eur/jpy

EUR/JPY Analysis 26 July 2024
H4 Hour Analysis

Chart ki observations ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY currency pair ab tak upward correction ki halat mein hai aur iski movement ka range abhi zyada wide nahi hai. Yeh currency pair aage chal kar decline karne ki koshish kar sakta hai aur agla breakout target 166.20 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se SELL transaction option ab bhi worth considering hai jab tak price 168.00 ke level ke niche hai. Aaj subah se EUR/JPY pair ne bullish correction experience kiya hai aur 167.44 ke level tak pohanch gaya hai, magar abhi tak market mein koi downtrend ka indication nahi mila hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime Line abhi bhi 50 ke level ke niche hai jo bearish market ka izhaar hai. Correction phase ke khatam hone ke baad, aaj raat price ka bearish trend mein rehne aur phir se girne ki ummeed hai jo ke lower level ko target karega. Pichle kuch waqton mein sellers ka interest dekha gaya hai jo price ko dabane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake price opening level se door ho jaye jo pichle Monday ko tha. Iske ilawa, Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke niche price hone se yeh bhi pata chal raha hai ke market ab bhi bearish hai. Price ka niche girna 164.78 ke weekly lowest area tak jana mumkin hai taake bearish trend ko continue kiya ja sake.

EUR/JPY currency pair ke downward trend ke liye planning par focus banaye rakhein, taake market ke is bearish phase ka faida utha sakain.

EUR/JPY Analysis: Bullish Momentum aur Strategic Selling
EUR/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein zordaar bullish momentum dikhaya hai, jo ke D1 chart par khaas taur par nazar aa raha hai. Price ab 1.2763-1.2815 ke critical psychological resistance level ke qareeb hai, aur is area ke upar stability bullish trend ko support karti hai. Ye price range ek pivotal zone ka kaam karti hai, jo market mein bullish control ki taqat ko mazid barhati hai.

Is bullish trend ka ek ahem sabab Japanese yen ki musalsal kamzori hai. Japan ki loose monetary policy aur Japan aur Eurozone ke darmiyan mukhtalif economic growth trajectories ki wajah se macroeconomic factors ne yen ki value ko kam kiya hai. Ye depreciation euro ko zyada attractive banata hai, jisse EUR/JPY pair upar ki taraf barh raha hai. Jaise-jaise yen kamzor hota hai, EUR/JPY pair ke 170.50, 170.85, aur 171.11 ke current highs tak pohnchne ya unse aage barhne ke chances barh jaate hain.

Strong bullish signals aur upar ki taraf movement ke liye favourable conditions ke bawajood, main higher levels par EUR/JPY ko bechne ka strategic approach rakhta hoon. Ye contrarian approach is baat par mabni hai ke current bullish phase shayad eventually overextended conditions ka samna kare, jo reversal opportunities ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai.

Ek successful bearish strategy ko implement karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke key levels identify kiye jayein jahan selling shuru ki jaa sakti hai. 170.40 aur 170.83 ke darmiyan support level khaas taur par ahem hai. Is support range ki taraf movement bullish trend ko challenge karna aur potentially break karna zaroori hai. Agar price action is support level ko penetrate kar deti hai, to ye market sentiment mein shift ka signal ho sakta hai aur zyada pronounced downward correction ke liye raasta khul sakta hai.

Is dauran, performance dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai. EUR/JPY pair ka 170.40-170.83 support level ki taraf movement na sirf current bullish trend ko challenge karega balki short positions ke liye ek tactical entry point bhi faraham karega. Traders ko in levels par price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, bullish momentum ke kam hone ya bearish patterns ke ubharne ke signs ko dekhna chahiye.




Technical analysis ke perspective se, candlestick patterns, momentum indicators, aur volume changes ko in critical levels ke qareeb observe karna additional confirmation faraham kar sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, resistance levels ke qareeb bearish engulfing pattern ya Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence decision to sell ko reinforce kar sakti hai.

