یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

European trade mein rebound dekha, jo ke previous din ke one-week high se thodi si pullback ke baad bargain hunting ki wajah se tha. Is pair ki gains zyada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke kuch factors ki combination se faida utha rahi thi. Equity markets mein positive sentiment aur Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ne yen ki demand ko kam kar diya. Uchida ke bayan ke mutabiq, central bank market instability ke dauran interest rates ko nahi barhaye ga aur former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai ke March 2025 tak rate hike ke prediction ne yen ki girawat mein contribute kiya. Magar, BOJ k e July policy meeting ke minutes se ye pata chala ke kuch members further rate hikes aur policy normalization ke liye inclined hain, jo yen ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Middle East ke geopolitical tensions aur ongoing Russia-Ukraine war ne yen ki kamzori ko counter balance kiya, jisse significant losses ko roka gaya. Is backdrop ke saath EUR/JPY ke upside potential ko bhi limit kiya gaya, traders ko zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position establish karne se. Eurozone ka Q2 GDP data Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Japanese Q2 GDP report Thursday ko ayegi, jo pair ko fresh impetus de sakti hai. Geopolitical developments bhi short-term trading opportunities de sakti hain.weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do

EUR/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke subah European trade ke dauran 161.60 ke aas-paas kaafi stable position maintain ki. Japanese yen ki kamzori, jo ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stance ke aas-paas uncertainty ki wajah se hai, is pair ke upward movement mein madadgar sabit hui. Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments jo interest rate hikes ke potential ko suggest karte hain, ke bawajood, market BOJ ke monetary policy ko tighten karne ke commitment par skeptical hai. Aane wale waqt mein Japan ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki release inflationary pressures aur unke interest rate decisions par implications ke baare mein crucial insights provide karegi. Is waqt, Middle East mein ongoing geopolitical tensions currency dynamics ko influence kar rahi hain. Hamas ke Israel ke ceasefire terms ko reject karne se further escalation ka dar barh gaya hai, jo safe-haven currencies jaise yen ki demand ko barha sakta hai.

Euro side par, European Central Bank (ECB) ke chief economist, Philip Lane ne eurozone mein inflation ko contain karne ke progress ke baare mein optimism express kiya. Lekin, unhone yeh bhi kaha ke 2% ka inflation target achieve karna abhi tak uncertain hai, isliye interest rates ko abhi restrained rakha ja sakta hai. Aane wale German Q2 GDP data aur eurozone inflation figures economic outlook aur ECB ke potential monetary policy actions ke baare mein additional clues provide karenge. ECB ke rate cut ke expectations euro par pressure daal sakti hain, aur isse EUR/JPY pair par bhi short term mein impact ho sakta hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/JPY pair ne 160.35 level par support paaya hai, lekin momentum abhi bhi weak hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) strong upward momentum ki kami ko signal kar raha hai. Pair ke liye upside immediate resistance 162.30 se capped hai. Agar is level ko break kiya jata hai, to further gains ka raasta khul sakta hai, jahan 164.00-164.80 resistance area zyada significant hurdle ban sakta hai. Is area ka successful breach 50-day moving average aur 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 167.20 ki taraf move ko pave kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke early European trade ke dauran 161.60 level ke aas paas relatively stable position maintain ki. Japanese yen ki kamzori, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stance ke hawalay se paida hui uncertainty se driven hai, pair ki upward movement mein contribute kar rahi hai. Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments ke bawajood jo interest rate hikes ke mumkinat ki taraf ishara karte hain, market abhi bhi central bank ki tightening monetary policy ke commitment par skeptical hai. Japan ka Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) release hone wala hai jo inflationary pressures aur un ke interest rate decisions par implications ke hawalay se crucial insights provide karega. Iske ilawa, Middle East mein chal rahi geopolitcal tensions bhi currency dynamics ko influence kar rahi hain. Israel ke ceasefire terms ke Hamas ke taraf se rad karne ne mazid escalation ke concerns ko barhaya hai, jo yen jaisi safe-haven currencies ki demand mein izafa kar sakta hai.
Euro side par, European Central Bank (ECB) ke chief economist, Philip Lane ne eurozone mein inflation ko contain karne mein ki gayi progress ke hawalay se optimism express kiya hai. Lekin unhone yeh bhi emphasize kiya hai ke 2% inflation target ko achieve karna abhi bhi uncertain hai, jis se lagta hai ke interest rates ko filhaal restrained rehna parega. German Q2 GDP data aur eurozone inflation figures ka upcoming release economic outlook aur ECB ke potential monetary policy actions ke hawalay se mazeed clues provide karega. ECB rate cut ki expectations euro par aur consequently EUR/JPY pair par short term mein weight daal sakti hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh EUR/JPY pair ne 160.35 level par support pa liya hai, lekin momentum abhi bhi weak hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold ke kareeb hover kar raha hai, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) strong upward momentum signal nahi kar raha. Pair ki upside ko 162.30 ki immediate resistance cap kar rahi hai. Is level ke upar break further gains ke liye rasta khol sakti hai, jahan 164.00-164.80 resistance area mazeed ek significant hurdle represent karta hai. Is area ko successfully breach karne se 50-day moving average aur 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 167.20 ki taraf move ki rasta mil sakta hai.

