یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

EUR/JPY ka H1 chart dekhte hue, humein ek wazeh downtrend nazar aa raha hai jo ke observe kiye gaye doran bana raha. Is trend ko hum lower highs aur lower lows ke silsile se samajh sakte hain. Bollinger Bands price volatility ko achi tarah capture karte hain; jab market mein tezi se movements hoti hain toh yeh bands expand ho jaate hain aur jab market consolidation ki taraf jaata hai toh yeh bands contract ho jaate hain. Hal hi mein, price ne 158.72 ke ird gird stabilize karne ki koshish ki hai, lekin yeh ab bhi key resistance levels se neeche hai, jo dikhata hai ke bearish momentum ab bhi khatam nahi hua.

Bollinger Bands ke narrow hone se yeh pata chalta hai ke recent candles mein volatility kam hui hai, jo kisi significant breakout ka phela bhi ho sakta hai. Agar price middle band ke upar sustain karti hai, toh yeh potential trend reversal ya consolidation phase ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai, jo agle directional move ke liye tayyar kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakha gaya, toh phir downside pressure dauran aata rahe ga, jo agle support levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) ki current position 74.53 aur 76.14 hai, jo ke overbought zone ke kareeb hai, lekin abhi tak exhaustion confirm nahi hui. Yeh batata hai ke short-term mein thoda aur bullish movement ke liye jagah hai pehle kisi correction se pehle. Stochastic indicator ke pehle cycles dekhne se pata chalta hai ke yeh aksar overbought aur oversold levels ke darmiyan oscillate karta hai, jo strong price swings ko reflect karta hai. Traders ko overbought region mein crossover ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke reversal signal keh sakta hai. Agar indicator neeche ki taraf crossover karta hai jab price resistance ke kareeb hoti hai, toh yeh bullish push ke kamzor hone ka indication ho sakta hai aur broader downtrend ki taraf lautne ka bhi. Wahi agar stochastic strong rahta hai aur price action current resistance zone ko upar ki taraf break kar jaata hai, toh yeh further upside movement ko confirm kar sakta hai.

Is broader perspective mein, market structure yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain jab tak price lower highs form kar rahi hai. Downtrend tab tak valid hai jab tak key resistance levels ke upar decisive breakout nahi hota. 158.72 ka level ek crucial short-term pivot point nazar aa raha hai; agar is level se rejection hota hai, toh bearish pressure tez ho sakta hai. Agar selling momentum barhta hai, toh price lower support zones ki taraf target kar sakti hai jo ke 157.50 ya phir 156.80 tak ho sakta hai. Is ke mukablay, agar price Bollinger Bands ki middle line ke upar sustain karti hai, toh yeh 160.00 ki taraf ek koshish ko janam de sakti hai, jahan stronger resistance maujood hai. Market participants ko in levels ke aas paas price action ko monitor karna chahiye, kyunki kisi bhi momentum ka shift trading opportunities ka mauka de sakta hai.

Iss ke ilawa, kuch external factors bhi hain jo EUR/JPY ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain, jaise ke economic data, central bank policies aur overall risk sentiment. Japanese yen aksar risk-off sentiment ke doran strong hota hai, jabki euro ek zyada stable economic outlook se fayda uthata hai. Agar aane wale fundamental data yen ko support karta hai, toh downtrend barqarar reh sakta hai. Lekin agar eurozone ki economic conditions behtar hoti hain, toh reversal gain traction kar sakta hai. Is liye, traders ko technical analysis ke sath sath fundamental insights ko bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye takay ek comprehensive trading approach bana saken.

Yeh sare analysis traders ko market ki samajh dene ke liye madadgar sabit hote hain, jisse wo behtar trading decisions le sakte hain. Ek balanced approach jo technical aur fundamental dono aspects ko samajhti hai, wo market mein successful hone ki key hai.

EURJPY کی تکنیکی تجزیہ 20 فروری 2025

تکنیکی لحاظ سے، میں دیکھتا ہوں کہ EURJPY جوڑی ایک ایسی قیمت کی حالت میں داخل ہو چکی ہے جو ایک انٹری پوائنٹ کے طور پر غور کرنے کے قابل ہے۔

آئیں ہم EURJPY کے 1 گھنٹے کے وقت کے فریم چارٹ کی تصویر کو دیکھیں، اس کے بعد ہم تجزیہ کرتے ہیں: [تصویر کا لنک]

تجزیہ کرتے وقت، قیمت کی کارروائی کے تجزیے (Trader Pressure) کا استعمال کرتے ہوئے، مارکیٹ کے رجحان میں، EURJPY اب بھی ایک بیئرش / نیچے کی طرف رجحان کی حالت میں ہے، لیکن ہمیں اس بات کی توقع بھی کرنی چاہیے کہ اگر قیمت مزاحمت کے علاقے کو توڑ دے تو ٹرینڈ ریورس ہو سکتا ہے۔

کینڈل کی تاریخ میں، ہم بیچنے کے مواقع تلاش کر سکتے ہیں کیونکہ طویل مدتی اب بھی نیچے کی طرف اثر انداز ہو رہا ہے، لیکن مزید معروضی ہونے کے لیے، میں خرید یا فروخت کے اندراجات کے لیے تجزیہ فراہم کروں گا۔

اگر ہم اوپر کی تصویر کو دیکھیں، تو بیچنے والوں کا دباؤ (سرخ کینڈل کی لمبائی) آہستہ آہستہ قیمت کو نیچے لے جا رہا ہے اور خریداروں کے دباؤ (سبز کینڈل کی لمبائی) کی مخالفت نہیں کر پا رہا، اور ایک نیچے کی اونچائی بناتا ہے۔ یہ ظاہر کرتا ہے کہ بیچنے والے کچھ مخصوص قیمت کی سطح کی تشکیل میں اب بھی غالب ہیں۔ تاہم، ہم اب بھی اس EURJPY جوڑی میں خریدنے کے مواقع تلاش کر سکتے ہیں۔