In conclusion, jabke EUR/JPY pair filhal yen ki kamzori se supported strong bullish tendencies dikhata hai, higher levels par sell karne ke strategic reasons hain. Key hai price action ka critical support levels tak pohnchna aur market behavior ko reversal signs ke liye dekhna. Vigilance aur disciplined approach rakh kar, traders current EUR/JPY dynamics ke andar bullish aur bearish opportunities dono ka faida utha sakte hain.

EUR/JPY Analysis 27 July 2024

H4 Hour Analysis

Hello guys! Chart observations ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY currency pair abhi bhi upar ki taraf correction kar raha hai, lekin iska range itna wide nahi hai. Is currency pair se ye umeed hai ke ye decline karte hue 166.20 ke aas-paas ek level tak pohnch sakta hai, jo agla breakout target ho sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke SELL transaction option tab tak consider karna sahi hai jab tak price 168.00 ke niche rahti hai. Aaj subah se EUR/JPY pair ne 167.44 tak bullish correction dekha hai, lekin market ke niche hone ka koi indication abhi tak nazar nahi aaya.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime Line ka position jo 50 ke niche hai, market ke bearish hone ka izhaar hai. Correction phase ke khatam hone ke baad, aaj raat bhi price bearish trend mein rehne ki umeed hai aur niche girne ki potential rakhti hai. Pichle kuch dafaon mein, sellers ne price ko suppress karne ki koshish ki hai taake ye last Monday ke opening level se door chale. Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke niche hone ki wajah se market ke bearish hone ka ehsas hota hai. Price ki expected movement ab niche ki taraf hogi, aur weekly low level 164.78 ko target kar sakti hai taake bearish trend ko continue kiya ja sake.

Is waqt, EUR/JPY currency pair ke downward trend ke response ke liye jo planning ki ja rahi hai, uspe focus banaye rakhna zaroori hai.apka trading day acha rhe

EUR/JPY D1 Analysis
EUR/JPY pair jo main monitor kar raha hoon, shuruat se July ke bearish side par chal raha hai aur lagta hai ke yeh abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Ye downward trend is hafte bhi continue ho sakta hai aur price dheere-dheere bearish side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar hum candlestick ki position dekhein, to yeh abhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ko paar karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke seller abhi bhi price ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar raha hai. Hafte ki shuruat se market ne bearish price condition dikhayi hai, aur pichle do din se price kaafi bade range ke saath neeche ja rahi hai.

Price journey ke tendency ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke yeh bearish side ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur sellers se support mil raha hai. Price ka girna candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 100 indicator zone ko paar karne mein madad kar raha hai. Aisa lagta hai ke seller abhi bhi current price zone ke neeche lower price area tak pohnchne ki koshish kar raha hai. Aaj EUR/JPY market ne 168.79 se apni journey shuru ki. 4-hour time frame se, pichle kuch dinon se seller ka influence nazar aa raha hai, jo price ko aur bhi neeche le ja sakta hai. Ab market narrow range ke saath neeche ja rahi hai.



Market trend zyada tar increase zone ki taraf ja raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers abhi bhi dominant hain. Upar wale graph se candlestick ka increase strong signal dikhata hai bullish trend ke continuation ka, aur yeh price position ko 175.17 zone ke aas-paas consistently maintain kar raha hai. Agar price is zone ko paar karne mein successful hoti hai, to market ke uptrend side par jane ke chances barh jate hain. Market abhi bhi agle kuch dinon ke liye Buy trading option ka zyada mauka de rahi hai. EUR/JPY market mein buyer ka influence kaafi strong lag raha hai.

EUR/JPY Analysis
EUR/JPY pair abhi bhi bullish state mein hai aur is week bhi is trend ke continue hone ke indications hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, price H4 chart par mid BB ke upar reh sakti hai; lekin Thursday ko EUR/JPY ne 174.5 area ko penetrate karne mein thodi hesitation dikhayi, jo mera pehla target tha. Current market conditions ke hisaab se, price phir se mid BB ke qareeb aa gayi hai, to EUR/JPY ke girne ka bhi khaas mauka hai. Main CSAK sell signal ka intezar kar sakta hoon aur phir market mein sell position enter kar sakta hoon, pehla target 173.0 area ya zarurat padne par EMA50 ke niche bhi ho sakta hai.

