یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

currency pair ne Tuesday ko subah ke European trade mein rebound dekha, jo ke previous din ke one-week high se thodi si pullback ke baad bargain hunting ki wajah se tha. Is pair ki gains zyada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke kuch factors ki combination se faida utha rahi thi. Equity markets mein positive sentiment aur Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ne yen ki demand ko kam kar diya. Uchida ke bayan ke mutabiq, central bank market instability ke dauran interest rates ko nahi barhaye ga aur former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai ke March 2025 tak rate hike ke prediction ne yen ki girawat mein contribute kiya. Magar, BOJ k e July policy meeting ke minutes se ye pata chala ke kuch members further rate hikes aur policy normalization ke liye inclined hain, jo yen ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Middle East ke geopolitical tensions aur ongoing Russia-Ukraine war ne yen ki kamzori ko counter balance kiya, jisse significant losses ko roka gaya. Is backdrop ke saath EUR/JPY ke upside potential ko bhi limit kiya gaya, traders ko zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position establish karne se. Eurozone ka Q2 GDP data Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Japanese Q2 GDP report Thursday ko ayegi, jo pair ko fresh impetus de sakti hai. Geopolitical developments bhi short-term trading opportunities de sakti hain.weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti

JPY ka currency pair Wednesday ko rebound huwa, aur 161.10 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh reversal us waqt aya jab yeh pair saat din ke loss ke baad wapas aya. Japanese yen kamzor huwa Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ke baad, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood barqarar rakhega. Four-hour chart par overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunke price 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke ooper chala gaya hai, jo near-term gains ke potential ko dikhata hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke qareeb 162.18 par hai, jabke agla resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur 1 August ke previous high ke sath align karta hai.
Downside par, EUR/JPY pair ke liye initial support 6 August ke low 157.30 par hai. Yeh pair ne kai dafa 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline, jo February se resistance provide kar raha tha, ko break karne ki koshish ki hai. Pichle failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY is long-term trendline ke ooper chaar consecutive din se barqarar hai, jo bullish breakout ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Technical indicators oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo upward move ke imkanat ko support karte hain.

Pichle haftay ke significant drop ke baad, Euro Japanese yen ke khilaf apni positions ko dheere dheere recover kar raha hai. Overall, market mein panic-driven declines ke bawajood, prices ko apne decline ka acha hissa recover karne ka potential hai, chahe fundamentals is move ko fully support na karte hoon. Trend ab bhi higher timeframes par downward hai, lekin smaller timeframes par kuch buying opportunities ho sakti hain.

EUR/JPY pair ke liye, agar price support level 159.50 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh long positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar pair further dec


line karta hai, to agla support level 157.26 par hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka low tha, aur potential buying entry points wahan mil sakte hain—behtar hoga agar yeh signal par based ho rather than ek limit order. Mein filhal rise ko 161st Fibonacci level 163.80 tak dekh raha hoon

Hum EUR/JPY ki price action ko daily chart par dekhain ge. Mera yakeen hai ke jab se bears ne weekly trend line ko khola, bullish trend ka momentum khatam ho gaya hai aur pair market mein south (neeche) ki taraf mur raha hai, lekin yeh recovery correction nahi hai; yeh option trend line khulne se pehle kaam karta tha, lekin ab yeh trend mein tabdeeli ka option hai. Tashbih ke buniyad par, mujhe ek matrix structure mila hai jo sab se wazeh tor par 100% Fibonacci ke mutabiq likely downward movement ka level zahir karta hai. Is liye, sirf local support ko break karne ke baad, maine 158.79 quote par faida hasil karne ke liye sale mein dakhil honay ka faisla kiya. Mujhe pair ke linear decline par yakeen nahi hai, jo ke market ne tazeemon dikhaya hai. Yeh asaan, baghair rollback impulses, zyada manipulation ko zahir karte hain market mein asal downtrend movement ke bajaye sidhe line mein. Technical indicator MACD negative zone mein hai. Zyada imkaan hai ke aglay haftay trading instrument ki qeemat 155.00 tak neeche jaye. Sideways trend ki upper boundary ka kaam mukammal ho chuka hai, aur qeemat ne lower boundary ki taraf ruk kiya hai. Lower side ko mukammal karne ke baad, qeemat dobara upper side ki taraf aa sakti hai. Chart par aik bari green zone bani hui hai, jisko qeemat mukammal kar sakti hai.

