یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Maine notice kiya ke instrument growth ke liye conditions banana shuru kar diya hai. Maine dekha ke price local maximum ko pierce kar gaya, aur agarche woh us level se neeche aa gaya, usne last minimum update nahi kiya. Mera khayal hai ke ye price movement upward trend banane ka signal deta hai. Mujhe nahi pata ye kab tak chalega, lekin main week ke shuru mein ek upward move ki ummeed karta hun. Mujhe ye khaas tor pe interesting lagta hai agar EUR/JPY pair 161.51 se upar jata hai aur wahan consolidate karta hai. Main phir channel ki middle line ki taraf movement pe focus karunga, jo 163.46 tak pahunch sakta hai. Main dekhta hun ke hourly chart pe average price lines ab bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain, aur oscillators downward correction indicate karte hain. Lekin, agar chart pe current formation expected ke mutabiq play out hoti hai, to main anticipate karta hun ke oscillators pehle catch up karenge, uske baad moving averages. Mujhe ehsas hai ke confident entry ke liye abhi enough confirmation nahi hai. Main sochta hun agar main thoda aur wait karun, to market zyada clarity provide karega. Main hamesha khud ko yaad dilata hun ke five-minute chart pe bhi, mujhe minimums aur maximums ke mutual arrangement ko use karte hue navigate karna chahiye. Main dekhta hun ke average prices bahut dheere dheere badh rahi hain, jo mujhe unexpected downward rebounds se cautious karta hai jo agar main buy position mein bahut jaldi enter karun to stop losses ko knock out kar sakta hai. Main strongly feel karta hun ke EUR/JPY next week grow karega. January mein, maine price ko sideways move karte hue dekha, aisi movements ke saath jo daily period standards ke hisab se large nahi the. Maine observe kiya ke wave structure neutral raha. Maine notice kiya ke MACD indicator zero mark ke paas fluctuate kar raha tha, koi clear signals nahi de raha tha.
Maine dekha ke descending resistance line ne achcha kaam kiya, kyunkay price barely ise touch kiya decline shuru karne se pehle. Main ab price ko 159.70 pe main horizontal support level ke paas approach karte hue dekhta hun. Mujhe yaad hai ke ye level pehle bhi test ho chuka hai, aur main assume karta hun ke is baar ye hold nahi karega, jis se breakdown hoga. Main kuch temporary growth dekh sakta hun, lekin generally, mera khayal hai ke level downside mein break ho jayega. Main recognize karta hun ke market ek triangle mein narrow ho raha hai, jo yahan clearly visible hai. Main presume karta hun ke cycle tabhi complete hoga jab price is triangle ki lower line ko touch karega. Main estimate karta hun ke current price se 300-point move downward ke liye ab bhi jagah hai, provided ke 159.70 pe support hold nahi karta. Main selling ke liye best entry point 159.70 ke aas paas consider karta hun, lekin tabhi agar price isse neeche break karta hai aur phir ise resistance ke tor pe retest karta hai. Main janta hun ke aise scenario mein, main market price pe sell kar sakta hun ya confirmation ke liye lower time frame pe switch kar sakta hun. Main M15 chart use karna prefer karta hun ye check karne ke liye ke agar is key level ke paas koi selling formation develop hota hai, kyunkay woh additional confirmation provide karega. Main abhi sell nahi karna chahta kyunkay level clearly strong hai aur abhi bhi breakdown ko rok sakta hai. Main ab buy bhi nahi karna chahta kyunkay breakdown inevitable lag raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke ek baar low break ho gaya, to third wave downward move karegi. Main first wave pe Fibonacci target