Agar mein technical analysis ke zariye EUR/JPY currency pair ke movement ko analyze karun toh yeh bhi 161.100 ke price tak girne ke liye tend karta hai. Kyunke H1 timeframe mein EUR/JPY currency pair ne bearish candle engulfing form ki hai, jo SELL EUR/JPY ke liye bohat strong signal hai 161.100 price tak. Iske ilawa, meri observation mein RSI 14 indicator par yeh saaf hota hai ke EUR/JPY ki 161,200 ki price abhi oversold nahi hui, yaani selling se abhi ziada saturated nahi hai, jis se yeh bohat mumkin hai ke aaj raat EUR/JPY phir se downward correction experience kare 161,100 ke price tak. SELL EUR/JPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support mil rahi hai kyunke jab EUR/JPY price ne 161.65 enter kiya, toh yeh already SBR area mein tha jis se bohat imkan hai ke EUR/JPY phir se 161,100 price par aa jaye aaj raat. Mere technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement ke liye aaj raat, maine decide kiya hai ke SELL EUR/JPY 161,100 price tak karoon.

EUR/JPY: Technical Analysis
Aaj hum EUR/JPY currency pair par focus karenge, 4-hour chart ka istemal karke, jo ke choti timeframes ke muqablay mein market movements ka broader perspective faraham karta hai. Is time frame ka tajziya traders ko bazar ke asal trends aur dynamics ko zyada behtar tareeqay se samajhne mein madad deta hai, jo ke strategic decision-making ke liye qeemti insights provide karta hai.

Filhaal, EUR/JPY pair ek mazboot uptrend mein hai, aur Ichimoku cloud ke upar aram se trade kar raha hai. Ichimoku cloud, jo ke trend, support, aur resistance levels ko capture karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, traders ke darmiyan ek widely respected indicator hai. Jab currency pair cloud ke upar trade karta hai, to yeh aam tor par bullish momentum ko signal karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain aur market sentiment aage ke upward movement ko favor karta hai.

Technical Indicators aur Signals

EUR/JPY ka Ichimoku cloud ke upar hona ek wazeh positive signal hai. Is context mein, Ichimoku indicator ka Tenkan-sen (conversion line) aur Kijun-sen (base line) bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Filhaal, Tenkan-sen Kijun-sen ke upar hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh alignment aam tor par yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend continue hone ke chances hain, aur yeh long positions kholne ka ek achha waqt ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Chikou Span (lagging line) filhaal price action ke upar hai, jo uptrend ki strength ko aur bhi confirm karta hai. Immediate vicinity mein koi significant resistance levels na hone se additional gains ki potential ko support milta hai. Magar, traders ko kisi bhi pullbacks ka khayal rakhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price Ichimoku cloud ke upper boundary ke qareeb aati hai, kyunki yeh bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ka indicator ho sakta hai.