چونکہ میں نے مزاحمت کے علاقے کو دو لائنوں کے ذریعے اوپر کی قیمت (158.14 – 157.72) کے درمیان متعین کیا ہے، اسی طرح سپورٹ کے علاقے کو ہم دو لائنوں کے ذریعے نیچے کی قیمت (156.76– 156.41) کے درمیان دیکھ سکتے ہیں۔

نیچے میرے انٹری سیٹ اپ کے آپشنز ہیں، آپ انہیں اپنے تجارتی انداز کے مطابق استعمال کر سکتے ہیں۔

بریک آؤٹ کے مواقع میں اندراج:

اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت مزاحمت کے علاقے کی اوپر کی حد (158.14) کو توڑ دیتی ہے، تو پھر بہترین خریداری کے اندراج کی تیاری کریں۔

اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت سپورٹ کے علاقے کی نیچے کی حد (156.41) کو توڑ دیتی ہے، تو پھر بہترین فروخت کے اندراج کی تیاری کریں۔

کٹ لاس: اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت خریداری کے اندراج کے لیے مزاحمت کے علاقے کی نیچے کی حد (<157.72) پر ہے، اور فروخت کے اندراج کے لیے سپورٹ کے علاقے کی اوپر کی حد (>156.76) پر ہے۔ اور کم از کم خطرے کا تناسب 1:1 کرنا چاہیے۔

پُل بیک سیٹ اپ برائے فروخت کی پوزیشن:

پُل بیک کا علاقہ مزاحمت کے علاقے کا استعمال کرتا ہے، اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت پُل بیک کے علاقے میں ہو، تو آپ ایک فروخت کی پوزیشن لے سکتے ہیں اور کٹ لاس کریں اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت پُل بیک کے علاقے کی اوپر کی حد (> 158.14) سے اوپر ہو۔ اپنے تجارتی طریقہ کے مطابق کم از کم خطرے کا تناسب 1:1 استعمال کریں۔

پُل بیک سیٹ اپ برائے خریداری کی پوزیشن:

پُل بیک کا علاقہ سپورٹ کے علاقے کا استعمال کرتا ہے، اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت پُل بیک کے علاقے میں ہو، تو آپ ایک خریداری کی پوزیشن لے سکتے ہیں اور کٹ لاس کریں اگر 1 گھنٹے کی کینڈل کی بندش کی قیمت پُل بیک کے علاقے کی نیچے کی حد (<156.41) سے نیچے ہو۔ اپنے تجارتی طریقہ کے مطابق کم از کم خطرے کا تناسب 1:1 استعمال کریں۔

ہمیشہ ہر اندراج میں اچھی رقم کا انتظام استعمال کریں تاکہ تجارت کی صحت مند تسلسل کو برقرار رکھا جا سکے، اور جعلی بریک آؤٹ کینڈلز سے محتاط رہیں۔

امید ہے کہ یہ مضمون آپ کے لیے مارکیٹ کا تجزیہ کرنے میں مددگار ثابت ہو گا۔

EUR/JPY trading ke hawale se aapka jo analysis hai, wo kaafi insightful hai. Aapne jo second-order level 157.185 ki taraf ishara kiya hai, wo ek significant level hai jahan par aapko lagta hai ke sellers ki activity kam ho sakti hai. Jab yeh level achieve ho jayega, toh volatility ka bhi kam hona mumkin hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market mein thoda consolidation ya reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jise aap nazar rakhna chahte hain.

Aapka approach kaafi disciplined hai, jo ke trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Aapne market ke broader context ka bhi zikar kiya hai, jo ke bohot crucial hai. Currency markets kaafi sensitive hote hain external factors ke liye, jaise ke macroeconomic indicators ya news events. Aapka yeh kehna ke aap apne strategy ko adapt karne ke liye tayar hain, yeh bhi zaroori hai.

Jab hum EUR/JPY ki baat karte hain, toh yeh pair euro aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ka rishta hai. Aapne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki hawkish stance ka zikar kiya hai, jo ke yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Agar yen mazboot hota hai, toh yeh EUR/JPY par downward pressure daal sakta hai. Yeh baat traders ke liye ek warning sign hai ke yen ki taqat se euro par kya asar ho sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, aapne geopolitics ka bhi zikar kiya hai. Peace talks ka hona ek positive sign hai, lekin inka outcome hamesha uncertain hota hai. Agar negotiations mein koi rukawat aa jati hai ya phir hostilities phir se shuru hoti hain, toh yeh euro ke liye negative impact daal sakti hain. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh factors EUR/JPY ki direction ko bohot had tak tay karte hain.

Aapka short-term bearish outlook bhi samajh aata hai, khas taur par jab aapko lagta hai ke current setup mein favorable risk-reward ratio hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Technical levels aur market behavior ko samajhna traders ke liye ek important tool hai, jo aapko timely decisions lene mein madad de sakta hai.

Agar aapko lagta hai ke market conditions unexpected badal rahi hain, toh aapne apne strategy ko adjust karne ki baat ki hai, jo ke ek wise approach hai. Yeh flexibility aapko market ke volatile moments mein bhi stability provide karegi. Aap ko yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke trading ek dynamic process hai, jahan aapko har waqt tayar rehna hota hai.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, aapka analysis bohot comprehensive hai. Aapne market ki multiple dimensions ko samjha hai aur unhe integrate kiya hai apne trading strategy mein. Yeh approach aapko informed decisions lene mein madad karega, jo ke ultimately aapki trading success ko influence kar sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, yeh kehna chahunga ke aapka commitment to careful trade management aur disciplined approach aapko long-term trading mein madad de sakta hai. Aap market ke changes ko samajhne ke liye tayar hain, aur yeh aapki trading skills ko aur bhi enhance karega. Aapki strategy agar consistent rahe, toh aapko apne targets tak pohanchne mein madad mil sakti hai.