Technically, pair oversold hai, lekin downside reversal ka potential barqarar hai. Aham support levels 166.15, 165.00, aur 200-day moving average par mojood hain. Agar in levels ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh mazid sustainable downtrend ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 160.00 psychological level ke qareeb expected hai. Overall, EUR/JPY pair ko mushkil soorat-e-haal ka saamna hai jismein global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, aur diverging monetary policies shamil hain. Chahay short-term bounce ya consolidation ki mumkinat ko nazar andaaz nahi kiya ja sakta, pair ki downside potential ahm hai. Short-term soorat-e-haal sirf tab behtar hogi jab 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) aur April ki high 171.56 ko todh liya jaye, halaan ke 168.17 par close hona 169.72 barrier tak extension zahir karta hai. Mazeed izafa 172.55 region ke qareeb khatam ho sakta hai, jahan price ko July ke beech mein reject kiya gaya tha. Agar yeh sab acha jata hai, to yeh July ke peak 175.41 ki raah saaf kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne July mein aik tez sell-off dekhi, 32 saal ki high 175.41 se gir kar 6 August ko 154.34 tak pohanch gayi. Tab se, pair recover karnay ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin uski upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb ruk gayi hai. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar rehta hai, to sab se kareeb support level 160.40 per barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Mazeed nuqsaanat February ke low 158.06 par cap ho sakte hain. Agar pair 158.06 se upar rehne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh January low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke 6 August ko set ki gayi 2024 low 154.34 ko dobara test kare. Upar ki taraf, 200-day SMA se break upar ki recovery ke darwaze khol sakta hai. March ke resistance level 165.34 par aik aham rukawat ho sakti hai. Is resistance ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 se upar dhakelna hoga, jo resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai

EUR/JPY cross Thursday ki subah Europe session ke dauran 162.00 ke qareeb bullish reh raha hai. Japanese Yen (JPY) pe pressure hai, aur Japan ke trade deficit ke statistics ki wajah se EUR/JPY exchange rate par positive asar para hai. June mein surplus kay baad, Japan ka merchandise trade balance gir kar ¥621.84 billion ka deficit ho gaya hai kyun ke imports umeed se zyada barh gayi hain. Thursday ko Germany aur Eurozone se August ka preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) pe traders ki nazar hogi. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda ka khitaab aur Japan ka July ka National Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi tawajjo ka markaz honge. BoJ ke interest rate phir se barhane ki umeedon ki wajah se Japanese Yen (JPY) euro ke muqable mein appreciated hua hai. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, zyadatar economists ne peeshgoi ki hai ke BoJ is saal ke akhir tak rate 0.50% tak le jaayega, jo ke 25 basis point (bps) ka izafa hai.

Lekin yeh correction zyada dair tak nahi chali, aur price ne 160.776 ke level par mazboot support bana liya. Yeh support ek ahem level hai jo bullish momentum ko zinda rakhta hai, aur yeh dikhata hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein apni positions ko mazboot rakhne ki taqat rakhte hain. Is waqt, EUR/JPY wapas 161.752 ki resistance ki taraf barh raha hai, aur yeh retest ek ahem lamha hai jo aagay ki movement ka rukh tay karega. Agar yeh resistance successfully break ho jata hai, to price bullish trend ko continue karne ka zyada imkaan hai, aur sab se qareebi target 162,906 ka level hoga. Yeh level realistic target hai considering ke bullish momentum ki taqat jo price movement se nazar aa rahi hai aur technical indicators ki tasdeeq se bhi. Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main 161,752 ki resistance ke upar breakout ka intezar karun ga pehle ke buy position kholon. Yeh breakout ek strong signal hoga ke market mazeed upar janay ke liye tayar hai, aur is tarah se traders ke liye zyada price movements se munafa kamane ka moka milega. Buy position kholne ke baad mera price target 162,906 par hoga, aur sakht risk management se profitability ko barqarar rakha jayega.