Strategic Considerations

Strong uptrend aur Ichimoku indicator se favorable signals ke madde nazar, long positions kholna ek profitable strategy ho sakti hai. Traders recent highs ya key psychological levels ke aas-paas targets set kar sakte hain, aur stop-loss orders ko Ichimoku cloud ke niche rakhein takay kisi bhi sudden reversal se bacha ja sake. Market ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar kisi bhi fundamental news ya economic data releases ke liye jo euro ya yen ko impact kar sakte hain. Aise events uptrend ko tez kar sakte hain ya correction trigger kar sakte hain. Aakhir mein, 4-hour chart par EUR/JPY pair long positions ke liye ek compelling case faraham karta hai, jo ke strong uptrend aur Ichimoku cloud se bullish signals ke saath supported hai. Traders ko is mauqe ka faida uthane ki salahiyat rakhni chahiye jabke potential trend reversal ke kisi bhi sign ke liye vigilance barqarar rakhein.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap current daily timeframe pattern dekhein, to bullish movement pattern abhi bhi daily par correction mein lagta hai, jahan price abhi bhi Ema 7 daily ke nearest resistance par atki hui hai, jo low Bollinger daily par reject hone ke baad Hi. Filhal, candle ek baar phir bearish pattern ke saath close hui hai aur ek strong bearish reversal pattern banane ki potential rakhti hai, lekin iski chhoti timeframe mein confirmation ka intezar hai. Agar price aur girti hai, to nearest support level 158.30 par test hone ki sambhavana hai. Agar price correction movement continue karti hai, to pehle EMA 255 daily at 162.42 tak rise karne ki sambhavana hai. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI, bhi alag patterns show kar rahe hain. Stochastic sharp rise kar raha hai aur 80 area ki taraf badh raha hai, jabke RSI 30 area mein reject ho raha hai jo bearish pattern ke hone ki sambhavana darshata hai. MACD aur RSI indicators ki latest analysis ke mutabiq, market momentum filhal flat hai, bulls recent recovery ke baad thodi rukawat mein hain. Yeh pause 162.00 par ek strong resistance level ke saath consistent hai, jahan bullish attempts reject ho rahe hain. MACD, jo trend-following momentum indicator hai, sideways movement dikhata hai, jo market mein indecision ko indicate karta hai. RSI, jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, na to overbought na oversold territory mein hai, jo neutral momentum ko reinforce karta hai. In indicators ko combine karte hue, traders ko naye positions mein enter karne se pehle cautious rehna chahiye, kyunki current signals consolidation period ko suggest karte hain na ke clear trend direction ko. Confident trade setup ke liye, 162.00 resistance ke upar definitive break ya key support levels ke breakdown ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Aise moves market trend ko zyada decisive banayenge, ya to bullish trajectory ko resume karenge ya bearish reversal ko confirm karenge. Traders ko indicators ke beech potential divergences bhi dekhni chahiye, jo current trend mein underlying weaknesses ko signal kar sakti hain. Agar MACD bullish momentum indicate kar raha hai lekin RSI flat ya bearish tendencies dikhata hai, to yeh weakening trend ko suggest kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar dono indicators align karte hain, to yeh trend direction ki stronger confirmation provide karega

EUR/JPY pair par asar daalne wale key factors mein Eurozone aur Japan ke darmiyan economic outlooks ki difference hai. Eurozone, jo ke slow economic growth aur high inflation ka samna kar raha hai, phir bhi euro ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, jo part mein European Central Bank (ECB) ke tightening policy ke expectations ki wajah se hai. Eurozone ke recent data, jaise ke behtar-than-expected industrial production aur trade balance figures, ne euro ko kuch support diya hai, lekin yeh gains economic slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se kuch kamzor pad gayi hain.