EUR-JPY (Euro-Japanese Yen) ka currency pair abhi ek nizam ke tehat neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Is waqt, wave structure abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai, aur aakhri girawat ne pichli minimum ko update kiya hai. Aisa lagta hai ke teesri wave bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. MACD indicator abhi sales zone ke neeche hai, lekin abhi tak isne signal line ke upar chadhai ki hai. CCI indicator neutral zone mein hai aur koi khaas signal nahi de raha.

Aik uncertainty figure, jo ke narrowing triangle hai, isne neeche ki taraf break kiya hai, aur sab se ahm support level 159.56 bhi break ho gaya hai. Mere khayal mein, aage ke liye girawat ki umeed hai, kyunki is ke liye tamam components maujood hain. Girawat ke pehle, mujhe umeed thi ke price 159.56 ke resistance level tak wapas aayegi, jo ke hui; isne is level se thoda upar bhi chadhai ki, jo ke level ki galti mein shamil kiya ja sakta hai.

CCI indicator ne is corrective growth ko dikhaya jab yeh lower overheating zone se bahar aaya. Iske alawa, pichla senior growth wave ka minimum bhi break kiya gaya, yani ke December ka minimum. Yeh ek potential purchase zone hai; aise jagah par aksar corrections hoti hain.

Ab aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh formation teesri wave ki hai, jo ke senior period ki teesri wave ke saath hai. Ismein doosri taraf ki teesri wave bhi shamil hai. Yeh upward rollback mid-January se chalu hui thi. Upar diye gaye tamam points ke madde nazar, yeh conclude karna mushkil nahi hai ke aane wale waqt mein sirf neeche ki taraf entries karna zyada munafa de sakta hai jab tak ke corresponding formations tayar nahi hoti.

Kafi gehri corrective rollback ab tak ho chuki hai, aur theoretically hum ek naye downward wave ki tayyari kar sakte hain. Agar girawat jaari rahi, toh iska maximum target pehli wave par lagaye gaye Fibonacci target grid ke zariye tay kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke level 161.8 hai.

Is waqt, market ki halat yeh darshati hai ke traders ko chhote time frames par focus karna chahiye, aur sirf tab entry leni chahiye jab market ki structure is ke haq mein ho. Aksar, aise waqt par jab market ne correction kiya hota hai, woh downward movement ka signal hoti hai.

Yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke market ki halat kabhi bhi badal sakti hai, isliye risk management ka khayal rakhna behad zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders ka istemal karke traders apne losses ko control kar sakte hain.

Is analysis ka maqsad yeh hai ke aapko market ki halat ki behtar samajh de sakay taake aap informed decisions le sakein. Har trade mein risk hota hai, lekin agar aap analysis par focus karein aur market ki movements ko samjhein, toh aap apne munafe ko behtar bana sakte hain.

Umeed hai ke yeh tafseel aapko EUR-JPY ki current halat aur aane wale trends ko samajhne mein madad karegi. Market ki watch rakhna, indicators ka istemal karna, aur emotional trading se bachna aapko successful trader banane mein madadgar sabit hoga.

EUR/JPY currency pair mein girawat dekhne ko mili hai, jo ke subah ke European trading ke doran 156.55 ke aas-paas aa gayi. Yeh girawat Japanese yen (JPY) ki mazbooti ko darshati hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke agle interest rate barhane ki umeedon ki wajah se hui hai. Aaj ke din Germany ke January Producer Price Index (PPI) ka ailan bhi dekhne ko milega, jo Eurozone ki ma'ashi surat-e-haal samajhne ke liye aik ahem indicator hai.

Japan ki ma'ashi data ka halat kuch aisa hai ke isne BOJ ke interest rate increase karne ki umeedon ko barhawa diya hai. Japan ka GDP ka data behtar raha hai, aur wage growth bhi pichle 30 saalon mein sabse tez hai. Is wajah se ab bohot se economists yeh andaza laga rahe hain ke BOJ agle kuch waqt mein apne rates ko 0.75% tak barha sakta hai. Labour negotiations ke doran wage increases ki umeed bhi barh gayi hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke Japan ki ma'ashi surat-e-haal mein inflation ke pressure barh rahe hain.

BOJ ke board member Takada ki recent comments ne bhi is speculation ko barhawa diya hai. Unhone gradual interest rate hikes ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur yeh kaha ke Japanese bond yield trends market expectations ke sath mil rahe hain. Is sab ke asar se yen ki qeemat barh rahi hai, jo EUR/JPY pair par neeche ki taraf pressure daal raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, euro ke liye kuch challenges bhi hain, jo trade actions ke potential imposition se jure hain. Imported automobiles, semiconductor chips, aur drugs par tariffs lagane ka khauf market sentiment ko prabhavit kar raha hai. Halankeh iski koi pakki timeline nahi hai, lekin kuch items par yeh tariffs shayad 2 April se bhi lagu ho sakte hain. Is se European economy par khatar ka dar hai.

Japan ki taraf se, January ka trade deficit bhi bohot zyada barh gaya hai, jo 2,758.78 billion yen tak pohanch gaya, jo market expectations se zyada hai. Jabke imports mein izafa hua hai, jo ke domestic demand ke wajah se hai, exports ka girna chouthi martaba dekhne ko mila hai. Yeh mixed situation Japan ke ma'ashi halat ko samajhne mein mushkilat paida karti hai.

Eurozone ki economy bhi kuch achi nahi hai, yahaan par weak economic growth ke concerns hain. Is wajah se European Central Bank (ECB) ke further interest rate cuts ki speculation barh rahi hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke ECB har meeting mein ek percentage point ka cut kar sakta hai, jisse deposit rates mid-year tak 2.0% tak gir sakte hain.