Pichle do hafton mein trading ke doran, EUR/JPY bullish form mein close hua hai. Kal raat se market ne downward correction shuru kiya hai, aur tab se buyers market position ko reverse karne mein nakam rahe hain, jo pehle sellers ke control mein thi. Aaj sellers market ko influence kar rahe hain, jo prices ko bearish correction ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Monthly trend ke mutabiq, buyers ne full force ke saath entry ki hai aur price ko 174.46 zone tak push kar sakte hain. Market mein bullish trend abhi bhi strong hai aur price increase ke indications hain jo raat tak continue ho sakti hain.

**EUR/JPY Technical Analysis**

EUR/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 174.60 ke naye multi-year highs ko touch kiya. Is impressive rally ke bawajood, pair ab us peak ke just neeche hover kar raha hai, aur technical indicators market tension ka signal de rahe hain. RSI 70 ke niche dip karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo buying pressure ke ease hone ka potential signal ho sakta hai. Similarly, MACD bhi diminishing bullish momentum dikhata hai, jahan MACD line apni trigger line aur zero line ke upar se downward move kar rahi hai.




Agar EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko extend karta hai, to pehli line of defense previous high 171.55 hogi. Ye level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath coincide karta hai, jo iski support function ko aur mazid strengthen karta hai. Agar is point ke niche break hota hai, to bearish sentiment ka wave shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA 169.70 aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (lagbhag 169.50) tak le ja sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai.

Dusri taraf, agar bulls control regain kar lete hain, to pair 174.60 resistance level ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Agar yahan successful breakout hota hai, to naye targets jaise 175.00 ya 176.00 open ho sakte hain.

EUR/JPY Market Analysis
Good morning, InvestSocial traders,

Filhal, EUR/JPY ka main trend bullish hai aur iske continue hone ke chances hain week ke end tak. Mere observation ke mutabiq, price abhi bhi H4 chart par mid Bollinger Band (BB) ke upar rehne ki potential dikha rahi hai. Lekin Thursday ko EUR/JPY ne dheere movement dikhayi aur 174.5 area ko break nahi kar paya, jo mera initial target tha. Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, price phir se mid BB ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jo ek achha mauka hai decline ka. Isliye, main ek aur selling opportunity ke liye dekh raha hoon aur market mein sell position enter karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Mera ideal target 173.0 area ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, ya zarurat padne par EMA50 ke niche bhi ja sakta hai.

Pichle do hafton mein, EUR/JPY market bullish formation mein close hua hai. Kal raat se market ne downward correction shuru kiya hai, aur ab tak buyers market position ko reverse karne mein nakam rahe hain jo pehle sellers ke control mein thi. Aaj, sellers ka influence nazar aa raha hai jo prices ko bearish correction ki taraf le ja raha hai. Monthly trend ke mutabiq, buyers market mein full force ke saath aaye hain, jo price ko 174.46 zone tak le ja sakte hain. Bullish trend abhi bhi strong hai aur price increases raat tak continue ho sakti hain.



Agar price 173.72 ke aas-paas correction karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein control mein hain aur prices ke upar jane ka mauka hai. Agle trading plan ke liye, main buy position ko prefer karunga. Agar buyer strength barhti hai, to EUR/JPY price 174.26 area tak pohnch sakti hai. Bullish trend ki confirmation tab clear hogi jab price 174.01 zone ko cross karegi. Buy position open karne ke liye, aapko bas price ke current zone ke upar move karne ka intezar karna hoga, ya aap price correction ka continuation bhi wait kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne recently strong bullish momentum dikhayi hai, khas tor pe D1 chart pe. Price stabilization 1.2763-1.2815 ke critical psychological resistance level ke qareeb aur upar ek key indicator raha hai jo bullish trend ko support karta hai. Yeh price range ek pivotal zone ke tor pe act karta hai, jo market mein bullish control ki strength ko reinforce karta hai.
Is bullish trend ka ek significant factor Japanese yen ki continued weakness hai. Mukhtalif macroeconomic factors, jaise ke Japan ki loose monetary policy aur Japan aur Eurozone ke darmiyan mukhtalif economic growth trajectories, yen ke persistent weakening ka sabab bante hain. Yeh depreciation euro ko zyada attractive banata hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ko upar push karta hai. Jese jese yen weak hota hai, yeh EUR/JPY pair ke mazeed upar jane ki likelihood ko barhata hai, potentially current highs 170.50, 170.85, aur 171.11 ko approach karte hue aur shayad surpass bhi karte hue.