Dusri taraf, Japan ki economic landscape ab bhi Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki ultra-loose monetary policy se dominate ho rahi hai. BoJ ki commitment low-interest rates ko maintain karne aur bond-buying program ko continue rakhne ki wajah se yen pressure mein hai. Halanki, BoJ ke yield curve control policy ko adjust karne ke speculation ne yen ki performance mein kuch volatility introduce ki hai, kyunki traders iske potential impact aur likelihood ko weigh kar rahe hain.

**Current Price Movement**

Filhaal, price apni upward trajectory ko continue kar rahi hai aur significant downward correction ka koi indication nahi dikhayi de raha. Yeh sustained movement bullish momentum ko indicate karti hai, aur buyers higher levels ko target kar rahe hain. Jab tak price recently broken resistance ke upar rahegi, jo ab support ke tor par act kar rahi hai, bullish trend continue hone ki umeed hai. Traders ko reversal ya correction ke potential signals par nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin abhi tak downward pressure ki kami se market bulls ko favor kar rahi hai.

Price behavior ko 162.444 level ke aas-paas, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke saath monitor karna crucial hai, taake trend ki strength aur informed trading decisions assess kiya ja sake. Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair ab H1 timeframe par strong bullish phase mein hai, jahan key technical indicators aur price action further upward movement ko support kar rahe hain. 162.444 resistance level ke upar breakout, jo sustained buyer pressure se driven hai, continued gains ke likelihood ko reinforce karta hai, jab tak koi unexpected market shifts na ho.

JPY currency pair ne Tuesday ko subah ke European trade mein rebound dekha, jo ke previous din ke one-week high se thodi si pullback ke baad bargain hunting ki wajah se tha. Is pair ki gains zyada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke kuch factors ki combination se faida utha rahi thi. Equity markets mein positive sentiment aur Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ne yen ki demand ko kam kar diya. Uchida ke bayan ke mutabiq, central bank market instability ke dauran interest rates ko nahi barhaye ga aur former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai ke March 2025 tak rate hike ke prediction ne yen ki girawat mein contribute kiya. Magar, BOJ k e July policy meeting ke minutes se ye pata chala ke kuch members further rate hikes aur policy normalization ke liye inclined hain, jo yen ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Middle East ke geopolitical tensions aur ongoing Russia-Ukraine war ne yen ki kamzori ko counter balance kiya, jisse significant losses ko roka gaya. Is backdrop ke saath EUR/JPY ke upside potential ko bhi limit kiya gaya, traders ko zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position establish karne se. Eurozone ka Q2 GDP data Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Japanese Q2 GDP report Thursday ko ayegi, jo pair ko fresh impetus de sakti hai. Geopolitical developments bhi short-term trading opportunities de sakti hain.weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher

EUR/JPY pair filhaal ek bullish trend mein hai aur bullish triangle pattern bana raha hai, isliye ye upar ki taraf apni rally continue kar sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi zaroori hai ke medium-term trend direction abhi bhi strongly bullish hai, jo future mein price declines ka possibility barha sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar current price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar rahti hai, jo ke already cross ho chuki hain aur golden cross signal de rahi hain, to price aur bhi upar move kar sakti hai. Bullish triangle pattern ki validation confirm karne ke liye, price ka 161.90 ke aas-paas high ko surpass karna zaroori hai.
UK economy ne second quarter mein quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.6% ka expansion dikhaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha. Year-on-year basis par, GDP mein Q2 mein 0.9% ka izafa hua, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Q1 ke 0.3% se barh gaya.
Finance Minister Rachel Reeves ne highlight kiya ke latest data naye hukoomat ke liye challenges ko darshata hai aur apna mauqaf dohraya ke economic fundamentals ko behtar banane ke liye mushkil faislay lena zaroori hoga, Reuters ke mutabiq.
Eurozone mein, Thursday ko halia data ne investor confidence mein aik sakht girawat aur industrial activity mein unexpected decline ko darshaya. Iske bawajood, Eurozone ka preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 mein quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.3% barha, jo pehle period ke mutabiq tha aur market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Year-on-year basis par, economy mein 0.6% ka izafa hua, jaise ke anticipate kiya gaya tha. Is mustahkam growth ne October tak European Central Bank (ECB) ke do potential rate cuts ke hawale se speculation ko barhaya.
EUR/JPY ne Friday ke early Asian session mein 163.55 ke qareeb soft note par trade kiya. Cross ne 100-period EMA ke upar apna uptrend dobara shuru kiya aur bullish RSI indicator ke sath mazid barh gaya.
Immediate resistance level 164.00 par ubharta hai; 163.10-163.00 ka region initial support level ka kirdar ada karta hai.
EUR/JPY cross ne Friday ko early European session ke dauran 163.55 ke qareeb kamzor trade kiya, apni char dinon ki winning streak ko tor diya. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne mazeed barh kar kuch strength hasil ki jab Japan ka second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 mein anticipated se zyada barh kar 0.8% QoQ par aya. Encouraging GDP growth numbers Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke nazdeek waqt mein interest rate hike ke chances ko support karte hain.
Cross ne apna uptrend 4-hour chart par dobara shuru kiya, jahan price key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) ke upar hold kar rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke upar 68.50 ke qareeb khada hai, jo ke bearish vibes ki darshani karta hai.
Potential upside barrier EUR/JPY ke liye 164.00 psychological mark par ubharta hai. Agar yeh level sustained break hota hai to yeh wapas 164.89 tak climb ke continuation ka izhar kar sakta hai, jo ke July 25 ka low tha. Extended gains se July 31 ke high 166.56 tak rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Dosri taraf, 163.10-163.00 ka zone cross ke liye initial support level ka kirdar ada karta hai. Additional downside filter ko dekhna chahiye jo August 15 ka low 161.95 hai. Agla contention level August 14 ke low 160.59 par dekha ja sakta hai
EUR/JPY pair ke liye, agar price support level 159.50 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh long positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar pair further decline karta hai, to agla support level 157.26 par hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka low tha, aur potential buying entry points wahan mil sakte hain—behtar hoga agar yeh signal par based ho rather than ek limit order. Mein filhal rise ko 161st Fibonacci level 163.80 tak dekh raha hoon

EUR/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko early European trade ke doran 161.60 ke aas-paas ek relatively stable position banaye rakha. Japanese yen ki kamzori, jo ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stance ke aas-paas ke uncertainty ki wajah se hai, is pair ki upward movement mein contribute kiya. Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments ke bawajood jo potential interest rate hikes suggest karte hain, market ab bhi central bank ke tightening monetary policy ke commitment par shak mein hai. Japan ka Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka aane wala release inflationary pressures aur interest rate decisions par unke asraat ke baare mein crucial insights provide karega.

Is darmiyan, Middle East mein ongoing geopolitical tensions currency dynamics ko bhi influence kar rahi hain. Hamas ke Israel ke ceasefire terms ko reject karne se further escalation ke concerns barh gaye hain, jo safe-haven currencies jese ke yen ki demand ko barha sakta hai.

Euro side par, European Central Bank (ECB) ke chief economist Philip Lane ne eurozone mein inflation ko contain karne ke progress ke baare mein optimism express kiya. Lekin, unhone yeh bhi highlight kiya ke 2% ke inflation target ko wapas lana abhi uncertain hai, aur iske liye interest rates ko kuch waqt ke liye restrained rakhna par sakta hai. Aane wale German Q2 GDP data aur eurozone inflation figures additional clues provide karegi economic outlook aur ECB ke potential monetary policy actions ke baare mein. ECB ke rate cut ki expectations short term mein euro aur consequently EUR/JPY pair ko weigh kar sakti hain.