Yeh sab kuch BOJ aur ECB ki monetary policy expectations ke darmiyan ka farq EUR/JPY exchange rate par asar daal raha hai. BOJ ki taraf se interest rates barhane ki umeed aur ECB ki taraf se further easing ki umeed ke darmiyan ek push-pull effect bana hua hai. Yeh darshata hai ke dono central banks ke communications aur economic data releases ko dekhna kitna zaroori hai, taake currency pair ki future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Yeh sab cheezen milkar EUR/JPY ki trading ko prabhavit kar rahi hain, aur traders ko in sab factors ka khayal rakhna hoga jab wo trading decisions le rahe hain. Currency markets mein changes ka asar sirf economic data par nahi hota, balki central bank ki policy aur market ki sentiment par bhi hota hai. Is liye, traders ko sab kuch dekhte hue apne strategies banani chahiye.

InstaSpot: Apni kamai kisi bhi EPS aur bank mein nikalain, aur EPS aur cryptocurrency ke exchange par 7% tak kamai karain.
EUR/JPY ke bazaar ka haal daikhte hue, mujhe yeh kehna hai ke is waqt market ka jazba bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend humein kharchon ko kam karne mein madad de raha hai. Filhal, market price ki umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche ja sakta hai, khaas tor par jab yeh 50-day simple moving average ke neeche gir gaya hai aur 200-day simple moving average ke aas paas resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Is waqt market price minor support level 156.82 ke upar hai, jo ke ek acha signal hai ke price wahan se upar bhi aa sakta hai.

Market ka technical analysis yeh darshata hai ke agar price 154.37 ke support level tak pahuncha to yeh 158.56 ke resistance level tak bhi chala ja sakta hai. Yeh support aur resistance levels market ki movement ko tay karne mein madadgar hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke market ko ab agle resistance level ko break karna hoga aur 50-day simple moving average ki taraf badhna hoga.

Maine dekha ke Eurozone se koi high-impact news nahi aane wali, jo ke volatility ko kam karne mein madad degi. Lekin Japan se kuch data release hone wala hai, lekin yeh neutral lag raha hai, isliye iska immediate directional influence kum hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke is technical setup aur Friday ke bearish close ke madde nazar, market ka downtrend aage bhi jari rahega.

Mujhe umeed hai ke traders 155.40 ke support ke taraf focus karenge, lekin intraday retreats 156.80 ke aas paas limit hone ki sambhavna hai, jahan resistance naye selling pressure ko attract kar sakta hai. Jabke recent lows par buyers ki limits kuch waqt ke liye decline ko roka sakti hain, lekin broader technical structure bears ke haq mein hai.

Mera trading plan Monday ke liye short positions par focus karna hai, tight stops 156.80 ke upar rakhte hue taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake. Main price action ko 155.40 ke aas paas dekhta rahunga taake connection ya breakdown ke signs mil sakein, aur agar buyers ki taqat wapas aati hai to apni strategy ko adjust karunga.

Summary ke tor par, main technical analysis ke mutabiq is baat par hai ke downtrend continue rahega, lekin main market sentiment ya kisi unexpected news-driven volatility ke liye bhi hamesha alert rahunga.

Trading mein sab kuch risk management par depend karta hai. Isliye, yeh zaroori hai ke aap apne stops ko tight rakhein aur market ki movement ko closely monitor karein. Agar price 156.80 se upar chali jati hai to mujhe apne short positions ko reconsider karna padega, kyunki iska matlab hoga ke market mein koi bullish momentum aa raha hai.

Aakhir mein, yeh kehna chahunga ke market ki volatility ko samajhna aur us par apne trading decisions banana bohot zaroori hai. Har trader ko chahiye ke woh market ki technical analysis aur economic indicators ko samjhe taake woh behtar trading decisions le sake. Aur hamesha yaad rakhein, trading mein emotions se bachna chahiye aur sirf analysis par depend rehna chahiye.

EURJPY ka market is waqt kaafi dilchasp price position mein hai. Is waqt ke market movements ko dekhte hue, humein yeh samajh aata hai ke price ne ek critical support area mein rejection set-up bana diya hai. Aakhri din, yani Thursday ko, EURJPY ki price phir se gir gayi aur support area 156.22 tak pahuncha. Lekin, is girawat ka silsila yahan ruk gaya jab price ne support line ko touch kiya.

Agar hum is analysis ko dekhein, to yeh nazar aata hai ke EURJPY ki bearish trend ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai. SMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines ke saath saath Ichimoku cloud ki taraf dekhte hue, yeh samajh mein aata hai ke aane wale waqt mein EURJPY ab bhi bearish rahne ki sambhavna rakhta hai.

Magar agar price support line par pahunche aur wahan se upar ki taraf rejection dekhe, to agla movement bullish ho sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bullish trend sirf ek price correction hoga kyunki trend ab bhi bearish hai. Is correction ka potential SMA 50 line par 158.49 tak ho sakta hai, aur agar correction zyada hoti hai to SMA 200 line par 160.59 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price phir se upar jaye aur SMA 200 line ko break kare to yeh price reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Isliye trading karte waqt humein in points ka khayal rakhna chahiye.
Buy Opportunities


Buy pullback ki strategy ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai kyunki price ne support line 156.55 par rejection dikhaya hai. Is waqt hum instant orders ke zariye buy kar sakte hain. Target profit 158.49 par SMA 50 line hai. Stop loss ko hum 20-30 pips neeche 156.55 line ke set kar sakte hain.

Agar price phir se pullback kare aur SMA 50 line 158.49 ko break kare, to hum agla buy opportunity dekh sakte hain. Is case mein, target profit hoga SMA 200 line 160.59 par aur stop loss ko 20-30 pips neeche 158.49 line ke set karna chahiye.
Sell Opportunities


Sell pullback ke liye humein price ka intezaar karna padega jab wo upar ki taraf jaye aur SMA 50 line 158.49 par rejection dekhe. Is case mein target profit hoga support line 156.55 par, aur stop loss ko 20-30 pips upar 158.49 line ke set karna chahiye.