EUR/JPY pair filhaal ek bullish trend mein hai aur bullish triangle pattern bana raha hai, isliye ye upar ki taraf apni rally continue kar sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi zaroori hai ke medium-term trend direction abhi bhi strongly bullish hai, jo future mein price declines ka possibility barha sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar current price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar rahti hai, jo ke already cross ho chuki hain aur golden cross signal de rahi hain, to price aur bhi upar move kar sakti hai. Bullish triangle pattern ki validation confirm karne ke liye, price ka 161.90 ke aas-paas high ko surpass karna zaroori hai.
UK economy ne second quarter mein quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.6% ka expansion dikhaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha. Year-on-year basis par, GDP mein Q2 mein 0.9% ka izafa hua, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Q1 ke 0.3% se barh gaya.
Finance Minister Rachel Reeves ne highlight kiya ke latest data naye hukoomat ke liye challenges ko darshata hai aur apna mauqaf dohraya ke economic fundamentals ko behtar banane ke liye mushkil faislay lena zaroori hoga, Reuters ke mutabiq.
Eurozone mein, Thursday ko halia data ne investor confidence mein aik sakht girawat aur industrial activity mein unexpected decline ko darshaya. Iske bawajood, Eurozone ka preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 mein quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.3% barha, jo pehle period ke mutabiq tha aur market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Year-on-year basis par, economy mein 0.6% ka izafa hua, jaise ke anticipate kiya gaya tha. Is mustahkam growth ne October tak European Central Bank (ECB) ke do potential rate cuts ke hawale se speculation ko barhaya.
EUR/JPY ne Friday ke early Asian session mein 163.55 ke qareeb soft note par trade kiya. Cross ne 100-period EMA ke upar apna uptrend dobara shuru kiya aur bullish RSI indicator ke sath mazid barh gaya.
Immediate resistance level 164.00 par ubharta hai; 163.10-163.00 ka region initial support level ka kirdar ada karta hai.
EUR/JPY cross ne Friday ko early European session ke dauran 163.55 ke qareeb kamzor trade kiya, apni char dinon ki winning streak ko tor diya. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne mazeed barh kar kuch strength hasil ki jab Japan ka second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 mein anticipated se zyada barh kar 0.8% QoQ par aya. Encouraging GDP growth numbers Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke nazdeek waqt mein interest rate hike ke chances ko support karte hain.
Cross ne apna uptrend 4-hour chart par dobara shuru kiya, jahan price key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) ke upar hold kar rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke upar 68.50 ke qareeb khada hai, jo ke bearish vibes ki darshani karta hai.
Potential upside barrier EUR/JPY ke liye 164.00 psychological mark par ubharta hai. Agar yeh level sustained break hota hai to yeh wapas 164.89 tak climb ke continuation ka izhar kar sakta hai, jo ke July 25 ka low tha. Extended gains se July 31 ke high 166.56 tak rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Dosri taraf, 163.10-163.00 ka zone cross ke liye initial support level ka kirdar ada karta hai. Additional downside filter ko dekhna chahiye jo August 15 ka low 161.95 hai. Agla contention level August 14 ke low 160.59 par dekha ja sakta hai
EUR/JPY pair ke liye, agar price support level 159.50 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh long positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar pair further decline karta hai, to agla support level 157.26 par hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka low tha, aur potential buying entry points wahan mil sakte hain—behtar hoga agar yeh signal par based ho rather than ek limit order. Mein filhal rise ko 161st Fibonacci level 163.80 tak dekh raha hoon