Technical perspective se, EUR/JPY pair ne 160.35 level par support paaya hai, lekin momentum abhi bhi kamzor hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) strong upward momentum ke lack ko signal kar raha hai. Pair ke liye upside immediate resistance 162.30 ke qareeb lagti hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to further gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jahan 164.00-164.80 resistance area ek zyada significant hurdle ban sakti hai. Agar is area ka successful breach hota hai, to 50-day moving average aur 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 167.20 ki taraf move ka raasta pave ho sakta hai.

1-hour timeframe mein, price ne 100 EMA line par ek pin bar pattern create kiya hai, jo ke buy signal indicate kar raha hai. Is wajah se, hum expect karte hain ke price 156.55 ke support level tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar market 50 EMA aur resistance level 156.52 se niche break karta hai, toh agla target 156.60 tak aur 200 EMA line tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, stochastic oscillator indicator overbought zone mein hai. Agar yeh 30 se upar move karta hai aur strong bullish signal show karta hai, toh hum 156.90 ke support level ki taraf buying consider kar sakte hain. 8-hour timeframe mein, price action suggest kar raha hai ke short formation ki third wave jaldi end ho sakti hai, jo ke price optimization ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 156.80 ke firm level par hold karta hai, toh yeh 157.15 tak recover ho sakta hai. Lekin agar horizontal support 156.55 par break hota hai, toh pair 156.55 tak decline ho sakta hai.

Abhi, EUR/JPY significant movement show kar raha hai. Price ne 156.25 ke support level par ek powerful Doji candle form ki hai, aur is level tak chaar martaba decline kar chuka hai, jo ke downward strong pressure ko show karta hai. Resistance 156.10 level par price ko dobara increase karne par majboor kar raha hai. Price 156.20 ke support level aur 156.58 ke resistance level ke darmiyan 60-pip range mein fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke in levels ke andar buying ya selling opportunities suggest karta hai. Agar price 156.85 level se drop hota hai, toh yeh ek clear bearish trend establish kar sakta hai, is liye in levels par focus karna zaroori hai. Doosri taraf, agar market bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai aur support level se upar break karta hai, toh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Lekin, agar short-term mein resistance level se niche break hota hai, toh yeh 156.56 level ki taraf strong sell signal trigger kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading near 163.55 during the early European session on Friday, displaying a softer tone after ending its four-day winning streak. Yeh slight pullback market sentiment ka ek nuanced reflection hai, jo Eurozone aur Japan se aane walay economic factors ki wajah se hai. Is recent decline ke bawajood, yeh pair broader uptrend mein hai, jo supportive technical indicators ki wajah se hai.

EUR/JPY pair par asar dalne wale key factors mein se ek hai Eurozone aur Japan ke beech diverging economic outlooks. Eurozone, jo ke sluggish economic growth aur high inflation jese challenges face kar raha hai, kuch resilience dikhata hai euro mein, jo ECB ke tightening policy ko continue karne ki expectations ki wajah se hai. Eurozone se aanay wale recent data, including better-than-expected industrial production aur trade balance figures, ne euro ko kuch support provide kiya hai, lekin yeh gains thode temper hue hain ongoing concerns ki wajah se jo potential economic slowdown par hain.

Dusri taraf, Japan ka economic landscape abhi bhi BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy se dominate ho raha hai. BoJ ki commitment low-interest rates maintain karne aur ongoing bond-buying program ki wajah se yen pressure mein hai. Magar recent speculation ke BoJ apni yield curve control policy ko adjust karne ka soch raha hai, is se yen ki performance mein kuch volatility introduce hui hai, kyun ke traders yeh weigh kar rahe hain ke is tarah ke changes ki likelihood aur impact kya ho sakta hai.



Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/JPY pair overall uptrend mein hai, jo key moving averages se support hota hai jo ke bullish momentum indicate karte hain. 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur 162.00 ke aas paas ek solid support level provide kar raha hai. Meanwhile, Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral levels ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke yeh pair abhi overbought nahi hai, aur aage further upside movement ki gunjaish hai.

Lekin, traders ko potential downside risks se cautious rehna chahiye, especially agar yeh pair 163.00 support level ke upar hold karne mein fail hota hai. Agar yeh level sustain karne mein fail hota hai to yeh ek deeper correction ka signal de sakta hai, jo 162.00 support area ka retest ho sakta hai. Conversely, agar yeh pair apni upward momentum regain karta hai aur 164.00 resistance level ke upar break karta hai, to yeh further gains ke liye rasta ban sakta hai jo 165.00 level ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Akhir mein, jab ke EUR/JPY pair ne strong run ke baad kuch softness dikhai hai, iska overall bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye key support aur resistance levels ko, aur Eurozone aur Japanese economic policies mein developments ko, taake yeh pair ka next potential move gauge kar sakein.

i downward momentum ko barkarar rakhega. Lekin, aik temporary pullback bhi mumkin hai. Abhi ke level par do possible scenarios hain. Pehle scenario mein, agar price current support level se neeche girti hai aur wahan par settle hoti hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downtrend jari rahega. Is surat mein, agla target 172.83-172.58 ke support zone ke ird gird ho sakta hai. Ye halat recent trading sessions mein dekhe gaye bearish trend ki tasdeeq karegi. Bari time frame par dekha jaye to EUR/JPY lagta hai ke aik sideways channel mein enter karne wala hai, jo consolidation period ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, is sideways movement ke bawajood, meri analysis ke mutabiq downtrend overall barqarar rahega. Market sentiment aur technical indicators ab bhi bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar price current support level par qaim nahi rehti aur is se neeche girti hai, to ye downtrend ke continuation ki tasdeeq hogi aur price mazid neeche support levels ko target kar sakti hai. Ye outlook broader market dynamics aur Euro aur Yen ko mutasir karne wale economic factors par mabni hai.

Doosray scenario mein, agar 173.46-173.10 ke levels ke ird gird aik clear reversal candlestick pattern banta hai, to ye uptrend ki shuruaat ki nishani ho sakta hai. Agar ye hota hai, to immediate target local resistance level 173.63 ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ko successfully break karti hai, to ye mazid upar 173.50-174.00 ke resistance zone tak move kar sakti hai. Ye upward movement market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki nishani hogi, kam az kam short term ke liye, jo ke positive economic data ya Euro ki taraf se investor sentiment ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Lekin, mojooda market conditions aur broader economic outlook ko dekhte hue, ye scenario downtrend ke muqable mein kam likely lagta hai

downward momentum ko barkarar rakhega. Lekin, aik temporary pullback bhi mumkin hai. Abhi ke level par do possible scenarios hain. Pehle scenario mein, agar price current support level se neeche girti hai aur wahan par settle hoti hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downtrend jari rahega. Is surat mein, agla target 172.83-172.58 ke support zone ke ird gird ho sakta hai. Ye halat recent trading sessions mein dekhe gaye bearish trend ki tasdeeq karegi. Bari time frame par dekha jaye to EUR/JPY lagta hai ke aik sideways channel mein enter karne wala hai, jo consolidation period ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, is sideways movement ke bawajood, meri analysis ke mutabiq downtrend overall barqarar rahega. Market sentiment aur technical indicators ab bhi bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar price current support level par qaim nahi rehti aur is se neeche girti hai, to ye downtrend ke continuation ki tasdeeq hogi aur price mazid neeche support levels ko target kar sakti hai. Ye outlook broader market dynamics aur Euro aur Yen ko mutasir karne wale economic factors par mabni hai.
Doosray scenario mein, agar 173.46-173.10 ke levels ke ird gird aik clear reversal candlestick pattern banta hai, to ye uptrend ki shuruaat ki nishani ho sakta hai. Agar ye hota hai, to immediate target local resistance level 173.63 ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ko successfully break karti hai, to ye mazid upar 173.50-174.00 ke resistance zone tak move kar sakti hai. Ye upward movement market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki nishani hogi, kam az kam short term ke liye, jo ke positive economic data ya Euro ki taraf se investor sentiment ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Lekin, mojooda market conditions aur broader economic outlook ko dekhte hue, ye scenario downtrend ke muqable mein kam likely lagta hai

EUR/JPY: Technical Analysis
Aaj hum EUR/JPY currency pair par focus karenge, 4-hour chart ka istemal karke, jo ke choti timeframes ke muqablay mein market movements ka broader perspective faraham karta hai. Is time frame ka tajziya traders ko bazar ke asal trends aur dynamics ko zyada behtar tareeqay se samajhne mein madad deta hai, jo ke strategic decision-making ke liye qeemti insights provide karta hai.

Filhaal, EUR/JPY pair ek mazboot uptrend mein hai, aur Ichimoku cloud ke upar aram se trade kar raha hai. Ichimoku cloud, jo ke trend, support, aur resistance levels ko capture karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, traders ke darmiyan ek widely respected indicator hai. Jab currency pair cloud ke upar trade karta hai, to yeh aam tor par bullish momentum ko signal karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain aur market sentiment aage ke upward movement ko favor karta hai.

Technical Indicators aur Signals

EUR/JPY ka Ichimoku cloud ke upar hona ek wazeh positive signal hai. Is context mein, Ichimoku indicator ka Tenkan-sen (conversion line) aur Kijun-sen (base line) bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Filhaal, Tenkan-sen Kijun-sen ke upar hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh alignment aam tor par yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend continue hone ke chances hain, aur yeh long positions kholne ka ek achha waqt ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Chikou Span (lagging line) filhaal price action ke upar hai, jo uptrend ki strength ko aur bhi confirm karta hai. Immediate vicinity mein koi significant resistance levels na hone se additional gains ki potential ko support milta hai. Magar, traders ko kisi bhi pullbacks ka khayal rakhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price Ichimoku cloud ke upper boundary ke qareeb aati hai, kyunki yeh bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ka indicator ho sakta hai.

Strategic Considerations

Strong uptrend aur Ichimoku indicator se favorable signals ke madde nazar, long positions kholna ek profitable strategy ho sakti hai. Traders recent highs ya key psychological levels ke aas-paas targets set kar sakte hain, aur stop-loss orders ko Ichimoku cloud ke niche rakhein takay kisi bhi sudden reversal se bacha ja sake. Market ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar kisi bhi fundamental news ya economic data releases ke liye jo euro ya yen ko impact kar sakte hain. Aise events uptrend ko tez kar sakte hain ya correction trigger kar sakte hain. Aakhir mein, 4-hour chart par EUR/JPY pair long positions ke liye ek compelling case faraham karta hai, jo ke strong uptrend aur Ichimoku cloud se bullish signals ke saath supported hai. Traders ko is mauqe ka faida uthane ki salahiyat rakhni chahiye jabke potential trend reversal ke kisi bhi sign ke liye vigilance barqarar rakhein.

bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.
Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.

Main ab 161st Fibonacci level pe rise consider kar raha hoon jo 163.80 pe hai, aur price us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Bullish triangle pattern ke validation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke price approximately high 161.90 ke upar surpass kare.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo volume histogram ko level 0 ke kareeb dikhata hai, yeh possibility hai ke momentum downtrend ki taraf shift ho jaye. Yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekhte hue, jo level 50 se upar chale gaye hain aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke kareeb hain, ek aur possibility hai ke price upar ja sakta hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report, jiska forecast outcome 3.0% hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support provide nahi karta. Isliye, fundamentally, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke pr