Agar price phir se pullback kare aur SMA 200 line 160.59 par rejection dekhe, to hum agla sell opportunity dekh sakte hain. Is mein bhi target profit 156.55 par hoga aur stop loss ko 20-30 pips upar 160.59 line ke set karna hoga.

Yeh sab strategies ko dekhte hue, yeh kehna mushkil hai ke EURJPY kis taraf jaayega, lekin hamari analysis ke zariye hum iske potential movements ko samajh sakte hain. Trading karte waqt hamesha risk management ka khayal rakhein, aur stop loss ka istemal zaroor karein taake kisi bhi nuksan se bacha ja sake.

In sab baaton ko samajhte hue, trading mein patience aur analysis zaroori hai. Aakhir mein, market ke har movement par nazar rakhna aur timely decisions lena hi ek successful trader ki pehchaan hai. Is tarah se, aap EURJPY market mein opportunities ko achhe se utilize kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY pair ne aik strong sell trend ke baad ab retracement lena shuru kar diya hai aur price ne Fibonacci retracement ke 38.2 level ko touch karne ke baad thoda neeche ki taraf movement dikhai hai lekin mazeed sell confirmation ke liye hamen chart par koi strong bearish setup dekhna hoga jaise ke bearish engulfing candle shooting star ya koi aur reversal candlestick pattern agar price wahan banati hai toh sell entry ka mauqa mil sakta hai is time RSI 50 ke level ke kareeb hai aur neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai jo ke bearish pressure ki nishani hai doosri taraf 50 EMA bhi Fibonacci ke 38.2 aur 50.0 ke darmiyan hai jo ke price ke liye ek strong resistance zone create kar raha hai agar price dobara retrace kar ke is zone ko test karti hai aur rejection milta hai toh wahan se ek acchi sell entry plan ki ja sakti hai safe sell entry ke liye price ko 38.2 level ke neeche close karna zaroori hai jiske baad agla target 23.6% fibo level ho sakta hai aur uske break hone par price apna previous low dobara test kar sakti hai agar RSI 50 ke neeche close deta hai toh selling pressure aur ziada barh sakta hai lekin agar price 50 EMA ke upar strong bullish candle banati hai toh retracement extended ho kar 50.0 level tak bhi ja sakta hai jahan se phir se rejection milne ke chances hain risk management ke liye stop loss fibo ke 50.0% level ke thoda upar rakhna behtar hoga aur pehla take profit 23.6% par aur doosra previous swing low ke aas paas rakh sakte hain intraday traders ke liye candlestick confirmation aur lower time frames par bearish divergence par bhi nazar rakhna acha rahega filhal market structure retracement ke baad phir se selling continuation ka ishara de raha hai jab tak price fibo ke 50.0% level ke upar break nahi karti tab tak bearish bias barkarar rahega fundamental factors jaise ECB aur BOJ ke statements bhi price action ko effect kar sakte hain is liye news par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai lekin overall technical indicators aur price structure sellers ke haq mein hain aur ache risk reward ke sath sell entry milne ka intezar karna behtar rahega.

EUR/JPY trading chart par nazar rakhte hue, ab hum is pair ki halat aur aane wale economic events ka jaiza lete hain. Jaise ke aap ne dekha, Euro ke future par aane wale EU PMI report ka bohat asar ho sakta hai. Kal Euro ne Yen ke muqablay mein kamzori dikhai, jis ki wajah se EUR/JPY ka pair gira. Agar PMI ke numbers ache aaye, to Euro ki qeemat barh sakti hai. Lekin, abhi bhi overall trend neeche ki taraf hi hai. Agar EUR/JPY 158.00 ke level par nahi rukta, to is ki qeemat aur gir sakti hai. Kal ki girawat ne 156.00 ke kareeb pahuncha diya, jahan tak ki low 156.26 tak gaya.

Chart par dekha jaye to price pattern abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. 161.13 ka high, jo SMA 200 ke nazdeek tha, ab lower high ban gaya hai kyunki is se pehle price 155.54 tak neeche gira. Agar price 156.47 ke support level ke neeche rahe aur phir bounce back kare, to yeh EMA 50 ya 158.80 ke pivot point ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche jaate waqt naye lower lows nahi banata, to yeh upar ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka bhi yahan khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh indicator agar agla red bar bada aur zero ke neeche ho, to yeh buying signal dikhata hai. Lekin, kyunki trend abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai, isliye yeh EUR/JPY ki qeemat ko neeche ki taraf push karta rahega, jab tak histogram negative rahega, chahe price thoda upar hi kyun na chala jaye. Is waqt Stochastic indicator bhi 50 ke upar jaanay ki koshish kar raha hai, jo pehle 20-10 ke aas paas oversold tha. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke price thoda upar ja sakta hai, aur 90-80 ke overbought area ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai.

Trading options ke liye, sabse behtar yeh hai ke aap downward trend ke sath rahein aur sell karne ka mauka talash karein. Trade tab enter karein jab price EMA 50 ya 158.80 ke pivot point se bounce kare. Aapka profit target 156.47 ke support level (S1) par hona chahiye. Stop loss ko SMA 200 ke kareeb rakhein, jo ke moving resistance ke tor par kaam karega.

Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator pehle overbought hone ke baad 90-80 se drop kare, takay yeh oversold zone mein aa jaye. Saath hi, AO indicator ki volume bars ko bhi check karein, jo ke zero ke neeche ya negative honi chahiye, aur ideally ye bars thodi wide hoti ja rahi hon.