Strong bullish signals aur upward movement ke favorable conditions ke bawajood, main higher bullish levels pe EUR/JPY ko sell karne ki strategic preference rakhta hoon. Yeh contrarian approach is belief pe based hai ke current bullish phase eventually overextended conditions present karegi, jo potential reversal opportunities ka sabab banegi.

Ek successful bearish strategy ke liye, key levels identify karna zaroori hai jahan selling initiate ki ja sakti hai. Support level 170.40 aur 170.83 ke darmiyan particularly significant hai. Is support range ki taraf movement overall bullish trend ko test aur potentially break karne ke liye zaroori hai. Agar price action is support level ko penetrate karta hai, to yeh market sentiment me shift signal kar sakta hai aur ek more pronounced downward correction ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is period ke dauran performance dynamics ko samajhna essential hai. EUR/JPY pair ki movement 170.40-170.83 support level ki taraf sirf current bullish trend ko challenge nahi karegi balke short positions ke liye ek tactical entry point bhi provide karegi. Traders ko in levels pe price action closely monitor karni chahiye, bullish momentum me weakening ya bearish patterns ke emergence ke signs dekhte hue.

Technical analysis perspective se, in critical levels ke qareeb candlestick patterns, momentum indicators, aur volume changes pe nazar rakhna additional confirmation provide kar sakta hai potential selling opportunities ke liye. Misal ke taur pe, bearish engulfing pattern ya RSI (Relative Strength Index) me divergence resistance levels ke qareeb selling decision ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

Conclusion me, jabke EUR/JPY pair currently strong bullish tendencies dikha raha hai supported by yen weakness, kuch strategic reasons hain jo higher levels pe selling consider karne ko justify karte hain. Key yeh hai ke price action ko critical support levels tak pohanchne ka wait karna aur market behavior ko potential reversal ke signs ke liye observe karna. Vigilance maintain karke aur ek disciplined approach ko employ karke, traders prevailing trend dynamics of EUR/JPY pair me bullish aur bearish dono opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain.

Economic indicators bhi traders ke liye important the. Agar fundamental data positive tha, jaise ki strong economic growth, low unemployment, aur stable interest rates, toh yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko strengthen karta. Traders ne economic indicators ko closely monitor kiya aur agar data favorable tha, toh unka confidence aur bhi badh gaya. Jab EUR/JPY ne 170.26 level ko cross kiya, toh yeh ek psychological barrier bhi tha. Traders ka focus yahaan tha ki market is level ko paar kare ya nahin. Is level ko cross karna, traders ke liye ek bullish sign tha aur isne unhe further upside ki umeed dilayi. Is scenario mein, traders ne apne stop-loss orders ko adjust kiya aur profit targets ko revise kiya. Stop-loss orders ko update karne ka maqsad tha ki in case of a reversal, losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Profit targets ko revise karne ka maqsad tha ki traders maximum profit hasil kar sakein. Overall, jab EUR/JPY currency pair ne 170.26 level ko cross kiya aur isay paar kar liya, toh yeh ek bullish momentum create hua. Traders ne technical analysis, market sentiment, aur economic indicators ko dhyan mein rakha, jisse unhe sahi direction ka pata chal sake. Is level ko cross karne ke baad, market mein buying interest aur bhi badh gayi, jo ki price ko aur upar le gayi.




Summary mein, EURJPY pair ke downward trend continue rehne ki umeed hai. Consistent closes 170.10 ke neeche aur 168.90 tak ki girawat ongoing bearish pressure ko dikhati hai. Stochastic oscillator ke oversold levels ke qareeb hone se further declines ki umeed hai. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 169.60 potential bullish reversal ke liye, aur naye lower targets 168.55 aur 167.85 agar bearish wave continue karti hai. Anticipated trading range 169.40 aur 168.55 ke darmiyan hai, jo bearish trend forecast ko reinforce karti hai.