Mera yeh maanna hai ke jab bears ne successfully weekly trend line ko break kiya, tab bullish trend ki energy khatam ho gayi aur pair market par south ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin yeh recovery correction nahi hai; Yeh option tab kaam aaya jab trend line break nahi hui thi, lekin ab yeh trend change hone ka option lag raha hai. Figurative similarity ke base par, maine ek matrix structure paya jo sabse zyada clear level dikhata hai jahan downward movement 100% Fibonacci ke hisaab se ja sakti hai. Isliye, maine local support ko break karne ke baad hi sale mein enter kiya taake 158.79 quote par profit ho sake. Mujhe pair ke linear decline par yakeen nahi hai, jo market recently demonstrate kar raha hai. Yeh smooth, rollback-free impulses market mein zyada manipulation dikhati hain na ke actual downward movement. Technical indicator MACD negative zone mein hai. Zyada mumkin hai ke agle hafte trading instrument ka price 155.00 tak niche chale. Sideways trend ki upper border kaam ho chuki hai aur price ne lower border par move kar liya hai. Lower side ko kaam karne ke baad, price wapas upper border ki taraf aa sakti hai. Chart par ek bara green zone bana hai, jo price work out kar sakti hai. Technically, pair oversold hai, but downside reversal ka potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Key support levels 166.15, 165.00, aur 200-day moving average par located below. In levels ke neeche break hona ek zyada sustained downtrend ka signal de sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 160.00 psychological level ke aas-paas expect kiya ja raha hai.
Kul mila ke, EUR/JPY pair ek challenging outlook ka samna kar raha hai jo ke global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, aur diverging monetary policies ke combination ki wajah se hai. Jab tak short-term bounce ya consolidation ka possibility inkaar nahi kiya ja sakta, pair ke downside potential kaafi significant haih

Hum EUR/JPY ke price action ko daily chart par dekhain ge. Mera yeh maanna hai ke jab bears ne successfully weekly trend line ko break kiya, tab bullish trend ki energy khatam ho gayi aur pair market par south ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin yeh recovery correction nahi hai; Yeh option tab kaam aaya jab trend line break nahi hui thi, lekin ab yeh trend change hone ka option lag raha hai. Figurative similarity ke base par, maine ek matrix structure paya jo sabse zyada clear level dikhata hai jahan downward movement 100% Fibonacci ke hisaab se ja sakti hai. Isliye, maine local support ko break karne ke baad hi sale mein enter kiya taake 158.79 quote par profit ho sake. Mujhe pair ke linear decline par yakeen nahi hai, jo market recently demonstrate kar raha hai. Yeh smooth, rollback-free impulses market mein zyada manipulation dikhati hain na ke actual downward movement. Technical indicator MACD negative zone mein hai. Zyada mumkin hai ke agle hafte trading instrument ka price 155.00 tak niche chale. Sideways trend ki upper border kaam ho chuki hai aur price ne lower border par move kar liya hai. Lower side ko kaam karne ke baad, price wapas upper border ki taraf aa sakti hai. Chart par ek bara green zone bana hai, jo price work out kar sakti hai. Technically, pair oversold hai, but downside reversal ka potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Key support levels 166.15, 165.00, aur 200-day moving average par located hain. In levels ke neeche break hona ek zyada sustained downtrend ka signal de sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 160.00 psychological level ke aas-paas expect kiya ja raha hai.

Kul mila ke, EUR/JPY pair ek challenging outlook ka samna kar raha hai jo ke global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, aur diverging monetary policies ke combination ki wajah se hai. Jab tak short-term bounce ya consolidation ka possibility inkaar nahi kiya ja sakta, pair ke downside potential kaafi significan

JPY ka currency pair Wednesday ko rebound huwa, aur 161.10 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh reversal us waqt aya jab yeh pair saat din ke loss ke baad wapas aya. Japanese yen kamzor huwa Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ke baad, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood barqarar rakhega. Four-hour chart par overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunke price 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke ooper chala gaya hai, jo near-term gains ke potential ko dikhata hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke qareeb 162.18 par hai, jabke agla resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur 1 August ke previous high ke sath align karta hai.
Downside par, EUR/JPY pair ke liye initial support 6 August ke low 157.30 par hai. Yeh pair ne kai dafa 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline, jo February se resistance provide kar raha tha, ko break karne ki koshish ki hai. Pichle failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY is long-term trendline ke ooper chaar consecutive din se barqarar hai, jo bullish breakout ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Technical indicators oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo upward move ke imkanat ko support karte hain.

Pichle haftay ke significant drop ke baad, Euro Japanese yen ke khilaf apni positions ko dheere dheere recover kar raha hai. Overall, market mein panic-driven declines ke bawajood, prices ko apne decline ka acha hissa recover karne ka potential hai, chahe fundamentals is move ko fully support na karte hoon. Trend ab bhi higher timeframes par downward hai, lekin smaller timeframes par kuch buying opportunities ho sakti hain.