Assalamu Alaikum!
Mujhe lag raha hai keh instrument growth k liye conditions bana raha hai. Maine dekha keh price aik local maximum se ooper chala gaya tha, aur agarchay ab wapis neeche aa gaya hai, lekin is ne apna last minimum update nahin kiya. Mera khayal hai keh yeh price movement upward trend ka ishara hai. Mujhe nahin pata yeh trend kab tak chalega, lekin main week ke shuru mein upward move expect kar raha hoon.
Mujhe yeh baat khaas taur per dilchasp lagti hai agar EUR/JPY pair 161.51 se ooper chala jaye aur wahan consolidate kar jaye. Meri tawajjuh phir channel ki middle line per hogi, jo 163.46 ke price target tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, main dekh raha hoon keh hourly chart per average price lines abhi bhi downward trajectory dikha rahi hain, aur oscillators downward correction suggest kar rahe hain. Phir bhi, agar current chart formation expected ke mutabiq chalta hai, toh main expect karta hoon keh oscillators pehle catch up karenge, aur us ke baad moving averages.
Main aware hoon keh abhi confident entry k liye enough confirmation nahin hai. Main



sochta hoon keh thoda aur wait karna chahiye, kyunkeh market shayad aur clear signals dega. Main apne aap ko constantly yaad dilata hoon keh five-minute chart per minimums aur maximums ke mutual arrangement ko follow karna hai. Main observe karta hoon keh average prices dheere dheere barh rahi hain, jis se main unexpected downward rebounds se cautious ho jata hoon jo agar main buy position mein jald baazi mein enter ho gaya toh mere stop losses ko hit kar sakte hain.
Mera strongly belief hai keh EUR/JPY next week growth experience karega. January mein, maine dekha tha keh price sideways move kar raha tha, aur movements daily period standards ke hisab se zyada bade nahin thay. Maine observe kiya keh wave structure neutral raha, aur MACD indicator zero mark ke aas paas fluctuate kar raha tha, koi clear signals nahin de raha tha.
Is ke ilawa, maine dekha keh descending resistance line ne achcha perform kiya, kyunkeh price barely us ko touch kiya tha decline shuru karne se pehle. Abhi, main price ko main horizontal support level 159.70 ke paas aa raha dekh raha hoon. Mujhe yaad hai keh yeh level past mein test ho chuka hai, aur main assume karta hoon keh yeh is dafa nahin tikega, aur breakdown ho jayega. Agarchay main kuch temporary growth envision kar sakta hoon, main generally sochta hoon keh yeh level eventually breakdown ho jayega.
Main recognize karta hoon keh market aik triangle mein narrow ho raha hai, jo chart per clearly visible hai. Main presume karta hoon keh cycle tabhi complete hoga jab price is triangle ki lower line ko touch karega. Main estimate karta hoon keh current price se 300 points downward move ki abhi bhi jagah hai, provided keh support 159.70 per nahin tikta.
Main selling k liye best entry point 159.70 ke aas paas consider karta hoon, lekin sirf agar price is level se neeche break ho jaye aur phir is ko resistance ki tarah retest kare. Main janta hoon keh aise scenario mein, main ya toh market price per sell kar sakta hoon ya confirmation k liye lower time frame per switch kar sakta hoon. Main M15 chart use karna prefer karta hoon yeh check karne k liye keh agar is key level ke paas koi selling formation develop hoti hai, kyunkeh woh additional confirmation degi