Is trading analysis ka maqsad yeh hai ke aap EUR/JPY ki current market situation aur indicators ko samajh kar behtar trading decisions le sakain. Aane wale economic events, jaise ke PMI report, kafi asar rakhte hain, is liye inhe nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai. Aapko trading karte waqt patience rakhni hogi aur market ki halat ko dhyan se dekhna hoga, takay aap sahi waqt par trade karein aur behtar munafa kama sakein.

Is waqt EUR/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf hai, lekin agar aap indicators aur market movements ko sahi se samjhein, to aap is pair ke sath trading karke acha munafa kama sakte hain. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke trading mein risk management bohat zaroori hai, is liye stop loss aur target levels ko hamesha tay kar ke rakhein.

EURJPY Chart Analysis: D1 Period
Muqaddima


EURJPY ka chart D1 period par dekha jaye to yahan wave structure ka zikar zaroori hai. Yeh wave structure neeche ki taraf hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke market mein bearish momentum hai. Aakhri wave ne pehle ki minimum ko update kiya hai, aur ab teesri wave ka neeche jana aane ki umeed hai. Is analysis mein, hum MACD aur CCI indicators ki bhi baat karenge aur dekhenge ke yeh kis tarah se is market ke trend ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakte hain.
MACD Indicator ka Jaiza


MACD indicator is waqt lower sales zone mein hai, lekin jab rollback hui hai, to yeh apne signal line ke upar chala gaya hai. Yeh nishani hai ke kuch short-term bullish momentum bhi nazar aa raha hai. Iska matlub yeh hai ke jab tak MACD signal line ke upar hai, tab tak kuch neechay se upar tak ki movements ho sakti hain, lekin yeh sirf correction ke liye ho sakti hai. Jab tak yeh lower sales zone mein hai, tab tak hum bearish trend ko ignore nahi kar sakte.
CCI Indicator ka Pehlu


CCI indicator is waqt neutral zone mein hai aur koi khaas signal nahi de raha. Yeh is baat ka nishan hai ke market mein confusion hai aur traders ko saaf signals nahi mil rahe. CCI ki neutrality se yeh pata chalta hai ke abhi koi strong bullish ya bearish momentum nahi hai. Isliye, humein is indicator ko dekhte hue cautious rehna chahiye.
Support Level ki Taqreer


Price ne uncertainty figure ko break kiya, jo ke ek narrowing triangle tha, aur sabse aham support level 159.56 ko bhi tod diya. Yeh ek strong bearish signal hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke aage chal kar aur bhi decline ho sakta hai. Is support level ka todna market ki strength aur bearish tendency ko darshata hai.
Correction aur Resistance Level


Aane wale waqt mein, bearish movement se pehle ek correction ki umeed thi jo resistance level 159.56 tak hui. Yeh correction kuch zyada bhi hui, jo ke ek error ho sakta hai. Yeh uptick CCI indicator ke lower overheating zone se nikalne ki wajah se hua. Yeh signal hai ke market mein kuch traders ne is level par buying kiya hai, jo ke correction ko support kar raha hai.
Teesri Wave ka Tajziya


Is waqt market mein teesri wave ki formation nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh teesri wave older period ki teesri wave ke saath saath younger period ki teesri wave bhi hai. Iska matlab hai ke upward rollback jo mid-January se shuru hui, yeh sirf ek correction hai. Jab hum is wave structure ko dekhen to humein yeh samajhna hoga ke kya hum bearish entries ke liye tayyar hain ya nahi.
Future Expectation


Mujhe lagta hai ke aane wale dinon mein, choti time frames mein downward entries lena zyada promising hoga, jab tak ki associated formations banti hain. Deep corrective rollback ho chuki hai aur ab hum nayi downward wave ki tajaweez bana sakte hain. Agar decline hoti hai, to uski maximum target ko Fibonacci target grid ke zariye pehchana ja sakta hai, jo ke 161.8 level par hai.

Nakhra


Yeh sab kuch dekhte hue, EURJPY ka chart bearish trend ki taraf ja raha hai. Hamen yeh samajhna hoga ke market ki movement kaise hoti hai aur humein kis tarah se trading strategies banani chahiye. Indicators jaise MACD aur CCI humein kuch signals dete hain, lekin hamesha cautious rehna chahiye. Aakhir mein, market ki analysis karte waqt humein har tarah ke factors ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye taake hum sahi faislay kar saken.

EURJPY pair daily chart par is time aik triple bottom ke paas hai jiska low 155.56 hai jo strong support ka kaam kar sakta hai aur agar price is zone ko respect karta hai toh yahan se ek significant pullback ki umeed hai RSI oversold zone ki taraf badh raha hai jo buyers ke liye potential reversal signal de raha hai price ne 156.09 par close diya hai jo support ke aas paas hai aur agar kal market open hone par price is zone se bounce karti hai toh kam se kam 200 se 300 pips ka pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai lekin agar price support break karti hai toh selling pressure mazeed barh sakta hai aur agla target lower support zones ho sakte hain triple bottom pattern reversal ka strong indication deta hai lekin confirmation ke liye bullish candles jaise ke bullish engulfing ya hammer pattern ka banna zaroori hoga buyers ke liye behtar strategy yeh hogi ke price action par focus karte hue support zone se confirmation ke sath entry lein jab ke sellers support break hone ka intezar karen RSI agar 30 se upar reversal dikhata hai toh buying momentum mazeed strong ho sakta hai lekin agar RSI oversold hone ke bawajood price neeche break karti hai toh trend continuation ke chances barhenge fundamental factors bhi dekhna important hai kyun ke economic data ya news pair ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain kal market open hone par price action aur early session ki candles direction clear karengi agar bounce hota hai toh pehla resistance 158.50 aur uske baad 160.00 ho sakta hai lekin agar breakdown hota hai toh agla target 154.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai confirmation ke bina impulsive trades se bachna chahiye aur risk management par focus karna zaroori hai taake false breakouts se bach sakein.

EUR/JPY ka weekly analysis ek ahem mauqa hai jo humein is currency pair ki market position, technical indicators, potential scenarios, trading strategy, aur fundamental considerations ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. Aayiye in tamam pehluon par tafsil se nazar daalain.
Current Market Position


EUR/JPY ka jo haal mein market position hai, wo ek aham triple bottom formation ki taraf barh raha hai jo daily chart par nazar aa raha hai. Is formation ka ek notable low 155.56 hai, jo ke ek mazboot support level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is zone ko respect karti hai, to hum kafi significant pullback ki umeed kar sakte hain. Yeh pullback market ke liye ek naya mauqa ho sakta hai, khas taur par un traders ke liye jo buying position lene ki soch rahe hain.
Technical Indicators


Technical analysis ke liye, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi ek ahem indicator hai, jo ab oversold zone ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke buyers ke liye ek potential reversal signal ban raha hai. Aakhri closing price 156.09 par hui thi, jo ke support area ke thoda upar hai. Agar market khulti hai aur price is zone se bounce karti hai, to hum 200 se 300 pips tak ka pullback dekh sakte hain. Is se yeh bhi darshata hai ke market mein ek bullish momentum ka mauqa hai.
Potential Scenarios


Lekin, agar price is support level se niche girti hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai. Is surat mein agla target lower support zones par ho sakta hai. Triple bottom pattern ek mazboot reversal ka ishara hai, lekin iski confirmation ke liye bullish candle formations, jaise ke bullish engulfing ya hammer patterns ki zaroorat hai. Yeh candles market ke reversal ko confirm karne mein madadgar hoti hain.
Trading Strategy


Buyers ke liye sab se behtareen strategy yeh hogi ke wo price action par focus karein aur support zone se confirmation ka intezar karein. Iska matlab hai ke wo sirf tabhi trade karein jab price is support level se upar jati hai. Dusri taraf, sellers ko bhi ek confirmed break ka intezar karna chahiye. Agar RSI 30 ke upar reversal dikhata hai, to yeh buying momentum ko mazid barhawa de sakta hai. Lekin agar price girti hai jabke RSI oversold hai, to trend continuation ke chances barh jate hain.
Fundamental Considerations


Fundamental factors ko bhi nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki economic data ya news is pair ki movement par khaas asar daal sakte hain. Market khulte hi price action aur early session candles ko dekhna clarity dene mein madadgar hoga. Yeh dekhna bhi zaroori hai ke kon se news ya economic reports aane wali hain, jo is currency pair ko affect kar sakti hain.
Target Levels


Agar bounce hota hai, to initial resistance levels 158.50 par honge, uske baad 160.00 tak ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Iske muqabil, agar breakdown hota hai, to next target 154.00 par ho sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke bina confirmation ke impulsive trades se bachna chahiye, aur risk management par focus karna chahiye takay false breakouts se bacha ja sake.
Conclusion


Is analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke EUR/JPY pair ab ek critical juncture par hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo price action aur technical indicators par nazar rakhein, saath hi fundamental news ko bhi madde nazar rakhein. Yeh sab mil kar ek behtareen trading strategy tayar karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Trading mein sabr aur soch samajh kar faislay lena hamesha behtar hota hai, taake aap behtar profits hasil kar sakein aur potential losses se bach sakein.

Market fundamentals aur technical analysis ka samajhna trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai, khaas taur par jab hum EUR/JPY jese currency pair ki baat karte hain. Is waqt, traders ka bohot zyada focus Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki aane wali monetary policy meeting par hai, jahan unki interest rate ko 0.25% se 0.50% tak barhane ki umeed hai. Yeh umeed is liye hai kyunki yeh level 2008 ke global financial crisis ke baad se sabse uncha hai. Is potential rate hike ka asar na sirf JPY par, balki global markets par bhi pad sakta hai.

Japanese Yen ki value is waqt is liye bhi support ho rahi hai kyunki traders ko US President Donald Trump ki trade policies se dar hai, jo ke economic instability ka sabab ban sakti hain. Is wajah se, JPY ki safe-haven appeal mazid barh gayi hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ke liye upside potential ko limit kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) bhi apni monetary policy ko lekar kuch challenges face kar raha hai. Unhein growth concerns ko inflation control ke saath balance karna hai, jo EUR ki value ko neeche ki taraf dabaa raha hai.

Technical analysis ki baat karein, toh EUR/JPY pair ne 155.80 ke aas paas kai dafa resistance face kiya hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke is level par sellers ki strong position hai. Jab bhi price is level par pohanchti hai, toh wahan se girne lagti hai. Agar EUR/JPY ne 156.00 ka level tod diya, toh yeh bearish momentum ko aur badha sakta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 50 se neeche hai, yeh bhi ek bearish signal hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai.

Agar EUR/JPY 156.00 se neeche chala gaya, toh yeh 155.50 ke psychological level tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ke ascending channel ka lower boundary hai. Iske baad, agar selling pressure barhta hai, toh pair 155.00 ke four-month low tak bhi ja sakta hai. Yahan se, 154.70 ka level additional support de sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar market bearish trend mein chala gaya, toh yeh levels bohot important honge traders ke liye.

Lekin agar EUR/JPY ne 156.50 ka level cross kar liya, toh yeh bullish trend ki taraf signal de sakta hai. Is se buying pressure barh sakta hai aur traders ko 157.00 ke resistance zone ka target mil sakta hai. Yeh level bohot important hai kyunki yeh pehle bhi resistance ka kaam kar chuka hai.

Market ki dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai, khaas taur par jab aap currency pairs trade kar rahe ho. JPY ki strength aur ECB ki monetary policy ke asar ko dekhte hue, traders ko chuni hui strategies ke saath aage barhna hoga. Yeh samajhna bhi zaroori hai ke global market conditions aur geopolitical events ka currency pairs par kya asar hota hai.