EUR/JPY pair ke liye, agar price support level 159.50 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh long positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar pair further decline karta hai, to agla support level 157.26 par hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka low tha, aur potential buying entry points wahan mil sakte hain—behtar hoga agar yeh signal par based ho rather than ek limit order. Mein filhal rise ko 161st Fibonacci level 163.80 tak dekh raha hoon

Aaj hum EUR/JPY currency pair ka analysis karein ge, using the 4-hour chart. Yeh timeframe market ke broader movements ko samajhne mein madad deta hai aur traders ko zyada strategic decision-making mein support karta hai.
Is waqt, EUR/JPY ek strong uptrend mein hai aur comfortably Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai. Ichimoku cloud ek well-respected indicator hai jo trend, support, aur resistance levels ko highlight karta hai. Jab kisi currency pair ka price cloud ke upar ho, toh yeh typically bullish momentum ka signal hota hai, jo batata hai ke buyers control mein hain aur market sentiment upward movement ko favor kar raha hai.

Technical Indicators aur Signals

EUR/JPY ka Ichimoku cloud ke upar position hona ek clear positive signal hai. Tenkan-sen (conversion line) aur Kijun-sen (base line) bhi dekhne layak hain. Is waqt, Tenkan-sen Kijun-sen ke upar hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh alignment usually indicate karta hai ke uptrend continue rehne ke chances hain, aur yeh long positions ke liye ek acha mauka ho sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Chikou Span (lagging line) bhi price action ke upar hai, jo uptrend ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Abhi immediate vicinity mein koi significant resistance levels nazar nahi aa rahe, jo further gains ke potential ko support karte hain. Lekin, agar price Ichimoku cloud ke upper boundary ke qareeb aati hai, toh pullbacks ke chances ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye, kyunki yeh bullish momentum mein weakening ka sign ho sakta hai.

Strategic Considerations

Considering strong uptrend aur favorable Ichimoku signals, long positions lena profitable ho sakta hai. Traders recent highs ya key psychological levels ko target kar sakte hain, aur stop-loss orders Ichimoku cloud ke niche place karna acha rahega taake kisi sudden reversal se bach sakain.

Market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, especially for any fundamental news ya economic data jo euro ya yen ko impact kar sakti hai. Aisi events ya toh uptrend ko accelerate kar sakti hain ya ek correction trigger kar sakti hain. Akhir mein, EUR/JPY pair 4-hour chart par long positions ke liye ek strong case present kar raha hai, supported by strong uptrend aur bullish Ichimoku signals se. Traders ko yeh opportunity capitalize karni chahiye, lekin kisi bhi trend reversal ke signs par nazar rakhni chahiye.

bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain. Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.

Main ab 161st Fibonacci level pe rise consider kar raha hoon jo 163.80 pe hai, aur price us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Bullish triangle pattern ke validation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke price approximately high 161.90 ke upar surpass kare.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo volume histogram ko level 0 ke kareeb dikhata hai, yeh possibility hai ke momentum downtrend ki taraf shift ho jaye. Yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekhte hue, jo level 50 se upar chale gaye hain aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke kareeb hain, ek aur possibility hai ke price upar ja sakta hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report, jiska forecast outcome 3.0% hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support provide nahi karta. Isliye, fundamentally, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke pr

Euro ne Japanese yen ke khilaaf Monday ke early European trading ke dauran kamzor hoti hui performance dikhayi, aur EUR/JPY pair lagbhag 160.70 level par trade kar raha tha. Is downward movement ka sabab Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments thay, jo yen ko support faraham karte hain aur uske counterparts par dabao daalte hain. Ueda ne dobara apna irada dohraya ke agar inflation 2% target se upar rahi toh woh interest rates barhane ke liye tayar hain. Jab ke economists is saal rate hike ki umeed rakhte hain, lekin aksar logon ka maanna hai ke yeh December mein hone ke zyada chances hain, na ke October mein. BOJ ke further monetary tightening ke barhte huye andazay ne yen ki value ko euro ke muqablay mein barhaya hai.