EUR/JPY ka jaiza:
EUR/JPY kai aham awamil se mutasir hota hai, jin mein U.S. Dollar ki mazbooti aur global risk sentiment, Europe ka economic manzar, Bank of Japan ki policy aur Yen ki karkardagi, aur geopolitical khatraat aur market sentiment shamil hain. Jabkay U.S. Dollar ki mazbooti global markets per asar andaz hoti hai, EUR/JPY ki bunyadi wajah European aur Japanese monetary policies mein farq hai. Aik mazboot U.S. Dollar aam taur per risk-off sentiment lata hai, jo safe-haven currency ke tor per Yen ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai, jis se Euro per Yen ke muqablay mein dabao barh sakta hai.
Bunyadi Tajzia:
Eurozone ki economic karkardagi EUR/JPY per aham asar dalti hai. European Central Bank (ECB) jis tarah moderate economic growth aur inflation ke dabao ke darmiyan monetary policy ko sakht karne ke challenge se nipat raha hai, Euro dabao mein reh sakta hai, khas tor per agar economic data mazeed sust raftari ki taraf ishara kare. Bank of Japan ka mauqaf aham hai. Central bank ne kam interest rates aur bond-buying programs ke sath ultra-loose monetary policy settings ko barqarar rakha hai. Yen ki kamzori, ECB samait deegar major central banks ke muqablay mein policies mein is farq ka natija hai. Jab tak BoJ apna current course barqarar rakhta hai, Yen, Euro ke muqablay mein kamzor reh sakta hai. Geopolitical tanav aur global risk sentiment EUR/JPY mein aham kirdar ada karenge. Koi bhi risk-off sentiment Yen ke favour mein ho sakta hai, jabkay risk-on sentiment Euro ke favour mein hoga, khas tor per agar investors Eurozone mein mazboot growth potential dekhte hain.
Technical Tajzia:
Technically, EUR/JPY is waqt 158.10-158.50 ke aas paas consolidation phase mein trade kar raha hai, short-term mein mamooli bullish bias ke sath. Yeh pair resistance levels se guzar raha hai, lekin yeh apne key moving averages se ooper raha hai, jo is ke uptrend ke jari rehne ki potential ki taraf ishara karta hai. Dekhne ke liye aham levels mein 158.50 aur 159.00 per resistance aur 157.50 aur 157.00 per support shamil hain. RSI is waqt 56 per hai, jo neutral-to-bullish momentum ki nishandahi karta hai. 50-day moving average 157.50 ke aas paas dynamic support faraham karta hai, jo overall bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. MACD is waqt bullish crossover dikha raha hai, jo ishara karta hai ke momentum bulls ke favour mein hai.
Nateeja:
EUR/JPY ka outlook bullish hai, 158.50 se ooper break hone ki potential ke sath next resistance level 159.00 ko target karna hai. Taham, 157.50 se ooper hold karne mein nakami ya 157.00 se neechay break hona aik gehri correction ki shuruat ki nishandahi kar sakta hai, jis mein 156.50 ya 156.00 ki taraf potential downside hai

Di gayi chart financial maloom hoti hai, shayad kisi stock ya currency data ko ek khaas muddat ke liye zahir karti hai. Data points mein adadi values aur tareekhen shamil hain, jo time series analysis ki nishandahi karti hain. 156.21, 156.35, 156.19, aur 156.30 jaise numbers kisi khaas waqt mein price levels ya indices ko zahir kar sakte hain. January 3 se February 6 tak ki tareekhon ki sequence se pata chalta hai ke chart ek mah se thoda zyada muddat ko cover karta hai, jo analysts ko ek khaas time frame mein market ki tabdeeliyan track karne ki salahiyat faraham karta hai.
Is ke ilawa, chart mein 164.70 se shuru hokar 156.30 per khatam hone wale numbers ki ek series shamil hai. Yeh kisi tracked asset ki price ya value mein kami ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Yeh kami market volatility ya economic factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo short term mein asset ki value per asar andaz hote hain. Aisi harkaten traders ke liye bahut aham hain jo market mein entry aur exit points identify karna chahte hain.
Chart mein "Stock(5,3,3)" ke baad 34.70 aur




32.85 numbers bhi shamil hain. Yeh kisi khaas stock metrics ya indicators ka hawala ho sakta hai, shayad moving averages ya deegar technical analysis tools se related jo trends aur market fluctuations identify karne ke liye istemal hote hain. Yeh numbers trading signals ya khaas time frames faraham kar sakte hain jinhen analysts strategic decisions lene ke liye istemal karte hain.
Listed percentages (100.00, 80.00, 20.00, 0.00) performance levels ya khaas thresholds ko zahir kar sakte hain. Yeh percentages overbought ya oversold conditions ko zahir karne ya significant support aur resistance levels ko mark karne ke liye istemal ho sakte hain jo market movements ko influence kar sakte hain. Aise indicators zyada informed trading decisions lene mein madad karte hain.
Overall, chart ek technical analysis tool maloom hota hai jo kisi financial asset ki harkaton ko track aur predict karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Data volatility ke daur ki nishandahi karta hai, thode waqt mein value mein aham tabdeeliyon ke sath. Is qism ka analysis traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai jo assets kharidne ya bechne ke bare mein informed decisions lene ke liye historical data aur trends per bharosa karte hain

EUR/JPY ka jaiza:
EUR/JPY pair Eurozone aur Japan dono ki economic dynamics se mutasir hota rehta hai, jis mein main focus European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies per hai. Euro kuch mazbooti se faida utha raha hai kyunkay ECB, BoJ ke muqablay mein zyada hawkish stance mein hai, jo apni ultra-loose policy jari rakhe hue hai. Kai aham awamil EUR/JPY pair per asar andaz ho rahe hain. European Central Bank hal hi mein kai deegar central banks ke muqablay mein nisbatan zyada hawkish raha hai, kyunkay inflation ab bhi ek bada masla hai. Yeh Euro ko deegar currencies, jin mein Japanese Yen bhi shamil hai, ke muqablay mein kuch mazbooti deta hai.
Bunyadi Tajzia:
Is ke baraks, BoJ ab bhi ultra-accommodative stance mein hai, economic growth ko stimulate karne ki koshish mein interest rates ko intehai kam levels per rakha hua hai. Japan mein inflation ab bhi target se kam hone ki wajah se, central bank se jald hi apni policy badalne ki umeed nahi hai. ECB aur BoJ ke darmiyan yeh monetary policy divergence Japanese Yen per dabao dalna jari rakhta hai, jo euro ko yen ke muqablay mein support karta hai. Global risk sentiment bhi EUR/JPY mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. Jab risk appetite zyada hota hai, to euro out perform karta hai, aur yen safe-haven currency ke tor per struggle kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar risk sentiment kharab hota hai, to yen kuch demand experience kar sakta hai, halankay underlying BoJ policy is ki upside potential ko limit karti hai.
Technical Tajzia:
Technical nuqta nazar se, EUR/JPY ko 160.00, 160.50-161.00 per key resistance levels aur 162.00 per potential targets ka samna hai. Support levels 158.00 aur 157.00 per waqay hain. EUR/JPY ka overall outlook near term mein ehtiyat se bullish bana hua hai. ECB aur BoJ ki policies ke darmiyan divergence ko yen ke muqablay mein euro ke liye support faraham karna jari rakhna chahiye. Taham, global risk sentiment mein koi bhi tabdeeli ya central bank policies mein aham tabdeeliyan pair ko mutasir kar sakti hain.
Nateeja:
Traders ko potential trading opportunities ke liye key levels, jaise 160.00 (resistance) aur 158.00 (support) ke aas paas breakouts ya pullbacks dekhna chahiye

EUR/JPY currency pair ne pichlay Jumma ko apni taza tareen kam tareen satah dekhi, jo December ke shuru se 156.75 ke aas paas ki satah tak pahunch gayi. Taham, pair ne baad mein apne kuch nuqsanat ko recover kiya, Asian session ke dauran 157.00 ki mid-level se ooper uth gaya. Yeh recovery جزوی طور per Japanese Yen (JPY) per farokht ke dabao se mansoob ki gayi hai. Jumma ko aik senior IMF official ke bayan mein, is baat per zor diya gaya ke Japan ki service sector inflation ab bhi 2% target se kam hai aur is tarah Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki accommodative monetary policy ki himayat karti hai, ne JPY per manfi dabao dala hai aur is ke nateeje mein EUR/JPY ke rebound mein madad ki hai. Is ke bawjood, prevailing market sentiment se pata chalta hai ke BoJ shayad qarz lene ki laagat ko raftaar se badhane ke apne course ko barqarar rakhe ga, jo yen ki mazeed kami ko limit kar sakta hai. Is view ko mazboot karte hue, BoJ Monetary Affairs Minister Kazuhiro Masaki ne Jumeraat ko kaha ke central bank agar inflation projected ke mutabiq tez hoti hai to interest rates badhana jari rakhe ga.




Yeh mauqaf European Central Bank (ECB) ki current policy ke baraks hai. Mazeed baran, European Union se aanay walay goods per tariffs ki ummeed, euro per dabao dal sakti hai aur EUR/JPY ki harkat ko mumkina tor per restrict kar sakti hai.
Isliye, traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye potential near-term floor ki tasdeeq karne aur mazeed discretionary trading actions karne se pehle mazboot follow-through buying ka intezaar karna chahiye. Technical analysis ke nuqta nazar se, pair ki aham 200-day simple moving average (SMA) se neechay baar baar nakami aur baad mein psychological 160.00 level se neechay girna aik aham bearish breakdown ki tasdeeq karta hai, jo ishara karta hai ke koi bhi recovery ki koshish nayi farokht ke dabao se mil sakti hai. Potential downside targets mein 20-day SMA 159.90 per, aur us ke baad 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 159.30 per shamil hain. Mazeed kami 156.80 ke aas paas medium-term uptrend line ki taraf harkat ke liye raasta hamwar kar sakti hai. Is ke baraks, agar market aham 162.30 resistance area se ooper break karne mein kamyab ho jata hai, to yeh 200-day SMA ke bullish test ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai, jo is waqt taqreeban 164.80 per 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level ke sath milta hai. Is aham resistance ki kamyab breach phir pair ko teen mah ki buland tareen satah 166.68 ki taraf le ja sakti hai

EUR/JPY pair kal opening ky bad aik range main move kar raha hai jo 155.54 say lay kar 157.35 tak hai is kay high aur low pay main ny horizontal line bhi lagai hai 50 ki EMA price say uper hai aur market aik consolidation phase main hai price is time range ke andar hi move kar rahi hai agar price 157.35 resistance level todti hai tu bullish momentum barh sakta hai aur price next resistance level ki taraf ja sakti hai jo key level 158.00 ho sakta hai lekin agar price 155.54 support level todti hai tu selling pressure barh sakta hai aur price nechy ja sakti hai jo agla support level 154.80 ho sakta hai price ka reaction important hoga breakout ka intezar karna zaroori hai taake clear direction ka pata chal sake agar price resistance todti hai aur strong bullish momentum hota hai tu buyers dominate kar sakte hain.

agar price support break hai aur bearish pressure barhta hai tu sellers control hasil kar sakte hain range kay andar trading risky ho sakti hai kyunki false moves ka bhi chance hota hai breakout kay direction main trade karna better hoga price kay movement kay liye fundamentals bhi important role play kar sakte hain agar EUR strong hota hai tu bullish breakout ka chance barh sakta hai agar JPY strong hota hai tu bearish breakout ka chance ho sakta hai market reaction aur volume bhi breakout ky doran dekhna zaroori hoga taake confirmation mil sake agar price strong momentum ky sath breakout karti hai tu trade execution achi ho sakti hai lekin agar weak breakout hota hai tu false breakout ka bhi khatra ho sakta hai traders ko chahiye kay technical indicators aur price action ko closely monitor karain taake behtar decision making ho sake range kay andar price ka reaction dekhna bhi zaroori hoga kyunki wahan se price rejection bhi lay sakti hai is liye patience aur confirmation ka intezar karna zaroori hai breakout kay sath volume bhi barhna chahiye jo trend confirmation ky liye helpful hoga market ka structure aur price action follow karna zaroori hoga taake achi entry aur exit points mil sake mujhe yakeen hai ap mere chart ko dekthy hoay aj ky din ky analysis samjh gaye hongy aur ap ko acha faida mil saky ga.