Is liye, EUR/JPY ke traders ko in sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue apne decisions lene chahiye. Yeh market kaafi volatile ho sakta hai, isliye risk management bhi bohot zaroori hai. Aakhir mein, market ke fundamentals aur technical indicators ka acha mix aapko trading mein behtar decisions lene mein madad karega.

EUR/JPY currency pair ka H4 timeframe par tajziya karte waqt, sab se pehle humein yeh samajhna hoga ke is waqt market kis disha mein chal raha hai. Is waqt, EUR/JPY ka daam 21-period aur 34-period Moving Averages ke neeche trade ho raha hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke market bearish phase mein hai. Is market halat ko dekhte hue, meri koshish hogi ke sell opportunities ko dhoondhoon.
Support aur Resistance Levels


H4 timeframe par tajziya karte waqt, sab se pehle humein key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanna hoga. EUR/JPY ke liye, kuch aham levels yeh hain:

• Support Level: 154.61
• Resistance Level: 159.13

Yeh levels traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Resistance level 159.13 ek rukawat ban sakta hai agar price upar ki taraf jaane ki koshish kare. Wahi doosri taraf, support level 154.61 bearish trades ke liye ek potential target hai.
Market Trend aur Strategy


Bari bearish trend ko dekhte hue, meri strategy sell opportunities par focus karne par hogi. Jab market bearish hota hai, to aam tor par price corrections ya retracements ko dhoondna hota hai trade enter karne ke liye.

Main price correction ka intezaar karunga, jo ke tab hota hai jab price temporary taur par prevailing trend ke khilaf move karta hai. Is correction ke baad, main chhote timeframe (M15 ya M30) par reversal patterns ka intezaar karunga. Reversal patterns, jaise ke double tops ya head and shoulders, bearish trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain, aur yeh ek achha entry point faraham karte hain sell position ke liye.
Entry aur Exit Strategy


Jab ek munasib reversal pattern ban jaye, to main sell order place karunga. Stop loss ki placement risk management ke liye bohot ahem hai. Main recommend karta hoon ke stop loss ko chhote timeframe par banne wale reversal pattern ke upper boundary par rakha jaye. Is se humein behtareen protection milega agar unexpected price movements hon jo humein nuksan de sakte hain.

Target ke liye, main is identified support level 154.61 ko set karunga. Yeh level important hai kyunki yeh ek strong buying interest ka point ban sakta hai, jahan traders currency pair ko kharidne ke liye aa sakte hain. Isliye, is level par pahunche to yeh sell trade ke liye ek logical exit point ban sakta hai.
Summary


Mere EUR/JPY currency pair ke H4 timeframe ka tajziya kuch is tarah hai:

• Abhi ka trend bearish hai, jo ke 21 aur 34-period Moving Averages ke neeche trading se darust hota hai.
• Key support 154.61 par hai, jabke resistance 159.13 par hai.
• Main price correction aur chhote timeframe par reversal pattern ke formation ka intezaar karunga sell opportunities ke liye.
• Stop loss ko reversal pattern ke upper edge par rakha jayega, jabke target support level 154.61 par set kiya jayega

EUR/JPY Ka Tajziya - 23 February 2025

Sham bakhair doston! Aaj hum EUR/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karenge, jo ke D1 (daily) timeframe par kiya jayega. Filhal, EUR/JPY ka daam dono 21-period aur 34-period Moving Averages se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke bazar mein bearish trend hai. Yeh trend hamein bechnay ke mauqe talash karne ki taraf rujhan de raha hai.

D1 timeframe par, hamein kuch ahm support aur resistance levels ko pehchanna zaroori hai. Is waqt support level 153.58 par hai, jabke resistance level 164.02 par hai. Ye levels ahem hain kyunki ye hamein samajhne mein madad dete hain ke daam kahan tak ja sakta hai aur humein trade ke liye targets set karne mein madad karte hain.

Ek achhi bechne ki mauqa talash karne ke liye, mujhe ek price correction ka intezar karna hoga. Yeh correction is liye zaroori hai kyunki yeh bazar ko thoda sa peeche ki taraf le jaata hai, taake phir se neeche ki taraf jaye. Is correction ke baad, mein choti timeframe par ek reversal pattern ka intezar karunga, jo ke bearish sentiment ki tasdeeq karega.

Jab baat hoti hai stop loss set karne ki, toh yeh behtareen hai ke isay choti timeframe par jo reversal pattern emerge hota hai uske mutabiq adjust karein. Yeh approach hamein potential losses ko kam karne mein madad deta hai, jabke trade ko develop hone ka kafi waqt bhi faraham karta hai.

Target placement ki baat karein, toh mein ise support level 153.58 par set karunga. Yeh target bearish outlook ke sath align hota hai aur trade ke liye ek logical exit point faraham karta hai.

Tajziya ka Khulasa:

Yeh tajziya yeh darust karta hai ke D1 timeframe par bearish trend hai, jismein bechne ke mauqe par focus kiya ja raha hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo price correction ka intezar karein aur phir choti timeframe par reversal pattern ki tasdeeq ka intezar karein, takay wo sell position mein enter kar sakein. Stop loss ko reversal pattern ke mutabiq adjust karna aur target ko 153.58 par set karna risk ko effectively manage karne mein madad karega.

Aakhir mein, mein yeh kehna chahunga ke trading mein sab se ahem baat hai risk management. Har trade mein risk ko samajhna aur usay manage karna zaroori hai. Hamesha yeh yaad rakhein ke market kabhi bhi aapke khilaf ja sakta hai, is liye stop loss ka use karna aur proper analysis karna bahut zaroori hai.

Agar aap is analysis se mutaffiq hain toh aap bhi apne trading strategies par isay amal kar sakte hain. Chart ko niche attach karna bhi zaroori hoga, taake aapko jo kuch main ne bayan kiya uska visual tasawwur mile. Khuda Hafiz!