یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko ek rebound experience kiya, jo 161.10 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh pechle saat dinon ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen weak ho gaya, jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks aaye, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke
bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.

Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.

Main ab 161st Fibonacci level pe rise consider kar raha hoon jo 163.80 pe hai, aur price us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Bullish triangle pattern ke validation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke price approximately high 161.90 ke upar surpass kare.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo volume histogram ko level 0 ke kareeb dikhata hai, yeh possibility hai ke momentum downtrend ki taraf shift ho jaye. Yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekhte hue, jo level 50 se upar chale gaye hain aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke kareeb hain, ek aur possibility hai ke price upar ja sakta hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report, jiska forecast outcome 3.0% hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support provide nahi karta. Isliye, fundamentally, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke pr

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko ek rebound experience kiya, jo 161.10 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh pechle saat dinon ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen weak ho gaya, jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks aaye, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke

bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.

Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.

Main ab 161st Fibonacci level pe rise consider kar raha hoon jo 163.80 pe hai, aur price us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Bullish triangle pattern ke validation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke price approximately high 161.90 ke upar surpass kare.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo volume histogram ko level 0 ke kareeb dikhata hai, yeh possibility hai ke momentum downtrend ki taraf shift ho jaye. Yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekhte hue, jo level 50 se upar chale gaye hain aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke kareeb hain, ek aur possibility hai ke price upar ja sakta hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report, jiska forecast outcome 3.0% hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support provide nahi karta. Isliye, fundamentally, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke pr

Friday ke din ka daily open 162.47 par hua jo ke positive price movement ke liye aik rukawat ban gaya. Sellers ne market par control hasil karna shuru kiya aur prices ko gradually daily open se neeche lekar gaye. Yeh price is hafte ke weekly open 162.26 se bhi neeche chali gayi aur hatta ke EMA 200 H1 ko bhi break kar diya. Yeh dono resistances Friday ke daily open aur support 161.68 ke beech mein the. Jab price in dono resistances ko paar kar gaya to woh temporarily support 161.68 par rukh gaya aur do dafa price fluctuate hui ke daily open ko cross karne ki koshish ki jo ke fail ho gayi aur support ko break karne ki bhi koshish ki jo bhi nakam rahi. Lekin American session mein, price ne dobara se daily open ko cross karne ki koshish ki lekin bearish pressure ne dono resistances ko cross karke support 161.68 ko break kar diya aur price neeche gir gayi. Expectations hain ke price support 160.80 tak pohonch sakti hai. Lekin buyers ka influence dobara aaya aur price 161.15 se reverse ho gayi aur market 161.51 par close hui bearish conditions mein. Friday ki trading conditions ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ko ek aur downside crossover banane par majboor kar diya, aur EMA 200 H1 ko bhi achi tarah break kar diya, jis se ab bearish trend H1 par valid hai. Lekin trade ke end par buyers ka resistance bhi dekhne ko mila jo ke consider karne layak hai. Agar bullish support EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ko upward crossover banane mein kaamyab ho jata hai, to sell option ko suspend karna par sakta hai aur next buy plan consider karna hoga. Lekin agar EMA 12 cross nahi hota, to sell option barqarar rahega.



Pichlay do dino ke price movement ke mukablay mein, EUR/JPY market Friday ko ziada bearish nazar aya. Dominant sellers ne buyers ki koshish ko nakam bana diya ke prices ko consolidation zone se bahar push kar sakein jahan pichlay kuch din se prices slightly wide range mein up aur down move kar rahi hain. Prices EMA 200 daily ke neeche move karti hui dekhi gayi jo ke abhi bhi bearish influence ko indicate karta hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily neeche ki taraf pointed hain jo yeh dikha raha hai ke daily basis par trend mein koi significant change nahi aya hai halan ke recent times mein bearish trend ziada mazboot hua hai. EMA 200 daily ka resistance abhi bhi volatility ko contain kar raha hai jo buyers ne di thi. Bearish candles Friday ko poori din ke price movements ke baad bani hain jahan high 162.66 aur low 161.15 tha, halan ke yeh condition prices ko zone se bahar nahi nikaal saki. Agar bearish path ko dobara open karna hai, to daily support area 160.76 ko perfect tor par break karna hoga takay price ki kamzori ka silsila EMA 633 daily line tak jaa sake. Dosri taraf, agar 160.76 area break nahi hota, to movement yehin area aur 162.22 ke beech mein limited reh sakti hai. Bullish path ko open karne ke liye, price ko EMA 200 daily line cross karni hogi aur daily resistance 163.68 ko penetrate karna hoga.

Haan, main aapki is baat se mutafiq hoon ke pichle hafte ne lateral rotation mein thodi si ya miyan darje tak rukawat dikhai. Mujhe waqi ummed hai ke naya hafta itna sust nahi hoga. Aur, aakhir kar yeh guzarne wale garmi ke mahine ka aakhri hafta hai. Aksar, band hone se pehle ek hi direction mein kaafi accha faasla hota hai. Kahan aur kaise jayenge, koi yaqeen se nahi keh sakta. Bas meri rozaana ek joRri ko pakarne ki technique se hi kuch andaza laga sakta hoon. Main apne andar kya mehsoos karta hoon, aur kal ke liye kaisi planning kar raha hoon? Waqt H4. Location buyers ke sector mein. Lekin yeh north nahi hai. Balkay southern route se ek rollback field hai.
Kya izafa jaari rahega? Hum buhat jald pata laga lenge. Kal ke live ranges kya hain? Sell zone (154.50–159.50) aur buy zone (159.60–164.65). Iss waqt ke liye EURJPY mein neend ka technical price 161.50 hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke iss halat mein kisi bhi jagah position open karna buhat ghalat faisla hoga. Nahi, agar kisi ko apne theek hone ka yaqeen hai, toh yeh aapka choice hai. Pehle din ka main layout do benchmarks pe mabni hai, aur unhi se main orders open karna shuru karunga. Humne do belts apne liye allocate kiye hain: 161.25 aur 162.50. Yeh woh niche hai jisme hum ping-pong ball ki tarah idhar udhar bhag sakte hain.

Agar hum in limits mein zigzags cut karte rahte hain, toh main entry pe bilkul bhi ghabraoonga nahi. Lekin agar 161.25 se neechay break hota hai, toh sellers ke paas apni aggression dikhane aur girawat shuru karne ka chance hoga. Beshak, main is surat mein sales open karunga. Chhote muddat ke liye pehla aur main target 160.40 hai. Faasla kaafi decent hai, aur agar halaat muwafiq hue toh yeh lena achha rahega. Ek aur gehri girawat ka point bhi hai (159.60). Lekin mujhe yaqeen nahi ke wo itne aasan se ek din mein itni neeche gir paayenge. Dosra option izafa hai, aur yahan humare paas 162.50 ek beacon ke tor par hai.

Beshak, shuru mein +100 points tak pohchne ke liye phir bhi raseedgi zaroori hai, lekin tez upar ka shot abhi bhi mere shak mein hai. Ye ek na-pasandeedah manzar hoga agar hum upar janay lagain, aur bas 162.50 ke break se pehle chup chaap se phir se girawat shuru kar dein. Chalo, sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke plan tayar hai, aur phir dekhenge ke speculators humein kahaan entry dene shuru karte hain kaam ke liye. Main sab ko mashwara doon ga ke jaldi na karein aur faaslay ko aqalmandi se pakrain!

Kamyab traders wo hain jo yeh baat maan chukay hain ke koi bhi trading system hamesha ke liye acha nahi chal sakta. Aur iska sabab yeh hai ke market ka character kisi bhi waqt badal sakta hai. Ho sakta hai ke pichlay saal hamara system behtareen kaam karta tha lekin iss saal aisa zaroori nahi. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke kuch factors, jaise ke America mein siyasi halat, market par asar daalain aur uska character bhi badal jaye. Misal ke taur par, pehle hum 100 pips ka stop loss average karte thay, lekin aise halat mein yeh 200 pips tak bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aise cheezon ka shaoor hona chahiye taake hum risk ko kam kar saken aur market ke halaat se mutasir na hon. Acha trading system dhoondne ka tareeqa yeh hai ke ek simple system dhoondain jo shayad sirf 1 ya 2 indicators ka istemal kare taake hum market ko asaani se samajh saken. Aisa trading system dhoondain jisme risk aur reward ratio kam az kam 1:2 ho taake agar 10 mein se 7 dafa hamari analysis ghalat bhi ho jaye to bhi hum akhir mein munafa kama saken. Aur sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke kisi bhi trading system se 100% accuracy ki umeed na rakhein kyunke aisi cheez mojood nahi hai. Is liye agar 10 mein se 7 analysis sahi ho jaye to yeh kaafi hai agar hum risk aur reward ratio ko follow kareinjab trend line break nahi hui thi, lekin ab yeh trend change hone ka option lag raha hai. Figurative similarity ke base par, maine ek matrix structure paya jo sabse zyada clear level dikhata hai jahan downward movement 100% Fibonacci ke hisaab se ja sakti hai. Isliye, maine local support ko break karne ke baad hi sale mein enter kiya taake 158.79 quote par profit ho sake. Mujhe pair ke linear decline par yakeen nahi hai, jo market recently demonstrate kar raha hai. Yeh smooth, rollback-free impulses market mein zyada manipulation dikhati hain na ke actual downward movement. Technical indicator MACD negative zone mein hai. Zyada mumkin hai ke agle hafte trading instrument ka price 155.00 tak niche chale. Sideways trend ki upper border kaam ho chuki hai aur price ne lower border par move kar liya hai. Lower side ko kaam karne ke baad, price wapas upper border ki taraf aa sakti hai. Chart par ek bara green zone

EUR/JPY H1 chart ko dekhte hue, ECB aur BoJ ke darmiyan monetary policies ka ikhtilaf EUR/JPY pair ke gains ko akhrar sakta hai. Is wajah se traders ihtiyaati rawaiya apna rahe hain aur significant commitments se pehle wazeh price action ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke lehaz se, pair ke liye immediate support 160.40 par hai, jabke further support levels mein February ka low 158.06, January ka low 155.05, aur year-to-date low 154.34 shamil hain. Agar pair March ke resistance 165.34 ko tor leta hai, to yeh movement ko June ke support-turned-resistance level 167.50 tak le ja sakta hai.
Eurozone CPI (Consumer Price Index) data ka release euro ki value aur EUR/JPY pair ko affect karne ka potential rakhta hai. Agar inflation figure expected se zyada aata hai, to yeh euro ko mazid mazbooti de sakta hai, jabke kam reading usay kamzor kar sakti hai. Khulasa yeh hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne mazboot upward momentum dikhaya hai, magar traders ko economic aur geopolitical factors ko ehtiyat se assess karna hoga pehle ke wo bade investments karein. Interest rates ka balance, inflation data, aur global political dynamics iss currency pair ke mustaqbil ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

Achi trading system dhoondne ke liye, ek simple system ki talash karein jo sirf 1 ya 2 indicators istemal kare taake hum market ko analyze karte waqt asani se confuse na hon. Aisa trading system dhoondhein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam az kam 1:2 ho taake agar hamari 7 mein se 10 analysis galat bhi hoti hai to bhi hum akhir mein profit kama sakein. Aur sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wala trading system expect na karein kyunki aisa system maujood nahi hai. Isliye agar hamari 7 mein se 10 analysis sahi hoti hai aur hum risk aur reward ratio 1:2 lagate hain, to yeh kafi hai. Aaj raat ke analysis ke lehaz se, main EUR/JPY pair ke movement ko discuss karne ki koshish kar raha hoon. H1 timeframe par EUR/JPY ki movement mein kamzori dikhayi dene lagi hai, jo ke price ke apne qareebi resistance ko torne mein nakam hone se aur khas taur par stochastic indicator ke H1 timeframe par neeche point karne se sabit hota hai. Yeh mazeed yeh imkaan mazboot karta hai ke EUR/JPY apne qareebi support level ko 161.29 ke price par chase karega.

EURJPY currency pair iss waqt ek neutral position mein phansa hua lag raha hai. Yeh situation bilkul nested dolls jaisi hai, jahan poora currency structure hamesha nazar aata hai. Maujooda surat-e-haal ko kuch is tarah se summarise kiya ja sakta hai:

February se, main ek clear ascending channel ko track kar raha hoon, jahan zigzag peaks guide ke taur par kaam kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek chhota channel bhi emerge hua hai, jo humein wapas pehle ke ascending channel ke upper band par le aata hai, jo 173.00 level par hai. Ab hum is level par aise stage mein hain jahan aakhri paanch daily candles 173.00 mark se neeche dip kar chuki hain. Ek clear support level ab identify ho chuka hai is ascending guide ke saath, jo dynamically change ho raha hai aur iss waqt 172.00 par hai.

Is setup ke saath hum ek quick technical analysis kar sakte hain: hum ya toh 173.00 level par sell karne ka plan bana sakte hain ya phir 172.00 support ke neeche break out hone ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Hamara pehla downside target 170.00 level hai. Currency pair ne upwards movement dikhayi hai, jahan 100-period moving average northwards move kar raha hai 10-degree angle par. Ichimoku cloud bullish hues show kar raha hai, jisse umeed hai ke aane wale outlook mein yeh 30-degree angle par ascend karega. 18-period moving average lagbhag current price ke barabar hai. Stochastic oscillator overbought region se exit kar chuka hai; lekin, humein ab tak ek definitive sell signal nahi mila. Wahiin MACD ne pehle hi ek sell signal generate kar diya hai, jo potential downward correction ko indicate kar raha hai.

In complex indicators ke combination ko dekhte hue, overall picture ab tak unclear hai, aur ek definitive sell signal ab tak materialize nahi hua. General situation abhi ke liye stable hai: EURJPY 173.00-172.00 ke range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Hum is range ki boundaries par nazar rakhenge aur price ke is range se break out hone ka intezaar karenge.

Aaj hum EUR/JPY currency pair par focus karain ge using the 4-hour chart, jo market movements ko samajhne ke liye zyada acha perspective deta hai compared to shorter timeframes. Is time frame se traders ko underlying market trends aur dynamics ko effectively samajhne ka moka milta hai, jo strategic decision-making ke liye valuable insights provide karta hai.

Is waqt, EUR/JPY pair ek strong uptrend mein hai aur comfortably Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai. Ichimoku cloud ko trend, support, aur resistance levels ko capture karne ke liye jaana jata hai, aur yeh indicator traders ke darmiyan kafi maqbool hai. Jab koi currency pair cloud ke upar trade karta hai, toh yeh aam tor par bullish momentum ko signal karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers control mein hain aur market sentiment aage chal kar upward movement ko favor kar raha hai.

Technical Indicators aur Signals

EUR/JPY ka Ichimoku cloud ke upar hona ek clear positive signal hai. Is context mein, Tenkan-sen (conversion line) aur Kijun-sen (base line) bhi dekhne layak hain. Filhal, Tenkan-sen Kijun-sen ke upar hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh alignment aam tor par yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend likely continue karega, jo long positions open karne ka ek acha moka hai.

Iske ilawa, Chikou Span (lagging line) bhi price action ke upar hai, jo uptrend ki strength ko further confirm karta hai. Immediate vicinity mein significant resistance levels ka na hona additional gains ki potential ko support karta hai. Magar, traders ko kisi bhi pullbacks se hamesha hoshyar rehna chahiye, especially agar price Ichimoku cloud ke upper boundary ke qareeb aaye, kyun ke yeh bullish momentum ke weakening ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Strategic Considerations

Strong uptrend aur favorable signals ke madad se long positions enter karna profitable strategy ho sakti hai. Traders apne targets ko recent highs ya key psychological levels ke qareeb set kar sakte hain, aur stop-loss orders ko Ichimoku cloud ke thoda niche rakh sakte hain, taake kisi bhi sudden reversals se bach sakein.

Market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, khaaskar un fundamentals news ya economic data releases ke liye jo euro ya yen ko impact kar sakti hain. Aise events ya to uptrend ko accelerate kar sakte hain ya correction trigger kar sakte hain.

Nateejatan, EUR/JPY pair 4-hour chart par ek compelling case present karta hai long positions ke liye, jo ek strong uptrend aur Ichimoku cloud se bullish signals se supported hai. Traders ko is moka ka faida uthana chahiye jab ke kisi bhi potential trend reversal ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye.

BoJ ka Mouqaf: Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne ye tasdeeq ki ke BoJ tayar hai ke agar mehngai 2% ke hadaf ko mustaqil tor par haasil karti hai to wo intrest rates barhaye. Ye soch BoJ ki ihtiyaat se bharpoor monetary policy ko zahir karti hai, jisme wo iqtisadi istahkam aur apne mehngai ke maqasid ke darmiyan balance banaye rakhta hai. Jabke Japani maeeshat kai arsay se kam mehngai ka shikar hai, lekin haal hi ke data se lagta hai ke mehngai mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke BoJ ko action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Ueda ke comments yeh signal karte hain ke BoJ mehngai ke rujhanat par nazar rakhe hue hai. Agar mehngai 2% ke hadaf ke qareeb barh gayi, to BoJ apni monetary policy ko tighten kar sakta hai, jo ke Japani Yen ko support karega. Lekin, Japan ke daraz muddat se chalti kam mehngai ko dekhte hue, BoJ ehtiyaat se aage barhega, aur ensure karega ke kisi bhi rate hike se iqtisadi bahali ko nuksan na pohanchay.

ECB ka Mouqaf: Europe ke front par, ECB policymaker Martins Kazaks ne ye kaha ke wo September ki meeting mein ek aur intrest rate hike par baat karne ke liye tayar hain. ECB Eurozone mein mehngai ko rokne ke liye pehle hi rate hikes kar chuka hai, taake price pressures kam ho sakein. Kazaks ke comments se lagta hai ke ECB ab bhi mehngai ke khatrat ke bare mein concerned hai aur agar zaroorat pari to mazeed action lene ko tayar hai. ECB ka ye hawkish nazriya BoJ ki ihtiyaati soch se mukhtalif hai, jisme Euro Yen ke muqable mein mazid mazboot ho sakta hai agar ECB apni rate hikes jari rakhta hai aur BoJ apni soft policy par qaim rehta hai.

Market ka Re-action aur Outlook: BoJ aur ECB ke darmiyan monetary policy ke hawale se farq ne EUR/JPY pair mein utaar chadhaav paida kiya hai. Jabke ye pair 161.95 ke ird gird momentum kho chuka hai, lekin ye dono central banks ke updates ke liye sensitive hai. Agar BoJ tightening ki taraf ishaara karta hai, to ye Yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar ECB apna hawkish mouqaf jari rakhta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqable mein mazid gain kar sakta hai. Traders ko aanay wale economic data aur central bank meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake EUR/JPY pair ke mustaqbil ke rujhan ke bare mein andaza lagaya ja sake.

Summary: EUR/JPY ka recent performance BoJ ki ihtiyaati mehngai policy aur ECB ke proactive intrest rate stance ke darmiyan chalte hue tug-of-war ko reflect karta hai. Is pair ki mustaqbil ki harkat ka daromadar Japan aur Eurozone ke evolving economic landscape par hoga.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko ek rebound experience kiya, jo 161.10 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh pechle saat dinon ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen weak ho gaya, jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks aaye, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.

Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.

Main ab 161st Fibonacci level pe rise consider kar raha hoon jo 163.80 pe hai, aur price us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Bullish triangle pattern ke validation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke price approximately high 161.90 ke upar surpass kare.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo volume histogram ko level 0 ke kareeb dikhata hai, yeh possibility hai ke momentum downtrend ki taraf shift ho jaye. Yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekhte hue, jo level 50 se upar chale gaye hain aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke kareeb hain, ek aur possibility hai ke price upar ja sakta hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report, jiska forecast outcome 3.0% hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support provide nahi karta. Isliye, fundamentally, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price movement ko temporarily support kar sakta hai

Filhaal, price apni upward trajectory ko continue kar rahi hai aur significant downward correction ke koi nishan nahi dikhai de rahe. Ye sustained movement bullish momentum ke strong hone ko suggest karti hai, aur buyers ke higher levels tak pahunchne ki umeed hai. Jab tak price recently broken resistance ke upar bani rehti hai, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, bullish trend continue hone ki umeed hai. Traders ko kisi bhi potential reversal ya correction ke signals ke liye alert rehna chahiye, lekin abhi tak downward pressure ki kami market ke bulls ko favor karti hai.
Price behavior ko 162.444 level ke aas-paas, aur EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko monitor karna zaroori hoga taake is trend ki strength ko assess kiya ja sake aur informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair filhaal H1 timeframe par strong bullish phase mein hai, aur key technical indicators aur price action further upward movement ko support karte hain. 162.444 resistance level ke breakout, jo sustained buyer pressure ke wajah se hua hai, continued gains ki likelihood ko reinforce karta hai, jab tak market mein koi unexpected shift nahi hota.

Support level 156.530 ne recent past mein considerable strength dikhayi hai. Support level wo jagah hoti hai jahan price girna band karti hai aur aksar direction reverse hoti hai. Is case mein, price pehle bhi is level se bounce back kar chuki hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke ye level phir se hold kar sakta hai. Is historical performance ke madde nazar, main is level par buy position enter karne ka plan kar raha hoon.

Is decision ka rationale ye hai ke price 156.530 se rebound karne aur continue rising ki umeed hai. Mera strategy hai ke main is buy position ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak price previous high 164.730 tak nahi pahunchti. Ye high ek significant resistance point hai jahan price past mein move karne mein struggle kiya hai. Agar price is level ko hit karti hai, to main isse profit lock karne ka opportune moment samjhoonga.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko ek rebound experience kiya, jo 161.10 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh pechle saat dinon ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen weak ho gaya, jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks aaye, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai.
Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.
Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.
Main ab 161st Fibonacci level pe rise consider kar raha hoon jo 163.80 pe hai, aur price us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Bullish triangle pattern ke validation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke price approximately high 161.90 ke upar surpass kare.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo volume histogram ko level 0 ke kareeb dikhata hai, yeh possibility hai ke momentum downtrend ki taraf shift ho jaye. Yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekhte hue, jo level 50 se upar chale gaye hain aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke kareeb hain, ek aur possibility hai ke price upar ja sakta hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report, jiska forecast outcome 3.0% hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support provide nahi karta. Isliye, fundamentally, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke price movement ko temporarily support kar sakta hai

EUR/JPY cross bullish hai aur Thursday ke early European session mein lagbhag 162.00 par bana hua hai. Japanese Yen (JPY) niche aaya hua hai, aur Japan ke trade deficit ke numbers ke waja se EUR/JPY exchange rate positively impact hua hai. June mein surplus sustain karne ke baad, Japan ka merchandise trade balance deficit mein gir gaya hai ¥621.84 billion tak, jab imports umeed se zyada badh gayi. Traders ab Germany aur Eurozone ke liye August ke preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) par focus karenge, jo Thursday ko later announce hoga. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Ueda ka speech aur Japan ka July National Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi focus mein hai. Japanese Yen (JPY) euro ke mukable appreciate hua hai kyunki yeh umeed thi ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) phir se interest rates iss saal ke khatam hone se pehle badhayegi. Reuters ke survey mein Wednesday ko zyada economists ne predict kiya ke BoJ phir se rates badhayegi. Year ke end tak median estimate 0.50% ka hai, jo ke 25 basis point (bps) ka increase dikhata hai.

Lekin, yeh correction zyada der tak nahi chala, aur price ne strong support bana liya 160.776 ke level par. Yeh support ek key level hai jo bullish momentum ko zinda rakhta hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers ke paas abhi bhi strength hai market mein apni positions ko maintain karne ki. Abhi, EUR/JPY wapas resistance 161.752 ki taraf move kar raha hai, aur yeh retest ek important moment hai taayun karne ke liye ke aage movement kis direction mein hogi. Agar yeh resistance successfully break ho gaya, to price most likely bullish trend continue karegi aur nearest target 162.906 ke aas-paas hoga. Yeh level realistic target hai, considering bullish momentum ki strength jo price movement se dikh rahi hai aur technical indicators se confirmation mil rahi hai. Mera current trading plan yeh hai ke main resistance 161.752 ke breakout ka wait karunga before buy position open karne ke liye. Yeh breakout ek strong signal hoga ke market ready hai aage rise karne ke liye, aur is tarah, traders ke liye higher price movements se profit kamaane ka mauka khul jata hai. Buy position enter karne ke baad, mera price target 162.906 ke level par hai, saath hi strict risk management ke saath taake profitability maintain rahe.

Monday ko subah European trading ke doran euro ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kamzor ho gaya, aur EUR/JPY pair 160.70 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh downward movement mainly Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ki wajah se thi, jo yen ko support provide karte hain aur uske counterparts ko dabate hain. Ueda ne apni commitment dobara se doharayi ke agar inflation 2% target ke upar rehti hai to wo interest rates barhane ka soch rahe hain.

Jahan economists ko is saal rate hike ki umeed hai, wahan bahut se logon ka maanna hai ke yeh zyada mumkin hai ke December mein hoga, October mein nahi. BOJ ke further monetary tightening ke speculation ne yen ki value ko euro ke muqablay mein barha diya hai. Eurozone mein, investors August ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Yeh inflation report ECB ke September ke interest rate decision ke baare mein insights provide karne ki umeed thi. Jabke inflation ka projection August mein saalana 2.3% tak slow hone ka hai, ECB se ummeed hai ke wo baaki saal ke liye rates cut karte rahenge. Is expectation ne euro par kuch selling pressure daala hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne bhi is sentiment ko echo kiya, keh kar ke eurozone ki kamzor economy aur slowing inflation borrowing costs ko agle mahine kam karne ka case ko majboot karti hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne July mein sharp sell-off ka samna kiya, jab yeh 32 saal ke high 175.41 se girkar 6 August ko 154.34 tak pohanch gaya. Uske baad se, pair recovery ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iski upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb thak gayi hai. Agar bearish sentiment prevail karta hai, to 160.40 ka nearest support level ek barrier ban sakta hai. Aage ke losses February ke low 158.06 tak limited ho sakte hain. Agar pair 158.06 ke upar hold nahi karti, to yeh January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakti hai aur shayad August 6 ko set kiya gaya 2024 ka low 154.34 ko phir se test kar sakti hai.

Upside par, agar 200-day SMA se upar break hota hai, to potential recovery ke liye raasta khul sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 ke upar push karna padega, jo future mein ek resistance barrier ban sakta hai.EUR/JPY pair ne July mein sharp sell-off ka samna kiya, jab yeh 32 saal ke high 175.41 se girkar 6 August ko 154.34 tak pohanch gaya. Uske baad se, pair recovery ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iski upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb thak gayi hai. Agar bearish sentiment prevail karta hai, to 160.40 ka nearest support level ek barrier ban sakta hai. Aage ke losses February ke low 158.06 tak limited ho sakte hain. Agar pair 158.06 ke upar hold nahi karti, to yeh January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakti hai aur shayad August 6 ko set kiya gaya 2024 ka low 154.34 ko phir se test kar sakti hai.

Upside par, agar 200-day SMA se upar break hota hai, to potential recovery ke liye raasta khul sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 ke upar push karna padega, jo future mein ek resistance barrier ban sakta hai.

EUR/JPY H1 Chart

ECB aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan monetary policies mein divergence EUR/JPY pair ke gains ko constrain kar sakti hai. Isliye traders cautious approaches le rahe hain, aur significant commitments se pehle clearer price action ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ke liye immediate support 160.40 par identified hai, aur further support levels February ke low 158.06, January ke low 155.05, aur year-to-date low 154.34 par hain.

Upar ki taraf, agar pair March ke resistance 165.34 ko break kar deta hai, to ye June ke support-turned-resistance level 167.50 ki taraf movement ke liye stage set kar sakta hai.

Eurozone CPI (Consumer Price Index) data ka release euro aur EUR/JPY pair dono ki value ko affect kar sakta hai. Agar inflation figure higher-than-expected hota hai to euro ko bolster mil sakta hai, jabke lower reading euro ko weaken kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair ne strong upward momentum dikhaya hai, lekin traders ko large investments karne se pehle economic aur geopolitical factors ko diligently assess karna chahiye. Interest rates, inflation data, aur global political dynamics is currency pair ke future ko shape karne mein crucial roles play karenge.

**Achhi Trading System Kaise Dhundein**

Ek achha trading system dhundne ke liye, aapko ek simple system dekhna chahiye jo shayad sirf 1 ya 2 indicators ka use kare, taake market ko analyze karte waqt aap asaani se confused na ho. Ek aise trading system ki talash karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho, taake agar aapke 10 me se 7 analysis galat hote hain, tab bhi aapko profit ho. Aur sabse zaroori baat, 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na karein, kyunki aisa koi system nahi hota. Isliye, agar aap 1:2 risk aur reward ratio apply karna chahte hain, to 10 me se 7 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hai.

Aaj raat ki analysis mein, main EUR/JPY pair ke movement ko discuss karna chahta hoon. H1 timeframe par dekha jaye to EUR/JPY ki movement apni weakness dikhane lagi hai, jo confirm hota hai jab price apne closest resistance ko penetrate nahi kar paayi aur stochastic indicator bhi H1 timeframe par neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai. Ye sab milkar EUR/JPY ke decline ke potential ko aur mazbooti se darshata hai aur price ke sabse closest support level 161.29 ki taraf move karne ki umeed ko barhata hai.