EUR/JPY


Yeh suggest karta hai ke price 156.80 ke support level tak pohonch sakti hai. Agar market 200 EMA level aur resistance level 156.48 ko break karta hai, to iska agla target 156.05 aur 100 EMA line ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator indicator abhi overbought zone mein hai. Agar yeh 30 level se upar move karta hai, to yeh ek powerful bullish signal de sakta hai. Aise mein, hum buying consider kar sakte hain, aur target support level 156.50 ho sakta hai.




EUR/JPY ke 4-hour timeframe mein, price ne 155.00 ke support level par ek strong Doji candle form ki hai. Yeh support level chaar dafa test ho chuka hai, jo strong rejection aur potential downward movement ko show karta hai. Lekin, 156.55 par resistance hai, jo price ko wapas increase karne ka sabab bana hai. Agar EUR/JPY consolidate hota hai aur push higher karta hai, to yeh MA200 H4 timeframe mein pohonch sakta hai. Asian session ke doran, EUR/JPY ne MA100 aur nearest resistance level 156.70 ko test kiya. Agar yeh levels break hote hain, to EUR/JPY aur strengthen kar sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 156.38 tak ja sakta hai.

Abhi, price 155.10 ke support level aur 155.80 ke resistance level ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hai, jo 80-pips range hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke in levels ke darmiyan trading opportunities mojood hain. Agar price 156.20 se drop hoti hai aur clear bearish trend banata hai, to humein in levels par potential selling opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Dosri taraf, agar market bullish energy show karta hai aur support level ko break karta hai, to hum buying consider kar sakte hain. Resistance level ke neeche ek short-term break powerful sell signal create kar sakta hai towards the 156.80 level.

Japanese Yen ke against past char dinon se steadily strength gain ki hai, aur Monday ke European trading hours ke dauran 173.30 mark ke around hover kar raha hai. Ye upward trajectory positive reaction ke natije mein hai jo French presidential election ke pehle round mein far-right party ki success par hui. Marine Le Pen ka strong performance ne unki position ko France mein ek major political player ke tor par solidify kiya hai, aur voter turnout ne 30 saalon ka high touch kiya. Halanki, Le Pen ke lead ke bawajood, France 24 ne highlight kiya hai ke decisive second round tak uncertainty ab bhi baqi hai, jo 7 July ko hoga.
Jab ke Euro political front par ground gain kar raha hai, Eurozone ke economic data zyada cautious picture paint karte hain. Region ka latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 45.8 par aaya, jo initial estimate 45.6 se thoda zyada hai, lekin ab bhi anticipated average 51.6 se kaafi kam hai. Ye data output mein contraction indicate karta hai, jo 2024 mein ab tak ka steepest experienced hai. Economic slowdown potentially European Central Bank (ECB) ko action lene par majboor kar sakta hai, jaise ke recent comments Governing Council member Olli Rehn se suggest karte hain, jinhone hint di hai ke iss saal do aur interest rate cuts ho sakte hain. Dusri taraf, Japan se positive data ne yen ko support diya hai.

Business world ne second quarter mein confidence ka surge dekha, jo index 11 se badh kar 13 par aaya. Halanki, Bank of Japan ka manufacturing PMI June ke liye thoda dip hua, 50.1 se 50 par aaya, lekin expansion territory mein consecutive doosre month ke liye raha. Currency markets mein, EUR/JPY pair ne significant breakthrough kiya, crucial resistance level 171.53 cross kiya daily chart par. Ye momentum continue raha, aur Friday ko pair ne same price level approach kiya, ek strong bullish candlestick pattern form kiya buyers ke strength ke wajah se. Iska natija ye hua ke EUR/JPY ne is week ka trading ek bullish gap mein open kiya aur apni upward trajectory maintain ki. RSI indicator overbought zone mein enter ho gaya hai, aur market ke current gapped opening ke wajah se, downward correction ki higher likelihood hai taake gap fill ho sake. Chart ne do major support levels provide kiye hain, aur in mein se kisi ek ke break hone par potentially trend direction change ho sakti hai.