Eurozone mein, investors August ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ka intizaar kar rahe hain. Yeh inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September ke interest rate decision ke hawale se insights de sakti hai. Jab ke inflation ke August mein year-on-year 2.3% tak kam hone ki umeed thi, ECB ab bhi is saal ke baqi hisse mein rate cuts continue karne ki umeed kar raha hai. Is umeed ne euro par selling pressure barhaya hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne bhi is baat par zor diya ke kamzor hoti hui eurozone economy aur slow inflation se borrowing costs ko aglay maheenay mein kam karne ka case mazid mazboot hota hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne July mein ek sharp sell-off ka samna kiya, jo ke 32 saal ke high 175.41 se gir kar 6 August ko low 154.34 tak chali gayi. Tab se pair recover karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, magar uska upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish sentiment prevail karta hai, toh 160.40 ka nearest support level ek barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Mazid losses ko February ke low 158.06 par cap kiya ja sakta hai. Agar pair 158.06 ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, toh January ka low 155.05 challenge kiya ja sakta hai aur 6 August ko set kiya gaya 2024 ka low 154.34 wapas test kiya ja sakta hai. Upper side par, agar pair 200-day SMA ke upar break karta hai, toh recovery ke liye darwaza khul sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 ek aham hurdle ka kaam karega. Is resistance ko overcome karne ke liye bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 ke upar push karna ho ga, jo ab ek resistance ke tor par kaam karega.

H1 hour time frame par, price ek support area ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo daily position 162.83 ke aas paas hai, aur red channel line par bhi. Iss hafte ke doran, price ne price channels ke andar trade karna shuru kiya hai, jisme se ek thrusting aur doosra descending hai. Magar ab tak price ki movement ke doran, price ne thrusting channel ko pasand kiya hai, jo ab tak thrusting week ki tasdiq kar raha hai.
Isliye, red channel line ko price ke liye ek acha support hone ka imkaan hai, jo price ko dobara upar la sakti hai. Is dauran, behtareen trading ka moka yeh hoga ke jab channel line ke sath thrusting price action form ho, to buy kiya jaye.

Economic side par, Eurozone mein GDP growth rate verify hui hai. Jo announce hua hai, uske mutabiq, Eurozone GDP ne 2024 ke second quarter mein 0.3% ka expansion kiya hai, jo pichle period ke barabar hai aur pehle wale estimate ke mutabiq hai. France (0.3% vs. 0.3% Q1), Italy (0.2% vs. 0.3%), aur Spain (0.8% vs. 0.8%) jese major economies ne bhi iss quarter mein expansion dikhaya hai. Belgium (0.2% vs. 0.3%), Ireland (1.2% vs. 0.7%), Portugal (0.1% vs. 0.8%), Lithuania (0.9% vs. 0.9%), Cyprus (0.7% vs. 1%), Slovakia (0.4% vs. 0.6%) aur Finland (0.4% vs. 0.2%) ne bhi expansion dikhayi hai. Wahi Estonia (0.2% vs. -0.4%), Netherlands (1% vs. -0.3%) aur Slovenia (0.2% vs. -0.1%) mein GDP rebound hui hai.

Dusri taraf, Eurozone ki sabse bari economy, Germany, unexpected 0.1% contract hui hai, kyunke industrial sector high interest rates ke pressures se suffer kar raha hai. Latvia ki economy bhi 1.1% contract hui aur Austria ka GDP stagnate (0.2% ke muqable mein 0%) ho gaya. Annual basis par, Eurozone GDP 0.6% expand hui, jo pichle 5 quarters mein sabse zyada rate hai. European Comm

Euro ne Monday ko early European trading ke doran Japanese yen ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jahan EUR/JPY pair 160.70 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Ye neeche ki taraf movement mainly Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ke wajah se hui, jo yen ko support dene aur uske counterparts ko dabane ka sabab bani. Ueda ne inflation agar 2% ke target se zyada barh jaye toh interest rates barhane ka apna commitment dohraaya. Jabke economists is saal rate hike ki umeed kar rahe hain, kai log samajhte hain ke ye December mein hone ke zyada chances hain, October mein nahi. BOJ ke zyada monetary tightening ke speculation ne yen ki value ko euro ke muqable mein barha diya hai. Eurozone mein, investors August ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ka intezar kar rahe the. Ye inflation report ECB ke interest rate decision ke hawale se insights dene ki umeed thi. Inflation August mein 2.3% year-on-year tak dheemay hone ki umeed hai, lekin ECB ke rate cut ki umeed ab bhi barqarar hai. Ye expectation euro par selling pressure dal rahi hai. ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn ne bhi yahi kaha ke kamzor eurozone economy aur dheemay inflation ke bawajood borrowing costs ko kam karne ka case majboot hota hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne July mein sharp sell-off ka samna kiya, jo 32 saal ke high 175.41 se gir kar 6 August ko 154.34 tak aa gaya. Uske baad se pair recovery ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iski upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb ruk gayi lagti hai. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar raha, to qareeb ki support level 160.40 ek barrier ban sakta hai. Aage ke losses February ke low 158.06 tak seemit ho sakte hain. Agar pair 158.06 ke upar nahi reh pata, to ye January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur 2024 ka low 154.34 jo 6 August ko set hua, dubara test kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, agar 200-day SMA ke upar break hota hai, to recovery ke liye raasta khul sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 ke upar push karna padega, jo ab resistance ban sakta hai.

