Budh ko apne upar ki taraf ka rujhan jari rakha, jab ke is mein strong bullish conviction ki kami thi aur ye ek pehchani hui range mein trade kar raha tha. Spot prices lagbhag 160.00 tak pahunche, jo kai factors se support hasil kar raha tha. US dollar ne general sell-off ka faida uthatay hue investors ne Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive monetary policy easing par apne bets barhaye. Is ke ilawa, prevailing risk aversion ne safe-haven Japanese yen ko kamzor kiya, jo EUR/JPY ko tailwind provide kar raha tha. Magar, Bank of Japan aur European Central Bank ke darmiyan policy outlook ki farq ne is pair ke liye significant upward movements ko limit kar diya hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, haal ki price action ko bullish consolidation phase ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai, jo do hafton ki rally ke baad aaya. Daily chart oscillators ne positive momentum dikhana shuru kar diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish breakout shayad qareeb hai. Magar, bulls ko 161.00 level ke upar sustain strength aur break dekhna padega taake naye positions ka justification ho sake.
Agar EUR/JPY pair 161.00 ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ye 161.40-161.45 intermediate resistance zone ki taraf tez ho sakta hai aur aakhir mein 162.00 ke gol figure tak pahuncha sakta hai. Aage ki taraf, is se 162.45-162.50 region ka challenge ho sakta hai aur shayad 162.90 ke aas-paas ke monthly high tak bhi pahuncha ja sakta hai. 163.00 ke upar break hone se bearish outlook negated ho jayegi aur near-term bias bulls ki taraf shift ho jayegi.
Downside par, agar price 160.00 ke psychological level se neeche girta hai, to isse 159.60-159.55 ke region mein support mil sakta hai aur phir 159.00 ke gol figure par bhi. 159.00 ke neeche break hona yeh signal karega ke haal ki uptrend ne momentum kho diya hai aur yeh EUR/JPY ko 158.20 ke area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aage ki downside se 158.00 ke gol figure aur shayad mid-157.00 ke level ka test bhi ho sakta hai
Agar EUR/JPY pair 161.00 ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ye 161.40-161.45 intermediate resistance zone ki taraf tez ho sakta hai aur aakhir mein 162.00 ke gol figure tak pahuncha sakta hai. Aage ki taraf, is se 162.45-162.50 region ka challenge ho sakta hai aur shayad 162.90 ke aas-paas ke monthly high tak bhi pahuncha ja sakta hai. 163.00 ke upar break hone se bearish outlook negated ho jayegi aur near-term bias bulls ki taraf shift ho jayegi.
Downside par, agar price 160.00 ke psychological level se neeche girta hai, to isse 159.60-159.55 ke region mein support mil sakta hai aur phir 159.00 ke gol figure par bhi. 159.00 ke neeche break hona yeh signal karega ke haal ki uptrend ne momentum kho diya hai aur yeh EUR/JPY ko 158.20 ke area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aage ki downside se 158.00 ke gol figure aur shayad mid-157.00 ke level ka test bhi ho sakta hai
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