eurjpy pair is time apne double bottom level pay trade ho raha hai jo aik strong support zone hai peechay ka trend kafi bearish raha hai aur price continuously girti rahi hai h1 time frame main stochastic indicator bhi selling ka signal day raha hai jo mazid downside movement ka indication hai lekin agar double bottom ka level hold karta hai to market wahan say reversal bhi lay sakti hai 50 ki ema price say neeche hai jo confirm kar raha hai ke trend abhi tak bearish hai magar agar price double bottom level say bounce karti hai aur ema ko break hai to short term bullish move dekhne ko mil sakta hai agar price neeche girti hai to next support 158.50 ka ho sakta hai lekin agar yahan say buyers active hotay hain to resistance level 159.80 ka hoga aur agar ye level tod diya jata hai to bullish confirmation mil sakti hai lekin jab tak stochastic aur ema downward hain selling pressure dominate karay ga agar new york session main dollar strength milti hai to eur jpy aur ziada neeche gir sakta hai lekin agar yen weak hota hai to ek bullish pullback bhi ho sakta hai trading ky liye confirmation signals ka wait karna zaroori hai ta kay false breakouts say bacha ja sakein filhal ke liye trend bearish hai magar price critical support area py hai agar yahan say rejection milti hai to buyers wapas aa sakte hain magar agar ye level break hota hai to price aur ziada neeche giray gi market ki volatility bhi high hai aur economic data ka bhi asar ho sakta hai traders ko chahiye ke breakout ya rejection ka intezar karein aur us ky baad entry layen ta kay risk kam ho stochastic aur ema dono downward hain jo selling pressure ko mazid confirm kar rahay hain magar confirmation signals ka intezar karna zaroori hai.

EUR/JPY Market Outlook

Introduction


Aaj hum EUR/JPY ke market outlook par baat karain ge. Hal hi mein, EUR/JPY ne kuch girawat dekhi hai, jo ke ek correction process hai. Yeh downward movement is liye zaroori hai kyunki EUR/JPY ne bina kisi correction ke overbought zone ko chhoo liya tha. Aaj hum dekhen ge ke yeh correction kis tarah se market ko asar daal raha hai aur traders ko kya strategies apnani chahiye.
Correction Process ki Zaroorat


Jab bhi koi currency pair overbought zone tak pohanchta hai, wahan ek correction zaroori ho jata hai. Yeh correction price ko thoda stabilize karta hai aur traders ko mauka deta hai ke wo apne positions ko dobara assess karein. Aksar, yeh correction market ko bullish momentum ki taraf le jaata hai jab buyers key support levels par wapas aate hain. Is waqt, EUR/JPY ke liye bhi yeh ek ahem waqt hai jahan market apne positions ko theek kar raha hai.
Key Support Levels


Jab market correction mein hota hai, to key support levels par dhyan dena zaroori hota hai. Yeh levels wo hain jahan buyers market mein wapas aate hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh market correction ke baad EUR/JPY wapas bullish trend ki taraf ja sakta hai. 158.00 ka zone is waqt ek ahem level hai jahan price ko cross karne ki umeed hai. Traders ko in support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo buying opportunities ko theek se samajh sakein.
Technical Indicators ka Reset hona


Jab market correction hota hai, to technical indicators bhi reset hote hain. Yeh reset overbought conditions ko door karta hai aur market ko agle bullish rally ke liye tayyar karta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo apni analysis ko in indicators ke zariye karein taake unhein market ke agle movements ka andaza ho sake. Is waqt, RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur Moving Averages ka dekhna zaroori hai.
Risk Management


Trading mein risk management sabse ahem hoti hai. Is waqt, jab market correction mein hai, traders ko stop losses lagana aur position sizes ko theek rakhna chahiye. Yeh unexpected volatility se bachne mein madad karega. Aaj kal ke market conditions mein, planning aur disciplined approach se hi traders successful ho sakte hain.
Fundamental Factors ka Asar


EUR/JPY ke market mein fundamental factors bhi bohat ahem hote hain. Is hafte, kuch important economic data releases aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke statements market sentiment ko kaafi asar daal sakte hain. Inflation reports, employment data, aur kisi bhi ECB policy updates par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar Eurozone ka economic outlook positive raha, to yeh bullish momentum ko support de sakta hai. Lekin agar data weak raha, to yeh anticipated recovery ko delay kar sakta hai.
Conclusion


Aakhir mein, EUR/JPY ke market outlook ke hisaab se, correction phase ke baad bullish momentum ki umeed hai. Traders ko key support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market signals ke hisaab se apne strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Yeh waqt hai apne accounts ko manage karne ka aur risk management ko priority dene ka.