movement pattern abhi bhi daily par correction mein lagta hai, jahan price abhi bhi Ema 7 daily ke nearest resistance par atki hui hai, jo low Bollinger daily par reject hone ke baad hai. Filhal, candle ek baar phir bearish pattern ke saath close hui hai aur ek strong bearish reversal pattern banane ki potential rakhti hai, lekin iski chhoti timeframe mein confirmation ka intezar hai. Agar price aur girti hai, to nearest support level 158.30 par test hone ki sambhavana hai. Agar price correction movement continue karti hai, to pehle EMA 255 daily at 162.42 tak rise karne ki sambhavana hai. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI, bhi alag patterns show kar rahe hain. Stochastic sharp rise kar raha hai aur 80 area ki taraf badh raha hai, jabke RSI 30 area mein reject ho raha hai jo bearish pattern ke hone ki sambhavana darshata hai. MACD aur RSI indicators ki latest analysis ke mutabiq, market momentum filhal flat hai, bulls recent recovery ke baad thodi rukawat mein hain. Yeh pause 162.00 par ek strong resistance level ke saath consistent hai, jahan bullish attempts reject ho rahe hain. MACD, jo trend-following momentum indicator hai, sideways movement dikhata hai, jo market mein indecision ko indicate karta hai. RSI, jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, na to overbought na oversold territory mein hai, jo neutral momentum ko reinforce karta hai. In indicators ko combine karte hue, traders ko naye positions mein enter karne se pehle cautious rehna chahiye, kyunki current signals consolidation period ko suggest karte hain na ke clear trend direction ko. Confident trade setup ke liye, 162.00 resistance ke upar definitive break ya key support levels ke breakdown ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Aise moves market trend ko zyada decisive banayenge, ya to bullish trajectory ko resume karenge ya bearish reversal ko confirm karenge. Traders ko indicators ke beech potential divergences bhi dekhni chahiye, jo current trend mein underlying weaknesses ko signal kar sakti hain. Agar MACD bullish momentum indicate kar raha hai lekin RSI flat ya bearish tendencies dikhata hai, to yeh weakening trend ko suggest kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar dono indicators align karte hain, to yeh trend direction ki stronger confirmation provide kare

currency pair ne Tuesday ko subah ke European trade mein rebound dekha, jo ke previous din ke one-week high se thodi si pullback ke baad bargain hunting ki wajah se tha. Is pair ki gains zyada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke kuch factors ki combination se faida utha rahi thi. Equity markets mein positive sentiment aur Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ne yen ki demand ko kam kar diya. Uchida ke bayan ke mutabiq, central bank market instability ke dauran interest rates ko nahi barhaye ga aur former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai ke March 2025 tak rate hike ke prediction ne yen ki girawat mein contribute kiya. Magar, BOJ k e July policy meeting ke minutes se ye pata chala ke kuch members further rate hikes aur policy normalization ke liye inclined hain, jo yen ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Middle East ke geopolitical tensions aur ongoing Russia-Ukraine war ne yen ki kamzori ko counter balance kiya, jisse significant losses ko roka gaya. Is backdrop ke saath EUR/JPY ke upside potential ko bhi limit kiya gaya, traders ko zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position establish karne se. Eurozone ka Q2 GDP data Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Japanese Q2 GDP report Thursday ko ayegi, jo pair ko fresh impetus de sakti hai. Geopolitical developments bhi short-term trading opportunities de sakti hain.weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti