazeed downward movement hone ke chances hain. H4 chart par in technical signals ka convergence yeh strong indication hai ke downtrend qareeb waqt mein barqarar reh sakta hai, agar koi unforeseen fundamental shifts market mein na aayein. Is liye, koi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo USDCAD pair ko impact kar sakti hain aur current trend ko reverse kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Canadian building permit data bhi ek neutral outlook ke sath aayega. In factors ko dekhte hue, aik bearish movement ka imkaan zyada hai. Sales support level 1.3701 tak pohanch sakti hain, jabke buying resistance level 1.3741 ko chhoo sakti hai. Is liye, yeh pair zyadah tar bearish move karega.

USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye.
abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain.
H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai.
Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed breakout nahi dekha. False breakout ki bhi possibility hai, jiske baad phir se accumulation phase mein wapas jaane ka chance hai.

USD/CAD Price Recap ka jaiza
USD/CAD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajzia is waqt ho raha hai. USD/CAD currency pair aik mustaqil neeche ki taraf ke rujhan mein hai. Price ne abhi 1.3580 par support hasil kiya hai. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke chaar-ghante ke chart par price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Chikou-span line price chart ke neeche hai, aur dead cross active stance mein hai. Bollinger Bands neeche ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ka rang laal hai, jo ke strong bearish sentiment ka izhar karte hain. Aik mazeed decline ka imkaan hai. Agar price 1.3580 ke neeche break kar ke apni position secure kar leta hai, to naye sell positions lene par gaur karna chahiye. Agla target 1.3519 hai. Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhte hue, recommendation wazeh hai: actively sell. Moving averages aur doosre technical indicators strongly continued downward movement ka izhar karte hain. Pair ne recently apne lows ko dubara dekha. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne 1.3574 par support test kiya aur is waqt 1.3587 par trade kar raha hai. RSI buy zone mein move kar raha hai, jo ke uncertainty upward dikhata hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal kar raha hai, aur pair pechlay din ke trading range ke neeche position mein hai. Indicators upward movement ke imkaan ka ishara karte hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke price 1.3629 par resistance test karega. Hourly chart par aik descending channel dekha ja sakta hai, jisme price is waqt hai. Pair ne channel ke upper boundary par 1.3607 tak choti si rise dekhi, phir ulta aur girna shuru kar diya. Main umeed karta hoon ke yeh downward trend jaari rahega, aur mumkin hai ke channel ke lower boundary par 1.3541 tak pohanch jaye. Pair kuch din se bearish move kar raha hai, aaj bhi. Dekhna hoga ke yeh selling momentum jaari rehta hai ya koi doosra scenario samnay aata hai.