Aap sab ko trading ke liye best of luck! Khush rahiye aur safe rahiye!

Japanese Yen Aur USD/JPY Pair Ki Halat

Introduction


Japanese Yen (JPY) ne European trading session ke doran apni downward trajectory ko barqarar rakha. Yeh downward movement is liye dekhi gayi kyunki market mein yeh tasweesh hai ke Japan US tariffs ka hadaf ban sakta hai. Is tasweesh ne investors ko cautious bana diya hai, jiska asar USD/JPY pair par bhi nazar aata hai. Is article mein hum is trend ke peeche ke sabab, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke hawkish expectations, aur technical analysis ko samjhenge.
US Tariffs Ki Tashweesh


US tariffs ki wajah se yen ki value par negative asar pad raha hai. Jab investors ko lagta hai ke kisi mulk ki currency par trade tariffs lag sakte hain, toh wo us currency se nikalne ka faisla karte hain. Is wajah se, JPY ki demand kam hoti hai, jo iski value ko neeche le jaata hai. Is waqt, thoda mazboot US dollar bhi is trend ko majbooti de raha hai, jisse USD/JPY pair ko rozana gains mil rahe hain.
Bank of Japan Ke Hawkish Expectations


Iske bawajood, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke hawkish expectations ne yen ke mazeed nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madad ki hai. BOJ ne is saal ek aur interest rate hike ka irada rakha hai, jo Japanese government bond yields ko upar dhakel raha hai. Jab interest rates barhte hain, toh currency ki value bhi barhti hai kyunki investors zyada returns ki talash mein wahan nivesh karte hain.
Interest Rate Differential


Japan aur US ke darmiyan interest rate differential ke kam hone se low-yielding yen ko kuch support mil raha hai. Yeh support yen ki value ko kuch had tak rok raha hai, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat barte hue yeh dekhna hoga ke USD/JPY pair mein near-term bottom ki tasdeeq se pehle mazboot signals ka intezaar karein.
Technical Analysis


Daily chart par technical indicators negative momentum ko reflect karte rehte hain. Yeh indicators yeh batate hain ke market oversold conditions se door hai, jo mazeed downside potential ka ishara dete hain. Pair ka haal hi mein 152.50-152.45 ke confluence se neeche ka break bearish traders ke haq mein hai. Yeh confluence zone ab resistance level ke taur par kaam kar raha hai.
Potential Short-Covering Rally


Ek potential short-covering rally USD/JPY pair ko wapas 153.00 level ki taraf dhakel sakti hai. Lekin, yeh upward move tab tak temporary rahega jab tak market sentiment ya fundamental factors mein koi significant shift na ho. Is waqt immediate support Asian session low ke qareeb 151.25 area par hai. Agar yeh level tod diya gaya toh 151.00-150.95 support zone ka test kiya ja sakta hai.
Medium-Term Support Levels


Agar USD/JPY pair ne is support zone se neeche sustained move kiya, toh yeh medium-term support 150.55-150.50 se neeche aur psychological level 150.00 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh levels potential areas hain jahan kharidar ubhar sakte hain. Lekin prevailing bearish sentiment ke chalte, kisi bhi bounces ka nature corrective hone ka imkaan hai.
Conclusion


US tariffs ke bare mein tashweeshat, mazeed BOJ rate hikes ki ummeed, aur negative technical indicators ka combination JPY ke liye continued downside risks ki taraf ishara karta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo US trade policy, BOJ policy announcements, aur key technical levels se related developments par qareebi nazar rakhein taake USD/JPY pair ki future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Is waqt, cautious approach rakhna aur market ke movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.