EUR/JPY pair ke baray mein, mera nazariya bearish hai, jismein mujhe umeed hai ke pair apni downward momentum ko jari rakhega. Magar ek temporary pullback bhi mumkin hai. Abhi ke level par, humaray paas do possible scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke agar price current support level se neechay girti hai aur wahan settle hoti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh apni downtrend ko continue karegi. Is case mein, next target 172.83-172.58 ke support zone ke around ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish trend ki confirmation hogi jo recent trading sessions mein dekhi gayi hai.
Agar hum larger time frame dekhein to EUR/JPY sideways channel mein enter hone ke qareeb lagta hai, jo consolidation period ko indicate karta hai. Is potential sideways movement ke bawajood, meri analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke overall downtrend jari rahega. Market sentiment aur technical indicators ab bhi bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Agar price current support level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab nahi hoti aur is se neechay girti hai, to yeh downtrend ke continuation ko confirm karegi aur shayad lower support levels ko touch karegi. Yeh outlook broader market dynamics aur Euro aur Yen ko affect karne wale economic factors par mabhai

hih

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke 173.46-173.10 ke levels ke around clear reversal candlestick pattern form ho sakta hai, jo uptrend ke aghaz ko signal karega. Agar yeh event hota hai, to immediate target local resistance level 173.63 ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ke upar successfully break karti hai, to yeh further upar move kar sakti hai resistance zone 173.50-174.00 ki taraf. Yeh upward movement market sentiment mein change ko indicate karegi, kam az kam short term ke liye, shayad Euro side se positive economic data ya investor sentiment ki wajah se. Magar, current market conditions aur broader economic outlook ko dekhte hue, yeh scenario downtrend ke muqablay mein kam likely lagta hai

EUR/JPY M15 chart par, linear regression channel south ki taraf directed hai, jo market mein ek strong seller ki mojoodgi ko signal karta hai, jo 173.873 tak neeche jana chah raha hai. Bears ke sell position ka area M15 par channel ke upper border 174.368 ke kareeb hai. Bulls ke liye, yeh mark ek rukawat honi chahiye agar bear H1 par trend ko break karna chahta hai. Isliye, 174.368 se, sales enter karne ke liye reversal information dekhi ja sakti hai. Channel ka slope is baat ko emphasize karta hai ke seller kitna strong hai, jitna steep angle, utna zyada chance hai ke bears H1 par trend ko break kar sakein. 174.368 mark ke through break hona meri sell ki idea ko cancel karta hai, buyers apne trend ke saath 174.833 mark tak upar chale jayeinge.

Market sentiment aur positioning bhi asarandaz hoti hain. Traders ki perceptions, jo sentiment indicators aur futures market se positioning data mein reflected hoti hain, potential reversals ya continuations ke bare mein clues provide kar sakti hain. Agar market EUR/JPY par zyada bearish hai, to koi bhi positive news short-covering rally trigger kar sakti hai, jo ek sharp move higher lead kar sakti hai.

Natije ke tor par, jab ke current bearish trend EUR/JPY mein gradual decline ko indicate karta hai, kuch factors hain jo aane wale dinon mein significant movements lead kar sakte hain. Technical analysis, fundamental factors, economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment ka blend consider karna chahiye future movements ko accurately forecast karne ke liye. Traders aur investors ko naye data aur developments ke liye vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye, kyunki yeh market dynamics ko jaldi alter kar sakti hain aur bearish trend ke continuation ya ek sharp reversal ko lead kar sakti hain.

EUR/JPY karansi peir ki haal hi ki winning streak ruk gayi hai. Che din ke utthan ke baad, Euro (EUR) kamzor ho gaya Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqable mein aur 174.20 level par aa gaya Asia ke trading ke doran Thursday ko. Yeh tabdeeli un fikron se judi hai jo Japanese authorities ke forex market mein mudakhlat karne ke irade par hain. Yeh fikr is baat se utpan hoti hai ke kamzor hoti Yen se Japani consumers ka itminan mutasir ho sakta hai kyun ke imported maal mahnga ho jata hai. Apne consumers ko bachane ke liye, Japanese authorities Yen ko mazboot karne ke liye market mein Yen khareed sakte hain. Yeh karwai EUR/JPY ke upward momentum ko rok sakti hai. Yen ke haq mein ek aur support Japan ke services sector ki recent kamzori hai. Wednesday ko jari data ne dikhaya ke June ke liye services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) mein significant girawat aayi, jo 49.4 par aa gaya, jo ke early 2022 ke baad se sabse kam hai. Aisi kamzori Yen ko aur zyada kamzor kar sakti hai aur doosri karansiyon ke liye faida mand ho sakti hai, jaise Euro

Darmiyan, Eurozone apni siyasi uncertainties se joojh raha hai. France ke halia elections mein far-right ki jeet ki umeedien toot gayi jab centrist aur left-wing parties ne ek alliance bana liya unke uthoan ko rokne ke liye. Magar, France mein aanewale Sunday ko parliamentary elections Euro mein volatility ko badha sakti hain. Recent pullback ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is saal ek strong run enjoy kiya hai, multi-year highs tak pahunch gaya hai. April ke akhir mein Japan ke intervention se hone wale sharp correction ke bawajood, yeh pair ek upward trajectory par bana raha hai, aur un levels ko bhi cross kar gaya jo Japanese authorities ke liye sensitive mana jata hai. Agar Euro apna bullish momentum wapas paata hai, toh yeh 175.00 ya 180.00 jaise significant psychological levels par resistance face kar sakta hai, jo 1992 ke baad se nahi dekhe gaye. Downside par, EUR/JPY ke liye June support level 167.50 par emerge ho sakta hai. Agar yeh area breach hota hai toh ek aur substantial decline ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 165.34 aur phir 164.28 tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke former resistance zones hain jo future mein support de sakte hain

EURJPY ke exit ka area ascending channel ki support line. Yani intra-channel correction ka mechanism minimum par launch hota hai, aur medium term mein external correction ke conditions maximum par. Ek aur correction development ka option price ko channel resistance line tak extend karna hai, aur local maximum area elevation 171,590 mein strength test karna hai. Is variant mein, "Double Top" graphic pattern ka right shoulder formation hota haidata aur June ke pehle step pe reaction pe depend karta hai. Jab ke central bank almost entirely inflation data pe focus kar raha hai rate cut justify karne ke liye June mein, economic weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level




successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold ka

Eur/Jpy pair ko monitor karne par pata chalta hai ke July ke aghaz se yeh bearish side pe chal raha hai aur lagta hai ke yeh trend is haftay tak jari reh sakta hai. Price ahista ahista bearish side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Candlestick ki position ko dekhte hue, ab yeh simple moving average (SMA) zone of period 100 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahi hai jo yeh dikhata hai ke seller abhi bhi price ko neechay le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Is haftay ke aghaz se market ne bearish price condition ko dikhaya hai, aur pichlay do dinon se price kaafi bara range mein niche ja rahi hai. Mahine ke aghaz se price journey ki tendency ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke yeh bearish side ki taraf ja rahi hai aur doosre sellers ka support mil raha hai. Price decline ne candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 100 indicator zone se pass karne mein madad di hai. Lagta hai seller abhi bhi current price zone se neeche ke area tak pahunchne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aaj Eur/Jpy market apni journey 168.79 position se shuru ki hai. 4-hour time frame ko dekhte hue, kuch dinon se seller ka asar nazar aa raha hai jo price ko aur neeche le jane mein madad kar raha hai. Ab market narrow range ke sath neeche move kar rahi hai.

Agar hum larger time frame trend ko dekhen, to lagta hai ke yeh bhi bearish side ki taraf move kar raha hai. Market ab bhi next Downtrend journey ke momentum ka intezar kar raha hai jo aaj ya kal ho sakta hai. Candlestick ki position ko dekhte hue, yeh simple moving average zone of period 100 se aur door move kar rahi hai. Mera andaza hai ke agar fundamentals Yen currency ko strengthen karte hain to price bearish side ki taraf ja sakti hai. Subha ke market conditions abhi tak khaamosh hain, is liye trading signal ko samajhne ke liye hamein shaam ya raat tak intezar karna padega.